Dxy showing signs of bears power Dxy have gotten below 98.907 level which indicates that the bears are still in charge so we are looking at shorts again
Fundamental Analysis
Gold price developments today, November 141. Trendline
Descending trendline (upper red): Price is repeatedly rejected here → a strong dynamic resistance.
Ascending trendline (lower red): Price has bounced multiple times → an important dynamic support, forming a confluence with the 0.618 Fibonacci level.
2. Resistance
4,215 – 4,225:
Supply zone + confluence with the descending trendline → a high-probability selling area.
If price breaks strongly above 4,225, the next expansion target is 4,244.
3. Support
4,172 – 4,155 (Fibo 0.5 – 0.618):
Nearest support, likely to see a reaction.
4,127 – 4,130:
The strongest support zone, aligned with the ascending trendline → a potential buying area.
4. Price Scenarios
Scenario 1 (primary):
Price retraces to retest 4,215–4,225, gets rejected → declines toward 4,155 or deeper to 4,127.
Scenario 2:
If the descending trendline breaks, price could rally strongly toward 4,244.
BUY GOLD : 4127 - 4130
Stoploss : 4113
Take Profit : 100-300-500pips
SELL GOLD : 4221-4224
Stoploss : 4233
Take Profit : 100-300-500pips
BTCUSDT 30-Minute Structure Breakdown & Key ImbalancesBitcoin on the 30-minute timeframe is showing a clear shift in short-term structure after rejecting the 30-minute resistance area. Price broke below the recent swing level, creating a Break of Structure (BOS) and opening the door for a deeper retracement.
1. Liquidity Sweep & BOS
Price tapped into the highlighted liquidity zone, swept resting orders, and then continued lower, confirming a near-term bearish move through BOS.
2. Fair Value Gap (FVG) Identified
A clean FVG has formed below the current price. This imbalance may attract a price for a potential short-term retracement. If the price returns to this level, it can act as a point of reaction.
3. Support Zone Under Observation
The chart highlights the 30-minute support zone, where the price previously reacted strongly. If this zone holds again, a move back toward the FVG or higher levels is possible.
4. Market Context
Current movement reflects normal intraday volatility with liquidity grabs and imbalance formations. Structure will remain flexible as BTC reacts to key zones.
$PUMP: when to accumulate?There’s a strong support zone between $0.02900 and $0.03300.
At the current price, NYSE:PUMP already looks like an attractive buy in my opinion — but if it drops into the green box, I’ll definitely go long.
The lower it goes, the better the entry.
My plan is simple:
➡️ Enter
➡️ Take profit on a quick +10% move
➡️ Fire and forget
This asset is extremely volatile. There will be many more dips and plenty of trading opportunities — so stay cautious, get in and out fast, and don’t get greedy.
DYOR.
BTC CRACK! UPDATE WARNING!!⚠️ BTC CRACKS — Officially in a Bear Market (-24%)
Bitcoin has now broken below $97,000, down 24% from its highs, officially entering bear-market territory.
I’ve been warning about this setup for months — not because I enjoy being bearish, but because the structure was screaming caution.
This isn’t a “buy-the-dip” moment or a garden-variety correction. We’ve hit a major technical and psychological level that could decide the next phase for the entire crypto space.
If this level fails, expect a chain reaction across risk assets — leverage, liquidity, and sentiment all roll over together.
It could be years before you see another uptrend. Note: This is not a short-term trade.
Stay sharp. The real test for crypto starts now.
Thank you ALL FOR getting me up to 5,000 followers!! ))
Click boost, follow, comment nicely for more authentic, no BS, raw analysis. Let's get to 6,000 followers. ))
GOLD Forming Double Top | Possible Trend Reversal Ahead!Weekly Outlook:
#Gold has been moving aggressively in an uptrend, forming 9 consecutive green candles on the weekly timeframe — a strong bullish run! However, no trend moves in a straight line forever — markets always move in a zig-zag pattern.
Current Scenario:
Now, we are seeing signs of exhaustion — a potential Double Top pattern forming on the 4H timeframe, indicating possible bearish momentum ahead.
#Gold might take a healthy correction to form Higher Lows (HLs) before continuing the next big move.
Trading Plan:
Watch for break of the support level (confirmation of trend reversal)
On a confirmed break, we’ll look for a short setup
Always apply proper risk management
Key Notes:
Don’t rush into early entries — wait for clear structure break
This could be a high-probability setup for short-term traders
What do you think?
Will #Gold continue higher or start the correction phase?
Share your thoughts below
#GOLD #XAUUSD #PriceAction #DoubleTop #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #SwingTrade #TrendReversal #RiskManagement #SmartTrading
SILVER | Inverse Head & Shoulder Forming – Big Move Ahead?#SILVER is currently moving sideways and forming a perfect Inverse Head & Shoulder pattern on the 1-hour timeframe
This pattern often signals a potential bullish reversal, but we’ll wait for confirmation — a clean breakout above the neckline or resistance zone.
Trade Plan:
Wait for breakout and retest of the neckline/resistance
Enter long after confirmation
Use proper risk management (SL below the right shoulder)
If the breakout holds, #SILVER could start a strong bullish rally soon!
