A combination of RSI and MACDThere are many indicators in the world of trading and each has its own minuses and pluses.
To smooth out the disadvantages and benefit from the advantages, you can use several indicators at once.
This trading strategy is based on the use of RSI and MACD .
Everyone knows that when a fast moving average crosses a slow one from top to bottom, it is necessary to sell .
When the fast moving average crosses the slow one from the bottom up, buy .
In this case, in order to open a position, the trader must wait for signals from one indicator first, then from the second, and only after that open a position.
On the ETH chart, we see that on November 6 , the RSI gave a sell signal. This signal alone is not enough, but after seeing it, you should be ready to open a deal soon.
On November 15 , the MACD gave a sell signal and already here the trader should open a short.
Where to set a stop loss and when to close a position is up to you, but there is an easy way.
Stop loss can be set for the previous maximum/minimum , and the position can be closed when the indicators signal the opening of a position in the other direction .
Specifically, in this position, a stop loss could be set for a maximum of 4880.85 on November 9 .
It was possible to close the position when the MACD showed a buy signal, the price had already fallen by 46% by that time.
As you may have noticed, the RSI sometimes shows premature signals , which is why it is important to wait for the MACD signal.
Positions at numbers 2 and 4 show that after the RSI showed a sell signal, the price went even higher , updating the maximum and only after the MACD signal it was worth opening positions.
Be careful, be patient.
Whoever knows how to wait gets everything.
Indicators
Trading FlowchartThis is how every profitable trader that I know, makes money in the markets.
Know your Weekly, Daily, High, Low & Closing price levels
Know your intraday session opening prices
Look for swing highs and lows on your preferred trading timeframe
Buy High, Sell Higher
Sell Low, Buy Lower
Add to your winners
If the price turns 180º be prepared for sideways markets and take mean reversion trades
Trading FlowchartHello, dear TradingView members.
This educational idea is a Trading Flowchart.
It starts with simply explaining the main steps to make before trading and opening positions and how to identify our situation to gain better results.
Before we start to trade, we should identify the trend. What is a trend?
A trend is a direction in which an asset's price changes over time.
Financial market traders identify market trends with the help of technical analysis. Technical analysis is a framework that identifies market trends as predictable price trends within a market (when the price reaches a support or resistance level).
Since future prices are unknown at any given time, a trend can only be determined in hindsight (vs. forward). However, this shortcoming does not stop people from predicting future trends.
The terms "bull market" and "bear market" represent increasing (rising) and decreasing (descending) market trends, respectively.
Peak and bottom:
In the price chart, the bottoms are the points where the demand pressure exceeds the supply, and the prices start to rise after a period of decline. On the contrary, the peaks are the points where the supply pressure exceeds the demand, and the prices start to decrease after an increase.
There are three types of trends in general:
Uptrend (Rising trend)
Sideways trend
Downtrend (Declining trend)
Uptrend (Rising trend):
When the price of a symbol or asset increases generally, the price trend is said to be bullish, bullish, bullish, or bearish. An increasing trend does not mean that the prices always have an upward movement; the price may sometimes go up and sometimes go down, but the result of this fluctuation is the price increase. The rising trend in the price chart can be recognized by looking at rising floors (when the new price floor is higher than the previous floor).
Sideways trend:
A lateral trend line is formed when the market remains stable, i.e., the price does not reach the highest or lowest price point. Many professional traders do not pay much attention to lateral trends. However, lateral trends play an essential role in scalping trades.
Downtrend (Declining trend):
When the price of a symbol or asset declines generally, its price trend is bearish, bearish, bearish, or bearish. A downward trend, like an upward trend, does not mean that the prices will always go down, but it means that the price may sometimes go down and sometimes go up, but the result of this fluctuation is a price reduction. A downward trend in the price chart can be recognized by looking at falling peaks (when the new price peak is lower than the previous peak).
One way an analyst can see a trend line is by plotting trend lines. A trend line is a straight line that connects two or more price points. This line continues on the chart as a support or resistance line.
An uptrend line is a straight line drawn to the right and up, connecting two or more low points. The second low point in drawing the upward trend line must be higher than the starting point. Uptrend lines support and show that even as prices rise, demand is more significant than supply. As long as prices remain above the trendline, the uptrend is considered unchanged. A break below the uptrend line indicates that a change in our trend may occur.
A downtrend line is a straight line drawn to the right and down that connects two or more high points. The height of the second point must be lower than the first point so that the line has a downward slope. Downtrend lines act as resistance and show that supply is greater than demand even as the price declines. As long as prices remain below the trendline, the downtrend is considered intact. A break above the downtrend line indicates that a change in trend may occur.
Familiarity with trend analysis
Trend line analysis is a technique used in technical analysis. Trend analysis seeks to predict the price of a currency in more distant intervals with the help of data obtained by trends. Trend analysis uses historical data like price movement and trading volume to predict long-term trends in market sentiment. Trend analysis tries to predict a trend, such as an uptrend in the market, and follow that trend until the data indicates a trend reversal.
Trend line analysis is essential because trends' movement ultimately leads to investors' profits. Examining a trend with the help of historical data of the desired currency predicts the future price of that currency for traders.
Trading strategies with trend lines
Now that we understand the meaning of trend lines and their types let's look at the strategies many traders use to identify trends and learn when it's the best time to open positions.
