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LTC/USDT – Breakout Above $135 Could Trigger Rally Toward $240Litecoin is approaching a pivotal breakout point after consolidating within a multi-year accumulation range between $60 and $140. The recent higher-low structure and sustained strength above $100 reflect improving market sentiment and growing accumulation interest. A decisive weekly close above $135 would confirm a breakout from this long-term base, potentially initiating a mid-term rally toward $180, followed by the major supply zone at $230–$240. Momentum is steadily shifting in favor of buyers, supported by improving trend alignment and volume behavior. As long as the $95–$100 support zone remains intact, the technical bias stays bullish, and the broader market structure favors continuation to the upside. These are my observations and plans based on my chart analysis and not financial advice.
Long
by TPAog
Chipotle Mexican Grill | CMG | Long at $30.56Chipotle NYSE:CMG stock has dropped dramatically since 2024, but the company has been *highly* overvalued for many, many years (69x p/e in June last year). As of Friday, November 7, 2025, the stock price entered my "crash" simple moving average zone (green lines). I do not suspect this is truly bottom, though. The company's growth is likely to slow into 2026 as people continue to spend less, and the stock finally starts to enter a reasonable p/e value (currently 27x). I anticipate further entry possibilities near $25 in the short-term if the economy continues to show more and more weakness. Entry into the "major crash" simple moving average zone, or gray lines, near $20-$24 isn't out of the question either. Thus, a personal entry at $30.56 is simply a starter position. Growth Earnings per share anticipated to rise from $1.60 in 2025 to $1.82 by 2028. Revenue expected to rise during that time from $11.9 billion to $16.6 billion. www.tradingview.com Health Extremely healthy, financially Altman's Z Score / Bankruptcy risk: 7.5 (very low risk) Quick Ratio: 1.5 (low debt) Action While there is risk of continued near-term pain for NYSE:CMG , the longer outlook is reassuring if true. Thus, at $30.56, Chiptole is in a personal buy zone (starter position) with risk of a continued drop to $25 or, "major crash" territory in the low $20s. These will be other personal entry points. Targets into 2028 $35.00 (+14.5%) $39.00 (+27.6%)
NYSE:CMGLong
by WorthlessViews
AVAX/USDT – Trendline Breakout and Pullback SetupPrice is currently testing the ascending trendline after getting rejected from the $17.80–$18.00 resistance zone. If the trendline breaks and a retest confirms resistance, we could see a bearish move toward the $17.00–$16.90 support area. Key Levels: Resistance: $17.80–$18.00 Support: $17.00–$16.90 Bias: Bearish if price breaks below the trendline Target: Support zone around $17.00 Trade Idea: Watch for a clear break and retest of the ascending trendline. A rejection below resistance confirms short opportunities toward the support area.
Short
by Hamza_Gold
EUR/USD – 1H Demand Zone Reaction | Potential Long SetupAfter a strong bullish retracement from the previous downtrend, price is now retesting a demand/support zone (around 1.1540–1.1560). If this zone holds, we could see another leg up toward 1.1620–1.1660. ⚙️ Example Trade Setup Entry: 1.1550 Stop Loss: 1.1540 Take Profit: 1.1665 Bias: Bullish 🧭 Technical Notes Structure shows a higher low forming. Momentum shift suggests buyers stepping in near 1.1550. A bullish engulfing or strong rejection wick confirmation would strengthen this setup "EUR/USD retesting the 1H demand zone 🔥 Watching for a bullish bounce from 1.1550 area. #EURUSD #ForexTrading #SmartMoneyConcepts #PriceAction #1HChart #DemandZone #BullishSetup #TradingView"
Long
by forexfire1
XAU/USD BEARISH SET UPWe previously confirmed a strong bullish uptrend with multiple respects of the uptrend line, showing clear market structure continuation. However, price failed to make a higher high around the 4382 area, forming a clear double top pattern — a strong reversal signal. After rejecting this level, price broke below the uptrend line, creating structural chaos and confirming a shift in momentum from bullish to bearish. Following the breakout, we saw a retest of the broken trendline, which held as new resistance and pushed price downward toward the 3890 zone. At this zone, price has now consolidated into a bearish symmetrical triangle, a continuation pattern that typically signals further downside pressure. 📉 Bearish Plan Entry: 4012 Take Profit 1 (TP1): 3828 Take Profit 2 (TP2): 3731 Take Profit 3 (TP3): 3624 🧩 Technical Summary Confirmed Double Top Reversal near 4382 Trendline Break & Retest validates bearish bias Bearish Symmetrical Triangle formation strengthens continuation outlook Looking for continuation to downside if 4012 breaks and retests cleanly 💡 Bias: Bearish ⏱️ Structure: Trendline break → Retest → Continuation 🔍 Focus: Patience on confirmation candle close below 4012 before entry
