Fundamental Analysis
GBP/USD – Rejection at Key Resistance Zone SignalsGBP/USD – Rejection at Key Resistance Zone Signals Potential Bearish Reversal
The GBP/USD pair on the H1 timeframe shows clear rejection from the resistance area around 1.3140 – 1.3160, suggesting that bullish momentum may be weakening. After testing this supply zone multiple times without a breakout, the market is now showing signs of a potential short-term bearish correction.
Technical Analysis:
The price has failed to sustain above the neckline of a previous “Cup” structure, confirming resistance strength.
A series of lower highs has formed, indicating a possible shift in short-term market sentiment.
The break below 1.3130 opens the door for a move toward the 1.3080 – 1.3050 support zone.
Trading Plan:
Traders can look for sell opportunities on pullbacks toward the 1.3130 – 1.3140 area for better risk-to-reward setups.
Entry: 1.3135Stop loss: 1.3165
Take profit: 1.3080 – 1.3050
If bearish momentum continues to build, GBP/USD could extend further downside before any possible rebound.
Follow for more daily trade setups and market breakdowns — save this idea if it helps refine your strategy.
Buffett to Shareholders: “I’m Going Quiet”Buffett to Shareholders: “I’m Going Quiet”
Legendary investor Warren Buffett, the 95-year-old head of Berkshire Hathaway, has marked the end of an era by publishing what he called his “final letter” to shareholders on 10 November. The “Oracle of Omaha” announced that he is “going quiet”, bringing to a close his famous annual essays that have guided generations of investors for nearly six decades.
In this letter, Buffett:
→ noted that he will continue to communicate with shareholders through an “annual Thanksgiving message”;
→ announced a new $1.3 billion donation to four family foundations;
→ paid tribute to the late Charlie Munger and reflected on the “incredible luck” that has shaped his life.
Buffett also confirmed that his successor, Greg Abel, will formally assume the role of CEO by the end of 2025, expressing full confidence in the man who will oversee the legacy of one of the world’s greatest investors.
Technical Analysis of Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B)
The technical outlook for Berkshire Hathaway’s Class B shares (BRK.B) in 2025 appears mixed. In spring, the stock faced two downward catalysts:
→ April: announcement of new tariffs by Donald Trump;
→ May: a quarterly earnings report that fell short of expectations.
Since then, BRK.B has formed a descending channel, within which:
→ a key low (point A) was established;
→ a strong August report sparked a confident rebound towards the channel’s upper boundary (point B);
→ that upper boundary has since acted as persistent resistance.
Given these developments, it is reasonable to assume that:
→ the move from B → C could represent a correction following the earlier A → B impulse;
→ the $488 level, which shows signs of support, may enable the bulls to break through resistance and resume the longer-term uptrend.
This analysis of BRK.B can be summed up with Buffett’s final piece of advice — one that transcends markets: “Kindness costs nothing, but it is priceless.”
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
XAUUSD 2 scenariosXAU/USD – Gold Outlook (Two Scenarios)
Today I’m watching two possible scenarios for gold:
1️⃣ Technical View: After yesterday’s strong rally, gold may need a pullback to collect liquidity before continuing higher — no real correction has occurred yet. A retracement could offer better long entry opportunities around support zones.
2️⃣ Fundamental View: Despite the overextended move, bullish momentum could continue, driven by optimism over a potential U.S. Senate deal to end the government shutdown. Such an agreement could weaken the USD and boost risk sentiment, favoring further gains in gold.
💡 Summary: Technically expecting a short correction, but fundamentals remain bullish, keeping the 4,100 level in sight if positive news confirms.
Repsol Reaches Seven-Year HighsRepsol Reaches Seven-Year Highs: Market Strength and Upside Potential in 2025
By Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades
Repsol continues to consolidate its leadership within the Ibex 35 after posting a 16% gain over the past three weeks, reaching €16.40 per share, levels not seen since 2018. So far in 2025, the oil company has accumulated a 41% revaluation, outperforming the Spanish benchmark index and confirming its solid performance despite a less favorable energy environment.