What’s your view on this setup? Are you bullish or waiting for more confirmation?
Drop your thoughts in the comments!
#Silver #XAGUSD #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingSetup #ChartPattern #HeadAndShoulders #BullishReversal #TradingViewCommunity
Gold Under Pressure: Institutions Buying, Speculators Fighting, Uncertainty continues to dominate the U.S. economic landscape. Markets are pricing in a weaker dollar, rising fears of another potential government shutdown in January 2026, and growing concern over the millions of Americans relying on assistance programs like SNAP—programs that could be disrupted by political deadlock.
And when people struggle to afford basic needs, the social and economic consequences become unpredictable.
Meanwhile, smart money—banks, funds, and institutional desks—continues to position cautiously, while speculative flows remain aggressive in this environment of fragile sentiment.
As I’ve said many times:
May God help anyone who entered the markets from August 2025 until today—especially under the volatility that followed the Trump administration.
With delayed economic data, slow recovery after the shutdown, and rising expectations of rate cuts, gold remains supported for now.
But in this environment, no one knows where the market will move next—not me, not you, not the biggest banks.
So please:
No gambling. Strict risk management only. Follow the chart. Follow the trend. Know your stop-loss before you know your entry.
Bullish Scenario (Buy)
Entry: Safe buy above 4206
Watch carefully for a clean break above 4212
Targets:
4211 – 4217 – 4223 – 4234 – (4240–4245) – 4249 – 4260 – (4268–4273) – 4282 – 4292 – 4310 – (4322–4327)
Bearish Scenario (Sell)
Entry: From current levels down to 4198
(Prefer splitting entries to secure better prices)
Targets:
4180 – (4173–4167) – 4161 – (4150–4145) – 4131 – 4122 – 4112 – 4100
Notes
- If you found value, share the post with your friends—your support truly makes a difference.
- And if the analysis reached you, leave a comment or review ✍️
Disclaimer
This analysis reflects my personal view and interpretation of the market. It is not financial advice or a buy/sell recommendation.
Trading carries significant risk. Every decision is your own responsibility.
#GoldRider
#XAUUSD
#GoldTrading
#Forex
#RiskManagement
#Discipline
#TradingMindset
Fundamental Market Analysis for November 14, 2025 GBPUSDThe pound remains pressured by a mix of domestic and external factors. Fresh U.K. releases point to slower economic activity and keep alive the discussion about whether the Bank of England should ease policy late this year or in early next year. This backdrop limits capital inflows into sterling assets and heightens GBP’s sensitivity to swings in global risk appetite.
Fiscal headlines and budget expectations add another layer of uncertainty. Talk of adjusting tax-and-spend plans makes investors more cautious, while elevated government borrowing costs lift the economy’s financing burden. Against this backdrop, markets prefer defensive positioning, which caps the pound’s upside versus the dollar.
External drivers look neutral-to-negative for GBP: episodes of dollar softness are intermittent, and overall market volatility plus the pound’s dependence on U.S. yields make it hard for GBP/USD to mount a durable rally. Until clearer signals emerge on the inflation path and BoE decisions, the risk of renewed GBP/USD declines stays elevated.
Trading recommendation: SELL 1.31500, SL 1.32050, TP 1.30650.
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) has regained upward momentum, bouncing back above $4,200 after briefly pulling back from a three-week high. The metal remains within a broad bullish structure, supported by risk-off sentiment and a softer USD.
The Resistance Zone lies between $4,207–$4,214, which coincides with recent swing highs. The Support Zone is established around $4,166–$4,174, representing the demand base from earlier this week. A short-term pullback toward the support zone could offer a buy-on-dip opportunity, with price likely to retest the $4,210 resistance area if momentum holds.
🎯 Trade Setup
Idea: Buy on retracement near support, targeting a retest of $4,210 resistance.
Entry: $4,167 – $4,174
Stop Loss: $4,166
Take Profit 1: $4,207
Take Profit 2: $4,214
Risk–Reward Ratio: ≈ 1 : 4.88
If gold breaks below $4,165, the bullish bias would weaken, potentially opening room for deeper correction toward $4,150.
🌐 Macro Background
Gold climbed above $4,200 on Friday amid renewed risk aversion and a weaker U.S. Dollar, as markets digest ongoing fallout from the U.S. government shutdown and signs of slowing growth.
FXStreet’s Haresh Menghani noted that “Gold retakes $4,200 as USD weakens on economic concerns and a risk-off mood boosts demand.” 【FXStreet】
Economic Concerns: Investors remain worried that the prolonged U.S. government closure shaved 1.5–2.0% off quarterly GDP growth, reinforcing expectations of weaker economic activity ahead.
USD Under Pressure: The U.S. Dollar trades near a two-week low, as markets anticipate softer data once official reports resume.
Fed Rate-Cut Bets: While some Fed officials, including Susan Collins and Neel Kashkari, warned against hasty easing, the CME FedWatch Tool still shows a 50% chance of a 25bp rate cut in December, and 75% odds for January.
