Gold GC - Is the bullish Bias Back?Gold just completed a major pullback. Is Gold going to recover? Will the bullish Bias continue? Price is trending above the EMAs. This signals strong momentum for now. The Gold rush is on?
Fundamental Analysis
MSFT - High-Probability Swing Long (Strong Momentum Signal)🎯 Ticker: MSFT (NASDAQ)
📈 Type: Swing Long
⏰ Timeframe: Daily (D1)
📊 Technical & Momentum Analysis:
Daily Trend: BULLISH ✅
Momentum Signal: STRONG CONNORS RSI2 BUY (4 consecutive daily signals)
Key Support: $494-500 zone (Previous resistance turned support)
Market Position: Trading near all-time highs with strong institutional support
💡 Trading Thesis:
MSFT presents an exceptional momentum setup driven by:
EXTREMELY RARE MOMENTUM SIGNAL:
4 consecutive Connors RSI2 Buy signals indicate sustained bullish momentum
This pattern typically precedes significant upward moves in large-cap leaders
TECHNICAL BREAKOUT CONFIRMATION:
Successful test of previous resistance as new support
Trading above all key moving averages (SMA 20, 50, 200)
FUNDAMENTAL TAILWINDS:
Cloud (Azure) growth acceleration
AI leadership across product stack
Consistent revenue diversification
⚡ Trading Plan:
🎯 Entry: $\textcolor{green}{\textsf{506.00}}$ (Current level with momentum confirmation)
🛑 Stop Loss: $\textcolor{red}{\textsf{489.99}}$ (Below key support cluster)
💰 Profit Target: $\textcolor{green}{\textsf{537.98}}$ (Measured move to next resistance)
📊 Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2.1 (Excellent for large-cap swing trade)
📉 Risk Management Notes:
Stop loss placed below critical support at $494-500 zone
Position size appropriately for large-cap volatility
Consider partial profit taking at $525-528 area
Monitor for any breakdown below $495 for early exit
Conclusion: MSFT offers a high-probability long setup with exceptional momentum confirmation through consecutive Connors RSI2 buy signals. The technical structure supports further upside toward all-time highs.
Trade safe and manage your risk!
Disclaimer: This is not investment advice. Conduct your own research and manage risk appropriately.
#MSFT #SwingTrading #Long #Tech #ConnorsRSI2 #MomentumTrading #LargeCap
Long Setup (Fundamental + Technical + Momentum Convergence)TradingView Idea: GFI (Gold Fields Limited) - Swing Long Setup (Fundamental + Technical + Momentum Convergence)
🎯 Ticker: GFI (NYSE)
📈 Type: Swing Long / Position Trade
⏰ Timeframe: Daily (D1)
📊 Multi-Timeframe Analysis:
Daily Trend: BULLISH ✅
Daily Technical Recommendation: Neutral, consolidating before a potential breakout.
Momentum Signal: Connors RSI2 Buy Signal (Triggered on 04-Nov, indicating short-term bullish momentum).
💡 Integrated Investment Thesis:
GFI presents a rare and powerful convergence of positive factors:
SOLID FUNDAMENTALS (Score: 7/9):
Strong Growth: Solid increases in both Revenue (+15%) and Net Income (+77%).
Fair Valuation: P/E ratio of ~20, considered fair for its sector and growth profile.
PERFECT Debt Health (10/10): Manageable debt with an excellent Debt-to-EBITDA ratio.
TECHNICAL MOMENTUM (Connors Signal):
The Connors RSI2 Buy Signal detected this week provides precise entry timing, indicating the asset is rebounding from a short-term oversold condition within a larger bullish trend.
BULLISH SENTIMENT (Gold):
As a gold producer, it benefits from the current macroeconomic environment (rate cut expectations, safe-haven demand), adding a tailwind to the trade.