Fundamental Analysis
During the first nine months of the year, Repsol reported a net profit of €1.177 billion, down 34.3% year-on-year, affected by the decline in crude oil prices, which have fallen from $82 to $64 per barrel (-22%). Nonetheless, the company maintains a solid financial structure, a healthy balance sheet, and an attractive dividend yield of 6.4% for 2026, following confirmation of a €0.50 per share payment in January and another likely distribution in July.
The market views positively Repsol’s ability to generate cash flow even under lower oil prices, along with its diversification into renewables and biofuels, factors that strengthen its sustainable profile and appeal to institutional investors. Several Spanish and European banks have highlighted its attractiveness, emphasizing shareholder remuneration and its positioning in exploration and production projects for 2026–2027. Market consensus places the target price between €18 and €20, maintaining an optimistic tone. The strategic review scheduled for March 2026 will be key in defining the company’s next growth phase.
Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, Repsol confirmed a bullish breakout late last week after surpassing €16.18, consolidating its upward trend. However, Monday’s bearish candle close suggests a potential temporary ceiling within the current move. The key support lies at €16.03, followed by the 50-day moving average, which—if maintained—would reinforce the continuation of buying momentum.
The next technical target is set around €17.00, while a sustained break below €15.60 could trigger a corrective phase toward the €15.00–14.80 area.
In terms of indicators, the RSI has eased from 78.4% to 73.3%, reflecting a slight moderation in momentum, while the MACD remains positive, suggesting a sideways consolidation phase before a potential medium-term bullish continuation.
Conclusion
Repsol remains one of the strongest companies in the Ibex 35, combining solid fundamentals, a high dividend yield, and a constructive technical setup. Short-term profit-taking may occur, but as long as the stock holds above key support levels, the underlying bullish trend remains intact. Looking ahead to 2026, the strategic review and the global energy context will be decisive in determining whether Repsol can consolidate above the €17–18 range, paving the way for new cycle highs.
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Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance and forecasting are not a synonym of a reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk. Political risk is unpredictable. Central bank actions can vary. Platform tools do not guarantee success.
Gold Rejection Ahead – Short-Term Pullback LikelyFundamental Analysis:
OANDA:XAUUSD remains under pressure as major central banks, including the Fed, ECB, and BOE, hold rates steady, keeping global monetary conditions tight and real yields elevated. The strong U.S. dollar, supported by solid GDP growth at 3.8% and inflation near 3%, continues to weigh on the metal’s appeal as a non-yielding asset. While speculative positioning in the latest COT report shows funds still heavily net-long, new buying momentum is slowing, indicating exhaustion among bullish traders. With no signs of imminent rate cuts or major risk-off sentiment, gold is likely to stay capped near resistance and trade in a corrective or consolidative range in the short term, unless weaker U.S. data or a dovish policy shift reignites demand.
Technical Analysis:
FXOPEN:XAUUSD is showing signs of exhaustion near the **$4,050 resistance zone**, forming a **corrective rising channel** with weakening momentum. A rejection from this level could trigger a pullback toward **$3,900–$3,840 support**, while a daily close above **$4,128** would invalidate the bearish setup. Overall bias: **short-term bearish / corrective** within the current strong-USD environment.
Week Targets: 3900-3840
Brent Short South of $65I’m not a full-time oil trader, so my knowledge may not be as deep as those who specialize in the sector, but I believe the US’s latest oil sanctions and OPEC’s decision to pause output quota hikes will not offset enough the record oil surplus expected in 2026. I don’t plan to take a large position, but I think anything below 65 offers a valid short opportunity.
Right now, I've discovered another market opportunity.We publicly pointed out that we should pay close attention to the resistance in the 4100-4120 range. After encountering resistance, a pullback was expected. The market trend was largely in line with our expectations, with the lowest point reaching around 4074. We were very satisfied with the substantial profit we achieved.