To try to make better predictions on how the market will behave, so we can trade safer, we can use indicators.
What are indicators?
In technical analysis, a technical indicator is a mathematical calculator based on price history, volume, or (in the case of a futures contract) options contract information related to the timing of the contracts, which aims to predict financial market trends. Technical indicators are the central part of technical analysis and are usually designed as a chart pattern to predict market trends. Indicators are generally placed on price chart data to show where the price is headed or whether the price is in an oversold or overbought state.
Many technical indicators have been developed, and new types have been invented by traders to obtain better results. New indicators are often simulated on historical price and volume data to see how effective they have been in predicting future events.
Here are a few examples of those indicators:
The Relative Strength Index (RSI):
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a strategy that helps identify currency price movements and buy and sell signals. RSI determines the positive and negative trend of the stock price by observing the average profit and loss in a certain period. The RSI is a percentage ranging from zero to 100 on a scale.
Here is a complete educational idea of how RSI works:
Fibonacci Retracement:
Fibonacci Retracement is a method of using the Fibonacci tool in the chart of a financial asset, which is used to determine the amount of price correction and find possible return points (support and resistance) of that asset, starting from the endpoint to the particular initial.
Here is a complete educational idea of how Fibonacci Retracement works:
There are many more indicators we can use to get a better understanding of the market. For example, The Elliot Waves, Ichimuko Clouds, MACD, and The Bollinger Bands:
I hope this flowchart gives you a better perspective on how to trade safer.
Have you ever used this flowchart accurately? What do you think the pros and cons are?
Do you think I missed something?
Let us know your ideas.
Good luck.
Regarding the SR_R_C (Stoch RSI + RSI + CCI) indicator...Hello?
Welcome, traders.
By "following", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Like".
Have a good day.
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We use several methods to analyze charts.
When you start studying charts, you study a lot of things.
However, you should forget everything you have studied, trends, patterns, and indicators when conducting real trading.
Otherwise, it is because you are stuck in the studied frame and try to fit the chart into the studied frame without interpreting the chart movement as it is.
I think that this behavior makes you analyze charts with subjective thoughts, which increases the chances of creating a wrong trading strategy.
To prevent this, we will explain a new indicator.
The SR_R_C indicator is a combined indicator of the Stoch RSI, RSI, and CCI indicators.
- The set values of the Stoch RSI indicator are 14, 7, 3, 3.
It is displayed as one line by treating it as the middle value of the K and D lines.
- The setting value of the RSI indicator is 14.
Instead of the existing Close value, we tried to maintain the continuity between the oversold section and the overbought section by calculating the Heikin Ashi Close value.
RSI indicators are displayed in columns.
- The set value of the CCI indicator is 9.
When the CCI value rises above the +100 point, it is marked as overbought, and when it falls below the -100 point, it is marked as oversold.
CCI indicators are displayed in bgcolor.
There are a lot of information on how to interpret each indicator if you search.
However, you can read the searched content and forget it.
The detailed interpretation method can add subjective interpretation to the objective information that can be obtained through the index, so you can forget about the method of interpretation of the index itself.
The core interpretation method of the SR_R_C indicator can be interpreted that if two or more of the three indicators are defective, a reversal of the trend is highly likely.
For example, if two or more of the Stoch RSI, RSI, and CCI indicators are in the oversold zone, it can be interpreted that there is a high possibility of turning into an uptrend.
Conversely, if it enters the overbought zone, it can be interpreted that it is highly likely to turn into a downtrend.
Trend patterns such as Fibonacci, Harmonic, and Elliott waves will show the result of the discussion depending on the selected point.
Therefore, in order to use these patterns, indicators, and tools, the selection of a selection point is the most important.
However, I think that auxiliary indicators, such as MACD, RSI, Stoch RSI, CCI, etc., can help to obtain objective information because there is no point of choice.
In conclusion, the reason for analyzing the chart is to make a trading strategy based on the analyzed content to make a successful trade, so it is important to analyze the chart in the most objective and essential way.
Even with any of these indicators, patterns, and tools, critically choosing the wrong support and resistance points will lead to trouble crafting a trading strategy.
Therefore, solid learning of support and resistance points is required before studying or utilizing all indicators, patterns, and tools.
Thank you for reading this long article to the end.
For reference, all indicators included in this chart can be used normally if the chart is shared.
Also, you can copy and paste the indicators to other layouts to use them neatly.
Think like a PRO and trade at ANY markets🔥Hi friends! Do you want to know what zones I marked on the chart? Put 🚀 and read to the end.
In this educational idea I will explain a few traders secrets that will help you stay profitable in any market for the long term. Take Bitcoin as an example and you'll be surprised how often the same mistake is repeated by beginners and understand how professional traders take advantage of it.
📊 But first, let's find out why the psychology of the crowd drives the market
Fortunately for professional traders, human psychology has not changed in centuries. Bubbles in financial markets now appear just as they did before the Great Depression🔻in the early 20th century, when stocks rose by hundreds of percent in a month, and just as they did during the Tulip Fever🌷in the 17th century, when the price of tulips really soared to the moon due to the huge demand for the flower.
🚩 This shows the similarity in the thoughts of people in the 17th, 20th, 21st centuries. It is these faults in human psychology that allow the patterns in trading to work and professional traders to be profitable over the long term. Just don't tell anyone about it!)