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CEEJAYYTRADES
1
Forex: Weekly Review I found the week starting Monday 3 November to be a difficult trading environment. On the surface, all is well. Central banks are cutting interest rates during a reasonably strong economic environment. Inflation is gradually falling, the US and China trade negotiations are tentatively positive. Company earnings continue to exceed expectations. All in all, although it's been years in the making (and may still take years to be confirmed), the 'soft landing narrative' is alive and well. But, a potentially slower pace of FED rate cuts, a resurfacing of US / CHINA tension (particularly regarding rare earth), suggestions AI stocks are overvalued...All combined with the ongoing government shutdown to ensure a negative tone throughout the week. We did get a bit of private sector data, Monday's 'soft' manufacturing data kick-started the negative mood. Wednesday's 'positive' ADP JOBS and ISM SERVICE data provided us with the only 'positive sentiment' day of the week. But the positivity evaporated once the 'overvalued tech concerns' kicked in. A 'still hawkish RBA' didn't help the AUD as the commodity currencies struggled in the overall negative environment. But a 'BOE hold' did give the GBP some restpite from recent woes, perhaps a bit of profit taking after a couple of weeks negativity. All in all, the fact the VIX barely rose above 20 suggests to me the negativity isn't too concerning and 'risk on' trades could resume soon. But I begin the new week with an open mind. On a personal note, it was a bit of a disappointing week of two trades, AUD JPY long during Wednesday's positivity, perhaps I was a little late to the party. A trade immediately after ADP data may well have hit profit, it's always tricky when two pieces of data are released an hour apart, do you go with the initial release or wait for the second piece of data? Whichever option you choose, sometimes it goes for you, sometimes it goes against you. All you can do is make a decision that feels right in the moment. By Friday, I felt the JPY strength was overdone and placed a USD JPY long, based on diverging interest rate speculation. The trade was eventually closed for a small profit. Let's see what the new week brings.
Long
by johnelfedforexblog
Why You Should NOT Trade XAUUSD Right Now (The CRT Discipline)🛑 Why You Should NOT Trade XAUUSD Right Now (The CRT Discipline) 1. Market is in an Accumulation Range The chart clearly shows price boxed between the Range High at 4,046.27 and the Range Low at 3,886.61 This is a classic Accumulation/Range phase. According to CRT principles, markets must cycle, and this sideways action means smart money is still building positions. Trading inside this box is essentially gambling because the market's current function is to create confusion and chop up impatient retail traders. You lack the directional certainty needed for a high-probability trade. 2. Missing the Expansion Fuel High-probability CRT setups like Model #1 or Candle 3 rely entirely on having fuel in the market to drive the expansion. This fuel is generated by the Turtle Soup—the running of stops outside a clear range. Since price is consolidating inside the defined range, the essential liquidity hunt has not yet occurred. Entering now means betting against the market's need to seek out that liquidity at the Range High or Range Low first, making the potential for a whipsaw loss extremely high. 3. The CRT Candle Rule: Wait for Candle 3 This current sideways movement is either the quiet Accumulation (Candle 1) or the tricky start of Manipulation (Candle 2). The CRT framework provides a crucial warning to all beginners: Trade ONLY Candle 3 (Distribution). Candle 3 is the clear, strong directional movement where the big money is made. Your primary job right now is to exercise discipline, avoid the traps of Candle 2, and patiently wait for price to break the range and print the clean, profitable Candle 3 payoff. Until that expansion happens, your best move is no move Greetings, MrYounity
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by MrYounity
QE is more important that interest rates.Guess what? The entire crypto rally of 2017 took place while the fed was rising rates. But here is the plot twist, QE was still intact back then despite the rising rates. The Fed started rising the rates from 0% to 2.50% all the way from Dec 2015 until dec 2018 (way after the top of dec 2017) But all while QE was still in place since sep 2013 until Jul 2019. A reminder that QE is way more important than the interest rates. What's the point of lowering the cost of money if there is no money to be borrowed in the first place ? What's the point of lowering the cost of money if the money itself is getting sucked out of the system via QT? The End of QT on Dec 1st is the most important event of all. The start of QE is the event that will send us all to valhala. Now imagine this: BTC pushed from around 15k all the way to 126k despite QT with minimal rate cuts. That's strength against all odds.
