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Fundamental Analysis

Gold's upward momentum is weak, so shorting is the only option.Gold Technical Analysis: Gold suddenly entered a downtrend at the end of last week, with a target price around 4210. On Friday, it reached a high of around 4211 before retreating, breaking below 4100 to around 4032, resulting in a large bearish candlestick on the daily chart. The question now is whether this downward trend will continue. The daily chart shows a consistent decline in highs, suggesting that the resistance level at the three key points could easily trigger a second downward reversal. Therefore, we should expect a pullback at the beginning of this week. Therefore, at the beginning of this week, we definitely expect gold prices to continue falling. However, since the fast and slow lines are still above the zero axis, even if prices fall, it will only be a pullback. Looking at the candlestick chart, the trendline support is around $4,000, which is both our target for shorting this week and a place to try to place long orders. If it breaks down, it may test the lower Bollinger Band at $3,890. However, it should be noted that the halfway resistance level of Friday's full-blown bearish candlestick is at $4,130, which is also the highest point of the rebound in the two days following the sharp drop on October 21. If gold prices break through this level again, it will mean the end of this round of pullback. Gold rebounded slightly after the opening but continued to face pressure at higher levels and fell back again. In the short term, the 4110-4120 area has formed effective resistance. If the rebound is still pressured by the 4110-4120 area, then the gold rebound is extremely weak, and there may be some room for further adjustment. However, even if the gold rebound is slightly stronger, the resistance below 4150 still indicates a head and shoulders pattern on the 1-hour chart, favoring a short-term bias towards range-bound selling. Today's core strategy should be to sell on rallies. Although there was a technical rebound after Friday's sharp drop, the rebound strength was limited. As long as it cannot break through the key resistance of $4120, any rally is an opportunity to short. It is necessary to pay close attention to whether the rebound shows signs of exhaustion. If the rebound of the right shoulder is insufficient, the head and shoulders pattern will be officially established, and the gold price may face a deeper decline. Therefore, today's strategy is still to sell on rallies.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Daniel_PrimeFX
US 10Y TREASURY: Fed might (not) cut in DecemberThe US Treasuries were moving in a swing manner during the previous week. The 10Y US benchmark reached the lowest weekly level at 4,05%, but ended the week at 4,18%. The US Government ended its longest “shutdown” in history, however, there is some indication that the macro data for the “shutdown” period will probably not be released. Investors are attempting to assess the health of the US economy amid a lack of fresh data and uncertainty about policy direction. The pause in key statistics has left markets navigating with less clarity about growth and inflation prospects. As per CME FedWatch Tool there is currently around 50% chance that the Fed will cut rates in December. Uncertainty is still a key word which will drive the market sentiment in the week ahead. As per current charts, there is some probability that the yields might test the 4,18% level one more time. On the opposite side, modest easing in yields, might revert them toward levels slightly below the 4,1% level.
TVC:US10Y
by XBTFX
Gold: Open path to lower grounds?The price of gold was following general market sentiment during the previous week, and was traded in swings. The start of the week was marked with an increased demand for gold, bringing the price to the level of $4.243. However, Friday trading session brought a modest correction, where gold was headed toward the $4.035, but closed the week at $4.079. The RSI closed the week at the level of 53, after previously reaching the level of 61. The indicator is showing that the market is struggling to take a clear path toward the oversold market side. The MA50 and MA200 lines are still moving without change - as two parallel lines with an uptrend. Current charts are showing that the gold has an important level around $4.100, while strong support holds at $3.930. Friday trading session showed that the support at $4.1K was breached, which leaves the path open toward testing the $3.930 support. In this sense, the first stop for the price of gold might be the $4K level, before it continues its move further to the support line. With respect to the opposite side, there is currently some probability that the level of $4.1K could be tested again, and much lower probability for the level of $4,2K.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by XBTFX
SPX: Makes equities affordable againThe previous week was quite an interesting one on equity markets. A lot of swing movements, but the general trend was toward the downside, or a general correction. The weekly peak of the S&P 500 was at the level of 6.870, but the next two days were traded with a huge market correction. Futures on Friday were traded with a significant discount, when the market opened at 6.648. The dip buyers immediately stepped on the market, and managed to push the index toward the higher grounds, where the index closed the week at 6.734. Many analysts are questioning whether this Friday's move was pointing to the reverse of investors sentiment, or was it just a short term correction to the upside? The week started with an interesting news that the SoftBank Group has sold its entire stake in Nvidia Corporation for around $5,8B, with aim to transfer these funds in AI investments, including OpenAI. Amazon shares jumped after it struck a $38 billion deal with OpenAI to provide AWS capacity, signalling strong demand for AI infrastructure. Apple reported strong earnings, with its services business growing significantly, helping it stay resilient even amid broader market worries. Based on the previous week's market movements, it could be noted that broad-based profit-taking hit big tech as investors expressed renewed valuation concerns on AI-focused companies, with Nvidia, Microsoft, AMD, and others seeing notable declines. Meanwhile, analysts are closely watching capital-expenditure plans from major companies as these will test whether the current AI-driven rally is sustainable.
