$MSTR Must Close This Week Above the 50WMA Or Else...The MicroStrategy chart is the only top signal that is somewhat cause for concern at the current moment.
You can see NASDAQ:MSTR has closed the past several weeks below the 50WMA, which signaled the start of the bear market last cycle.
Having said that, it has had a bullish rally this week and is trading above the 50WMA once again.
MSTR must close the week above this level, otherwise the stock could be in for a much deeper correction, which could negatively affect CRYPTOCAP:BTC in October.
Where have you heard that October prediction before?
Coincidence? 🥸
Moving Averages
Intel | INTC | Long at $20This is going to be purely about technical analysis since Intel NASDAQ:INTC has a 90x P/E and has not proven themselves to be a viable challenger in the semiconductor market (yet...). Bad news could continue to destroy this ticker, but without that news, there could be some recovery in the near term.
The NASDAQ:INTC chart is in an overall downward trend. However, based on a few of my selected simply moving averages (SMAs), there is some predictability around support/resistance areas. Some of my favorite setups are a nice bounce on the lowest (green) selected SMA, occurring in October 2022 for a "rip then dip" to the second lowest (blue) - which it hit now. Often, but not always (I can't stress this enough), this green to blue SMA bounce represents a very strong support area during a downward trend. The other move is a further dip to retest the green SMA, but I suspect that would come with tremendously bad news for Intel... let's hope not, though.
Currently, NASDAQ:INTC is in a personal buy zone at $20.00 based on technical analysis only. A stop has been set if it drops below the blue SMA (which is may further test).
Target #1 = $28.00
Target #2 = $32.00
Target #3 = $60.00+ (very long-term, but high-risk unless fundamentals change)
Monolithic Power | MPWR | Long at $580.00Monolithic Power $NASDAQ:MPWR. If the semiconductor market continues to get attention in connection with AI, there may be a bounce here near $580.00 as NASDAQ:MPWR enters my historical simple moving average area. However, a further dip into the high $400s wouldn't surprise me (tax harvesting season is in session) and doesn't change the thesis as long as the overall trend continues to stay positive. While NASDAQ:MPWR is a strong company with growth predictions on the horizon, it has a 65x P/E, 46x price-to-cash flow, lots of insider selling, and some near-term concern if the economy shows weakness. From a technical analysis perspective, though, it's in an area of opportunity as long as semis stay a "hot" investment. Thus, at $580.00, NASDAQ:MPWR is in a personal buy zone.
Target #1 = $690.00
Target #2 = $745.00
Target #3 = $825.00
Target #4 = $908.00
IONQ - BREAKOUT DOWN TRENDLINEIONQ - CURRENT PRICE 48.00 - 50.00
The stock is bullish as the share price is above 50-day EMA. The lows are getting higher - indicating demand is increasing.
The stock broke out down trendline - signaling bullish momentum. This bullish outlook is strengthened by positive readings in RSI (above 50 level).
ENTRY PRICE : 48.00 - 50.00
TARGET : 59.00 and 66.00
SUPPORT : 50-day EMA (CUTLOSS below 50-day EMA on closing basis)
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AMD at a Crossroads: Deep Correction or a Launch to New Highs?
🔎 Technical Analysis (Based on the Chart)
Recent Trend:
After a sharp rally from around $100 to nearly $180, the stock entered a corrective phase.
A series of lower highs and lower lows suggests the start of a short-term downtrend.
Price is now trading below the 50-day moving average (yellow line), which is a bearish signal.
Patterns & Price Action:
The chart shows a possible Head & Shoulders structure or at least a similar bearish formation.
The red arrow indicates potential downside movement toward lower levels.
📉 Short-Term Outlook (2–6 weeks)
Bias: Bearish
Targets:
First target: $150
Second target: $140 (if support breaks)
Stop-loss: A confirmed close above $166–168 (back above the moving average and resistance).
📈 Long-Term Outlook (3–6 months)
If the current correction extends, the stock could dip toward $135–140, then potentially start a new bullish phase.
Upside Targets:
First target: $180 retest
Second target: $200–210 if the historical high breaks
Stop-loss (long-term): A confirmed close below $135 (break of major support, trend reversal to bearish).
✅ Summary:
Short-term: Likely correction toward $150–140.
Long-term: As long as $135 holds, bullish targets toward $200 remain valid.
