November Alts Request Window Now OpenFamily, November isn’t just another month, it’s decision time. We’re standing at the edge of the 4-year cycle’s final act, where altcoins will either explode into new expansions or vanish in liquidity drains. Every choice from here carries weight this selection window could decide the next cycle’s biggest winners.
📌 Submission Deadline: November 5th, 2025
📌 Target Coins: 30 slots only
📌 Requirements:
1. Must display solid liquidity and a clear technical structure
2. Should reflect sustainable narratives or active ecosystem growth
3. Avoid dead or illiquid tokens only serious and relevant projects
As always, every suggested coin will be carefully screened, but only those that align with both the broader cycle context and our technical framework will be considered for full analysis. The objective remains unchanged to position ourselves where the next rotation wave is most likely to ignite as BTC completes its dominance move and liquidity begins rotating into alts.
Remember: These late-cycle months often decide the real winners heading into the next expansion phase. Let’s keep our list sharp, high quality, and cycle aligned.
Drop your suggestions below November isn’t the month to hesitate.
If this resonates with your outlook for the month ahead, hit the like button, share it with your circle, and let’s build this month’s list together.
Community ideas
Bitcoin soon will hit 140K$ as new ATHAs the chart illustrates, Bitcoin continues to consolidate within a well-defined range, bounded by the key support at $100,000 and the significant resistance at $117,000. Periods of such compression are typically followed by a decisive directional move, which establishes a new trend path.
Our analysis favors a resolution to the upside. A confirmed breakout, characterized by a decisive daily close above the $117,000 resistance level, would be a strong technical signal. This would invalidate the current range-bound structure and likely reactivate the primary bullish trend.
Such a breakout would open a clear path for price discovery toward new all-time highs. The initial projected technical target following a successful breach is the $140,000 zone, which represents the next major psychological and technical objective.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
<<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
GBPAUD Textbook Bear FlagGBPAUD price had been falling sharply, sellers were in full control, driving the market lower with strong bearish momentum.
Then came a pause. Price started climbing slowly, forming a rising channel. That’s the bear flag. Buyers are trying to recover, but it is weak and hesitant, every push higher is met with selling pressure.
Inside that flag, sellers are waiting for signs of exhaustion. And if price breaks below the structure strongly, that’s the confirmation we need.
I am expecting another impulsive leg down in the direction of the main trend, at around 1.9856.
With this kind of pattern, usually the stop-loss is placed just above the flag.
Keep in mind that this is just an idea, not a trade and not financial advice.
GOLD → Consolidation. The fundamental backdrop is changing...FX:XAUUSD stabilizes after a week-long decline, failing to consolidate above $4050. The market is taking a pause before new impulses. Focus on 4030 and 3980...
Investors are closing positions before the end of the week and month, the reason being the uncertainty surrounding the deal with China and Powell's less dovish stance on policy: a 25 bp rate cut is already priced in. The probability of a December cut has fallen to 72.8% (from 91.1% a week ago). Powell emphasized that decisions depend on data, which is not available due to the shutdown.
The strong dollar (2-month highs) is putting pressure on gold. Weak data from China (PMI fell to 49.0) is reducing demand from the largest consumer.
The balance is tipping towards weak fundamentals...
Resistance levels: 4030, 4085
Support levels: 3982, 3955, 3915
Technically, bears are keeping the market below 4030 - strong resistance. If buyers enter the market (there are currently no fundamental reasons for this) and the bulls are able to break through 4030 and keep the price above this level, we will have a chance for growth. But under the current circumstances, I expect a correction to support before a possible rise.
Best regards, R. Linda!
EURUSD: Bearish Channel Continuation SetupHi guys!
The EURUSD pair continues to trade within a well-defined descending channel. This confirms that the broader market structure remains bearish.
Important Levels
Resistance Zone: 1.1535 – 1.1550
Resistance Line: Aligns with the top of the highlighted resistance zone and channel structure.
Support Zone: Around 1.1517
Market Context
Recently, the pair formed a bearish flag or pennant pattern following a sharp downward move, suggesting that sellers remain in control. The price has since retested the resistance zone, where bearish pressure is expected to re-emerge.
Trading Outlook
Bearish Scenario (Primary Bias):
If the price fails to break above 1.1578, the bias remains bearish. A rejection from this zone could trigger a continuation move toward 1.1517 and potentially extend lower along the channel’s bottom boundary.
Bullish Scenario (Alternative):
A clear breakout and close above the resistance zone and channel midpoint would invalidate the short-term bearish setup. I
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD Long: Demand Zone Holding, Eyes on $4,080Hello traders! Gold (XAUUSD) is currently showing a corrective phase within its broader bullish trend. After a strong rally from the $3,850 Demand Zone, price climbed steadily along the ascending Trend Line, forming higher highs and higher lows until reaching the $4,150–$4,180 Resistance Area. This zone acted as a key pivot point, where buyers lost momentum and sellers initiated a retracement.