📊 Why do people tend to panic during a fall and get greedy during a rise? The fact is that our brain tends to paint wishful thinking in our imagination. When a cryptocurrency is rising, the imagination thinks that the price will rise forever, and you get excited just thinking about the possible earning. And the happiness hormones just keep surging.
The opposite is the situation with the fall. When markets fall, our brain tries to protect us from more losses and forces us to sell cryptocurrency.
📊 What help the big players to control the psychology of the crowd? Of course, it's the media. Remember when news of the US recession was at its peak and it seemed like a crisis was imminent. Just at the bottom of the market, when Bitcoin fell to $17k and the SnP500 to $361.
I may surprise you, but in 2018, 2020 people had identical thoughts and all thought Bitcoin would fall to $1000. The crypto market can fall lower to 10-12k of course, but just interesting to know did any of my subscribers buy cryptocurrency back then or at 17-19k❓Write in the comments./b]
📊 What are the areas on the chart? I marked 2 areas:
🔥The 1st area (white) is the areawhere the majority of traders, especially newbies, want to buy cryptocurrency. I call this " Bitcoin will rise to 1 million" zone.
🔥The 2nd area (green) is the area where most traders sell the cryptocurrency they bought at a higher price. Most importantly, it is where most traders believe that the fall will continue even lower and do not buy, expecting a fall. I call this "Bitcoin will fall to zero" zone.
✅How can you use the psychology of the crowd to your advantage? I can tell you from my own example that a clear strategy and working with indicators helps me. For example DOM and Footprint, where I can see huge whale orders and open a trade in the same direction as a big player. A large order is a clear signal✅, not a psychological speculation because of the news.
A few days ago I showed in one of my ideas how Bitcoin rebounded from a large whale order. Bitcoin then grow by 4-5% in just a few hours.
I also use trading systems such as Greenwich or Pump Tracker to identify Bitcoin and altcoins bottoms and ATH. You can see ideas about them on TradingView and their live results✅ It may surprise you!
🏁Summary. This knowledges are usefull for any market: crypto, stocks, ForEx, bonds etc. Human psychology and thinking are the same, but each market has its own specifics. Perhaps I will talk about this in the next educational ideas.
Friends, was the idea useful to you? Have you noticed such psychological zones? Do you agree with this idea or do you think Bitcoin will fall below $17k? Write in the comments.
💻Friends, press the "like"👍 button, write comments and share with your friends - it will be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. Personally, I open an entry if the price shows it according to my strategy.
Always do your analysis before making a trade.
Build a Trading System in 6 Steps✅ Step 1: Time Frame
The first thing you need to decide when creating your system is what kind of trader you are.
Are you a day trader or a swing trader?
Do you like looking at charts every day, every week, every month, or even every year? How long do you want to hold on to your positions?
This will help determine which time frame you will use to trade. Even though you will still look at multiple time frames, this will be the main time frame you will use when looking for a trade signal.
✅ Step 2: Find indicators that help identify a new trend.
Since one of our goals is to identify trends as early as possible, we should use indicators that can accomplish this.
Moving averages are one of the most popular indicators that traders use to help them identify a trend.
Specifically, they will use two moving averages (one slow and one fast) and wait until the fast one crosses over or under the slow one.
This is the basis for what’s known as a “moving average crossover” system.
In its simplest form, moving average crossovers are the fastest ways to identify new trends. It is also the easiest way to spot a new trend.
Of course, there are many other ways traders spot trends, but moving averages are one of the easiest to use.
✅ Step 3: Find indicators that help CONFIRM the trend.
Our second goal for our system is to have the ability to avoid whipsaws, meaning that we don’t want to be caught in a “false” trend.
The way we do this is by making sure that when we see a signal for a new trend, we can confirm it by using other indicators.
There are many good technical indicators for confirming trends like MACD, Stochastic, and RSI.
As you become more familiar with various indicators, you will find ones that you prefer over others and can incorporate those into your system.
✅ Step 4: Define Your Risk
When developing your trading system, it is very important that you define how much you are willing to lose on each trade.
Not many people like to talk about losing, but in actuality, a good trader thinks about what she or he could potentially lose BEFORE thinking about how much she or he can win.
The amount you are willing to lose will be different than everyone else.
You have to decide how much room is enough to give your trade some breathing space, but at the same time, not risk too much on one trade.
Money management plays a big role in how much you should risk in a single trade.
✅ Step 5: Define Entries & Exits
Once you define how much you are willing to lose on a trade, your next step is to find out where you will enter and exit a trade in order to get the most profit.
☀️ Entries
Some people like to enter as soon as all of their indicators match up and give a good signal, even if the candle hasn’t closed. Others like to wait until the close of the candle.
For example, in the chart below, entry was when the candle closed above the resistance line.
☀️ Exits
For exits, you have a few different options.
One way is to trail your stop, meaning that if the price moves in your favor by ‘X’ amount, you move your stop by ‘X’ amount.
Another way to exit is to have a set target, and exit when the price hits that target. How you calculate your target is up to you. For example, some traders choose support and resistance levels as their targets.
In the chart above, the exit is set at a specific price that is below the resistance zone.
However you decide to calculate your target, just make sure you stick with it. Never exit early no matter what happens.
Stick to your trading system!
After all, YOU developed it!
One more way you can exit is to have a set of criteria that, when met, would signal you to exit.
