Nasdaq (Futures) - 1,100-1,300 Ticks Swing OpportunityBullish Strength All Week, Above $26,000 - $26,200 Until Thursday Came Around. The Selling Pressure Was So Great, The Majority Of Gains Throughout The Week Vanished!
I Am Studying Obvious Levels Of Liquidity And Based Of My HTF Analysis, We Could Be In For A Continuation To The Downside With My Interest Resting Below 25365.25 Which Is Over 1,000 Ticks.
Next Weeks NWOG Will Give Me A Clearer View Of When This Delivery Can Occur.
A Premium Gap Open Could Signify One Last Short-Term Rally, Catching Those Who Has Held Onto Their Position Throughout The Weekend And Placed Their Stop Loss Above $25,940 & $26,050
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
Long trade 🥈 SI1! — Buy-Side Sentiment & News Analysis (1-Hour)
Date: Mon 28th Jan 2026
Session: NY Session AM
Execution Time: 3:45 pm
Trade Details
Entry: 115.270
Take Profit: 122.555 (6.32%)
Stop Loss: 114.785 (0.42%)
Risk–Reward: 15.02R
🟢 Directional Bias
Buy-side continuation/expansion:
Silver is in a clear re-pricing phase, transitioning from accumulation into sustained expansion, supported by both technical structure and macro conditions.
🧠 Market Sentiment Overview
Prior consolidation resolved decisively to the upside
Pullbacks into value were shallow and aggressively bought
Buyers showed strong acceptance above prior resistance
This reflects institutional accumulation and the continuation of a trend, not speculative exhaustion.
🧩 Structural Context
Higher-high / higher-low sequence firmly established on the 1H
No bearish CHoCH or structural failure
Break and hold above prior range highs confirms trend continuation
Structure strongly favours further upside rather than mean reversion.
📊 Volume Profile & Value
Acceptance above prior value high / POC
Volume supports higher prices — no high-volume rejection
Value migrating upward alongside price
This confirms a healthy bullish auction.
⏱️ Session Behaviour (NY AM)
Asia built the base
London extended structure
NY AM delivered continuation and expansion
NY AM is historically the strongest session for metals trend extension, adding timing confluence.
📰 News & Macro Context (Why Silver Works Here)
Precious metals bid amid:
Cooling expectations around aggressive rate hikes
Persistent inflation hedging demand
📰 Silver benefits from a dual role:
Monetary metal (real-yield sensitivity)
Industrial demand exposure (risk-on alignment)
No adverse USD or yield shock during NY AM
Gold strength provides tailwind confirmation for Silver
Macro conditions are supportive, not conflicting.
🧾 Summary
SI1! shows strong buy-side sentiment following acceptance above value and continuation of a higher-timeframe bullish structure. Shallow pullbacks, bullish FVG support, and a supportive macro backdrop favour continued upside expansion.
River to 28 ? Sellers are firmly defending the 40 level, turning it into a clear supply zone visible in recent price action.
Each attempt to push higher has been met with immediate rejection, forming consistent upper wicks and failed breakout structures.
The volume profile shows increased activity on these tests, but without sustained acceptance above, indicating distribution rather than strength.
Momentum also appears to be fading, with rallies becoming shorter and less impulsive.
If buyers cannot reclaim and hold above this area, the structure favors continuation to the downside, with 28 emerging as the next significant liquidity pocket and technical target.
NZDCAD LONG Market structure bullish on HTFs 3
Entry at both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Daily Structure Point
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
TP: WHO KNOWS!
Entry 100%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
GBPUSD M30 HTF Supply Rejection and Bearish Continuation📝 Description
FX:GBPUSD has shown a clear bearish impulse after failing to sustain above the recent intraday highs. Price is currently consolidating below multiple 30-minute Fair Value Gaps, indicating a corrective pullback within a broader bearish structure rather than a bullish trend reversal.
________________________________________
📉 Signal / Analysis
Primary Bias: Bearish below the M30 FVG
Preferred Setup:
• Entry: 1.3780
• Stop Loss: Above 1.3791
• TP1: 1.3769
• TP2: 1.3747
• TP3: 1.3725
________________________________________
🧠 ICT & SMC Notes
• Rejection from stacked M30 Fair Value Gaps aligned with descending channel resistance
• Bearish market structure maintained with consistent lower highs
• No bullish displacement or acceptance above premium zones
________________________________________
📌 Summary
As long as GBPUSD remains capped below the 1.3795–1.3820 resistance zone, bearish continuation remains the preferred scenario. The current price action is viewed as a corrective pause before a potential continuation toward deeper sell-side liquidity.