Data Delays: A senior White House official confirmed that key October data (employment and inflation) might not be released, adding uncertainty to policy projections.
Risk Sentiment: Weaker equities and global risk aversion continue to support gold as investors seek safety amid limited U.S. macro visibility.
Despite the reduced odds of an immediate December cut, the medium-term narrative remains gold-positive, with the Fed leaning toward eventual easing once data returns.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance: $4,207 – $4,214
Support: $4,167 – $4,174
Psychological Level: $4,200
📌 Trade Summary
Gold’s short-term structure favours buying dips toward $4,167–$4,174, supported by risk-off sentiment and a fragile U.S. Dollar. As long as price stays above $4,165, the bullish outlook remains valid with potential retest of the $4,207 area. However, uncertainty around delayed U.S. data may keep volatility elevated into next week.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
SSYS 1W: printing a reversal or just another draft?SSYS confirmed a double retest of the broken weekly downtrend line while holding above the strong 8–10 support zone, where a clear accumulation phase is forming. Tightening volatility, repeated lower wicks and momentum divergence signal building demand. A breakout above 10.50–11 would open the path toward 14.86, 18.77 and 22.71.
Company: Stratasys is a global leader in industrial 3D printing and additive manufacturing, serving aerospace, medical, automotive and industrial sectors.
Fundamentally , as of November 14, Stratasys remains stable. Quarterly revenue sits around 135–140 million dollars, adjusted profitability is positive, operational cash flow is improving and the company maintains a strong balance sheet with zero debt and substantial cash reserves. Structural demand for 3D-printing across medical, aerospace and industrial applications supports long-term potential, though competition and slow revenue growth remain near-term headwinds.
As long as price holds 8–10, the accumulation-to-reversal setup remains valid. A confirmed breakout above 11 activates upside targets at 14.86, 18.77 and 22.71. A breakdown below 8 signals extended consolidation, although the current weekly structure suggests preparation for upward movement.
The chart may look quiet, but weekly accumulation rarely stays quiet forever - the next move could be louder than expected.
XAUUSD – H1: PRIORITIZE BUYING WITH PRICE CHANNEL, WATCH FOR...💛 XAUUSD – H1: PRIORITIZE BUYING WITH PRICE CHANNEL, WATCH FOR ADJUSTMENTS 🎯
🌤 Overview
Gold is maintaining its upward channel on H1 → main strategy: hold Buy longer than Sell.
The Asian–European sessions show multiple liquidity clusters suitable for scalping and optimizing entry points.
Fundamentals: DXY retreats around 99.15, market reduces expectations of Fed rate cuts in December; Fed Collins hints rates may remain unchanged longer → gold's range may experience short-term fluctuations.
💹 Technical (ICT view)
The H1 upward channel maintains a structure of higher lows; the lower trendline is the main support.
4163–4165: confluence of trendline + liquidity (ideal Buy entry point).
4130–4133: deeper support; below that is the 4100–4080 zone (medium-term support; around Fibo ext 1.618 ≈ 4114 and 2.618 ≈ 4054).
Nearby resistance: 4215–4225; a decisive break opens up to 4260.
🎯 Trading Plan Reference
Buy #1 (priority): 4163–4165 │ SL 4157 │ TP 4180 → 4195 → 4220 → 4260
Buy #2 (deeper support): 4130–4133 │ SL 4125 │ TP 4150 → 4175 → 4190 → 4220
Sell (only with confirmation):
Scenario A: M15/M30 gives strong rejection signals at 4215–4225 → SL 4230 │ TP 4200 → 4188 → 4165.
Scenario B: H1 closes below 4157 (breaks structure) then retests unsuccessfully → target 4135 → 4115 → 4100.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
Prioritize Buy according to trend; Sell orders are only short-term reactions.
Use M15/M5 to time entries in the specified zones.
If H1 closes below 4125, consider narrowing Buy positions, wait for the 4100–4080 zone.
🌷 Conclusion
The H1 upward channel still guides the flow of funds 💛. Patiently wait for adjustments to 4163–4165 or 4130–4133 to buy according to the trend, manage orders tightly as prices approach 4215–4225.
If useful, please 💛 like – 💬 comment – 🔔 follow LanaM2 for daily gold updates ✨
Key levels on EURUSDYesterday, EURUSD continued its bullish move and retested the previous high.
Next week, some of the delayed economic reports will be released, which could bring increased volatility.
Watch for a higher low and a break above previous highs.
The target remains unchanged.
gbpaudGBP has reached very strong daily support, with a trendline acting as support. If it breaks, it should be a sharp drop,if tue support doesnt break in which case we'll resume our upward trend. Everything will depend on the Australian unemployment figures released overnight.
Gold in down correctionPrevious analysis was correct. and unfortunately, I close it manually.
Expecting a continued downtrend to 3850 for a swing trade.
Selling at current price and placing a pending sell order at 4175, with a first target of 4098. SL at 4192. Refer to the chart for prices.Once 4098 is hit, I'll move the SL to entry. Looking for a further push down to 3920, then 3850. Will update as the trade progresses.
