BTC/USD 109,150 | Fibo Confluence Setup Downtrend Analysis – BTC/USD 109,150 | Fibo Confluence Setup in Line with the Downtrend
Context:
The market is maintaining its main bearish trend.
Technical Analysis:
1️⃣ The overall trend remains consistently bearish, with no clear reversal signals.
2️⃣ When drawing the Fibonacci retracement in the direction of the trend, the 0.5–0.618 zone coincides with the key level around 109,150, forming a strong confluence between two major swing points (high and low).
3️⃣ This is a potential reaction area where price may continue to decline if the bearish structure remains intact.
Expected Scenario:
Monitor price action around 109,150. If price reacts weakly here or gives continuation signals, the bearish trend is likely to strengthen.
Fundamental Analysis
EUR/USD 1.1607 | Fibo Confluence Setup with the DowntrendAnalysis – EUR/USD 1.1607 | Fibo Confluence Setup in Line with the Downtrend
Context:
The market is maintaining its main bearish trend, and the current price structure still has room to move lower.
Technical Analysis:
1️⃣ The overall trend remains bearish and stable.
2️⃣ When drawing the Fibonacci retracement in the direction of the trend, the 0.5–0.618 zone coincides with the key level around 1.1607, forming a strong confluence area.
3️⃣ This is a potential reaction zone where price may resume its downward movement if the current bearish structure remains intact.
Expected Scenario:
Monitor price action around 1.1607. If price shows weak reaction or continuation signals here, the downtrend is likely to strengthen further.
GBP/USD 1.3242 | Fibo Confluence Setup in the DowntrendAnalysis – GBP/USD 1.3242 | Fibo Confluence Setup in Line with the Downtrend
Context:
The market is maintaining its primary bearish trend, and the price structure still has room to move toward lower levels.
Technical Analysis:
1️⃣ The overall trend remains steadily bearish, with no clear signs of reversal.
2️⃣ When drawing the Fibonacci retracement in the direction of the trend, the 0.5–0.618 zone coincides with the key level around 1.3242, creating a strong confluence between two major swing points (high and low).
3️⃣ This is a potential reaction zone where price may resume its downward movement if the current bearish structure remains intact.
Expected Scenario:
Monitor price action around 1.3242. If price shows weak bullish reaction or continuation signals, the downtrend is likely to strengthen further.
TC and ICP · The Quiet Storm Before the BreakoutMarkets are buzzing again after Trump mentioned a possible “tariff dividend” – a $2,000 payout per person funded by tariffs. It reminds many of 2020’s stimulus wave that pushed Bitcoin from $4K to $69K. If liquidity returns, older assets like Litecoin COINBASE:LTCUSD and Internet Computer BINANCE:ICPUSDT could be the next to move.
LTC: The Silent Giant
Litecoin is showing one of the cleanest technical setups in the market. The monthly chart forms a massive symmetrical triangle that’s been tightening since 2018. LTC just reclaimed the $108–$110 zone, sitting right below resistance. A monthly close above it could confirm a breakout toward $175 or more.
Historically, LTC rallies begin in November – right before broader altcoin seasons. The pattern from 2017 and 2020 looks set to repeat. If it does, the next rally could align perfectly with the 2025 halving cycle.
LTC Trading Plan:
- Breakout: $135
- Resistance: $160–$170
- Cut Loss: $70
- Targets: $240 / $400 / $600 / $1000
ICP: Rising Scarcity, New Narrative
Coinbase reserves of ICP have hit record lows. Only ~284,000 tokens remain on the exchange, while Binance’s reserves grow. This shift hints at growing demand.
Coinbase’s CEO recently talked about taking the exchange onchain, and ICP’s tech is one of the few ready for that move. With 44% of its supply locked, ICP’s real market cap is smaller than it looks, making it ripe for repricing.
ICP Trading Plan:
- Entry: $6.0–$7.0
- Stop: $5.0
- Targets: $11 / $12.5 / $14 / $20
Both LTC and ICP show strong asymmetry. One stands on historical cycles, the other on real scarcity and narrative growth. The setup looks familiar – quiet now, but maybe not for long.
