XAUUSD| POSSIBLE SELL MOVE AFTER NEWS EFFECT I am closely monitoring a significant price zone after observing that the market pushed upward, taking out liquidity above the order block (OB) before closing back below it. This movement appears to be influenced by recent news. As the price stabilizes, I am considering a selling opportunity, but only under specific conditions:
1. The price must first sweep Friday's high, then touch and react from the daily order block.
2. There should be a clear change of character (CHOCH) or break of structure (BOS) on the 1-hour chart.
3. A refined entry signal must be established on the 15-minute chart.
4. Execution of the trade can be either through limit orders or instant execution.
If these criteria are met, I will proceed with the trade. Otherwise, I will remain sidelines and wait for the London session, focusing on the potential for Asian liquidity.
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
Ethereum at Weekly Supply Zone – Possible Drop AheadHello everybody,
Price is currently at the weekly supply zone.
It has broken an upward trendline and pulled back to retest it.
A decline from this area is expected.
The most likely target is the nearest demand zone, around 3800.
Manage your risk and trade safe!
BTC/USDT – Bullish Re-Test SetupPrice just tested $115.3K support and bounced hard — now eyeing $117K resistance.
✅ Trade Condition:
Close above $115.6K on 4H → Confirm bullish reversal.
Otherwise Price will head lower.
🎯 Target: $117,000 → $117,500
🛑 SL: Below $115,400
🔁 Strong bounce from base = momentum build
This is a classic support-to-resistance move. Watch for confirmation — no fakeouts.
#BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #DayTrading #Breakout
$100,000 Bitcoin Might Not Be Far From Reality....“Fed Cut” was Already Expected
The 25bps cut had 99.7% probability priced in, so there was little surprise. Bitcoin needed more dovish forward guidance, not just a single cut.
This led to a “sell the news” effect: BTC jumped ahead of expectations and then hesitated.
Weak Spot Flows / ETF Pullbacks
Futures markets are active and leveraged, but spot volume is lagging, suggesting weaker real demand.
Although ETFs once fueled gains, some weeks show professional asset managers pulling back, slowing the rally.
$5 Billion Nvidia & Intel Deal = Moon?Key Drivers of the Rally
Fed Rate Cut
The Federal Reserve cut short‐term interest rates by 25 basis points this week — the first rate cut in a while. That typically boosts equities because borrowing costs fall, making future earnings more valuable.
The cut also signalled that further easing might be possible, which increases optimism about slower financing conditions ahead.
Strong Tech & AI Sentiment
Tech names, especially those involved in AI, chip manufacturing, cloud, data centres, have had good news. For example, Nvidia & Intel made a joint investment/partnership plan which lifted Intel heavily and helped boost tech indices.
Nvidia is buying $5 billion of Intel common stock at $23.28/share, which gives Nvidia about a 4% stake in Intel.
This comes after recent government investment in Intel (the U.S. got a ~10% stake) to shore up its competitive position.
Dollar Index Holding Up But GBPUSD Might Change That...Dollar = Relative Game, Not Absolute
Dollar Index isn’t just the USD — it’s USD vs a basket (mainly EUR, JPY, GBP).
If the Fed cuts but ECB, BOE, and BOJ are also leaning dovish, the relative advantage doesn’t change; USD stays steady.
The dollar has been consolidating because macro signals are mixed (Fed easing vs US resilience, inflation uncertainty, global growth divergence), and the euro/yen/GBP balance out.
The market is waiting for a clear catalyst — usually a Fed decision, inflation report, or geopolitical shock to break the range.
GBPJPY Bearish for the week commencing 22nd SeptExpecting a bullish move back into some of the internal liquidity left over from the move on friday, with a strong bearish move to counter aiming for TP's at the lower levels of low resistance liquidity.
Could decide to react off the 1H FVG left over but expecting a move to above EQ before another leg down. Will be looking to take a short at the marked areas either of 4H FVG or 1H OB above it.
NIKE BREAKDOWN (NKE)...POTENTIAL LONG OPPORTUNITYHey hey Tradingview family!!! Joseph here AKA JosePips! Just wanted to come on this week and do a breakdown on the company Nike & what I see technically potentially happening next on this stock! In this video you will get a in depth breakdown of
1. Overall price action structure/context
2. Momentum & understanding how momentum can be used in your trading
3. Supply & Demand principles
4. Technical confluence & how to really use indicators to build your edge in trading
So I hope you guys enjoy this video and breakdown!! Boost this post & follow my page for more content!
Cheers!
MNQ ATH overall bullish Overall I am bullish while at ATH but we did take ATH n friday which would indicate a retrace is inevitable before another leg up. Where that retrace comes back to is the big question.
