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Fundamental Analysis

US500 maintains inherently bullish structureFundamental Analysis US500 maintains an inherently bullish structure, trading above both EMAs. Q3 earnings were strong, with 83% of companies beating expectations and delivering 13.8% blended EPS growth, largely thanks to megacap tech/AI. However, the forward P/E ratio is high at 23.1x (above the 5-year average of 19.9x), signaling elevated valuations. The recent profit taking in high growth names like AMD and Nvidia due to margin concerns and macro headwinds (high rates/inflation) exposes this valuation sensitivity. Technical Analysis The index is currently pulling back from all time highs near 6,900, consolidating in a short term support zone of 6,750. Momentum is neutralizing with RSI approx 51.6, indicating a pause rather than a reversal. Key technical battleground: Resistance at 6,885 and 6,920 versus support at 6,750 and the EMA at 6,700. Consolidation is the most probable short term path. Sentiment Analysis Sentiment is cautious to slightly negative. The sharp correction in AI leaders (AMD, NVDA) has fueled "AI bubble" fears, overriding fundamentally strong earnings reports. There is a clear, broad sector rotation occurring as investors de-risk and take year end profits from high growth tech toward defensive/value plays. The market is currently driven by nervousness about sustaining premium valuations against persistent macro uncertainty. Outlook The near term outlook is moderately cautious. While the long term bullish trend remains supported by healthy corporate earnings, the market faces an inflection point driven by overvaluation concerns in the tech sector. Further short term volatility is expected as the market digests earnings nuances (like margin guidance) and awaits clearer signals on US monetary policy and inflation. A decisive break of the 6,750 support or 6,885 resistance will likely define the next directional move. Analysis is by Terence Hove, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
SP:SPXLong
by WiseLeoTrading
SPOT Price Action | Strong Support, Tight Stop, Open Target!🎧 SPOT | Thief Trader Profit Playbook 💰 “When Music Meets Money — Spotify’s Chart Is About to Drop Beats & Gains!” 🎵📈 🧭 Plan: Bullish Bias — Thief-style layered accumulation for a smart entry! We’re eyeing SPOT (Spotify Technology S.A.) for a potential swing/day trade move north. 🎯 Entry (Layering Strategy) 💎 The Thief Strategy uses multiple limit layers to build a strong position. Here’s the sneak-in setup (choose your own comfort): 🧩 Buy Limit 1 → $670 🧩 Buy Limit 2 → $680 🧩 Buy Limit 3 → $690 (You can expand layers based on your risk appetite — remember, thieves adapt!) 😎 🛑 Stop-Loss (Thief’s Safe Escape) This is the Thief SL @ $650 ⚠️ Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), this is not a fixed SL — trade smart, manage your own risk. You make money → you take money. 💼 🎯 Target Zone (Police Barricade 🚓) Target: Around $740 The chart shows a strong resistance + overbought area + possible trap zone — that’s where the police barricade is! 🚧 Escape with profits before they catch your bags! 💨💰 ⚠️ Note: Again, Thief OG’s — this is a flexible TP zone, not financial advice. Secure your profits when the opportunity sings! 🎤📊 🧩 Correlated Pairs to Watch ($) Keep an eye on these correlated tickers for extra confirmation or sentiment cues: NASDAQ:NFLX → Streaming sector momentum 🎬 NASDAQ:AAPL → Tech sentiment driver 🍏 NASDAQ:MSFT → Market leader correlation 🖥️ NASDAQ:META → Digital ad revenue influence 💬 NASDAQ:QQQ / AMEX:SPY → Index health check 💪 These tickers often dance together in the same rhythm — when the tech sector grooves, SPOT follows the beat! 🕺 ⚙️ Technical Key Points: Bullish structure holding above $650 zone support 🧱 Momentum strengthening after pullback retest 🎢 RSI mid-zone recovery — not yet overbought, potential room to run! 