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Fundamental Analysis

WDC’s Not So Flash MemoryWestern Digital Corp. (WDC) has extended into a key resistance zone following a parabolic advance of more than 100% in recent months. Price action is showing early signs of exhaustion, with momentum flattening near the $104.60 level, which historically served as heavy supply. This setup aligns with a classic mean-reversion short: shorting into an overextended rally at a confluence of resistance, with a clearly defined support zone below as the target. Trade Idea: Entry Rationale (Red Arrow) Price has tagged $104.60, a resistance cluster reinforced by prior rejection levels. Exit Strategy (Green Arrow at $88.99) $88.99 represents a historically confirmed support level.
NASDAQ:WDCShort
by GoldenTraderz_2025
Orex Minerals (TSXV: REX) – Coneto ProjectPhase VI drilling at the Loma Verde vein confirmed continuity over 1.2 km strike with significant intercepts: 15 m @ 3.02 g/t AuEq (incl. 4.6 m @ 6.88 g/t AuEq) 4.5 m @ 4.05 g/t AuEq (incl. 1 m @ 13.35 g/t AuEq) The JV with Fresnillo (61%) provides low-risk exposure to gold-silver growth in a prolific Mexican belt. Orex (38.8%) participates in potential resource expansion without major financing risk. Takeaway: Coneto is a strategic junior option for exposure to high-quality Au-Ag resources with upside in a silver bull market.
TSXV:REXLong
by dimzh
TSLA Breakout Above $360 Opens Swing Trade SetupTesla broke the $360 resistance four days ago, a level that had been holding price down for the last 120 days. Once broken, price surged quickly toward the $420 zone. In my view, if we get a chance to buy again near the 370 green support zone, it would be a great swing trade opportunity — especially with the rising trendline still intact. 🔍 Technical Analysis Current Price: 420.95 360 acted as resistance for months, now flipped to strong support. Green zone (360–375) aligns with the uptrend, key area to watch for re-entry. 🛡️ Support & SL 🟢 370 zone | SL: 345 🧭 Outlook Bullish Case: Hold above 370 → continuation toward 450–475. Bearish Case: Break below 345 → deeper correction. Bias: Bullish while above 370. 🌍 Fundamental Insight Valuation: Tesla trades at a relatively high P/E ratio (60–70 range) compared to traditional automakers, reflecting growth expectations rather than current earnings. Revenue Growth: While margins have compressed due to price cuts, top-line growth remains supported by strong EV demand and expansion in new markets. Innovation & AI: Tesla’s positioning in AI, autonomous driving, and energy storage continues to attract investor optimism beyond just vehicle sales. Risks: Competition from other EV makers and margin pressure are key risks investors are watching. ✅ Conclusion Tesla’s breakout above 360 ended months of pressure. A pullback into the green support zone would be a strong swing entry with trendline confluence. While valuation is stretched versus peers, bullish momentum and growth expectations continue to support the stock. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by husseindergham
2
Goldman Sachs - Too Cheap to Ignore?NYSE:GS and the general financial services sector as a whole has faced extreme trauma over this past month. However, one that particularly stands out is the "bad guy" of the industry who has taken the equivalent to a roundhouse kick to the face, and the chart shows it. But does this mean that someone looking for a dip shouldn't pick up strong equity on a discount? I say no, lets be greedy while other are fearful just like that one guy said. Warren something... I don't really remember his name. Let's examine the numbers before we do the finance equivalent of astrology. This means that value investing and it's rather elementary techniques are going to give us some sort of indicator of a buy or a sell. Here's what you need to know. 1. Sachs has an attractive dividend yield of 2.14% ($11.50/share) and a gleaming dividend payout ratio (DPR) of 21.50%. 2. It is far from its high annual EPS sitting at 41.21 sliding from its high last December at 60.35. 3. It's price to earnings ratio (PE) is lounging nicely at 14.00 meaning we are at a generally cheap share price. This metric is what we're looking for. 4. Unfortunately, it has a rather higher price to book ratio (PB) at 1.64 which somewhat contradicts the PE ratio examined in #3. 