________________________________________
🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment
Relative USD strength and the lack of supportive macro catalysts for the British Pound continue to pressure GBPUSD. With risk sentiment remaining cautious, downside continuation is favored in the short term.
________________________________________
⚠️ Risk Disclosure
Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
SOLUSDT M30 HTF Supply Rejection and Bearish Continuation📝 Description
BINANCE:SOLUSDT has experienced a strong bearish impulse, breaking below a key H4 balance price range. Price is now consolidating under a 30-minute Fair Value Gap, suggesting a corrective pullback within a broader bearish structure rather than a trend reversal.
________________________________________
📉 Signal / Analysis
Primary Bias: Bearish below the M30 FVG
Preferred Setup:
• Entry: 116.10 (pullback into M30 FVG / supply)
• Stop Loss: Above 116.60
• TP1: 114.89
• TP2: 113.82
• TP3: 112.17
________________________________________
🧠 ICT & SMC Notes
• Strong bearish displacement confirming sell-side dominance
• Rejection from M30 Fair Value Gap in a discount-to-premium retracement
• Clear bearish market structure with lower highs and lower lows
________________________________________
📌 Summary
As long as price remains capped below the 116.60–117.20 resistance zone, bearish continuation remains the favored scenario. The current consolidation is viewed as a pause before a potential continuation toward deeper downside liquidity.
________________________________________
🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment
Weak overall crypto market sentiment, coupled with reduced risk appetite and ongoing capital rotation out of high-beta altcoins, continues to weigh on SOL. Without a strong bullish catalyst, downside pressure remains dominant in the short term.
________________________________________
⚠️ Risk Disclosure
Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
Moon time for Litecoin! - $700 ?? - November 2025Wait a minute… doom for Dogecoin, boom for Litecoin?
“ You can’t have a bearish idea for Doge and a bullish one for Litecoin, idiot!”
Yeah, yeah. I’ve had my coffee, I’m ready for the unhinged piffle that’ll inevitably clutter the comments. Bring it on..
For the rest of us: facts are facts. Charts don’t lie... people do.
The Technical Story
Remember the blue line on the Dogecoin idea ? The one that looked like it had just given up on life? Now look at Litecoin.
Stop drooling. You’re not a starving tradesman staring at a bacon sandwich, you’re a paid-up member of the Litecoin faithful. Still holding this thing eight years after promising your friends it was “digital silver.” The stock market’s gone vertical, AI’s rewritten the economy, and you’re here, squinting at a 200-week moving average like it’s the face of God.
But here’s the thing… this chart actually looks good.
A clean Dragonfly DOJI printed on support. That’s not random, that’s exhaustion at the lows.
The RSI has bounced perfectly from the lower trendline of a four-year descending channel.
The Stochastic RSI just printed a bullish cross that looks eerily like the ones preceding major Litecoin rallies.
This is not Dogecoin.
What’s Different This Time?
No hype, no memes, no billionaire tweets. When nobody cares, that’s when charts get interesting.
The 200-week SMA (red) finally flatlining. That’s long-term accumulation, not another dead-cat bounce.
Market structure intact. Unlike most alt tokens, LTC has maintained higher lows since 2022, quietly building a base while everyone’s off chasing whatever AI or frog coin is trending this week.
The Forecast
Base case: A push toward $140–$150 (the upper band of RSI resistance).
Bull case: $180+ within the first half of 2026, assuming the RSI breakout holds.
Bear case: You ignore every technical confirmation, and it does nothing for another decade, but at least you can say you hodled.
Big bull case: Price action breaks resistance to complete the ascending triangle to $700
Conclusions
Litecoin, the granddad of crypto might finally be waking up from its retirement nap. While Dogecoin’s out back chasing its tail, Litecoin’s quietly tightening its laces.
If this setup holds, LTC could be one of the few alt tokens left standing when the dust settles.
If not, well… it’s back to the rocking chair and war stories about 2017.
Ww
Disclaimer
=================================================================
This isn’t financial advice. I’m not your portfolio manager, your therapist, or your mum.
If you sell your house to buy Litecoin because of this post, that’s on you.
