GOOGL – VolanX WatchlistPrice is pressing into a key resistance zone near the 50% retracement level, aligning with prior supply. If we see a decisive breakout and hold above this “strong map” zone, the setup starts to resemble a long-term double bottom structure—often a precursor to multi-quarter upside trends.
Volume is healthy, structure remains bullish, and the higher timeframe fib targets point toward 217, 237, and potentially 265 if momentum persists. Risk remains in the short-term if sellers defend the premium zone, but as of now, trend bias is still to the upside.
Key levels to watch:
Support: 187.7 / 175 (equilibrium)
Resistance: 206.3 (break & hold could trigger trend acceleration)
Fib extensions: 217, 237, 265
📊 VolanX Trend Rating: Bullish until proven otherwise
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Markets carry risk—manage accordingly.
Fundamental Analysis
ES — Week Ahead (Sep 15–19) — Fundamentals & Key Risk WindowsMacro focus: FOMC (Wed 2:00/2:30 pm ET), plus Retail Sales, Industrial Production, Housing Starts, Jobless Claims, Philly Fed, and LEI.
Calendar (ET):
Tue 9/16
• Retail Sales (Aug) 8:30 — Census schedule confirms Sep 16, 8:30 am release.
• Industrial Production (Aug) 9:15 — G.17 release calendar shows Sep 16 at 9:15 am.
• NAHB Housing Market Index (Sep) 10:00 — NAHB schedule sets Sep 16, 10:00 am.
• FOMC (Day 1) begins — Fed calendar.
Wed 9/17
• Housing Starts/Permits (Aug) 8:30 — Census/HUD note next report Sep 17, 8:30 am.
• FOMC Statement 2:00 / Powell 2:30 — Fed event calendar.
Thu 9/18
• Initial Jobless Claims 8:30 — DOL weekly; last print 263k (spike tied to TX/fraud anomalies).
• Philly Fed (MBOS) 8:30 — 3rd Thu schedule.
• Conference Board LEI 10:00 — next release Sep 18, 10:00 am.
Fri 9/19
• State Employment (Aug) 10:00 — BLS schedule.
• (FYI for next week: Existing Home Sales (Aug) Tue Sep 23, 10:00 am.)
Context to watch:
• Markets widely expect a 25 bp cut at the Sep 16–17 FOMC; path/“dots” and Powell’s tone matter more than the cut size.
• Michigan sentiment (prelim) fell to 55.4 with inflation expectations elevated (1-yr 4.8%, 5-yr 3.9%).
Tomorrow (Mon 9/15) — Trade Plan
Kill-zones (ET): NY AM 09:30–11:00; NY PM 13:30–16:00.
News risk: NAHB 10:00 (size down or wait 2–3m around print)
Long from support 6586 → TP1 6600
• 15m trigger: Rejection at 6586 (close ≥ 6587 after testing ≤ 6585).
• 5m confirm: Higher-low + close ≥ 6588.
• 1m entry: First retest that closes back above 6587.
• Hard SL: 15m wick low − 0.25–0.50.
• TP1: 6600 (book 70%, runner 30% @ BE).
• TP2 (runner): 6606.25.
Short from resistance 6600 → TP1 6586
• 15m trigger: Rejection at 6600 (close < 6596.5 after probing ≥ 6598.5).
• 5m confirm: Lower-high + close < 6596.0.
• 1m entry: First retest that closes back below 6596.5.
• Hard SL: 15m wick high + 0.25–0.50.
• TP1: 6586 (book 70%, runner 30% @ BE).
• TP2 (runner): 6581.50.
Weekly plan—how fundamentals change our timing
• Tue AM (Retail Sales 8:30 / IP 9:15 / HMI 10:00): Expect a more directional NY AM; trade level→level but avoid first prints by ±3–5m.
• Wed (FOMC 2:00/2:30): Treat NY PM as the main event; no positions carried into 1:55–2:35 unless already at TP1 with runner @ BE.