TheCryptoFire
NQ / NASDAQ 100 Futures – Bullish & Bearish ScenariosNQ is currently sitting between a rising higher-timeframe trendline and a short-term descending trendline from the local top. Market is basically coiling — waiting for a direction.
Bullish Case
If buyers continue to defend the 24,850–24,950 swing low area and NQ can push back above the 25,580–25,640 zone, that would show the down-move was just a pullback into trendline support.
Break and hold above 25,640 opens the door to 25,900–26,000
Strength above 26,000 targets the previous supply zone near 26,200–26,350
Bullish structure stays valid as long as 24,850 holds.
Bearish Case
If price rejects at the descending trendline again and fails to reclaim 25,580–25,640, sellers are still in control short-term.
A breakdown below 24,850 followed by a weak retest would confirm the trendline failure.
First downside levels: 24,600, then 24,350
Losing 24,350 starts a deeper correction toward 24,000
Bears only gain real control below 24,850.
Bottom Line
The market is compressing. The real move comes on the break + retest of either:
25,640 to the upside → continuation long
24,850 to the downside → momentum shifts lower
No need to guess direction inside the wedge — react when one side wins.
The Real DealWhile global markets fixate on AI and the Fed’s next move, a quieter but equally powerful story is unfolding in Brazil. The real is back in the spotlight, underpinned by some of the highest real yields globally, resilient fundamentals, and a shifting trade order that could reshape currency flows in the quarters ahead.
Figure 1: BRLUSD
BRL recently broke above the neckline of a multi-month ascending triangle but has since recovered, trading back within the pattern. A more decisive break above could signal renewed BRL strength. The COVID-19 era saw the BRL fall to historic lows as Brazil faced a fiscal and health crisis, only partially recovering as global liquidity loosened in 2020–2021. More recently, BRLUSD hit record lows again, breaching 0.1600, before stabilizing as the policy backdrop shifted.
Figure 2: BCB’s Rate Hike
Amid resurgent inflation, BRL depreciation, and fiscal expansion, the Central Bank of Brazil (BCB) raised rates aggressively through the second half of 2024, adding 450 basis points in total.
Figure 3: Persistent Inflation
Strong domestic demand, supported by fiscal spending, wage growth, and a tight labor market, reignited inflation in 2024. With the added risk of higher import prices from tariffs, both headline and core inflation remain above the bank’s 3.0% target and the upper tolerance band of 4.5%. In the latest meeting, the BCB maintained its headline inflation forecasts for 2025 and 2026 at 4.8% and 3.6%, respectively.
Figure 4: Modest Growth
Tight monetary conditions have weighed on sentiment. The Business Confidence Index has been trending lower since early 2025, while the Leading Economic Index, which is commonly used to predict future economic turning points, has been negative since May. GDP growth remains resilient for the first half of 2025, but data from the IBC-BR Economic Activity Index, which is widely used as a preview of the GDP figures, suggest moderation is underway.
Figure 5: A Robust Labor Market
With unemployment at a historic low of 5.6%, and strong wage growth, consumer spending remains a key engine of growth. However, rising inflation has eroded purchasing power, limiting real wage gains.
Figure 6: Central Bank Rates
The BCB has stated it will keep the Selic rate at its current restrictive level “for a very long period” to guide inflation back to target and is ready to hike again if needed. This stance has widened interest rate differentials between Brazil and most developed markets. Meanwhile, the Fed’s first rate cut of the year has reinforced this divergence, as it shifts toward balancing labor market risks with persistent inflation while staying data dependent.
Figure 7: Silver Lining in the Current Trade Climate
On April 2, U.S. President Donald Trump declared “Liberation Day” as he announced sweeping tariffs. In August, a 50% tariff was imposed on Brazilian goods (an additional 40% on top of the existing 10%). Despite the apparent threat, Brazil’s trade balance remains in surplus, with exports continuing to grow. Since only 12% of its exports went to the U.S. in 2024, Brazil appears to be relatively insulated from the worst effects.
Recent diplomatic signals between Trump and President Lula have been positive,, while shifting global trade flows present structural opportunities for Brazil. As countries diversify away from the U.S., Brazil has solidified its standing as a key supplier to China and is well-positioned to deepen regional integration and potentially accelerate trade agreements with partners like the European Union.