It’s just a bloke pointing at squiggly lines saying, “That looks interesting.” If it moons, you’ll call yourself a genius. If it dumps, you’ll say the market’s rigged.
Either way, stay safe.
XAU/USD 30 January 2026 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed as per analysis dated 22 January where I mentioned price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday expectation:
Price to react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 5,602,225.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s renewed easing cycle, alongside a weaker U.S. dollar and persistent geopolitical tensions, continues to drive volatility in the gold market.
Traders should remain cautious and adjust risk management strategies to navigate sharp price swings.
Additionally, gold pricing is highly sensitive to U.S. policy under President Trump, where tariff measures, fiscal uncertainty, and shifting geopolitical strategy amplify market repricing risks and reinforce safe‑haven demand.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed according to yesterday's analysis where I mentioned that price should print a bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently contained within an established internal range.
Intraday expectation:
Price trade down to either M15 demand zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high, priced at 5,602.225.
Alternative scenario: Price could potentially print a bearish iBOS as all HTF's require a pullback.
Note:
Gold continues to exhibit elevated volatility as markets digest the Federal Reserve’s ongoing dovish tilt and persistent global geopolitical tensions.
With uncertainty remaining a dominant theme across global risk assets, traders should prioritise disciplined risk management, as abrupt price swings and liquidity pockets may become increasingly common.
Furthermore, recent tariff announcements from President Trump, particularly those directed at China, have added another layer of instability to the macro landscape. These policy developments have the potential to intensify market turbulence, heighten risk‑off flows, and trigger sharp intraday reversals or whipsaw‑like behaviour in gold.
M15 Chart:
BitCoin long-term forecast 2026 dropping to $45k?Bitcoin monthly demand level is under attack. New low printed.
The yearly timeframe is trending up and the dump has started, hopefully. CRYPTOCAP:BTC can continue the dump as explained a few weeks ago.
Next stop is the monthly demand imbalance at $64k. No longs are adviced in the middle or a long-term dump.
EURUSD H1 HTF FVG Rejection and Bearish Scenario📝 Description
FX:EURUSD has reacted bearish after tapping into a higher-timeframe Fair Value Gap (H1 FVG) and failing to sustain bullish momentum. The recent impulsive downside move suggests distribution from a premium zone, with price now consolidating below key resistance.
________________________________________
📉 Signal / Analysis
Primary Bias: Bearish below the H1 FVG
Preferred Setup:
• Entry: 1.1923
• Stop Loss: Above 1.1948
• TP1: 1.1895
• TP2: 1.1867
• TP3: 1.1850
________________________________________
🧠 ICT & SMC Notes
• Rejection from H1 Fair Value Gap (premium area)
• Sell-side liquidity resting below recent lows
• Targets aligned with H1 Order Block and imbalance zones
________________________________________
📌 Summary
As long as price remains below the 1.1950 resistance and fails to reclaim the H1 FVG, bearish continuation is favored. Current structure supports a downside rotation toward lower liquidity pools and HTF demand levels.
________________________________________
🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment
Ongoing USD resilience and the absence of strong bullish catalysts for the euro continue to weigh on EURUSD. Macro sentiment supports downside moves rather than sustained upside recovery in the short term.
________________________________________
⚠️ Risk Disclosure
Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
XAUUSD BullishI might be a little early, since I like to wait until the London or USA trade session , but the possibility of this happening is good. In reality, i would wait for more conformation before entering the trade, but so far everything looks good as the 15m, 1h and 4h are starting to align giving bullish signals. I just thought i should share this quick analysis as I'm trying to stay active away from home, Peace! OANDA:XAUUSD
GBPUSD DAY-TRADING SETUPToday on the GBPUSD, our intra-day trend is still BULLISH, we also had a BEARISH CLOSURE on the DXY as confluences.
Going forward, we have spotted a B-Block on our Zone TF + We had our LTF entry confirmation, so we will be partaking in this 1R - 4R trade, don't forget to apply a good risk management on this trade.
S&P 500 - Scalping Opportunity Yielding 90-120 TicksMore Opportunities With S&P 500 (ES Futures Contract). Studying How Price Delivers To A Discount Below $6,982.50. Looking Out For Selling Pressure To Target Hourly Relative Equal Lows Inside Daily BISI. $6,977 - $6,964 Draw On Liquidity For Tomorrow
Gold to crash 60% in 2026? - January 2026Fort the 2nd time in history the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has touched 95 as shown on the above 6 week chart. The previous time was back in 1968, or 57 years ago.