Agree Realty | ADC | Long at $72.37Agree Realty NYSE:ADC
Summary: A "boring" REIT with a 4.2% dividend, ~68% investment-grade tenants, high occupancy (~99%), average lease terms of 10+ years, which include major tenants Walmart (top tenant), Dollar General, Tractor Supply, Best Buy, Dollar Tree, TJ Maxx, O'Reilly Auto Parts, CVS, Kroger, Lowe's, Hobby Lobby, Burlington, Sherwin-Williams, Sunbelt Rentals, Wawa, Home Depot....
Technical Analysis: Cup and handle formation may be forming off the recent double bottom (bullish). Two open price gaps remain on the daily chart since 2020 (down near $59) - chance these may get closed if the market turns in the near-term. However, REITs average +30% returns within 16 months post-Fed rate cuts, so patience may benefit investors here.
Follow the Money : Insiders buying .
Company Financial Health: Strong. $2.3B liquidity, no material debt maturities until 2028, and investment-grade balance sheet (A- rating from Fitch). Debt-to-assets ~40%, covered by stable net-lease rents. Macro risks (e.g., tenant bankruptcies like At Home, consumer slowdown) exist but are mitigated by diversification. Altman Z-Score suggests low distress and no near-term catalysts for insolvency.
Earnings and Revenue Growth: ~4% between 2025 and 2027 (slow growth, but good/steady for a REIT).
Thus, at $72.37, NYSE:ADC is in a personal buy zone for a likely move up given the high probability of lower interest rates in the future. A near-term risk of a drop to $59 could occur, but REITs often move higher within 1-2 years after interest rates cuts. It's a solid company financially with a good dividend.
Targets into 2028:
$80.00 (+10.5%)
$90.00 (+24.3%)
Philip Morris Turning Point: Surge to $200 or Drop to $140?
Technical Analysis
Overall Trend: The stock is in an upward channel, and the ascending trendline (blue) has been validated multiple times, showing strong price reactions.
Moving Average: The price is fluctuating near the 50-day moving average, which acts as short-term support/resistance.
Key Support: The $163–165 range aligns with the ascending trendline.
Key Resistance: $175–177 and then $185–190.
Short-Term Scenario (1–3 weeks)
Bullish Scenario:
If the price holds above the trendline ($163–165) and breaks $168.5, a rise to $175 is expected. If $175 is broken, the next target is $182–185.
Target 1: $175
Target 2: $182–185
Stop Loss: Below $162
Bearish Scenario:
If the trendline is broken and the price consolidates below $162, a drop to $155 is possible, and in the worst case, it could reach $138–140.
Target 1: $155
Target 2: $138–140
Stop Loss: Recovery and consolidation above $168
Long-Term Scenario (3–6 months)
Bullish Scenario:
If the upward trend continues and the $185–190 resistance is broken, the path toward the all-time high near $195–200 opens.
Mid-term Target: $185–190
Long-term Target: $195–200
Stop Loss: Losing support at $155
Bearish Scenario:
If the key support at $155 is broken and selling pressure continues, a corrective target around $137 is likely. This level is considered strong support on a larger timeframe.
Target 1: $155
Target 2: $137
Stop Loss: Recovery and consolidation above $175
Summary:
In the short term, traders should consider the $163–165 range as critical. Holding above it opens a growth opportunity to $175–185, but losing it could trigger a drop to $155 and $140.
In the long term, as long as support at $155 holds, the bullish trend remains dominant, and the $190–200 target remains active.
Alibaba | BABA | Long at $108.84Like Amazon, I suspect AI and robotics will enhance Alibaba's NYSE:BABA e-commerce, logistics, and cloud computing operations. There is some risk here, like other Chinese stocks, that they could be delisted from the US market if trade/war tensions rise. But I just don't think that is likely (no matter the threats) due to the importance of worldwide trade and investment. I could be way wrong, though...
NYSE:BABA has a current P/E of 14.2x and a forward P/E of 2x, which indicates strong earnings growth ahead. The company is very healthy, with a debt-to-equity of 0.2x, Altmans Z Score of 3.3, and a Quick Ratio of 1.5. If this were a US stock, investors would have piled in long ago at the current price.
From a technical analysis perspective, the historical simple moving average (SMA) band has started to reverse trend (now upward), indicating a high potential for continued (overall) price movement up. It is possible, however, that the price may reenter the SMA band in the near-term - the $80s aren't out of the question - as tariff threats arise. But that area is another personal entry zone if fundamentals hold.
