Bitcoin Death Cross! Save Yourselves! – November 2025A Death Cross. Sounds terrifying, doesn’t it? Like something out of a low-budget horror film. Here in deepest darkest Bavaria you can’t drive ten minutes without seeing Christ nailed to a cross at every T-junction, it’s practically the local logo. Cross the Austrian border and the numbers multiply like leverage traders in a bull run. Lovely.
But this? This is the real death cross. Or at least, that’s what the market thinks.
Déjà vu… for the third time
This is the third time I’ve written this post. And yes, it’s always at max fear. Every cycle the same: people panic, memes fly, and somewhere someone says, “It’s different this time.” Spoiler: it’s not.
If you’re feeling nostalgic, click the little triangles where the purple arrows point on the chart. you’ll see the previous posts. The critics lined up back then too, bless ’em. Loud voices, small wallets, and Mum's voice in the background "Dinner's ready!".
April 7th, 2025 Death cross
August 18th, 2024 Death cross
The November 17th Death Cross
On the 1-day chart above, the signal is forecast to print by November 17th. That’s when the
50-day SMA (blue) crosses below the 200-day SMA (red) and price action sits under the 200-day line. It’s the technical version of your mother saying, “I’m not angry, just disappointed.”
This forecast uses the Trigg & Leach method, the same one applied to prior crosses and it’s nailed every one since the bull market began.
Closer
Zooming out..
Time to market top: circa 59 days
Here’s the clever bit, or as I call it, the boring maths no one reads. Historically after each Death Cross Bitcoin rallied before topping out. The time between the cross and the pivot has been shrinking:
1st Cycle → 179 days
2nd Cycle → 131 days
3rd Cycle → 99 days
Apply some arithmetic progression, that’s a fancy way of saying “find the difference and pretend it means something.”
Difference 1 131 − 179 = −48
Difference 2: 99 − 131 = −32
Average difference = −40
Therefore 99 − 40 = 59 days.
That puts the potential cycle top mid-January 2026, and wouldn’t you know it, mid-January sell-offs are a Bitcoin tradition older than bad YouTube thumbnails.
Conclusions
So yes, a Death Cross is coming. Cue the headlines, the drama, and the bloke on X explaining Fibonacci levels like they’re sacred scripture.
Look left. Every time this happened, it played out the same way: panic, bounce, despair, recovery. Rinse, repeat.
The maths points to mid-January 2026 for the next swing high, and then gravity takes over.
If it all goes to plan, brilliant. If not, add this one to your growing folder titled “Why I don’t listen to anyone on TradingView.”
Ww
Disclaimer
==============================================================
This isn’t financial advice. I’m not your fund manager, your priest, or your mum.
If you go all-in on Bitcoin because two squiggly lines made a cross, that’s your fault, not mine.
If it pumps, you’ll say you “always knew.”
If it dumps, you’ll tweet “market manipulation.”
Either way, I’ll still be here, drinking tea and laughing at the comment section.
So yes it’s a Death Cross. But relax. It’s just a chart, not the Book of Revelation.
Ahmen
