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A breakout has come and a price reached my PT. Nice profit of $200/contract.
Intermarket spread ZSH19-ZWH19 between soybeans and wheat is extremely cheap. Moreover, oversold soybeans and overbought wheat make perfect conditions for this spread.
Wheat was overbought last few weeks and there is still a potential to decline.
Soybeans is still very low and it has no power to create lower minimum.
A bearish signal on Wheat futures with the target in the area $ 484/494 and stop loss at $ 584/585.
A bear spread with low volatility and risk. Entry at 6,0. SL 4,0 ($100/contract), PT 10,0 ($200)
Wheat is clearly overbought, thinking about selling...
Elliott Wave price structure and projections in beans.
Wheat has been bullish since the beginning of 2018 and I think there is reason to expect to see it continue.
Some of the main drivers are:
1. Potential tariff introduction and major us trade partners like mexico moving to other wheat sources affect trade stability and commodities as a whole.
2. The developing drought in the US this summer
Watching for a move ...
interest rates going higher, enjoy the pull of inflation for your grains, that and colder weather forecast forget global warming, how about the cooling that is reality?
I have a big picture tool I use that has been very good to me and it is now indicating shorting puts in wheat will be a good spot to take advantage of a sideways or climbing wheat prices. I will trade the 31 DTE options and will move down to the 30 delta strike put to give it a bit of wiggle room. Not a big trade but not much buying power is used either
I previously shorted wheat 1 pip from the top and it was a very nice trade (although I closed too early around 3.99 or so). Price bounced from the .382 fib of the larger up move but the price action in the current area looks weak. I am looking to re-open shorts at the levels in the chart but only if no warning signs are present -- big bullish candles, oversold RSI ...
The soybean chart looks prime to push higher for the next 2 weeks. I recommend buying soybeans a 986.0 or better before the end of the week, and hold it until the end of the first week of November, or cover around 1028.0 or better.
This stock buys you land all over South America.
319,000 Hectares between Brazil and Paraguay, just to name a few (mostly in Brazil).
Exposure to an incredible emerging market.
Exposure to commodities long term (grain and sugar mostly, cattle as well)
Management is a powerhouse.
JP Morgan owns 7% of the float.
George Soros made this company happen.
DBA had a retrace after breaking out of this declining wedge. I am now watching price behaviour around this base area and setting some alerts ( 21.00USD ). If the macro assessment is correct we should see Agrobusiness follow the pro-inflation-fear environment, which means that precious metals, commodities and Agrobusiness should provide considerabel gains in to ...
Corn is ripe for the picking and ready to POP. With glut of corn in silo's we like the downside...BUT, this can either way. Be nimble. We expect a nice 6-8 day run.
We may have missed the Crude trade however, Corn is a different story. We are expecting Corn to trigger today. Our targets are listed. If Corn triggers and then closes inside the wedge we will close the trade, otherwise our targets are posted. Stay tuned
Corn has broken and closed below it's wedge on a weeky time frame. We are looking for pullback triggers to get involved to the short side. Targets are identified and the stop will come from the trigger (on a 60 or 240 min chart)...NO TRIGGER, NO TRADE!