SP:SPX
by XBTFX
EURUSD: Trading in the channelThe U.S. Government ended its longest “shutdown” on Wednesday, after almost 60 days. Market participants were most interested in historical macro data which were not posted during this period, however, the white House Press Secretary commented that this data may never be released. During the week there has not been important macro data posted for the US economy. The ZEW Economic sentiment index in Germany for November reached the level of 38,5, which was a bit lower from anticipated 40. Wholesale Prices in Germany were increased by 0,3% in October, bringing the indicator to 1,1% on a yearly basis. Final Inflation rate in October in Germany was standing at 0,3% for the month and 2,3% for the year. Industrial production in the Euro Zone in September increased by 0,2% m/m and 1,2% y/y. Figures significantly missed estimates of 0,7% m/m and 2,1% y/y. Balance of trade in the Euro Zone in September reached euro 19,4B which was significantly above forecasted euro 8B. The second estimate for the GDP Growth rate in the Euro Zone for Q3 stands at 0,2% q/q and 1,4% y/y, which was in line with market estimates. The eurusd currency pair started the previous week around the level of 1,1550 and for the rest of the week took the uptrend, testing the level of 1,1650 for the last two days of the week. At Friday's trading session, the pair reverted a bit, closing the week at 1,1620. The RSI reached the level of 52, however, it is unclear whether the market took a clear course toward the overbought market side. The MA50 is slowly converging toward the MA200, but there is still a higher distance between two lines, in which sense, the potential cross might be a bit postponed. Charts are showing that the currency pair continues to move within a downtrend channel which started in September this year. At the level of 1,1650, the top of the channel has been reached, in which sense, there is a high probability for a short term reversal. The bottom side of the channel stands around 1,1450. On the other hand, if the currency pair makes a move above the 1,1650 level, it would imply the break of the channel formation, in which sense, 1,1720 might be the next target of the currency pair. Important news to watch during the week ahead are: EUR: Inflation rate in the Euro Zone in October, Producers Price Index in Germany in October, HCOB Manufacturing PMI Flash for November for Germany and the Euro Zone, S&P Global Composite PMI Flash in November, Michigan Consumer Sentiment final for November. USD: It should be taken into account that it is unclear whether macro data for the US will be posted in the week ahead. Still, scheduled macro data for the week ahead are following: Industrial Production for September, Building Permits in October, Housing Starts in October, Existing Home Sales in October, Jobless claims.