XAU/USD | 15M Intraday SMC Analysis: Chasing Liquidity 1. Macro & Higher Timeframe Bias (H4/D1)
The higher timeframe (H4/Daily) suggests a bias, currently consolidating after a recent . The current M15 move is interpreted as a within that larger structure. We are approaching key liquidity zones defined by the H4 swing at .
2. Current M15 Market Structure
• Previous Structural Break (BOS): Price recently executed a Break of Structure (BOS) to the at , confirming the immediate short-term bias.
• Current Inducement/Liquidity: The structure has created clear short-term liquidity the current price action, specifically a visible equal area around . This liquidity is the primary target for the next impulsive move.
• Key Reversal (ChoCH): Should price violate the last confirmed swing low (or high) at , it would represent a Change of Character (ChoCH), signaling a likely shift in the M15 bias and invalidating the current structural view.
3. Point of Interest (POI) & Trading Plan
Our focus is on the unmitigated Point of Interest (POI) created during the last impulsive structural move.
Scenario: Setup
1. POI Identified: The most favorable Order Block (OB) / Fair Value Gap (FVG) sits between and . This zone is located the sweep of the short-term liquidity at .
2. Entry Condition: Wait for price to aggressively tap the POI and show an M1/M5 Confirmation Entry (e.g., a mini-ChoCH or rejection candle) before execution.
3. Target (TP): The primary target is the major external liquidity, specifically the at .
4. Invalidation (SL): The protective stop-loss is placed securely pips beyond the Order Block/POI at , invalidating the setup if the Order Block is fully breached.
Summary: We are waiting for a clear sweep of liquidity, a tap into the unmitigated demand/supply POI, and subsequent lower timeframe confirmation to execute the trade.
Will gold continue to rise? XAUUSD forecast 10/14/251. Fundamental Analysis
Yesterday, gold dropped ~100 points from 4248 → 4145 due to information that after the US Government reopens, some important economic data (CPI, employment) might not be released on schedule.
This has lowered the expectation of a December rate cut to <50%, causing a technical adjustment.
➡ The major trend is still upward – today prioritize BUY.
Key level: 4208–4213
Above 421x: end of adjustment → prioritize BUY.
Below 421x: price may retest a lower BUY zone.
2. BUY zones (priority) – SL 10 points, TP 10–20 points (RR 1:1 → 1:2)
zone 1 : 4140–4143
Zone 2: 4134–4130
zone 3: 4120–4112
3. SELL reaction zones – SL 10 points, TP 10 points (RR 1:1)
zone 1: 4245–4248
zone 2: 4280–4285
zone 3: 4300–4305
4. Notes
Today is Friday → trade safely, quick TP.
Do not chase orders, only enter when price hits the zone.
eur-usd eur-usd Price retraced to 1.1594 strongly upward eur-usd Price retraced to 1.1594 and then bounced strongly upward according to the Fibo Confluence setup.
BTC . Liquidity SweepWhen we look at BTC CRYPTO:BTCUSD right now, many people thought the $100,000 area was strong support. It looked heavy and it looked important. But it was only a minor zone.
It was a liquidity trap.
Market makers used it to sweep stops. So I expect BTC to drop toward $84,500 to $85,000. That is where the major zone shows up.
So the first thing you do is mark the major zone.
Do not FOMO!!!
You gotta wait for price to move into the major zone. That is the true entry. This keeps you from entering too early.
Your limit buy sits at the top of the major zone. Not on the minor one.
Your stop-loss sits below the major zone, and Your target can be the previous highs or two times the risk or it could be higher (to me it gonna be $240,000).
Definding Liquidity levels and Demand Zone help you remove fake signals. It gives cleaner entries.
For me, BTC is still moving toward $240,000 this cycle. Big corrections often make the trend stronger.
They let the market clear weak positions, and they give clean setups for traders who wait for the right zone.
TheCryptoFire
GOLD HOLDS STRONG ABOVE $4,200! 🚀 XAUUSD DAILY MARKET ANALYSIS
Thursday, November 14, 2025
💰 GOLD HOLDS STRONG ABOVE $4,200! 📈
Current Price: $4,189 - $4,235 💎
Yesterday's Close: $4,231 (+0.86%)
Weekly Gain: +5.4% (MASSIVE!) 🔥
Status: 🟢 CONSOLIDATING AT HIGHS
🎯 MARKET UPDATE - WHAT'S HAPPENING NOW?
Gold is CONSOLIDATING above the critical $4,200 level after yesterday's explosive breakout! The market is catching its breath after a 5-day winning streak that pushed prices up over $330 from last month's lows.
Key Developments:
✅ Government Shutdown ENDED - US House passed funding bill
✅ Strong Above $4,200 - Holding key psychological level
✅ Fed Rate Cut at 80% - Economists now predicting December cut
✅ Four Consecutive Green Days - Bullish momentum intact
✅ Testing $4,235 - Approaching critical resistance zone
📊 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Market Structure: BULLISH CONSOLIDATION 🟢
The rally has paused for a healthy consolidation. This is NORMAL and HEALTHY after a 5.4% weekly gain. Gold is building a base for the next leg up!