For example, you could make it a rule that if your indicators happen to reverse to a certain level, you would then exit out of the trade.
✅ Step 6: Write down your system rules and FOLLOW IT!
This is the most important step in creating your trading system. You MUST write your trading system rules down and ALWAYS follow them.
Discipline is one of the most important characteristics a trader must have, so you must always remember to stick to your system!
No system will ever work for you if you don’t stick to the rules, so remember to be disciplined.
Oh yeah, did I mention you should ALWAYS stick to your rules?
✅ How to Test Your Trading System
The fastest way to test your system is to find a charting software package where you can go back in time and move the chart forward one candle at a time.
When you move your chart forward one candle at a time, you can follow your trading system rules and take your trades accordingly.
Record your trading record, and BE HONEST with yourself!
Record your wins, losses, average win, and average loss. If you are happy with your results then you can go on to the next stage of testing: trading live on a demo account.
Trade your new system live on a demo account for at least two months.
This will give you a feel for how you can trade your system when the market is moving. Trust us, it is very different trading live than when you’re backtesting.
After two months of trading live on a demo account, you will see if your system can truly stand its ground in the market.
If you are still getting good results, then you can choose to trade your system live on a REAL account.
At this point, you should feel very confident with your trading system and feel comfortable taking trades with no hesitation.
If you like this content help me grow ❤️🌱
GOOD LUCK ❤️🌹
Long Scalping a Bear MarketProbably one of the most difficult things you can do in a Bear Market is BUY. Especially when we are seeing aggressive selling like this. This is the type of market where every time you try and long, you lose money.
There's little point buying a falling knife UNLESS you are really good at it, because this current market is breaking every single type of support because of sentiment.
HOWEVER, using my strategy with the Price/Trend Indicator and Volume Indicator, you are able to see when momentum/ volume has shifted INSIDE of the Bear Flag . From this you can see that they are probably going to break out upwards to hit Stop Losses before continuing the fall.
If you take a look at the Orange Boxes, you can see a BUY signal, but Volume hasn't upthrusted enough - it hasn't strongly gone above the Blue and Grey trendlines, so it is invalid.
If you take a look at the White Boxes, you can see a BUY signal, with Volume upthrusting above the Blue and Grey trendlines. This is a valid LONG.
(Ignore the purple line, I'm just testing something at the moment)
There is an indicator called "Deviation Bands" - these are Standard Deviations from the baseline of current price. If you choose the option of "EMA", this will allow you to set Take Profit targets - like here, TP 1 and TP2. I will reupload it on my Scripts soon.
Stop Loss is usually quite tight in these scenarios - sometimes actually not as tight as this (sometimes you can get wicks) but other times below the last low.
Average True Range... and BollingersATR is a great indicator designed to show you the previous ranges of the previous candles depending on the value chosen, in this example I have done 6 periods, so you can see in this chart I have highlighted when we have peaks and troughs and one thing to do is compare the times of day this activity happens, you can see at certain times the atr climbs, it stalls at others or can fall, so ATR is showing us previous candles range, so if you are in a trade you want the range to be growing usually so that your trade can head to TP, but the important thing to takeaway is the fact that price is moving alot, this is because it is experiencing higher level of trading activity price is trending, where as a falling ATR reading means typically things are slowing down or accumulating, remember this doensnt give direction though as price can still move up or down despite a falling range per candle. However what it can do is tell you good times to look for trades, you can filter down by time the best time to take trades based on your strategy winning or losing in the peaks of troughs. ATR can also be used to determine stop losses of TP, by taking the the reading and using a 2xreading stop loss or TP, the more volatile the market the bigger your stop losses and tp will be, but more volatility generally correlates well with that idea, not only does it offer greater protection it also prevents missing out on good moves. So 2nd part is Bollinger bands we can see how it works, it basically again is telling you the range of things, so Id like you to compare the reading on ATR to the Bollingers, and you can see when ATR falls and the Bollingers are squeezing tight we have very little to trade, energy is low and range is small, In crypto I have heard this term called the crab which I have to say... I do find quite amusing. When ATR is rising the Bollingers expand creating a wide cloud, so on the last box, where price falls despite ATR falling... what is the difference this time? That is right, Bollingers are not squeezed together, which tells us the ATR reading is acting like it is small and stuck in a squeezing formation but in fact we are just in an expansion of the Bollinger moving slowly. What do I want you to take away from this? Just a deeper thought about which market conditions are best for your strategy and how to avoid times which will not really offer a good trade yet ect, and have a look for patterns in how you trade around these volatility indicators! Happy trading... More to come
What is a moving average and do they work?Moving average is an average of price closes over a certain amount of time, so at a base level they rise when price rises and fall when price falls, so why are they important? Because they give you a sense of the average direction of price over a certain amount of time, if you take the chart at face value you are not even witnessing one price close at that specific moment in time! unless you are then well done you lol, so the moving average is giving us data of maybe 89 or 50 or 200 ect, this overall analysis of the trend can defiantly aid your decision making, for example if you use two moving averages like the ma8 and ma89, what we can look at is the moving average MA8 reverting back to test the baseline which is the MA89 in this example, so price is now attempting to some extent to change trend, if it breaks lower than the baseline the line will start falling! MA89 will start declining as negative closes come in and alter the formula, that is why these areas can offer great buying opportunities or selling depending which side of the baseline you are, Price will test the baseline and bounce in strong trends before price will eventually break the baseline down the line. I will follow this post up with a post on moving averages being used on indicators now we have the first bit out the way.