• Thu (Claims/Philly/LEI): 8:30–10:00 stack can create a trend morning; trade acceptance if a 15m body prints through a level.
Short term analysis main trend is still bullishXAU/USD Technical Analysis (H1)
1. Overall Trend
Gold (XAU/USD) is moving inside an upward channel, confirmed by two parallel rising trendlines.
After bouncing from the strong support zone around 3,520 – 3,540 USD, price has been forming higher lows, keeping the bullish structure intact.
2. Key Support & Resistance
Strong Resistance: 3,660 – 3,680 USD zone. Price has been rejected here multiple times, creating a zig-zag/triangle-like pattern.
Dynamic Support: The rising trendline. As long as price stays above this line, the bullish bias remains valid.
Static Support: 3,520 – 3,540 USD. If the trendline breaks, this will be the next key zone to test buyers’ strength.
3. Chart Pattern
Price is consolidating in a triangle/zig-zag formation within an uptrend, often considered a continuation pattern.
If the resistance at 3,660 – 3,680 USD is broken, price may rally toward the psychological level 3,700 – 3,720 USD.
4. Trading Scenarios
Bullish (preferred):
Enter long on pullbacks to the trendline or on a breakout above 3,660–3,680.
Target: 3,700 – 3,720 USD.
Stop-loss: Below 3,620 or under the trendline.
Bearish (alternative):
If price breaks the rising trendline, a correction toward 3,520 – 3,540 USD is possible.
This zone will act as a decisive level for the next direction.
👉 Conclusion: The short-term bias remains bullish, but a clear breakout above 3,660 – 3,680 is needed for confirmation.
Gold Price Analysis (XAUUSD) – September 15, 20251. Main Trend
Gold (XAUUSD) has recently rallied from 3,560 → 3,665, but on the H1 timeframe the market is now forming a potential ABC corrective structure.
Wave (A) has completed.
Wave (B) is a technical pullback.
Wave (C) is expected to push lower, testing key support levels.
2. Key Resistance Levels
3,660 – 3,670 USD/oz: Major resistance zone where price has been rejected multiple times.
This area also aligns with the 20 EMA on H1 and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of wave (A).
3. Key Support Levels
3,600 – 3,610 USD/oz: First support to watch. A breakdown here could accelerate the bearish move.
3,575 – 3,585 USD/oz: Strong support area, confluence with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension of wave (A).
4. Technical Indicators
RSI (H1): Turning lower from the 50 midline, suggesting bearish momentum.
EMA 50 – EMA 200: Both EMAs still sloping upward, but price is testing the lower band, signaling a short-term correction.
Price Action: Repeated rejections around 3,660 highlight sellers’ dominance.
5. Trading Strategies for Today
Short Setup (Preferred)
Sell limit: 3,655 – 3,660
Stop loss: 3,675
Take profit 1: 3,610
Take profit 2: 3,580
Countertrend Buy (Speculative)
Buy: 3,580 – 3,585
Stop loss: 3,565
Take profit: 3,620 – 3,630
- Conclusion: Gold is currently in a short-term corrective phase, with downside potential towards 3,600 – 3,580. Sellers remain in control on the H1 chart. Traders should monitor support reactions closely to identify any short-term buying opportunities.
- Save this analysis if you find it useful, and follow for more trading strategies in the next sessions.
NEW ATHCleaning solution company gone treasury. 29% revenue YOY for 2M nothing crazy 50M marketcap. Now they are holding/buying $150M of $DOGE. Zone is bouncing off its golden zone while DUS:DOGE is getting a +3% move headed back to the .30 area. Doge ETF launch tm I've seen CRYPTOCAP:BTC and CRYPTOCAP:ETH drop after ETF launches so not fully confident that doge will rise. Also have CPI data tm at 8:30 AM so if markets like it zone could get a big move. Either way pretty risky if it loses $3.50 its headed to $2.
