Housingmarket

ZG | The time to go long has come - Timeframe: Weekly - Trade type: Buy stop order - Price: 36.62 - Take Profit: Open - Stop Loss: 32.79 (-10.50 %) Idea: Long on a breakout above last week's high - bullish momentum continuation. Entry: Buy stop above last week’s high. Stop-loss: Below the low of the same candle. If the weekly candle closes below this level, the trade is invalidated. Take Profit: Trailing stop following the lows of new weekly candles.

LOW | The time to go long has come - Timeframe: Weekly - Trade type: Buy stop order - Price: 210.00 - Take Profit: Open - Stop Loss: 199.40 (-5.10 %) Idea: Long on a breakout above last week's high - bullish momentum continuation. Entry: Buy stop above last week’s high. Stop-loss: Below the low of the same candle. If the weekly candle closes below this level, the trade is invalidated. Take Profit: Trailing stop following the lows of new weekly candles.

LPX | June, 2026 | The time to go long has come - Timeframe: Weekly - Trade type: Buy stop order - Price: 76.69 - Take Profit: Open - Stop Loss: 75.24 (-5.60 %) Idea: Long on a breakout above last week's high - bullish momentum continuation. Entry: Buy stop above last week’s high. Stop-loss: Below the low of the same candle. If the weekly candle closes below this level, the trade is invalidated. Take Profit: Trailing stop following the lows of new weekly candles.

Home Depot reaffirms guidance despite housing headwinds HD | 4H Technical Analysis — May 20, 2026 Home Depot beat Q1 estimates on both revenue and earnings, and reaffirmed its full-year guidance despite rising oil prices, weakening consumer confidence, and a sluggish housing market. However, same-store sales grew only 0.6% YoY, while transactions declined 1.3%, suggesting that inflation-driven price increases are masking underlying volume weakness. CFO McPhail acknowledged that homeowners remain financially resilient relative to other consumer segm

by inkicho_exness

Is The Housing Market Warning Us Stocks Have Topped?Trading Fam, In 2006, the housing market here in the U.S. crossed what I call, "The Weakening Demand Zone" and entered into dangerous territory. This was critical data and a red flag that was warning us that something was not right. As the housing market grew weaker, it took the Fed two months to notice before it began to pause rates. It took 14 months before the Fed began to ease rates, through quantitative easing. But it took the retail market 17 whole months before they stopped buying stocks

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Double bottom forming on Persimmon?Is this a double bottom pattern forming? Will it complete and will it breakout about 1715 resistance? Time till tell.

Zillow | Z | Long at $66.72 Let me preface by saying that Zillow NASDAQ:Z may drop into the $50's in the near-term. The housing market news is all doom and gloom and the company's next earnings may show "weakness" (it's winter and interest rates are going lower this spring/summer). But, contrary to news headlines, the market is actually still red hot in many locations as the great wealth transfer continues. People are just waiting for lower rates when it comes to buying. The housing market will absolutely break in the fu

by WorthlessViews

Is Freddie Mac the Most Undervalued Bet in Finance?Freddie Mac stands at a critical inflection point as Michael Burry, the legendary investor from "The Big Short," takes a significant position in the government-sponsored enterprise. Trading over-the-counter at a fraction of its potential value, the company has transformed from a mortgage guarantor into a technological powerhouse with robust AI patents, zero-trust cybersecurity architecture, and automated underwriting systems that save lenders approximately $1,700 per loan. The stock currently tr

The Big Short’s Longest Bet: Can Freddie Mac Break Free?Michael Burry, the legendary bear of 2008, has flipped the script. The man who famously shorted the housing market now bets on its bedrock: Freddie Mac (FMCC). Shares rallied 10% Tuesday after Burry revealed a "personal" stake in the government-sponsored enterprise (GSE). He argues the mortgage giant stands on the precipice of a historic transformation. Yet, he warns of a "steep, windy, and rocky climb" ahead. Is this the ultimate contrarian play, or a value trap waiting to snap? Geopolitics &

by TradeThePool

Bearish divergence, bigger number not always better for housing Full disclosure I got Ai to compose this because I'm dyslexic and a scatter brain. and this is a duplicate because I tried to delete it once I found out it scaled bad on mobile, and trading views delete function MIA! ( within the cool down ) go figure. I definitely have a bias to btc and maybe a long position on the JPY. Have a read have a look. I have loosely marked some economic data on here showing Policy might not be working well enough because wages didn't keep up with CPI causing a real

U.S. Housing Dashboard U.S. Housing Market Dashboard. Grab the chart and study along! Indicators used: USCSHPIYY, FIXHAI, USHST, USBP, USEHS, USMAPL, MORTGAGE30US, DRSFRMACBS Row 1: Prices and affordability Row 2: Supply Row 3: Demand Row 4: Financing conditions and mortgage stress USCSHPIYY Measuring : Case-Shiller Home Price Index (YoY) Relevance : Benchmark measure of U.S. home price appreciation Observe : Rising YoY = price inflation / tight supply; Falling YoY = correction risk FIXHAI Measuring