Following this, the market broke below the Trend Line, signaling the start of a short-term correction. The correction found temporary support near the $3,950 Demand Zone, where buyers have recently stepped in again. This level coincides with a previous pivot and a key structural support area, suggesting a potential rebound setup. At the moment, price is consolidating between the $3,950 Demand Zone and the $4,080–$4,150 Resistance Area, indicating indecision before the next move.
From my perspective, Gold is likely to attempt a bullish correction toward the $4,080–$4,150 Resistance Zone, which aligns with both the previous Trend Line and recent pivot structure. A successful break and close above $4,150 would confirm a trend continuation toward higher levels. However, if the price fails to break above this resistance area and gets rejected, sellers could regain control, pushing the market back down toward $3,950 or even lower. For now, I’ll be watching for confirmation of a bullish reaction from the $3,950 Demand Zone to validate a short-term long setup targeting $4,080. Manage your risk!
AUDUSD Breakout and Potential Retrace!Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.65800 zone, AUDUSD was trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 0.65800 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
ZKUSDT - Don't waste this opportunity!Did you know that ZK dropped more than 98.5% from its peak in December 2024 until October 10, 2025?
If you can’t imagine what that means, let me explain:
Coins that experience such a massive drop usually get delisted and die off—they rarely recover.
But ZK surged over 1,300% from its October 10 bottom in less than 23 days and is now about to break a major resistance at the 0.618 Fibonacci level.
And I want to point out something:
ZEC and ZK sound similar, and even their letters resemble each other—definitely a hint at the market makers’ codes.
Best Regards:
Ceciliones🎯
Head and shoulders triangle. Possible dump sub $100,000 in play.Our sell signals came in at top (126k) and last high for right shoulder. Looks like BTC will play within this pattern. Squeeze between max 113.5k and the 106k-104k bottom area (depending ion when it gets there) where it needs to make a decision: Either strong bounce and break to upside with possible 122k target or dump hard below 100k and possibly to low 90K area.
PRICE ACTION – The True Language of the MarketIn the noisy world of trading, filled with indicators, signals, and formulas, Price Action brings you back to the core: price. When you remove all indicators, erase moving averages, and forget RSI, the only thing left on your chart is the footprint of the market – the candles telling their story.
What is Price Action – and why is it the “true language”?
Price Action is not a “magic trick” or an infallible trading system. It is the art of listening to the market, the ability to read the rhythm of money flow and human emotions reflected in every price movement. Each candle is not just data – it is a story of hope and fear, of buyers and sellers, of greed and doubt. A Price Action trader does not predict the market – they observe how the market reacts.
Price – where emotions are written in candles
Price never moves randomly. Every high and low is the result of millions of human decisions.
When price breaks a high: it’s confidence and euphoria.
When price breaks a low: it’s fear and panic.
When price moves sideways: it’s waiting and doubt.
Price Action teaches you to read the emotions behind each click, not just the shape of the candle.
Market structure – the backbone of Price Action
Behind every trend lies a clear structure. The market cycles through three phases:
Accumulation – buyers and sellers struggle, price moves sideways.
Expansion – one side dominates, trend forms.
Distribution – winners take profits, losers retreat.
Understanding market structure means knowing where you are in the cycle, avoiding blind trades, and acting with purpose.
Every candle – a small story in the bigger picture
A long lower shadow signals strong buying pressure.
A pinbar at resistance shows price rejection.
A series of small candles indicates accumulation and an impending breakout.
A Price Action trader does not see candles individually but connects them into the full story – where every move has a reason.
The power of simplicity
Price Action is simple, yet far from simplistic. It is not lagging like indicators, not dependent on false signals, and can be applied across all markets – from Forex and gold to crypto. When you read price action, you are no longer passive, waiting for a signal; you become the navigator, following the market’s heartbeat.
The mindset of a professional Price Action trader
A professional Price Action trader doesn’t ask, “When should I enter?” Instead, they ask:
Who is controlling the market?
Where is the money flowing?
Has this price area reversed before?
Am I moving with the money or against it?
The difference lies not in technique, but in mindset and reaction. The market doesn’t need you to win. It rewards those who understand how it operates.
When you read price, you understand people
Price Action is not a tool; it is a living perspective on market psychology. It doesn’t promise perfection, but it gives you profound understanding. When you read price – you are reading human psychology. When you understand structure – you grasp the rhythm of emotional cycles. And when you immerse yourself in Price Action, you are no longer guessing prices – you move with the market, heartbeat by heartbeat, move by move, opportunity by opportunity.
Bitcoin - The manipulation!On the weekly Bitcoin chart, there’s a clear bearish rising wedge pattern, and right now it’s trading near the lower side of that wedge — getting ready for a downward weekly breakout.
But let me remind you of something important — this will likely be part of a psychological game played by market makers, so remember my words carefully:
- Bitcoin will break down from the wedge, giving a bearish signal, and many traders will enter short positions.
- It’ll even dip slightly below the 50 EMA, making everyone more confident in the bearish move.
