Fundamental Analysis
Gold market weekly open analysis Gold market closed the previous week at $4001/oz, after mitigating the 4027 zone. As the new week opens, price action begins to unleash withheld momentum, navigating through the 4050’s region. The 4090’s level remains open for potential mitigation, aligning with the ongoing bullish recovery structure as bullish continuation towards unmitigated supply. follow for more in sights , comment and boost idea
Gold market remains bullish cautiously The gold market remains slightly unstable despite a slated bullish sentiment, as price action consolidates within key zones. Current market behavior suggests that imbalance voids are likely to be filled, potentially wedging price movement toward the 4300 region , follow for more refined insights on gold market , comment and boost idea .
Gold (XAUUSD): High R/R risky sellGold (XAUUSD): High R/R risky sell. Let's see if this setup works. go with low volume so you don't lose anything.
Cheers
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure
OANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) has broken above short-term descending trendline resistance and is now hovering near $4,045–$4,050, confirming renewed bullish momentum. The breakout was supported by strong buying from the $4,011–$4,017 Support Zone, where previous consolidation occurred.
The Resistance Zone lies between $4,054–$4,061, which may act as the next upside target before a potential pullback. The current structure suggests a bullish continuation setup, favouring buying on dips toward the newly established support around $4,011–$4,017.
🎯 Trade Setup
Idea: Buy on dip after breakout, targeting higher resistance.
Entry: $4,011 – $4,017 (support retest)
Stop Loss: $4,008
Take Profit 1: $4,054
Take Profit 2: $4,061
Risk–Reward Ratio: ≈ 1 : 4.65
If gold sustains above $4,061, it could extend further toward $4,080–$4,100, marking a continuation of the bullish breakout sequence.
🌐 Macro Background
Gold prices extended gains to around $4,050 in Monday’s Asian session, supported by renewed rate-cut expectations and weakening U.S. consumer sentiment.
FXStreet’s Lallalit Srijandorn noted that “Gold edges higher amid concerns over the U.S. economy as markets increase bets on Fed rate cuts.” 【FXStreet】
Labor Market Weakness: U.S. Challenger job cuts surged to 150,000 in October, the highest for that month in over two decades. The spike signals growing softness in the job market and fuels expectations that the Fed could act sooner to support growth.
Rate-Cut Expectations: According to the CME FedWatch Tool, markets now price a 66% probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut in December. Lower yields reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, reinforcing demand for the metal.
Consumer Sentiment: The University of Michigan (UoM) Index fell to 50.3 in November (vs. 53.6 in October), a three-and-a-half-year low, reflecting economic pessimism.
Shutdown Resolution: Reports from Bloomberg indicate the U.S. government shutdown could soon end as Senate Democrats support a funding deal. While this slightly eases safe-haven demand, it does not offset the dovish macro bias currently favouring gold.
Overall, the weakening labour data, falling consumer confidence, and rising rate-cut bets create a constructive macro environment for gold, especially if the Fed adopts a more accommodative tone into December.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance: $4,054 – $4,061
Support: $4,008 – $4,020
Psychological Level: $4,050
📌 Trade Summary
Gold broke above short-term resistance, with momentum shifting firmly bullish toward $4,060. The current bias favours buying dips near $4,011–$4,017, targeting the upper resistance band at $4,054–$4,061. A sustained break above this zone could open the path toward $4,080–$4,100.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
Natural Gas - Golden CrossWhen this signal occurs you better no how to trade it.
The golden cross has now occured on the daily chart.
This is the 50MA intersecting with the daily 200 MA.
This is a medium to long term bullish signal that suggests nat gas over $5.
In the very short term traders often take profits and gains but buying dips over the next several weeks is a high technical probable setup.
Xau/Usd - Gold Testing Key Resistance, Breakout or Rejection?Gold is currently trading around $4,016, testing a key resistance zone after several rejections in the past sessions. Price action shows a clear ascending trendline support, forming higher lows, indicating a short-term bullish structure.