Fannie Mae (FNMA) Analysis Company Overview: Fannie Mae OTC:FNMA , the government-sponsored enterprise (GSE), plays a critical role in supporting the U.S. housing market through mortgage liquidity and stability. Key Catalysts: Q2 2025 support: Provided $102B in liquidity, helping 381,000 households—with over 50% being first-time buyers. Earnings stability: Recurring guaranty fees ensure consistent revenue streams. Capital strength: Net worth rose to $101.6B, highlighting robust capital buffers. Tech partnership: Ne

by Richtv_official

Lennar Corp | LEN | Long at $116.48 Across the US, there is a pent-up demand for housing (for the vast majority of locations). While the media likes to selectively report home sales dropping for certain regions, it is more due to mortgage rates and seasonality than demand. Mortgage rates are anticipated to come down over the next 1-2 years and home builders will step in to pick-up the lack of inventory. Healthy companies like Lennar Corp NYSE:LEN , with a P/E of 8x, dividend of 1.68%, very low debt-to-equity (0.17x), etc are lik

by WorthlessViews

JELD-WEN Holdings | JELD | Long at $4.02 JELD-WEN Holdings NYSE:JELD designs, manufactures, and sells wood, metal, and composite materials doors, windows, and related building products in North America and Europe. The stock has taken quite a beating since the rise in interest rates, and I think a reversal *may* be in sight in the next year as rates are slowly lowered - even if the market is forward-thinking and purely anticipating a new housing boom (which I highly doubt given the current home prices). Regardless, there is risk with

by WorthlessViews

Redfin | RDFN | Long at $8.64 Redfin $NASDAQ:RDFN. Yes, housing is starting to finally slide as mortgage rates remain high, housing inventory increases, and pending sales drop. I can see an argument to wait to enter NASDAQ:RDFN and I can't truly argue against it for 2025 (a dip is possible into the $4's if things really take a bad turn). But what I like about Redfin is they do not invest in homes where there is substantial risk during a housing pause or downturn. They purely make money through real estate services (brokera

by WorthlessViews

HOME DEPOT ($HD) Q4—HOME FIXES SPARK A SURGE HOME DEPOT ( NYSE:HD ) Q4—HOME FIXES SPARK A SURGE (1/9) Good afternoon, TradingView! Home Depot ( NYSE:HD ) is buzzing—$ 39.7B Q4 sales, up 14.1% 📈🔥. Extra week and SRS deal fuel zing—let’s unpack this retail giant! 🚀 (2/9) – REVENUE RUSH • Q4 Sales: $ 39.7B—14.1% up from $ 34.8B 💥 • Full ‘24: $ 159.5B—4.5% rise from $ 152.7B 📊 • Boost: $ 4.9B from 14th week NYSE:HD ’s humming—fixer-uppers unite! (3/9) – EARNINGS GLOW • Q4 EPS: $ 3.13—beats $ 3.03 est. 🌍 • Net: $ 3.0B—up from $ 2.8B 🚗

Analysis of NBCC (India) Limited Chart Overview: The daily price chart of NBCC (India) Limited indicates a recovery phase after a significant correction from its 2024 highs. Key support and resistance levels are identified, along with a potential pattern that suggests consolidation followed by a breakout. Key Observations: 1.Trend Analysis: The stock was previously trading within an ascending channel, marked by higher highs and higher lows, indicating a bullish trend until August 2024. Post-August, the stock broke below the

by AngshumanSaikia

Junk Bonds Disaster Looms Junk bonds looking very "2008". This supports my overall view, which is that all equities, commodities, and currencies and the market in general, are highly overvalued; this has been the case for roughly the last two years. What a mess.

RECESSION ALERT - Homebuilders WAY Overbought | SHORT $KBH Leverage. It's a beautiful thing. There is not much to say about this one, the chart speaks for itself. Brief Disclaimer: this chart has evaded me - I personally think it should have corrected awhile ago (see grey arrows). Nonetheless, I never bought it... WHY?: The economy is now well into a recession (has been for at least a year). For whatever reason this thing was bought into the stratosphere. Now comes profit-taking and the COLLAPSE! This baby is going DEEP! Thank you for playing. 💀

Macro View Shows 2-4 Month Max And Then It Starts!Traders, Some rather ominous signs are showing in various markets not least of which includes the U.S. housing market. As you know, we have been periodically tracking the USHMI as a key leading indicator to show us where and when our coming U.S. (perhaps global) recession begins. We are close if we have not already begun, but I imagine there will be no ability for denial in about 2-4 months time. Before then, markets may continue to blow off and I still expect Bitcoin to hit our 85k target. Tod

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MACRO MONDAY 21~NAHB Housing Market Index MACRO MONDAY 21 NAHB Housing Market Index The NAHB Housing Market Index (HMI) is compiled from a monthly survey issued by the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) to U.S. builders in order to measure the current and forward looking sentiment for single-family homes being built or with the prospect of being built in the U.S. In the survey builders rate their current single-family sales, sales prospects over the next six months, and the traffic of prospective buyers. The NAHB Builders

MM29(b) - Existing Home Sales Versus New Home Sales U.S. Existing Home Sales & New Home Sales Comparing the Charts When you look at both charts and compare them you can see that between June 2022 and Sept 2023 the decreasing EXISTING home sales negatively correlated with the increase in NEW home sales. This would make surface level sense given the lack of existing homes being available creating a need for new housing. In recent months there has been a sharp divergence in the opposite direction, particularly in NEW home sales, which plunged f

Macro Monday 29 - U.S. Existing Home Sales & New Home Sales U.S. Existing Home Sales & New Home Sales U.S. Existing Home Sales U.S. Existing Home Sales data helps us to gauge the strength of the U.S. housing market and is a key indicator of overall economic health in the U.S. In simple terms U.S. Existing Home Sales is a seasonally adjusted record of previously owned homes that have been sold in the United States (per unit). The monthly data report is released by the National Association of Realtors (NAR) and It is a lagging indicator since peop

Mortgage Rates have fallen & at major support Good Morning! It certainly makes sense for #mortgagerates to follow the bond counterparts & go lower The monthly chart shows the RSI weakening as it chugged higher. LONG term, the 3rd chart, we see that rates overcame a STRONG RESISTANCE area & long downtrend, white line. We will soon see if it'll hold that new support, white line. #RealEstate #InterestRate

by ROW_Partners