Key Observation: Price is respecting the $4,189-$4,235 range today - this is a coiling pattern before the next move.
Critical Support Levels (BUY ZONES) 🔵
Support 1: $4,189 - $4,200 (MAJOR - Former resistance)
Support 2: $4,157 - $4,160 (Strong base)
Support 3: $4,114 - $4,120 (Key level)
Support 4: $4,048 - $4,060 (Breakout point)
Support 5: $3,987 - $4,002 (November open)
Key Resistance Levels (SELL/TARGET ZONES) 🔴
Resistance 1: $4,235 - $4,243 (Current test)
Resistance 2: $4,252 - $4,254 (Critical breakout level)
Resistance 3: $4,313 - $4,320 (Next target)
Resistance 4: $4,356 - $4,382 (All-time high zone)
📈 TECHNICAL INDICATORS
RSI (14): 64 (Bullish but cooling - Room to move higher) ✅
MACD: Positive and rising - Strong bullish signal ✅
Stochastic: Neutral zone - Allows for upward movement ✅
Moving Averages:
Price WELL ABOVE all EMAs ✅
EMA 20/50/200 all aligned bullish ✅
Golden Cross confirmed ✅
Volume: Strong on rallies, lighter on dips (Healthy) ✅
Bollinger Bands: Price near upper band - Volatility expansion mode
🎯 TODAY'S TRADING STRATEGIES
SCENARIO 1: BREAKOUT CONTINUATION 🚀 (65% Probability)
IF Gold Breaks Above $4,252:
This is the CRITICAL LEVEL to watch! A close above $4,252 signals resumption of the major uptrend.
LONG Setup:
Entry: Break and close above $4,252 with volume
Targets:
TP1: $4,313 📍 (+60 pips)
TP2: $4,356 📍 (+104 pips)
TP3: $4,382 📍 (+130 pips - All-time high retest)
Stop Loss: $4,210 (Below consolidation)
Risk/Reward: Excellent 1:3+ ratio ✅
SCENARIO 2: HEALTHY PULLBACK 📉 (35% Probability)
IF Gold Breaks Below $4,189:
A pullback would be healthy and provide better entry opportunities.
BUY THE DIP Strategy:
Entry Zone 1: $4,157-$4,170 (Best value)
Entry Zone 2: $4,114-$4,120 (Strong support)
Targets:
TP1: $4,200 📍
TP2: $4,243 📍
TP3: $4,280 📍
Stop Loss: Below $4,100
⚠️ NOTE: Dips are BUYING opportunities in this bullish trend!
💎 BEST TRADE SETUP FOR TODAY
CONSERVATIVE APPROACH (Recommended) 🎯
WAIT for one of these clear setups:
Option A - Breakout Trade:
Entry: Above $4,252 (confirmed break)
Target: $4,313 → $4,356
SL: $4,210
Option B - Pullback Trade:
Entry: $4,157-$4,170 (on dip)
Target: $4,243 → $4,280
SL: $4,135
DO NOT CHASE at $4,220-$4,240! Wait for clear direction.
🌍 FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
BULLISH CATALYSTS ⬆️⬆️⬆️
✅ Fed Rate Cut Odds: 80% - Economists now strongly expect December cut
✅ Government Reopening - But delayed data creates uncertainty = Gold support
✅ Missing Economic Data - October CPI/jobs reports delayed/may never release
✅ Weak Labor Market - 11,000+ weekly job losses continue
✅ Dollar Weakness - DXY struggling at resistance
✅ Central Bank Demand - 634 tonnes purchased YTD, expecting 750-900 total
✅ ETF Inflows - $64 billion added in 2025
✅ Safe-Haven Demand - Geopolitical tensions persist
Risk Factors ⬇️
⚠️ Overbought Short-Term - RSI 64, near 70 threshold
⚠️ Profit Taking Risk - After 5-day rally (+5.4%)
⚠️ Resistance Zone - $4,235-$4,252 is strong barrier
⚠️ Data Clarity - If delayed data shows strength, could pressure gold
🔥 MARKET SENTIMENT: BULLISH WITH CAUTION
Analyst Consensus:
Short-term: Consolidation before next leg (Most likely)
Medium-term: Target $4,300-$4,400
Long-term: $4,700-$5,000 by 2026 (UBS/Goldman)
This Week:
Expected to test $4,252 resistance. Break above = Rally to $4,313+
End of November:
Analysts predict $4,230-$4,300 range
💡 PROFESSIONAL GAME PLAN
For DAY TRADERS:
⚡ Scalp the Range - Trade between $4,189-$4,235 with tight stops (20-30 pip targets)
Buy: $4,190-$4,200
Sell: $4,230-$4,235
Breakout: Above $4,252 → GO LONG aggressively
For SWING TRADERS:
📊 Wait for Clarity
Either breakout above $4,252 → Hold to $4,356
Or pullback to $4,157 → Buy for retest of $4,252
For LONG-TERM INVESTORS:
💎 Accumulate on Dips
Target: $4,150-$4,180 range
Goal: Hold for $4,500+ (2026 target)
Strategy: Dollar-cost averaging
📅 KEY EVENTS TO WATCH
THIS WEEK:
🎤 FOMC Speakers - Watch for rate cut signals
📊 Economic Data - Delayed reports may start releasing
🏛️ Government Funding - Impact on market sentiment
NEXT WEEK:
📈 November 21 - US Manufacturing & Services PMI
🎬 BOTTOM LINE (TL;DR)
Price: $4,189-$4,235 (Consolidating)
Bias: 🟢 BULLISH (Pullbacks are buying opportunities)
Key Level: $4,252 (Break this = Rally resumes)
Best Action: WAIT for breakout above $4,252 OR dip to $4,157
Risk Level: MEDIUM-HIGH (Volatility expected)
🔔 TODAY'S CRITICAL LEVELS
DO NOT CHASE between $4,220-$4,240!