Key Technicals
Resistance Zone: $4,015 – $4,025
Trendline Support: Connecting recent higher lows (Nov 5–8)
Structure: Ascending channel / uptrend continuation setup
Possible Scenarios
Bullish Breakout:
A confirmed breakout above the resistance zone with strong volume could signal continuation toward the next target levels around $4,060 – $4,100.
Bearish Rejection:
If price fails to break above resistance and closes below the trendline support, expect a correction toward $3,960 – $3,940 as the next support zone.
Trading Plan
Buy Breakout: Above $4,025 with confirmation
Sell Rejection: Below $4,000 and trendline break
Risk Management: Use stop-loss below last swing low or above last swing high depending on entry
Note
Wait for clear confirmation before entering either direction — this area has been a strong liquidity zone recently.
Nasdaq Battle between correction & innovationNASDAQ 100 (NDX)
Nasdaq 100 Index (NDX) currently sits at a crucial inflection point, defined by the overwhelming dominance of the technology sector's structural growth against a backdrop of increasing macroeconomic and technical vulnerability. After a historic rally driven by Artificial Intelligence (AI) euphoria, the market is undergoing a necessary and sharp correction, testing key support levels established during the latest bullish surge.
The Durable Foundation: AI, Earnings, and Profitability
The core bullish case for the NDX remains robust, fundamentally driven by the "Magnificent Seven" and the pervasive, non-negotiable surge in AI infrastructure spending. Unlike the speculative rallies of previous cycles, today's leaders are characterized by deep profitability, substantial cash flow, and diverse revenue streams.
Recent corporate earnings reaffirm this strength, with the technology sector posting strong double digit growth. This profitability suggests that investment in AI is being funded through internal cash flow, making the rally more sustainable than the debt fuelled expansion seen two decades ago. The long term trajectory is further supported by an accommodative Federal Reserve pivot, which is now in rate cutting mode a supportive contrast to the tightening cycle that ended the 2000 rally. The secular trend of technological innovation is accelerating, transforming AI from a growth narrative into an essential business imperative.
Macroeconomic and Sentiment Headwinds
Despite underlying corporate strength, recent market action signals a decisive sentiment shift rooted in macro uncertainty and high valuations. The index has experienced its steepest weekly decline since March, indicating heavy profit taking and a collective "reality check" among traders.
Several factors are contributing to this sentiment reversal:
1. Concentration Risk: The sheer weight of the largest components now represents an extraordinary percentage of the overall market capitalization, making the NDX acutely sensitive to volatility in just a few key names.
2. Labor Market Cooling: Data showing a significant spike in job cuts (particularly in the tech and warehousing sectors) has unsettled investors, suggesting that economic cooling is accelerating faster than anticipated.
3. Consumer Confidence: A sharp drop in consumer sentiment reflects heightened anxiety related to economic uncertainty and political instability, which historically dampens forward looking market optimism.
4. Valuation Concerns: While not at 2000 extremes, valuations remain elevated, shifting the market’s focus entirely from multiple expansion to demanding flawless execution and continuous earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: The Critical 25,000 Support Test
From a technical perspective, the NDX has been in a clear, rising trend channel over the medium to long term, confirming a persistent buy the dip mentality. However, the recent sell off has introduced significant short term caution.
The index is currently testing a non negotiable support zone around 25,000. This level is psychologically important and corresponds to a previous major breakout point. A decisive breakdown below this support could trigger a cascading sell off as automated stop loss orders are activated, potentially paving the way toward the next major supports at 24,500 and, more critically, 23,980.
