Ethereum has shot up to $1653, the first of a series of levels which extend into the $1700's. This rally appears largely retail driven, with news about 'the merge' permeating social media and lifting hope. The Kovach OBV has edged upward, confirming the steady but meager momentum. If we reject current levels, then $1547 or $1424 should provide support. If...
Litecoin made a run for our target at $61.75. We wicked a bit higher than this level, but a red triangle on the KRI indicated swift resistance and we plummeted immediately afterwards, back to the high $50's. We appear to be teetering in the $59-$60 area, forming value. If this value area does not hold, we could easily test $55.84, and if that does not hold, we...
Bitcoin is hugging lows at our new level at $19.5K. A strong dollar and recession fears seem to be weighing on cryptos. The Kovach OBV is bearish, but appears to be picking up slightly, which could suggest a bear divergence. We could easily make a run for $20.7K if caught a burst of momentum. However, technically BTC does look pretty weak and if $19.5K does...
The US dollar has shot higher, blasting through our target of 109.86, and hitting our next target of 110.20 exactly before retracing slightly. We frankly thought it would take longer to hit this level, but the DXY clearly has a lot of momentum. The Euro is now below parity and bond yields are soaring, which has contributed to a strong dollar. A technical...
Stocks opened the APAC session weak (as expected). The markets appear to still be pricing in the recession and the results of the FOMC September 21. We aren't likely to get much of a break in stocks until after this rate hike, which some conjecture might be the last . The S&P 500 saw support from 3909, which was an auspicious level corresponding to a July low....
Litecoin shot up after smashing through our resistance level at $55.84. We had been oscillating between this level and the low $50's for since the end of August, and just recently were able to break the upper bound definitively. We are just below $60 at the time of this writing and if momentum continues, the next target is $61.75. We should run into some...
Ethereum is seeing a small breakout after meandering in the low $1600's. We are heading up to $1653, the beginning of a series of levels that will provide resistance into the $1700's. If we can break through all that, then $1821 is the next target. If we reject current levels, then $1547 should provide support then $1424.
Bitcoin is still wavering in the neighborhood of $20K. We dipped several times into the $19K's with $19.5K a consistent lower bound, thus we have added it as a new level. If support breaks here, then $18.6K is the next level down. If we are able to build some momentum, $20.7K should provide resistance, then $22.4K is the next target after that. The Kovach OBV...
The US dollar has broken through highs and hit our exact target at 109.86, before retracing slightly. The headline Nonfarm payrolls today was a miss, suggesting weakness in the economy which might effect the rate hike probabilities slightly, but we are still expected to see a 50-75 bps rate hike this month. That being said, the hawkishness of the Fed is likely...
Oil saw support at $85.55, confirmed by many green triangles on the KRI. As anticipated, we saw a nice pivot there, bouncing back just below $90. We are currently testing $88.74, but a red triangle on the KRI is confirming resistance. Recession fears, bolstered by the non farm payrolls headline miss, will likely weigh on the price, however supply side shortages...
The S&P 500 caught a small rally yesterday, but it could be short-lived. After such a strong selloff, we were due for a relief rally at some point. It appears the markets are still pricing in what the Fed will do this month at their FOMC meeting, but a 50-75 bps is the most likely. We tested the exact level we predicted at 3909. Subsequently, we bounced back...
Gold has pivoted off 1705, the last level in the 1700's. It made a run for higher levels in the 1700's but fell short before 1729, the 0.236 Fibonacci level. The Kovach OBV is still pretty bearish, and it appears that momentum has petered out for now, so this is likely just a relief rally. If so, watch for further support at 1705, then the next levels are 1692,...
Bonds fell again, hitting our next target at 115'29. Yields are creeping up as the markets are pricing in the next rate hike, expected to be 50-75 bps . Nonfarm payrolls gave us some insight into economic conditions: unemployment rose to 3.7%, with a headline miss and downward revision. This suggests that the economy is weakening further, and we are in a...
Litecoin has made a run for highs, testing our level at $55.84. We are seeing a lot of red triangles at this level, suggesting that this is an auspicious level for LTC and it will take quite a bit of momentum to punch through. We are seeing quite a bit of volatility, and are rapidly oscillating between $51.92, and $55.84. We do seem to be tending toward this...
The impending 'merge' this month is apparently doing little for Ethereum. We seem to see small pumps in the APAC session, which fade quickly in the NAM session. Yesterday, we managed to break $1547, but have since retraced to support here. If this level breaks, then $1424 is the next level below. If we can pivot off $1547, then $1653 is the next target, where...
Bitcoin is wavering in the neighborhood of $20K. It keeps teetering around this level, having recently given it up in favor of the high $19K's. We do not seem to have much momentum in cryptos at all, and the stock market selloff and recession fears certainly won't help things. Bitcoin is likely to face another dump before buying interest returns. If so, watch...
Oil has tumbled, giving up the $90's entirely, and plummetting deeper into the $80's. We have breached $90.06, and several levels after that in the upper $80's. In particular, $87.21, our target from yesterday, was hit exactly (to the tick) and is currently providing support confirmed by a green triangle on the KRI. If we plummet further, our next target is...
Increasingly more market participants seem to be realizing that we are, in fact, in a recession, despite what our overlords are proffering in the propaganda outlets. The S&P 500 has careened into lower levels, finally finding support just one level above that which we predicted yesterday at 3909. Indeed, 3928 seems to be holding, with green triangles on the KRI...