Pivots continued...So we continue on from the previous pivot post, I have now worked out all the levels and shown you the formula to do this for yourself. These levels like I said in previous post are great for when you are trading intraday, they can work as trade points or used to put stop losses the other side off. S3 and R3 are notoriously tough to break, you can watch price usually turn around at these levels and return back to the pivot and lower support or resistance levels. Pivots enable good risk reward when trading and offer good chances of safer trades... For example a sell just under the pivot you could use a stop loss just above the pivot and aim for S1, this has a good probability aswell as offering a nice reward for our risk. Happy trading :) more breakdowns and strategies coming soon. ZenFlo is out.
How to Calculate a Pivot point.In this quick tutorial I have shown how you can take the formula (high+low+close)/3 to create a dynamic support and resistance level, which you can use to make trading decisions, only buy above pivot and sell below. Now it is handy to have an indicator to do this manually for you everyday, as every day a new pivot is generated. This pivot will filter down possible bad entries by putting you the right side of the trend, wait for breaks of this level to tell you potential trend changes... If anyone is interested I could do a tutorial on how to create the Support 1, 2, 3 and Resistance 1,2,3 levels... at the end of the day nothing wrong with learning the mechanics of your trading system! Pivots can work extremely well on an intraday timeframe, 1m,5m,15m charts will often see trades appear around these levels.. Keep strong and prosper. ZenFlo
1,2,and 3…Let it be TP/SLI want to speak about simply how to thrive in a future market. One must apply a strategy premeditated and followed through till revising once more. See the market is a dragon of chaos and as such we mortals need tools to manage it without being all banged up…Many excellent indicators exist but it’s most essential to find one that you understand and that is generally being stress tested by others as well. YouTube is a great resource and test out a few it’s actually quite fun and mostly they all win is applied correctly!
Bollinger bands We you you!
#MonaLisaSmile
How to Profit using the 4 hour and 1 hour CombinedCombining the 4 Hour and the 1 Hour chart to catch more profitable trades.
Usually, the 1 hour chart will give you a better entry and can mean the difference between catching a very profitable trade vs. missing the trade waiting for the 4 hour trendline.
Often in strong downward moves, especially on the 4 hour, price may not retrace back to the trendline until a few days.
It may be frustrating to see a trade you knew was going to drop on the 4 hour, to be left alone.
In these cases, you can switch down to the 1 hour timeframe, to catch the move quicker and get a better entry. Not just that, but you can take profits on the way down and re-short at the Blue trendline on the 1 hour.
It's important if you are doing this, to make sure you draw in resistance trendlines (see the white line), to see if you can detect a breakout. This may lead to a "BUY" signal on the 1 hour chart.
HOWEVER, we do not always take trades purely based on "BUY" or "SELL" signals - we must analyse market structure on multiple different timeframes to get a better picture of what the market is doing.
So here, on the 1 hour chart, we saw price reject the thick green line at $85 and an upward push with rising bull volume towards the blue trendline again.
OK, the volume isn't massive - but it's rising after rejecting support.
At this point, closing your short would be wise.
If for whatever reason you hadn't noticed this, you would close your short on the breakout on the 1 hour chart. This could happen if you are not looking at the chart for a couple of days, so if you are watching the chart regularly, you can avoid these potential losses.
So now that we have a breakout on the 1 hour chart, we first have to look at the 4 hour chart to see what is happening.
Now check the 4 Yellow circles on the chart. Look where price is - at the 4 hour Blue trendline. This is finally our opportunity to get an amazing low risk, high reward SHORT entry.
Check out the Yellow circle on the Volume indicator at the bottom of the 4 hour - Since the volume is UNDERNEATH the Blue trendline, and so is price. This confirms again how low risk high reward this SHORT entry is.
Even though the 1 hour Chart says BUY, this is only mid term, and we must remember that higher time frames play a big part in what happens.
So after we had shorted the 4 hour blue trendline, we could tell a potential BART pattern happening, with distribution at higher levels than previously.
After this, within 4-5 days, SOL had crashed from $95-$60 (around 30%). Not bad eh?
And how exactly do we predict where the bottom of this move is?
Well the best way, is to use the Fibonacci Expansion tool.
We first clicked at the top of the candle where we first got our "SELL" signal. As price retreated down, we saw a big clear wick signalling a local bottom around $81.87. From here, price eventually rose up to $95.20 where we shorted.
Now that we have 3 different levels, we can plot our Fibonnaci Expansion Tool to set our targets:
1) 0.786 ($78.25)
2) 1 ($73.64)
3) 1.272 ($67.77)
4) 1.414 ($64.71)
and finally, the likely end of the move full stop...
the great 1.618, in this case, $60.31 ON THE NOSE :)
How to study indicators?Hello everyone
Today I want to talk about indicators.
Every trader has used indicators at least once in his trading, but not everyone knows how they work and why they should be used at all.
The best way to understand something is to look for answers to questions yourself.
Below I will give you some questions that you will have to answer in order to understand the operation of the indicator.
Problem
Most beginners start their way of studying indicators with books or articles on the Internet, where it is told: buy here when this line crosses this one, when the indicator enters this zone, and so on.
