Will Gold Fly Again 3650 + ? Gold Looking For A High Pump
Gold Will Break The Triangle TL And Hit The BSL 3675
Have A Buy Trendline And RBS Green Box
Fundamental Analysis
Where Is ETH Going This Cycle? (Educational Perspective)
Every cycle brings the same question:
Where is Ethereum heading next? Most look for price guesses, but that’s a distraction. The real advantage comes from knowing what factors will drive ETH’s direction. Understanding the drivers doesn’t require prediction, it requires planning.
A Look Back: ETH in Previous Cycles
Ethereum has repeatedly proven its resilience and innovation leadership:
2016–2017: Breakout fueled by ICO boom—ETH became the token-launch backbone.
2018–2019: Bear market and ICO collapse—but builders persisted.
2020–2021: DeFi and NFT surge—Ethereum powered the blockchain economy as “digital oil.”
2022–2023: Post-Merge era—transition to PoS and reduced issuance amid regulatory uncertainty.
Through every phase, ETH stayed central to crypto’s evolution.
On-Chain Metrics to Watch
Ethereum’s transparency lets us monitor structural strength in real time:
Active addresses gauge real network use.
Staking levels shrink available supply—over 35M ETH (≈30%) staked by mid-2025.
ETH locked in DeFi reflects collateral demand.
Gas fee burn continues to tighten supply post-EIP-1559.
Macro & Narrative Drivers (2024–2025 Upgrades & ETF Momentum)
Stories move markets, and Ethereum has some strong ones now:
Spot ETH ETF Launch: Nearly $500M in institutional inflows since mid-2024.
Staking Supply Constraint: Record ETH locked → tighter supply.
Technical Enhancements: Dencun (2024) and Pectra (2025) improving scalability and validator usability.
Regulatory & Macro Tailwinds: GENIUS Act, institutional adoption, favorable policies.
The Real Question Traders Should Ask
Price targets are clickbait. The real question is:
“Which factors will move ETH this cycle?”
By tracking ETF flows, staking ratios, upgrades, and macro conditions, traders avoid being surprised.
Bitcoin — resistance test and growth targetsBitcoin is trading near the 115,000 zone, facing key resistance at the 0.705–0.79 Fibonacci levels. A breakout above 116,900 would pave the way toward the next target at 125,000. In case of a pullback, support lies at 112,000 and 110,000, with deeper support near 104,000.
From a fundamental perspective, cryptocurrencies remain supported by institutional inflows and the demand for digital assets as an inflation hedge. Growth potential persists as long as equity markets show strength and the US dollar remains under pressure.
A stock you buy and forget — the longer you hold, the more you earn.
BoJ’s Unclear Stance and Japan’s Politics Weigh on Yen Ahead of BoJ’s Unclear Stance and Japan’s Politics Weigh on Yen Ahead of Key Central Bank Events
Technical analysis
USDJPY consolidated in a tight range for an extended period, indicating a short-term sideways correction. This price converged with multiple EMAs, suggesting a period of accumulation before a potential breakout into a new trend.
Given the preceding uptrend before the consolidation, there's a higher probability of an upside breakout. This is further supported by the price holding above its ascending trendline.
A decisive break and close above the upper bound of the sideways range above 148.60 would confirm a continuation of the uptrend. The next key resistance would be the previous peak around 151.00.
However, if the price fails to hold and confirms a break below the ascending trendline, it could signal a significant plunge.
Macro perspective
A possible increase in fiscal stimulus under the new Japanese Prime Minister could add further downside pressure to the yen, exacerbating its depreciation.
In the longer term, the persistence of yen-funded carry trades will remain a structural drag on the currency, especially during periods when the Federal Reserve embarks on a rate-cutting cycle. In such an environment, global investors are likely to accelerate purchases of US Treasuries to capture the yield differential before it narrows, reinforcing capital outflows from Japan and intensifying yen weakness.
If the BoJ does not show a clear stance towards raising interest rates, and the dollar—which the market has already fully priced in for a rate cut—experiences some unwinding of that pricing, this could cause the yen to depreciate somewhat.
The outlook in the upcoming week remains tied to central bank policy meetings and major US data releases.
Analysis by: Krisada Yoonaisil, Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
ALKEM will rise in coming days.ALKEM will rise in coming days, as per price action rules and analysis, it will get higher for coming few days.
Gold Nears Peak: Fed Cuts & Geopolitics Spark Trades!Hello traders! Gold (XAU/USD) reversed an early Asian session dip from $3,626-$3,627 on Monday (15/09/2025), holding strong near record highs as markets price in a 100% chance of a 0.25% Fed rate cut on 17/09, with two more expected in October and December (CME FedWatch). Geopolitical tensions, from Ukraine’s strikes on Russian energy to Iran’s call for Qatar to counter Israel, boost gold’s safe-haven appeal. With major central bank events looming, let’s analyze the market and find trade setups! 💰
Fundamental Analysis: Gold Shines Amid Uncertainty 🌟
Rate Cut Expectations: Weak US labor data (surging jobless claims, 911,000 jobs revised down) keeps USD near its 24/07 low and Treasury yields soft, driving gold’s 39% YTD rally. The Fed is set to cut rates three times in 2025, starting 17/09.