by XBTFX
Bitcoin: Oversold !It was a tough week on the crypto market, where the majority of coins significantly slipped in value. BTC was the leader of this drop. It occurred due to the combination of several reasons, which in combination, dragged the BTC toward the lowest, $94,7K level. Persistently high inflation in the US raised doubts that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in December, which reduced the demand for risk assets, like BTC. On the other hand, the broader market entered into a risk-off mode, where tech stocks and crypto-companies experienced significant declines. In addition, large liquidations of leveraged long positions in the crypto market, and whale-sales amplified the downward move in BTC price. The price of BTC was holding solid grounds at $100K support, however, Thursday's risk-off sentiment pushed the price of BTC lower, till the level of $94,7K. During Saturday's trading session, BTC modestly moved to the level of $96K. The RSI indicator reached the level of 30, indicating a clear oversold market side. The MA50 is very close to the MA200, indicating a “dead cross” formation in technical analysis in a near term period. Although BTCs move toward the $94K for some market participants might be perceived as painful, still, it was a necessary move for BTC. Now it marks a fresh, new start for BTC for a move toward higher grounds, and even new ATH sometime in 2026. It should be also considered that some lower grounds are possible before this final switch to the upside. Namely, some analysts are mentioning some probability that BTC might go even lower, toward the $76K, which was market low in April 2025. However, at this moment charts are pointing to some probability of $90K for the week ahead. Still, in case that dip buyers enter the scene, the next resistance at $100K, might be an easy target for BTC for the week ahead.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by XBTFX
MARKETS week ahead: November 17 – 23Last week in the news The longest Government shutdown in the US is over, however, investors were more concerned regarding valuations of tech companies and probability that the Fed might (not) cut rates in December. A strong correction occurred in equity markets followed with a strong sell-off on the crypto market. The S&P 500 closed the week at 6.734 after a modest rebound on Friday. BTC dipped below the $100K mark, slipping in one moment toward the $94,7K. The price of gold was also within a swing trade mode, still closing the week below the $4,1K support. The US Treasury yields also had a volatile week, with 10Y closing at 4,14%. The longest ever U.S. government shutdown ended Wednesday evening after lasting more than six weeks. While its conclusion was expected to restore the flow of key economic data that investors had been missing, it has instead introduced fresh uncertainty. White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt indicated that some of the economic reports scheduled for release during the shutdown may never be published. In an attempt to “Make groceries affordable again”, the US President is rolling back tariffs on more than 200 food items, including beef, coffee, bananas, and orange juice, to try to lower grocery costs for Americans. Analysts are noting that this might be the attempt to dig into modestly rising inflation in the US, although the official figures are still missing, due to the Government “shutdown”. SoftBank Group sold its entire holding of about 32.1 million shares in Nvidia Corporation, raising roughly US$5.8 billion as part of its shift to fund large-scale AI investments, including OpenAI. The move is being used to finance its “all-in” bet on OpenAI and a US data-centre build-out (the “Stargate” project). The news triggered a drop in value of SoftBank shares by around 10% in Tokyo exchange, due to investor concern about whether the AI valuation boom may have gotten ahead of fundamentals. News is reporting that Berkshire Hathaway revealed a surprising new $4.3B stake in Alphabet, the parent company of Google, marking a notable shift given Buffett’s historical caution toward tech stocks. This investment now ranks Alphabet as the tenth-largest holding in Berkshire’s portfolio. At the same time, the company further reduced its stake in Apple, cutting its shares from 280 million to 238.2 million. Analysts are noting that the moves signal a strategic rebalancing within Berkshire’s equity holdings. The Czech National Bank has bought $1 million worth of digital assets, including BTC, USD-stablecoin and a tokenised deposit, as part of a pilot test portfolio. This portfolio is kept separately from its official international reserves and is not intended to be actively expanded. The goal is to gain hands-on experience in managing blockchain assets, testing key custody, multi-level approval process, crisis management, and anti-money laundering compliance. The CNB plans to review and assess the project over the next two to three years, to evaluate whether digital assets could play a future role in the financial system. CRYPTO MARKET It was a challenging week for the cryptocurrency market, with the majority of coins experiencing significant declines. Overall, the convergence of macroeconomic concerns and market-specific dynamics contributed to a particularly volatile week for cryptocurrencies, highlighting the sensitivity of the market to both monetary policy and investor sentiment. BTC led the downturn, falling to a low of $94,700. This drop was driven by a combination of factors that collectively weighed on the market. On one hand, persistent inflation in the US fuelled concerns that the Fed may hold off on cutting interest rates in December, reducing appetite for risk assets, including crypto. At the same time, broader financial markets entered a risk-off mode, with tech stocks and crypto-related companies also seeing notable declines. Total crypto market capitalization decreased by 6% during the previous week, erasing $195B in value. Daily trading volumes remained flat for the week, with $329B traded on a daily basis. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the beginning of this year currently stands at -1%, with a total funds outflow of $37B. BTC was the main coin which drag the total crypto market capitalization to the downside. Total weekly outflow was $195B, while only BTC participated with $132B, decreasing its value by 6,5% w/w. ETH was also down by 6,1%, with an outflow of $25B. Solana was traded lower by almost 11%, with funds outflow of $9,5B. This week Filecoin had a stronger pullback of 26%,, while Cardano and Avalanche dropped by almost 10%. DOGE dropped by 6,5% and LINK was last traded down by 7,7%. On the opposite side were only a few coins with weekly positive results. This week Monero managed to gain 16%, while ZCash continued to gain in value, with a weekly increase of 17.6%. Uniswap was also traded higher by 23,7%. Increased activity related to circulating coins continued for another week in a row. Filecoin added 1,5% more coins to the market, IOTA increased its circulating coins by 0,4%, while ZCash added 0,2% new coins. Majority of other altcoins had an increase of 0,1% of coins on the market like XRP, DOGE, Stellar, DASH, Solana. Crypto futures market The crypto futures market experienced a steep decline over the week, mirroring the sharp sell-off seen in the spot market. Both BTC and ETH futures fell close to double-digits across all maturities, as macroeconomic uncertainty and broader risk aversion drove investors to reduce exposure. The move represented one of the largest weekly pullbacks of the quarter, underscoring the market’s sensitivity to macro signals and shifting sentiment. BTC futures declined between -9.12% and -9.29% w/w, with the November 2025 futures closing at $94,365 and the March 2027 maturity ending at $102,730. The curve retained its upward slope, but absolute price levels are now approaching the lower bound of the medium-term range. ETH futures posted slightly deeper losses than BTC, dropping between -9.64% and -9.79% w/w. The November 2025 futures closed at $3,140, while March 2027 settled at $3,474. Despite the week’s substantial correction, the curve maintained its structure, signalling that longer-dated expectations remain intact even as near-term conviction weakens. The decline in ETH futures was exacerbated by weaker liquidity conditions and heightened volatility across altcoins, which intensified selling pressure. Despite the sharp drawdown, the futures curve structure remains intact, suggesting that traders still expect a cyclical recovery once macro conditions stabilize. However, sentiment is now more fragile, and volatility may remain elevated until clearer signals emerge from monetary policymakers and broader financial markets.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
XAUUSD 2 scenariosThe U.S. dollar remains strong 💵, supported by firm economic data, resilient labor markets, and expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain higher interest rates for longer. This strength is adding pressure to many major currency pairs and increasing volatility as price consolidates inside a triangle formation. Bearish scenario 📉: If the triangle breaks to the downside, price could move toward the lower boundary of the ascending channel, where buyers have previously stepped in. A bearish breakout would likely align with stronger USD momentum, higher Treasury yields, or risk-off sentiment. Bullish scenario 📈: If price manages to break the triangle to the upside, we would then look for the upper region of the ascending channel, supported by potential USD weakness, softer economic data, or dovish signals from the Fed. With patterns like this, discipline is key — never enter prematurely. Always wait for a confirmed breakout and retest, as entering too early often means becoming the liquidity for larger players.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Dan-Goldfx
USOIL : daily review 17/11/2025Oil prices also slipped after Russia’s Novorossiysk port quickly resumed operations following a Ukrainian strike, removing a short-lived supply scare. Geopolitical tensions remain elevated, with notable examples including Iran’s seizure of a tanker and the ongoing US sanctions on Russia; however, rising global production remains the dominant force. Outages and disruptions across refining hubs have pushed margins higher; however, the broader trend suggests a well-supplied market heading into next year. In addition, many traders don’t expect OPEC+ to cut production next year, even with a potential surplus on the horizon. The group is sticking to its market-share strategy unless demand collapses and prices drop sharply. Saudi Arabia and its partners have revived output despite weak prices, betting that oversupply remains manageable and that China can continue to absorb excess barrels. On the technical side, the crude oil price found sufficient support around the $58 mark, which is a combination of the lower band of the Bollinger Bands and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level, and has since corrected to the upside. Although the moving averages are confirming an overall bearish trend in the market, the recent bullish correction could persist into the upcoming sessions and potentially retest the latest high around $61, if it manages to break above the psychological resistance of the round number at $60. The Stochastic oscillator is in neutral levels, indicating potential for the price to move either way in the short term. However, the overly contracted Bollinger Bands may limit price action in the short term, likely keeping the price within sideways action between $58 and $62 for now. Disclaimer: The opinions in this article are personal to the writer and do not reflect those of Exness