With such a study, the trader does not understand how the indicator actually works, which indicators are similar to each other and why the indicator gives these signals.
By answering these and other questions, the trader will be able to understand for himself whether he needs this indicator.
Our task is as follows:
1) find out how the indicator is calculated;
2) understand how this indicator reacts to changes in parameters;
3) to understand what all this means in the context of market data.
Find answers to the questions
If you really want to get into the essence of the work of this or that indicator, do the following:
1. To begin with, you can start by studying the history of this indicator. It is best to look for the original source to understand what the creator of the indicator put into this tool. Any information will be useful for understanding the tasks that were set before the indicator at the time.
2. How can the indicator help us or why is it more useful for us to use the indicator than just looking at the chart?
3. Which indicators are similar to this one? Of course, it will not be possible to study all the indicators, but it is not necessary. It is enough to observe and understand where the indicators give the same signals. Thus, we will remove unnecessary repetition of signals on the chart.
4. What exactly is taken into account when the indicator is working? For this work, you need to be able to calculate or program at least in general terms. You can use third-party special programs. The main goal is to understand the details of the indicator calculation.
5. Change the data tracked by the indicator to see how it reacts to controlled price changes. Examples are: a market in flat, where a trend begins to emerge, and then a second return to flat occurs; a game on trend strength; a flat with one subsequent large price jump; "ladder" markets; stable long-term trends and their reversals; fluctuations (for example, sinusoidal) with different periods.
6. Take the knowledge you have gained and look at the indicator on the price charts. Notice how it reacts to price spikes. Analyze this stage of information collection. Your goal is to see how this indicator works on a large amount of data, and not to dig deep.
7. Now find out how you can test what you see in paragraph 6. Is it possible to test this indicator manually, or will a software algorithm be required to test it.
8. Having received all the data and understood the work of the indicator, you should understand whether this indicator is needed in your strategy?
It will be difficult to answer all the questions, but the benefits will be tangible. You may spend several days or weeks searching for answers, on the other hand, you will learn something that most traders do not know. You will be able to really understand the signals of the indicators and be able to use the right indicator at the right time – which most do not know at all.
If you do not learn how to understand and use trading tools correctly, you simply will not be able to trade in a plus.
Good luck!
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
1-year special: Indexes and oscillatorsDear readers and TradingView, today, it has been one year since our first publication. Therefore, we would like to express our gratitude for your immense support. Additionally, we prepared an education topic on indexes and oscillators for you.
Indexes
Indexes are cumulative sums of data, like price, volume, etc., continuously measured over time. Indexes are not limited to the boundaries like oscillators are, showing absolute changes. The relationship between price trend and index trend is more relevant than the value of the index itself. Indexes' forecasting strength lies in spotting the divergence between price and index trends. Therefore, the use of indexes is suitable for analyzing trending markets.
Oscillators
Oscillators are limited to specific past periods, and unlike indexes, they tend to oscillate within certain boundaries. Although, oscillators without boundaries also exist. The opposing limits usually represent contrary conditions in the market. Therefore, an oscillator's value is relevant for technical analysis as it has interpretative meaning. As oscillators oscillate, they tend to reach upper and lower bound extremes, called overbought and oversold zones. These extremes are implied by the value of 70 for overbought and 30 for oversold conditions. Although, oscillators do not always have to reach extremes near their boundaries. The study of trendlines, channels and patterns is applicable to oscillators. In addition, oscillators can be used to spot the divergence between price trend and oscillator trend. Furthermore, oscillators can be used in both trending and non-trending markets. However, oscillators also tend to perform well in the trading range as they can indicate potential reversals.
Illustration 1.01
The picture above shows the daily chart of PepsiCo stock. Additionally, the chart shows the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which is probably one of the most famous momentum oscillators. The general area between 30 and 70 has a purple background. Absolute extremes below 30 and beyond 70 have a white background.
Overbought
Overbought is the market condition when it, or a security, is being expensive to its relative past time. On a graph, it is illustrated as an upper zone.
Oversold
Oversold is the condition of a market or particular security when it is being cheap to its relative past period. In other words, it is the opposite of the overbought condition. On a chart, it is depicted as the lower zone.
Overbought and oversold level readjustments
Overbought and oversold levels should be readjusted according to the strength of a prevalent trend. In an unusually strong uptrend, the overbought zone can be readjusted from 70 to 80 as the oscillator tends to peak at a higher value in such instances. Similarly, the oversold zone can be readjusted from 30 to 40 because an oscillator tends to bottom at a lower value in a strong uptrend. In a powerful downtrend, the overbought level can be readjusted from 70 to 60 as the oscillator tends to reverse sooner. Again similarly, the oversold level can be readjusted from 30 to 20 because an oscillator tends to bottom out at a lower value.
Illustration 1.02
Illustration 1.02 depicts the daily chart of American Airlines stock and 21-day Kaufman's Adaptive Moving Average.
Leading and lagging indicators
The latest era of advanced computerized technology allowed easy usage of indexes and oscillators. These tools are also often called indicators. Technical analysis differentiates between leading and lagging indicators. Leading indicators are observable variables that predict a change in another variable, like price, volatility, etc., with which they are correlated. Leading indicators are used for forecasting purposes. In contrast to leading indicators, lagging indicators exhibit change only after the change in another correlated variable has already occurred. In other words, they trail change in another variable with some latency. Therefore, lagging indicators are good to confirm the prevailing trend.