There was indeed some upward movement during the day. This week, we need to focus on the news: Although the market continued its strong performance at the beginning of the week, it was easy to create the illusion that a "sharp rise was about to happen". However, the government shutdown is now in its final countdown, so we need to be wary of potential risks. Once the shutdown ends, the market may see a significant pullback. Since relevant news has already released signals, we should remain rational about the recent rise and not blindly follow the trend. There is always something fishy going on, so it is better to be cautious. For more detailed instructions, please refer to the notification at the bottom.
From a technical perspective, gold has repeatedly faced resistance near 4110 after breaking through 4100. It is severely overbought in the short term and shows signs of a potential top. I personally do not recommend continuing to buy at this high level to avoid a sharp drop, which is a common market shakeout pattern. Therefore, my strategy remains to prioritize short-term shorting. From the current structure, 4100 has not truly stabilized. Do not blindly and aggressively chase the upward trend. Focus on short-term adjustments and seize opportunities to trade within the time frame. Short positions can be initiated in the 4100-4120 range, with a target of 10-40 USD. The key support level to watch is 4050-4030, which can be considered as a range for buying on dips and medium- to long-term positions. It is best to remain on the sidelines and not participate in positions in the middle range. The 4100-4120 range remains a key focus for short-term bears. Market trends don't only rise or only fall. If you grasp the opportunities well, every phase can be a chance. Generally speaking, don't blindly chase the rise when you're bullish. Flexibly manage the rhythm of primarily long positions and secondarily short positions, and follow the trend to achieve steady success.
GOLD surpasses $4,140/ounce, signaling a new cycleOANDA:XAUUSD continued to climb in the Asian session on November 11, trading around $4,148/ounce, up $32 in the morning alone, after rising nearly 3% in the previous session. The two-day rally, the strongest since May, reflects the defensive sentiment of global investors in the face of a weakening US economic outlook and the possibility of the Federal Reserve (Fed) soon shifting monetary policy.
Bloomberg said gold maintained its gains after the US Senate approved a bipartisan deal to end the longest government shutdown in history, supported by President Donald Trump. The bill is expected to pass the House of Representatives this week by a 60-40 vote, paving the way for the resumption of work for hundreds of thousands of federal workers and stalled food aid.
The political situation has eased somewhat, but investors remain cautious. The reopening of the government means that a slew of delayed economic data will soon be released, which could shed more light on the growth picture. Bloomberg analysts said the upcoming data “are likely to show a worsening economic outlook,” reinforcing expectations for a Fed rate cut sooner than expected.
The probability of a 25 basis point cut in December is now above 65%, according to CME's FedWatch tool. Falling bond yields and a weak dollar have pushed money back into gold, the traditional safe haven, especially as the global rate-hike cycle ends and US fiscal risks emerge.
In the international market, gold is still up more than 50% since the beginning of the year, despite a short-term correction last month. Net buying from central banks, especially in Asia and the Middle East, and increased physical gold investment in the private sector, continue to be the core drivers for the prolonged bull cycle.
Commentary: Gold’s Return as a Barometer of US Economic Confidence
Gold’s November rally was more than a short-term political response. It reflected a deeper shift in global market sentiment: that the US dollar is losing its primacy amid rising debt, fiscal spending and domestic political divisions.
While U.S. stock markets hover around historic highs, institutional investors are beginning to rebalance their portfolios in a defensive direction, increasing their exposure to precious metals and government bonds. At the same time, central banks in China, India and Turkey continue to accumulate gold, a move that makes both financial and geopolitical sense, as they seek to reduce their dependence on the dollar payment system.
If the Fed does ease later in the year, gold could consolidate above $4,000 an ounce as a new price level, while risk assets face correction pressure. In an era where U.S. financial stability is no longer a given, the precious metal is returning to its old role as a gauge of confidence in the U.S. currency and government.