Putting the Pieces Together
While the market has been focusing on AI-tech, cryptocurrency and precious metals, the high real interest rates, resilient domestic demand, and a shifting trade landscape have brought renewed attention to the BRL. While inflation remains elevated, Brazil’s tight monetary stance makes the currency attractive from a carry perspective, particularly against currencies from easing central banks. At the same time, evolving trade relationships could support structural demand for BRL as exports diversify and deepen. With these forces in play, the BRL stands at the centre of emerging-market FX strategies.
B3 FX Market
Unlike most major currencies, BRL price discovery occurs primarily in B3’s futures market, not the spot market. B3’s dollar futures consistently see some of the highest FX volumes globally, making it the key venue for hedging and speculation.
For Asian participants, however, time zone differences and operational hurdles can limit direct access.
Introducing the BRLUSD Futures on SGX
To address Asian trading frictions, SGX, in collaboration with B3, has launched the BRLUSD futures contract, giving global traders direct access to BRL exposure during Asian market hours. This listing marks an important milestone, complementing B3’s onshore market and extending the BRL liquidity cycle well beyond Latin American and U.S. sessions.
Key advantages of the SGX BRLUSD futures contract:
Asia-hour liquidity: Trade BRLUSD in real time as global macro headlines break overnight. B3’s trading hours overlap with SGX’s night session, further enhancing offshore liquidity.
Hedging flexibility: Particularly useful for global portfolio managers who need to hedge BRL exposure while settling in USD.
Operational simplicity for clients that are already SGX clients.
Cost efficiency comparing to OTC market: Competitive clearing fees and typically tighter bid–ask spreads make execution more efficient.
Cross-margining benefits: Margin offsets are available for inter-commodity spreads, allowing traders to pair BRL with other SGX currency or commodity futures to optimize capital usage.
Putting into Practice
Figure 8: Carry Trade Strategy with BRLUSD
With the Selic rate expected to remain elevated through at least Q1 2026, the wide rate differential between Brazil and major developed markets continues to create opportunities for carry strategies. Fundamentally, the BRL tends to appreciate in a carry environment as demand for BRL-denominated assets rises; driven by investors seeking to capture Brazil’s high interest rates. Moreover, with an already constructive view on the BRL, a carry trade strategy offers a twofold benefit: currency appreciation alongside the positive carry derived from Brazil’s elevated yield advantage. This backdrop supports a long position on BRL.
Since the futures contract listed on SGX is quoted BRLUSD, to express this view, we could directly take a long position in the BRLUSD futures contract (BRLX5) at the current price level of 0.1820. We would set the stop loss at the lower support level of the descending triangle at 0.1790, a hypothetical maximum loss of 0.1820 – 0.1790 = 0.0030 points. While a classic carry trade can simply involve holding the position to benefit from the interest rate differential over time without a predefined take-profit, in this example we set a target at the post-COVID multi-year resistance of 0.2130, for a hypothetical gain of 0.2130 – 0.1820 points.
Furthermore, pairing BRL against low-yielding currencies such as JPY allows traders to capture attractive interest rate differentials while leveraging the inter-commodity margin offsets to enhance capital efficiency. Beyond carry opportunities, portfolio managers in Asia can also use the contract to hedge large BRL exposures, taking advantage of the liquidity outside B3 hours.
Conclusion
With monetary policy set to remain tight, inflation gradually converging, and Brazil carving out a stronger role in global trade, the BRL stands at the intersection of cyclical carry opportunities and structural shifts in capital flows. Whether expressed through directional longs or cross-currency strategies, the BRL offers traders a differentiated play in a market searching for new narratives beyond tech and tariffs.
EURUSD Analysis week 46🌐Fundamental Analysis
With the US government shutdown and no official jobs report, investors are turning to other data. October saw more than 150,000 job cuts – the highest in more than 20 years. This news put the USD under pressure, helping EUR/USD rise on Thursday.
On Friday, the USD recovered slightly, slowing the EUR/USD's rise. If consumer confidence falls sharply, the USD could weaken further. Conversely, if the report is positive and inflation expectations rise, the USD could recover, putting downward pressure on EUR/USD.