Key Technical Levels:
• Immediate Support: 25,000
• Secondary Supports: 24,500, then 23,980
• Immediate Resistance: 25,200, followed by 25,500 and 25,700
Conclusion: Navigating the Volatility
Nasdaq 100 remains an index of unparalleled innovation and long term potential, yet its short term path is fraught with risk. The outlook hinges on the NDX's ability to hold the critical 25,000 support level. A bounce from this zone would confirm the resilience of the dip buyers and maintain the medium term bullish structure. Failure to hold this level, however, would signal a deeper technical correction is underway, shifting the focus to the lower support zones as the market cleanses its excessive exuberance. Traders should remain nimble, respecting the clear shift in short term momentum while maintaining conviction in the long term, secular growth of the technology giants.
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Stoploss:
All stops will be placed at the earnings, dividends, weekly, monthly, or blue circle grid stoploss line that will be set up.
Stoploss price 1 - $2.99
Stoploss price 2 - $2.79
Entries:
All entry prices come with a risk, some small and some big.
The bigger the risk, the stronger chance the stop may not be hit but you will lose more if it does.
The smaller the risk, the stronger chance your stop can be hit but you will lose prematurely and fast be
for the trade has a chance to play out.
These are my best entries be for the breakout to new highs or a pullback to new lows.
Stoploss entry price - $ 2.99- stop - 2.79 Note: Taking this trade is very risky a strong chance your stop can be hit fast
and lose prematurely be for the trade has a chance to play out.
Entry Buy Dip 1 - $3.22
Entry Buy Dip 2 - $3.50
Entry Buy Price - $3.81
Targets:
1st TARGET - 12 MONTH HIGH PRICE - $4.68
2nd TARGET - 52 WEEK HIGH PRICE - $6.01
3rd TARGET - VERY TOP EARNINGS GRID LINE PRICE - $7.36
4th TARGET - THE NEAREST ALL TIME GRID LINE PRICE - $8.67
Gold: Support Near 3986, Resistance Near 4030The current market narrative is driven by three key themes:
Volatility in the U.S. Dollar and Treasury yields
U.S. government shutdown risks impacting data releases and market sentiment
Forward guidance from major central banks regarding their policy rate paths
Whether gold can achieve a sustained breakout will primarily depend on:
A persistent decline in USD and Treasury yields
Increased safe-haven demand amid equity market volatility and rising macro uncertainty
Continued net capital inflows into gold, particularly from passive and long-duration allocation funds
If these conditions do not align, gold is likely to remain range-bound, forming a time-based consolidation pattern.
If they do align, resistance near 4100 may weaken, boosting bullish conviction and paving the way for a smoother breakout.
Technically, supply remains around 4030, yet the rising trendline remains intact and the 3948–3921 key support zone continues to attract buyers. Absent a major catalyst, price action is likely to remain consolidative in the near term.
On both the 1H and 4H charts, moving averages are converging, signaling range compression and an imminent direction choice. Upcoming macro headlines will likely act as the catalyst for the next major move.
Trading Plan:
Key intraday levels: 4030 resistance / 3986 support
Trade the range until a breakout occurs
If price breaks out, short-term momentum trades may be considered — but with disciplined targets
Conservative traders may wait for a pullback entry
Medium- to long-term investors can continue accumulating on dips, waiting for the market confirmation
NOVAGRATZLOADED shares at $29.45 Friday. This is MSTR on steroids with actual revenue + AI data centers.
Just printed their best quarter ever ($505M net income, ~$29B rev) thanks to a $9B BTC whale trade 80k+ BTC sold OTC with minimal slippage + exploding trading volumes. But the real rocket fuel is HELIOS AI/HPC pivot: 800MW live, 2.7GW pipeline, NASDAQ:CRWV locked in for $435M+ annual EBITDA potential. Morgan Stanley calls it $30B terminal value. $1.15B convertible notes at 0.50%? Dirt-cheap capital to fund growth — not dilution yet. Catalysts: BTC >$120K (Galaxy amplifies 2-3x)
Helios revenue ramp H1 2026 On track for initial energization/power-up in December 2025
Technicals: Broke out of multi-month base
RSI cooling after dip (oversold bounce incoming)
Volume shelf at $29 = strong support $25 floor
Golden cross forming on weekly
This dip was the last shakeout post-notes FUD.