TVC:USOIL
by antreas_themistokleous_exness
Solaria triples profits and aims to surpass €250 millionSolaria triples profits and aims to surpass €250 million in EBITDA Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades Solaria Energía y Medio Ambiente has reported exceptional results in the first nine months of 2025, with a net profit of €141.7 million, a 148% increase compared to the same period last year. Revenues rose to €258.9 million, up 65%, while EBITDA reached €230 million, a 75% increase over 2024. The company attributes this growth to the commissioning of new solar plants, optimization of financial costs, and diversification into new businesses such as energy storage and data centers. Solaria is on track to exceed its €250 million EBITDA target for the year, supported by international growth and the hybridization of its Garoña solar complex with 175 MW wind farms. Operationally, the company will have 3 GW installed by year-end, and 4.4 GW in operation and construction, highlighting projects such as Garoña (710 MW), Cataluña (200 MW), and Peralveche (150 MW). Additionally, it has received environmental approval to install 908 MWh of batteries across 11 solar plants, reinforcing its commitment to the energy transition and innovation. From a financial perspective, Solaria maintains a net debt of €1.316 billion, equivalent to 4.5× last 12 months EBITDA, but with positive operating cash flow and a share buyback program of up to 10% of share capital, of which 2.85% has already been executed. Technical Analysis On the market, SLR.ES is trading around €16, close to its 52-week high of €16.38, with a bullish candlestick forming in early Monday trading. The stock is above its 50-, 100-, and 200-day moving averages, with positive MACD momentum and an RSI in overbought territory at 66.16%, suggesting room for further gains. Key support levels are around €14.3 and €13.03, while a clear break above recent highs could drive the stock toward new peaks after consolidation movements throughout November. Conclusion Solaria combines strong fundamentals and operational growth with a favorable technical setup, establishing itself as a strategic player in solar energy and energy digitalization in Europe. The stock offers opportunities for medium- to long-term investors drawn by its energy transformation and diversification, as well as for traders looking to capitalize on current bullish momentum. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance and forecasting are not a synonym of a reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk. Political risk is unpredictable. Central bank actions can vary. Platform tools do not guarantee success.
BME:SLRLong
by ActivTrades
XAUUSD: daily review 17/11/2025Gold is slipping for a third straight day as traders lose confidence in a December Fed rate cut. With the Fed showing no urgency to ease and the recent government shutdown delaying key economic data, markets are operating in the dark. The fog around labor and inflation numbers is making policymakers hesitant, and traders are now split on the odds of a cut that seemed almost guaranteed a month ago. Physical demand in Asia is soft, with Indian dealers forced to offer heavy discounts after recent price swings scared off buyers. Even so, gold is still up roughly 55 percent this year and on track for its strongest annual gain since 1979. Central-bank buying and persistent global uncertainty continue to anchor the long-term bullish trend despite the short-term pullback. From a technical perspective, the price of gold has encountered sufficient resistance at $4,200, which is a combination of the psychological resistance of the round number and the upper band of the Bollinger Bands, and is currently correcting to the downside. On the other hand, the moving averages are validating the overall bullish trend in the market with the faster 50-day simple moving average trading well above the slower 100-day SMA. The Stochastic oscillator is in neutral levels, hinting that there is potential for the price to move in either direction in the short-term; however, the contracted Bollinger Bands show a decline in volatility, so any significant moves might need some time to happen unless we get a new catalyst in the market to create large volume. Disclaimer: The opinions in this article are personal to the writer and do not reflect those of Exness
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by antreas_themistokleous_exness