Technical analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold prices are consolidating above the $3,970–$3,850/oz support zone, after bouncing back from the 0.382 Fibonacci line ($3,972) and remaining within the rising price channel (channel a) formed since July. The price structure suggests that a correction has been completed, as the recovery in buying pressure pushed the price above the short-term MA around $4,055, towards the 0.236 Fibonacci level at $4,128, which is currently a key short-term resistance zone.
The RSI has recovered from the 40 zone to near 60, indicating a return of bullish momentum, while recent daily candles have all closed above the medium-term uptrend line. A firm close above $4,130 could confirm the bullish trend, opening a new bullish cycle with the next target at $4,216, and further to the $4,380/oz zone, the upper end of the current price channel. Conversely, a loss of $3,940 would weaken the bullish structure and send gold back to the $3,850–$3,870 accumulation zone.
• Observation:
Gold is showing signs of forming a new base above the $4,000 area, reinforcing the scenario of a medium-term bullish cycle if it breaks the $4,130 resistance. Short-term profit-taking pressure may appear, but the main trend is currently leaning positive in the second half of November.
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4180 - 4178⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 4184
→Take Profit 1 4172
↨
→Take Profit 2 4166
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 4088 - 4090⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 4084
→Take Profit 1 4096
↨
→Take Profit 2 4102
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H2 | A corrective move may occur todayLiamTrading – XAUUSD H2 | A corrective move may occur today
Follow Liquidity 4090, FVG 4053–4069 & VAH ~4025
Quick note: Gold remains in an uptrend but shows signs of stalling at the upper boundary of the ascending channel. Amid the backdrop of potential USD fluctuations as the US nears reopening, a technical correction towards liquidity zones is a scenario to prepare for.
Technical Analysis
Trendline/Price Channel: Price is moving within an ascending channel; the channel top at 4130–4140 is prone to profit-taking/stalling.
Liquidity: 4085–4092 – a price pull/volume attraction point before choosing the next direction.
FVG #1: 4053–4069 – a price gap with a probability of filling and reversing.
VAH (Volume Profile): 4023–4028 – volume value peak; strong confluence support in case of a deep correction.
POC: ~3985–3990 – a magnetic point if the market weakens more than expected.
Resistance: 4135–4140 (near channel top + short-term offer), further out 4166 (Fibo/channel top extension).
Fibonacci: The latest upward wave shows the expansion area around 4135–4166 as a “liquidity pocket” – suitable for scalp sell upon clear rejection; retracement levels 0.382–0.5 converge around 406x–402x, aligning with FVG & VAH → preferred buy point if price corrects.
Trading Scenarios
Buy shallow pullback (trend-following)
Entry: 4083–4085
SL: 4077
TP: 4098 → 4112 → 4140 → 4166
Note: Requires rejection/candle wick at Liquidity 4090; move SL to breakeven at +1R.
Buy deep at VAH/Volume Profile
Entry: 4025–4028
SL: 4020
TP: 4040 → 4065 → 4100 → 4112
Note: Prioritize when FVG 4053–4069 fills and reverses; exercise caution with volume.
Sell scalp at channel resistance (counter-trend)
Entry: 4135–4140
SL: 4148
TP: 4122 → 4105 → 4090
Note: This is a scalp trade; abandon if H1/H2 closes strongly above 4140.
H1/H2 closes below 4077 → risk of testing 4053–4069; further breach of 4020 may drag to POC ~3990.
Each trade risks 0.5–1%, do not average down against the trend; adhere to Dow (enter only upon confirmed support/resistance break on entry timeframe).
What level are you watching for gold today? Comment below & hit Follow on LiamTrading channel for the fastest updates.
Gold 30 m Decision-Point: Breakout vs. PullbackFundamental Overview
The spot price of Gold (XAU/USD) is hovering around USD 4,115-4,130 per ounce.
Bullish drivers:
Expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) continue to support gold as a non-yielding store of value.
Safe-haven demand remains elevated amid global uncertainty and weaker U.S. economic data.