Long
by GTN671
USDCHF 4H: CRTH to CRTL—The Bearish FVG TrapThe USDCHF 4-hour chart is presenting a high-probability sell setup that aligns perfectly with the Candle 3 (Distribution) phase of the CRT model. Price has aggressively broken down after reaching a local high, a move that is characteristic of a smart money reversal. This initial break left behind a clear Fair Value Gap (FVG), marking our ideal re-entry zone before the major downside expansion. We are positioning to join the move from a premium price. The Bearish Trade Thesis: Selling the Retracement The core of this strategy is to sell into the expected price retracement to the FVG, securing a premium entry price. The market is anticipated to pull back and fill the imbalance in the FVG box (roughly 0.80514 to 0.80800). This move back up is the final Manipulation phase (Candle 2) designed to trap late buyers. We will monitor the price action for a clear rejection within this zone, confirming the entry for the massive downward push. Risk Management and Targets Our risk is strictly defined by the structural high of the move, aligning with the concept of using the Trend Start (TS) for the Stop Loss. The CRTH-TS at 0.80514 defines the low end of the invalidation zone. A clean close above the upper boundary of the FVG would suggest the bearish intent is temporarily paused or invalidated, serving as our Stop Loss (SL). The target for this trade is the swing low CRTL (Control Low) at 0.79238. This level represents a critical low-liquidity objective where the smart money is expected to take profit, offering an outstanding risk-reward opportunity. Greetings, MrYounity
Short
by MrYounity
EURUSD Daily: The FVG Discount is Calling!EURUSD Daily: The FVG Discount is Calling! 🎯 This is a high-conviction Bullish Model #1 setup on the Daily chart, straight from the Smart Money playbook. After a significant drop, the market showed its true hand by aggressively reversing upward, suggesting the move lower was a pure liquidity hunt (Turtle Soup). This reversal left behind a critical market imbalance—the Fair Value Gap (FVG)—which the market will almost certainly return to mitigate before continuing its real direction. We are positioning ourselves for the large Candle 3 (Distribution) move, capitalizing on this structural shift. The Trading Thesis: Waiting for the Sweet Spot Our strategy relies on patience, as emphasized in the CRT teaching: Don't chase, wait for the discount. The core of the plan is to monitor the price's return to the unmitigated FVG box (roughly 1.15180 - 1.15276). This zone is the most strategic entry point because it aligns with a confluence of structural support and institutional flow. We will look for confirmation on a lower timeframe when the price taps this area, validating the trade and confirming the end of the market's manipulation phase (Candle 2). Risk Management and Targets Our risk is strictly defined by the foundational structure of the move. The CRTL-TS at 1.15276 serves as the invalidation line for this bullish thesis. Any clean daily close below this key level would signal a major structural breakdown, requiring an exit (Stop Loss). The prize for our patience and defined risk is the high-liquidity objective at the CRTH (Control High / Target) of 1.16687. This target represents the next major swing high where the market is expected to complete its distribution cycle. This setup offers a superior risk-reward profile, rewarding the discipline of waiting for the perfect CRT entry. Greetings, MrYounity
Long
by MrYounity
CRTL to CRTH: GBPUSD Daily Setup for the Swing of the Year🎯 GBPUSD: D1 CRTL to CRTH—A High-Probability FVG Reversal Setup 🚀 This analysis uses the Candle Range Theory (CRT) and Smart Money Concepts (SMC), focusing on the Bullish Model #1 setup in a high-probability zone. The chart displays a market that has recently undergone a major price movement, characteristic of a liquidity hunt, which the CRT system refers to as a Turtle Soup. Following this strong move, a clear market imbalance—a Fair Value Gap (FVG)—was left behind, signaling a high-probability retrace before the intended move (the Candle 3 / Distribution phase) continues towards the final target. 🔑 Key Levels & CRT Confluences This setup has three critical components to define the trade. The ultimate objective is the upper level, the Critical/Control High (CRTH) at 1.33699. This is the expected target where the distribution phase will likely conclude, offering a significant Take Profit (TP) area. The market is currently consolidating at approximately 1.31603, moving toward the Fair Value Gap (FVG) entry zone. A retrace into this FVG is anticipated to mitigate the imbalance, thereby providing a discounted and highly selective entry for the long trade. The most important level for risk management is the Control/Critical Low (CRTL) and Trend Start (TS) at 1.30971. A daily close below this specific point signals a break in the market structure and invalidates the bullish setup, making it the ideal placement for a Stop Loss (SL). 