IONQ — trend breakout and growth potentialIonQ shares have consolidated above the 47–50 zone and successfully broke the trendline, opening the way for further upside. The first target is set around 120, and if buying pressure continues, the price could extend toward 200. Key support levels are at 47–48 and 36, providing attractive accumulation zones.
From a fundamental perspective, the quantum computing sector is gaining momentum, and IonQ remains one of its leading players. Increasing demand for innovative technologies may support the continuation of the bullish trend in the medium term.
A stock you buy and forget — the longer you hold, the more you earn.
Can Britain's Stock Market Survive Its Own Streets?The FTSE 100's recent 10.9% year-to-date outperformance against the S&P 500's 8.8% return masks deeper structural vulnerabilities that threaten the UK market's long-term viability. While this temporary surge appears to be driven by investor rotation away from overvalued US tech stocks toward traditional UK sectors, it obscures decades of underperformance: the FTSE 100 has delivered just 5.0% annualized returns over the past decade, compared to the S&P 500's 13.2%. The index's heavy weighting toward finance, energy, and mining, combined with minimal exposure to high-growth technology firms, has left it fundamentally misaligned with the modern economy's drivers of growth.
The UK's economic landscape presents mounting challenges that extend beyond market composition. Inflation rose to 3.8% in July, surpassing forecasts and increasing the likelihood of sustained high interest rates that could dampen economic activity. Government deficits reached £20.7 billion in June, raising concerns about fiscal sustainability, while policy uncertainty under the new Labour government creates additional investor hesitation. Geopolitical instability has shifted risk appetite for 61% of UK institutional investors, with half adopting more defensive strategies in response to global tensions.
Most significantly, civil unrest has emerged as a quantifiable economic threat that directly impacts business operations and market stability. Far-right mobilisation and anti-immigration demonstrations have resulted in violent clashes across UK cities, with over a quarter of UK businesses affected by civil unrest in 2024. The riots following the Southport stabbing incident alone generated an estimated £250 million in insured losses, with nearly half of the affected businesses forced to close premises and 44% reporting property damage. Business leaders now view civil unrest as a greater risk than terrorism, requiring increased security measures and insurance coverage that erode profitability.
The FTSE 100's future hinges on its ability to evolve beyond its traditional sectoral composition while navigating an increasingly volatile domestic environment where political violence has become a material business risk. The index's apparent resilience masks fundamental weaknesses that, combined with the rising costs of social and political instability, threaten to undermine long-term investor confidence and economic growth. Without significant structural adaptation and effective management of civil disorder risks, the UK's benchmark index faces an uncertain trajectory in an era where street-level violence translates directly into boardroom concerns.
Gold H1 📊 Gold H1 Analysis
On the H1 timeframe, we spotted a clean setup:
✅ First, an FVG formed and later flipped into an Inversion FVG.
✅ Price is now approaching the CRT (Continuation Rejection Test) zone.
✅ Once CRT is tested, we’re looking for a buy entry to ride the bullish momentum.
🔹 Key Levels to Watch:
• Inversion FVG Zone
• CRT Support Level
💡 This is a textbook example of how Inversion FVG + CRT can provide a high-probability entry. Patience here is key — wait for the test, then execute with confidence.
Gold price analysis September 15Gold price is still fluctuating in the accumulation zone of 3657 - 3620 without showing enough strength to break this range. There is no clear signal of a downward correction wave, so the priority for trading during this period is still to wait for BUY according to the main uptrend. SELL orders should only be executed when there is a decisive break of the lower edge of the accumulation zone, then the price can continue to decrease to the important support zone of 3580 on the weekly chart.
📉 Notable trading zones:
Prioritize BUY when the price reacts positively at the support zone of 3580
DCA is possible when the price breaks and closes a confirmation candle above 3657
🎯 Expected target: 3716
The Most Important Week of the Year-End for the Stock Market!We are finally here.