📈 Volume showing accumulation footprints 👣 ✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community! ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a Thief-style trading strategy, shared for educational & fun purposes only. Trade responsibly. I’m not your financial advisor — I’m your chart burglar! 😜💼 #SPOT #Spotify #SwingTrade #DayTrade #StockMarket #ThiefTrader #LayeringStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishSetup #TradingView #EditorPick #ProfitPlaybook #SPY #QQQ #NASDAQ #StocksToWatch
NYSE:SPOTLong
by The-Thief
1
SKYX: Breakout to $1.58 and Potential Triple on Small-Cap Surge SKYX Platforms Corp. (NASDAQ: SKYX) is primed for a run to $1.58 and could triple to $3.30 by year-end, driven by small-cap strength, e-commerce demand, and strong fundamentals. Here’s why SKYX is a must-watch. Technicals: Clear Shot to $1.58 Trading at $1.10 , SKYX is coiling for a breakout. Resistance at $1.25 (psychological) and $1.40 (prior high) should fall easily with rising volume and a bullish MACD crossover. $1.58 is achievable by August, with $3.30 (200%+ gain) in sight if momentum holds. Fundamentals: Smart Home Leader With 97 patents and 60+ e-commerce websites, SKYX’s plug-and-play smart home platform is gaining traction. Their $3B Miami smart city deal (500,000+ units) and Profab Electronics partnership signal scalability . E-commerce sales, projected to hit $8T globally by 2027 , fuel SKYX’s growth. Market Tailwind The Russell 2000, which SKYX joined in June 2025, is breaking out, up 10% YTD . TNA’s 30% spikes amplify this . With a $138.61M market cap and 38 institutions adding shares (e.g., Susquehanna, 478,024 shares) , SKYX is set to ride this wave. Risks SKYX isn’t cash flow positive until H2 2025, and Q1 revenue missed ($20.1M vs. $21.15M). Small-cap volatility is a factor, but 12.4% YOY growth and the Russell breakout mitigate risks.The Play SKYX hits $1.58 soon, clearing $1.25 and $1.40, then triples to $3.30+ by December on e-commerce, smart city deals, and small-cap momentum. I’m buying—thoughts, board? Summary: Targets: $1.58 near-term, $3.30+ year-end. Resistances: $1.25, $1.40. Catalysts: Russell 2000/TNA breakout, e-commerce, smart city deal. Risks: Cash flow, revenue misses, volatility. Disclaimer: Not financial advice. Do your own DD. Stocks are volatile. ~Sherwood Coast's Group
NASDAQ:SKYXLong
by Trance-Man
AUD JPY long Today, it appears good news is good news. Positive US data appeases the market following a couple of sour sentiment days. The VIX is falling and the S&P is rising. I've plumbed for AUD JPY long as a 'risk on trade' . For me, it was a choice between USD or AUD long. The risk to the trade is negative market sentiment, or the fact there is no discernable swing to place a stop loss behind. But if the price falls below the open of the ' ISM candle', I'll accept defeat. .
Long
by johnelfedforexblog
EURGBP - BULLS STILL IN CONRTOL?Symbol - EURGBP EURGBP continues to post fresh local highs as part of an ongoing rally that began after breaking above consolidation resistance within a broader bullish trend. The pair remains in an upward structure, with current consolidation forming a bullish continuation pattern that reflects sustained buying pressure. After breaking out of the ascending triangle, EURGBP advanced toward 0.8818, where a potential double-top pattern is taking shape — suggesting a short-term correction could occur before the next leg higher. Resistance levels: 0.8786, 0.8818 Support levels: 0.8752, 0.8721 A corrective pullback could bring the price back toward the breakout zone, allowing liquidity to build and the market structure to reset in favor of buyers. This would likely pave the way for the continuation of the broader bullish trend.