Geopolitical Support: Ukraine’s attacks on Russian energy, US pressure on NATO for tougher Russia sanctions, and Iran’s missile proposal in Qatar ahead of the Arab-Islamic summit fuel gold’s safe-haven status.
Key Events: Watch Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s comments (17/09), decisions from Bank of Canada, Bank of England (18/09), and Bank of Japan (19/09). Weak CPI and labor data suggest shallow dips—prime for buying!
Technical Analysis: Broad Sideways Consolidation – Buy Dips 📉
Gold is consolidating in a wide sideways range on M30, H1, and H2 timeframes around 3650. If rate cut news triggers a sharp drop, FVG zones (3608-3598) offer buying opportunities. Monitor volume to confirm entries and avoid liquidity traps near round levels.
Resistance: 3646 - 3655 - 3666
Support: 3623 - 3615 - 3608 - 3598
Trade Setups (Tight RR):
Buy Scalp:
Range: 3623 - 3621
SL: 3617
TP: 3626 - 3631 - 3636 - 3641
Buy Zone:
Range: 3608 - 3606
SL: 3598
TP: 3616 - 3626 - 3636 - 3646
Sell Scalp:
Range: 3654 - 3656
SL: 3660
TP: 3651 - 3646 - 3641 - 3636
Sell Zone:
Range: 3665 - 3667
SL: 3675
TP: 3657 - 3647 - 3637 - 3627
Gold holds near highs—watch for liquidity traps around Fed news! Above 3623, bulls target new highs; below, test 3608/3598. Manage risk tightly with central bank volatility ahead! Will you buy dips or sell highs? Share your strategies below! 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #RateCuts #CPI #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #Finance #Geopolitics #CentralBanks
IONQ — trend breakout and growth potentialIonQ shares have consolidated above the 47–50 zone and successfully broke the trendline, opening the way for further upside. The first target is set around 120, and if buying pressure continues, the price could extend toward 200. Key support levels are at 47–48 and 36, providing attractive accumulation zones.
From a fundamental perspective, the quantum computing sector is gaining momentum, and IonQ remains one of its leading players. Increasing demand for innovative technologies may support the continuation of the bullish trend in the medium term.
A stock you buy and forget — the longer you hold, the more you earn.
ETH Bullish Trend The chart shows a potential "ABC" corrective wave pattern, often seen as part of a larger bullish trend.
Wave (A): The initial strong upward move from around $3,000 to over $4,800.
Wave (B): A subsequent correction or consolidation phase, where the price pulled back and appears to be finding support around the $4,200 - $4,300 area (highlighted by the yellow line and the brown box). This area seems to have acted as both previous resistance and now potential support.
Wave (C): If the bullish trend continues, the expectation is for a new impulse wave upward, potentially targeting the area between $5,600 and $6,000, as indicated by the white box and the projected line. This would represent a breakout above the previous high of Wave (A).
In essence, the idea is: The recent pullback (Wave B) has found support, and if this support holds, the cryptocurrency could be poised for another significant upward move (Wave C) towards new highs.
Please note that this is a technical analysis interpretation based on the provided chart and is not financial advice.
Gold price today (afternoon of September 15)Last week, the world gold price had a fourth consecutive week of increase amid growing concerns about the weakening US labor market, which overshadowed inflation worries ahead of the US Federal Reserve's meeting next week.
The market is currently predicting that the Fed will almost certainly cut interest rates by 0.25 percentage points at the two-day meeting on September 16-17, while the possibility of a larger cut (0.50 percentage points) has decreased. Gold usually increases in a low interest rate environment.
Uncertainties related to the independence of the Fed are also a factor contributing to the recent increase in gold prices.
Analyst Giovanni Staunovo of UBS bank said that with these favorable factors and after the recent increase in capital flows into gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs), UBS now forecasts gold prices to rise to $3,900/ounce by the middle of next year.
Crude oil - DAILY- 15/09/2025Oil prices extended last week’s gains as traders weighed rising geopolitical risks against forecasts of a surplus later this year. US President Donald Trump renewed pressure on Europe to cut Russian oil purchases and floated sanctions if NATO allies comply, while the US is also pushing G7 partners to impose tariffs on China and India for buying Russian crude.
Market sentiment remains shaped by escalating tensions, including Israeli strikes in Qatar and Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian refineries. Analysts warn that sanctions and infrastructure damage could push prices higher in the short term, but expectations of a supply overhang and OPEC+ production increases keep downside risks in focus.