- Then, it’ll reverse sharply upward, liquidating all the short positions.
Market makers always make you believe your plan is playing out perfectly — right before they turn against you and take your money.
So stay alert, place your buy orders slightly below the 50 EMA, and avoid using high leverage.
Best Regards:
Ceciliones🎯
Wall Street Weekly Outlook - Week 45 2025 [03.11.- 07.11.2025]Wall Street Weekly Outlook - Week 45 2025
📅 November 3 – November 7, 2025
Let’s kick off an exciting new trading week — and a brand-new trading month! 🚀
Seasonal factors often play a major role in November and December, and I’ll break them down for you in this week’s video. 🎥📈
Sit back, enjoy the overview, and dive into the world of banks, hedge funds, and institutional flows — with exclusive insights into how the pros are positioned right now. 🧠💼📊
💡 Bonus segments: Strategies, setups & market psychology — everything you need to know for the week ahead. ⚡️
📘 Topics covered in this week’s outlook:
🏛 Seasonality in the Nasdaq:
🥇 Seasonality in Gold:
... and many more charts & concepts in the video! 🎬📊
💬 I’m looking forward to your questions, comments, and an active discussion here on TradingView!
👋 Best,
Meikel
EUR/USD – Bears in Control but Demand Zone Could Spark a Rebound🔹 EUR/USD – Weekly Outlook (1–7 November 2025)
Bears remain in control, but a key demand zone is now in play.
The euro continues to trade under pressure as macro divergences between the U.S. and Eurozone persist.
In the U.S., the latest data confirmed a clear cooldown in growth and inflation, with Core PCE slowing to 2.6% YoY and GDP Q3 printing 2.2% vs. 3.0% expected. This fueled market expectations for a Fed rate cut in Q1 2026, yet Chair Powell reiterated that “progress on inflation remains incomplete,” keeping a neutral–hawkish tone. The U.S. dollar therefore preserved its defensive bid, supported by ongoing safe-haven demand amid geopolitical tension and weaker European data.
Across the Eurozone, inflation continues to decelerate (headline 2.5%, core 2.8%), while PMIs remain below 50, indicating a stagnant industrial sector. Market participants now expect the ECB to lean more dovish into early 2026, potentially preparing the ground for a rate cut once disinflation stabilizes. This narrative has weighed on the euro, pushing EUR/USD back below 1.16.
COT (Commitment of Traders)
COT data remain frozen due to the CFTC shutdown, with the last update dated September 23.
At that time, non-commercials held a strong net long on EUR (+114K), reflecting broad bearishness on the USD. However, the latest price action clearly suggests a partial unwinding of long exposure, consistent with the recent downside retracement.
⚠️ These figures are now outdated and must be interpreted with caution — institutional flows may have shifted significantly since late September.
Retail Sentiment
📊 59% long / 41% short → contrarian bearish bias.
Retail traders remain predominantly long, implying a higher probability of continued downside in the short term, especially while macro data favor the dollar.
Seasonality
Seasonal statistics for November are mildly positive over 10–20Y composites, but recent 5-year data suggest a sluggish start to the month, often followed by a technical rebound in the second half.
📅 Seasonal conclusion: short-term weakness likely persists into mid-November, with recovery potential toward month-end once markets price in softer U.S. CPI or dovish Fed expectations.
Technical Outlook
EUR/USD continues to move within a descending channel since late August.
After a clean rejection from the 1.1700–1.1750 supply zone, the pair broke recent lows and is now consolidating within the 1.1530–1.1550 demand area, aligned with the summer support base.
Key technical levels:
Resistance: 1.1650–1.1700
Immediate support: 1.1530–1.1500
Next demand zone: 1.1380–1.1420
RSI: below 50, yet showing early signs of bullish divergence, hinting at a potential rebound if 1.15 holds.
🎯 Primary Scenario:
Price may extend the corrective leg toward 1.1450–1.1420, where a structural swing low could form. From there, any USD weakness following U.S. CPI data could fuel a technical rebound targeting 1.1650–1.1700.
⚙️ Invalidation: Daily close above 1.1730, which would break the descending structure and shift the bias neutral-to-bullish.
Summary
Macro: Euro pressured by softer inflation and weak PMI; USD supported by cautious Fed and geopolitical flows.
Sentiment: Retail still long — contrarian signal for more downside.
Technical: Channel intact; demand zone at 1.1530–1.1500 under test.
Outlook: Expect another leg lower before possible late-month rebound.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #207👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
After a short break, let's get back to the daily Bitcoin analysis. The market is still in a very large range box.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
Currently, Bitcoin is recovering after the drop to the 106319 level and has moved up to 110803.
✅ Today is Saturday, and as you can see, the market volume has dropped significantly. It seems that the market may range until tomorrow afternoon and won't move much upwards, with the main movement starting next week.