🕯Technical Analysis
EURUSD Bullish recovery on Friday with approach to the resistance zone 1.158. Currently the downtrend channel is still maintained if the buying force is strong enough to break the upper boundary of the resistance channel that the pair faces next week at 1.167. On the other side, 1.147 plays the role of the main support of the current downtrend of the pair. As long as the price channel remains, the SELL strategy will still be prioritized. Pay attention to the breakout boundary of 1.153 and 1.158.
📉Trading Signals
SELL EURUSD 1.167-1.169 Stoploss 1.17200
BUY EURUSD 1.147-1.14200 Stoploss 1.14200
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Nov 10 - Nov 14]This week, international OANDA:XAUUSD prices continued to move sideways around the $4,000/oz mark and closed the week at $4,001/oz.
As the U.S. government remains partially shut down and economic data are incomplete, investors find it increasingly difficult to assess the state of the U.S. economy and its impact on the gold market. As a result, many are seeking opportunities in other markets, including stocks and the U.S. dollar. This explains why gold prices have been trading sideways.
Gold’s stability around the $4,000 level reflects an ongoing tug-of-war between fundamental factors — notably strong central bank buying, safe-haven demand, technical profit-taking pressure, and the rebound of the U.S. dollar.
Although gold prices may continue to move sideways next week, analysts believe the metal has greater upside potential than downside risk in the medium to long term.
📌From a technical perspective, the current resistance level is around 4,150, while support lies near 3,890. If the price breaks above 4,045, it could recover toward 4,150, and a further breakout could push it up to the 4,250 zone. Conversely, if the price falls below 3,900, it could trigger a sell-off, driving gold down toward the 3,750 area.
Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 3,750 – 3,900 USD
Resistance: 4,045 – 4,150 – 4,250 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4151 - 4149⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 4155
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3955 - 3957⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3851
Gold market weekly open analysis Gold market closed the previous week at $4001/oz, after mitigating the 4027 zone. As the new week opens, price action begins to unleash withheld momentum, navigating through the 4050’s region. The 4090’s level remains open for potential mitigation, aligning with the ongoing bullish recovery structure as bullish continuation towards unmitigated supply. follow for more in sights , comment and boost idea
Gold market remains bullish cautiously The gold market remains slightly unstable despite a slated bullish sentiment, as price action consolidates within key zones. Current market behavior suggests that imbalance voids are likely to be filled, potentially wedging price movement toward the 4300 region , follow for more refined insights on gold market , comment and boost idea .
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure
OANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) has broken above short-term descending trendline resistance and is now hovering near $4,045–$4,050, confirming renewed bullish momentum. The breakout was supported by strong buying from the $4,011–$4,017 Support Zone, where previous consolidation occurred.
The Resistance Zone lies between $4,054–$4,061, which may act as the next upside target before a potential pullback. The current structure suggests a bullish continuation setup, favouring buying on dips toward the newly established support around $4,011–$4,017.
🎯 Trade Setup
Idea: Buy on dip after breakout, targeting higher resistance.
Entry: $4,011 – $4,017 (support retest)
Stop Loss: $4,008
Take Profit 1: $4,054
Take Profit 2: $4,061
Risk–Reward Ratio: ≈ 1 : 4.65
If gold sustains above $4,061, it could extend further toward $4,080–$4,100, marking a continuation of the bullish breakout sequence.
🌐 Macro Background
Gold prices extended gains to around $4,050 in Monday’s Asian session, supported by renewed rate-cut expectations and weakening U.S. consumer sentiment.
FXStreet’s Lallalit Srijandorn noted that “Gold edges higher amid concerns over the U.S. economy as markets increase bets on Fed rate cuts.” 【FXStreet】
Labor Market Weakness: U.S. Challenger job cuts surged to 150,000 in October, the highest for that month in over two decades. The spike signals growing softness in the job market and fuels expectations that the Fed could act sooner to support growth.
Rate-Cut Expectations: According to the CME FedWatch Tool, markets now price a 66% probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut in December. Lower yields reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, reinforcing demand for the metal.