Ahead of Nvidia’s (NVDA) Earnings: How the Price Could MoveAhead of Nvidia’s (NVDA) Earnings: How the Price Could Move On Wednesday, after the close of the main US trading session, Nvidia will release its quarterly results — a report seen not merely as another batch of corporate data but as a crucial test for the entire AI-driven bull run. NVDA shares are up more than 40% since the start of the year, and the company must now prove that this surge is justified and that the AI revolution is still accelerating. According to media reports, Wall Street analysts remain optimistic: → Revenue: forecast around $54.9bn, implying roughly 56% year-on-year growth. → Earnings per share (EPS): about $1.25 (previous quarter: $1.05). What should investors focus on? Of particular importance will be: → data on Data Centre revenue, a key indicator of whether the AI boom remains intact; → forward guidance, as the market is looking for reassurance that Big Tech will continue to spend heavily on AI. Technical Analysis of the Nvidia (NVDA) Chart Recent price action in NVDA points to a sequence that can be interpreted as bearish: → 28 October: a strong rally above the psychological $200 level; → a failure to hold above that barrier; → a pullback on rising volumes (Nasdaq data) with expanding candles in early November. In the broader market context, it is notable that early November has seen NVDA underperforming major equity indices, signalling firm resistance from sellers around $200. From a bullish perspective, the decline from the all-time high resembles a correction pattern (shown in red) within a larger uptrend. However, there is a risk that the market’s high expectations will not be met when the earnings report is published. If that happens, NVDA could extend its decline towards the lower boundary of the rising channel, where support lies near $165. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by FXOpen
3
GOLD will rise after worries about financials reportsGold experienced two consecutive bearish sessions primarily due to the resolution of the government shutdown. This week, the main focus shifts to the upcoming financial reports and the extent to which the shutdown has affected the broader economy. Questions continue to arise regarding the previous month’s data and the possibility that some of those reports may never be released. A gap in financial reporting is never favorable, especially when paired with uncertainties surrounding this week’s releases—particularly those scheduled for Thursday. From a technical perspective, GOLD has reached a strong support zone and shown a clear rejection. A retest of this rejection is expected before price advances toward the target zone, supported by the fundamental uncertainties anticipated in the coming days.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by AhmedAzeez
1
NZD/USD Holds Ground as Markets Watch Fresh UpsideMarket Analysis: NZD/USD Holds Ground as Markets Watch Fresh Upside NZD/USD is also rising and might aim for more gains above 0.5700. Important Takeaways for NZD USD Analysis Today - NZD/USD is consolidating gains above the 0.5645 pivot level. - There is a major bullish trend line forming with support at 0.5655 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD. NZD/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of NZD/USD, the pair started a fresh increase from 0.5600. The New Zealand Dollar broke the 0.5650 barrier to start the recent rally against the US Dollar. The pair settled above 0.5650 and the 50-hour simple moving average. It tested 0.5690 and is currently consolidating gains. There was a minor pullback below 0.5670 and the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.5606 swing low to the 0.5691 high. The NZD/USD chart suggests that the RSI is now below 50. On the downside, immediate support is near the 0.5655 level and a major bullish trend line. The first key zone for the bulls sits at 0.5645 and the 50% Fib retracement. The next key level is 0.5625. If there is a downside break below 0.5625, the pair might slide toward 0.5605. Any more losses could lead NZD/USD into a bearish zone to 0.5550. On the upside, the pair might struggle near 0.5670. The next major resistance is near the 0.5690 level. A clear move above 0.5690 might even push the pair toward 0.5740. Any more gains might clear the path for a move toward the 0.5800 handle in the coming days. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
AUD/USD Holds Ground as Markets Watch Fresh UpsideMarket Analysis: AUD/USD Holds Ground as Markets Watch Fresh Upside AUD/USD started a fresh increase above 0.6500 and 0.6550. Important Takeaways for AUD USD Analysis Today - The Aussie Dollar started a decent increase above 0.6500 against the US Dollar. - There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at 0.6510 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD. AUD/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of AUD/USD, the pair started a fresh increase from 0.6500. The Aussie Dollar was able to clear 0.6550 to move into a positive zone against the US Dollar. There was a close above 0.6500 and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the pair tested 0.6580. A high was formed near 0.6580 and the pair recently started a short-term downside correction. There was a minor decline below 0.6550. There was a move below the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.6463 swing low to the 0.6580 high. On the downside, initial support is near a key bullish trend line at 0.6510 and the 61.8% Fib retracement. The next area of interest could be 0.6490. If there is a downside break below 0.6490, the pair could extend its decline toward the 0.6465 zone. Any more losses might signal a move toward 0.6420. On the upside, the AUD/USD chart indicates that the pair is now facing resistance near 0.6540 and the 50-hour simple moving average. The first major hurdle for the bulls might be 0.6550. An upside break above 0.6550 might send the pair further higher. The next stop is near 0.6580. Any more gains could clear the path for a move toward 0.6620. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