After 1968 the highest RSI was 94, back in January 1980. Not long after the dollar came off the Gold standard. A -63% crash followed. The 2011 a -45% crash printed with an RSI at 84.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a popular momentum oscillator used in technical analysis to measure the speed and magnitude of recent price changes. It helps traders identify overbought or oversold conditions in a stock or asset.
Range: 0 to 100.
Common Thresholds:
Above 70: Overbought (potential sell signal).
Below 30: Oversold (potential buy signal).
Should a value of 95 be considered a buying opportunity like many Gold bugs are calling for?
Short answer: No.
An RSI of 95 is extremely rare and almost never a buying opportunity based on the standard RSI rule. In fact, it's a strong warning signal for a potential pullback or reversal.
Here’s a detailed breakdown of why buying at RSI 95 is typically a bad idea:
1. Extreme Overbought Condition
RSI above 70 is considered overbought. At 95, the asset is in an extreme parabolic state. This often indicates a buying frenzy or a "blow-off top," which is unsustainable. A sharp correction is highly probable.
2. Momentum exhaustion
The Stochastic RSI measures momentum. A stochastic RSI reading of 80 and above is overbought. 90 is Apollo VI on launch, 99 where we are now, is the bit where mission control’s gone quiet, the monkey’s pressed all the buttons, and everyone’s pretending this was always part of the plan while gravity waits patiently to do what it does best.
For the 1st time ever momentum has just past 800 days over 80. The previous record was around 500 days.
3. High risk of mean reversion
The core principle behind RSI is mean reversion prices tend to return to their average. The farther the RSI moves from 50, the stronger the gravitational pull back toward it. An RSI of 95 is like a stretched rubber band ready to snap back violently. The mean price is currently around $3000
4. Potential for false signals in strong trends
While it's true that in a very strong bullish trend, the RSI can remain "overbought" (above 70) for extended periods, a reading of 95 is almost never sustainable. Even in a powerful uptrend, this level suggests a short-term peak is imminent.
Is Bitcoin a good rotation?
Short answer: No
In fact, there’s strong evidence Bitcoin will collapse as hard and as fast as Gold during 2026. Don’t fall for this super cycle nonsense influencers are pumping out.
Is this time different?
No. It’s still people reaching for the "emergency exit." when all hell breaks, and that is understandable. Look at the headlines around the world today. The United States government has never seemed more chaotic for us outsiders, policy determined via truth social posts, Allies threatened with economic penalties if they don’t take the knee, ICE agents with judicial executions if citizens if they look the wrong way, tariffs handed out like flyers, cost of everyday food stuffs exploding in price.. what a legacy.
Will I short gold?
No. I never short any market, there’s never any need to do that. Only long what is oversold and beaten down.
Ww
=================================================================
Disclaimer
Right. Before anyone starts screaming, crying, or remortgaging their house based on this, calm down. This isn’t financial advice. It’s not advice at all. It’s numbers, history, and a bit of common sense, laid out by someone who can still remember what happened the last time people said “this time is different.”
If you choose to ignore it because a bloke on YouTube with a laser-eyed thumbnail says gold (or Bitcoin, or tulips, or Beanie Babies) is going to the moon, fine. Crack on. That’s natural selection with candlesticks.
Markets don’t care about your fear, your politics, your hashtags, or your “emergency exit” fantasies. Gravity still works. Rubber bands still snap. And charts don’t suddenly develop feelings because the world’s gone a bit mad.
So read it, don’t worship it. Think for yourself. And if it all goes wrong, don’t email me. I’ll be busy not saying “I told you so,” while very much thinking it.
Short trade 📉 MNQH — Sell-Side Sentiment & News Analysis
Date: Thu 29th Jan 2026
Session: London Session AM
Time: 5:30 am
Trade Details
Entry: 26,220.00
Take Profit: 26,106.00 (0.43%)
Stop Loss: 26,229.50 (0.37%)
Risk–Reward: 11.67R
🔴 Directional Bias
Sell-side continuation (intraday corrective leg)
Market sentiment has shifted from expansion to distribution / mean-reversion, with buyers failing to sustain acceptance above prior London highs.