Long
by akshit_official
DigitalOcean: Quiet Cloud Stock with Big PotentialIntroduction While everyone is focused on AI giants like NVIDIA and the big cloud players, there’s a quieter cloud company quietly gaining momentum. DigitalOcean (DOCN) may not grab headlines, but its fundamentals and technical setup make it an interesting stock for investors seeking growth in the cloud infrastructure space. Fundamentals DigitalOcean’s financials show strong growth: Revenue: +12–13% year-over-year EPS: +~80% year-over-year The company currently has no buyback program, and there’s a slight share dilution, but the growth trajectory more than offsets this. Key valuation metrics: Forward P/E: 19 P/S: 4 This places the stock at roughly four times revenue, which is attractive considering its rapid earnings growth. Overall, from a fundamental perspective, DigitalOcean is healthy — cash flows are improving, profits are up, and the business is in a solid growth phase. Technical Analysis On the chart, using a Fixed Range Volume Profile, the largest volume cluster sits around $30–40, suggesting smart money accumulation. Price has been compressing toward $52, forming a classic wave structure: First wave, Second wave Another first, second sequence This coiling pattern indicates a potential breakout. Upside target: ~$130 if the $52 resistance is broken Possible short-term dip: ~$35 to fill an unclosed gap The technicals suggest a bullish setup for traders looking at momentum and accumulation zones. Conclusion DigitalOcean is currently a long-term holding in my portfolio. The combination of solid fundamentals and bullish technical setup makes it a stock to watch. If growth continues at the current pace, triple-digit prices are realistic. Traders can use this setup to watch key levels: $52 for breakout confirmation and $30–40 as a base accumulation zone.
NYSE:DOCNLong
by sdk-trading
Teva: The flag’s ready — someone just needs to hit “launch”Teva Pharmaceutical (TEVA) is setting up for a potential continuation move after a clean impulse. On the daily chart, we have a textbook bull pennant — and not just any sloppy one. Price has broken above the 200-day moving average, and all key EMAs (50/100/200) now sit below price, confirming a solid bullish structure. Volume behavior fits the script: declining inside the pennant, signaling pressure is building. More importantly, the Volume Profile reveals a low-volume void above current levels — meaning there’s little resistance until we hit the $22+ zone. In other words, once this breaks, it could run fast. RSI is comfortably in bullish territory without being overheated, and the flagpole projection gives us clean upside targets: – Entry: breakout above pennant resistance – Target: $22.80 — full flagpole height – Support: $17.60 — confluence of 0.5 Fib + volume base TEVA isn’t asking for confirmation anymore — it’s showing it. All systems are technically armed. Now we just wait for the market to press the button.
NYSE:TEVALong
by TotoshkaTrades
Eli Lilly ($LLY) – Brief AnalysisNYSE:LLY The stock remains in a downward channel (resistance ~772–780 $, support ~720–709 $, key risk level — 680 $). Current price (~752 $) is around the middle of the channel (Fib 0.5). There’s pressure from the upper boundary. Entry points: 750–755 $ (aggressive, with retracement risk) Above 780 $ (confirmed breakout, targets 800–858 $) Around 720 $ (defensive entry on rebound) Targets: 800 → 858 → 900 $ Stop-loss: below 680 $. With positive GLP-1 news (Zepbound, Mounjaro, new projects), an upside breakout looks the most likely scenario.