The Fed is expected to resume lowering the federal funds rate this Wednesday, September 17. Here is what will really matter on Wednesday:
• The magnitude of the rate cut (0.25% or 0.50%)
• The update of the Fed’s macroeconomic projections (its forecasts for inflation, employment, and also the path of interest rates)
• The trajectory ahead (for the end of 2025) of the federal funds rate
• Jerome Powell’s press conference, particularly his assessment of the timeframe for normalizing inflation with tariffs
After a summer of speculation, the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will unveil this Wednesday, September 17, a monetary policy decision that could redefine the trajectory of financial markets through year-end. This meeting is not a simple technical adjustment: it embodies all the tensions accumulated since Jerome Powell and the FOMC members paused their rate-cutting cycle last December. This may be the moment of the famous “pivot” investors have been waiting for since early 2025.
The underlying question is simple: will the Fed settle for a limited 25 basis point cut, or surprise with a more aggressive “jumbo cut”? The decision will not only concern the immediate level of rates but also the message sent to markets: the path of monetary policy for the remainder of 2025, consistency with inflation and employment projections, and above all, the balance of power among the 12 FOMC voting members. Recall that 7 votes out of 12 are needed to approve a rate cut, and Jerome Powell counts as only one vote among the 12.
In short, it’s not just a number but a trajectory of monetary policy. And it is this trajectory that will shape the year-end trend of risky assets in the stock market.
If Powell manages to open the door to clearer easing while remaining consistent with his latest macro forecasts, the market may finally gain the visibility it has been demanding. Otherwise, we risk staying in an uncertainty zone where every employment or inflation statistic reignites doubts. And in this game, the referee remains the same: the US 2-year yield. It is the US 2-year Treasury yield that best anticipates the upcoming path of the federal funds rate.
The S&P 500, the barometer of large caps, and the Russell 2000, more sensitive to domestic conditions, will hang on Powell’s words.
The Fed will update many macroeconomic data this Wednesday, but ultimately one factor will dominate: the “Fed Cut Path” – the number of rate cuts expected by year-end. This will be directly tied to the timeframe the Fed deems necessary to normalize inflation.
In short, the Fed’s decision on Wednesday, September 17, will shape the year-end stock market trend.
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Gold continues to fluctuate before the US interest rate decisionGold, after last Friday's continuation of the previous day's bottoming out and rebound, continued to fall into a range-bound oscillation mode, and after opening today, it continued to retreat to around 3626 before rising. Although there is no breakthrough between the bulls and bears at present, it is still in a tug-of-war, and the support below will also be maintained near the low point of 3626. This position is also the first watershed related to whether gold can continue to fall in the later period. The key pressure above is maintained near the previous secondary high point of 3655. This position is also the key suppression point for the recent retracement after multiple touches. It is also the shoulder position of the head and shoulders top, which also plays a role. It plays a connecting role, and once this position continues to suppress, gold may be under pressure again in the later period. If it does not break through again this week, gold may retreat again next week to test the support level of 3610. Although the daily line is still in a high sideways trend, the upward momentum has also declined significantly. If it bottoms out and rebounds, it needs a secondary definition of the European session, which is also an advance forecast of the US session. If gold rebounds to 3645-3655 during the day, short it and target around 3630-20. The strength of the European session may also determine the direction of the US session.
LINK - Swing Long OpportunityLINK - Swing Long Opportunity
📊 Market Sentiment
Market sentiment remains strongly bullish as the FED is expected to deliver a 0.25% rate cut, with speculation building for a possible 0.5% cut in September. Monetary policy shifts are being driven by both inflation trends and weakening labor market data. The latest August and September job reports were soft, signaling that the economy is cooling rapidly. This environment continues to fuel expectations for a major bullish run in the weeks ahead.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price is bullish on the HTF, so I will only be interested in long setups.
Price recently broke and closed above the bearish trendline, confirming bullish continuation.
We also saw a break and close above the HTF Key Level, which should now act as support.
Moreover, the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level aligns perfectly with the HTF Key Level, creating strong confluence for a potential entry.
📌 Game Plan
I will be entering long positions at the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement / HTF Key Level intersection.