📈 The Bullish Trading Plan (Model #1 Strategy) The trade thesis is to patiently wait for the pullback and then enter during the resulting explosive move. This specifically aligns with the Bullish Model #1 setup, which is the foundational setup for high-probability reversals. First, wait for the price to pull back and fill the FVG zone (the potential Manipulation phase or Candle 2). Beginners should avoid trading this Candle 2 phase. Then, look for a bullish rejection or a Bullish Model #1 confirmation on a lower timeframe when price is in the FVG. Bullish Model #1 requires waiting for price to stab into an old low, looking for a strong red candle (thick down-close candle), and entering when price closes above that specific candle. Execute the long position with the Stop Loss (SL) strictly below 1.30971 (CRTL - TS) and the Take Profit (TP) at the upper CRTH of 1.33699. The Golden Rule: Always ensure the pattern happens at a strong key level and wait for the specific candle close to confirm the entry, avoiding anticipation. Greetings, MrYounity
Long
by MrYounity
1
Billions on Broccoli: What Is the Secret of Sprouts?The Redoubling is my own research project on TradingView, which is designed to answer the following question: How long will it take me to double my capital? Each article will focus on a different company that I'll try to add to my model portfolio. I'll use the close price of the last daily candle on the day the article is published as the initial buy limit price. I'll make all my decisions based on fundamental analysis. Furthermore, I'm not going to use leverage in my calculations, but I'll reduce my capital by the amount of commissions (0.1% per trade) and taxes (20% capital gains and 25% dividend). To find out the current price of the company's shares, just click the Play button on the chart. But please use this stuff only for educational purposes. Just so you know, this isn't investment advice. Here is a detailed overview of Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. NASDAQ:SFM : 1. Main areas of activity Sprouts Farmers Market is a U.S.-based retail company specializing in fresh, natural and organic foods. The company operates a chain of grocery stores designed to offer a “farm‑stand” experience — with a focus on produce, health‑oriented products and a curated selection of lifestyle‑friendly items. It falls within the consumer retail / food‑retailing industry, and its business segments revolve around grocery retailing of natural and organic food products in the U.S. 2. Business model Sprouts generates revenue primarily through its retail grocery operations (business‑to‑consumer, B2C). Customers visit Sprouts stores to purchase fresh produce, packaged organic/natural goods, deli, bakery, frozen foods, and other grocery items. The company also invests in new store openings and same‑store sales growth to drive expansion and profitability. In addition, it engages in store footprint expansion (new locations) and efficiency efforts (store size optimization, margin improvement) as part of its model. 3. Flagship products or services While “products” in retail are many, key aspects of Sprouts’ offering include: Fresh produce at the heart of its stores (“farm‑stand heritage”). Natural, organic and lifestyle‑friendly grocery items — including plant‑based, gluten‑free, keto/paleo‑friendly options. Grocery store services including deli, bakery, dairy, meat/seafood, bulk foods. Despite the lack of a public breakdown of revenue by category, the company's focus on high-margin, health-oriented products is its competitive advantage. 4. Key countries for business Sprouts’ operations are entirely within the United States. The company runs more than 400 stores across multiple states. Because the market is U.S.-centric, the most important region is the domestic U.S. consumer market — particularly states where Sprouts has high density, and where natural / organic grocery demand is strong. 5. Main competitors Key competitors for Sprouts include other U.S. grocery chains that either emphasize natural/organic products or general supermarkets with strong fresh/health‑focused assortments. Examples include: Whole Foods Market (owned by Amazon) – a major natural/organic specialist. Kroger Co. – large general‑grocery chain that also competes on fresh/healthy products. Publix Super Markets – regional player with store brands and emphasis on fresh/better food experience. Wegmans Food Markets and other premium supermarket chains. Competition arises on product mix, pricing, store experience, fresh/produce quality, and loyalty offerings. 