Fundamental Analysis
XAUUSD – PRIORITIZE BUYING ON TUESDAY💛 XAUUSD – PRIORITIZE BUYING ON TUESDAY 🎯
🌤 Overview
Hello everyone 💬
Gold continues its upward momentum in the first two days of the week, supported by cash distribution policies for low-income individuals and the reopening actions by the U.S. government under President Trump.
These factors are putting downward pressure on the USD, helping gold maintain its short-term upward trend.
💹 Technical Analysis
🟣 Currently, the price is touching the VAH zone according to the Volume Profile and showing a slight reaction – however, the support trendline around 4110–4113 remains an ideal buying zone to continue following the trend.
🔹 The 4200–4203 zone (Fibonacci Extension 2.618) coincides with strong resistance on H4, likely to see a short adjustment reaction before continuing to expand to the 43xx zone.
🎯 Trading Plan Reference
💖 BUY Scenario (priority following the trend)
Entry: 4110–4113 | SL: 4106
TP: 4132 – 4150 – 4175 – 4200 – 4250
💢 SELL Scenario (short-term reaction)
Entry: 4200–4203 | SL: 4207
TP: 4188 – 4165 – 4148
⚠️ Important Notes
Prioritize buying according to the main upward trend, especially when the price reacts at the H4 trendline.
Sell orders are only for short-term reactions, need to take profit early when reaching the first TP.
USD volatility remains a key factor to closely monitor this week.
🌷 Conclusion
The upward trend of gold is still maintained 💛
Be patient to wait for the price to react at the 4110–4113 zone to buy according to the trend, and take advantage of pullbacks at resistance to manage orders effectively.
If you find it useful, don't forget to 💛 like – 💬 comment – 🔔 follow LanaM2 to update your daily gold insights ✨
S&P 500 Extreme Breadth Reading! Caution!Why It Matters
Strong breadth = healthy rally, broad participation → more sustainable trend.
Weak breadth = top-heavy rally, fragile momentum → prone to correction.
Think of it like an airplane:
If all four engines (hundreds of stocks) are pushing, you can climb easily.
If one engine (a few mega-caps) is doing all the work, you can stay aloft — but not for long!
CAUTION! is in order!
Click boost, follow, comment nicely for more authentic, no BS, raw analysis. Let's get to 6,000 followers. ))
Bitcoin Short Setup From Premium Zone
The market is showing a clear 1H break of structure, with price approaching a strong resistance area. After a bullish impulse, BTC is expected to pull back from resistance for a short-term correction.
Key Levels:
Sell Entry: Around 106,000
Stop Loss: 106,700
Take Profit: 104,100
Reasoning:
Technically:
Price has completed a clear bullish leg and tapped into the 1H resistance area. The structure suggests exhaustion with the potential for rejection. A lower high formation suggests bearish correction toward the 1H support zone.
Fundamentally:
Market sentiment remains cautious as BTC faces resistance amid uncertainty in broader crypto risk appetite and mild dollar strength. Short-term selling pressure may dominate before any new bullish continuation.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Always manage risk before trading.
GBPJPY sellsExpecting sells to the gap fill range and to HTF demand zones before look for buys as for the overall HTF trend because of the interest rate differential between UK & JPY being significant therefor investors seeking GBP more since higher yields.
We have UK unemployment rate data coming in shortly, and expecting an increase of 4.9% from 4.8%.
- If unemployment rate comes in 4.9% or even higher 5%, this could be our catalyst for bearish pressure considering it would mean that the BOE would more likely cut rates next meeting therefor lower UK yields so investor outflows and GJ sells temporarily.
Now the BOE did hold rates for the last few meeting however, the most recent meeting had 5-4 votes, with more members now wanting rate cuts than the previous meeting at 7-2.
The markets could then price in the rate cuts ahead of time and we could see GJ bearish pressure.
GOLDGold, Expecting further Sells side pressure long term considering.
Fed hawkish to neutral stance during Oct FOMC - want to see inflation improve before considering further rate cuts.
- means that USD yields stay elevated hence less investor outflows.
Also had optimistic trade war deals - Therefor less uncertainty in markets so investors risk on sentiment.
Also no new major catalyst to cause fear or uncertainty in the markets therefor less safe haven demand.
Also seeing HTF larger institutions profit taking from the highs.
VSAT 1W – signal restoredOn the weekly chart, ViaSat (VSAT) finally broke out of a long-term falling wedge — a textbook bullish reversal pattern. After the breakout, price pulled back perfectly into the buy zone, confirming a clean retest on the weekly.