BUY SIGNALS:
✅ Break above $4,252 with volume → GO LONG
✅ Dip to $4,157-$4,170 → BUY THE DIP
SELL SIGNAL:
❌ Break below $4,114 → Exit longs, potential reversal
NEUTRAL ZONE:
⚪ Between $4,189-$4,235 → Wait for direction
📊 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK
Trend: STRONGLY BULLISH ⬆️
Momentum: STRONG (but cooling) ⚡
Support: SOLID at $4,189-$4,200 🛡️
Resistance: TOUGH at $4,252 🚧
Pattern: Ascending channel with bullish flag forming
Next Move: Break $4,252 → Target $4,313-$4,382
⚠️ RISK MANAGEMENT RULES
✅ Position Size: Max 2% risk per trade
✅ Stop Loss: ALWAYS required - No exceptions!
✅ Take Profits: Lock 50% at TP1, trail rest
✅ Don't Chase: Wait for your setup patiently
✅ Respect $4,252: This is the make-or-break level
🎯 SWING TRADE SETUP (Multi-Day Hold)
Setup A - Breakout Play:
Entry: $4,254-$4,260 (after confirmed break)
Target 1: $4,313 (Hold 2-3 days)
Target 2: $4,356 (Hold 5-7 days)
Target 3: $4,382 (Hold 1-2 weeks)
Stop Loss: $4,210
Setup B - Pullback Play:
Entry: $4,150-$4,170 (if it dips)
Target 1: $4,243 (Hold 3-5 days)
Target 2: $4,313 (Hold 1 week)
Stop Loss: $4,120
🏆 PROFESSIONAL ANALYSIS SUMMARY
Gold has successfully rallied 5.4% this week and is now consolidating at the $4,200 psychological level. This is textbook healthy behavior after a strong rally.
The Setup:
Consolidation forms a bull flag pattern
Next move determines short-term direction
$4,252 is the line in the sand
Most Likely Scenario:
Brief consolidation (1-2 days) → Break above $4,252 → Rally to $4,313-$4,356
Alternative Scenario:
Healthy pullback to $4,157-$4,170 → Strong bounce → Retest $4,252
Either way, the TREND IS UP! 📈
💪 TRADING PSYCHOLOGY TIP
After a big rally, markets MUST consolidate. Don't panic if price pulls back slightly. Use dips as OPPORTUNITY, not fear. The trend is your friend - and this trend is BULLISH! 🚀
🎓 LESSON: THE BULL FLAG PATTERN
What we're seeing now is a BULL FLAG:
✅ Strong rally (flagpole) - Done
✅ Consolidation (flag) - Happening now
⏳ Breakout (continuation) - Coming soon!
Action: Wait for flag breakout above $4,252, then go LONG!
🔮 FORECAST
Today: Range between $4,180-$4,240
Tomorrow: Test of $4,252 or pullback to $4,157
This Week: Break $4,252 → Rally to $4,300+
End November: $4,280-$4,350 range
December: Potential retest of all-time high $4,382
⚠️ FINAL DISCLAIMER
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Trading gold and forex involves substantial risk of loss. Never trade with money you cannot afford to lose. Always use proper risk management including stop losses. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📱 Like this analysis? Share it!
💬 Drop your trade setups in comments
🔔 Follow for daily 8:00 AM updates
👍 Hit that like button!
#Gold #XAUUSD #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #GoldAnalysis #ForexSignals #DayTrading #SwingTrading #MarketAnalysis #BullFlag #TradingStrategy #GoldForecast
ES (SPX, SPY) Analysis, Levels, Setups, for Fri (Nov 14th)
Today’s session revealed a marked risk-off sentiment as the market began to discipline leading sectors, notably large-cap tech, AI, semiconductors, and high-beta growth stocks. This correction coincided with a reassessment of expectations for near-term Federal Reserve easing and an environment defined by unequal economic data in the wake of the record shutdown.
Despite the abrupt decline, the E-mini S&P 500 (ES) remains in a pullback phase within a broader uptrend, still functioning within a weekly premium and supply zone. This movement exhibits characteristics typical of a sharp correction and repositioning rather than the definitive onset of a bear market. Importantly, prices have yet to break below the last significant daily higher-low region, weekly market structure continues to show constructive signs, and the “stress indicators” monitored by institutional investors are elevated but not yet at levels indicative of a crisis.
