the rally has been very strong for a week, and im looking toward the resistances carved out over the last few days to find a bear entry scouting hourly rsilevels and sss signal to turn red qqe making a short entry
if we get continuation over this pivot, and a consoladative effort is made finding a higher low on longer timeframes we should trend toward the upper bands and horizontals. if we find a lower high, and bears show up to vix around the pivot we should trend below the lower signal and horizontal.
semiconductors are on an upward trajectory,and a sell the news event has marked new highs in 3x leveraged semiconductor bull etf SOXL. as long as we remain in this uptrend the market will have no trouble with a third drive to the upside, but during which i would be looking for signs of exhaustion, as some kind of daily topwick could form around rhe $20 area. if we...
Summary The semiconductor sector is expected to enter a difficult period with demand contraction due to recession and crypto winter. As the US government is increasing the effort to use semiconductors as a leverage to put pressure on China, companies in the sector might be forced to prioritize the national political agenda against profit and growth , which...
weve hit overbought on the hourly, and nasdaq has consolidated above a pivot point marked out by the lower end of that early june range from the last rally. if we break down below that pivot i would look to bounce on one of the lower horizontals as support, and if we stay above that pivot i would target those upper horizontals until were overbought on the daily.
the nasdaq 100 is showing that it can reach for the highs, and is on the verge of breaking out above major resistance to levels not seen since early june. continuation seems likely, and i have critical levels of support and resistance marked out as horizontal lines where it may pause, or bounce. sss is green and qqe is long. if we get over one of these lines i...
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weve only seen this low in uvxy 3 times, they were all this year, and they all happened with broader markets in a downtrend. all im seeing right now is buys on uvxy, and if the selloff continues with multiple sectors like xlf, xlv, spy, qqq, iwm, and especially soxl hitting new lows of the day at the same time its almost a guarantee that vix pops once again at...
sss signal has gone back to red kn the hourly, and if we loose mid 28s were probably headed for mid 26s. if we regain the uptrend holding mid 28s and closing over low 29s id imagine we will revisit those premarket highs hitting 30 soon.
SVXY has printed an outside down day and this usually marks the top in inverse vix. that means vix is in for a spike as weve seen begin today. normally indices make headway when vix is at the lows, but vix has been popping with indices failing resistance pointing toward a false breakout in broader markets. if we fly higher in UVXY breaking fridays high id imagine...
the reversal pattern is in if we close above the key levels marked out. we have tested this sentiment a few times in the past month, but each time its proven resistive. if that pattern turns green and we close in a bullish pattern breaking out of this wedge to the upside daily id imagine were in for the upper horizontals, and if we stay with sss and qqe in the red...
weve strongly supported a level twice but each time we were equally rejected as previous lows tested as resistance, slightly trending lower woth green days in red territory. themost likely scenario is if we retest recent highs as resistance, and make a lower high compared to a tightwning range over the past week or more. 25.82 is a lever to watch for a bull break...
if we break out in tqqq above the 28.50 level, id be long targeting the 32.33 area. if we break down below 24.10 however id look to short it down to around 20.11. nothing fancy here but you can see we are on the verge of breaking out in the nasdaq, and if we fail this resistance area it will probably take us much lower.
SQQQ TRAMA and VWMA have turned up, and are following the price higher. stiff resistance in the nasdaq along the downtrend line has proved a supply area in the index is sapping momentum out of the bounce. the last time this happened we had a return to the bear market, and SQQQ saw gains of around 8%. id like to see SQQQ RSI get overbought before i count it out,...
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using order flow analysis and a volume profile you can see that a lot of action around the upper 24s has led to a bounce in the nasdaq and TQQQ 3x is a great way of capturing that. if we hold $24.58 and break $24.81 we should see that $25.86 level again no problem. envelope is flattening out, so id imagine this bounce has legs as long as were not seeing outflow on...
weve seen a pretty bearish reversal in technology this morning as the bounce falters at stiff resistance. if we continue looking this direction id imagine we hit that vwma currently sinking around 53.43, and cool off a bit, but since weve come out of bullish divergence RSI in SQQQ (bear nasdaq) as long as we are holding mid 51s we may have the go agead to close...