⚡ Trading Plan:
🎯 Entry: $42.10(Confirmation zone following the buy signal)
🛑 Stop Loss: $36.81(Below key support and the 50-day moving average)
💰 Profit Target: $53.71(Based on Fibonacci extension and structural resistance)
📊 Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2.4 (Highly favorable for a swing trade)
✅ Trade Summary:
Metric Detail
Direction Long
Entry $42.10
Stop Loss $36.81
Take Profit $53.71
R/R Ratio 1:2.4
Catalyst Connors RSI2 Signal + Strong Fundamentals
Conclusion: This trade combines the best of three analytical frameworks: a solid fundamental base, a bullish technical trend, and precise entry timing from a proven momentum signal. A high-probability setup for a swing trade.
Good luck, and trade safe!
Disclaimer: This is not investment advice. Please conduct your own research and manage risk according to your personal tolerance.
#GFI #SwingTrading #Long #Gold #RSI2 #Connors #FundamentalAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis
EURUSD : Status @ 10/11/2025Direction: SELL
Signal triggered: 10/11/2025
Stop when:
a) Stop Loss @ 1.1591; or if
b) Buy signal triggered
Good luck.
US100 (NASDAQ 100) – Short TradeSetup Type: Short Position
Entry: Around 25,650 (Resistance zone)
Stop Loss: 25,787
Target: 24,850
Analysis:
Price is retesting a key resistance zone after a strong impulsive move upward. A rejection from this level could indicate the start of a short-term correction. If bearish confirmation appears (e.g., lower high formation or bearish engulfing candle), short positions could be valid toward 24,850 support.
Bias: Bearish below 25,787
Invalidation: Break and close above 25,787
Hashtags:
#US100 #NASDAQ100 #PriceAction #TradingSetup #BearishSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #SmartMoney #ShortTrade #Indices
WMT - Weekly - OvervaluedBased on the analysis, the company demonstrates consistent financial health since 2022, suggesting stability despite a volatile market, and has shown year-over-year growth in both revenue and net income since 2020. However, there are technical concerns, including price manipulation detected since February 10, 2025, and the stock has been trading in a state of low volatility since March 17, 2025. Furthermore, the stock is currently trading above its fair value channel, which is estimated to be in the $84 - $90 range. This overvaluation, combined with the fact that monthly candles since January 2024 have been closing as neutral (indicating market indecision), suggests a correction is likely pending.
Not financial advice, always do your due diligence
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- RoninAITrader
Bullish Analysis – XAU/USD 15M)- (SMC)📍 New Target: 4,180
🧩 Market Context..
Gold shows a clear accumulation phase after a long consolidation.
Following the ChoCh (Change of Character) and BOS (Break of Structure), the market confirms bullish intent, with institutional orders defending the support/OB zone around 4,113.
The fake out sweeps downside liquidity before rejection and a new bullish expansion toward Buy-Side Liquidity.
💥 Trade Plan
• Entry: 4,113
• Stop-Loss: 4,096
• First TP: 4,139
• Second TP: 4,155
• Final Target: 4,180
• Risk/Reward: 1 : 2.5
The projection shows OB mitigation, followed by distribution, and a final expansion phase toward the resistance zone at 4,180, which represents the institutional liquidity target.
📊 Technical Confirmations
• ChoCh and BOS confirm bullish structure shift.
• OB rejection and SMA 25 acting as dynamic support strengthen the setup.
• TP zones align with liquidity pools and potential distribution levels, where a correction could begin.
🧭 Conclusion
This setup perfectly follows the institutional cycle:
Accumulation → Mitigation → Distribution → Expansion.
The 4,180 target marks a key liquidity sweep and likely completion of the bullish leg.
A precise, high-probability setup with institutional confluence. 🚀
GOOD LUCK TRADERS 🦾😎☝🏻
GBPJPY 15M: Bullish Setup The FVG Discount is Locked and LoadedThe Setup: FVG Mitigation and The Discount Zone
Price has returned and is currently sitting within the FVG box (roughly 202.900 - 203.050), signaling the completion of the necessary liquidity gathering (Manipulation/Candle 2). This area provides a premium entry with clearly defined risk. The overall momentum suggests we are looking to join the Distribution phase (Candle 3).
The Trading Thesis: Model #1 Confirmation is Key
Our strategy is to execute the trade at the start of the final expansionary move. We must now watch for the precise confirmation: a Bullish Model #1 setup or a strong candle rejection inside the FVG.