Bearish/neutral risk factors:
The U.S. Dollar (USD) is finding some strength, which could cap gold’s upside.
With gold already near recent highs, the risk of profit-taking or consolidation is higher.
Fundamental Bias Summary: Neutral to slightly bullish — fundamentals support upside, but need trigger for meaningful move.
Technical Analysis (30 Minute Frame)
Price is trading near USD 4,115-4,130, above yesterday’s range.
Key resistance zone: USD 4,150-4,200. A clean breakout here could fuel further gains.
Key support zone: USD 4,050-4,000. If price drops below, look for weakness.
Technical indicators: RSI on daily/4-hour shows momentum is positive; however intraday momentum may be thinner on the 30m frame.
Technical Bias Summary: Favor bullish bias if price breaks above resistance and confirms. Without that, expect range bound or pullback toward support.
Trade Plan & Key Levels
Bullish Scenario (Breakout Play):
Entry: Long above USD 4,150, after 30-min candle close above.
Stop-Loss: Around USD 4,010-4,000, depending on risk tolerance.
Targets:
TP1: ~USD 4,250
TP2: ~USD 4,350 (if momentum strong)
Bearish Scenario (Rejection/Breakdown Play):
Entry: Short if price fails at resistance zone (4,150-4,200) and breaks below USD 4,000 on 30-min.
Stop-Loss: ~USD 4,170-4,200
Targets:
TP1: ~USD 3,900
TP2: ~USD 3,800
No-trade / Wait Mode:
If price remains stuck between ~USD 4,050 and USD 4,150 without clear breakout or breakdown — better sit out and wait for clearer directional cue.
My View for Today
I lean slightly bullish, but only if we see a valid breakout above USD 4,150. The fundamental tailwinds (Fed cut hopes + safe-haven) support this.
However, if that breakout fails and price rejects, the more likely scenario is a pullback toward USD 4,000-3,900.
Thus, I’ll be watching closely for the trigger on the 30-minute chart — execution only after confirmation.
Xau/Usd – Weak High Sweep & Bearish Reversal SetupPrice has been respecting an ascending trendline, forming a series of BOS (Break of Structure) events during the climb. However, the most recent price action shows clear signs of exhaustion near a weak high, suggesting a potential shift in sentiment.
Key Observations
1. Trendline Resistance Break
Price has broken out above the diagonal trendline after multiple bounces.
The breakout appears shallow, lacking strong continuation — signaling possible liquidity grab rather than genuine bullish strength.
2. ChoCH at the High
A Change of Character (ChoCH) has formed near the Tokyo session high, indicating that bullish momentum is weakening.
This often signals the first early sign of a potential reversal on the lower timeframe.
3. Weak High Taken
The breakout wick suggests price may have targeted liquidity above the weak high and is now showing hesitation.
This setup is consistent with a distribution / top formation before a deeper move down.
4. Potential Bearish Scenario
If bearish follow-through confirms:
• TP1: ~4075
First major liquidity pool and inefficiency level.
• TP2: ~4000
A deeper downside target aligning with a previous structural demand and imbalance fill.
Summary
Price has reached an extended top, swept the weak high, and printed a ChoCH — all signs of a probable bearish reversal setup.
Confirmation is required through a break of internal structure, after which a move toward TP1 and TP2 becomes more likely.
NZD/USD: Tech and Geostrategic Levers for ReboundThe NZD/USD pair currently trades near $0.5640$, softening after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) survey. Two-year inflation expectations held steady at $2.28\%$ for Q4 2025. This neutral RBNZ outlook currently limits the New Zealand Dollar's (NZD) strength. Furthermore, the likely end of the US government shutdown supports the US Dollar (USD). Despite these immediate headwinds, several structural and technological factors create significant upside potential for the Kiwi currency.