⚡️ The triggers we have for opening positions right now are:
For long: 110803
For short: 108844 and 106319
💥 Overall, Bitcoin is in a very large range box between 106319 and 115808, and as long as the price stays between these two levels, I will open my positions with very low risk.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Gold next week: Key S/R Levels and Outlook for Traders🔥 GOLD WEEKLY SNAPSHOT — BY PROJECTSYNDICATE
🏆 High/Close: $4,108 → ~$4,002 — sellers defended overhead; weekly close soft within range.
📈 Trend: Neutral / correction mode still ON; not expecting new highs near term.
🛡 Supports: $3,890 → $3,800 — pivotal shelves for downside containment.
🚧 Resistances: $4,052 / $4,175 — magnet zones for supply / fade attempts.
🧭 Bias next week: Prefer short sells into $4,052–$4,175 with take-profit toward $3,890 → $3,800. Invalidation on sustained reclaim > $4,175; failure of $3,800 risks extension lower.
🌍 Macro tailwinds/headwinds :
• Rates: Real yields stable-to-firm keep upside contained; any dovish surprise could spark squeezes into resistance.
• FX: DXY mixed—lack of broad USD weakness limits impulse follow-through.
• Flows: CB/ETF demand supportive on deep dips but tepid near highs.
• Geopolitics: Event risk provides intermittent bids; not a trend driver this week.
🎯 Street view: Medium-term bullish narratives reserve diversification, policy easing into 2026 remain, but near-term tape favors mean-reversion lower under resistance.
________________________________________
🔝 Key Resistance Zones
• $4,052 — immediate ceiling; prior supply pivot likely to cap first tests
• $4,175 — upper resistance; acceptance above flips tone from corrective to constructive
🛡 Support Zones
• $3,890 — first defense; loss invites momentum probes
• $3,800 — critical structural base; break risks downside acceleration
________________________________________
⚖️ Base Case Scenario
Range-to-soft trade within $3,800–$4,175. Rallies into $4,052–$4,175 are sellable; expect rotations back toward $3,890 with scope to $3,800 if sellers press.
🚀 Breakout Trigger
Only a sustained acceptance > ~$4,175 negates the correction and opens $4,200+ pathing; conversely, firm rejection at $4,052 with a daily close < $3,890 increases odds of a $3,800 test.
💡 Market Drivers
• Fed path & real-yield drift
• USD index swings
• ETF/CB flow tone on dips vs. rips
• Risk sentiment headlines (geopolitics/trade)
🔓 Bull / Bear Trigger Lines
• Bullish above: $4,175 correction phase likely over if held
• Bearish below: $3,890 → risk expands under $3,800
🧭 Strategy
Short-sell from overhead resistances ($4,052 → $4,175).
Scale profits into $3,890 then $3,800; keep stops tight above trigger levels. Stand aside on fresh longs until sustained reclaim above $4,175 reasserts momentum.
Capital Protection Guide: Learning from Catastrophic DrawdownCapital Protection Guide: Learning from Catastrophic Drawdowns - LRN Case Study
Overview
Catastrophic drawdowns—sudden, severe price declines of 30% or more in a single session—can devastate trading accounts, especially for beginners. This tutorial examines the real-world case of NYSE:LRN (Stride Inc.), which lost over 50% in a single day on October 29, 2025 , and provides practical strategies to protect your capital from similar disasters.
Understanding how to identify warning signs and implement proper risk management is essential for long-term trading success. While no strategy can guarantee complete protection, recognizing red flags and following disciplined capital preservation rules can significantly reduce the risk of catastrophic losses.
Understanding Catastrophic Drawdowns
What is a Catastrophic Drawdown?
A catastrophic drawdown occurs when a stock experiences an extreme price decline in a very short period—typically 10% or more in a single trading day . These events can be triggered by:
Earnings surprises: Missed expectations or guidance cuts
Regulatory news: Government actions or policy changes
Sector rotation: Money rapidly exiting entire sectors
High-frequency trading: Algorithmic selling creating cascading effects
Margin calls: Forced selling accelerating declines
Black swan events: Unexpected crises affecting specific stocks or sectors
Why Beginners Are Most Vulnerable
Beginners face unique challenges when catastrophic drawdowns occur:
Position Sizing Mistakes : Often risk too much capital on single trades
Lack of Stop-Loss Discipline : Emotional attachment prevents cutting losses
Overconfidence : Good runs create false confidence in risky positions
Ignoring Red Flags : Missing early warning signs of trouble
Averaging Down : Doubling down on losing positions instead of exiting
Case Study: NYSE:LRN -50% Crash on October 29, 2025
The Event
On October 29, 2025 , Stride Inc. ( NYSE:LRN ) experienced a catastrophic one-day decline. The stock closed at $68.04 on October 29, down from $153.53 the previous day—a drop of approximately 55.7% (close-to-close). According to multiple sources, the stock experienced between 41-49% premarket/intraday declines , with some sources reporting up to 51.5% decline over a 4-week period following the earnings announcement. The close-to-close decline represents one of the most severe single-day drops in recent market history.
