For most of 2022, currencies were helped by rising yields on short-term government bonds.
When looking at the UK bond market, rising gilt yields have reflected expectations of future interest rate hikes by the Bank of England, but ultimately they begin to incorporate more political and fiscal risks into their rate premium.
Given the turbulent political climate...
Last week, UK pension funds, which hold highly leveraged bond derivative positions, were facing a nearly $1 trillion loss as bond prices crashed and yields rose. The crash in the bond market has been underway for years, but the tipping point occurred when the UK prime minister pledged to cut taxes at a time when inflation is soaring into the double...
GBP/USD is down sharply today and has fallen below the 1.11 level for the first time since 1985. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.1125, down 1.16%.
The British pound can't seem to find any love. GBP/USD is looking dreadful, down 2.1% this week and 3.8% in September. The currency hasn't sunk to such levels since 1985 and the strong US dollar could...