Add on dips around $30
Trail stops or take partials above $45
Full send to $60+ this year if BTC rips
Helios power-up = moonshot. Estimates backward-looking; if Helios hits + crypto cooperates, Q4 crushes again (revenue normalizes but margins fatten). $60+ YE
Gold prices may continue to decline! Please read carefully!Last week, the gold market generally exhibited a range-bound trading pattern, with prices fluctuating mainly between 3925 and 4030. The overall volatility was relatively limited, reflecting a cautious market sentiment. Although there has been no clear directional breakout, from a technical perspective, since the price of gold fell back after encountering resistance near the previous high of 4380, it has gradually entered a phase of correction. During this correction, prices repeatedly encountered resistance near the 4000 level and fluctuated around this level, indicating that bearish forces still dominate.
Structurally, the current consolidation is a correction phase within a downtrend, rather than a reversal signal. Therefore, in the short term, the market is more likely to continue its previous downward trend. From a technical perspective, the 4030-4050 area forms a key resistance zone in the near term. In particular, 4050 is an important resistance level that has been tested multiple times without being effectively broken. If gold prices cannot hold above this level this week, they will likely continue to maintain a weak and volatile pattern.
In terms of trading strategy, the basic approach of "selling on rallies" remains unchanged. It is recommended to pay close attention to the effectiveness of the resistance level in the 4030-4050 range. If the price encounters resistance in this area and shows clear signs of stalling, short-term short positions can be considered. Two support zones need to be noted below: First, the 3950-3960 area is the central position of the recent consolidation platform and has a certain support effect; second, the 3930-3920 area is close to the low support zone of this round of consolidation. Once this zone is broken, it may trigger further technical selling pressure.
If gold prices fall below 3920, they are likely to accelerate their decline, with the next important support level around 3880. This level has been tested multiple times before and is considered a valid support level. If it breaks through this level, it could open up even more downside potential. Conversely, if the market suddenly experiences a strong rebound and effectively breaks through 4050 and holds above it, it is necessary to be wary of a possible trend reversal. The original short-selling logic will no longer be applicable, and it is necessary to reassess the balance of power between bulls and bears and the subsequent direction.
Overall, gold is currently in a weak adjustment cycle, and the market lacks clear upward momentum. In the short term, it is recommended to focus on selling on rallies, strictly control position size, pay attention to the breakout and confirmation of key price levels, set reasonable stop-loss and take-profit orders, and guard against the volatility risk brought by sudden market movements.
The above represents only my personal thoughts. If you find it helpful, please like and follow to show your support! Please note that any strategy is time-sensitive and may change as market conditions evolve. I will notify you in the channel based on the actual market situation!
Mastering Market Momentum with ONE IndicatorLearn how to use the 21 EMA like a pro!
This video walks you through the exact setup I use — plus a unique twist that helps identify momentum shifts and reversals earlier than most traders spot them.
Whether you’re day trading or swing trading, this indicator can become your foundation for better trade timing.
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LTC/USDT – Breakout Above $135 Could Trigger Rally Toward $240Litecoin is approaching a pivotal breakout point after consolidating within a multi-year accumulation range between $60 and $140.
The recent higher-low structure and sustained strength above $100 reflect improving market sentiment and growing accumulation interest.
A decisive weekly close above $135 would confirm a breakout from this long-term base, potentially initiating a mid-term rally toward $180, followed by the major supply zone at $230–$240.
Momentum is steadily shifting in favor of buyers, supported by improving trend alignment and volume behavior.
As long as the $95–$100 support zone remains intact, the technical bias stays bullish, and the broader market structure favors continuation to the upside.
These are my observations and plans based on my chart analysis and not financial advice.