We have a 1H FVG at EQ of the Fridays leg up which could be a decent rejection point, if we wanted to retrace deeper we could be looking at a retrace to the 4H EQ as marked by the red line and lower large FVG.
Either way I am expecting price to go higher but will be watching both these points this week to see the PA reaction.
Potential TP's for the long based on Fib extensions.
GBPCHF - Weekly Outlook
Pair: GBPCHF
Bias: Bullish
HTF Overview (4H):
Major LH has been broken, signaling clear buy intent. A deep pullback is currently in play, setting up potential continuation.
MTF (2H/1H/30M):
Price has mitigated the OB zone and pushed deeper into the secret anchor OB area. Structure shows high-probability continuation potential.
LTF (30M/5M):
Waiting for a CHoCH to form. Once the LH breaks, we’ll wait for the pullback to occur and attend the bullish leg.
Targets:
• TP1: 5M highs
• TP2: 30M highs (depending on market delivery)
Mindset Note:
GBPCHF can run sharp — patience for the CHoCH and pullback ensures a clean entry aligned with HTF bullish intent.
EURNZD - Weekly OutlookPair: EURNZD
Bias: Bullish
HTF Overview (4H):
Strong momentum visible toward the upside, structure clearly bullish.
MTF (2H/1H/30M):
Anticipating continuation to the highs. Waiting for the courtyard liquidity to be taken and slashed before confirming the next leg.
LTF (30M/5M):
Once price mitigates the OB from the MTF, we wait for a full CHoCH. After that prints, we’ll look for a pullback on the bullish leg to catch the move.
Targets:
• TP1: 5M highs
• TP2: 30M highs (depending on market delivery)
Mindset Note:
Let the CHoCH and mitigation complete — patience ensures the cleanest entry and avoids premature entries against structure.
BTCUSD - Weekly OutlookPair: BTCUSD
Bias: Bullish
HTF Overview (4H):
Bullish structure remains intact. Dropping to lower scales to anticipate continuation within the broader trend.
MTF (2H/1H/30M):
Structure is mapped and refined. A CHoCH has printed from a deep anchor zone. Now waiting for the sell-side liquidity (SSL) sweep 🧹 before dropping to lower confirmations.
LTF (30M/5M):
Once mitigation from the higher zone is complete, we’ll wait for a breach of the LH. Once applied, we’ll attend the bullish leg.
Targets:
• TP1: 5M highs
• TP2: 30M highs (depending on market delivery)
Mindset Note:
Crypto loves liquidity sweeps — let BTC clear the SSL and confirm with structure before committing to the long side.
XAUUSD (Gold) - Weekly OutlookPair: XAUUSD
Bias: Bullish
HTF Overview (4H):
Structure is mapped and refined, with momentum clearly showing toward the upside.
MTF (2H/1H/30M):
Watching for sell-side liquidity (SSL) to be taken. Once slashed and the OB is fully mitigated, confirmations for continuation higher will be in play.
LTF (30M/5M):
Waiting for HTF sync and full mitigation. Once a CHoCH is confirmed with a LH break, we’ll attend to the bullish leg.
Targets:
• TP1: 5M highs
• TP2: 30M highs (depending on delivery)
Mindset Note:
Gold moves aggressively — let the SSL clear and mitigation align before entering. The CHoCH keeps you disciplined inside the volatility.
NZDUSD - Weekly Outlook
Pair: NZDUSD
Bias: Bearish
HTF Overview (4H):
Structure is mapped and refined at the highest tier, showing bearish intent.
MTF (2H/1H/30M):
Anticipating continuation lower. Waiting for buy-side liquidity (BSL) to be taken. Once slashed and OB mitigated, price aligned with the bearish narrative.
LTF (30M/5M):
A CHoCH has already been confirmed with a break of the HL. Now waiting for a pullback into the bearish leg to attend further sells.
Targets:
• TP1: 5M lows
• TP2: 30M lows (depending on delivery)
Mindset Note:
NU often fakes bullish before continuing lower — let the pullback deliver before committing to the short side.
AUDUSD - Weekly OutlookPair: AUDUSD
Bias: Bullish
HTF Overview (4H):
Bullish structure is intact, with momentum visually clear and intent showing strong upside direction.
MTF (2H/1H/30M):
Price has been mapped and refined to precision. The OB zone has already been mitigated, so now we wait for confirmation of continuation.
LTF (30M/5M):
Looking for a CHoCH confirmation with a breach of the LH. Once that occurs, we’ll attend the bullish leg for long setups.
Targets:
• TP1: 5M highs
• TP2: 30M highs (depending on delivery)
Mindset Note:
AU rewards patience — let the CHoCH print before entering. A confirmed breach of structure keeps you aligned with the higher-timeframe bullish momentum.