On the technical side, the price of crude oil has retested the major support area of $62 and has since rebounded to the upside. The Stochastic oscillator is back in neutral levels for the time being, hinting that the recent bullish correction could project into the near short term while the Bollinger bands are sufficiently expanded, showing that there is volatility to support any short-term spikes.
Disclaimer: The opinions in this article are personal to the writer and do not reflect those of Exness
Gold - DAILY - 15/09/2025Gold climbed near record levels in Asian trading as weak US labor data reinforced expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut this week. Markets anticipate a quarter-point move on Wednesday and further easing into 2026, supporting demand for the non-yielding asset. Ongoing US-China trade talks add another layer of risk sentiment, with any sign of easing tensions potentially weighing on gold’s safe-haven appeal.
From a technical point of view, the price of gold seems to have reached a plateau, holding near its all-time highs. This is a rather dangerous point in time to trade this instrument because the risks are quite high from a technical analysis perspective. Price is near the all-time high, and the Stochastic oscillator has been in the extreme overbought levels for more than 3 consecutive weeks, hinting that a bearish correction might be imminent. On the other hand, the moving averages are validating the overall bullish trend, and the Bollinger bands are quite expanded, showing that volatility is there to support any major moves in the upcoming sessions.
Disclaimer: The opinions in this article are personal to the writer and do not reflect those of Exness
Bitcoin Eyes Higher Ground – Bullish Momentum HoldsBitcoin Eyes Higher Ground – Bullish Momentum Holds
Bitcoin continues to show strong bullish momentum.
Since our initial analysis on September 2nd, when price was around 110,390, BTC has already hit two key targets—gaining nearly +5.6% so far.
Currently, BTC is testing a key resistance zone between 115,200 and 116,500.
It may pause briefly here before continuing higher.
If a short-term pullback occurs, the price could dip toward 113,200 before resuming its upward move.
So far, the first bullish scenario in black remains intact.
🎯 Key Targets Ahead: 120,000 and 123,000
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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Previous analysis:
AUDCHF BUY ForecastAUDCHF New forecast👨💻👨💻
Note:
Follow proper risk management rules. Never risk more then 2% of your total capital. Money management is the key of success in this business...... Set your own SL & TP.
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Big events in gold this week!Gold closed with another positive line on the weekly chart. Although it has a long upper shadow line, the overall upward pattern is still solid, the trend has not been destroyed, and it still maintains a strong pattern. The daily level shows a high-level yin-yang cycle consolidation. It has failed to break through the 3660 high in the short term. Therefore, it will temporarily respond with a shock thinking, waiting for another bullish opportunity after the breakthrough. What needs to be paid attention to is that the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision is about to come this week. The market may usher in a new direction choice, and volatility may intensify. At that time, the market rhythm will be more critical. Pay attention to the 3620-3660 area in the small range of the day. If it can break through, look at the extension space of the large range of 3675-3610. Remind brothers, this week’s trading should pay more attention to rhythm and risk control, avoid blindly chasing ups and downs, wait patiently for the key positions to be confirmed before entering the market accurately, execute high-winning trading plans, and lock profits firmly in the account.For the specific layout and operation rhythm, please refer to the bottom notification I released at the first time to ensure consistent execution and unified thinking, and avoid blindly following the trend and causing unnecessary risks.
ADANIENSOL Will Rise in coming days. ADANIENSOL will go up in coming days as it is making highs. Just broke it's structure as per price action theory.
Can Britain's Stock Market Survive Its Own Streets?The FTSE 100's recent 10.9% year-to-date outperformance against the S&P 500's 8.8% return masks deeper structural vulnerabilities that threaten the UK market's long-term viability. While this temporary surge appears to be driven by investor rotation away from overvalued US tech stocks toward traditional UK sectors, it obscures decades of underperformance: the FTSE 100 has delivered just 5.0% annualized returns over the past decade, compared to the S&P 500's 13.2%. The index's heavy weighting toward finance, energy, and mining, combined with minimal exposure to high-growth technology firms, has left it fundamentally misaligned with the modern economy's drivers of growth.
The UK's economic landscape presents mounting challenges that extend beyond market composition. Inflation rose to 3.8% in July, surpassing forecasts and increasing the likelihood of sustained high interest rates that could dampen economic activity. Government deficits reached £20.7 billion in June, raising concerns about fiscal sustainability, while policy uncertainty under the new Labour government creates additional investor hesitation. Geopolitical instability has shifted risk appetite for 61% of UK institutional investors, with half adopting more defensive strategies in response to global tensions.