Consumer Sentiment: The University of Michigan (UoM) Index fell to 50.3 in November (vs. 53.6 in October), a three-and-a-half-year low, reflecting economic pessimism.
Shutdown Resolution: Reports from Bloomberg indicate the U.S. government shutdown could soon end as Senate Democrats support a funding deal. While this slightly eases safe-haven demand, it does not offset the dovish macro bias currently favouring gold.
Overall, the weakening labour data, falling consumer confidence, and rising rate-cut bets create a constructive macro environment for gold, especially if the Fed adopts a more accommodative tone into December.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance: $4,054 – $4,061
Support: $4,008 – $4,020
Psychological Level: $4,050
📌 Trade Summary
Gold broke above short-term resistance, with momentum shifting firmly bullish toward $4,060. The current bias favours buying dips near $4,011–$4,017, targeting the upper resistance band at $4,054–$4,061. A sustained break above this zone could open the path toward $4,080–$4,100.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
Natural Gas - Golden CrossWhen this signal occurs you better no how to trade it.
The golden cross has now occured on the daily chart.
This is the 50MA intersecting with the daily 200 MA.
This is a medium to long term bullish signal that suggests nat gas over $5.
In the very short term traders often take profits and gains but buying dips over the next several weeks is a high technical probable setup.
Xau/Usd - Gold Testing Key Resistance, Breakout or Rejection?Gold is currently trading around $4,016, testing a key resistance zone after several rejections in the past sessions. Price action shows a clear ascending trendline support, forming higher lows, indicating a short-term bullish structure.
Key Technicals
Resistance Zone: $4,015 – $4,025
Trendline Support: Connecting recent higher lows (Nov 5–8)
Structure: Ascending channel / uptrend continuation setup
Possible Scenarios
Bullish Breakout:
A confirmed breakout above the resistance zone with strong volume could signal continuation toward the next target levels around $4,060 – $4,100.
Bearish Rejection:
If price fails to break above resistance and closes below the trendline support, expect a correction toward $3,960 – $3,940 as the next support zone.
Trading Plan
Buy Breakout: Above $4,025 with confirmation
Sell Rejection: Below $4,000 and trendline break
Risk Management: Use stop-loss below last swing low or above last swing high depending on entry
Note
Wait for clear confirmation before entering either direction — this area has been a strong liquidity zone recently.
Nasdaq Battle between correction & innovationNASDAQ 100 (NDX)
Nasdaq 100 Index (NDX) currently sits at a crucial inflection point, defined by the overwhelming dominance of the technology sector's structural growth against a backdrop of increasing macroeconomic and technical vulnerability. After a historic rally driven by Artificial Intelligence (AI) euphoria, the market is undergoing a necessary and sharp correction, testing key support levels established during the latest bullish surge.
The Durable Foundation: AI, Earnings, and Profitability
The core bullish case for the NDX remains robust, fundamentally driven by the "Magnificent Seven" and the pervasive, non-negotiable surge in AI infrastructure spending. Unlike the speculative rallies of previous cycles, today's leaders are characterized by deep profitability, substantial cash flow, and diverse revenue streams.
Recent corporate earnings reaffirm this strength, with the technology sector posting strong double digit growth. This profitability suggests that investment in AI is being funded through internal cash flow, making the rally more sustainable than the debt fuelled expansion seen two decades ago. The long term trajectory is further supported by an accommodative Federal Reserve pivot, which is now in rate cutting mode a supportive contrast to the tightening cycle that ended the 2000 rally. The secular trend of technological innovation is accelerating, transforming AI from a growth narrative into an essential business imperative.
Macroeconomic and Sentiment Headwinds
Despite underlying corporate strength, recent market action signals a decisive sentiment shift rooted in macro uncertainty and high valuations. The index has experienced its steepest weekly decline since March, indicating heavy profit taking and a collective "reality check" among traders.
Several factors are contributing to this sentiment reversal:
1. Concentration Risk: The sheer weight of the largest components now represents an extraordinary percentage of the overall market capitalization, making the NDX acutely sensitive to volatility in just a few key names.
2. Labor Market Cooling: Data showing a significant spike in job cuts (particularly in the tech and warehousing sectors) has unsettled investors, suggesting that economic cooling is accelerating faster than anticipated.
