SPCE Virgin Galactic Holdings Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold SPCE before the share dilution:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of SPCE Virgin Galactic Holdings prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 3.50usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2025-11-14,
for a premium of approximately $0.37.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Fundamental Analysis
XAUUSD Entry Setups (1H Confirmation for Precision)Entry Setups (1H Confirmation for Precision)
Focus on price-action at the breakout level. Use 1H for entries, 4H for bias. All structure-based—no indicators.
Setup 1: Bullish – Buy the Pullback/Retest (Preferred, High Probability)
Rationale: Aligns with bull trend; 4,186 has flipped to support post-breakout (confluence on both charts).
Entry Trigger: 1H bullish reversal (e.g., hammer/engulfing) at 4,186 (±5 points).
Entry Price: 4,190–4,200 (market or limit).
Stop Loss: 4,170 (below pivot + buffer; risk ~20 points).
Take Profits:
TP1: 4,216 (1H high) → +16 points.
TP2: 4,234 (current spot) → +34 points.
TP3: 4,300 → +110 points.
Risk:Reward: 1:1.5–1:5.5.
Confluence: Volume spike on bounce; 1H close >4,190.
Invalidation: 1H close <4,170 → switch bearish.
Setup 2: Bearish – Short the Rejection (Low Probability, If Triggered)
Rationale: Fades overextension if CPI disappoints; targets prior box low.
Entry Trigger: 1H bearish close below 4,186, retest from below (resistance flip).
Entry Price: 4,180–4,185 (on rejection).
Stop Loss: 4,205 (above retest high; risk ~20 points).
Take Profits:
TP1: 4,150 → +35 points.
TP2: 4,100 → +85 points.
TP3: 3,965 → +220 points.
Risk:Reward: 1:4+.
Confluence: Bearish volume surge; red marubozu candles.
Invalidation: Reclaim >4,205 → exit and flip long.
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Nvidia - Squeezing every single bear!🧯NVidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) is finally breaking out:
🔎Analysis summary:
Over the course of the past couple of months, Nvidia has been rallying +125%. Considering the market cap of Nvidia, this is already an insane move but clearly not the end. We can still see another +25% from here, before Nvidia will then retest the next resistance.
📝Levels to watch:
$250
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Robinhood - The third bearish crackdown!🏹Robinhood ( NASDAQ:HOOD ) will crash quite soon:
🔎Analysis summary:
Since we witnessed a major botton on Robinhood in 2023, this stock has been rallying about +1,600%. But always after a major +250% rally, Robinhood corrected at least -40%. Therefore it is quite likely that we will see another similar pattern playing out soon.
📝Levels to watch:
$150
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
US30 - Entry Setups (1H Confirmation for Precision)Entry Setups (1H Confirmation for Precision)
Focus on price-action triggers at key levels. Use 1H for entries, 4H for context. All based on structure—no indicators.
Setup 1: Bullish – Buy the Support Bounce (Preferred, High Probability)
Rationale: Aligns with overall bull trend; 47,346.8 has held multiple times on 4H.
Entry Trigger: 1H bullish reversal candle (e.g., hammer or engulfing) at 47,346.8 (±20 points).
Entry Price: 47,350–47,370 (market or limit).
Stop Loss: 47,280 (below level + buffer; risk ~70 points).
Take Profits:
TP1: 47,523.2 (current 1H close) → +173 points.
TP2: 47,624.7 (prior 4H close) → +274 points.
TP3: 48,000 → +650 points.
Risk:Reward: 1:2.5–1:9.
Confluence: Strong volume on bounce; no 1H close below level.
Invalidation: 1H close <47,346.8 → switch to bearish setup.
Setup 2: Bearish – Short the Breakdown (If Triggered)
Rationale: Confirms short-term weakness if 1H/4H breaks support.
Entry Trigger: 1H close below 47,346.8, followed by retest from below (now resistance).
Entry Price: 47,330–47,340 (on retest rejection).