Key Event Details:
• Crash Date: October 29, 2025
• Previous Close (Oct 28): $153.53
• Crash Day Close (Oct 29): $68.04
• Drop Magnitude: ~56% close-to-close (reported 41-49% intraday/premarket)
• Primary Causes: Weak FY26 outlook, failed platform upgrade, legal allegations
• Enrollment Impact: 10,000-15,000 student shortfall
• Growth Forecast: Slashed from 19% historical to 5% projected
• Earnings Report: Q1 FY26 reported October 28, 2025 (beat estimates but weak guidance)
What Happened - Timeline of Events
Summer 2025 : Stride attempted to implement an upgraded platform that failed to proceed as planned, resulting in poor customer experience and higher withdrawal rates.
September 14, 2025 : Gallup-McKinley County Schools Board of Education filed a lawsuit against Stride, alleging fraud, deceptive practices, and inflated enrollment figures. This was a major red flag that appeared 6 weeks before the crash.
October 28, 2025 : Q1 FY26 earnings reported after market close—beat estimates ($1.52 vs $1.23 expected) BUT guidance for FY26 was weak (only 5% growth vs 19% historical).
October 29, 2025 : Market opened and stock crashed:
• Premarket: Down ~41%
• Intraday: Declined further to ~49% intraday
• Close: Stock closed at $68.04 (down ~56% from previous close of $153.53)
• Weak financial forecast for FY26 confirmed fears
• Platform upgrade issues causing enrollment shortfall confirmed
The Math of Recovery
Critical lesson for beginners: If stock drops 50% , you need 100% gain just to break even. If stock drops 75% , you need 300% gain to recover. Prevention is infinitely easier than recovery.
Red Flags That Appeared Before the Crash
Red Flag #1: Legal Allegations (September 14, 2025)
What Happened:
• Lawsuit filed by Gallup-McKinley alleging fraud and deceptive practices
• Claims of artificially inflated enrollment figures
• Allegations of insufficiently licensed teachers
Why It Mattered:
• Legal issues are often a precursor to financial problems
• Governance and ethical concerns can destroy investor confidence
• This appeared 6 weeks BEFORE the crash - ample warning time
How to Monitor:
• Set up Google Alerts for " lawsuit" or " legal"
• Check SEC filings regularly
• Monitor news sources like Globe Newswire, MarketWatch
Red Flag #2: Operational Challenges (Summer 2025)
What Happened:
• Failed platform upgrade causing poor customer experience
• Higher withdrawal rates than anticipated
• Lower conversion rates
• Estimated 10,000-15,000 enrollment shortfall
Why It Mattered:
• Operational failures directly impact revenue
• Customer dissatisfaction leads to lost business
• Enrollment declines = revenue declines
How to Monitor:
• Read company earnings call transcripts
• Monitor customer reviews and complaints
• Watch for guidance reductions or warnings
Red Flag #3: Guidance Cut (October 29, 2025)
What Happened:
• FY26 growth forecast slashed from 19% historical average to only 5%
• This represents a 74% reduction in expected growth
• Investors immediately understood the implications
Why It Mattered:
• Growth rate cuts signal fundamental problems
• 5% growth vs 19% historical = massive disappointment
• Forward-looking statements are often more important than past results
How to Monitor:
• Compare new guidance to historical performance
• Watch for percentage reductions in growth forecasts
• Compare to analyst expectations
Red Flag #4: Volume Expansion (Days Before Crash)
What to Look For:
• Volume spikes of 2.5x+ average volume
• Unusually high volume on down days
• Declining volume on rallies (bearish divergence)
Why It Matters:
• High volume + falling price = Institutional selling
• Volume often leads price action
• Large players exiting before the crash
How to Monitor in TradingView:
Add Volume Moving Average indicators (20 and 50 period)
Compare current volume to averages
Set alert when volume > 2.5x average
Red Flag #5: Support Level Breakdowns
What to Look For:
• Price breaking below key support levels
• Support levels tested 3+ times before breaking
• Volume increase on support breaks
Why It Matters:
• Support breaks often trigger further selling
• Each failed support test weakens the level
• Break below major support = potential cascade
How to Identify in TradingView:
Use pivot low function to find support levels
Draw horizontal lines at key support using drawing tools
Track number of touches (3+ = strong support)
Exit immediately when support breaks
Red Flag #6: Volatility Expansion
What to Look For:
• Average True Range (ATR) exceeding 2x normal levels
• Increased daily price ranges (high-low spreads)
• Unusual intraday swings
Why It Matters:
• High volatility often precedes major moves
• Sudden volatility expansion can signal institutional activity
• Increased uncertainty = increased risk
How to Monitor in TradingView:
Add ATR (Average True Range) indicator
Compare current ATR to 20-period average
Calculate ratio: Current ATR / Average ATR
Alert when ratio exceeds 2.0 (volatility spike)
Capital Protection Strategies
Strategy 1: Position Sizing Rules
The Golden Rule: Never risk more than 1-2% of total capital per trade
How to Calculate Position Size:
Position Size = (Account × Risk %) / Stop-Loss %
Example: If you have $10,000 and want to risk 2% ($200) with a 5% stop-loss, your maximum position would be $4,000. This ensures that if your stop is hit, you only lose 2% of your account, not more.