NYSE:LLY
by ALVO13_official
NZDUSD November 2025 fundamental analysisNew Zealand Dollar (NZD): Aggressive Easing Undermines Currency Reserve Bank of New Zealand Actions The Reserve Bank of New Zealand shocked markets on October 7 with an aggressive 50 basis point rate cut to 2.50%, the lowest level since July 2022. This represented a departure from the 25-50 basis point split that markets had priced, with the RBNZ citing the need to "restore confidence in an economic recovery that has lost momentum". Since August 2024, the central bank has slashed rates by a total of 300 basis points.​ Markets now fully price in another 25 basis point cut at the November 26 meeting, with expectations for rates to decline to 2.0% by 2026. BNZ's Markets Outlook suggests the terminal OCR for this cycle may be 2.50%, though downside risks remain if the economy continues to disappoint.​ Economic Weakness New Zealand's economy contracted 0.9% in the second quarter, though the RBNZ's nowcast suggests a 0.7% rebound in Q3. However, this reported contraction may overstate economic weakness when considering the positive impact of terms of trade, as evidenced by real gross national disposable income showing 0.9% quarterly expansion and 2.2% annual growth. Nonetheless, the recovery remains subdued, and the trade-weighted index has declined to its lowest level since the April market volatility, sitting below the RBNZ's August projections.​ November Outlook: Very Bearish The New Zealand Dollar faces the most challenging outlook among major currencies. NZD/USD fell to $0.575 following the October RBNZ cut, hitting its lowest level since April. The currency recovered modestly to around 0.5780 by late October, but analysts warn of downside risks with key support at 0.5750 and potentially 0.56 below that. Against the Australian Dollar, NZD/AUD dropped to a three-year low of 0.8758, with further weakness expected given the diverging monetary policy paths. The aggressive RBNZ easing, weak economic fundamentals, and deteriorating terms of trade create a perfect storm for kiwi weakness in November. United States Dollar (USD): Cautious Strength Amid Economic Resilience Monetary Policy: Fed's Hawkish Pause in Easing Cycle The Federal Reserve delivered its second consecutive 25 basis point rate cut in October 2025, bringing the federal funds rate to a range of 3.75-4.00%, the lowest since 2022. However, the tone accompanying this decision was notably cautious. Fed Chair Jerome Powell emphasized that a December rate cut is "not a foregone conclusion," effectively pushing back against market expectations that had priced in an 87.7% probability of another 25bps reduction in October and 62% odds for December.​ This hawkish messaging reflects the Fed's assessment of persistently elevated inflation, which has risen for five consecutive months and currently stands at 3.0% for both headline and core measures as of September. The central bank cited "increasing downside risks to employment" but noted that Powell explicitly stated he does not anticipate further deterioration in the labor market. The decision saw two dissenting votes—one favoring a 50bps cut and another preferring to hold rates steady—highlighting the divided nature of current Fed thinking.​ Economic Fundamentals: Resilience Defying Expectations The US economy has demonstrated remarkable resilience in the face of historically high tariffs (effective rate of 16-17%, highest since 1934) and a prolonged government shutdown exceeding five weeks. After contracting -0.6% in Q1 2025, GDP rebounded sharply to 3.8% in Q2, with Q3 tracking similarly strong at 3-4% according to the Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model. This growth is partly attributed to AI-related spending, which accounts for more than half of US growth this year.​ However, the government shutdown—affecting 1.4 million federal employees with roughly half furloughed and half working without pay—poses growing risks. A rule of thumb suggests every week of shutdown shaves 0.1% off GDP. The lack of timely economic data due to the shutdown complicates the Fed's decision-making process, potentially supporting a cautious approach in November and December.​ November Outlook: Dollar Strength with Caveats For November 2025, the USD maintains a positive outlook supported by several factors. The relative economic resilience compared to other major economies, higher interest rate differentials (3.875% vs most G10 currencies), and ongoing safe-haven demand underpin dollar strength. However, this strength is tempered by the prolonged government shutdown, fiscal concerns, and the gradual Fed easing trajectory.​ The dollar's performance will likely hinge on three key developments: resolution of the government shutdown, clarity on the December Fed decision, and the Supreme Court hearing on November 5 regarding the legality of tariffs imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act. Market positioning shows the Dollar Index (DXY) holding above 98, with technical resistance at 99.75 representing a key threshold for sustained strength. Verdict Given the expected RBNZ rate cut, weaker labor data in New Zealand, and a relatively stable to slightly strengthening US dollar supported by solid US economic growth and steady Fed policy, the fundamental outlook for NZD/USD in November 2025 leans bearish. This pair is more likely a SELL in November 2025, with downside risks outweighing upside potential.
Short
by Oneirotrade