6. External and internal factors contributing to profit growth External factors: Rising consumer demand for natural, organic and health‑oriented foods: Sprouts’ own commentary highlights that its “better‑for‑you” product assortments attract customers willing to spend more. Growth in same‑store sales and new store openings: In a recent period Sprouts reported growth in same‑store sales and net sales. Favorable macro trend toward fresh/healthy foods, lifestyle‑driven eating and premium grocery experiences. Internal factors: Store optimization: The company has discussed improving its margin structure and optimizing capital expenditures (CapEx) per store. Curated product mix and lifestyle‑oriented offerings (plant‑based, gluten‑free, etc.) which could allow higher margin than mass grocery. Loyalty programs and marketing aimed at increasing customer retention, basket size and frequency of shopping. For example, upgrades in product assortment and loyalty initiatives were emphasized in analyst commentary. 7. External and internal factors contributing to profit decline External factors: Highly competitive retail grocery market: margin pressures from national chains, discounters and online grocery. Inflation and increases in input costs (food, labor, energy) can squeeze margins if price increases aren’t fully passed to consumers. Economic downturns or shifts in consumer spending could reduce premium/health‑oriented grocery purchases. Supply chain disruptions, regulatory changes (e.g., organic certification costs, import/export tariffs) could raise costs or limit product availability. Internal factors: Execution risk in expansion: opening new stores requires capital and the risk that new locations may underperform. Margin risk if rising wage/benefit costs erode profitability or if discounting becomes necessary to compete. Dependence on a “better‑for‑you” positioning; if that niche gets commoditized or competitors copy the model, Sprouts could lose differentiation. Possible over‑reliance on U.S. market (lack of international diversification). 8. Stability of management Executive changes over past 5 years: A comprehensive list of CEO, CFO, or Chairperson changes was not found in readily accessible sources during this screening. Sprouts’ investor relations materials, however, emphasize strategic initiatives and capital allocation decisions, such as a substantial share repurchase program. Impact on corporate strategy and culture: The company appears to have a stable strategic focus on natural/organic fresh groceries, margin improvement, and store growth; the capital‑allocation decisions (store openings, CapEx discipline, share buybacks) suggest a coherent investment priority. For example, their presentation notes a “structurally improved margin profile”. If leadership turnover has been modest (i.e., no major disruption publicly noted), then strategic continuity is probably intact. However, without detailed executive change logs I cannot conclusively assess management stability beyond what is implied by ongoing strategy consistency. The company demonstrates steady long-term growth in earnings per share and total revenue, supported by strong working-capital discipline: days sales outstanding appear excellent, the debt-to-revenue ratio remains healthy, and operating, investing, and financing cash flows are solid. Medium-level indicators such as return on equity and gross margin show consistent improvement, while the operating expense ratio is trending positively, and both payables and inventory efficiency remain strong, though the current ratio shows no progress and requires monitoring for liquidity balance. With a P/E of 15, the valuation appears reasonable and reflects a sound margin of safety at current multiples. Despite the market's turbulent reaction to the latest financial statements, no critical news has been identified that could undermine stability or indicate risks of insolvency. Considering a diversification coefficient of 20 and a deviation of the current stock price from its annual average by more than 8 EPS, a 10% capital allocation was made at the closing price of the last trading day, maintaining a well-balanced portfolio position and a disciplined exposure aligned with diversification principles.
NASDAQ:SFMLong
by Be_Capy
Senate ready to end GOV shutdown? Traders eye CPI comeback BREAKING: Senate Democrats are potentially ready to support a package of spending bills and a short-term funding measure, meaning that the longest government shutdown in history could soon come to an end. If the shutdown ends, the upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) release will be a key data point for markets. However, the shutdown has already disrupted data collection. Federal agencies such as the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) have scaled back or suspended operations, meaning parts of the inflation data may be delayed or less accurate than usual. In the near term, markets are expected to react first to the relief of the shutdown ending, with attention shifting to the inflation figures once normal operations resume. Traders should consider the risk of a less reliable CPI print due to these disruptions and adjust exposure accordingly.