🎯 Setup Trigger
Confirmed 15M break of structure before entry.
📋 Trade Management
Stoploss: Daily close below the HTF Key Level or hard stop at $22.64
Targets:
• TP1: $26.03
• TP2: $26.63
• TP3: $27.85
💬 Like, follow, and comment if you find this setup valuable!
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Always do your own research before making any financial decisions.
Fundamental Market Analysis for September 15, 2025 USDJPYThe pair trades around 147.4. Last week the yen firmed after political headlines from Tokyo: the prime minister’s resignation increased uncertainty and supported safe-haven demand for JPY. At the same time, US yields pulled back on softer labor data and a mild PPI, narrowing the rate differential in the dollar’s favor.
On Japan’s side, debate has revived about further BoJ normalization as wages rise and inflation stabilizes. Even if the BoJ leaves settings unchanged at the next meeting, the risk balance is shifting from one-sidedly dovish toward more neutral, which limits USD/JPY upside as a Fed cut appears likely.
The combination of a prospective Fed cut on Wednesday and elevated political noise in Japan makes further downside drift plausible. We prefer selling at 147.500 with a 146.000 target and a 148.500 stop. A “hawkish” Fed reaction and/or an ultra-cautious BoJ could push the pair back toward 148+.
Trading recommendation: SELL 147.500, SL 148.500, TP 146.000
Gold Weekly Outlook ( FOMC Week )Hello traders,
Another week and most importantly its FOMC week
🔸 Weekly Outlook (HTF Bias)
Trend: Bullish, but stretched into ATH zone.
Supply Zones:
3670–3720 (ATH pocket – decision zone)
3770–3800 (extension confluence)
3850–3920 (untouched liquidity cluster)
Demand Zones / Imbalance:
3590–3450 → main corrective magnet (contains EMA50)
3340–3290 → first strong HTF demand
3180–3120 & 3050–2980 → deeper extreme discount demand
Confluence:
EMA stack bullishly locked, but extended
RSI weekly overbought → exhaustion risk
Liquidity pools: above 3674 ATH and below imbalance 3450
Fibonacci: 1.272/1.618 extensions (3750/3880) align with supply above
Scenarios:
Bullish Expansion: Clean breakout above 3670–3720 → targets 3770 → 3850+
Bearish Correction: Rejection from ATH → pullback into 3590–3450 imbalance. A deeper rebalance could test 3340 or lower demand if macro turns hawkish.
🔸 H4 Structure & Trend
Trend: Still bullish (HH–HL), but slowing momentum inside supply.
Active Supply Zones:
3640–3666 → current battlefield (price inside)
3692–3720 → inducement + 1.272 Fib trap zone
3745–3785 → 1.618–2.0 Fib, expansion exhaustion supply
Demand Zones:
3600–3580 → first pullback demand
3544–3520 → EMA50 confluence, BOS origin
3500–3470 → last valid H4 demand before sentiment shift
Confluence:
EMAs locked bullish, but flattening
RSI cooling off → momentum compression
Equal highs below 3666 → inducement
Imbalances on both sides = liquidity-driven moves ahead
Scenarios:
Bullish: Hold above 3600–3580 → breakout above 3666 confirms push toward 3720/3785.
Bearish: Rejection at 3640–3666 or EQH sweep → pullback into 3580/3544, possibly 3500.
🔸 H1 Refined Levels
Premium Sell Zones:
3640–3654 → short-term liquidity wall (first seller defense)
3670–3678 → ATH trap zone (inducement risk)
3704–3720 → exhaustion zone (final upside trap)
Discount Buy Zones:
3595–3580 → first reaction base
3550–3535 → mid-range accumulation shelf
3505–3490 → deep liquidity reload zone (best RR swing entry)
Decision Zone: 3630–3608 → momentum pivot
Above 3630 → bulls in control
Below 3608 → opens reentry demand zones
🎯 Battle Plan
Bullish Play:
Look for rejections from 3595 / 3550 / 3505 with confirmation (M15 BOS or engulfing).