Most significantly, civil unrest has emerged as a quantifiable economic threat that directly impacts business operations and market stability. Far-right mobilisation and anti-immigration demonstrations have resulted in violent clashes across UK cities, with over a quarter of UK businesses affected by civil unrest in 2024. The riots following the Southport stabbing incident alone generated an estimated £250 million in insured losses, with nearly half of the affected businesses forced to close premises and 44% reporting property damage. Business leaders now view civil unrest as a greater risk than terrorism, requiring increased security measures and insurance coverage that erode profitability.
The FTSE 100's future hinges on its ability to evolve beyond its traditional sectoral composition while navigating an increasingly volatile domestic environment where political violence has become a material business risk. The index's apparent resilience masks fundamental weaknesses that, combined with the rising costs of social and political instability, threaten to undermine long-term investor confidence and economic growth. Without significant structural adaptation and effective management of civil disorder risks, the UK's benchmark index faces an uncertain trajectory in an era where street-level violence translates directly into boardroom concerns.
Gold Weekly Analysis – Key Zones and Fed Rate Impact.This is an important week for Gold (XAUUSD): Wednesday’s Federal Funds Rate Decision could move markets sharply. Expectations from recent Fed commentary suggest a moderate chance of a rate cut or at least dovish language, which may support gold upside.
🔑 Key Buy Zones to Watch:
Demand Zone 1: 3615–3612
Demand Zone 2: 3600–3597
Discounted Buy Area: 3673 (if price pulls back then)
Trend remains bullish — no strong signs of bearish reversal currently.
🎯 Weekly Targets:
Primary target: 3700
If momentum strong and resistance broken: potential new highs beyond that
⚠ Risk & Strategy Notes:
Watch Fed Rate Decision for surprises — hawkish tone could push gold lower temporarily.
Use stop losses below demand zones to protect against downside risk.
Only take buys from those zones or after confirmation (bullish candle structure, rejection from support).
🙏 If you find this useful, please like, comment and share to support more weekly analysis.
Regards: Forex Insights Pro.
#XAUUSD #Gold #Forex #WeeklyAnalysis #FedRate #TechnicalAnalysis #SupportDemand #Trading
Short term analysis main trend is still bullishXAU/USD Technical Analysis (H1)
1. Overall Trend
Gold (XAU/USD) is moving inside an upward channel, confirmed by two parallel rising trendlines.
After bouncing from the strong support zone around 3,520 – 3,540 USD, price has been forming higher lows, keeping the bullish structure intact.
2. Key Support & Resistance
Strong Resistance: 3,660 – 3,680 USD zone. Price has been rejected here multiple times, creating a zig-zag/triangle-like pattern.
Dynamic Support: The rising trendline. As long as price stays above this line, the bullish bias remains valid.
Static Support: 3,520 – 3,540 USD. If the trendline breaks, this will be the next key zone to test buyers’ strength.
3. Chart Pattern
Price is consolidating in a triangle/zig-zag formation within an uptrend, often considered a continuation pattern.
If the resistance at 3,660 – 3,680 USD is broken, price may rally toward the psychological level 3,700 – 3,720 USD.
4. Trading Scenarios
Bullish (preferred):
Enter long on pullbacks to the trendline or on a breakout above 3,660–3,680.
Target: 3,700 – 3,720 USD.
Stop-loss: Below 3,620 or under the trendline.
Bearish (alternative):
If price breaks the rising trendline, a correction toward 3,520 – 3,540 USD is possible.
This zone will act as a decisive level for the next direction.
👉 Conclusion: The short-term bias remains bullish, but a clear breakout above 3,660 – 3,680 is needed for confirmation.
EURNZD: Bearish Momentum Continues To Dominate The PairEURNZD: Bearish Momentum Continues To Dominate The Pair
The EURNZD pair continues to show bearish characteristics, with price action respecting a well-defined resistance zone and forming successive bearish patterns.
The current consolidation phases are typical before sustained moves.
Momentum favors sellers, and the structure suggests that further declines are likely if key support levels are broken.
Key targets: 1.96200 and 1.9540
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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US 10Y TREASURY: brace for Fed cutTwo important macro indicators shaped investors sentiment during the previous week. One is related to posted jobs figures, where the annual revision of non-farm payrolls revealed a decline of 911,000 jobs, reinforcing concerns among analysts about a cooling U.S. labor market. In August, inflation rose by 0.4% month-over-month and 2.9% year-over-year, while core inflation remained slightly elevated at 0.3% monthly and 3.1% annually. The declining jobs in the US supported the investors’ expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points on September 17th.
The US 10Y Treasury benchmark further dropped during the week, to the lowest level of 3,995%, however, it ended the week at 4,06%. The market has priced expectations of a rate cut next week. In this sense, some short correction in yields to the upside is possible during the week ahead, at least up to 4,1%. It should also be expected to have some higher volatility prior to the FOMC meeting.