Chipotle Mexican Grill | CMG | Long at $30.56Chipotle NYSE:CMG stock has dropped dramatically since 2024, but the company has been *highly* overvalued for many, many years (69x p/e in June last year). As of Friday, November 7, 2025, the stock price entered my "crash" simple moving average zone (green lines). I do not suspect this is truly bottom, though. The company's growth is likely to slow into 2026 as people continue to spend less, and the stock finally starts to enter a reasonable p/e value (currently 27x). I anticipate further entry possibilities near $25 in the short-term if the economy continues to show more and more weakness. Entry into the "major crash" simple moving average zone, or gray lines, near $20-$24 isn't out of the question either. Thus, a personal entry at $30.56 is simply a starter position.
Growth
Earnings per share anticipated to rise from $1.60 in 2025 to $1.82 by 2028.
Revenue expected to rise during that time from $11.9 billion to $16.6 billion.
www.tradingview.com
Health
Extremely healthy, financially
Altman's Z Score / Bankruptcy risk: 7.5 (very low risk)
Quick Ratio: 1.5 (low debt)
Action
While there is risk of continued near-term pain for NYSE:CMG , the longer outlook is reassuring if true. Thus, at $30.56, Chiptole is in a personal buy zone (starter position) with risk of a continued drop to $25 or, "major crash" territory in the low $20s. These will be other personal entry points.
Targets into 2028
$35.00 (+14.5%)
$39.00 (+27.6%)
AVAX/USDT – Trendline Breakout and Pullback SetupPrice is currently testing the ascending trendline after getting rejected from the $17.80–$18.00 resistance zone. If the trendline breaks and a retest confirms resistance, we could see a bearish move toward the $17.00–$16.90 support area.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $17.80–$18.00
Support: $17.00–$16.90
Bias: Bearish if price breaks below the trendline
Target: Support zone around $17.00
Trade Idea:
Watch for a clear break and retest of the ascending trendline. A rejection below resistance confirms short opportunities toward the support area.
EUR/USD – 1H Demand Zone Reaction | Potential Long SetupAfter a strong bullish retracement from the previous downtrend,
price is now retesting a demand/support zone (around 1.1540–1.1560).
If this zone holds, we could see another leg up toward 1.1620–1.1660.
⚙️ Example Trade Setup
Entry: 1.1550
Stop Loss: 1.1540
Take Profit: 1.1665
Bias: Bullish
🧭 Technical Notes
Structure shows a higher low forming.
Momentum shift suggests buyers stepping in near 1.1550.
A bullish engulfing or strong rejection wick confirmation would strengthen this setup
"EUR/USD retesting the 1H demand zone 🔥
Watching for a bullish bounce from 1.1550 area.
#EURUSD #ForexTrading #SmartMoneyConcepts #PriceAction #1HChart #DemandZone #BullishSetup #TradingView"
Don't underestimate the $DogeDogecoin cyclical nature is quietly retracing its pattern.
As with the first two major price movements, the foundations for the third major price movement have already been laid.
XAU/USD BEARISH SET UPWe previously confirmed a strong bullish uptrend with multiple respects of the uptrend line, showing clear market structure continuation.
However, price failed to make a higher high around the 4382 area, forming a clear double top pattern — a strong reversal signal.
After rejecting this level, price broke below the uptrend line, creating structural chaos and confirming a shift in momentum from bullish to bearish.
Following the breakout, we saw a retest of the broken trendline, which held as new resistance and pushed price downward toward the 3890 zone.
At this zone, price has now consolidated into a bearish symmetrical triangle, a continuation pattern that typically signals further downside pressure.