Why It Works:
Limits maximum loss on any single trade
Allows you to survive multiple losses
Preserves capital for better opportunities
Strategy 2: Stop-Loss Discipline
Always Use Stop-Losses - No Exceptions
Types of Stop-Losses:
Fixed Percentage Stop :
• Example: 5% below entry
• Pros: Simple, consistent
• Cons: May not account for volatility
Support-Based Stop :
• Place below nearest support level
• Pros: Respects technical structure
• Cons: Requires chart analysis
ATR-Based Stop :
• Stop = Entry - (2 × ATR)
• Pros: Adapts to volatility
• Cons: May be too wide in volatile markets
Trailing Stop :
• Moves up as price increases
• Pros: Protects profits automatically
• Cons: Can exit during normal pullbacks
Critical Rules:
✅ Set stops immediately after entry
✅ Never move stops away from price
✅ Only move stops closer (trailing up)
✅ Never remove stops "temporarily"
✅ If stopped out, stay out (don't revenge trade)
Strategy 3: Early Exit Discipline
Why This Matters: If a stock drops 50%, you need it to gain 100% just to break even. That's why early exits are crucial—better to exit at -10% than wait for catastrophic losses. Accept small losses as the cost of doing business.
Strategy 4: Diversification Rules
Never Put All Eggs in One Basket
Diversification Guidelines:
Maximum 5-10% of capital in single stock
Diversify across sectors (not just stocks)
Keep 20-30% cash for opportunities
Don't over-concentrate in similar stocks
Example: Instead of putting 50% in one stock, spread it across multiple sectors: 5-10% in Tech, 5-10% in Healthcare, 5-10% in Energy, etc. This way, a single catastrophic drawdown can't destroy your entire account.
Why It Works:
Single catastrophic drawdown can't destroy account
Other positions can offset losses
Cash available for opportunities
Strategy 5: Risk Monitoring System
Create Your Own Risk Score:
Monitor these factors daily:
Volatility (0-25 points)
• ATR > 2x average = +25 points
Volume (0-20 points)
• Volume spike = +20 points
Support Breaks (0-25 points)
• Major support break = +25 points
Momentum (0-15 points)
• RSI overbought = +10 points
• Bearish divergence = +15 points
Gap-Downs (0-15 points)
• 3%+ gap down = +15 points
Legal/Operational Issues (0-25 points)
• Lawsuit filed = +25 points
• Guidance cuts = +20 points
Risk Score Interpretation:
0-29 : LOW risk - Normal trading
30-49 : MODERATE - Increase caution, tighten stops
50-69 : HIGH - Reduce position size by 50%
70-100 : CRITICAL - Exit immediately
Example: If a stock has a lawsuit filed (+25), operational issues (+20), volatility spike (+25), and volume anomaly (+20), the risk score would be 90—triggering an immediate exit signal.
How Early Detection Could Have Helped
In the LRN case, red flags appeared weeks before the crash:
September 14, 2025 (6 weeks before): Lawsuit filed → Risk score +25 → Monitor closely
Summer 2025 : Platform upgrade failure → Risk score +20 → Total 45 = MODERATE → Reduce position size
October 29, 2025 : Guidance cut → Risk score +20 → Total 65+ = CRITICAL → Exit immediately
By monitoring these red flags and following the risk scoring system, traders could have exited before the catastrophic crash, preserving capital for better opportunities.
Why Protection Matters:
Without Protection:
• Lost ~56% in one day
• Account severely damaged
• Needs 127% gain just to break even
With Protection:
• Exited at -5% to -10% (after red flags appeared)
• Small, manageable loss
• Capital preserved for better opportunities
• Can trade another day
Daily Protection Routine
✅ Morning: Review positions, check news/lawsuits, verify stop-losses
✅ During Trading: Monitor for red flags, watch volume/volatility spikes
✅ End of Day: Review alerts, adjust stops (only closer, never further)
Key Takeaways
Capital preservation is #1 - You can always find another trade, but lost capital is hard to recover
Always use stop-losses - Set immediately after entry, never move away from price
Watch for red flags - Multiple warnings = exit signal. Better to exit early than late.
Position sizing matters - Risk only 1-2% per trade, maximum 5-10% in single stock
Monitor news daily - Legal issues and guidance cuts often precede crashes
Use the risk scoring system - Combine technical indicators with fundamental news for better protection
Conclusion
Catastrophic drawdowns like NYSE:LRN 's ~56% crash can devastate trading accounts, especially for beginners. However, by understanding red flags (like the lawsuit that appeared 6 weeks before), implementing proper risk management, and maintaining discipline, traders can significantly reduce the risk of catastrophic losses.
While no strategy can guarantee complete protection, combining technical analysis, fundamental monitoring, risk management, and discipline can help protect your capital and ensure you can trade another day.