Divergence
When a trend is prevalent, and two indexes (or an index and price) are going simultaneously either up or down, they exhibit a positive correlation. However, when this correlation breaks and one index (or the price) keeps going up while another index reverses down, the divergence is said to occur. Technical analysts should pay attention to this instance as it can sometimes foreshadow an upcoming trend reversal. However, there are many instances when divergence occurs, and the reversal in price trend fails to materialize. For this reason, some analysts like to implement the concept of double divergence.
Illustration 1.03
The illustration above depicts the daily chart of Coca-Cola stock in a weekly time frame. The divergence between the direction of price movement and the RSI movement is observable.
Relationship between the price and the indicator
Technical tools are often used to predict the next move in price. However, there are instances when this relationship reverses and price starts to precede the movement of a particular indicator. This phenomenon is called reversal (not to be interchanged with the reversal in trend).
Crossover
Crossover occurs when the oscillator crosses over a significant level or crosses another oscillator. Important values are often represented by numbers such as 0, 30, 50, and 70. Other significant values can be either in the middle of the scale or near the boundaries of an oscillator. A trend is typically bullish when the oscillator moves above 0. When the oscillator moves below 0, it is generally considered to be bearish. Mechanical traders favor crossovers because they are easily observed, and their implementation helps avoid emotions that could potentially interfere with the trader's decision-making.
Illustration 1.04
The picture above shows the daily chart of Glencore stock and MACD. Bullish crossovers occurred when MACD passed through the midpoint indicated by the number 0. This was followed by the beginning of the rally.
Utility of indexes and oscillators
Technical tools such as indexes and oscillators can be used to analyze a large spectrum of assets. They apply to stocks, commodities, ETFs, futures, currencies, and even cryptocurrencies.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Combining Price, Volume and VolatilityHow to avoid BAD trades, and using the TT Price/Trend Indicator, paired with the TT Volume Indicator to make a decision on whether to take the trade or avoid.
As per the description on my indicators, you must only:
- LONG/BUY if the slow moving line on the Volume Oscillator is ABOVE the Blue trendline.
- SELL/SHORT if the slow moving line on the Volume Oscillator is ABOVE the Blue trendline.
Even better if there is a retest.
There is more information on the description of each indicator's script (please see below "Link to Related Ideas").
Quite often, Volume can pre-determine what will happen with price, so using this indicator will help increase your win rate significantly. But it's important to stick to this strategy and not FOMO in because of emotions.
I am also currently testing a new indicator, the "Volatility Direction Bands". This is in the works and will be released soon. Essentially, it's similar to Bollinger bands but adds stoch-based moving averages and a mac-d based Histogram to use as a 3rd dimension for your trades. This measures Volatility, and displays a Histogram of Volatility, which works well alongside Price + Volume. The idea is to only BUY when the moving averages are in the Red volatility bands and SELL when the moving averages are in the Green volatility bands.
About the YELLOW CIRCLE on the chart:
You can see that when this happened, the slow moving average on the Volume Oscillator dropped underneath the Blue trendline, retested upwards and dropped more.
This all happened BEFORE price dropped - price was currently above the Blue trendline in the BUY zone.
We saw this and did not set an order at the Blue trendline. Price then dropped underneath the Blue trendline on price and we waited for the next "SELL" signal to SHORT at the Blue trendline.
Big snapper scalping indicatorThe big snapper indicator gives buy and sell recommendations based on the current trend in the market measured by 3 different moving average (fast, medium, slow). I therefore encourage you to try it out if you are still struggling to build a strategy. Entry and exist rule is explained in the video.
NB. This video is made for educational purposes only and not an investment advice
I was today years old..Did you know when you have one or many indicators on your charts and whilst trying to zoom in or out the chart using the mouse the indicators take up half or even more of screen realestate especially in case of pivot lines indicator??
Well there is a solution to all this madness so that you can zoom in and out of price chart only and IGNORE all indicators on your screen's realestate.
Here's how to do it:
0. Keep all your indicators ON on the chart
1. Right-click on the price scale
2. Select "Scale Price Chart only"
3. You'll thank me later ;)
Cheer's 🍻
What is a moving average? How to use it?
The Moving Average (MA) is a simple technical analysis tool that smooths price data, creating a constantly updated average price. The average value is taken for a certain period, for example, 10 days, 20 minutes, 30 weeks, or any time chosen by the trader. There are advantages to using a moving average in your trading, as well as options for which type of moving average to use. Moving average strategies are also popular and can be adapted to any time interval, which is suitable for both long-term investors and short-term traders.
The Moving Average (MA) is a widely used technical indicator that smooths out price movements by filtering out "noise" from random short-term price fluctuations.
Moving averages can be constructed in several ways and use a different number of days for the averaging interval.
The most common applications of moving averages are determining the trend direction and determining support and resistance levels.
When asset prices cross their moving averages, this can generate a trading signal for technical traders.
Although moving averages are quite useful on their own, they also form the basis for other technical indicators, such as the moving average convergence divergence ( MACD ).
Why use a moving average
The moving average helps to reduce the amount of "noise" on the price chart. Look at the direction of the moving average to get a general idea of which way the price is moving. If it is tilted up, the price as a whole is moving up (or has been recent); tilted down, and the price as a whole is moving down; moves sideways, and the price is most likely in a range.