Dashboard Context
Volatility: Implied volatility surged today, with equity volatility pushing above previously complacent levels, albeit the term structure remains predominantly upward-sloping rather than inverted. This nuance is critical; while funds are investing more for protection and short-term hedges, the volatility landscape does not yet suggest a disorderly liquidation phase.
Options Positioning: The index and overall put/call ratios have transitioned from a state of complacency to caution, reflecting increased demand for hedging. However, levels are not yet extreme enough to signal panic. Skew is elevated, indicating that investors are bidding for downside protection, although it remains within the upper bounds of a normal range. This suggests that while major institutions are leaning into protective strategies and tactical downside plays, the broader market is not universally positioned for a crash.
Breadth: The internal damage today was notable, with decliners outpacing advancers significantly across major exchanges. This shift in breadth oscillators from positive to negative in a single session points to a broad-based distribution rather than a narrow selloff concentrated in a few prominent names. Historically, such internal damage requires several sessions for a market to recover.
Credit and Funding: High-yield spreads have widened modestly from recent lows, and high-yield ETFs have pulled back from their peaks. Nevertheless, there are no current signs of a credit crisis. Spreads remain well within ranges that do not indicate severe stress, and funding markets continue to operate smoothly. Provided that credit conditions stay stable, current equity weakness is likely more reflective of a valuation and positioning reset than systemic risk.
Cross-Asset Risk: The crypto market experienced a sharp selloff, while global equity indices broadly fell. This behavior confirms a classic cross-asset risk-off scenario, as investors reduced exposure to the highest-beta, most speculative areas while simultaneously de-leveraging from U.S. equity leaders. Conversely, traditional defensive stocks and segments of quality value showed relative resilience, a behavior consistent with a managed de-risking rather than an all-encompassing liquidation.
In summary, the dashboard indicates a shift from “overbought complacency” to a higher-volatility, risk-off environment. However, we have yet to enter a full-scale, credit-driven bear market. This context is essential for interpreting today’s decline in the E-mini S&P 500.
Multi-Timeframe Technical Structure (Weekly → Daily → 4H → 1H)
Weekly: The E-mini remains in an upward trajectory, printing higher highs and higher lows. Prices have retreated from a premium zone established at recent highs. The current weekly bar suggests rejection, yet critically, price levels remain comfortably above the last key weekly higher low near the 6,000 mark. Weekly momentum, previously overstretched to the upside, is rolling over, signaling a potential cooling phase – likely a period of consolidation or corrective drift rather than immediate trend failure.
Daily: On the daily chart, the ES has formed a distinct upper range beneath a weak high. Today’s trading produced a significant red candle, indicating a drop from the upper range back toward its center. The prior swing low around 6,620–6,580 remains intact, but the daily oscillator shows mild bearish divergence relative to the last high – a common occurrence in maturing upswings. This situation conveys the message of “bullish but extended, now in corrective mode,” rather than a definitive shift to a pattern of lower highs and lower lows.
4-Hour: The 4-hour structure has entered a short-term downtrend. A lower high was established in the 6,900–6,920 range, leading to an impulsive sell-off toward demand around 6,730–6,700. This selloff exhibited characteristics of liquidation: substantial red candles, minimal counter-rotation, and strong volume. The 4-hour oscillator shows bearish pressure but is beginning to flatten near support, consistent with an early basing attempt after a sharp sell-off, though additional downside remains possible if negative overnight flows persist.
1-Hour: The 1-hour chart portrays today’s price movement as a decisive liquidation wave.
Today's market decline was driven by three converging factors.
First, we saw a mix of valuation adjustments and crowded positioning. Sectors such as AI, semiconductors, and large-cap growth stocks had experienced significant upward momentum. As a result, profit-taking and forced de-leveraging became evident, especially when the largest index components corrected. This simultaneous adjustment made it challenging for the overall index to hold its ground.
Second, the narrative surrounding interest rates and policy has shifted. Recent commentary from the Federal Reserve has adopted a more cautious tone regarding the pace and scale of future interest rate cuts. With inflation remaining above target and some data being impacted by the government shutdown, policymakers appear hesitant to endorse the market's most optimistic expectations for easing. This recalibration towards a "higher for longer" mindset is detrimental to long-duration growth equities and affects the valuations assigned to market leaders.
Third, while the government shutdown has concluded, the subsequent rhythm of the economic calendar has been disrupted. Several critical data releases have been delayed or are now under scrutiny, prompting investors to navigate through somewhat erratic information. In this context, there has been a notable reluctance to take on risk at elevated valuations without clearer data confirmation. Consequently, we are witnessing a trend of de-risking, characterized by a swift rotation from expensive stocks into cash, defensive positions, and protective strategies.
The outcome has been a pronounced selloff, exhibiting broad downside movement and a surge in volatility. Importantly, this occurred without significant turmoil in credit or funding markets, suggesting that we are dealing with a valuation reset rather than a systemic crisis.