Remember: The goal isn't to avoid all losses—it's to avoid catastrophic losses that can destroy your trading account.
Stay disciplined. Protect your capital. Trade another day. 🛡️
5 Mistakes That Make 90% of Traders Blow Their Accounts!“If you’ve ever blown an account, lost five trades in a row, or felt like the market is always ‘against’ you — congratulations, you’re about to discover the real reason behind your losses.”
In more than five years of trading and mentoring, I’ve seen thousands of traders fail — not because they’re bad, but because they repeat the same five deadly mistakes without realizing it.
⚠️ 1. Trading with Emotions – The “Adrenaline Rush” of Losing Traders
✅ You win one trade → overconfidence → open a bigger position.
❌ You lose one trade → anger → hold losing trades or revenge trade.
It all starts from your head, not your heart.
Trading is a game of discipline, not emotion.
Emotions make you break your rules, and when that happens — the market will teach you a painful lesson with real money.
To survive, don’t trade when you’re distracted — not while driving, eating, or arguing with your partner. Trade only when you have the time and focus to manage and monitor every market move.
💸 2. No Trading Plan – “Shooting Without Aiming”
Many traders don’t lose because they’re wrong — they lose because they don’t know what they’re doing.
Some open trades simply because they feel the price will rise. No clear entry, no stop loss, no take profit — that’s not a plan, it’s disguised gambling.
A solid trading plan must include:
✅ Fundamental market analysis
✅ Clear entry zones
✅ Defined profit targets
✅ Risk per trade not exceeding 2% of your account
(Want to understand this deeper? Check out my detailed guide on this topic. )
🔁 3. Constantly Changing Strategies – The “System-Hopping Syndrome”
You can’t train with five different gym coaches every day and expect a six-pack — trading works the same way.
This week you trade Price Action.
Next week, you switch to Indicators.
The following week, you buy an “AI Auto Trading” course.
Part of this comes from following too many signal groups online, trading blindly based on others’ calls instead of turning what you learn into personal knowledge.
👉 The result? You never stick with a single system long enough to master it.
Gradually, you start believing that no strategy works — when the truth is, you never gave any of them time to work.
Stop looking for a “perfect system” — it doesn’t exist. What you need is a consistent strategy and the patience to master it. Explore new ideas if you want, but always test them on a demo account until you can trade them profitably with confidence.
💔 4. Holding Losing Trades – “I Only Lose When I Close”
This is the mindset that causes 90% of traders to blow their accounts.
When you hold onto losing positions, you’re sacrificing your capital — the only thing that keeps you alive in the market.
Cutting losses is the art of survivors, not the failure of losers.
A great trader doesn’t fear losing — they fear losing the ability to come back to the market. Don’t aim to be right, aim to survive.
❌ 5. Not Learning from Mistakes – “Losing Yet Still Confident”
After blowing their accounts, many traders simply open a new one…
But they never review their losing trades, never keep a trading journal, and never identify why they lost.
If you don’t learn from failure, failure will repeat itself — only with more money lost next time.
Good traders lose many times, but they rarely lose for the same reason twice.
I once had a student who blew three accounts in a row but kept the same habits — because he believed, “Next time, I’ll get lucky.”
The result? He blew another one.
📍The market doesn’t punish beginners — it punishes the undisciplined.
If you can avoid these five habits, you’ve already beaten 90% of traders out there.
Trading can be a fast path to wealth — but only for those who forge mental strength and discipline. And only when you learn to control yourself, the money will start flowing your way.
If you’re serious about improving, start writing your Trading Journal today.
After 30 days, you’ll see a completely different trader within yourself.
Which of these five mistakes have you made — and how did you overcome them?
Share your story below to inspire others, or leave a comment to join the discussion!
Wishing you a successful trading day!
Hawkish Fed Tone Caps EURUSD Near 1.1580!!Hey Traders, in today’s trading session we’re monitoring EURUSD for a potential selling opportunity around the 1.15800 zone.
The pair remains in a downtrend, and the current correction phase is bringing price back toward the 1.15800 resistance area, aligning with the broader bearish structure.
On the fundamental side, the recent U.S.–China deal combined with Powell’s hawkish tone has reduced the odds of a December rate cut — a setup that continues to favor USD strength and weigh on EURUSD.
Watching for rejection signs near 1.15800 for possible continuation to the downside.
Trade safe,
Joe.
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
Gold has entered a sideways and choppy phase after reaching a new high and undergoing a correction.
The price is now consolidating within a narrow range between support and resistance, showing limited directional momentum in the short term.
In this area, we expect a short-term upward correction before the market resumes its downward move toward the highlighted support zones.