EURJPY - Weekly OutlookPair: EURJPY
Bias: Bullish
HTF Overview (4H):
Bullish structure is mapped and refined, showing strong momentum toward the upside.
MTF (2H/1H/30M):
Refined structure suggests continuation in line with the dominant bullish trend. Waiting for courtyard liquidity (SSL) to be taken and slashed before further confirmation.
LTF (30M/5M):
Once price mitigates the refined zone, we’ll wait for a CHoCH to anticipate the buy leg. Until then, we remain patient.
Entry Zone:
Pending mitigation of refined OB and CHoCH confirmation.
Targets:
• TP1: 5M highs
• TP2: 30M highs (depending on market delivery)
Mindset Note:
EURJPY can fake early — let the SSL get slashed before looking for your CHoCH confirmation. Patience secures the cleaner entry.
GBPJPY - Weekly OutlookPair: GBPJPY
Bias: Bullish
HTF Overview (4H):
Bullish structure is mapped and refined, showing strong upward momentum. Price is moving cleanly in line with the trend.
MTF (2H/1H/30M):
Structure is refined and awaiting a deeper courtyard slash. Looking for mitigation of the OB sitting below before continuation higher.
LTF (30M/5M):
Confirmation will come once the lower high (LH) is breached. Expecting a pullback setup from there, which we’ll attend to. Until then, patience is key.
Entry Zone:
Refined OB once mitigation aligns with LTF confirmations.
Targets:
• TP1: 5M highs
• TP2: 30M highs (depending on market delivery)
Mindset Note:
GJ delivers volatility — let price pull back into your courtyard slash before committing. Structure will tell the story.
GBPUSD - Weekly OutlookPair: GBPUSD
Bias: Bullish
HTF Overview (4H):
Structure is refined and mapped, with mitigation of the OB zone below. Since then, price has respected bullish movement across lower scales. ⚖️
MTF (2H/1H/30M):
Structure has been mapped and previous sell-side liquidity was taken. Following the OB mitigation, price continued bullish. Now watching to see if that mitigation level holds.
LTF (30M/5M):
Looking for a CHoCH confirmation inside refined zones. Once confirmed, we’ll aim toward the highs.
Targets:
• TP1: 5M highs
• TP2: 30M highs (depending on market delivery)
Mindset Note:
Let the confirmation come to you — GU loves to sweep and shake weak hands before committing to trend continuation.
XPDUSD: Strong Confluence + MomentumBias: Long
Trade Type: Reversal
Trend: Range
Area of Value: Yearly Open + Quarter Open + 6 Hit Support
Momentum: 1D MACD Histogram Crossing to High Tide.
Entry: 1,102.37
Exits: Stop Loss @ 1,063.95 ; Take Profit @ 1,217.82
Analysis
Fact 1: XPDUSD is in a Range between 908.50 and 1,245.35 since 2023.
Fact 2: XPDUSD movements between the ranges are relatively fast where a power move toward the resistance @ 1245.35 is also met with a power move reversal to the support @ 908.50
Fact 3: XPDUSD last move towards the resistance broke the resistance, and the reversal towards the support is a slow crawling move instead of a fast power move.
Fact 4: XPDUSD slowed down and seemed to bounce on the Area of Value that is full of confluence, paired with the timing of the momentum of MACD Histogram on 1D.
Conclusion:
XPDUSD broke its Resistance Level and instead of reversing down further to the support with a power move the bears seemed to have stopped at the Area of Value (1,102.37) confluenced by Yearly and Quarterly Opens + a strong 6 Hit support level, paired with a MACD Histogram crossing to High Tide. I believe that XPDUSD will bounce off the Area of Value and atleast reach 1,217.82 before resistance takes place.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 3.00
EURUSD - Weekly OutlookPair: EURUSD
Bias: Bullish
HTF Overview (4H):
Price is maintaining clean bullish structure, breaking previous weekly highs. Watching closely to see if price holds this momentum.
MTF (2H/1H/30M):
Refined structure + liquidity buildup noted. Eyeing the sell-side liquidity (SSL) to be taken before confirming continuation.
LTF (30M/5M):
Will wait for confirmation once price trades into refined zones. Looking for inducement → mitigation → 5M structural confirmation.
Entry Zone:
Pending refinement once SSL is swept and HTF OB aligns with LTF confirmation.
Targets:
• TP1: 5M highs
• TP2: 30M highs (depending on market delivery)
Mindset Note:
Patience is key — waiting for that SSL sweep keeps you out of fake momentum. Let structure guide the entry, not the impulse.