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Fundamental Analysis

Oil Under Pressure!Crude oil futures rose more than 1% toward $60 per barrel on Friday, heading for an end to a two-week losing streak, supported by supply risks linked to geopolitical tensions. The impact of U.S. sanctions also began to appear early, as major Russian companies announced reductions in their oil-trading activities. Analysts warned that a large portion of Russia’s seaborne oil exports may face disruptions due to rerouted shipments and slow unloading, while purchases from some Asian countries have declined. Meanwhile, bearish pressure persisted as the International Energy Agency projected a growing supply glut, with global output expected to exceed demand by around 2.4 million barrels per day this year and 4 million next year. OPEC data also indicated a surplus in the third quarter, alongside rising U.S. production and increasing inventories. On the technical front, crude oil prices continue to trade in a overall downtrend, forming lower lows and maintaining a negative structure, with the next target located at $58.93. The downtrend would shift to an uptrend if the price rises above $61.403 and forms a higher high on the 4-hour timeframe.
CFI:WTI
by CFI
XAUUSD: Focus on trading opportunities at these two levels todayMarket Review: Yesterday, the U.S. government struggled back into operation, and gold reacted with a sharp spike followed by an equally sharp reversal. During the U.S. session, prices once again tested the $2,240–$2,250 resistance zone, but failed to break through and subsequently plunged, giving back the entirety of the day’s gains. In yesterday’s trading strategy, I highlighted the $2,240–$2,250 resistance area, noting that failure to break above would provide a short opportunity. The nearly $100 price drop that followed should have allowed anyone who followed the strategy to secure substantial profits. Market Analysis: On the 1-hour chart, the key short-term resistance for gold is around $2,210—the rebound high from last night and also the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. As long as $2,210 fails to break, gold is likely to maintain a range-bound to bearish bias today, offering opportunities to position on the short side. Key support lies at $2,150, which coincides with a previous swing high and the lowest point of yesterday’s retracement rebound. If prices pull back to this level without breaking below, it provides a potential long entry setup. Trading Strategy: The strategy is straightforward $2,210 and $2,150 are today’s critical levels. As long as these levels hold, each offers an entry opportunity. It’s best to avoid chasing breakouts; instead, focus on selling high and buying low within the defined range. Overall, short setups from higher levels appear more favorable for today’s market conditions.
TVC:GOLDShort
by James_AU
gold in side waysin day gold price reach abv fibo premium zone day correction of buy(sell) it gave abv -50 points(day confrm point) drop so 75% confrms sell so use mid lot for sell what entry i marked 100% selling confrms once 4093 cross now market give +50point up and again +25point confms on 4hrs fibo discount area abv 4093 so 4hrs trnd has confrms that buy contuies so use high mid lot for buy what i marked in chart ath this point selling 60% possible,75% buying posssible,85% side ways possible
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SATHAYAM_ACADEMY
GOLD → Correction and retest 4150 FX:XAUUSD still retains its bullish structure. The price is entering a correction phase within the trading range. The key support level that may attract the attention of MM is 4150. The probability of a decline in December fell to 51% (from 63% the day before) after hawkish statements by Fed officials. Government bond yields are rising. These factors are putting pressure on gold. However, a weak dollar, a flight to safe assets amid global market sell-offs, and uncertainty surrounding US data (September reports may be published, but October data is likely to be lost) are providing support for the bullish trend. Gold retains its growth potential due to macro risks. A short-term correction is possible due to profit-taking ahead of the weekend, but the $4150 level remains key support. Resistance levels: 4211, 4239 Support levels: 4161, 4150, 4100 Within the current trading range, the focus is on support at 4161 - 4148. A false breakdown and bulls holding prices above key levels could trigger a rebound and growth to local resistance levels... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
12
IBM Accelerates the Quantum RaceIBM Accelerates the Quantum Race: Technological Revolution or Premature Promise? By Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades IBM is once again at the center of the technology debate after unveiling two breakthroughs that could redefine the future of quantum computing. Its new experimental chip “Loon” and the “Nighthawk” processor reveal an ambitious roadmap: achieving useful quantum computers by 2026 and fault-tolerant systems before 2029. If successful, this endeavor could transform fields ranging from artificial intelligence to cybersecurity. The Loon processor integrates error-correction algorithms inspired by mobile technology, an unusual approach aimed at addressing one of the main challenges in quantum computing: the fragility of qubits. However, building it is far from trivial. It requires more qubits and an increasing number of quantum connections, significantly raising manufacturing complexity. At the same time, IBM introduced Nighthawk, a chip designed to run more complex quantum circuits, which, according to the company, could outperform classical computers in specific tasks by 2026. This technological duo