As long as gold remains below the resistance zone, the market is likely to continue its range-bound behavior followed by another bearish leg.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
BTCUSD Rebound Setup: Buyers Target 114K Resistance ZoneHello traders, I want to share with you my opinion about Bitcoin (BTCUSD). Bitcoin continues to move within a well-defined descending channel, forming a consistent pattern of lower highs and lower lows. This confirms that the market remains under bearish control, with sellers actively defending each retest of the resistance line. The Resistance Level at 115,600 has acted as a major cap for bullish attempts, rejecting multiple upside moves over the past few weeks. Recently, BTC retested the Buyer Zone near 108,000–109,000, where strong demand emerged, preventing further downside. This level aligns with both the Support Line of the channel and the horizontal Support Level at 106,400, making it a critical zone for potential bullish reactions. At the current stage, the price is showing early signs of a corrective rebound from the Buyer Zone. I believe this recovery could push the price toward the Seller Zone and Resistance Line, with a short-term target (TP1) around 114,000. However, this move should be viewed as a correction within a broader bearish trend unless BTC manages to break and hold above the 115,600 resistance area. My scenario suggests that BTC could face selling pressure once it reaches the upper boundary of the channel, possibly leading to another bearish leg unless bulls confirm a breakout. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Bitcoin Consolidates Within Symmetrical TriangleHi guys!
The chart illustrates a symmetrical triangle formation. This pattern typically signals a potential breakout scenario, though the direction must be confirmed by price action.
Key Technical Levels
Resistance Zone: Around $111,000 – $113,000, aligned with the top line of the symmetrical triangle.
Major Support: Defined by the bottom line of the triangle, currently holding near $107,000 – $108,000.
Breakout Target: Upon a confirmed breakout to the upside, the projected target for the triangle stands near $122,587, which aligns with a measured move from the pattern’s height.
Trading Plan
Bullish Scenario:
A breakout and close above the resistance zone ($111,500) would confirm bullish momentum. In this case, a long position could be considered, with the target around $122,500 as marked on the chart. This would also indicate renewed market strength and continuation toward higher levels.
Bearish Scenario:
If the price fails to break above the resistance and instead faces rejection, traders are advised to focus on short positions, anticipating a potential retracement toward the lower boundary of the triangle or even a breakdown below it. A close below the bottom trendline could signal deeper downside continuation.
Conclusion
Bitcoin is currently consolidating within a symmetrical triangle, reflecting indecision in the market. A confirmed breakout above resistance could trigger a bullish run toward $122,500, while rejection at this level would favor short setups. Traders should monitor the breakout area closely and wait for volume confirmation before committing to a position.
Gold Nears Resistance — Buyers Target $4,130 BreakoutHello traders, here’s my current outlook on Gold (XAUUSD). The market structure shows that Gold has recently shifted from a sharp bearish phase into a short-term recovery pattern, finding solid demand near the $3,940–$3,950 Buyer Zone. After the last strong drop from the $4,130 Resistance Level, price stabilized within this accumulation area and began forming an ascending structure supported by a clear Support Line. Currently, Gold is trading inside a rising wedge pattern — a signal of a tightening market where buyers are gradually gaining ground. The Resistance Line near $4,050 represents a short-term barrier, and a confirmed breakout above this level could open the way for a move toward the $4,130 Resistance Zone (TP1), which aligns with the previous Seller Zone. From my perspective, as long as the price remains above the $3,940–$3,950 Support Zone, the bullish bias remains valid. A successful breakout above $4,050 would likely confirm the continuation of the current upward momentum, targeting $4,130. However, if the price fails to break above resistance and falls below the ascending support line, a short-term pullback toward the Buyer Zone could occur before any new bullish wave develops. In my opinion, the market structure currently favors buyers, with strong support underpinning the move. Therefore, I’m expecting a potential bullish continuation toward $4,130 as the next key target.
EURUSD: Bounce from Support Could Trigger Move Toward 1.1640Hello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Euro setup.
Market Analysis
EURUSD has been trading in a corrective phase after breaking down from the Upward Channel that previously guided its bullish movement. The pair formed a Range near the 1.1760 Resistance Area, showing consolidation before sellers regained control. Multiple Breakouts confirmed shifts in market structure — first to the upside within the channel, and later to the downside, signaling the transition from bullish to neutral-bearish momentum.
Recently, price found strong demand within the 1.1550–1.1560 Support Zone, which aligns with the Triangle Support Line. This level has been tested multiple times, acting as a significant pivot point for potential bullish reactions. The Triangle Resistance Line above continues to limit upward movement, forming a contracting structure that reflects growing pressure from both sides.
My Scenario & Strategy
From my view, EURUSD is currently setting up for a possible bullish rebound from the support zone near 1.1560. If buyers defend this level, the price could rise toward the Triangle Resistance Line around 1.1630–1.1640. A confirmed breakout above this resistance could open the way toward the key 1.1760 Resistance Zone, signaling a shift in sentiment back to bullish.
However, if the pair fails to hold above the Triangle Support Line, a breakdown could trigger a deeper decline toward 1.1500. For now, I maintain a short-term bullish bias, looking for long opportunities near support with clear confirmation signals.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.






