by BlackBull Markets
Bitcoin Playbook: Neutral‑Sell Below 106.5k, Buy Floors__________________________________________________________________________________ Market Overview __________________________________________________________________________________ Price is compressing beneath overhead supply as a rebound from sub‑$100k meets the 2H/1D resistance shelf. Momentum is tactically capped unless 104.8k converts to support; dips into HTF floors remain the higher‑quality rotations. Momentum: Cautiously bearish tilt (range‑within‑compression) as bounces probe 104.8k supply while 12H/6H trends point down. Key levels: - Resistances (2H/1D/HTF): 104,845 (2H pivot) • 106,460 (1D pivot high) • 111,577 (HTF band) - Supports (1D/12H/4H–6H): 101,550–100,395 (near‑cluster) • 99,241–99,396 (tight 4H/6H cluster) • 98,243 (weekly pivot low) Volumes: Normal overall; 12H shows moderate spikes only as an amplifier near key levels. Multi-timeframe signals: 1D = Up vs 12H/6H/4H/2H = Down; structure favors fading 104.8k–106.5k unless 2H/1D acceptance prints. Longs are higher quality on 101.6k–100.4k reactions with ≥2H confirmation. Harvest zones: 99,300 (Cluster A) / 96,800–97,300 (Cluster B). Ideal dip‑buy areas for inverse pyramiding with confirmation, using Cluster A as the initial anchor. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator context: Neutral sell bias; this risk‑off tilt confirms the preference to sell rallies into resistance and be selective on dips. __________________________________________________________________________________ Trading Playbook __________________________________________________________________________________ The dominant stance is neutral‑sell while price sits under 104.8k–106.5k; lean short into supply and buy only confirmed HTF floors. Global bias: Neutral‑sell below 106,460; upside bias resumes only on daily acceptance above 106,460. Opportunities: - Tactical sell: Fade 104,845 on rejection with 15m–2H confirmation; target 103,500 then 101,550–100,395. - Tactical buy: Sweep/reclaim 101,550–100,395 with ≥2H bullish close; target 104,845 then 106,460. - Breakout buy: Reclaim/hold above 104,845 on 1H–2H and buy the successful retest toward 106,460. Risk zones / invalidations: - Break and daily hold above 106,460 would invalidate near‑term shorts and unlock higher. - Sustained closes below 100,395 would invalidate tactical longs and expose the 99.4k cluster or worse. Macro catalysts (Twitter, Perplexity, news): - Easier funding backdrop (lower SOFR/MOVE) supports risk but remains conditional. - Potential US shutdown resolution and policy chatter on leveraged spot crypto trading = headline volatility risk. - Fed cut with a hawkish tone keeps cross‑asset risk mixed; wait for confirmations at levels. Harvest Plan (Inverse Pyramid): - Palier 1 (12.5%): 99,300 (Cluster A) + reversal ≥2H → entry - Palier 2 (+12.5%): 95,300–93,300 (-4/-6% below Palier 1) - TP: 50% at +12–18% from PMP → recycle cash - Runner: hold if break & hold first R HTF (104,845) - Invalidation: < HTF Pivot Low or 96h no momentum - Hedge (1x): Short first R HTF on rejection + bearish trend → neutralize below R __________________________________________________________________________________ Multi-Timeframe Insights __________________________________________________________________________________ Across TFs, growth impulses are capped by 104.8k–106.5k while high‑quality demand sits at 101.6k–100.4k and 99.4k. 1D: Uptrend attempt but still beneath 106,460; acceptance above that level would open room to unwind the HTF supply. 12H/6H/4H: Downtrend bias; current leg is a rally into 104,845 resistance. Failure here typically rotates price back into 101,550–100,395, with 99,241–99,396 as secondary demand. 2H/1H/30m/15m: Execution battleground at 104,845; LTF momentum can trap unless 104,845 flips to support. Look for wick rejections at resistance or strong reclaim signals at HTF floors. Major divergence: 1D Up vs 12H Down keeps conviction muted; trade level‑to‑level with confirmation. __________________________________________________________________________________ Macro & On-Chain Drivers __________________________________________________________________________________ Macro is cautiously supportive via easier funding but headline‑driven; crypto policy chatter could catalyze volatility around range edges. Macro events: Lower SOFR/MOVE ease financial conditions, but a potential US shutdown resolution and ongoing Fed communication keep risk skittish; volatility pockets likely around key data and policy headlines. Bitcoin analysis: Price coiling in a ~$98k–$108k window; topside requires 104k+ acceptance, while loss of 98.5k would degrade