The moving average can also act as support or resistance . In an uptrend, a 50-day, 100-day, or 200-day moving average can act as a support level , as shown in the figure. This is because the average acts as a support, so the price bounces off it. In a downtrend, the moving average can act as resistance; like a ceiling, the price reaches a level and then begins to fall again.
✅ Let me know how do YOU use the MA, and what is your favorite indicator?✅
Cómo funciona EP TREND HEATMAPHola a todos, en esta ocasión explico el funcionamiento de un nuevo indicador, EP Trend Heatmap (mapa de color de tendencia).
Es un indicador que muestra de forma simultánea la tendencia en varios timeframes, de forma que nos da una visión de conjunto de la situación del activo, ayudándonos a tomar decisiones con más seguridad.
Se relaciona estrechamente con otro indicador, EP PRISM, que se basa en las mismas medias.
EP Trend Heatmap muestra algunos patrones muy interesantes que nos ayudan a encontrar zonas de entrada en compra bastante seguras. Muy interesante el patrón "cielo despejado" que comentamos en el vídeo.
Este indicador puede tomarse también como filtro adicional para las llamadas a compra del indicador EP PRISM. A pesar de que estas señales son por si mismas muy eficaces, nunca bien mal una "segunda opinión" que nos permita tomar decisiones con más seguridad.
Espero que os guste!
Cómo funciona EP PRISM v.2.1Hola a todos, en este video explico las novedades en el indicador EP Prism, en su nueva versión.
Se han añadido señales de compra y venta, que se muestran muy efectivas en TODOS los timeframes. Se han añadido a la configuración del indicador controles para modificar de forma individual los parámetros para cada timeframe, lo que aumenta su efectividad, incluso en gráficos de minutos o segundos.
¡Espero que os guste!
Education excerpt: Relative Strength IndexGeneral information
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum oscillator that was introduced by J. Welles Wilder in an article published in Commodities magazine in June 1978. The Relative Strength Index measures the velocity of directional price movement and is commonly used in conjunction with a daily bar chart. However, it can be utilized on a bar chart with any particular time frame. The concept of this oscillator is based upon an idea of an asset being oversold or overbought. Generally, tops and bottoms are indicated when the RSI goes above 70 or drops below 30. Although, failure swings above 70 or below 30 can imply possible market reversal. Similarly, divergence between the RSI and price action on the chart can signal a market turning point. Chart formations and support and resistance often show up graphically on the RSI despite the fact that they may not be apparent on the bar chart. The slope of the momentum oscillator is directly proportional to the velocity of the move. Thus, the distance traveled up or down by the RSI is proportional to the magnitude of the move. The horizontal axis represents time and the vertical axis represents distance traveled by the indicator. The RSI moves slowly when the market continues its directional movement. However, once price is at the market turning point, RSI tends to move faster.
Here is depiction of the weekly chart of USOIL:
It is clearly observable that peak in RSI often coincides with peak in the price. Similarly, trough in RSI is often accompanied by trough in the price.
Calculation
The Relative Strength Index is commonly calculated using the close price of a 14 day period. The equation for its calculation involves several components.
These are:
• Average up closes
• Average down closes
• Relative strength
Relative Strength (RS) = (average of 14 day's closes up/average of 14 day's closes down)
Relative Strength Index (RSI) = 100 –
Calculation begins with obtaining the sum of the up closes for the previous 14 days. This sum is then divided by the number of days used in calculating the generating figure for average up closes. Similarly, the sum of the down closes for the previous 14 days is divided by the number of days used in calculating the generating figure for average down closes. After these two operations are conducted, the average up days are divided by the average down days resulting in the value of the Relative Strength (RS). The number 1 is then added to the value of RS. Next, 100 is divided by the new amount of RS. The resulting figure is subsequently subtracted by 100 generating the value of the Relative Strength Index (RSI). From this step on, the previous value of average up closes and average down closes can be used to generate the next value of the RSI. In order to calculate the next average up close, the previous value of average up closes is multiplied by 13 and the present day average up close is added to this figure. This value is then divided by 14 generating the value for the new average up closes. In similar fashion, the new average down close is calculated by multiplying the previous average down closes by 13. Today's down close is then added to the figure. The resulting figure is again divided by 14 to generate the new average down close. After that, the same steps indicated to calculate the initial RSI need to be followed.
Here is depiction of the monthly chart of copper futures market:
Similarly like in the previous example positive correlation between peaks and troughs in RSI and price is observable.
Divergence
When trend is prevalent and two indexes (or index and price) are going simultaneously either up or down they exhibit positive correlation. However, when this correlation breaks and one index (or price) keeps going up while another index reverses down divergence is said to occur. Technical analyst should pay attention to this instance as it sometimes has abillity to foreshadow upcoming reversal in trend. Though, there are many instances when divergence occurs and reversal in price trend fails to materialize. For this reason some analysts like to implement concept of double divergence.
Here is example of the divergence that we mentioned in our idea on 30th June 2021:
Double divergence
There are many instances when price continues its rise and analyst can observe oscillator or idex to fall only to see it later climb back up in tandem with price. (same applies to the opposite situation when price falls and index or oscillator starts to rise) The divergence occured but price trend remained intact. Because the divergence can be misleading, some analysts preffer to wait for the second divergence before placing their entries or exits.
Disclaimer: This content serves only educational purpose.