Looking ahead, the question arises: Is this the beginning of a more substantial downtrend or merely a temporary flush? From a structural perspective, the market has yet to breach the typical thresholds that signal the onset of a major downtrend. The previous daily higher low remains in place, the weekly uptrend is still intact, and we have not observed the combination of lower highs and lower lows that would signify a broader bearish phase.
Currently, we are witnessing a rejection from a weekly premium/supply zone, with momentum weakening at both daily and weekly levels. Additionally, there is a clear lower high alongside a liquidation move visible on the four-hour chart, which aligns with the expected behavior during the early stages of a significant correction following an extended rally.
As it stands, the prevailing view is that we are experiencing a sharp corrective phase or volatility spike within the upper range of the ongoing uptrend. While the risk of a more profound correction is heightened, particularly if the support range of 6,600 to 6,535 is breached, the current indicators do not yet suggest a completed market top or a fully developed bearish trend.
A genuine trend transition would likely require:
– a decisive break of S3 and a failed retest from below;
– a sustained period of weak breadth rather than a single-day air pocket;
– and, on the macro side, a clear deterioration in credit and funding conditions alongside a persistent inversion of the equity volatility term structure.
At present, those conditions are not fully in place.
Level-KZ Execution Framework for Tomorrow
Asia/London Participation: If overnight trade pushes the ES down into the 6,710–6,680 range and subsequently prints a rejection with a definitive 15-minute close above that zone, consider it a tactical bounce location. This could target a move back toward the 6,770–6,800 region. Given the event risk, participation should be smaller than usual and approached as preparatory rather than primary risk.
PPI Window (08:30–09:15 ET): The initial 15–30 minutes post-PPI release should be regarded as a discovery phase. If the first impulse upward drives the price into R1/R2 but then closes back below 6,780–6,800 with upper wicks and a failure of the 5-minute structure, it sets up a potential short from the underside of the shelf. Targets for this short could be at 6,720 and then 6,680. Conversely, if the initial market reaction results in a drop to S2/S3 that quickly wicks back and closes above that zone on a 15-minute chart, it presents a tactical bounce long toward the 6,740–6,780 area. The decisive 15-minute close after the data release will provide clarity on which side gains control for the session.
NY AM Kill Zone (09:30–11:00 ET): For short positions, the optimal area remains a rejection from 6,780–6,815 after the PPI reaction is digested. A long upper wick and a return close within that range on a 15-minute chart, paired with a failure in the 5-minute attempts to maintain above, supports a short position. Stops should be placed just above the rejection high, with profit targets initially toward 6,720 and subsequently toward 6,680. Conversely, for long opportunities, an ideal scenario involves a constructive reaction from the 6,700–6,660 support band. This would look for a higher low on the 15-minute chart, reclaiming and holding above 6,700, while sellers falter at S1. In this case, stops would belong below the reaction low, targeting 6,770 and 6,810. Standard A-tier protocol applies: anticipate at least 2R to the first target based on a 15-minute-anchored stop, limit attempts per level, and enforce daily risk guardrails.
NY PM Window (13:30–16:00 ET): Should the ES remain constrained between 6,700 and 6,800 by early afternoon, the trade dynamic typically shifts from discovery to mean-reversion. Thus, the afternoon should primarily focus on managing existing positions from the morning rather than initiating new aggressive plays. Fresh entries based on trending strategies should only be considered if there is a clear breakout from the established intraday range, whether below S3 or above R3, accompanied by confirmation.
Big-Picture Takeaway: Fundamentally, today’s decline indicates a reassessment of overly optimistic growth and AI valuations, along with near-term Federal Reserve easing, partly prompted by a complicated post-shutdown data environment. Technically, the ES is retreating from a weekly premium into various support zones while maintaining the core bullish structure. Stress indicators favored by large professional investors—such as volatility, options positioning, breadth, credit, and cross-asset behavior—suggest a serious risk-off event has occurred, but they don't exhibit the persistent stress and credit strain typically seen before a full bear market materializes.
As long as the ES decisively holds above the 6,600–6,535 zone and doesn’t reject that area from below, the higher-probability play in the coming sessions is a volatile corrective range, offering tactical opportunities to sell rallies into resistance and buy deeper, well-defined demand zones—always bearing in mind the heightened volatility and macro event risks on the calendar.
Presidential Scanner
The Presidential Scanner is an advanced analysis tool that combines state-of-the-art algorithmic calculations with the processing of economic and macroeconomic data in real time.
Thanks to its intelligent technology, it detects high-potential market revenue, offering clear, profitable and highly operationally effective signals.
Gold price analysis November 13
Gold continues to maintain its bullish momentum after successfully breaking above the 4150 resistance zone. This breakout confirms the strength of the uptrend, with the recently broken area now acting as a solid support base. The next target that buyers are likely aiming for is around 4250, before testing the all-time high zone.
From a trading perspective, the focus remains on BUY setups—either on breakout entries or pullbacks to support. As long as price holds above 4150, the bias stays bullish and traders can consider holding positions to extend profits along the trend.
BUY setup: Watch for price reaction around 4150 support
💬 Feel free to share your thoughts and analysis below. I’d love to hear different perspectives from the community!