XRPUSDT → Consolidation before breaking through support BINANCE:XRPUSDT continues to storm the 2.24 support level amid a downtrend and a weak market. There is no bullish driver, and the fundamental background is also weak... Bitcoin breaks through the key support zone of 100K and enters a zone of panic and sell-offs. The cryptocurrency market is weak and facing seasonal sell-offs in the absence of a bullish driver. The correction may continue... XRP is forming a local downtrend with cascading resistance within a flat. The reaction to the 2.24 support is weakening and a pre-breakout base is forming. Before the fall, a retest of the 2.315 zone of interest is possible. Resistance levels: 2.315, 2.4465 Support levels: 2.24, 2.153, 2.097 A false breakout of 2.3146 could trigger a further decline, but a close below 2.153 could trigger a sell-off and a subsequent decline to the 2.153-2.097 zone. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
4
XAU/USD TRADING PLAN 11/17/20251️⃣ CONTEXT Last Friday saw a drop of ~200 points → confirming strong selling pressure. Today, there are no major news releases, potential movement: Wide sideways 4030–4120 Sell bias (prioritize selling at high zones) The major trend remains in a downward channel, with rebounds mainly for unloading. 2️⃣ GENERAL RULES SL: 10 points for all trades TP: 10 points for all trades 3️⃣ MAIN SELL ZONES 4120–4125 4146–4148 4160–4165 4182–4185 4210–4215 (strongest resistance of the day) 4️⃣ BUY ZONES (FOR REBOUND) 4056–4050 4033–4030 3996–3994 3966 3888 5️⃣ SUMMARY Bias: Sideways → prioritize Sell. Sell at resistance zones, Buy at strong support zones. SL/TP adjusted according to RR ratio 1:1, 1:2 Pay attention to appropriate volume
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Chum_trades
PRE-LONDON CONDITIONS — 17 Nov 2025I. Market Environment Dollar: Neutral overnight. No directional pressure in Asia. Yields: US10Y and US2Y stable — policy expectations unchanged. Risk: Equities firm but stretched. Volatility elevated from Friday. Focus: Light session before a heavy macro week. Liquidity: Cautious, headline-sensitive. II. Six-Chart Snapshot (All structural notes shown on your chart image — not repeated in text.) III. Cross-Asset Signals Yields keep the Dollar capped. Equities supported but fragile. Gold softer despite elevated volatility. Flows lean cautious. Global risk = neutral-to-defensive. IV. Core Drivers • Dollar behavior inside a neutral environment • Yield stability across the curve • Equity sensitivity with elevated volatility • London open → London fix → U.S. session flow V. Execution Notes — PEM Logic Follow higher-timeframe direction Ignore early-session noise Wait for structure + flow alignment Act only on confirmation Summary Neutral Dollar, stretched risk, elevated volatility — London opens in a cautious, event-driven environment. — CORE5DAN Institutional Logic. Modern Technology. Real Freedom.
TVC:US02Y
by CORE5DAN
#BTC_Dominance (Massive Decreasing leads to a - altcoin season)According to the Higher Time Frame Analysis we are receiving, if an Altcoin Season is to begin, the Bitcoin Dominance must drop downwards, as illustrated here. Consequently, we should also see an increase in Others Dominance or Ethereum Dominance, accompanied by BTC/USD turning Bullish and, conversely, USDT Dominance turning Bearish. If all of these events occur exactly in this manner, there is a strong possibility that the analysis presented in this chart will play out for us in 2026. Until we meet again with another analysis.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by Kalana_BB22
USD/JPY – Price Rejected From Key Supply ZoneUSD/JPY – Price Rejected From Key Supply Zone, Bearish Pressure Builds on H1 USD/JPY is showing renewed downside momentum after rejecting a major supply zone on the H1 timeframe. The market has formed a clear lower-high structure, and sellers are defending the upper boundary aggressively. Price is now retesting the lower support area, signaling the possibility of a continuation to the downside. 1. Technical Overview Price action on H1 highlights: A strong rejection from the supply zone around 0.006505, marked by long upper wicks and immediate sell-offs. Repeated failure to break above the resistance area suggests a weakening bullish structure. Price is currently hovering near the support baseline around 0.006448, which has held multiple times in the past. Market sentiment leans bearish as long as price stays below the recent swing high. 2. Key Levels to Watch Resistance 0.006500 – 0.006510: Strong supply zone, confirmed by sharp rejections. 0.006470: Local resistance and potential retest zone if price attempts a short pullback. Support 0.006448: Major support and the current downside target. 0.006435: Extended support if bearish momentum accelerates. 3. Indicator Confluence EMA: Price is trading below the short-term EMA, confirming bearish intraday structure. RSI: Moving near the mid-line, indicating neutral momentum but with a bearish tilt due to repeated supply pressure. Trendline: Downward minor trendline is respected, adding confluence to short-bias setups. 4. Trading Strategy Ideas Bearish Scenario (Primary) Entry: Near 0.006462 – 0.006470 Stop-Loss: Above 0.006500 Take Profit 1: 0.006448 Take Profit 2: 0.006435 This setup follows the supply rejection pattern and aligns with the lower-high structure. Bullish Scenario (Alternative) Activate only if price closes above 0.006510. Potential reversal toward 0.006530. Low probability at the moment due to market behavior. 5. Market Outlook USD/JPY remains under pressure after failing to break through the strong supply zone. Unless buyers can reclaim the upper resistance, the chart favors a continuation toward the major support at 0.006448. A confirmed break of this level may open the door for further declines. If you find this analysis helpful, feel free to follow for more daily trading strategies and market updates.