3. Consumer Confidence: A sharp drop in consumer sentiment reflects heightened anxiety related to economic uncertainty and political instability, which historically dampens forward looking market optimism.
4. Valuation Concerns: While not at 2000 extremes, valuations remain elevated, shifting the market’s focus entirely from multiple expansion to demanding flawless execution and continuous earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: The Critical 25,000 Support Test
From a technical perspective, the NDX has been in a clear, rising trend channel over the medium to long term, confirming a persistent buy the dip mentality. However, the recent sell off has introduced significant short term caution.
The index is currently testing a non negotiable support zone around 25,000. This level is psychologically important and corresponds to a previous major breakout point. A decisive breakdown below this support could trigger a cascading sell off as automated stop loss orders are activated, potentially paving the way toward the next major supports at 24,500 and, more critically, 23,980.
Key Technical Levels:
• Immediate Support: 25,000
• Secondary Supports: 24,500, then 23,980
• Immediate Resistance: 25,200, followed by 25,500 and 25,700
Conclusion: Navigating the Volatility
Nasdaq 100 remains an index of unparalleled innovation and long term potential, yet its short term path is fraught with risk. The outlook hinges on the NDX's ability to hold the critical 25,000 support level. A bounce from this zone would confirm the resilience of the dip buyers and maintain the medium term bullish structure. Failure to hold this level, however, would signal a deeper technical correction is underway, shifting the focus to the lower support zones as the market cleanses its excessive exuberance. Traders should remain nimble, respecting the clear shift in short term momentum while maintaining conviction in the long term, secular growth of the technology giants.
slaiCrypto is part of the new world order, a change train is coming to take us to the moon exchange for generational wealth builders all aboard.
Stoploss:
All stops will be placed at the earnings, dividends, weekly, monthly, or blue circle grid stoploss line that will be set up.
Stoploss price 1 - $2.99
Stoploss price 2 - $2.79
Entries:
All entry prices come with a risk, some small and some big.
The bigger the risk, the stronger chance the stop may not be hit but you will lose more if it does.
The smaller the risk, the stronger chance your stop can be hit but you will lose prematurely and fast be
for the trade has a chance to play out.
These are my best entries be for the breakout to new highs or a pullback to new lows.
Stoploss entry price - $ 2.99- stop - 2.79 Note: Taking this trade is very risky a strong chance your stop can be hit fast
and lose prematurely be for the trade has a chance to play out.
Entry Buy Dip 1 - $3.22
Entry Buy Dip 2 - $3.50
Entry Buy Price - $3.81
Targets:
1st TARGET - 12 MONTH HIGH PRICE - $4.68
2nd TARGET - 52 WEEK HIGH PRICE - $6.01
3rd TARGET - VERY TOP EARNINGS GRID LINE PRICE - $7.36
4th TARGET - THE NEAREST ALL TIME GRID LINE PRICE - $8.67
Gold: Support Near 3986, Resistance Near 4030The current market narrative is driven by three key themes:
Volatility in the U.S. Dollar and Treasury yields
U.S. government shutdown risks impacting data releases and market sentiment
Forward guidance from major central banks regarding their policy rate paths
Whether gold can achieve a sustained breakout will primarily depend on:
A persistent decline in USD and Treasury yields
Increased safe-haven demand amid equity market volatility and rising macro uncertainty
Continued net capital inflows into gold, particularly from passive and long-duration allocation funds
If these conditions do not align, gold is likely to remain range-bound, forming a time-based consolidation pattern.
If they do align, resistance near 4100 may weaken, boosting bullish conviction and paving the way for a smoother breakout.
Technically, supply remains around 4030, yet the rising trendline remains intact and the 3948–3921 key support zone continues to attract buyers. Absent a major catalyst, price action is likely to remain consolidative in the near term.
On both the 1H and 4H charts, moving averages are converging, signaling range compression and an imminent direction choice. Upcoming macro headlines will likely act as the catalyst for the next major move.