Macroeconomic Catalyst: US Labor Weakness
The USD presently gains strength from the US Senate's vote to end the government shutdown. Nevertheless, the post-shutdown release of delayed US economic data, specifically the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), creates high-risk volatility. Private-sector surveys recently indicated a cooling trend in the US labor market. Any weakness confirmed by official US data will immediately exert severe selling pressure on the USD. This scenario presents the most potent near-term catalyst for NZD/USD appreciation.
Geostrategic Stability and Trade Corridors
New Zealand maintains a stable and predictable political environment. This institutional quality significantly enhances global investor confidence. Geostrategically, New Zealand benefits from its reliable trade links, primarily with the Asian economies. While US-China trade tensions create short-term market risk, New Zealand’s role as a smaller, diversified commodity and services provider mitigates the direct impact severity. The country remains a highly reliable partner, fostering strong long-term capital inflow.
High-Tech Diversification and Patent Strength
New Zealand actively pivots its economy toward higher-value exports. Technology, especially Agritech and Fintech, is driving growth. The tech sector currently ranks as the third-largest export industry, increasing foreign currency revenue. Strong R&D investment supports this structural diversification. New Zealand creates patented solutions for sustainable agriculture worldwide . Global demand for these science-backed, proprietary solutions structurally supports NZD strength long-term.
Conclusion
The NZD faces short-term pressure from US political resolution and RBNZ neutrality. However, market participants must look beyond immediate volatility. Structural drivers are in place. These include conditional USD weakness and New Zealand's growing strength in high-tech exports and geopolitical reliability. We project these factors will drive the NZD/USD pair higher as the market shifts focus from present risks to future economic fundamentals.
Is having a stop loss on Bitcoin embarrassing?Is having a stop loss in the crypto market embarrassing? This isn't just a question—it's a new trading style that's become trendy and has pulled the culture of young crypto traders right into its orbit... a culture without responsibility that wants to escape reality and market principles, chasing higher profits and loftier positions. A culture where 5% monthly profit is laughable to them, and they won't settle for anything less than 50% to 100% gains.
Let's see what happens to this minority in just the past few weeks with this ideology: On October 10, a 16% drop (they get liquidated and wiped out of the market). On September 22, with that long squeeze candle, a 4.30% drop (wiped out for the second time). On November 3 and 4, a 10% drop (wiped out for the third time :))
That said, a huge crowd usually floods the market right before accumulation phases or trend changes (when big investors need liquidity), and after supplying that liquidity, they get wiped out too... I haven't found a precise indicator yet for when these folks show up—if you've got one, comment below; maybe I'll write a script for it myself. But the point is, after these people get liquidated, we usually enter an accumulation phase, followed by a trend reversal. Long squeeze and short squeeze candles are great examples for spotting these crowds, and then you can expect ranging, followed by the trend change.
In the 4H timeframe, we've relatively shifted the range—hopefully forming a higher high and higher low above 104,862.71 . A break of 106,542.82 in the 4H timeframe could be our first trigger for a trend change in this leg. But the main trigger is breaking the resistance at 111,287.45, since this resistance is what triggered the reaction that formed the lower low at 100,503.60—so it's hugely important, and breaking it would put Bitcoin back into uptrend mode.
+ The probability of the US government shutdown ending has hit 84% on Polymarket. Actually, that's what drove the growth in recent days... You might think it's weird—like, shouldn't we grow after good news? I say no, the market moves based on expectations, not news or anything else... Does the expectation say the US government will reopen? Okay, let's grow—that's it.
+ A super important point: Trump officially announced that every American (except high earners) will get $2,000. Something like those stimulus checks during COVID in 2020! Remember that?
And what I'm saying here impacts daily and weekly timeframes, not 4H... So if you're trading in lower timeframes, no need to pay attention to this stuff—per your strategy, if it signals long, open long; if we dump from here and go below 104k, hunt for shorts :) Easy.
If you like these multi-faceted, educational analyses, definitely follow—it's crazy we're still under 1,000. We need a bigger community to pull off even bigger things. Thanks for your attention—till next time, peace out.