positions IBM in a race alongside giants like Google and specialized startups that are already attracting billions in funding. Fundamental: A Business Reinventing Itself, But Not Without Challenges Beyond the media impact, IBM continues to consolidate its transition toward a software-, AI-, and hybrid-cloud-focused model, areas that provide higher margins. Its more traditional divisions—such as infrastructure—continue to pressure growth, forcing the company to rely on emerging segments and disruptive technology to support its narrative. Quantum progress today is a driver of expectations, but it does not yet generate direct profits. Mass commercialization will take time, and competition does not stand still. Nevertheless, IBM maintains solid cash flow and an investment strategy aimed at capturing technological advantage in the coming years. Technical: Key Levels and Mixed Signals From a technical perspective, IBM shares display a constructive structure. The price is holding above the support that acted as an impulse zone during the last clear bullish movement. The range $262.57–$301.46 was breached, and its upper boundary now serves as a new floor for the current accumulation zone after reaching historical highs of $324.90 on Wednesday, November 12. Currently, the RSI sits at 56.12%, and the MACD entering a negative histogram seems to indicate a consolidation phase. This construction zone needs to be solidified before moving toward $330. The previous impulse marks a Point of Control (POC) at $281.84 within the prior range, while the bell-shaped formation appears to be creating a third formation centered around yesterday’s price of approximately $305, serving as the current midpoint, relatively close to yesterday’s close. A bearish scenario could push the price back toward the mid-range of the prior trading range. Finally, the ActivTrades US Market Pulse indicates neutrality leaning toward RISK OFF, suggesting that this general market correction could trigger increased pre-holiday institutional liquidation flows. Raising the Bar on Expectations IBM combines tradition and innovation at a critical moment: its quantum announcements reinforce a narrative of technological leadership while raising the bar of expectations. If Nighthawk and Loon meet the announced timelines, IBM could position itself at the forefront of the next computing revolution. Until then, the market will continue observing a stock with potential, albeit still dependent on execution and the internal transition of its core business. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance and forecasting are not a synonym of a reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk. Political risk is unpredictable. Central bank actions can vary. Platform tools do not guarantee success.
NYSE:IBM
by ActivTrades
LiamTrading –XAUUSD H1|Gold approaches trendline – ready to...LiamTrading –XAUUSD H1|Gold approaches trendline – ready to explode, waiting for a breakout to choose direction! Gold is moving close to the lower trendline of the ascending channel, indicating an accumulation state – waiting to choose direction. The price has not broken the 4210 resistance zone, but neither has it breached the trendline, so today's fluctuation will revolve around this structure. If the buying force is strong enough and closes the H1 candle above 4210, the upward trend will be reactivated with a broader target. Conversely, if the price breaks below the trendline, gold may fall to the POC area according to Volume Profile/Fibonacci around 4126–4130, where it will prioritize finding buy signals according to the main trend. 🔍 Technical Analysis (Volume Profile • Trendline • S/R • Fibonacci) H1 Ascending Channel: Price is testing the trendline for the second time → a pullback bounce is likely if the selling force is weak. Strong Resistance: 4210: hard resistance – needs to break to confirm an increase. 4230: extended area, coinciding with the channel peak – likely to have strong reactions. Important Support: 4174: intermediate support; breaking this level will trigger a short-term decline. 4126–4130: POC + large liquidity according to Volume Profile – the best buying area if a deep correction occurs. Market Signal: Weak candles in the 4180–4190 area indicate gold is waiting for USD information before making a move. 📈 Daily Trading Scenarios Scenario 1 – Buy according to trend (priority) Entry: 4126–4128 (POC + Volume Profile support) SL: 4120 TP: 4140 → 4156 → 4180 → 4198 Suggestion: Wait for a rejection candle or reversal pattern at 412x. Scenario 2 – Sell when breaking trendline (counter-trend) Condition: H1 breaks below trendline + retest fails Entry: 4174–4176 SL: 4182 TP: 4150 → 4135 → 4110 Note: Only sell when there is a confirmation candle; this is a short-term scalping order. Scenario 3 – Buy when breaking and holding above 4210 (Break & Retest) Entry: 4212–4216 SL: 4202 TP: 4230 → 4260 → 4285 🌍 Macro Analysis – USD under pressure from new tariff plans President Trump is preparing to cut tariffs on goods from many Latin American countries (beef, bananas, coffee...). Objective: reduce domestic food prices, lower import costs. This could weaken the USD when officially announced → gold benefits in the medium term. ⚠️ Invalid Conditions H1 closes below 4120 → loses upward structure, may slide to 4090–4100. H1 closes above 4230 → cancel all sell orders, prioritize buying on breakout. Which price area are you observing? Please comment below & hit Follow on LiamTrading channel to receive the earliest analysis every day!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
EURUSD → Correction for consolidation before growth FX:EURUSD is in a “liquidity hunt” phase, testing an intermediate support level, and may continue to rise if the dollar's decline intensifies... On the daily timeframe, the price is within a wide trading range, but at the same time, it is breaking through the resistance of the local downtrend, which allows us to observe bullish sentiment in the market. The trend is changing, and there are local confirmations of the presence of bulls in the market... Without reaching the resistance level of the range, the price is consolidating and correcting, testing the key support level of 1.1618. If the bulls hold this area, the price will continue to rise to 1.1667 - 1.1728. Support levels: 1.1618, 1.1577 Resistance levels: 1.1667, 1.1728 A false breakdown and price consolidation above 1.1618 could lead to a continuation of the bullish momentum and the achievement of the first key target of 1.1667. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
5
Natural Gas Prices Hover Near a Three-Year HighNatural Gas Prices Hover Near a Three-Year High As the XNG/USD chart shows today, natural gas prices are trading close to the March peak, which is the highest level since December 2022. According to Trading Economics, the rise in gas prices has been driven by several factors: → Despite short-term warming in the US, weather models point to colder conditions ahead. → LNG exports remain elevated, as European buyers continue seeking alternatives to Russian gas. In November, average shipments across the eight major US terminals reached 17.8 billion cubic feet per day, exceeding the previous record of 16.7 billion in October. → The International Energy Agency expects global demand for oil and gas to continue rising until 2050, reflecting uncertainties surrounding the pace of the energy transition. At the same time, chart analysis suggests that the upside potential may be limited. Technical Analysis of XNG/USD Price action is approaching a major resistance area, formed by: → the upper boundary of the channel, widened after the bullish breakout in late October; → the psychological level of $5.000 per MMBtu; → the previously mentioned March high. Meanwhile, the more than 50% rally since early autumn has been significant, and long-position holders may be tempted to take profits. Therefore, if the price attempts to break above these resistance levels, it may result in a false bullish breakout (a buyer’s trap) followed by a pullback. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XNGUSD
by FXOpen
1
BTCUSD | London Session | Bullish Structure BalanceThe monthly bullish structure balance has now been filled, and the higher-timeframe map remains intact. BTC continues to rotate inside a bullish range and is still positioned in the discount zone. Range boundaries: • Range low (invalidation): 78.167 • Range high (continuation): 123.231 As long as price holds above the range low, the bullish bias stands. - Market Structure Mapping (MSM) — Current View The structural picture is straightforward: BTC is holding a clean range. There is no breakdown. No structural shift. The architecture is stable. Cross-market structure adds context: • The U.S. dollar sits directly on a major volume node. If the dollar pushes higher from here, risk assets usually feel it. If the dollar softens, crypto keeps its bullish rotation. • FX majors recently cleared liquidity lows, resetting the structural map. • Crypto majors remain balanced with no directional damage. This is a classic data-waiting phase. The structure is already drawn. The market is waiting for a catalyst to decide the next expansion path. - Precision Execution Modeling (PEM) — Guidance for Volatile News Days When heavy data is on the calendar, PEM shifts the playbook: • Do not react to the first spike. The wick is emotion. The candle close is intent. • Step back to higher timeframes. 4H and 1D candles filter out noise and reveal real direction. • Expect wicks to violate levels without changing structure. Large funds do not trigger algorithms on a random spike; they react to confirmed structure. • Protect capital until the market shows its hand. In fast conditions, patience is a position. CORE5 : If you need excitement, watch Netflix. If you need results, wait for the candle close. — CORE5DAN Institutional Logic. Modern Technology. Real Freedom.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CORE5DAN
EUR/USD long: Love it or lump itHello traders My last EUR/USD trade ended in a 20 pip profit. No complaints. This is a purely fundamental trade. Markets have been roiled since president Trump announced the liberation day tariffs in April 2025. This situation is heading for a conclusion of some sorts this week. The US Supreme Court hearing on the legality of the tariffs start on Wednesday 11/5/2025. That is where the countdown starts on this trade. Up until then I do no expect any significant moves in the pair given the sanguine ECB rate decision and the FOMC decision that may be interpreted as hawkish but is actually guided by the lack of data due to the US Government shut down. A hundred plus companies have filed WARN notices indicating plans to lay off employees in November. This list includes Meta, Amazon, UPS and Alphabet. While a pull back in AI hiring and consolidation is certainly a contributing factor, it is more likely that major S&P 500 companies are expecting more headwinds and/or hedging against the tariff outcome, moving into 2026. It is still easier to hire than fire in the USA... Therefore, this currency pair is caught between the deteriorating US labor market and the market outlook based on potential inflation increase once the US Supreme Court renders the final word on the tariff situation. But everyone knows that already. At this point it is really a crap shoot but I am OK with a small bet on this trade. Stop below 1.1495, the 6/2/2025 weekly high. Do your own reading and research and best of luck.
Long
by jvrfxalerts
2
FTNT sell off is it over?Fortinet experienced a sell-off despite a double earnings beat. The company's fundamentals remain robust, characterized by solid financials and positive free cash flow (FCF). Fundamentally, nothing has changed. From a technical analysis standpoint, the price reacted to the first algorithmic target level and subsequently retraced to the Last Point of Support (LPS), a key level within my proprietary theory. According to this framework, the price must now react with an explosive upward move, similar to what was observed in Duolingo. The theoretical price target is the second algorithmic target level, which coincides with all-time highs. This is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
NASDAQ:FTNTLong
by PtSp86
EUR/USD short: Trading in the fog...Hello traders I have closed my long EUR/USD long: 1 standard position at 1.1525 and another at 1.1475 for a profit. I suspect we are all trading/driving with our fog lights on. Due to the lack of USD data, I have been trading on the assumption of a deteriorating USA labor market. Now that the Government shutdown is out of the way, it will be time to focus on fundamentals: WHEN we finally receive the data. But, from a technical perspective it appears that the market has reached a conclusion of some sort already after last night's USD selloff. BTC is below $100k (USD positive IF it is because of NO anticipated FOMC cut in December) Gold is retreating from the weekly close of 4,2150.38(currently at 4,171.60) VIX is still elevated/uncertainty??? CME FedWatch Tool is now at a 50.7% probability of a December cut. US 10Y yield ticking up and US 10 Y T-note ticking lower: USD positive The EURO zone is by most standards in a neutral position. That leaves us with the technical side. The EUR/USD spike to 1.1918 scrambled the technical picture. IF the time tested 12H parallel channel (down) is an indication, the pair may be reversing again. Do your own research and please provide your own insights. Best of luck. I look forward to your thoughts and IDEAS.
Short
by jvrfxalerts
1
Copper/Gold: The Economic Cycle Ratio1) Understanding stock ratios: a relative performance indicator In finance, a stock ratio is a simple yet powerful tool to compare the relative performance of two assets, indices, or securities. It is calculated by dividing the price or value of asset A by that of asset B. The main advantage of a ratio is its ability to show which component is outperforming the other. When the ratio curve is rising, the numerator outperforms the denominator: asset A gains value faster or loses less during a downturn. Conversely, a falling curve indicates the denominator is taking the lead. This analysis helps investors choose between asset classes, sectors, or regions and identify market rotations. 2) Focus on the Copper/Gold ratio: a barometer of the economic cycle The Copper/Gold ratio is widely followed as an advanced indicator of the economic cycle and risk appetite. Copper, a key industrial metal, reflects global demand and economic growth: the stronger the economy, the higher copper prices. Gold, in contrast, is a safe haven and tends to rise during economic or financial uncertainty. Thus, a rising Copper/Gold ratio indicates copper is outperforming gold, signaling market confidence and economic growth. A falling ratio signals caution and rising risks. This ratio allows analysts to anticipate expansion or contraction phases in the global economic cycle and adjust risk exposure. 3) Current situation: a low point with a bullish divergence forming The Copper/Gold ratio is near cyclical lows, but a bullish price/momentum divergence is forming. If confirmed, it could be a positive signal for risky assets in the stock market. DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. 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OANDA:XCUUSDEducation
by Swissquote
Gold price developments today, November 141. Trendline Descending trendline (upper red): Price is repeatedly rejected here → a strong dynamic resistance. Ascending trendline (lower red): Price has bounced multiple times → an important dynamic support, forming a confluence with the 0.618 Fibonacci level. 2. Resistance 4,215 – 4,225: Supply zone + confluence with the descending trendline → a high-probability selling area. If price breaks strongly above 4,225, the next expansion target is 4,244. 3. Support 4,172 – 4,155 (Fibo 0.5 – 0.618): Nearest support, likely to see a reaction. 4,127 – 4,130: The strongest support zone, aligned with the ascending trendline → a potential buying area. 4. Price Scenarios Scenario 1 (primary): Price retraces to retest 4,215–4,225, gets rejected → declines toward 4,155 or deeper to 4,127. Scenario 2: If the descending trendline breaks, price could rally strongly toward 4,244. BUY GOLD : 4127 - 4130 Stoploss : 4113 Take Profit : 100-300-500pips SELL GOLD : 4221-4224 Stoploss : 4233 Take Profit : 100-300-500pips
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AstronautPioneer