5. Other metrics to keep in mind is an EV/EBITDA at 53.90 and a PEG at 16.23 which are both considered undesirable to investors. So as far as statistics are concerned, Goldman is sending some mixed signals making a decision difficult at the moment. This means we're going to have to examine the general sector sentiment and general outlook. Firstly, I'd like to point out Goldman's enterprise value. Sachs' EV is currently reported at 855.93 billion, 673 billion (78.63%) being debt (long term or short). This means NYSE:GS is a debt heavy company and we all know how debt works (the entity taking on the debt owes principal + interest). Well, this means that NYSE:GS is heavily going to be influenced by interest rates even considering their strong revenue. So, if we plan on interest rates being lowered long term (which I'm sure we all do), Goldman will be able to borrow from the Fed at a cheaper interest price while simultaneously owing account holders and bond holders less in interest (or APY yield for that matter). However, in the event that inflation runs wild and the Fed raises rates, NYSE:GS will face some turmoil along with the other commercial investment banks. Great, so now for the fun part. Let's see what the charts have to say about this and what it could be implying. Here is the 4H chart looking back into last October. As you can see, Goldman posted a sweet rally followed by our current pullback. However, we are being flashed with various bullish technical patterns and a strong explanation for the drop (even considering the tariffs threats and indices pullback). In summary, we are examining a stock in gradual freefall towards what appears to be several safety nets. On a psychological level, I find that most investors in the business of "smart money" wont let Goldman drop too low before they put their boot down. I also imagine this will happen pretty soon, but we need to hold the $540 price level. As far as the MACD is concerned, we are experiencing weakness from the buyers are the bears are clearly on offense. And lastly, the GS implied volatility shows that options traders aren't pricing in anything particularly unusual, and the most usual movement for the market is to climb higher so that's good news. So, what's the conclusion. In my humble opinion, I believe that Goldman Sachs' stock is trading too low to not buy. Financially, the company is not showing anything particularly concerning and may just need to show some strength before the mass cash chases this play. As of right now, I am long on NYSE:GS considering the financial statistics, general industry sentiment, and technical analysis which was used as an assistance tool. This trade could be last anywhere from 1 day to 1 year, but I am prepared to hold for much longer.
NYSE:GSLong
by addatheriver0808
Smart money concept (SMC)📊 SMC Analysis – Bullish Trade Completed ✅ Fake Out + Rejection Price first cleared liquidity with a fake out, then confirmed with a rejection at the 3,638–3,640 support zone. ✅ Bullish Confirmation After holding support, the market showed strong bullish intent with impulsive candles and broke out of the distribution phase. ✅ Institutional Impulse The breakout was clean and aggressive, validating institutional accumulation before pushing price higher. ✅ Target Achieved The new Higher High at 3,675 was reached with precision, perfectly confirming the previous trade projection. 🔑 Lesson Patience and discipline allow you to: 1. Identify fake outs. 2. Wait for support rejection. 3. Enter only with clear confirmation. 4. Stick to the plan until TP is hit. GOOD JOB TRADERS ;)
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by Fonseca87
U.S. Fed Rate Decision — Main Possible ScenariosThis Wednesday, September 17, we’re getting the most important event of recent (and upcoming) months — the one that will decide the direction not only for crypto but for all markets. Here’s how I see the possible outcomes: 💜 Pink scenario — the most likely We approach the meeting with positive price action → the Federal Reserve cuts rates → market spikes 1–2 candles up → then crashes hard. Bitcoin goes to retest the lows at $107,000. Why? Because this rate cut is already priced in — that’s exactly what fueled the entire rally of the past few months. Just like with the iShares Bitcoin Trust and Grayscale Ethereum Trust approvals — it’s the classic sell the news: everyone who wanted to buy has already bought, the catalyst plays out, and there’s nothing left to push price up. Also: historically, every bear market started right after the Fed cut rates. And this bull cycle is already one of the longest — almost 2 years. 💚 Green scenario — least likely We again approach with positive sentiment → the Fed cuts rates → market rallies → somehow new liquidity appears → and we go to retest the ATH. Personally, this “pink ponies” scenario seems unlikely — the market is extremely overheated, there’s been no fresh liquidity for months, and this entire rally has run on declining volume. It’s not that everyone suddenly wants crypto — it’s just that no one wants to sell. But at some point… they will. 💙 Blue scenario — plausible We approach with neutral/negative price action because insiders already know the decision and are positioning. The Fed keeps rates unchanged → the market nukes, because this was the main catalyst priced in for months. First target: $107,000, and if that breaks — $99,000 comes fast. This would likely mark the start of a new bear market. 📌 Drop a comment — which scenario do you think is coming?
