Get started

Multiple Time Frame Analysis

EURUSD H4 Bearish CHOCH + BOS, Descending Channel Continuation 📝 Description EURUSD on H4 has completed a clear CHOCH followed by BOS, confirming a shift into a bearish HTF framework. Price is now respecting a descending channel, with pullbacks failing below prior resistance and acceptance holding under key PD Arrays. ________________________________________ 📈 Analysis (Scenario-Based | Non-Signal) Primary Bias: Bearish within the channel • Continuation favors a measured sell-off along the channel slope • Pullbacks into H4 resistance / FVG are corrective, not impulsive • Downside draw remains toward lower H4 liquidity (LQ/SSL) inside the channel • Any bounce without acceptance above the channel top is viewed as sell-side opportunity ________________________________________ 🎯 ICT & SMC Notes • Confirmed CHOCH + BOS (H4) validates bearish structure • H4 FVG overhead acting as dynamic supply • Liquidity draw favors SSL below recent lows ________________________________________ 🧩 Summary Structure and geometry align for continued downside. As long as EURUSD trades below channel resistance, probability favors gradual bearish expansion toward lower liquidity pools rather than a reversal. ________________________________________ 🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment With USD strength increasing such as ISM and Unemployment Rate, and no clear catalysts for EUR, macro flow supports a bearish continuation. This backdrop reinforces the expectation of downside movement within the drawn channel, barring a sudden shift in USD momentum or euro-specific catalysts. ________________________________________ ⚠️ Risk Disclosure Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
Short
by TFlab
ASIA+LDN FSC+WH+RSI overbought on 1hr and 4hrEntered this trade with a ASIA+LDN Open FSC. Thought trade was big with 40 pips, I did take it as RSI was overbought on 1hr nd 4hr and I am expecting a big recovery.The 40 pip TP and SL does allow for a lot of breathing room during LDN and NY open. Not expecting DXY to go to PL 98 today .Expecting it to go back to PL 99.00 and range as market is imbalanced. While RSI is not overbought on 15 min, it is on 1hr time frame as well as 4hr. TP zone is still withing SL of a PL sell so trade TP is still within safe zone. Don't want to move SL to BE unless a really strong logical and technical reason appears. Would have liked to enter trade with a technical WH confirmation but timing confirmation was below WH entry. Weekly high did not align with rtiming confirmation. Waiting for market to exhaust itself after strong bullish move. Trade has timing and technical confirmation+RSI+DXY. All aligns with my trading plan.
TVC:DXY
by DiyaChoo
1
USDJPY W1 HTF Distribution and Weekly Bearish Pullback Scenario📝 Description FX:USDJPY on the weekly timeframe is trading inside a mature HTF bullish cycle that shows clear signs of exhaustion. Price is reacting below major weekly supply and within a premium zone, suggesting a transition from expansion into a distribution phase rather than trend continuation. ________________________________________ 📈 Signal / Analysis Primary Bias: Bearish weekly correction from HTF supply Preferred Setup: • Entry: 157.81 • Stop Loss: Above 160.73 • TP1: 155.12 • TP2: 152.63 • TP3: 149.68 ________________________________________ 🎯 ICT & SMC Notes • Price trading inside HTF premium zone • Weekly FVG acting as distribution area • No strong bullish displacement after recent highs • Sell-side liquidity remains the higher-timeframe draw ________________________________________ 🧩 Summary As long as FX:USDJPY remains capped below the weekly supply and fails to break above the recent high, downside continuation toward lower weekly liquidity levels remains the higher-probability scenario. ________________________________________ 🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment Recent US trade-policy uncertainty has weakened USD confidence, while surging Japanese government bond yields driven by political risk increase JPY attractiveness. This combination narrows yield differentials and caps USDJPY upside. Over the medium to long term, downside pressure is favored, with rallies likely corrective unless USD regains clear policy support. ________________________________________ ⚠️ Risk Disclosure Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
Short
by TFlab
1
