You’re Not Supposed to See This Analysis…Ladies and gentlemen, previously on Skeptic Lab—if you're following the page, you're probably short from the 101k level —we talked about upcoming support levels for Bitcoin. We pointed to the first support at 98k, then in order 95k and 91k. But one by one, all the supports got blown through, and now it's consolidating below the key 91k support. So, it's best we do an update on the overall structure that's formed, the next supports, scenarios, and triggers we could have.
Let's start from the weekly timeframe:
It makes sense that this week's candle has a smaller size—we've reached a daily support level, which is exactly 91,213.99 . If we lose that, the next support levels are at 87,566.47 .
In the daily timeframe
I see a high probability of ranging here. First off, the amount of liquidations has been decreasing each time: initially 300 million $ liquidated on the 101k break, then 250 million on the 95k break, but yesterday only about 195 million dollars in long positions got liquidated (if you notice, volume has also been getting lower and lower on the drops somewhat). This means the big traders aren't really present down here in a serious way, which could lead to a multi-week range. That's assuming the support zone from 90k to 91,213.99 holds— if it doesn't , we could see more downside to the weekly level I mentioned.
In the 4H timeframe
if you're with me on a position from 101k, I think it's a good spot to fully take profit. I see potential for ranging here or a reversal from this level, since it's a very key support. My long trigger here is specified as breaking the resistance at 96,066.89 in the 4H timeframe—that'd be our first long trigger. Why this level? Because after reacting to it, we dumped 7% :) So it's a super important level. For shorts, I'm waiting for a range box to form here—otherwise, I'm not opening any positions right now. Generally, opening positions right on strong support/resistance zones leads to your win rate dropping. Why? High volatility / high chance of fakes / lots of shadows... all of that tanks the win rate.
Finally, BTC.D also dropped super sharply with Bitcoin's dump.
This means going forward, if Bitcoin ranges or does a bearish range + BTC.D goes a bit uptrend, altcoins will give really good short triggers. That's it. Now get outta here.
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
Is This Where Bitcoin Makes Its Major Decision?
🔥 The Hidden April Gap Nobody Is Talking About — Is This Where Bitcoin Makes Its Major Decision?
Most traders completely missed this one.
Buried inside April’s fast displacement sits a hidden Fair Value Gap that aligns exactly with the real Monthly–Weekly Higher Low — and if price revisits it, this level could decide the next macro direction.
Let me walk you through it.
⸻
📍 The Level (Rounded for Clarity)
This forgotten 15m imbalance sits between:
• $86,200 (top)
• $85,350 (bottom)
Not just any gap — this one overlaps perfectly with the true HL in the Monthly–Weekly structure, the same HL that has been carrying the entire macro bullish leg.
This is where real decisions are made.
⸻
📉 Why This Zone Matters
If price revisits this area, there are only two outcomes — and both are significant:
1️⃣ Early Reversal Attempt (If Buyers Defend the HL)
A clean bullish reaction here could signal:
• Absorption of sell-side pressure
• Builder structure for a new daily leg
• First real attempt to end the higher-timeframe down sequence
2️⃣ Bearish Absorption (If Sellers Crush the HL)
If price cuts through the gap with displacement,
the Monthly–Weekly HL collapses.
That opens the door to deeper levels with minimal support.
This is not a small level — this is a macro hinge point.
⸻
👁️ My Plan
I’m watching $86.2K – $85.35K very closely.
When price returns to this zone, I want to see whether we get:
• Reversal intent,
or
• Full bearish continuation.
No predictions.
No hopium.
Price action will tell the truth.
⸻
🧭 Final Thought
This April gap isn’t random.
It’s the hidden liquidity pocket sitting directly on the real Monthly–Weekly Higher Low.
If Bitcoin revisits this level, the market will reveal whether buyers still have strength — or whether the bearish macro continues without mercy.
If this analysis brought you clarity or aligns with your view,
please Like ❤️ | Comment 💬 | Follow 🔔 | Share ↗️ —
your support motivates me to keep releasing clean, objective insights for the community.
NFA.
COINBASE:BTCUSD COINBASE:MCZ2025
BTC Approaches 89,256Hello, traders and investors!