Risk Zone: The most critical level is the CRTL - TS (Control Low / Trend Start) line at 202.814. This level defines the absolute structural low for this current phase. Your Stop Loss (SL) must be placed safely below this point.
Primary Target: The liquidity objectives are stacked above! We are initially aiming for the CRTH (Control High) at 203.239, followed by the major price targets at 203.501 and the final objective at 203.572.
Patience is your edge! Wait for the rejection, confirm your Model #1 entry, and ride the expansion! 📈💰
GBPUSD 4H: The FVG Sell Trap is Active!The Setup: Selling the Premium
Our primary strategy is to sell into this area of premium pricing. The market has tapped the range, and the large black candle immediately to the left suggests a strong institutional presence. This current zone is acting as the CRTH (Control High) and is likely the market's final Manipulation (Candle 2) phase before reversing. Price is currently sitting just below the CRTL - TS line (around 1.31732), which here serves as the initial line of defense for the downside move.
The Trading Thesis: Bearish Model #1
We are waiting for a clear Bearish Model #1 confirmation. This means looking for a final stab above the Range High, followed by a sharp rejection and a candle close below a strong up-close candle in that area.
Entry Zone: The upper FVG and Range High (around 1.31850 - 1.31910). Stop Loss (SL): Must be placed strictly above the Range High at 1.31910, protecting against a structural break and continuation. Primary Target: The low-liquidity target is the large, unmitigated FVG at the bottom of the chart (around 1.31350 - 1.31500). Price has a strong tendency to seek out and mitigate these gaps.
Alternate Scenario: Bullish Continuation
CRT always requires a Plan B! If price consolidates above the Range High (1.31910) and the upper FVG, the market is signaling intent for higher prices. In this scenario, we abandon the short trade and look for a new bullish setup on a retest of the area, targeting the next major swing high above.
Trade with discipline! Wait for the confirmation, define your risk, and trade what you see, not what you think!
Greetings,
MrYounity
EURUSD 4H: Model #1 Reversal—The FVG Discount is Active!This is a textbook, high-probability long setup on the 4-hour chart, signaling that the smart money is ready to drive price higher. Following the initial sharp impulse move up, price is now undergoing the necessary retracement—the Manipulation phase (Candle 2)—to gather liquidity before the major expansion. We are positioning to enter at a crucial discount zone identified by the CRT framework: the Fair Value Gap (FVG).
The Setup: Perfect Retracement into the FVG
The chart shows price has now tapped directly into the area below the CRTL - TS line (around 1.15551) and is currently touching the Fair Value Gap (FVG). This FVG is the market inefficiency that institutions must fill (mitigate) before launching the next leg up. Price's move into this zone is a classic setup designed to shake out weak hands and provide a premium entry for those trading with the smart money flow.
The Trading Thesis: Wait for Confirmation
Our strategy is to execute the trade at the start of the Distribution phase (Candle 3). While price is in the FVG, we must wait for a clear lower-timeframe confirmation of a reversal—look for a Bullish Model #1 setup or a strong candle close back above the immediate internal structure.
Entry Zone: The FVG box itself (around 1.15400 - 1.15551). Wait for confirmation within this area. Stop Loss (SL): Must be placed safely below the Turtle Soup low of the entire move, which is below the CRTL - TS line, protecting against structural failure. Primary Target: The liquidity objective is the CRTH (Control High / Target) at 1.15911. This level marks the next major high where the market will complete the current distribution cycle.
Patience is your edge! Wait for the rejection, confirm your Model #1 entry, and ride the expansion!
Greetings,
MrYounity
Bitcoin Formed an Adam & Eve Double Bottom — Bullish Reversal BTC price formed an Adam and Eve Pattern which is a bullish reversal pattern, suggesting the end of a downtrend and the potential beginning of a medium-term uptrend.