EURUSD holding steadyThe U.S. markets are closed today, which suggests lower trading volumes and reduced volatility.
EURUSD is holding around the 1,1550 level as we watch for the next move.
Expect increased fluctuations on Thursday when the government is set to reopen.
The target remains unchanged. Avoid taking aggressive entries today.
Gold H1 - Holds Above 4,140$, Eyes the 4,200$ Breakout🔍 Market Context
Gold continues its relentless climb, trading near a three-week high at 4,146$ as buyers remain firmly in control.
Despite a mild rebound in the US Dollar — driven by cautious sentiment across Asian markets — gold’s momentum stays intact, fueled by expectations that the Federal Reserve may proceed with a rate cut in December.
Soft US data last week and weaker consumer sentiment readings have further strengthened this outlook, keeping real yields under pressure and reinforcing gold’s safe-haven appeal.
📊 Technical Outlook (H1–H4)
The market structure remains bullish, forming a clear ascending channel.
Price has broken above the previous resistance at 4,086$ and is now consolidating around 4,140$, preparing for a potential continuation move.
Key Levels:
• Support Zones: 4,086$ – 4,039$ → retest area for new buyers
• Immediate Resistance: 4,146$
• Breakout Target: 4,203$
• Extended Bullish Target: 4,382$ (ATH zone)
If gold maintains structure above 4,080$, the bias remains strongly bullish.
Only a confirmed close below this zone would suggest a short-term pullback before continuation.
⚜️ MMFLOW Insight:
“Momentum follows liquidity. Once price reclaims key structure, smart money builds the next leg — not noise, but narrative.”
Greedy Short Gone Wrong | Day 66 Trading S&P FuturesI started the day strong, shorting the 6830 resistance level for quick profits — but got greedy and went for more at 6852, thinking the market couldn’t push higher.
It did. I got squeezed, gave back all my gains, and ended the day basically flat.
Some days remind you: the market doesn’t owe you anything.
VX Algo had 4 out of 5 clean signals today — structure nailed the direction early.
Tomorrow’s levels: Above 6810 bullish, below 6780 bearish.
Fundamental Market Analysis for November 11, 2025 GPBUSDEvent to watch today:
09:00 EET. GBP - Unemployment Rate
GBPUSD:
Sterling trades around 1.31600–1.31700 after early-week losses: progress on resolving the U.S. budget issue supports the dollar while narrowing the scope for a GBP rebound. Additional pressure comes from domestic U.K. discussions about the need for fiscal consolidation and prospects for new tax measures, which heighten investor caution toward growth. Against this backdrop, the pair retains a downside bias from 1.31650.
From a monetary perspective, the U.K. still faces the likelihood of further policy easing in 2026 amid cooling activity and softer price pressures. This tempers the pound’s appeal versus the dollar, which in the near term benefits from clarity on budget risks and a potential increase in Treasury supply without the threat of a technical default.
The market is unlikely to quickly overturn its cautious stance: the combination of fiscal restraint in Britain and normalization in the U.S. fundamentally favors USD strength against GBP. Absent fresh positive surprises from the U.K., the base case is a gradual move toward the 1.31 area and lower.
Trading recommendation: SELL 1.31650, SL 1.32150, TP 1.30950
Gold price rose, awaiting the majors data resumeThere were signs of a resuming US government, which could resume the major data release, especially in the labor market. The labor market has weakened recently, and private data indicate a contraction in companies being watched, driving investors to seek safe havens like gold. Besides, the central bank continued to accumulate gold, with a 28% annual growth in Q3, projected to reach above 1000 tons per year in the latest four years, supporting gold prices.
The XAUUSD briefly tested the 4150 level, with the Golden Cross EMAs signaling stronger bullish momentum. However, the price could hover around 4150 before breaching to test the next resistance at the 4200 level.
By Van Ha Trinh - Financial Market Strategist at Exness






