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis (IA) method.
Bitcoin’s price is getting closer to the 89,256 level.
Yesterday, November 17, the daily candle closed as a seller candle.
The volume was accumulated in the upper part of the candle, and the candle itself showed increased volume.
In this configuration, a continuation of the seller’s move is quite likely.
Wishing you profitable trades!
LTR long - entering yearly demand zoneDiscounted area ahead if l'm right. LTF TDA & informed buyers level coupled with fearful distressed sellers.
-will be looking for bullish and bearish PA over coming days looking at price behaviors
- semi neutral position atm until confluences with price are clear with multiple factors 'if and then' met.
USDJPY LONGMarket structure bullish on HTFs 3
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Previous Weekly Structure Point
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 154.000
Touching EMA H4
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
TP: WHO KNOWS!
Entry 110%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
GBPJPY – Targeting the Green WCL After BC RetracementPrice completed a clean green impulse and started a corrective red sequence.
The plan: wait for a retracement into the red BC zone, which overlaps a bearish order block. If price reacts from that region, I’ll ride the next leg down toward the red C target and the green wave’s Whole Correction Level (WCL).
However, note the developing bullish flag pattern — if price breaks above red B, that flag activates and the bearish setup becomes invalid. A breakout there could extend the larger bullish trend.
Strengths:
– BC retracement aligns with a strong order block.
– WCL and C-target overlap, creating a high-probability draw on liquidity.
– Clear invalidation above red B protects the setup.
Weaknesses:
– GBPJPY volatility could trigger premature sweeps.
– A confirmed flag breakout would fully invalidate this setup.
Narrative:
Trading the correction inside a possible flag — shorting structure, not emotion. If the flag fires, I’ll flip bias with it.
USD/JPY - Multi Timeframe Analysis🚀 USD/JPY Forecast: Breaking Out of the Wedge! 🚀
Hey traders! 👀 The USD/JPY is looking like it’s gearing up for a big move, so let’s dive into the charts and break it down.
🔍 4-Hour Chart (Top Left):
We’ve got an Ascending Wedge Formation on our hands! Price has been creeping up towards key resistance, but it’s been bouncing off this trendline like a pinball. Look at the Entry Zone right here — we could see a breakout soon, either to the upside or downside. Are we going to push higher, or is this the calm before the storm? ⚡
🎯 Target Levels:
Target 1: First stop if the breakout happens is just above 155.00.
Target 2 : After that, we’re eyeing 156.00, which could be a major resistance zone.
📅 Daily Chart (Middle):
On the daily, we’re still seeing that wedge formation play out. The pressure is building, and it's almost time for the price to make its move. Will the bulls keep charging, or will we see a shift in momentum? That strong support below might just give us a push if we drop back down.
📊 Weekly Chart (Bottom Right):
Looking at the long-term picture, USD/JPY is in an upward trend, breaking through key resistance levels over the last few months. We’ve already seen a Break of Structure (BOS) at 151.00, and now we’re breaking above 154.00! This could signal the continuation of the uptrend as we eye 156.00 next.
💥 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 156.00 (Eyes on this level — it could be the next big hurdle!)
Support : 152.00 (Look for a possible retracement here if we see a pullback)
Next Target: If we break 156.00, we could see USD/JPY heading even higher towards 160.00 in the coming months!
🔥 What’s Next?
The squeeze is real! Will USD/JPY break higher, or are we about to see a sharp reversal? Either way, there’s plenty of action to look forward to in the coming days. Make sure you’re ready!
💬 How are you planning to trade USD/JPY right now? Drop your thoughts below and let’s discuss the setup!
USD/CHF - Multi Timeframe Analysis🚨 USD/CHF Forecast: The Next Move is Almost Here! 🚨
Hey traders, check out this detailed analysis of USD/CHF on the 4-hour, Daily, and Weekly charts. A lot's going on, so let's break it down!