📈 Bullish Scenario
If BTC holds above 105,000–105,500 USD, this pattern confirms a breakout, and we can project the measured move:
Height of pattern (bottom to neckline): 105,500 − 99,500 = ~6,000 USD
Target projection: 105,500 + 6,000 = 111,500 USD
So, our bullish targets:
Target 1: 108,000 USD
Target 2: 110,000–111,500 USD
⚠️ Bearish/Invalidation Scenario
If BTC fails to hold above the neckline (drops below 104,500 USD), it signals a fake out, and sellers could push price back toward:
Support 1: 102,000–101,000 USD
Support 2: 99,500 USD (Eve’s bottom)
📊 Momentum & Candle Structure
The recent candles after breakout show slight hesitation, suggesting a possible retest before the next leg up.
A clean retest of the neckline with bullish rejection (wick bounce and strong green candle) will confirm buyers’ strength.
🎯 Final Bias Summary
✅ Primary Bias: Bullish continuation toward 110K–111K
📉 Invalidation: Below 104,500 USD
🕒 Short-term expectation: Sideways or mild pullback to retest neckline before breakout continuation
NVDA (NVIDIA) – Buy PlanNVDA (NVIDIA) – Buy Plan
📊 Market Sentiment
On October 29, the FED lowered rates by 25bps as expected. However, Powell’s remarks introduced uncertainty around further cuts in December, emphasizing that future policy will depend on incoming data.
One FED member dissented, preferring no cut this cycle — a notable shift from September’s unanimous decision.
Additionally, ADP Non-Farm Employment Change came at 42K versus 32K expected. It’s slightly higher, but since other macro data are missing due to the U.S. government shutdown, the overall sentiment remains mixed.
For now, macro sentiment leans bearish, as rate cuts may be delayed into 2026.
However, with NVDA earnings approaching, we could see a short-term bullish sentiment building around the stock.
📈 Technical Analysis
NVDA is currently trading around the 0.5 equilibrium zone, which aligns with the HTF bullish trendline.
This area could provide temporary support and a potential bounce setup.
However, it’s crucial to watch the SPY structure as it may influence NVDA’s short-term movement.
📌 Game Plan / Expectations
I’ll be watching the $185–$180 range as a key HTF support zone.
This area also aligns with a possible trendline deviation, where price could manipulate below the trendline to trap sellers before reclaiming it.
I plan to buy call options within this range, targeting a continuation of the bullish leg post-earnings.
💬 If this breakdown aligns with your outlook, like and comment below.
For deeper sentiment and strategy insights, subscribe to my Substack — free access available.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before trading or investing.
SPY (S&P 500 ETF) – Game PlanSPY (S&P 500 ETF) – Game Plan
📊 Market Sentiment
On October 29, the FED lowered rates by 25bps as expected. However, Powell’s remarks introduced uncertainty around further cuts in December, emphasizing that future policy will depend on incoming data.
One FED member dissented, preferring no cut this cycle — a notable shift from September’s unanimous decision.
Additionally, ADP Non-Farm Employment Change came at 42K versus 32K expected. It’s slightly higher, but since other macro data are missing due to the U.S. government shutdown, the overall sentiment remains unclear.
For now, sentiment leans bearish, as rate cuts may be delayed into 2026.
📈 Technical Analysis
SPY recently touched the 670 level an important support zone representing the equilibrium of the current daily range and an area with significant liquidity.
However, with bearish macro sentiment, I don’t expect this level to hold for long. The structure suggests that price wants to seek lower liquidity zones.
📌 Game Plan / Expectations
My primary scenario is a short move targeting 663, which aligns with the 0.75 max discount zone. From there, a potential rally toward all-time highs could begin.
Scenario 2: If the 663 level fails to hold, I will look for another bounce opportunity near 657.
Overall, I don’t see this as a start of a bear market — rather a healthy correction within the broader bullish structure. I’ll be positioning for buys once the downside liquidity objectives are met.
💬 For deeper sentiment and strategy insights, subscribe to my Substack — free access available.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before trading or investing.