Thus, while it could be a bumpy ride and the risk is there for delisting, NYSE:BABA is in a personal buy zone at $108.84 (with known risk of drop to the $80s in the near-term).
Targets into 2028:
$125.00 (+14.8%)
$160.00 (+47.0%)
NVIDIA Analysis: Short-Term Gains & Long-Term PotentialShort-Term Analysis (1-2 weeks):
Price Action: The current price is near the lower boundary of the descending channel, with the support level around $174.80. This could act as a good entry point for a potential rebound.
Technical Insights: The chart shows a descending channel, indicating that if the price reaches the lower boundary, there's a likelihood of a short-term reversal.
Price Target: In the short term, the first target would be around $180, which is near the upper resistance of the channel. If broken, a further move toward $185 could be possible.
Stop Loss: If the support at $174.80 breaks, the stop loss could be set at $170.
Long-Term Analysis (1-3 months):
Price Action: If the price manages to break out of the descending channel, a continued bullish trend would likely push the price toward $190. This is a strong resistance level.
Technical Insights: A breakout from the descending channel would indicate a continuation of the bullish trend. In that case, the price might reach higher levels above $190.
Price Target: In the long run, if the price breaks above the channel, the next target could be $200.
Stop Loss: In case the price drops below $170 in the long term, the bearish trend would likely continue, with a stop loss set at $160.
Summary:
Short-Term: Support at $174.80, with a price target of $180 and a stop loss at $170.
Long-Term: Bullish target at $190-$200, with a stop loss at $160.
Always consider fundamental news that could significantly impact price movements.
Bulls vs. Bears: Key Levels That Will Decide the Next Big Move
Long-Term View
The overall trend since 2022 is upward (supported by the rising blue trendline).
Each touch of this trendline has triggered a strong bounce.
Key long-term support: 720 – 730
Major resistances:
First: 820 – 840
Second: 920 – 950
As long as price holds above 720, the long-term outlook remains bullish. A breakdown below 720 could trigger a deeper correction toward 660 – 680 or even 590.
Short-Term View
Current price is around 770, consolidating between 720 (support) and 820 (resistance).
If candles hold above 760, price may push back to 800 – 820.
A breakdown below 760, and especially under 730, would likely send price down to retest the 720 trendline support.
Price Targets & Stop Loss
Bullish Scenario (if 730 – 760 holds)
Target 1: 820
Target 2: 890 – 920
Long-term target: 950 – 1000
Stop loss: close below 720
Bearish Scenario (if 720 breaks)
Target 1: 660 – 680
Target 2: 600 – 620
Long-term target: 570
Stop loss: recovery and close back above 750
Pro Conclusion
Short-term: Range trading between 730 – 820.
Long-term: Bullish bias remains as long as 720 holds.
Best strategy: Buy near supports (730 – 760) with a tight stop, aiming for 820+.
Globant | GLOB | Long at $55.00Globant NYSE:GLOB - an IT and software development specializing in AI-driven digital transformation and engineering. The company has partnerships with AWS, Google Cloud, Unity, and Slack, while collaborating with clients such as Google, Electronic Arts, Santander, and Rockwell Automation to deliver enterprise AI and custom software services.
Technical Analysis:
Price for NYSE:GLOB has fallen into my "crash" simple moving average zone. This often, but not always (still a "major" crash zone further down), signals a bottom. The current crash zone extends to $45 and there is a high possibility the price may dip that low in the near-term. Long-term, given the potential earnings and revenue growth, it looks undervalued at its current price.
Earnings and Revenue Growth Between 2025 & 2028
Projected Earnings Growth: ~17% increase (from ~$2.4B in 2025 to $2.8B in 2028)
Projected Revenue Growth: ~96% increase (from ~$157M in 2025 to $309M in 2028, at 28.7% CAGR).
Health
Debt-to-Equity: 0.25x (very good)
Altman's Z-Score/Bankruptcy Risk: 3.5 (excellent/very low risk)
Quick Ratio/Ability to pay current bills: 1.7 (great, low risk)
Action
Due to the good growth potential of NYSE:GLOB , the connections / partnerships it currently has with major companies, and solid financial health, I am personally going long at $55.00. More shares will be gathered if the price reaches the $40's and the fundamentals remain the same.