by Crypto_Gym_Work
1
Pegasystems (PEGA) — Growth via AI & Cloud PartnershipsCompany Overview: Pegasystems Inc. NASDAQ:PEGA is a leader in enterprise software, specializing in business process management and customer engagement solutions. Its offerings enable organizations to enhance efficiency, scalability, and customer experience, positioning it well within the fast-growing digital transformation market. Key Catalysts: AI acceleration: The Pega GenAI Blueprint platform reduces development time, delivering stronger ROI for clients such as Vodafone. Cloud expansion: Partnerships with AWS and Microsoft boost integration, sales reach, and co-selling opportunities—supporting revenue scale. Industry recognition: Named a Leader in Forrester’s Q3 2025 Digital Process Automation Platforms report, reinforcing brand credibility and competitive edge. Investment Outlook: Bullish above: $49–$50 Upside target: $85–$90, driven by AI adoption, cloud partnerships, and industry validation. #PEGA #AI #CloudComputing #DigitalTransformation #EnterpriseSoftware #TechGrowth #Investing
NASDAQ:PEGALong
by Richtv_official
Gold on the eve of interest rate cut: opportunity or trap?Gold Technical Analysis: Further analyzing gold's trend from a technical perspective, since its decline from the 3675 high, the daily chart has failed to show a clear unilateral direction. Instead, it has exhibited a pattern of alternating negative and positive fluctuations with narrowing amplitudes. Furthermore, the K-line chart continues to trade above the unilateral moving average. This pattern clearly points to a period of consolidation within a bullish trend, rather than a trend reversal. This week's daily chart should focus on two key support levels: the 3600 area represents a short-term watershed between strength and weakness. If broken, the market could shift from strong fluctuations to weak corrections. The 3500 area represents a medium-term bull-bear reversal line. A breach of this level could trigger a fundamental trend reversal. Therefore, 3600 should be the primary defensive line. The 4-hour chart shows more volatile gold: the Bollinger Bands continue to narrow, and the moving averages are highly converging. This indicates a complete lack of momentum needed for a unilateral rise or fall. For the time being, the 3615-3660 range is the preferred range. Based on cyclical patterns, the probability of a breakout of the Bollinger Bands on Monday and Tuesday is extremely low before the bands open. Therefore, high-certainty trading can be conducted on these two trading days around 3615 (lower support) - 3660 (upper resistance), without excessive expectations for a breakout outside the range. Based on real-time trends, gold has completed a short-term correction since the opening. Based on the logic of oscillation, long positions can be established within the day based on support near the lower edge of the range: enter near 3625-3620 (aligned with the lower edge of the 4-hour range), targeting upward fluctuations. Focus on the 3650-3660 area (where the upper edge of the 4-hour range overlaps with key resistance on the daily chart). If the price rebounds to the 3660-3655 range and finds resistance, a small position can be used to test short positions, targeting a pullback to the 3635-3630 area, forming a closed-loop buy-low-sell-high strategy within the range. Note that after the adjustment, the current price is in the middle of the range. Direct entry is not recommended for now. Wait until the price approaches the -3625-3620 support level or the 3655-3660 resistance level before placing orders based on K-line stabilization/pressure signals to improve trading accuracy. Overall, the recommended short-term trading strategy for gold today is to primarily buy on dips, supplemented by higher rebounds. Focus on the 3655-3665 resistance level on the upside, and the 3625-3615 support level on the downside.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldenTrack_Daniel
Solaris (SEI ) tempting an assault to a C&H at base 3Key points at the time of writing. ✣ We are at a new market cycle since June 2025 ✣ Market Direction is Up 90% ✣ Stock Fundamentals are almost good, only missing yearly earnings for now. ✣ Institutional Ownership is 67% (marketbeat.com) (no quarterly data) ✣ Stock technically at base 3. ✣ TTM Performance of 193% ✣ Good Volume profile. The stock shows evident signs of accumulation with a Highest Positive Volume Ever last week which broke the handle down trend. I expect it to rally If the handle buy point is broke hopefully with good volume.