Stop Loss: 47,420 (above retest high; risk ~80 points).
Take Profits:
TP1: 47,000 → +340 points.
TP2: 46,987.3 → +353 points.
TP3: 46,527.3 → +813 points.
Risk:Reward: 1:4+.
Confluence: Increasing volume on drop; bearish 1H candles (e.g., marubozu).
Invalidation: Price reclaims >47,420 with bullish close → exit and flip long.
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XAUUSD | FVG Rejection Signaling Bullish ReversalPrice has recently delivered a strong sell-side sweep into the marked FVG (Fair Value Gap) inside the discount zone of the current swing range. After tapping into this imbalance, buyers stepped in, showing a sharp reaction and a potential shift back toward bullish order flow.
🔍 Key Observations
• CHoCH & BOS sequences across multiple sessions (Tokyo / London) indicate transitions in liquidity and directional intent.
• The latest BOS to the upside after rejecting the FVG suggests that price may be ready to retrace higher.
• The prior London session high is marked as a Weak High, making it a likely target for liquidity engineering.
• Current price action shows early signs of forming a higher-low structure, aligning with a bullish continuation model.
🎯 Bullish Scenario
If price maintains support above the FVG mitigation and continues forming higher highs/higher lows, the next upside objectives are:
• Inefficiency fill
• Sweep of the Weak High
• Target zone around 4,220 as illustrated
❗️Invalidation
A clean break back below the FVG with displacement would invalidate the bullish scenario and open the door for deeper downside.
Crane - Long Strong Bounce from Demand Zone
Price touched a major demand zone around $184–186 (visible on the volume profile where the biggest pink blocks are).
Buyers defended that level multiple times — this shows institutional accumulation, not selling.
Volume Profile Support
The largest volume cluster is below the current price, meaning:
“Most market participants are already positioned below — the path of least resistance is upward.”
Sideways Accumulation = Energy Build-Up
The price has been moving sideways in a tight range (consolidation).
This usually happens before a breakout.
Consolidation at the top of a move is bullish; it's not distribution.
Trend Shift
After months of lower highs, CR broke structure and formed a higher high, then pulled back into the volume support and held.
That's a textbook trend reversal pattern.
Earnings already priced in
No heavy sell-off after earnings → market sees results as stable/neutral.
Market didn’t dump the stock — bullish signal.
USDJPY - H4 | OutlookLooking at USDJPY I've noticed that it has been forming a rising wedge of sorts which could signal potential downward/bearish momentum (fueled by potential upcoming $ weakness).
Should the market successfully manage to breakout of the wedge and start moving towards the 153.2xx - 153.0xx area where if that were to play out we'd expect a potential correction/pullback to the 154.4xx - 154.6xx area to confirm the breakout, which is also where I'd start looking for potential bearish opportunities/entries.
But for now it'll be interesting to watch how the market plays out before taking any entries on USDJPY as it's still trading within the wedge and hasn't given any potential entry confirmations.
"Truth or Dare?"The parameter known as "Total" (All total market cap), shows a clear signal right now.
Before explain the techniacl details, I'll explain why should this move work:
Fundemental Details:
- FED has cut the interest rates for second time this year and most likely do it again before the year ends in December which is the most bullish macro signal for crypto to rise.
- US and China are trying to getting alone but behind the scenes the deal about tarrfis has already made long ago. They're just acting like they actually can carry on their political therats to each other to gain more political power. Trump is doing whatever he has done before when he got the crown. When all the nonsense ends, there won't be any problem left to think about tarrifs.
- US also threathens Venesuale but I don't think that matter will last long. Nevertheless, the matter still casuing heat on globe and that causes uncertinty.
- BOJ is another matter to keep in mind at the moment. The reason is, they announced that Japan may need to raise their interest rates in the next meeting which would be devastating for both crypto and all the markets on the globe. Crypto on the other hand, is facing this effect way sooner even before it happens, even if it won't happens. As you can guess, crypto markets are fragile. Every little tension means crises. That's one of the major reasons why it's actually losing value since last month.