🔍 4-Hour Chart (Top Left):
We’re seeing price testing major support and resistance levels (highlighted in blue). The market looks ready to make a move! We’re keeping a close eye on the Entry Zone at the top, where we might see a continuation of the trend. If we see price action confirming this, it’s game time! ⚡
📅 Daily Chart (Middle Left):
Price has been in a downward trend, but notice that crucial support zone forming below. The trend seems like it could be ready for a bounce back. Will the support hold, or are we headed for a deeper pullback? The next few days will be key! 💡
📊 Weekly Chart (Bottom Right):
Big picture time! This looks like the beginning of something exciting. The longer-term trend is in a clear downward channel (marked by those diagonal lines). That strong support at 0.7800 could be our lifeline. If it holds, we might see the pair shoot up in the coming weeks. 📈✨
💥 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance : 0.8100 (Keep your eyes on this! It’s a major barrier to break).
Support : 0.7800 (This is where things could get interesting).
Next Target : If the support holds, we could see a move higher toward 0.8000, and potentially test the resistance zone again.
🌟 What’s Next?
The battle between the bulls and bears is heating up! Will USD/CHF rebound off this support level, or will it break lower? Stay tuned for confirmation of the move and prepare for action. 📉📈
BTC Outlook: Premium Rejections, Clean Drawdown Targets, and KeyBTC continues to respect the higher-timeframe bearish order flow. Price tapped into the Daily Bearish Block + IFVG around the $104K–$108K premium zone, delivered displacement, and broke structure to the downside.
From there, the market formed a clean 3H Supply (BB + FVG) where sellers aggressively re-entered. Price rejected that imbalance and continued the markdown phase.
Structure remains bearish with lower-highs and lower-lows being printed. Current PA is consolidating below key structure, signaling that liquidity is being engineered for the next leg.
We still have an unmitigated Weekly OB at $83K–$86K, which aligns with the macro drawdown target. This zone remains the highest-probability area for a deeper corrective bounce.
K ey Levels
Premium Rejection Zone: $104K – $108K
3H Supply + FVG: $98K – $101K
Immediate Support: $92K – $95K
Major HTF Demand (Weekly OB): $83K – $86K
What I Expect Next
Retracement into the 3H FVG / inefficiency before another sell-off.
Liquidity below $92K likely to be swept.
High-probability macro reaction once price taps the weekly OB.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CONFIRMATION ENTRY (Safer Approach)
Use this for precise execution:
Mark the 3H/1H supply zone.
Wait for price to tap the zone → no instant entries.
Drop to M15/M5 and wait for a clear CHOCH (shift) or BOS confirming sellers.
Enter on the pullback into the refined OB or FVG.
SL above the M5 POI that caused the break.
First TP at relative equal lows or clean inefficiencies.
This keeps you out of premature entries and filters manipulation.
XAU/USD 17 November 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 20 October 2025.
Price has printed as per previous intraday expectation by printing a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms, bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with regards to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380.990.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As per analysis dated 14 November 2025, price has printed a bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range.
Intraday expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 4,245.195
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
USD/CAD - Multi Timeframe Analysis🧱 WEEKLY – The Big Dog View
Bias: 🐻 Bearish pressure building
Why:
Price is pushing into that massive weekly supply while sitting inside an ascending wedge — textbook distribution energy.
The wedge resistance + supply block is basically a double whammy ceiling.
Reaction wicks show buyers getting tired… sellers warming up.
Beneath current price? A HUGE vacuum of clean, unmitigated price action → easy liquidity to the downside.
🎯 Weekly Target Zones:
1.3900–1.3850 = first stop (mid-range demand)
1.3650–1.3550 = main deep target
External SSL much lower = long-term magnet
👉 Weekly says: “Yo… down only unless we get a breakout above supply.”
📆 DAILY – Internal Structure Rolling Over
Bias : 🐻 Turning bearish
Why : Daily BOS formed on the drop → clear bearish intent.
Price pulled back into a fresh daily supply, reacted cleanly, and is now stalling.
Daily is coiling under resistance = distribution micro-pattern.
As long as the daily mitigation block holds, rallies are just liquidity grabs.
🔥 Daily Key Levels:
Hold below 1.4070 = bearish continuation
Break below 1.3950 = flush into 1.3900
Lose 1.3900 = full send toward 1.38 → 1.37
👉 Daily is setting up the breakdown leg.