Weekly SPY (US500) Outlook - Prediction (09 NOV)Weekly SPY Outlook - Prediction (09 NOV)
📊 Market Sentiment
Market sentiment remains slightly bearish as expectations for a December rate cut may be pushed into 2026. We have seen some sell-offs, likely due to hedging or profit-taking activity. However, the market experienced a healthy bounce last Friday, as anticipated in my previous Daily SPY Outlook on November 7.
Today, Trump announced that American citizens, excluding high-income individuals, will receive a $2,000 payment. This news could inject additional liquidity into risk assets, similar to what occurred during his first term. In my opinion, this development may create a short-term bullish narrative for the markets.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price retraced throughout the week and reached the 663 level, where it bounced as expected from my November 7 outlook. The 663 zone represents the most discounted range (based on my quarterly range theory, 0.75 fib level), which I consider an optimal buy area. This level also coincides with daily swing liquidity, and the reaction suggests a potential move toward new all-time highs.
📌 Game Plan
I’m considering two possible scenarios for this week:
Scenario 1 (Black Line):
In my opinion, the price now has enough momentum to extend higher and create new all-time highs. Therefore, I’ll be watching for a daily close above the 671 level. If confirmed, I plan to buy SPY calls targeting new highs.
Scenario 2 (Red Line):
If the price fails to close above 671, it may indicate that more accumulation is needed before another upward move. In that case, I’ll look to short (buy puts) toward the 657 level and observe whether we can bounce from there. Should that happen, I’ll then switch to calls and target higher levels.
💬For detailed insights and broader market context, please check my Substack link in profile.
⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
Weekly QQQ (US100) Outlook - Prediction (09 NOV)Weekly QQQ Outlook - Prediction (09 NOV)
📊 Market Sentiment
Market sentiment remains slightly bearish as expectations for a December rate cut may be postponed into 2026. We have seen some sell-offs, likely due to hedging or profit-taking activity. However, the market experienced a healthy bounce last Friday, as anticipated in my previous Daily SPY Outlook on November 7.
Today, Trump announced that American citizens, excluding high-income individuals, will receive a $2,000 payment. This news could inject additional liquidity into risk assets, similar to what occurred during his first term. In my opinion, this development may create a short-term bullish narrative for the markets.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price retraced throughout the week and reached the 600 level. The 601 zone represents the most discounted range (based on my quarterly range theory, 0.75 fib level), which I consider an optimal buy area. This level also aligns with daily swing liquidity, and the recent reaction suggests a potential move toward new all-time highs.
📌 Game Plan
I’m considering two possible scenarios for this week:
Scenario 1 (Black Line):
In my opinion, the price now has enough momentum to extend higher and create new all-time highs. Therefore, I’ll be watching for a daily close above the 613 level. If confirmed, I plan to buy QQQ calls targeting new highs.
Scenario 2 (Red Line):
If the price fails to close above 613, it may indicate that more accumulation is needed before another upward move. In that case, I’ll look to short (buy puts) toward the 596 level and observe whether we can bounce from there. Should that happen, I’ll then switch to calls and target higher prices.
💬For detailed insights and broader market context, please check my Substack link in profile.
⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
Daily SPY (US500) Outlook - Prediction (10 NOV)📊 Market Sentiment
Market sentiment remains slightly bearish as expectations for a December rate cut may be postponed into 2026. We have seen some sell-offs, likely due to hedging or profit-taking activity. However, the market experienced a healthy bounce last Friday, as anticipated in my previous Daily SPY Outlook on November 7.
Trump announced that American citizens, excluding high-income individuals, will receive a $2,000 payment. This news could inject additional liquidity into risk assets, similar to what occurred during his first term. In my opinion, this may create a short-term bullish narrative for the markets.
📈 Technical Analysis
The ES market is showing strong pre-market inflows. I think the price may continue seeking higher levels, possibly targeting the 681 zone today.
📌 Game Plan
In my opinion, calls may perform well today. I plan to buy at the market open and take profits around the 681 level.
💬For detailed insights and broader market context, please check my Substack link in profile.
⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
USD/CAD Reversal from Channel Resistance ContinuesUSD/CAD rates are continuing their reversal lower within their multi-month uptrend following last week’s Canadian jobs figures. Stronger than expected jobs growth in Canada has helped tamp down Bank of Canada (BoC) rate cut odds through the end of the year, while the prospect of Trump’s tariffs being struck down by the Supreme Court have likewise emboldened the Loonie. In the options market, Canadian Dollar futures are currently in the 48th percentile for volatility over the past year, highest among major USD-pairs.
In the above chart, USD/CAD rates have backed away from rising channel resistance, marked by the February 2025 swing low near 1.4151. The reversal in recent sessions is pushing the pair back into the area between the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) and 50-day EMA, which proved itself as support at the end of October. A drop below the 100-day EMA would produce a break of the rising channel in motion since mid-June. At first blush, dip buyers may be in play closer to 1.3900 on a continued pullback.
EUR/USD at the Edge: Bounce Before Breakdown?🧩 Macro & COT Context
(Note: data frozen as of September 23 due to CFTC shutdown)
The latest available COT report showed non-commercial traders still net long on EUR (≈ +114K contracts), but with a steady increase in both commercial longs (+4.9K) and commercial shorts (+3.3K) — signaling a more balanced positioning. Meanwhile, the USD Index showed a slight pickup in long exposure (+1.5K), hinting at a gradual shift toward USD strength until updated data resumes.
💭 Sentiment
Retail traders are 67% short vs 33% long, a typical contrarian setup where the crowd is selling the pullback. This supports a short-term bullish bounce, but only until the next supply zone is reached.
📈 Seasonality
Historically, November has been a neutral-to-bearish month for EUR/USD (-0.0021 on 20Y average; -0.0063 on 10Y). The pair tends to weaken during the second half of the month, before recovering into December.
📊 Technical Structure (Daily Chart)
Price remains inside a descending channel since late September, recently retesting the upper boundary and supply area at 1.1570–1.1710, where a clean rejection formed.
RSI holds below the midline (~45), confirming weak momentum.
The overall structure stays bearish, with room for continuation toward the 1.1380–1.1400 demand zone, aligning with both channel projection and liquidity targets.
Main Bias: Short continuation
Sell Zone: 1.1570–1.1620 (upper channel + supply)
Target 1: 1.1400
Target 2: 1.1350 (weekly liquidity pool)
Invalidation: Daily close above 1.1715
Summary
📊 COT (last update): EUR still net long → neutral bias until new data
📉 Seasonality: Historically weak November
📈 Sentiment: Retail short → short-term bullish bounce possible
🧭 Technical Bias: Bearish below 1.1715
ES1 technical trade ideas for this week11/10/25-ES1 technical trade ideas for this week11/10/25
well be looking forward to a short pull back in the 6900-6920 range has a high selling pressure in those lv
Natural Gas Building Momentum for a New Impulsive RallyNatural Gas Building Momentum for a New Impulsive Rally
On the 4-hour timeframe, Natural Gas is forming large continuation patterns, signaling potential for another upward move.
An accumulation phase was observed in early September 2025, followed by another at the beginning of October. As we enter a new month, the price may be preparing to launch a fresh impulsive leg to the upside, as illustrated in the chart, before entering another corrective phase.
Key target levels:
4.28
4.48
4.60
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Devon +50%Possible 50% here in an undervalued energy stock. This is a good play in the short term - holding for a maximum of a three year period.
Catalysts for this move:
- A rising Dollar
- Steady interest rates
- Elevated Oil prices
Amd - Here comes the massive reversal!🩻Amd ( NASDAQ:AMD ) is starting to reverse:
🔎Analysis summary:
Starting back in mid 2025, Amd retested a major confluence of support and rallied about +200%. All of this was expected and the rally ended with a retest of a significant trendline. Eventually, after some back and forth, Amd will then create a short term retracement.
📝Levels to watch:
$250
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Gold - The bullrun is over today!💰Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) creates a massive top:
🔎Analysis summary:
Starting all the way back in 2015, Gold created a major rounding bottom pattern. After the breakout, Gold started its major bullrun, rallying about +300% over the past couple of years. But after this rally, Gold is now showing clear signs of a serious top formation.
📝Levels to watch:
$4,000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