All moving averages (MA/EMA) now sit below the price - a clear sign that buyers are in control.
Technically, the setup looks strong:
✅ wedge breakout confirmed with volume;
✅ weekly retest completed;
✅ bullish momentum building up.
First target stands at 47.11, with higher resistances at 68.63 and 97.34 if the bullish structure holds.
Fundamentally, the company is stabilizing after a tough period - cost control, steady contracts, and renewed investor interest could all support the recovery.
After all, the ticker VSAT stands for communication - and right now, the market’s message seems pretty clear: “connection restored.”
Do you get Deja vu?Some say that history is repeating itself according to the dot-com bubble and the nifty fifty crash that led to a dark period in the US market. Why are we scared that the same situation will happen again? For starters, The Mag 7 who is consisted of the seven biggest company of the S&P 500 have a combined market cap of 22 trillion, which mean around 35-37% of the whole index… In fact, the same thing happened before the dot-com crash and the nifty fifty catastrophe. They were traded 40 times their valuations, so the price-to-earning ratio wasn’t considered healthy. Plus the biggest companies in the Nifty fifty composed of around 25% of the entire S&P.
But… The dot-com crash was a lot due to many start up being invested in and not giving the merchandise they should’ve, leading to many bankruptcy. The Nifty fifty was composed of businesses that people thought were untouchable, like McDonald’s, Coca-Cola, Polaroid, Disney and more. A bunch of people invested blindly in those businesses thinking they’ll just never stop growing… but those company could not innovate anymore. So once they showed lower than expected gains months after months they couldn't do anything else than watch people leaving with the pedal to the metal which led to atrocious losses.
Now, do we have the same pattern? It is true that the Mag7 is taking a huge chunk of the S&P, as they should, but can we anticipate a sell off?
If you analyze the facts; Businesses invest billions day after day into AI companies who can boost their platform and propel them in front of the innovation race. We can’t stop being amazed by every giant step they take in AI automatization and in the progress of the LLMs. Months after months those companies innovate and give back to their investor an excellent ROI. They expand and try to see what’s gonna be the next best thing and come out on top. Tech is not the same as those nifty fifty and dot com businesses who were over traded (which is a misconception, cause the Mag7 is also “over traded” but it is just a indicator of high liquidity and investor interest not necessarily an imbalance in their whole market value.) But i still mention it cause it is a an argument many people employ.
So ask yourself: is what’s happening with AI the same as the nifty fifty or the dot-com bubble, or did AI just took the S&P, those Mag7 companies or should i just say the world to an other level?
I guess only time will tell, till then,
Your friendly day trader,
Esteban.
Gold: Bullish Trend, but Watch Selling Pressure at 4150/4186Driven by safe-haven demand, gold saw a strong one-way rally yesterday. After breaking above the 4030 resistance, price surged past 4100 and is now approaching the 4150 area. The 4150–4163 zone served as a consolidation region during the previous decline, so some selling pressure here is normal.
However, keep an eye on support at 4096–4080, with deeper support near 4050. As long as these levels hold, the overall bullish structure remains intact.
Once the selling pressure around 4150 eases, the next upside targets come in at 4185–4221, with immediate support shifting to 4166–4150.
In the near term, trading around these key levels is recommended.
One more point to note: the gap near 4090 from the previous drop has been filled, but yesterday a new gap formed at 4006–4009. This could become a psychological reference point if the U.S. government shutdown ends and the delayed economic data turns out unexpectedly bearish, or if geopolitical tensions ease and safe-haven demand declines.
XAUUSD Trading Plan- 11th Nov, 2025
Gold is trading around 4137–4138, pushing into fresh highs with steady bullish momentum. The recent candles show a strong staircase pattern, supported by rising volume and positive momentum.
✅ Expected 24-Hour Range
4085 – 4160
A breakout above 4160 opens room toward 4180 and possibly higher.
✅ Scenario 1: Continuation of Uptrend (Most Probable)
Momentum remains cleanly bullish, so buying dips is the preferred approach.
✅ Buy Setup – Pullback Entry
• Buy Zone: 4115 – 4125
• Stop: 4098
• Targets:
• TP1 → 4150
• TP2 → 4160
• TP3 → 4180
This zone has been defended strongly and aligns with recent higher-low structure.
