Hi all, My idea is long on NASDAQ. DYOR, this is just an idea. Cheers, James
DXYUSD daily guidance is cautiously bearish. Recommended ratio: 30% DXY, 70% Cash. * China delayed publishing key economic data including retail sales, industrial production, home prices and Q3 GDP amidst Incumbent President Xi Jin Ping's expected reelection for a third term . Chinese officials say it's because of the ongoing National Congress of the Chinese...
SPXUSD daily guidance is neutral with a bearish bias. Recommended ratio: 45% SPX, 55% Cash. * On Saturday, the Chinese Foreign Ministry urged Chinese citizens still living and working in Ukraine to evacuate as soon as possible . In what Russia claims to a be a response to "acts of terrorism" on Russian people after the Crimean bridge bombing, Russia has now...
DXY Daily guidance is neutral with a bullish bias. Recommended ratio: 58% DXY, 42% Cash. *DXY, VIX, Nat Gas, EURUSD and Agriculture are up while US Treasuries, Equities, Futures, Cryptos, Metals, Oil, GBPUSD, CNYUSD and JPYUSD are down. Cleveland Fed President Mester mentioned today in New York that there has been little to no progress on ringing in...
SPXUSD Daily guidance is cautiously bearish. Recommended ratio: 30% SPX, 70% Cash. *Equities, Futures, Cryptos, Metals, Energy, GBPUSD, and EURUSD are all down while DXY, US Treasuries and VIX are up once again. Fears of nuclear war being exacerbated by resolute threats from Putin and desperate social media pleas by people like Elon Musk are pushing investors...
DXY daily guidance is cautiously bearish. Recommended ratio: 30% DXY, 70% Cash. *DXY, US 10 Year Treasury Bonds and VIX are down while Equities, Cryptos, Commodities, Futures, GBPUSD, EURUSD and 30 Year Treasury Bonds are all up. With expectations of a federal funds rate above 4% in 2023 it's starting to get to that time where investors ask themselves when...
SPXUSD daily guidance is neutral with a bullish bias. Recommended ratio: 52% SPX, 48% Cash. * BOUNCE WATCH . Chicago Fed President Charles Evans mentioned yesterday that FFR will likely top out around March of 2023 . DXY, US Treasuries and VIX are finally down today while Equities, Futures, Commodities, Cryptos, EURUSD and GBPUSD are all up. I think it's...
DXY daily guidance is cautiously bullish. Recommended ratio: 90% DXY, 10% Cash. *Equity Futures, Agriculture, Metals and EURUSD are down to start the week while DXY, US Treasuries, Energy and Crypto are up. As long as the Federal Reserve's federal funds rate keeps going up and Russia keeps escalating the war in Ukraine, DXY will likely keep going up. Key...
SPXUSD Daily guidance is cautiously bearish. Recommended ratio: 15% SPX, 85% Cash. * BOUNCE WATCH. Equities and Futures continue to plummet after a hawkish FOMC meeting has investors bracing for more rate hikes in 2023. Meanwhile, Commodities, Cryptos, DXY, EURUSD, VIX and US Treasuries are either up or flat. Very 2022. Unfortunately, with Putin's latest...
SPXUSD Daily guidance is cautiously bearish. Recommended ratio: 35% SPX, 65% Cash. * BOUNCE WATCH . All eyes are on the big FOMC statement at 2pm on 09/21. The big volatility and volume surge today was largely due to a whopping $3.2t OpEx (options expiration) . The UofM Consumer Sentiment Index for September came in at 59.5 compared to 58.2 in August,...
SPXUSD Daily cautiously bullish. Recommended ratio: 70% SPX, 30% Cash. *Equities Futures, Precious Metals, EURUSD and Cryptos are up slightly while DXY and US Treasuries are down before market open this week. All eyes will be on August CPI this Tuesday, if it comes in at consensus (8.1%) or lower, markets will likely rally in the near term; however, in the...
SPX Daily cautiously bearish. Recommended ratio: 15% SPX, 85% Cash. * BOUNCE WATCH . Equities and Cryptos continue to sell off in favor of DXY and US Treasuries as Russia halts the Nordstream natural gas pipeline indefinitely (renewing fears of a brutal European winter energy crisis). Key Upcoming Dates: 10th GDPNow US Q3 GDP Estimate at 830am EST 09/07 ; ...
DXY Daily neutral with a bullish bias. Recommended ratio: 60% DXY, 40% Cash. *After briefly touching $110 minor resistance in Friday's session, the DXY will attempt to retest the next resistance between $112 (Weekly resistance) and $114 (Daily resistance). The last time the DXY tested $112 Weekly resistance was in 2000. If the Fed raises FFR by 75bps on 09/21...
SPXUSD Daily neutral with a bearish bias. Recommended ratio: 47% SPX, 53% Cash . *I incorrectly mentioned that PCE numbers would be released today, they are scheduled for release tomorrow at 830am EST. The 2nd US Q2 GDP estimate was reported today at -0.6% compared to the previous Advanced estimate of -0.9% , the third and final Q2 estimate will be reported...
SPXUSD Daily cautiously bullish. Recommended ratio: 75% SPX, 25% Cash . *The BLS reported PPI numbers this morning and they followed in the footsteps of CPI by coming in lower than the month prior, from a 1% rise in June to a -0.5% drop in July. This was a surprise because consensus estimates had PPI rising by 0.2%, such a dramatic fall can largely be attributed...
SPXUSD Daily neutral with a bearish bias. Recommended ratio: 40% SPX, 60% Cash . * CRITICAL RESISTANCE WATCH . Equities finished the session relatively flat as markets are sending mixed signals ahead of CPI and PPI data on 08/10 and 08/11. Crypto, Gold, VIX and Oil are trending higher while DXY and Treasuries are down. Palantir reported an earnings miss and...
SPXUSD Daily neutral with a bearish bias. Recommended ratio: 45% SPX, 55% Cash. * JOBS REPORT WATCH . The Employment Situation is released tomorrow (08/05) at 830am (EST) and markets seem to be rallying as if unemployment is going to stay flat or go up insignificantly. If this scenario plays out, it will be interesting considering labor force participation...
SPX Daily bullish. Recommended ratio: 88% SPX, 12% Cash. * CRITICAL RESISTANCE WATCH . The BEA reported June PCE numbers this morning and both came in higher than last month: Core PCE (sans Food and Energy) came in at 4.8% vs 4.7% last month (also had a 4.7% consensus estimate) and PCE Index came in at 6.8% (20 year high) vs 6.3% in the previous two months....