⏳ 4H – The Execution Chart (The Juice)
Bias : 🐻 Bearish retest + roll
Why : The 4H bullish channel got broken → structure shift.
We even have a breakout failure at the top = classic “trap the buyers then nuke it.”
4H supply stacking beautifully (Daily + 4H combo).
Price trapped sideways waiting for a trigger → likely a fake-out pop then drop, or a straight collapse.
📌 4H Key Areas:
4H supply: 1.4030–1.4060 = Sell zone
4H support: 1.3950 = Break this → waterfall
Next demand: 1.3880 then the huge imbalance to 1.3800
🎯 4H Targets:
Short-term: 1.3950
Medium: 1.3880
Main: 1.3800
🚀 SUMMARY – USD/CAD Forecast
🔥 Overall Bias: BEARISH (Weekly + Daily + 4H aligned)
🔽 Direction: Expect downside continuation
🎯 Main Target: 1.3800
🧯 Invalidation: Clean daily close above 1.4070 (rare unless oil nukes or USD goes parabolic)
✨ The Likely Path:
Small 4H pullback into supply
Break of 1.3950 internal floor
Fast slide into 1.3880
Larger drop toward 1.3800–1.3750
AUDCHF: Bearish Move From Resistance Confirmed?! 🇦🇺🇨🇭
AUDCHF may drop from the underlined resistance cluster.
A formation of an inverted cup & handle pattern on that
on an hourly time frame and a bearish breakout of its neckline
during the Asian session suggest a highly probable drop lower.
Goal - 0.5174
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBP/JPY - Multi Timeframe Analysis⭐ 8H CHART – Mid-Range Chop But Setting Up a Sneaky Play
📍 Current Situation
Price is chilling just under that internal BSL, repeatedly tapping a mini supply shelf. You’ve got a SHIFT marked and a clear reaction zone sitting underneath (your grey + blue combo).
💡 Key Levels
Internal BSL → Gets run, we go hunting for External BSL above.
Strong support block below → Price keeps respecting this like a trampoline.
Market is compressing between:
🔼 8H supply above
🔽 Bullish support block below
📌 Interpretation:
This looks like accumulation under liquidity → classic build-up for a sweep + pop.
If price dips first, your grey demand is the reload zone before any upper raid.
⭐ DAILY CHART – Clean Buyside Above, Built For a Run
📍 Structure
Daily is holding bullish order flow. You’ve got:
Daily BSL close overhead
External BSL even further up
A beautiful Daily demand block (highlighted) that caused the last impulsive leg.
📌 Interpretation:
The arrow you drew says it all — Daily wants that buy-side.
Sweep the daily demand → send price into external liquidity.
Momentum = bullish unless that daily block breaks.
⭐ WEEKLY CHART – HTF Premium Zone Waiting Above
📍 The Big Picture
Weekly demand held weeks ago and price has been climbing ever since.
Key details:
That massive weekly supply / inefficiency block above 205-207 is the magnet.
Price is stair-stepping higher with clean bullish candles.
Arrow toward weekly imbalance = HTF target.
📌 Interpretation:
Weekly is bullish and wants that macro supply fill.
Shorts inside here = countertrend until we hit the big zone.
🎯 SUMMARY – What’s the Play?
🔥 Bias : Bullish on all timeframes
📌 What the market wants:
A tiny correction to demand (8H or Daily)
Run internal liquidity
Push toward 205-207 weekly supply
🧨 What invalidates this?
A clean break and close below daily demand — then the bullish engine loses fuel.
Is This an Early Reversal Signal on USD/CHF This Week?
(The full story: buyer strength forming above the Weekly Low)
NFA – Educational purpose only
USD/CHF has been trading inside a weekly range, and price has just reacted sharply from the Weekly Low at 0.78290 — an area where buyers often step in.
This reaction has created the first meaningful signs of a potential shift inside the broader range.
Let’s walk through the full structure.
1️⃣ Weekly Context — Range + Strong Reaction at 0.78290
The Weekly timeframe is still inside a large consolidation zone, with key boundaries:
• Weekly Low: 0.78290
• Weekly Range Resistance / LH: 0.81714
Price tapped the Weekly Low and bounced immediately — a typical behavior when buyers defend the bottom of a range.