- Let's get back to FED. Yes, FED is cutting the rates for the second time and expected to cut again in December despite the words from Powell BUT, we already knew that. Right?
As I mention about it on top, Crypto is fragile, but also very fast. When other markets are proccesing the reasons and possible outcomes of the news, crypto usually has already given the results of the possible news. Even if it's fake, unknown or unworthy to care about.
Crypto is fast. That's why it already gave every opportuinty to invest and now, the investor are taking profit from the very bullish news you just read.
"Sell the news" effect is just faster in crypto. Therefore, crypto has already gained the value it needed to gain. When you read the news or anything about crypto, remember one thing: it's already in the price. Bearish, or bullish. Won't matter.
Now let's get back to the part you like:
Technical details:
There are two possible senarios:
I'm not going to draw all the calculations on the chart so you won't confuse.
Senario one, The one you see in the main chart:
Total or Bitcoin, won't matter right now because they both going through same way.
At the moment, we might be witnessing an A-B-C corrective pattern on Total.
If you calculate enough, you'll reach the result that a perfect 5 waved uprising move has already happend and there is a possiblity that we might be in a corrective wave. Which, would result for TOTAL to drop at least 2.4 B levels. For Bitcoin, this level means it should drop down through around 80-85K.
Senario Two (Hopefully):
If the chart you see is a bear trap and the main bullish cycle is still on, it means we are at wave 4. Which means, Bitcoin still may dive under 100K but it won't last and we see even bigger all time highs in the coming month. Yes, in the coming month.
In order to this senario work, FED must give clear signals about rate cuts in December, resessiong must end immidiatly, US and China must behave well enough to lower tension around the globe.
If all the conditions met but price is still going side ways, it means get ready to see a "skyrocket candle".
Thanks for reading.
TSLA In Trouble! WARNING!🚫 Why No One Should Be Holding TSLA Right Now
Charting:
Triple Top! Rising wedge fully formed 3-wave rising wedge structure that has hooked and broken! mini double top.
I’ve been saying this for a while — no one should be long TSLA. The stock has done nothing since 2021, yet the hype machine for the boy band keeps spinning.
Ask yourself honestly: Where does Tesla actually lead anymore?
Not in EVs
Not in autonomy
Not in robots
Not in AI
Not in tech innovation
It’s become a stock story with no story left.
And when leadership is built on hype, not execution, it always ends the same way.
Never invest in toxic leadership or cult narratives.
TSLA is a real company, sure — but in fundamental terms, it’s an $8 stock wearing a $450 costume.
If you agree and sell, and it's wrong. Guess what? You will have a bunch of cash waiting to buy it. If you disagree, you won't have a bunch of cash waiting to buy lower BC YOU NEVER SOLD! You can't "BUY THE DIP" Ubless you first SELL THE RIP! It's 2nd-grade math that the boy band who will come in here hating on my call again cannot do. They will give me colorful charts, tell me about cup and handles while riding it all the way down!
They are always buying but NEVER selling. That's the trick with paper money, you can never run out of it. hahah!
Click boost, follow, comment nicely for more authentic, no BS, raw analysis. Let's get to 6,000 followers. ))
GBP/USD Breakout Watch: Key Levels in FocusGBP/USD is trading inside a consolidation zone after a sharp recovery. A breakout above 1.31636–1.31962 may signal bullish continuation, while failure to hold support increases downside risk.
Price dropped out of the recent consolidation box and is now trading below 1.31636 support. This breakdown shows short-term bearish pressure. If the pair stays below this zone, it may retest lower levels toward the recent lows. Bulls need a quick recovery back above 1.31636 to regain control.
Gold Faces a New Challenge — 4300 or 4010?Currently, there are signs of a head and shoulders pattern on the 30-minute chart. We need to pay attention to the shoulder resistance and trend support. If the head and shoulders pattern forms, the downside may reach the 4150-4140 area.