SUI H4 AMD Distribution Phase, Expecting Sell-Off Toward H4 FVGs📝 Description SUI on H4 has completed a clear AMD cycle. After a prolonged Accumulation, price expanded into Manipulation and is now trading inside the Distribution phase. Recent price behavior shows weak follow-through on the upside, signaling exhaustion rather than continuation. ________________________________________ 📈 Analysis (Scenario-Based | Non-Signal) With the market now firmly in Phase 3 (Distribution), downside probability increases. • Failed upside continuation confirms distribution behavior • Price rejection inside the range suggests smart money offloading • Draw-on-price shifts toward unfilled H4 FVGs below As long as price remains capped below the distribution high, any short-term bounce is viewed as corrective, favoring continuation lower. ________________________________________ 🎯 ICT & SMC Notes • Complete AMD structure confirmed • Distribution phase active • H4 FVGs below acting as downside magnets ________________________________________ 🧩 Summary SUI has transitioned into the Distribution phase of AMD, which historically precedes downside expansion. With no structural bullish confirmation, the higher-probability path favors a rotation lower toward H4 FVGs, aligning with smart-money distribution rather than accumulation. ________________________________________ 🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment SUI remains risk-sensitive. With no fresh bullish catalyst and fading crypto liquidity, conditions favor the Distribution phase and a move toward lower H4 FVGs rather than continuation higher. ________________________________________ ⚠️ Risk Disclosure Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
Short
by TFlab
USDJPY M15 Bullish Liquidity Reversal Setup📝 Description After a sharp sell-off and sell-side liquidity sweep, FX:USDJPY price has entered a reactive phase. Early signs of a short-term bullish reversal are visible on the M15 timeframe. ________________________________________ 📈 Signal / Analysis Primary Bias: Bullish while price holds above the M15 liquidity low Preferred Setup: • Entry: 157.700 • Stop Loss: Below 157.561 • TP1: 157.920 • TP2: 158.043 • TP3: 158.210 (BPR / higher liquidity) ________________________________________ 🎯 ICT & SMC Notes • Sell-side liquidity fully swept on M15 • Strong displacement candle from demand • Price reclaimed internal range low ________________________________________ 📌 Summary As long as price remains above the recent demand zone, the dominant scenario is a bullish continuation toward overhead BPR and liquidity pools. A break below the recent low weakens this setup. ________________________________________ 📰 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment Following recent trade-related rhetoric and policy uncertainty, USD momentum has weakened, increasing volatility risk. While a buy scenario remains valid on structure, current headlines argue for stricter risk management, as sudden shifts in sentiment can trigger sharp pullbacks before continuation. ________________________________________ ⚠️ Risk Disclosure Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
Long
by TFlab
XAU/USD 20 January 2026 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. As per analysis of yesterday where I mentioned price could potentially continue bullish is how price printed. As a result, CHoCH positioning has been brought significantly closer to current price action. Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. Intraday expectation: Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Thereafter price to react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,731.710. Alternative scenario: Price to again continue bullish. Note: The Federal Reserve’s renewed easing cycle, alongside a weaker U.S. dollar and persistent geopolitical tensions, continues to drive volatility in the gold market. Traders should remain cautious and adjust risk management strategies to navigate sharp price swings. Additionally, gold pricing is highly sensitive to U.S. policy under President Trump, where tariff measures, fiscal uncertainty, and shifting geopolitical strategy amplify market repricing risks and reinforce safe‑haven demand. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has continue to print higher. The remainder of my analysis remains the same, apart from new target price for fractal high, which has been updated. Price printed according to analysis dated 13 January 2026 by printing a bullish iBOS. Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue horizontal dotted line. Intraday expectation: Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing a bearish CHoCH. Current CHoCH positioning is far away from price, therefore, price could continue bullish and print higher-highs to bring CHoCH positioning closer to current price action. Price to then trade down to either M15 or H4 demand zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high, priced at 4,731.710. Note: Gold continues to exhibit elevated volatility as markets digest the Federal Reserve’s ongoing dovish tilt and persistent global geopolitical tensions. With uncertainty remaining a dominant theme across global risk assets, traders should prioritise disciplined risk management, as abrupt price swings and liquidity pockets may become increasingly common. Furthermore, recent tariff announcements from President Trump, particularly those directed at China, have added another layer of instability to the macro landscape. These policy developments have the potential to intensify market turbulence, heighten risk‑off flows, and trigger sharp intraday reversals or whipsaw‑like behaviour in gold. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
WH+SC+RSI+DXY+CAP WAVETook technical and timing confirmation of the trade on 2 seperate accounts. This trade is what I would call the perfect confirmation and set up. It had everything that I look for when taking a trade. This include a timing+technical+RSI+DXY confirmation. 42 pip Asia_SC for timing, WH for technical, RSI overbought on 15min. 1hr and 4hrs, DXY has SC and WL as well. Multiple resistance points including WH, PL, and SL on EURUSD. Market also move more than the 56pip avg 15 min CAP wave. There is also a 1hr Cap Wave of 103 average as Market moved around 120 pips. Confident in this setup due to multiple strong confirmations. If trade does hit SL than there are SH and another WH for back up trades.
by DiyaChoo
Long trade Pair EURJYP Mon 19th Jan 26 9.00 am (NY time) Entry 183.754 Profit level 184.282 (0.28%) Stop level (0.067%) RR 4.29 🧠 Sentiment & Market Narrative — EURJPY (Buy-Side Bias) Market sentiment has shifted bullish, with EURJPY transitioning from sell-side delivery into buy-side expansion. Price previously completed a sell-side liquidity run below prior session lows, inducing short participation at a discount. This move failed to gain continuation, signalling absorption and accumulation rather than sustained bearish intent. The subsequent bullish displacement and reclaim of internal structure confirmed a change in order flow. From a session perspective: Tokyo provided the initial liquidity sweep and range compression. London confirmed the reversal with strong bullish follow-through from the discount. New York acted as the continuation engine, driving price back into premium. Price is now trading above equilibrium, with upside draw aligned toward unmitigated buy-side liquidity and higher-timeframe inefficiencies. Pullbacks into FVGs and the 0.25–0.50 PD Array are viewed as re-accumulation, not distribution. Unless price re-accepts below the discounted demand zone, sentiment remains risk-on, favouring buy-side continuation.
Long
by davidjulien369
Short trade Sell-side trade Pair BTCUSDT Mon 19th Jan 26 5.00 pm LND Session PM Entry 92959.3 Profit level 90720.9 (2.40%) Stop level 93335.0 (0.40%) RR 5.96 Sentiment & Market Narrative — BTCUSDT (Sell-Side Bias | London PM) Market sentiment during the London PM session was bearish, with BTC firmly positioned in a distribution → sell-side delivery phase. 15min TF overview Earlier in the day, price completed a buy-side liquidity sweep into prior highs and premium PD Arrays. This upside move failed to achieve acceptance, signalling exhaustion rather than continuation. As London PM unfolded, price repeatedly rejected premium levels, confirming that strength was being sold into. Key sentiment drivers during London PM: Failure to hold premium pricing after the liquidity run Rejection from internal resistance and unmitigated FVGs Bearish displacement confirming a shift in intraday order flow London PM acted as the transition window, converting earlier distribution into active downside delivery, with price beginning its draw toward sell-side liquidity and inefficiencies resting below. This behaviour reflects a risk-off environment, where rallies are used for short positioning, not accumulation. Unless BTC reclaims and holds above the prior range high and premium PD Arrays, sentiment remains sell-side favoured, with a continuation lower being the higher-probability outcome.
Short
by davidjulien369