📉 Bearish Plan
Entry: 4012
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 3828
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 3731
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 3624
🧩 Technical Summary
Confirmed Double Top Reversal near 4382
Trendline Break & Retest validates bearish bias
Bearish Symmetrical Triangle formation strengthens continuation outlook
Looking for continuation to downside if 4012 breaks and retests cleanly
💡 Bias: Bearish
⏱️ Structure: Trendline break → Retest → Continuation
🔍 Focus: Patience on confirmation candle close below 4012 before entry
Forex: Weekly Review I found the week starting Monday 3 November to be a difficult trading environment.
On the surface, all is well. Central banks are cutting interest rates during a reasonably strong economic environment. Inflation is gradually falling, the US and China trade negotiations are tentatively positive. Company earnings continue to exceed expectations. All in all, although it's been years in the making (and may still take years to be confirmed), the 'soft landing narrative' is alive and well.
But, a potentially slower pace of FED rate cuts, a resurfacing of US / CHINA tension (particularly regarding rare earth), suggestions AI stocks are overvalued...All combined with the ongoing government shutdown to ensure a negative tone throughout the week.
We did get a bit of private sector data, Monday's 'soft' manufacturing data kick-started the negative mood. Wednesday's 'positive' ADP JOBS and ISM SERVICE data provided us with the only 'positive sentiment' day of the week. But the positivity evaporated once the 'overvalued tech concerns' kicked in.
A 'still hawkish RBA' didn't help the AUD as the commodity currencies struggled in the overall negative environment. But a 'BOE hold' did give the GBP some restpite from recent woes, perhaps a bit of profit taking after a couple of weeks negativity.
All in all, the fact the VIX barely rose above 20 suggests to me the negativity isn't too concerning and 'risk on' trades could resume soon. But I begin the new week with an open mind.
On a personal note, it was a bit of a disappointing week of two trades, AUD JPY long during Wednesday's positivity, perhaps I was a little late to the party. A trade immediately after ADP data may well have hit profit, it's always tricky when two pieces of data are released an hour apart, do you go with the initial release or wait for the second piece of data? Whichever option you choose, sometimes it goes for you, sometimes it goes against you. All you can do is make a decision that feels right in the moment.
By Friday, I felt the JPY strength was overdone and placed a USD JPY long, based on diverging interest rate speculation. The trade was eventually closed for a small profit.
Let's see what the new week brings.
Altcoins are loading. BTC Dominance is in a downward retest following the recent breakout.
ETH/BTC confirmed its upward breakout.
The apparent silence is actually the sound of an impending power shift.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D vs. BINANCE:ETHBTC
Why You Should NOT Trade XAUUSD Right Now (The CRT Discipline)🛑 Why You Should NOT Trade XAUUSD Right Now (The CRT Discipline)
1. Market is in an Accumulation Range
The chart clearly shows price boxed between the Range High at 4,046.27 and the Range Low at 3,886.61 This is a classic Accumulation/Range phase. According to CRT principles, markets must cycle, and this sideways action means smart money is still building positions. Trading inside this box is essentially gambling because the market's current function is to create confusion and chop up impatient retail traders. You lack the directional certainty needed for a high-probability trade.
2. Missing the Expansion Fuel
High-probability CRT setups like Model #1 or Candle 3 rely entirely on having fuel in the market to drive the expansion. This fuel is generated by the Turtle Soup—the running of stops outside a clear range. Since price is consolidating inside the defined range, the essential liquidity hunt has not yet occurred. Entering now means betting against the market's need to seek out that liquidity at the Range High or Range Low first, making the potential for a whipsaw loss extremely high.
3. The CRT Candle Rule: Wait for Candle 3
This current sideways movement is either the quiet Accumulation (Candle 1) or the tricky start of Manipulation (Candle 2). The CRT framework provides a crucial warning to all beginners: Trade ONLY Candle 3 (Distribution). Candle 3 is the clear, strong directional movement where the big money is made. Your primary job right now is to exercise discipline, avoid the traps of Candle 2, and patiently wait for price to break the range and print the clean, profitable Candle 3 payoff. Until that expansion happens, your best move is no move
Greetings,
MrYounity