✅ Buy Setup – Breakout Entry
• Entry Trigger: Break and sustained hold above 4160
• Stop: 4135
• Targets:
• TP1 → 4180
• TP2 → 4195
• TP3 → 4220
A clean breakout above 4160 will likely attract momentum buyers.
✅ Scenario 2: Short-Term Reversal (Lower Probability)
Only consider selling if a clear rejection candle on higher timeframes.
✅ Sell Setup – Rejection at 4160–4180
• Entry: 4160 – 4175
• Stop: 4190
• Targets:
• TP1 → 4135
• TP2 → 4120
This is a counter-trend play, quick profits only.
✅ Scenario 3: Trend Breakdown (Low Probability for Now)
This only activates if price slips below support.
✅ Sell Setup – Break Below 4085
• Entry Trigger: Hourly candle closing below 4085
• Stop: 4105
• Targets:
• TP1 → 4065
• TP2 → 4045
A break under 4085 shifts short-term structure bearish.
✅ Summary
• Trend: Strong bullish intraday
• Key levels to watch: 4120 support, 4160 resistance
• Best opportunities: Buy dips, or buy breakout above 4160
Gold may continue to 4300Like I said on my former post that a good break will push Gold higher and to 4135 in the coming, we're in the coming days now we watch if it will hold, if it hold or breaks , if it breaks we will see more bullish movement 4302 or to a new ATH, now we wait, its part of the game.
$ATOM / USDT Cosmos has finally reached its long-term NASDAQ:ATOM / USDT
Cosmos has finally reached its long-term accumulation zone the same area that triggered explosive rallies in the past. As long as the price holds above the $2.5–$3.0 support region, this zone represents a major bottom formation.
The next macro phase could lead to a powerful multi-year breakout, with potential targets between $10 – $20, and eventually $30+ as momentum builds into 2027–2028.
SHORT TERM TARGET: $4 - $8
This is where patience pays off accumulation here could turn into one of the biggest comeback stories of the next cycle. 🚀
NYSE:PUMP CRYPTOCAP:ZEC $WLFI SEED_WANDERIN_JIMZIP900:ASTER GETTEX:HYPE LSE:FIL CRYPTOCAP:ICP NASDAQ:DASH CRYPTOCAP:NEAR
SAI LIFESCIENCESSai Life Sciences Ltd. – Overview Sai Life Sciences Ltd., headquartered in Hyderabad, is a full-service Contract Research, Development, and Manufacturing Organization (CRDMO) serving global pharmaceutical and biotech innovators. With operations across India, the US, UK, and Germany, Sai offers integrated services from early discovery to commercial manufacturing. Its capabilities span: • Discovery Chemistry & Biology – early-stage drug discovery and lead optimization • Development Services – process R&D, analytical development, and regulatory support • Commercial Manufacturing – APIs and intermediates at scale, including HPAPIs
FY22–FY25 Snapshot (Consolidated Estimates) • Sales – ₹1,050 Cr → ₹1,250 Cr → ₹1,450 Cr → ₹1,650 Cr Growth driven by global outsourcing, oncology APIs, and biotech partnerships
• Net Profit – ₹90 Cr → ₹115 Cr → ₹140 Cr → ₹165 Cr Earnings supported by scale, high-margin CDMO contracts, and backward integration
• Operating Performance – Strong → Strong → Very Strong → Very Strong EBITDA margins improving with HPAPI scale-up and digital process control
• Dividend Yield (%) – Nil → Nil → Nil → Nil No payouts; reinvestment into capacity, compliance, and global expansion
• Equity Capital – Privately held No public float; backed by private equity and founder-led governance
• Total Debt – ₹420 Cr → ₹390 Cr → ₹360 Cr → ₹330 Cr Gradual deleveraging supported by export cash flows and high-value contracts
• Fixed Assets – ₹1,100 Cr → ₹1,200 Cr → ₹1,300 Cr → ₹1,400 Cr Capex focused on HPAPI block, digital labs, and European compliance
Institutional Interest & Ownership Trends Sai Life Sciences is privately held, with significant backing from private equity investors and the founding promoter group. While not listed, it has attracted strategic interest from global pharma clients and long-term investors in the CDMO space. Its governance structure emphasizes compliance, ESG alignment, and global regulatory readiness. The company is often cited in pre-IPO watchlists and strategic acquisition discussions within the life sciences ecosystem.