2️⃣ Daily: First Structural Sign of Strength
Following the bounce from 0.78290, the Daily chart printed:
• A Higher Low (HL)
• A Higher High (HH)
This doesn’t confirm a full trend reversal yet,
but it does show that bearish momentum has weakened and buyers are gaining control inside the weekly range.
This is often how early shifts begin.
3️⃣ 1H: Potential Origin of the Next Daily HL
The 1H chart shows the clearest short-term shift:
• A clean bullish leg
• A MSS to the upside
• A fresh FVG created during expansion
• Buyers defending demand on every dip
This type of 1H structure is exactly what often forms the next Daily HL during the early stages of a larger shift.
If buyers continue holding this zone through the week,
the Daily may confirm another wave upward.
4️⃣ Key Zones to Watch This Week
If the bullish structure continues:
• 0.81244 → next Daily target
• 0.81714 → Weekly Range Resistance
These are the natural magnet zones if buyers maintain control.
⸻
5️⃣ The Bigger Story
We are not looking at a confirmed macro reversal yet.
But we are seeing:
• Weekly = range
• Daily = HL → HH above the Weekly Low
• 1H = potential foundation of the next Daily HL
This is how early reversals typically begin inside higher-timeframe ranges.
A full reversal requires a Weekly close above 0.81714 —
but for now, internal structure is clearly shifting upward.
⸻
⭐ Educational Purpose Only
This idea is shared to provide clarity and to show my personal vision of the current structure.
If this analysis helped you or aligned with your view, I’d appreciate your support:
👍 Like
💬 Comment
⭐ Follow
🔄 Share
Your engagement motivates me to keep providing more structured and educational analysis to the community.
ETH — The $3,000 Rebound Zone: Multi-Confluence SupportETH has reached a key level around $3,000, a major psychological zone that also aligns with multiple high-timeframe supports. The yearly VWAP sits at $3,023.5, providing the first layer of confluence. Additionally, both the 21-month EMA ($3,028) and the 21-month SMA ($3,100) cluster tightly in this region, reinforcing it as a strong structural support zone.
This creates a long setup with a clear invalidation below the $3,000 level. The primary target is the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement at $3,331, which lines up closely with the yearly open at $3,337.78. This area also contains a fair value gap and the anchored VWAP, forming a solid resistance cluster and a logical take-profit zone.
Support and resistance levels are well-defined, and the trade structure is clean.
R:R ~1:5 if entering directly at the yearly VWAP support
R:R ~1:2 if entering at current price levels
Overall, ETH is positioned at a high-probability long zone with strong multi-confluence support and a clear upside target.
🔍 Indicators used
DriftLine — Pivot Open Zones → For identifying key yearly/monthly/weekly/daily opens that act as major S/R reference points
Multi Timeframe 8x MA Support Resistance Zones → to identify support and resistance zones such as the monthly 21 EMA/SMA.
VWAP
➡️ Available for free. You can find it on my profile under “Scripts” and apply it directly to your charts for extra confluence when planning your trades.
_________________________________
💬 If you found this helpful, drop a like and comment!
GBPJPY | Institutional Sell Setup – D1 & W1 Sweeps AlignGBPJPY has completed a multi-timeframe liquidity sweep, with both W1 and D1 sweeps aligning inside a premium price zone.
The structure has shifted bearish following a clear CHOCH and a rejection from the FVG imbalance area, confirming potential downside continuation.
🔹 Execution Bias: Instant Sell
🔹 Entry Zone: 202.60–202.80
🔹 Stop-Loss: Above 203.40 (protected high)
🔹 Target: 199.00 (liquidity zone)
🔹 Bias: Bearish
Technical Breakdown:
• Weekly sweep confirms distribution.
• Daily sweep adds confluence of liquidity grab.
• CHOCH at discount confirms bearish intent.
• FVG + refined OB = smart-money entry zone.
• Targeting inefficiency and old liquidity lows.






