Trading Plan:
Key intraday levels: 4030 resistance / 3986 support
Trade the range until a breakout occurs
If price breaks out, short-term momentum trades may be considered — but with disciplined targets
Conservative traders may wait for a pullback entry
Medium- to long-term investors can continue accumulating on dips, waiting for the market confirmation
NOVAGRATZLOADED shares at $29.45 Friday. This is MSTR on steroids with actual revenue + AI data centers.
Just printed their best quarter ever ($505M net income, ~$29B rev) thanks to a $9B BTC whale trade 80k+ BTC sold OTC with minimal slippage + exploding trading volumes. But the real rocket fuel is HELIOS AI/HPC pivot: 800MW live, 2.7GW pipeline, NASDAQ:CRWV locked in for $435M+ annual EBITDA potential. Morgan Stanley calls it $30B terminal value. $1.15B convertible notes at 0.50%? Dirt-cheap capital to fund growth — not dilution yet. Catalysts: BTC >$120K (Galaxy amplifies 2-3x)
Helios revenue ramp H1 2026 On track for initial energization/power-up in December 2025
Technicals: Broke out of multi-month base
RSI cooling after dip (oversold bounce incoming)
Volume shelf at $29 = strong support $25 floor
Golden cross forming on weekly
This dip was the last shakeout post-notes FUD.
Add on dips around $30
Trail stops or take partials above $45
Full send to $60+ this year if BTC rips
Helios power-up = moonshot. Estimates backward-looking; if Helios hits + crypto cooperates, Q4 crushes again (revenue normalizes but margins fatten). $60+ YE
Gold prices may continue to decline! Please read carefully!Last week, the gold market generally exhibited a range-bound trading pattern, with prices fluctuating mainly between 3925 and 4030. The overall volatility was relatively limited, reflecting a cautious market sentiment. Although there has been no clear directional breakout, from a technical perspective, since the price of gold fell back after encountering resistance near the previous high of 4380, it has gradually entered a phase of correction. During this correction, prices repeatedly encountered resistance near the 4000 level and fluctuated around this level, indicating that bearish forces still dominate.
Structurally, the current consolidation is a correction phase within a downtrend, rather than a reversal signal. Therefore, in the short term, the market is more likely to continue its previous downward trend. From a technical perspective, the 4030-4050 area forms a key resistance zone in the near term. In particular, 4050 is an important resistance level that has been tested multiple times without being effectively broken. If gold prices cannot hold above this level this week, they will likely continue to maintain a weak and volatile pattern.
In terms of trading strategy, the basic approach of "selling on rallies" remains unchanged. It is recommended to pay close attention to the effectiveness of the resistance level in the 4030-4050 range. If the price encounters resistance in this area and shows clear signs of stalling, short-term short positions can be considered. Two support zones need to be noted below: First, the 3950-3960 area is the central position of the recent consolidation platform and has a certain support effect; second, the 3930-3920 area is close to the low support zone of this round of consolidation. Once this zone is broken, it may trigger further technical selling pressure.
If gold prices fall below 3920, they are likely to accelerate their decline, with the next important support level around 3880. This level has been tested multiple times before and is considered a valid support level. If it breaks through this level, it could open up even more downside potential. Conversely, if the market suddenly experiences a strong rebound and effectively breaks through 4050 and holds above it, it is necessary to be wary of a possible trend reversal. The original short-selling logic will no longer be applicable, and it is necessary to reassess the balance of power between bulls and bears and the subsequent direction.
Overall, gold is currently in a weak adjustment cycle, and the market lacks clear upward momentum. In the short term, it is recommended to focus on selling on rallies, strictly control position size, pay attention to the breakout and confirmation of key price levels, set reasonable stop-loss and take-profit orders, and guard against the volatility risk brought by sudden market movements.
The above represents only my personal thoughts. If you find it helpful, please like and follow to show your support! Please note that any strategy is time-sensitive and may change as market conditions evolve. I will notify you in the channel based on the actual market situation!
Mastering Market Momentum with ONE IndicatorLearn how to use the 21 EMA like a pro!
This video walks you through the exact setup I use — plus a unique twist that helps identify momentum shifts and reversals earlier than most traders spot them.
Whether you’re day trading or swing trading, this indicator can become your foundation for better trade timing.
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