Business Growth Verdict Sai Life is scaling across discovery, development, and commercial manufacturing with global client stickiness Margins improving via high-value CDMO contracts, backward integration, and digital process control Debt is declining steadily with strong export cash flows and capacity utilization Capex supports long-term competitiveness in HPAPI, oncology, and EU/US regulatory compliance
Management Highlights • FY25: 25+ active programs in late-stage development; 3 commercial APIs launched • Sustainability: 100% green power at Bidar site; zero liquid discharge (ZLD) compliance • Digital: AI-enabled process optimization and predictive analytics in development labs • FY26 Outlook: 12–15% revenue growth, margin retention, and expanded US/EU client base
Final Investment Verdict Sai Life Sciences Ltd. offers a high-growth CRDMO story built on innovation, regulatory strength, and global partnerships. While not publicly listed, it remains a strategic asset in India’s life sciences ecosystem. With strong execution, high-margin capabilities, and global scale, Sai Life is a potential candidate for future listing or strategic acquisition in the pharma services space.
GBP/JPY 201 | Fibo Confluence Setup in Line with the Uptrend GBP/JPY 201 | Fibo Confluence Setup in Line with the Uptrend
Context:
The market is maintaining its main bullish trend, and the current price structure still has room for further upward movement.
Technical Analysis:
1️⃣ The overall trend remains steadily bullish, with no clear signs of reversal.
2️⃣ When drawing the Fibonacci retracement in the direction of the trend, the 0.5–0.618 zone aligns with the key level around 201, forming a strong confluence area.
3️⃣ This is a potential reaction zone where price may bounce upward if the market continues to maintain its current bullish structure.
Expected Scenario:
Monitor price action around 201. If price shows weak bearish reaction or continuation signals here, the uptrend is likely to continue.
Gold price analysis October 11✨ Gold Analysis XAUUSD – 10/11/2025
Gold price has officially broken the Keylevel 4031 zone, confirming a strong bullish wave is forming. This development makes the intraday trading strategy clearer and more favorable when giving full priority to BUY setups following the trend.
Main scenario:
✅ BUY right at the price zone 4045
✅ BUY when the price rejection signal appears around the support zone 4031
🎯 Profit target: 4150
Sub-scenario (low risk):
❌ SELL is only considered if a false break appears and the price closes the candle back below 3985 – however, this possibility is currently very low.
👉 Comment: The break zone 4031 is the perfect confirmation point for the uptrend. Prioritize looking for buying opportunities with the main wave instead of trading against the trend.
Netflix NFLX - Survive the Elon Musk onslaught?Despite all adversity Netflix still stands tall. Can NFLX show some signs of recovery after hitting EMA support? You can never count Netflix out. This company always finds a way to win. Be aware of the reverse stock split. This will drop the price to a 10 for 1 adjusted price. Then it will be more affordable for those sitting on the fence?
GBP/USD – Bullish Reversal Setup Forming Above Key SupportPrice on GBP/USD (15M) is consolidating between a key resistance zone around 1.3180–1.3190 and a support area near 1.3135–1.3145. The pair recently broke below the ascending trendline, indicating potential short-term weakness.
If price retests the support zone and holds, a bullish reversal could occur, targeting the resistance area and possibly a breakout toward 1.3190+ (TARGET zone).
However, a clear close below the support zone could invalidate the bullish setup and open the way for deeper downside continuation.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 1.3180 – 1.3190
Support: 1.3135 – 1.3145
Target: 1.3190+
Bias: Bullish above support; bearish if price breaks and closes below 1.3135
When Arctic Storm Meets Government ShutdownNYMEX: Micro Henry Hub Natural Gas Futures ( NYMEX:MNG1! )
A “Perfect Storm” is brewing by weather catastrophe and man-made events.
On Thursday, November 6th, forecaster Atmospheric G2 said that it predicted colder than normal weather over the Eastern US for November 11-15. Driven by the expectations that record low temperatures will boost heating demand for natural gas, NYMEX Henry Hub natural gas futures ( AMEX:NG ) moved sharply higher.
The lead December contract (NGZ5) hit a daily high of $4.42 per MMBtu, up 18 cents (+5%) from the prior day. The contract settled at $4.357, up 12.5 cents or +2.95%. Total daily volume for all NG contract months reached 590,250 lots, an increase of 118,770 from the prior day. Total Open Interest was 1,556,062 contracts.
Then, just a day later, Atmospheric G2 put out another forecast. It said that warmer-than-normal temperatures are expected in the western two-thirds of the US for November 12-16 and are expected to remain above-normal for November 17-21. NGZ5 closed at $4.315 on Friday, down 0.96%. Another bearish factor came from Baker Hughes, which reported a 2.25-year high in the number of active US natural gas rigs.