🧠 Market Sentiment Overview
London session pushed price into resting buyside liquidity (LND highs)
Upside attempt failed to hold acceptance
Immediate rejection back below the value indicates seller re-engagement
This is a sell-side response to a liquidity run, not trend failure — a tactical short within a broader bullish regime.https://www.tradingview.com/x/2bCUoXoG/
🧩 Structural Context
Buyside liquidity taken above the prior range
A lower high formed on LTF after the sweep
Bearish displacement back through equilibrium confirms intraday BOS
Structure supports a corrective sell-side leg, not continuation higher.
📊 Volume Profile & Value
Price rejected from the high-volume acceptance zone
Acceptance back below POC confirms bearish intraday auction
Buyers failed to defend value after the sweep
Value rotation is downward, favouring continuation lower.
⏱️ Session Behaviour (London AM)
Asia built the range
London ran high (liquidity grab)
Immediate failure = classic London fake-out
London AM is statistically prone to mean-reversion moves after early sweeps.
📰 News & Macro Context
Risk appetite is cooling after the prior US session strength
Nasdaq sensitive to: Elevated US yields, Ongoing positioning risk after recent expansion
No major bullish macro catalyst during London hours. European hours typically see profit-taking/re-balancing, not fresh risk-on. Macro conditions do not support sustained upside during LND, reinforcing sell-side intent.
🧾 Summary
MNQH shows sell-side sentiment following a London-session buyside liquidity sweep and failure to hold acceptance above value. Rejection from premium and a bearish intraday BOS support continuation toward downside liquidity, with macro conditions favouring mean reversion during LND hours.
⚠️ Invalidation Criteria
Strong bullish displacement reclaiming London highs
Sustained acceptance back above the premium
Failure to follow through in London
In the absence of these, sell-side bias remains valid.
Short trade 📉 BTCUSDT — Sell-Side Sentiment Analysis
Date: Wed 28th Jan 2026
Session: NY → Tokyo Overlap (PM)
Execution TF: 2-Minute
Trade Details
Entry: 89,174.2
Take Profit: 86,637.0 (2.84%)
Stop Loss: 89,449.6 (0.30%)
Risk–Reward: 9.21R
(asymmetric sell-side execution)
🔴 Directional Bias
Sell-side continuation
Market sentiment has transitioned from balance to distribution, with sellers regaining control after a failed upside attempt into liquidity.
🧠 Market Sentiment Overview
Upside attempts into prior highs failed to gain acceptance
Repeated rejection near unmitigated supply shows seller dominance
Buy-side liquidity was induced and absorbed, not expanded
This reflects distribution into strength, not bullish continuation.
🧩 Structural Context
Price formed a local double-top / failure high
Bearish displacement followed, confirming short-term BOS
Market rotated back below value → structure shifted bearish
📊 Volume Profile & Value
High-volume node rejected from above
Acceptance below POC confirms bearish auction conditions
Sellers are active on rallies, buyers are passive on pullbacks
⏱️ Session Behaviour (Why NY → Tokyo Matters)
NY PM engineered the distribution phase
Tokyo overlap often delivers continuation through thin liquidity
Lack of NY reclaim strongly favours downside follow-through
Session timing supports sell-side intent.
🧾 Summary
BTCUSDT shows clear sell-side sentiment following a failed buyside expansion and rejection from the premium. Acceptance below value during the NY–Tokyo overlap supports continuation toward downside liquidity.
⚠️ Invalidation Criteria
Strong bullish displacement reclaiming value
Sustained acceptance above prior highs
Failure to follow through - Tokyo
Until then, sell-side bias remains intact.
RIVER to 70 ? watch out the 50 level The 50 level has become the decisive battleground for bulls attempting to regain control of the broader structure.
Recent price action shows stabilization around this zone, with higher lows forming and selling pressure gradually weakening.
The volume profile highlights 50 as a developing value area, suggesting growing acceptance rather than rejection.
If buyers continue to defend this level and build support, it signals accumulation and a shift in short-term momentum.
Holding above 50 keeps the bullish recovery scenario intact, opening the door for a sustained move higher, with the 70 region standing out as the next major resistance and upside target.
EURNZD: Important Breakout 🇪🇺🇳🇿
EURNZD violated a significant rising trend line on a daily.
It opens up a potential for a further decline.
The next strong support that I see is 1.9646
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
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