If next week's data and news do not support the bulls, we should be wary of a larger head and shoulders pattern. As previously mentioned, there is still a gap below 4010. If this occurs, it's possible that the market will use this opportunity to fill the gap.
Gold: Watch Support Near 4168 and Resistance at 4252With strong rate-cut expectations combined with heightened geopolitical tensions, gold’s safe-haven appeal has been significantly reinforced, pushing prices back above the 4200 level. From a medium-to-long-term perspective, gold still has considerable upside potential, with some voices in the market even calling for a move toward 5000.
In the short term, the U.S. government is about to resume operations, and the delayed economic data will soon be released. The market widely expects these reports to confirm a slowdown in the U.S. economy. Meanwhile, the White House has cautioned that October’s employment and inflation data may not be published on time due to the disruption caused by the shutdown. This uncertainty has further intensified concerns about the economic outlook, providing continuous support for gold’s upward momentum.
However, it’s worth noting that the policies and data released after the government’s reopening remain uncertain. The market has already priced in a considerable portion of bullish expectations. If the actual results align with these expectations, the short-term upside could be limited; if they diverge, a corrective pullback would be likely. Therefore, proper risk management is essential to navigate potential volatility.
Technical Outlook:
On the daily chart, moving averages show a strong bullish alignment. The current uptrend is supported by the MA5 (around 4127), while the key support lies near the MA30 (around 4074). The MACD has formed a bullish crossover, and the price is moving between the Bollinger Bands’ middle line (4075) and upper band (4298).
This means that during the price consolidation around 4200, key supports to watch are 4150–4127 and the middle band near 4075. (Indicator levels may shift as volatility increases, so real-time monitoring is recommended.)
On the 1-hour chart, the main supports are 4168/4152/4138. As long as these levels hold, gold still has room to test 4223–4250 in the short term. With supportive news catalysts, a move toward 4300 cannot be ruled out.
Overall, next week’s market will likely see heightened volatility. Opportunity and risk coexist — those who manage position size and timing well could see their profits multiply, while those lacking discipline and risk awareness could face severe drawdowns or even liquidation.
BTC - Ultimate Swing Short Update - Ready to Continue FreefallAs an update to my linked related signal post on “Ultimate Swing Short” - We are ready to freefall
Last major support has broken down.
Look for this 3 wave corrective drop:
100,000 to 35,000
35,000 retrace up to 72,000
72,000 to 8,000
Alternatively, it’s entirely possible we just freefall straight to 8,000 as all the long stop loss orders trigger one into the next.
Happy trading.
- DD
Diversified Futures Paper Trading Setup: 5 Instruments, BalancedDetails / Description:
Today, I set up a paper trading portfolio on TradingView using 5 instruments from different sectors/industries to practice diversification, risk management, and leverage.
Strategy Highlights:
Selected 1 instrument from each industry to reduce sector-specific risk.
CME:MBT1! – Industrial / Metals
CME_MINI:ES1! – S&P 500 Index
CME_MINI:MNQ1! – Nasdaq 100 Index
COMEX_MINI:MGC1! – Gold Mini Contract
NYMEX:MCL1! – Crude Oil Mini Contract
Used market orders for immediate entries.
Set Take Profit and Stop Loss for each position with a rough 1:3 risk-reward ratio.
Let positions run for the medium term (days to weeks) without constant monitoring.
Margin and available funds carefully managed to ensure all positions can stay open safely.
Purpose / Learning Goal:
Practice portfolio diversification across different industries.
Learn position sizing, risk-reward, and leverage management.
Observe how unrealized and realized P/L evolve over time.
Understand how stop losses and take profits help automate risk management.
Next Steps:
Monitor daily or via alerts, but avoid constant screen watching.
Adjust future trades based on performance and market conditions.






