Above 3630 → push toward 3654 → 3674 → 3720.
Break and hold above 3674 → continuation toward 3770+.
Bearish Play:
Tactical shorts at 3654, 3678, 3720 with M15/M30 confirmation.
Targets: 3608 → 3580 → 3550.
Loss of 3490 = HTF correction mode unlocked.
✅ Overall Bias: Still bullish on HTF, but extended. Market is at a make-or-break zone (3640–3674).
⚠️ Risk: RSI overbought + inducement structure = high probability of a liquidity sweep before the real move.
📌 Key Catalyst: FOMC will likely decide whether ATH breaks cleanly or if a corrective flush into imbalance (3450–3590) happens first
Forex weekly review: fundamental analysis.A term I heard a lot during the week starting Monday 8 September was "The rate cut rally". Only a few weeks ago, it was widely expected the FED would cut rates one more time before year end, if it wasn't going to be one cut, it wouldn't be any at all. The US 10 Year yield was at 4.8%, significantly, during this period, the S&P 500 remained relatively bouyed.
But in August 'very soft' NFP data started to change the narrative. Then, at JACKSON HOLE, FED chair MR POWELL emphasised a focus on the jobs market, and ever since, every piece of data pertaining to US employment seems to have been below expectations. And all of a sudden, three rate cuts are on the immediate agenda, it's even touted that a 0.5bp cut is a possibility. Hence the 'rate cut rally' narrative as the S&P 500 pushed all time highs this week.
It was nice to see all the 'risk currencies' reacting as you would expect in a 'risk on' environment, the JPY in particular aligning with its correlation to the S&P (and its inverse correlation with the NIKKEI) rather than the falling US 10 YEAR.
The risk to the 'risk on mood' is that the market is over exuberant expecting three rate cuts and chair Powell could put a damper on precedings with a 'hawkish cut' narrative at the upcoming FED meeting. But until Wednesday's FED meeting, I'll begin the new week with a 'risk on' bias. I continue to view the CAD as a possible short in a 'risk on' environment.
In other news, the ECB held rates with a mildly hawkish narrative. A brief flair up on the middle east didn't dent sentiment, neither did the horrific murder of Charlie Kirk, which is a very scary and sad example of the polarised world we live in. Thoughts go out to his family.
On a personal note, for the first time in a long time, it was a week of four trades. I was wary of shorting the JPY due to its correlation with falling yields, but ultimately JPY short would have likely been the best trade of the week. Non the less, it was a profitable week, all USD short trades, two stopped out and two hit profit.
It's interesting to note the two trades that stopped were the ones where a 'lack of meaningful swing support' was the risk.
Interesting week ahead with four central bank rate decisions.
PEPE Long Idea - Memecoin PEPE Game Plan
📊 Market Sentiment
Market sentiment remains strongly bullish as the FED is expected to deliver a 0.25% rate cut, with speculation building for a possible 0.5% cut in September. Monetary policy adjustments are being shaped by both inflation and weakening labor market data. With recent August and September job reports coming in soft, the economy appears to be cooling rapidly. This backdrop continues to fuel expectations for a major bullish run in the coming weeks.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price recently swept HTF liquidity and closed back above it.
After that, PEPE created a 4H demand zone, which I view as the most effective OB currently.
Price came back, tapped the 0.5 discount zone, and rejected strongly, starting a move higher.
I entered from that rejection, anticipating a Daily bearish trendline break.
📌 Game Plan
I will wait for a confirmed break of the bearish Daily trendline and look to enter after a successful retest of the broken trendline.
🎯 Setup Trigger
Retest of the broken Daily trendline.
📋 Trade Management
Stoploss: $0.009155 (below the 4H demand zone)
Targets:
• TP1: $0.012740
• TP2: $0.014490
💬 Like, follow, and comment if you find this setup valuable!
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Always do your own research before making any financial decisions.