NYSE:SEILong
by AL26
SNA (Snap-on Incorporated) - Long SetupTrading Idea: NYSE:SNA (Snap-on Incorporated) - Long Setup 🎯 Idea: LONG ⏰ Timeframe: Daily 📊 Pattern: Bullish Breakout from Consolidation Fundamental Context: Fundamental Score: 3/9 (Neutral/Weak). Business: Premium Tools, Equipment, and Software for Professionals. Growth: Weak Revenue and Net Income Growth YoY. Balance Sheet: Excellent (Debt Score: 10/10). Very strong financial health. Valuation: Fairly Valued on P/E; Overvalued on P/B and P/S. Technical Setup: Trend (D1): Bullish ✅ Entry: $340.19 (Break above recent consolidation and Bollinger Band squeeze). Stop Loss (SL): $323.39 (Below key support and the 50-period SMA). Take Profit (TP): $375.00 (Previous resistance zone and measured move target). Momentum: RSI (59) in healthy bullish territory, MACD positive. Risk Management: Risk/Reward (R:R): 1:2.1 Position size based on the risk between entry and stop. Summary: A technical breakout play on a legendary industrial brand with a rock-solid balance sheet, targeting a continuation to prior highs. ⚠️ Disclaimer: Not Financial Advice This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It is NOT a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions. You are solely responsible for your own trades and investments. Past performance is never indicative of future results. Trading involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. #TradingView #SNA #Long #Industrial #Tools #Breakout #Dividend #TradingSetup #Manufacturing
NYSE:SNALong
by shortermtrader
USD/CAD - Bearish Flag (15.09.2025)The USD/CAD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Flag Pattern. TRADENATION:USDCAD This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.3814 2nd Support – 1.3796 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
63
PUT CREDIT SPREAD on RUT📈 Thesis: Bullish Momentum Strategy on RUT Using Neural RSI and ADX Pro This strategy identifies long trade opportunities on the Russell 2000 (RUT) using two core indicators: Simple Neural Network RSI: When this indicator is green, it signals bullish momentum. Green means go—whether it’s a breakout, reversal, or continuation. ADX Pro: When rising, it confirms that the directional move is gaining strength. 🎯 Trade Setup A long trade is initiated when: The Neural RSI is green, indicating bullish momentum. ADX Pro is rising, confirming trend strength. 📊 Metrics (Simple Compounding Model) Trade Duration: 2 days Spread Width: $5 Net Credit: $47 Capital at Risk: $500 ROI per Trade: 9.4% One of the most consistent ways to generate income in options trading is by selling premium in high-probability environments. That means structuring trades where the odds are tilted in your favor—not by prediction, but by placement. When you position short strikes outside the expected move, you're essentially betting that price will stay within its statistically forecasted range. It’s not about being right—it’s about being on the right side of probability. Pair that with short durations—like 2-day trades—and you’re working with accelerated time decay. A 9% return in that window might seem small, but when repeated with discipline, it adds up quickly. The key is keeping risk defined, staying mechanical, and letting the math do the heavy lifting. Premium collection isn’t flashy. It’s methodical. And when done right, it becomes a reliable engine for compounding gains while keeping exposure tight.
TVC:RUT
by jallen572
US100 Hits All-Time HighUS100 Hits All-Time High Yesterday, US100 reached a new record high at 24040, confirming the strength of its bullish trend. With U.S. inflation cooling, the market is now expecting the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, possibly starting this cycle and continuing in the months ahead. Lower rates tend to support stocks and indices, giving the economy room to breathe after a long period of tight monetary policy. I expect US100 to continue rising toward 24500, with intermediate targets at 24250 and 24500 in the coming week. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by KlejdiCuni
10
British pound hits two-month high, UK job dataThe British pound has started the new trading week in positive territory. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3591, up 0.26% on the day. Earlier, the pound hit a daily high of 1.3620, its highest level since July 10. The UK releases employment data on Tuesday. Claimant counts is expected to jump to 20.3 thousand in August, after a rare decline in July which saw claimant counts decline by 6.2 thousand. The unemployment rate is expected to remain at 4.7% for a third straight time, its highest level in four years. Wage growth including bonuses is expected to rise to 4.7%, up from 4.6% in the previous release, which was the lowest pace in nine months. It's a busy week in the UK, with the inflation report on Wednesday and the Bank of England rate decision on Thursday. The BoE is expected to maintain rates at 4.0% after last month's narrow 5-4 decision to lower rates. Governor Bailey has said rates would move "downwards gradually over time" but hasn't provided any details as to the timing or extent of cuts. The UK may have already entered stagflation, which is a toxic mix of persistently high inflation, weak growth and rising unemployment. This presents a major headache for the BoE, as weak growth supports a rate cut while high inflation could get worse if the BoE reduces rates. The central bank is hesitant to lower rates with inflation close to 4%, but may have to cut before the end of the year if the labor market continues to deteriorate. Tuesday's job report is unlikely to change minds at the BoE, which is expected to hold rates. Still, it could be a factor in the November rate decision. GBPUSD has pushed above resistance at 1.3564 and is testing 1.3589 Above, there is resistance at 1.3605 There is support at 1.3548
by OANDA
Gold - How High Will It GO?📢 NFX Market Update – FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD just broke out of the bullish flag formation on the hourly timeframe, pushing through key resistance with conviction. This breakout signals strong bullish momentum and supports the continuation of the uptrend, especially as it aligns with our ABC Elliott Wave structure. If buyers sustain this momentum, new highs could be printed ahead of Wednesday’s FED rate decision, with potential for an even stronger rally post-decision - similar to the price action observed during the recent NFP release. I remain bullish on gold here, but I’d love to hear your views as well in the comment below. More insights are covered in the video.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by niclaxfx