by Henrybillion
Something is happening with Bitcoin?- Bitcoin fell more than 25% from its Oct tops (ATHs) - It is trading below 96500, which has become a crucial pivotal point (PP) since its rally a year back, during which it first tested 100K milestone. - Falling of bitcoin below 96500 (PP) & 95000 (crucial psychological level) will force the prices to further fall - The ADX indicator also indicates that sellers are strong and more downward movements can be expected from the market - The prices could test the region between 83000 - 77500 if the weakness extends in Bitcoin Overall crypto market erased around $1.1 trillion in market cap, In the past 40 days * Ethereum slipped 12% in one week to $3,183, while major altcoins such as XRP, BNB, Tron, Solana, Dogecoin, Cardano, and Hyperliquid edged down over 16%. * The global crypto market capitalisation fell 0.71% to $3.23 trillion, according to CoinMarketCap. There haven't been many material bearish developments on the fundamental side of crypto. - A few days ago, President Trump said that his top priority is to make USA "number one in crypto" - Strategy founder Michael Saylor also recently denied rumors of dumping Bitcoin amid the BTC price plunge, claiming to have purchased it every day. Yet, Bitcoin is down -25% in one month. Also, leverage usage is high in crypto - For speculators, it's common to use leverage in crypto up to 20x, 50x, or even 100x. - As shown in the image below, a 2% move at 50x leverage would liquidate your position. - A lower leverage of 25x would also blow your account with not more than a 4% move When millions of traders are using leverage, this leads to a domino effect. Due to sudden downswings that happen in crypto, liquidations surge - basically, various buy positions close with a large sell position during liquidation.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Nadia_farhat
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Continue to watch for SELL at the ...LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Continue to watch for SELL at the start of the week – wait for price to retrace to the trendline & resistance for a perfect entry Gold is experiencing a sharp decline as the global market faces liquidity pressure. The simultaneous drop in gold, stocks, and Bitcoin indicates that money is being pulled out of risky assets and even safe havens, similar to tense periods like the 2008 crisis or the early 2020 pandemic. Investors are selling profitable assets to cover losses elsewhere. In the long term, gold typically recovers sooner, but in the short term, the downtrend still prevails. On H1, the price is below the descending trendline, under the 4100 resistance, and is moving in a clear Lower High – Lower Low structure. This is a good signal to continue prioritizing SELL orders retracing to resistance. 🔍 Technical Analysis (Trendline • S/R • Fibonacci • Liquidity) The descending trendline is the biggest barrier; each time the price touches the trendline, it is strongly rejected. Main Resistance: 4098–4100: resistance zone + confluence with trendline. 4120–4130: stronger zone if price retraces deeply (close to Fibo 0.382). Target Support: 4065: intermediate support – where the price has bounced slightly several times before. 4040 – 4025: large liquidity zone – confluence with the bottom of FVG H1. 3985–3995: the end zone of the down wave if selling pressure expands. Liquidity Zone: Many liquidity sweep bottoms continuously → indicating selling pressure still prevails. The lower FVG zone (around 4025–4040) is highly likely to be filled this week. 📉 Trading Scenario (prioritize SELL retrace) Scenario – SELL retrace to trendline + resistance (priority) Entry: 4098–4100 SL: 4106 TP: 4088 → 4065 → 4040 → 4025 💡 Suggestion: Wait for M5–M15 to form a rejection candle (pin bar / bearish engulfing) before executing the order. When to BUY? Only BUY if: H1 closes a candle above 4120, breaking the descending trendline → short-term trend phase change. If this signal is not present → do not rush to buy against the trend. ⚠️ Important Note The phenomenon of “selling everything to hold cash” may continue → gold may continue to face pressure in the short term. Which price zone are you watching for today's session? Comment below & Follow LiamTrading channel for the fastest updates!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX