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Fundamental Analysis

A 10x on APLD ? Applied Digital has confirmed a multi-year symmetrical triangle breakout on the weekly chart, marked by immense volume and a clean breakout above long-term downtrend resistance. The base of the triangle spans several years, with consistent higher lows forming a solid support line. 🔺 Breakout Volume: Massive volume surge confirms strong institutional or speculative buying interest. 🟠 Heavy Resistance: $28.60 identified as the next major challenge before a full trend expansion. 🧠 Measured Move Target: Triangle projection suggests potential upside toward $140.00 , a 3,000%+ move from the breakout zone. 🟨 Support Zones: $11.00 (area of demand) and $4.50 (triangle confirmation level) now act as strong support. APLD is showing early-stage parabolic potential after confirming a multi-year consolidation breakout. With strong volume, bullish structure, and long-term accumulation patterns, it now targets a multi-bagger move. A pullback to $11.00 would offer a high-conviction re-entry zone.
NASDAQ:APLDLong
by HernandezCapital
18
GBPUSD: High-Probability Short from Premium Supply Zone (3H)Timeframe: 3-Hour (3H) Asset: British Pound / U.S. Dollar (GBPUSD) Cable is setting up for a clean counter-trend move driven by institutional order flow. The current price action is clearly indicating a pending reversal from a key supply zone. THE SETUP: Liquidity Sweep: Price action suggests a final move is needed to clear stops (TS - Target Stops) resting above the 1.31416 high (CRTH). This sweep should liquidate buyers before the real move down. FVG Entry: The ideal short entry sits within the Fair Value Gap (FVG). This imbalance zone (between 1.3148 and 1.3168 approx.) represents institutional distribution that we expect price to efficiently re-test and reject. Target Objective: The ultimate target is the low-hanging liquidity, or Control Target Low (CRTL), marked at 1.30590. This level offers a highly favorable Risk-to-Reward ratio. Trade Plan: Bias: Short (Selling rallies after sweep) Entry: Look for bearish rejection and confirmation (Market Structure Shift on lower timeframe) inside or just above the highlighted FVG, after the 1.31416 level is tagged. Stop Loss (Invalidation): A sustained closure above the top of the FVG/Supply Zone (around 1.3175). Take Profit: 1.30590 (CRTL) This is a premium zone, aligning the liquidity grab with an unmitigated imbalance. Waiting for confirmation is crucial here! Do you agree with the target? Drop a comment below! Greetings, MrYounity
Short
by MrYounity
1
EURUSD: Preparing for a Liquidity Grab & Reversal (3H)📉 EURUSD: Preparing for a Liquidity Grab & Reversal (3H) Timeframe: 3-Hour (3H) Asset: Euro / U.S. Dollar (EURUSD) Price action on the 3H chart suggests we are setting up for a high-probability reversal. The recent bullish push has created clear liquidity above the current market price, making it an ideal target for a Stop Hunt (TS) into the Control Target High (CRTH) zone at 1.15958. THE SETUP: Liquidity Sweep: We anticipate a final manipulation move (sweep) above the most recent high to clear out early sellers and grab stops resting at the CRTH at 1.15958. Reversal Confirmation: We will be looking for a strong bearish structural shift or displacement (e.g., a break of a lower timeframe low) after the CRTH level is tagged. Target Objective: The main target for this potential short is the Control Target Low (CRTL) at 1.15629, which represents a significant level of underlying liquidity and a prior range low. Trade Plan: Bias: Short (Counter-trend/Scalp) Entry: Look for bearish confirmation after the 1.15958 CRTH level is swept. Stop Loss (Invalidation): Place Stop Loss above the confirmed swing high established after the CRTH sweep. Take Profit: 1.15629 (CRTL) The market has a strong tendency to seek and clear these high-volume liquidity zones before reversing. Don't anticipate the reversal—wait for the reaction! What are your entry conditions? Let me know what you think! Greetings, MrYounity
Short
by MrYounity
Opportunities are plentiful; what's lacking is patience.Gold Technical Analysis: On Wednesday, a large bullish candlestick broke through the 4150 resistance level during the US session, ending the recent sideways consolidation. The price reached a high of around 4210. As we repeatedly emphasized on Wednesday, after consolidation, further upward movement was expected, opening a new upward channel. The market has largely lived up to expectations. The key focus now is on the sustainability of this upward move. Structurally, with this strong rally, all timeframes are in a bullish alignment. The immediate resistance levels to watch are around the 4-hour upper Bollinger Band at 4215, and the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, around 4275. These two levels are expected to provide some temporary resistance for the bulls. As the price has risen, the support level has gradually moved higher. The primary support level to watch in the short term is 4150. This level is a previous resistance zone that has repeatedly faced downward pressure and is currently a top-to-bottom reversal point. As long as the gold price holds above this level, the bullish trend will continue. The important support level is around 4100. As long as the price stays above this level, the upward trend will not change. Therefore, for the end of the week, we will continue to be bullish with 4150 and 4100 as support levels. Gold prices have broken through the previous resistance zone around 4150 on the 4-hour chart. Both bulls and bears have made substantial profits over the past few trading days. If the price can hold above 4150, it is highly likely to reach 4250-4270 tomorrow. At the end of the trading day, pay attention to whether there will be a pullback followed by a second upward move. Also, watch for support around 4160-4150 in the final minutes of the trading day. The upward momentum after the recent breakout should continue, although the deviation in the smaller timeframes is slightly large. We should watch for any short-term corrections. On the hourly chart, watch the low of 4097 from Tuesday's pullback. The US session saw a rapid rise above 4150, indicating a low probability of a significant drop; at most, it will only be a pullback. Short-term focus should be on buying on dips, using the 4150 level (a previous support/resistance level) as support, and also looking for opportunities to buy at the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. In summary, today's gold trading strategy should prioritize buying on dips, with selling on rallies as a secondary approach. Key resistance levels to watch are 4250-4275, and key support levels are 4150-4170. Please stay on track.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Daniel_PrimeFX
XAUUSD: Liquidity Sweep Incoming? Short Setup Identified! Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M) Asset: Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD) Gold has reached a critical decision point. After a sharp move into the recent Fair Value Gap (FVG), the market structure is signaling a potential continuation of the bearish move to hunt for lower-level liquidity. We are currently seeing rejection at the lower boundary of the FVG, suggesting institutional pressure is likely stepping in to defend this area. The failure to trade convincingly above the FVG's equilibrium offers a strong conviction for a short-term reversal. THE PLAN: Entry/Bias: Maintaining a SHORT bias as long as price action respects the FVG high. Target: The primary objective is the (CRTL) zone around $4,180.26. This level represents significant prior support and an area where retail stops are likely resting—a perfect liquidity grab. Invalidation: A decisive close (candle body) above the FVG would invalidate this setup and suggest a move higher is pending. Keep a close eye on price interaction with $4,197.90. This looks like a high-probability opportunity to participate in a liquidity sweep. What are your thoughts? Drop a comment and let me know if you are long or short Gold this week! Trade smart, not hard. Greetings, MrYounity
VANTAGE:XAUUSDShort
by MrYounity
Fundamental analysis of Gold (XAU/USD)GOLD Here’s a fundamental analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) 1. Interest Rates & Real Yields One of the biggest drivers of gold is real interest rates (nominal interest rates minus inflation). When real yields are low or negative, gold becomes more attractive since it carries no coupon. In recent weeks, growing expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates have boosted gold’s appeal. For example, analysts see a high probability of a Fed rate cut in December. Also, as long-term inflation remains stubborn, the “opportunity cost” of holding gold (rather than interest-earning assets) is lower, which favours gold. --- 2. U.S. Dollar Strength & Currency Effects Gold is priced in U.S. dollars, so a weaker dollar typically supports higher gold prices (foreign buyers get more gold for their money). Recently the dollar has shown some weakness, which helps gold. Conversely, if the dollar strengthens sharply (for example because of safe-haven flows into USD or a surprise strong US economy), that could temper gold’s upside. --- 3. Central Bank & Institutional Demand Central banks around the world continue to buy gold as part of reserve diversification and as a hedge against currency risk. This structural demand supports gold’s medium- and long-term fundamentals. At the same time, investment flows (via ETFs, etc.) are rising, showing that institutional investors are leaning into gold. This adds to upward pressure. --- 4. Geopolitical & Macro Risk Premium Gold is still viewed as a “safe-haven” asset. Elevated geopolitical risks, recession fears, or inflation shocks tend to push investors into gold. Reports suggest the current market environment — with elevated macro risks — favours gold’s role as a hedge. So, if new shocks (trade, geopolitics, monetary policy) emerge, they could accelerate the move upward. --- 5. Supply, Demand & Inflation Dynamics While gold supply (mining + recycling) is relatively stable, demand from investment and central banks is increasing — tightening the balance somewhat. Meanwhile inflation remains elevated in many economies, which supports gold’s appeal as a store of value. --- 6. Key Fundamental Takeaways (Bullish Scenario) If the Fed begins cutting rates, real yields fall → gold rises. If the dollar weakens further, that boosts gold’s dollar-price. If central banks amplify gold purchases and investment flows remain strong, that structural demand underpins prices. If geopolitical or macro risks increase, gold benefits from the safe-haven bid. Together, these suggest a favourable environment for gold to continue its up-trend. --- 7. Key Risks / What Could Go Wrong If inflation falls rapidly and the Fed holds firm or even raises rates, real yields may rise → that would pressure gold. If the dollar strengthens significantly (e.g., due to strong US growth or safe-haven demand), gold could face headwinds. A sudden improvement in global risk appetite might shift flow away from safe assets like gold. Supply-side overshoot or substitution into other assets could dampen inflows.
TVC:GOLDLong
by John_Mampane
1
BTCprice has flushed out week hands from high leverage longs. however market is showing strength and we are ready for the next leg up. checking the order flow and liquidation clusters, next liquidation is at the upside. Demand Zones (Support): $98,000 - $100,000 - MAJOR DEMAND ZONE (multiple bounces, high volume) Entry Zone 1: $99,000 - $101,500 (CURRENT - Aggressive) Entry Zone 2: $97,000 - $99,000 (Pullback - Ideal) T1: $101,950,000 (+4.5% from current) - Take 30% off T2: $102,500 (+9%) - Take 40% off T3: $103,000 (+13%) - Take 20% off final Tp: 105k STOP LOSS: $96,500
Long
by crypto_Rida
2
GOLD → Consolidation above 4100...FX:XAUUSD consolidates above $4,100 ahead of a key vote in the US House of Representatives on reopening the government. The rise is supported by weak employment data and expectations of Fed policy easing... Key factors: Losses of more than 11,000 jobs per week until the end of October have heightened concerns about the labor market. The probability of a Fed rate cut in December has risen to 68%. Lower government bond yields and a weaker dollar have supported gold. The resumption of data publication after the shutdown may change market sentiment (it is important to monitor actual data). Gold retains its upside potential, but a short-term correction is possible. The outcome of the vote in Congress will determine the immediate dynamics. Resistance levels: 4148, 4161 Support levels: 4097, 4075, 4046 If the bulls keep gold above 4100-4120, then in the short term, the market will be able to test resistance for a breakout. However, as a primary retest, I expect a rebound before the breakout and growth, provided that the fundamental background remains unchanged and continues to support the market... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
9
Insight Enterprises | NSIT | Long at $92.10Insight Enterprises NASDAQ:NSIT Technical Analysis Price entered my "crash" simple moving average zone. Often, but not always, this is an area of algorithmic share accumulation and price reversal. A red flag, however, is that there are still open price gaps on the daily chart down to $50. A green flag is that there are open price gaps up to $215. While the price gaps below will likely get filled in the future, I am betting on a short-term reversal (if not longer-term one) given the prospective growth and its current P/E of 20x (electronic industry currently near 30x). Insight AI Stock enters the "crash" zone, and suddenly there is an generative AI announcement to drive revenue and EPS growth: www.businesswire.com . Intentional drive down of stock price for entry? Time will tell. Revenue and Earnings-per-Share Growth into 2028 Revenue: $8.32 billion in 2025 to $9.88 billion in 2028 (+10.8%) EPS: $9.64 in 2025 to $12.38 in 2028 (+28.4%) Health Debt-to-Equity: 0.9x (pretty good) Quick Ratio / ability to pay current bills: 1.3 (1.5-3.0 is ideal, but still pretty good) Alman's Z Score / risk of bankruptcy: 1.8 (3+ is ideal, so moderate risk) EBIDTA: 5% to 7% range, which is generally considered healthy Action Given the "value", AI integration, technical analysis assessment, and growth, NASDAQ:NSIT is in a personal buy zone at $92.10. Caution if the stock dead-cat bounces and aims to drop further into the $50s, but I suspect fundamentals will have to dramatically change in the near-term for that to happen (or the economy crashes)... Conservative Targets into 2028 $105.00 (+14.0%) $117.00 (+27.0%)
NASDAQ:NSITLong
by WorthlessViews
EURUSD → An attempt to reverse the bearish trend...FX:EURUSD on the daily timeframe is breaking through the resistance of the downward price channel that has been developing for two months. Confirmation of the trend reversal is needed... The dollar has been testing support at 99.3 for several days now, and the likelihood of a further decline is only increasing. The decline of the dollar will have a positive effect on the euro exchange rate. The currency pair is forming a battle for the 1.1577 zone, a key area of support against the backdrop of an uptrend. If the bulls keep the price above this level, it will confirm the price entering a new trading range, which in turn will open the way to 1.1667. Support levels: 1.1577, 1.1541 Resistance levels: 1.1622, 1.1667 A consolidation of the price above the support of the new trading range and a subsequent breakout of the local maximum could confirm a trend reversal, which could trigger a rally to 1.1667 - 1.174. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
7
BTC/USD 4H chart 🧭 1️⃣ Market structure • We see a clear upward channel (black trend lines) - the price has been moving within it for several days/weeks. • Current price: ~USD 101,630, which is just above the lower border of the channel (dynamic support). • Latest high: ~$107,360 - this is local resistance. • Final low: ~$99,000 - this is key psychological and technical support. ➡️ Medium-term trend: still upwards, but currently in a downward correction wave 📉 3️⃣ Technical indicators 🔸 Stochastic RSI (bottom panel) • Both components (blue and orange lines) are close to the oversold zone (<20). • This is a signal that sellers may be losing momentum, and a rebound from the lower support is possible in the coming hours. ⸻ ⚖️ 4️⃣ Short-term scenarios (4H – 1D) 🟢 Bull scenario (probability around 60%) • The rate remains above USD 101,400 (lower border of the channel). • Stochastic RSI begins to rebound → buy signal. • Potential move up to: • USD 103,900 (first target) • USD 105,900 (second target) • USD 107,300 (main resistance) ➡️ Scenario invalidation: 4H candle close below USD 101,000. ⸻ 🔴 Bear scenario (probability approx. 40%) • Breakout of the USD 101,000 level with a 4H close below. • Decline to $99,000-99,200 zone (major support). • If this support breaks, next goals: • $97,800 • $95,000 ⸻ 📊 5️⃣ Technical signal (4H) ➡️ Decision Zone: $101,000-$101,800 ➡️ Technical signal: possible short-term rebound (RSI oversold, close to channel support). ➡️ Confirmation: 4H candle closing above USD 102,000 with volume - then a chance of a move to USD 104-106k.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by cryptodailyuk
High Growth Super APP at under 6 PEKaspi is a super app with ecommerce, fintech, mobile payments and more all in one. High Profit margin, High growth potential and trading at a very low PE. Not without risk, the stock is in Kazakhstan, right below Russia. "Kaspi is like the Amazon + PayPal of Kazakhstan – one app for shopping, paying bills, and loans. Everyone uses it, so it keeps growing fast. It makes a ton of money on every dollar it earns – 35 cents profit per $1 in sales, way better than most companies. The stock is on sale – costs $71 but could be worth $489 next year if people see how fast it grows. Grows earnings 18% every year – like your allowance doubling every 4 years, forever. Almost no debt – only owes 27 cents for every $1 it owns, super safe. Holds $2 billion cash – enough to buy back shares or expand without worry. Bosses own 44% of the company – they win only if you win. Expanding to Turkey – like opening new stores in a bigger mall. Makes $6.74 free cash per share – could pay big dividends later or grow faster. If growth stays, $71 today → $2,164 in 10 years – "
NASDAQ:KSPILong
by ValuePig
GBPUSD: Highly Probable +1400 Pips Trading Setup! Dear Traders, 📌GBPUSD has shown strong bullish momentum, with price action indicating upward pushes. However, caution is advised as temporary pullbacks are possible before sustained rallies resume. The pair’s movement is influenced by the US Dollar Index (DXY), which is showing signs of potential weakness. This supports the bullish outlook for GBPUSD. 📌Currently, the pair is in a bullish trend with temporary corrective dips expected. There’s a safe entry area for buyers around the ‘blue marked’ arrow. Three profit targets are marked, each for partial or full profit-taking. Avoid early entries near the ‘red marked’ arrow area, as it carries higher risk. Instead, prefer entries after the price breaks above the trend line, confirms liquidity absorption, and retests the breakout zone. 📌Furthermore, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is likely to decline due to upcoming economic data and market sentiment, which will favour GBP strength. The UK economic outlook is positive, supporting Sterling’s resilience. However, US economic uncertainty, with slowing growth and potential interest rate adjustments, may further pressure the dollar. 📌Finally, wait for the price to revisit the ‘blue marked’ support for a safer entry opportunity. Enter long positions after the trend line breaks and retests confirmation. Aim for the three defined targets, scaling out positions progressively. Maintain disciplined risk management throughout. If you enjoy our work, please like and comment on the post. Your support means the world to us and encourages us to share more educational trading setups. If you’d like us to analyse any other trading plans, please comment below, and we’ll analyse them as soon as possible. 📊❤️ ⚠️Disclaimer⚠️ This is not financial advice and is only for educational purposes. Please do your own research and make decisions based on your own knowledge and chart analysis. Financial markets can lead to serious losses, so have a thorough trading plan and risk management strategy. Thank you❤️ Team Setupsfx_
Long
by Setupsfx_
22
US500 Recovery on Imminent US Government Shutdown DealFundamental Analysis The US500 is driven by strong Q3 earnings and a recovery in risk sentiment due to the imminent resolution of the US government shutdown. Market odds for a December Fed rate cut are high, boosting equity valuations. However, index gains are uneven, highly concentrated in the "Magnificent 7" tech mega-caps. Technical Analysis The index is in a well-defined upward channel, with dynamic support at the EMA 21. The RSI is bullish but nearing overbought territory, though all major moving averages signal a "buy." Short-term volatility (VIX) is low, supporting a continued grind higher. Key levels are 6,805 Support and 6,920 Resistance. Sentiment Analysis Optimism prevails following the drop in the VIX, indicating subsiding turbulence. Funds are positioning for a low-volatility climb. However, caution exists regarding high valuations in tech and signs of rotation into defensive sectors. Commentators view recent dips as routine corrections. Outlook The year-end target remains near 7,000, contingent on sustained macroeconomic stability and continued Fed dovishness. Pullbacks are expected to be buying opportunities given solid corporate profitability and continued AI enthusiasm. The core uptrend remains intact barring major policy or geopolitical surprises. Analysis by Terence Hove, Senior Financial Market Strategist at Exness
SP:SPXLong
by WiseLeoTrading
Airbnb - Long Strong Volume Support Zone The largest volume cluster is between $120–122, exactly where the stock is currently sitting. This shows a major accumulation zone, meaning institutions and traders are defending that level. Demand Zone Rejection Each time ABNB drops into the $120 region, buyers step in and push the price back up — a clear sign of support strength. The recent candle also shows rejection wicks from below, suggesting buying pressure returning. Healthy Correction Inside Range The price is in a sideways consolidation between roughly $120 (support) and $131 (resistance). This range allows accumulation before a possible breakout — classic base-building behavior after a pullback. Low-risk entry zone Entering near $121–122 gives an excellent risk/reward ratio since stop loss can be placed just below $118, minimizing downside exposure.
NASDAQ:ABNBLong
by PacoW