Targets in 2028
$75.00 (+36.7%)
$100.00 (+81.8%)
GCT - POTENTIAL 52-WEEK HIGHGCT - Current Price 31.10 - 31.20
GCT is in a healthy UPTREND because :
Price is above 50- and 200-days EMA.
A Golden Cross was formed recently, where the 50 EMA crossed above the 200 EMA (look at the blue circle).
RSI (45-period) has remained above 50 level since May 2025, showing consistent momentum buildup and buyers’ dominance.
Price is now approaching the 52-week high resistance at 34.50. A breakout above this level could trigger momentum toward the next target of 38.00 based on Fibonacci extension.
ENTRY PRICE : 30.00 - 31.20
TARGET : 34.00 and 38.00
SUPPORT : 27.50 (The low of 09 SEPTEMBER 2025 bullish white candlestick)
Notes : 1st target at 34.00 is slightly below the actual 52-week high resistance level of 34.50.
Flowers Food | FLO | Long at $13.51Flowers Food NYSE:FLO . Maker of Nature’s Own (the top-selling bread brand in the US), Wonder Bread, Tastykake, and many others, has entered my "crash" simple moving average zone. While the fall has been steep since 2022, the company is trading at a price-to-earnings of 13x (typical food industry is around 20x) and offers and 7%+ dividend. It's not a play for future growth, however, which is expected to be mild to stagnant ( based on forward annual earnings and revenue . This position is a value / dividend play given the high likelihood of lower interest rates and a certain group of investors moving out of banks and into dividend / income stocks.
So, while I wouldn't be shocked if NYSE:FLO dips into the $12 rage in the near-term, I have created a starter position in the company at $13.51. My targets are modest, although there is a blaring gap in the $27-$28 range that will likely be filled... some time.
Targets into 2028:
$14.75 (+9.2%)
$16.25 (+20.3%)
More Downside in Merck?Merck has been sliding for more than a year. Now, following a period of consolidation, some traders may see further downside risk.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the range between the August 26 high of $85.59 and the August 28 close of $83.21, where the pharmaceutical giant spent almost three weeks. It closed under support on Friday and continued lower yesterday. That may suggest that support has been broken.
Second, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) crossed below the 21-day EMA. MACD is also falling. Those signals could suggest the short-term trend has grown bearish.
Next, August saw a lower high relative to late March (which also featured lower peaks than previous months). That may confirm a longer-term downtrend is in effect.
Finally, MRK is back under its 50-day simple moving average.
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HCC ANALYSISSwing Trade :
Bullish Reversal Setup
After a good correction on weekly timeframe with low volumes , the stock took support at 200 sma on weekly timeframe.
On Daily timeframe it gave a breakout out of a small consolidation and 20 ema is breaking above 50 sma.
Stop loss can be placed at 27.4.
Disc : My view is for educational or study purpose only.
It is not a buy/sell recommendation.
Double-Top Breakdown + Bearish MACD — Target 206Idea type: Short (breakdown) — setup confirmed by gap-down open + MACD bearish crossover
Target: 206
1) Setup — What I see
Price formed a classical double-top: two near-equal peaks with a clear neckline between them.
Break of the neckline happened on a gap-down open (strong bearish sentiment, high short interest/liquidity sweep).
MACD (12,26,9) shows a bearish crossover (MACD line crossing below signal) on the daily — momentum has turned to the downside and confirms the breakdown.
2) Primary Target:
206 — intended as the measured-move projection from the double-top pattern and reinforced by a nearby historical support zone.
Measured-move method: (Peak height) = Peak price − Neckline price. Project that distance downward from the neckline to get the target. (Use your chart’s exact peak & neckline prices to verify that this projection aligns with 206.)
Double Bottom Breakout with Gap-Up — Target 1081) Pattern + Breakout Confirmation
The chart has formed a double bottom structure, a classic reversal setup that signals the end of a downtrend and potential start of an uptrend. After testing the support zone twice and holding firm, price opened with a strong gap-up above the neckline , confirming bullish intent.
2) Trade Plan — Path Toward 108
The measured move from the double bottom formation projects an upside target of 108 , aligning with a prior resistance zone . Traders can consider entry on the breakout or wait for a pullback to the neckline for a safer risk-reward setup. The invalidation level lies just below the neckline gap, while momentum favors continuation higher. Holding above the breakout zone keeps the bullish bias intact until the target at 108 is approached.






