structure. HTF floors align with the technical buy zones. On-chain data: Mixed signals and sporadic supply awakenings; no decisive impulse, reinforcing the need to trade from well‑defined levels. Expected impact: Macro/on‑chain are not overriding; they reinforce a neutral‑sell technical bias and level‑driven executions. __________________________________________________________________________________ Key Takeaways __________________________________________________________________________________ BTC is compressing under resistance with a risk‑off tilt; patience at levels remains the edge. - Trend: Neutral with bearish lean until 104,845 flips and 106,460 holds. - Best setup: Fade 104,845 rejections; buy only confirmed reactions at 101,550–100,395 and, if needed, 99,241–99,396. - Macro: Easier funding helps, but policy headlines can quickly shift tone. Stay disciplined: harvest volatility at the edges and let confirmation lead, not anticipation.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Ox_kali
$ETH Before the parabolic expansion.ETH is once again in a similar technical structure to that seen before its parabolic run in 2020. As was the case then, the falling trend breakout and subsequent retest phase are now complete. As seen previously, the RSI is still holding above the 50 level, clearly indicating that momentum continues in a positive direction. The structure is clear in both linear and stick bar charts. The trend has broken, the retest is happening, and Ethereum is on the verge of a major expansion movement.
CRYPTO:ETHUSDLong
by EtherNasyonaL
Xrp/Usd - Approaching Resistance; Possible Trendline Break AheadPrice is currently trading around 2.33, testing a key resistance zone (highlighted in green). The pair has been respecting a short-term ascending trendline support, but momentum is weakening as price approaches the resistance area. A potential bearish setup could form if price fails to break and close above this resistance level. A confirmed break below the trendline support may trigger a correction toward the 2.26–2.24 target zone, aligning with previous structure support. Key levels: Resistance: 2.33–2.34 Support (target zone): 2.26–2.24 Trend bias: Bearish rejection from resistance Trading idea: Watch for rejection signals or a clean break below trendline support for a possible short setup toward the 2.24 area. A strong breakout above 2.34 would invalidate the bearish view.
BINANCE:XRPUSDShort
by Hamza_Gold
S&P 500 Technical & Fundamental Outlook — Week of Nov 10–14 2025Price is pushing back into a key trendline / resistance zone after bouncing off 6,550–6,600 last week. This area between 6,780–6,830 is the decision point. We either break through and resume the trend higher, or this bounce gets sold into and we rotate back lower. Key Levels 6,780–6,830: Main resistance. Trendline + prior structure. This is where direction gets decided. 6,922–6,940: If we break above the zone above, that’s the next upside target and potential trend continuation. 6,659: First downside support if price rejects this trendline. 6,550: Major support. If this goes, momentum shifts bearish. Trend Context: Bigger trend still leans bullish overall, but in the short-term price is still correcting until we reclaim and hold above the resistance zone. Trade Path Scenarios Upside: A break and hold above 6,830 opens the move back toward 6,922 → 7,009. Best setup is buying the retest, not the breakout spike. Downside: If price rejects the 6,780–6,830 zone, look for a pullback toward 6,659. Break 6,659 → continuation lower to 6,550. Break 6,550 → bigger shift in structure and sentiment. Macro This Week (U.S. Focus) This is inflation week, meaning the market will likely be quieter early and then expand in volatility Thursday–Friday. Day Focus Wed FOMC Waller speaks — tone will matter Thu CPI (core + headline) + Jobless Claims → Main market mover this week Fri PPI + Retail Sales confirm or reject the CPI move Key point: Market direction this week will follow CPI first, then PPI / Retail for confirmation. Current Market Tone Market is still split: AI / tech strength vs weakness in broader sectors. Last week’s pullback came from valuation pressure and softer labor tone. Traders are waiting for confirmation on whether inflation is still cooling. Breadth remains weak, meaning moves can be sharp once the trendline resolves. Plan Going Into the Week Wait for price to show its hand at 6,780–6,830. Reaction Trade Bias Hold above 6,830 Long toward 6,922 → 7,009 Reject at the zone Short back to 6,659 Break 6,659 Short continuation to 6,550 Break 6,550 Trend turns heavier to the downside supported by bearish news on growth
SP:SPX
by SteveGold325
1