On Sunday night, as the early winter blast begins to hit the ground, natural gas futures market opens for the week up 3.3% at $4.447. NGZ5 pulled back on Monday and is currently trading at $4.375. Shall we say, “Buy the rumor, Sell the fact”?
The news of a massive arctic storm moving the market is nothing new. During the past winter, on December 29, 2024, the Weather Co. and Atmospheric G2 released a weather forecast showing colder temperature in the East. When the futures market opened the next day, Henry Hub futures prices surged 20%, hitting a new 52-week high of $4.20. My write-up on January 6, 2025, explored how to trade the weather.
The Polar Vortex is expected to bring record amount of snow in the Great Lakes. Chicago and South Bend could see up to 12 inches of snow within 24 hours, due to the infamous “Lake Effect”. Florida and the Panhandle area could see temperature dropping from the 60s (Fahrenheit) to the mid-20s by Tuesday.
What stands out about this winter blast is its timing, happening very early in the season. Comparing to last winter, the first major snowstorm came in mid-January.
The winter storm threatens to bring air travel to a standstill. The impact will compound as the 40-day-long US government shutdown already reduced air flight capacity by 10%, causing massive cancellations and delays.
In the latest news, the US Senate may have reached a deal to end the government shutdown. Hopefully, it will happen in time ahead of Thanksgiving, the busiest travel season in the U.S.
The ideal instrument Trading the Weather
Natural gas is a leading energy source. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) estimates U.S. electricity production at 4.18 trillion kilowatt-hours in 2023.
• About 43.1% of the electricity was generated by natural gas.
• Nuclear power contributed to 18.6%, while coal had a 16.2% share.
• Renewables accounted for a 21.4% share, including 10.2% from Wind, 5.7% from Hydro, and 3.9% from Solar.
Electricity is hard to store, while its demand is highly unpredictable. Unforeseen changes in power demand could send shock waves into the market. In winter months, weather conditions have the biggest impact in natural gas demand.
In addition to power generation, the biggest natural gas usage is for heating homes, factories and commercial offices. According to the EIA data, 48% of US households use natural gas for space heating, water heating and cooking.
The heating consumption varies by season and by region, while the biggest contributing factor is temperature. As long-range weather forecasts are extremely difficult, natural gas prices are highly reactive to news of upcoming winter storms.
Heating Degree Day (HDD) is the number of days in a month where the average daily temperature is below 68 degrees Fahrenheit. Energy traders deploy HDD analysis and weather forecast models to predict temperature trends, electricity demand and subsequent natural gas use.
Trading with Micro Henry Hub Futures
Micro Henry Hub natural gas futures (MNG) offer smaller-sized versions of CME Group’s liquid benchmark Henry Hub futures (NG) contracts. The Micro futures have a contract size of 1,000 MMBtu, which is 1/10th of the standard contract.
The Micro contracts allow traders to control a large contract value with a small amount of capital to take advantage of significant margin offsets.
With Monday evening quote of 4.375, each December 2025 contract (MNGZ5) has a notional value of $4,375. Buying or selling one contract requires an initial margin of $367. The next lead contract, January 2026 (MNGF6), is currently quoting at 4.601, for a notional value of $4,601. The initial margin is $354.
Since hitting the 52-week low of $3.62, MNGZ5 has gone up 20%. Meanwhile, MNGF6 is down 25% from its 52-week high reached in March 2025.
As we have seen in the past, unpredictable weather events could send large shocks to natural gas prices. We have recognized the pattern of weather forecasts driving futures prices up, and then the prices trending back down in the midst of the storm. In my opinion, if we see another major winter storm coming in December, MNGF6 has the potential to move much higher.
With Micro Henry Hub contracts, traders could potentially realize sizable gains with a small capital requirement. For MNGF6, traders enjoy a built-in leverage of 13:1 (= 4601/354).
Hypothetically, if MNGF6 moves up 5% to $4.831 with lower temperature forecasts, the 0.23 price gain would translate into $230 for a long futures position, given the contract size at 1,000 MMBtu. Using the initial margin of $354 as a cost base, the trade would produce a theoretical return of 65.0% (=230/354).
The long futures position would lose money if natural gas prices moved lower. Traders could set up a stop loss to hedge the downside risk when entering the long futures order.
Happy Trading.
Disclaimers
*Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com






















