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Multiple Time Frame Analysis

Gold to crash 60% in 2026? - January 2026Fort the 2nd time in history the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has touched 95 as shown on the above 6 week chart. The previous time was back in 1968, or 57 years ago. After 1968 the highest RSI was 94, back in January 1980. Not long after the dollar came off the Gold standard. A -63% crash followed. The 2011 a -45% crash printed with an RSI at 84. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a popular momentum oscillator used in technical analysis to measure the speed and magnitude of recent price changes. It helps traders identify overbought or oversold conditions in a stock or asset. Range: 0 to 100. Common Thresholds: Above 70: Overbought (potential sell signal). Below 30: Oversold (potential buy signal). Should a value of 95 be considered a buying opportunity like many Gold bugs are calling for? Short answer: No. An RSI of 95 is extremely rare and almost never a buying opportunity based on the standard RSI rule. In fact, it's a strong warning signal for a potential pullback or reversal. Here’s a detailed breakdown of why buying at RSI 95 is typically a bad idea: 1. Extreme Overbought Condition RSI above 70 is considered overbought. At 95, the asset is in an extreme parabolic state. This often indicates a buying frenzy or a "blow-off top," which is unsustainable. A sharp correction is highly probable. 2. Momentum exhaustion The Stochastic RSI measures momentum. A stochastic RSI reading of 80 and above is overbought. 90 is Apollo VI on launch, 99 where we are now, is the bit where mission control’s gone quiet, the monkey’s pressed all the buttons, and everyone’s pretending this was always part of the plan while gravity waits patiently to do what it does best. For the 1st time ever momentum has just past 800 days over 80. The previous record was around 500 days. 3. High risk of mean reversion The core principle behind RSI is mean reversion prices tend to return to their average. The farther the RSI moves from 50, the stronger the gravitational pull back toward it. An RSI of 95 is like a stretched rubber band ready to snap back violently. The mean price is currently around $3000 4. Potential for false signals in strong trends While it's true that in a very strong bullish trend, the RSI can remain "overbought" (above 70) for extended periods, a reading of 95 is almost never sustainable. Even in a powerful uptrend, this level suggests a short-term peak is imminent. Is Bitcoin a good rotation? Short answer: No In fact, there’s strong evidence Bitcoin will collapse as hard and as fast as Gold during 2026. Don’t fall for this super cycle nonsense influencers are pumping out. Is this time different? No. It’s still people reaching for the "emergency exit." when all hell breaks, and that is understandable. Look at the headlines around the world today. The United States government has never seemed more chaotic for us outsiders, policy determined via truth social posts, Allies threatened with economic penalties if they don’t take the knee, ICE agents with judicial executions if citizens if they look the wrong way, tariffs handed out like flyers, cost of everyday food stuffs exploding in price.. what a legacy. Will I short gold? No. I never short any market, there’s never any need to do that. Only long what is oversold and beaten down. Ww ================================================================= Disclaimer Right. Before anyone starts screaming, crying, or remortgaging their house based on this, calm down. This isn’t financial advice. It’s not advice at all. It’s numbers, history, and a bit of common sense, laid out by someone who can still remember what happened the last time people said “this time is different.” If you choose to ignore it because a bloke on YouTube with a laser-eyed thumbnail says gold (or Bitcoin, or tulips, or Beanie Babies) is going to the moon, fine. Crack on. That’s natural selection with candlesticks. Markets don’t care about your fear, your politics, your hashtags, or your “emergency exit” fantasies. Gravity still works. Rubber bands still snap. And charts don’t suddenly develop feelings because the world’s gone a bit mad. So read it, don’t worship it. Think for yourself. And if it all goes wrong, don’t email me. I’ll be busy not saying “I told you so,” while very much thinking it.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by without_worries
41
Short trade 📉 MNQH — Sell-Side Sentiment & News Analysis Date: Thu 29th Jan 2026 Session: London Session AM Time: 5:30 am Trade Details Entry: 26,220.00 Take Profit: 26,106.00 (0.43%) Stop Loss: 26,229.50 (0.37%) Risk–Reward: 11.67R 🔴 Directional Bias Sell-side continuation (intraday corrective leg) Market sentiment has shifted from expansion to distribution / mean-reversion, with buyers failing to sustain acceptance above prior London highs. 🧠 Market Sentiment Overview London session pushed price into resting buyside liquidity (LND highs) Upside attempt failed to hold acceptance Immediate rejection back below the value indicates seller re-engagement This is a sell-side response to a liquidity run, not trend failure — a tactical short within a broader bullish regime.https://www.tradingview.com/x/2bCUoXoG/ 🧩 Structural Context Buyside liquidity taken above the prior range A lower high formed on LTF after the sweep Bearish displacement back through equilibrium confirms intraday BOS Structure supports a corrective sell-side leg, not continuation higher. 📊 Volume Profile & Value Price rejected from the high-volume acceptance zone Acceptance back below POC confirms bearish intraday auction Buyers failed to defend value after the sweep Value rotation is downward, favouring continuation lower. ⏱️ Session Behaviour (London AM) Asia built the range London ran high (liquidity grab) Immediate failure = classic London fake-out London AM is statistically prone to mean-reversion moves after early sweeps. 📰 News & Macro Context Risk appetite is cooling after the prior US session strength Nasdaq sensitive to: Elevated US yields, Ongoing positioning risk after recent expansion No major bullish macro catalyst during London hours. European hours typically see profit-taking/re-balancing, not fresh risk-on. Macro conditions do not support sustained upside during LND, reinforcing sell-side intent. 🧾 Summary MNQH shows sell-side sentiment following a London-session buyside liquidity sweep and failure to hold acceptance above value. Rejection from premium and a bearish intraday BOS support continuation toward downside liquidity, with macro conditions favouring mean reversion during LND hours. ⚠️ Invalidation Criteria Strong bullish displacement reclaiming London highs Sustained acceptance back above the premium Failure to follow through in London In the absence of these, sell-side bias remains valid.
CME_MINI:MNQH2026Short
by davidjulien369
Short trade 📉 BTCUSDT — Sell-Side Sentiment Analysis Date: Wed 28th Jan 2026 Session: NY → Tokyo Overlap (PM) Execution TF: 2-Minute Trade Details Entry: 89,174.2 Take Profit: 86,637.0 (2.84%) Stop Loss: 89,449.6 (0.30%) Risk–Reward: 9.21R (asymmetric sell-side execution) 🔴 Directional Bias Sell-side continuation Market sentiment has transitioned from balance to distribution, with sellers regaining control after a failed upside attempt into liquidity. 🧠 Market Sentiment Overview Upside attempts into prior highs failed to gain acceptance Repeated rejection near unmitigated supply shows seller dominance Buy-side liquidity was induced and absorbed, not expanded This reflects distribution into strength, not bullish continuation. 🧩 Structural Context Price formed a local double-top / failure high Bearish displacement followed, confirming short-term BOS Market rotated back below value → structure shifted bearish 📊 Volume Profile & Value High-volume node rejected from above Acceptance below POC confirms bearish auction conditions Sellers are active on rallies, buyers are passive on pullbacks ⏱️ Session Behaviour (Why NY → Tokyo Matters) NY PM engineered the distribution phase Tokyo overlap often delivers continuation through thin liquidity Lack of NY reclaim strongly favours downside follow-through Session timing supports sell-side intent. 🧾 Summary BTCUSDT shows clear sell-side sentiment following a failed buyside expansion and rejection from the premium. Acceptance below value during the NY–Tokyo overlap supports continuation toward downside liquidity. ⚠️ Invalidation Criteria Strong bullish displacement reclaiming value Sustained acceptance above prior highs Failure to follow through - Tokyo Until then, sell-side bias remains intact.
Short
by davidjulien369
RIVER to 70 ? watch out the 50 level The 50 level has become the decisive battleground for bulls attempting to regain control of the broader structure. Recent price action shows stabilization around this zone, with higher lows forming and selling pressure gradually weakening. The volume profile highlights 50 as a developing value area, suggesting growing acceptance rather than rejection. If buyers continue to defend this level and build support, it signals accumulation and a shift in short-term momentum. Holding above 50 keeps the bullish recovery scenario intact, opening the door for a sustained move higher, with the 70 region standing out as the next major resistance and upside target.
Long
by Davide_Manfrini
1
XAU/USD 29 January 2026 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. As per analysis dated 22 January where I mentioned price could potentially continue bullish is how price printed. CHoCH positioning has again been brought closer to current price action and is denoted with a blue dotted line. Price is trading within an internal low and fractal high. Intraday expectation: Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Thereafter price to react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 5,602,225. Alternative scenario: Price could potentially continue bullish. Note: The Federal Reserve’s renewed easing cycle, alongside a weaker U.S. dollar and persistent geopolitical tensions, continues to drive volatility in the gold market. Traders should remain cautious and adjust risk management strategies to navigate sharp price swings. Additionally, gold pricing is highly sensitive to U.S. policy under President Trump, where tariff measures, fiscal uncertainty, and shifting geopolitical strategy amplify market repricing risks and reinforce safe‑haven demand. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has continued to print bullish with very minimal pullback. You will note price has printed a bullish iBOS, however, due to the insignificant depth of pullback I shall apply discretion and not classify it as such. This is marked in red. Price is currently contained within an internal low and fractal high. Intraday expectation: Allow price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue horizontal dotted line. At the current high, and if price prints a bearish CHoCH, price to then trade down to either M15 demand zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high, priced at 5,602.225. Alternative scenario: Price could potentially continue to print higher. Note: Gold continues to exhibit elevated volatility as markets digest the Federal Reserve’s ongoing dovish tilt and persistent global geopolitical tensions. With uncertainty remaining a dominant theme across global risk assets, traders should prioritise disciplined risk management, as abrupt price swings and liquidity pockets may become increasingly common. Furthermore, recent tariff announcements from President Trump, particularly those directed at China, have added another layer of instability to the macro landscape. These policy developments have the potential to intensify market turbulence, heighten risk‑off flows, and trigger sharp intraday reversals or whipsaw‑like behaviour in gold. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
NQ: Stalking the 4H SupplyThe Macro Context We are currently pushing into a significant 4-hour Supply Block. After the recent impulsive moves, the market is approaching a zone where institutional sell orders have historically lived. As a "sponge" to these lessons, I’m not interested in guessing the top—I’m waiting for the market to reveal its hand. The Execution Plan I am stalking a short entry with two specific "Hermit" requirements: The Liquidity Hunt: Ideally, I want to see a wick above the high of this 4H supply zone to sweep out the early shorts. Price Acceptance: I need to see a 4-hour candle close firmly inside or below the box after that wick. If we get a full candle close above this zone, the trade idea is invalidated and the "Macro Roadmap" gets a rewrite. The Trigger Once the 4H rejection is confirmed, I’m dropping down to the 15-minute timeframe to look for a Market Structure Shift to the downside. No Shift = No Trade. * Patience is a position. We wait for the "handoff" from buyers to sellers to be documented on the tape.
CME_MINI:MNQH2026Short
by Macro_Hermit
2
1/9/26 - SMMT: new BUY mechanical trading signal.1/9/26 - SMMT: new BUY signal chosen by a rules based, mechanical trading system. SMMT - BUY Stop Loss @ 15.62 Entry BUY @ 19.68 Target Profit @ 28.48 Analysis: Higher timeframe: Prices have stayed above the lower channel line of the ATR (Average True Range) Keltner Channel and reversed. Higher timeframe: Victor Sperandeo's (Trader Vic) classic 1-2-3/2B BUY pattern...where the current lowest bottom breakout price is greater or only slightly peaking lower than the preceding bottom price. Higher timeframe: Price peaked below the ATR (Average True Range) breakout low and then reversed.
NASDAQ:SMMTLong
by martinmlm
123 Quick Learn Trading Tips - Tip #9 Master the Daily BiasSuccessful traders do not follow every small price movement. Instead, they focus on the Daily Candle . The daily candle shows you the overall direction of the market for the entire day. If you cannot clearly see where the price is going on the daily chart, it is better to stay out of the market. 📈 By identifying the daily direction, you can achieve three things: Reduce Stress: You stop chasing small, confusing price moves. Find Better Entries: You only look for trades that match the daily trend. Protect Capital: You avoid trading when the market has no clear direction. Professional trading is not about being busy every hour. It is about waiting for a setup that is obvious. When the daily direction is clear, your intraday trades become much easier to manage. " The daily chart is the compass that keeps you from getting lost in the stormy sea of lower timeframes." Navid Jafarian Why did the pirate trader refuse to look at the 15-minute chart? Because he didn't want to get "sea-sick" from all the choppy waves! He only sails for the big treasure! 🏴‍☠️🌊 Keep your compass on the daily chart and get ready for our next tip on managing your risk!
TVC:GOLDEducation
by Navid_Jafarian
16
''Leverage is a Privilege, Not a Right''🔥 LEVERAGE, BROKERS, & THE EVOLUTION OF A REAL TRADER 🔥 (Why maturity in trading looks boring… and why that’s elite) ⸻ 🔥 1. Leverage Is Not Power — It’s Exposure Let’s kill the myth first. Leverage does one thing only: It increases exposure per unit of time. That’s it. It does NOT: • increase edge • improve accuracy • fix psychology • replace patience 🔥 Truth: Leverage magnifies behavior, not skill. If your execution is clean → leverage magnifies growth If your execution is sloppy → leverage magnifies destruction That’s why leverage feels like a cheat code early… and a curse later. ⸻ 🔥 2. Why Beginners Fall in Love With Leverage This phase is almost unavoidable. Early-stage traders: • don’t fully trust their edge yet • don’t understand market cycles • don’t see how often price comes back So leverage becomes: • speed • validation • excitement • emotional payoff 🔥 The brain starts associating leverage with progress When in reality, it’s just compressing time — for better or worse. This is why most traders don’t blow accounts from bad analysis… They blow them from urgency. ⸻ 🔥 3. The Moment Everything Shifts This is the rare pivot. 🔥 Awareness. When a trader: • understands structure • reads inducement • respects market phases • knows where invalidation actually is They stop needing leverage to feel profitable. Because now they know: “If this is real… price will give me time.” That’s not hope. That’s experience talking. ⸻ 🔥 4. The Role of a GOOD Broker (This Is Underrated) A good broker doesn’t just execute orders. A good broker: • enforces margin discipline • limits reckless sizing • keeps spreads honest • removes casino incentives 🔥 This is huge: A good broker protects your equity curve from your emotions. Bad brokers + high leverage = 👉 overtrading 👉 revenge sizing 👉 dopamine addiction 👉 zero accountability Good brokers introduce healthy resistance. And resistance builds strength, not weakness. ⸻ 🔥 5. Why Low Leverage Traders Last Longer Here’s the paradox: 🔥 The better the trader gets… the less leverage they need. Why? • Their entries are location-based • Their invalidation is tight • Their patience is trained • Their win rate stabilizes They don’t care about how fast the account grows. They care about: • drawdown control • psychological neutrality • staying in sync with market rhythm 🔥 Survival becomes the priority — and survival compounds. ⸻ 🔥 6. Market Cycles Change How Leverage Should Be Used This is advanced, so lock in 🔥 Leverage should never be static. 📉 Manipulation / Distribution Phase • leverage ↓ • size ↓ • patience ↑ • observation > execution 📈 Expansion / Delivery Phase • leverage slightly ↑ • size increases only after confirmation • continuation logic applies 🔥 Elite traders earn leverage from the market. They don’t assume it. ⸻ 🔥 7. Why “Starting Over” Hurts More Once You’re Skilled This part is emotional but real. When you were new: • blowing an account was expected • resets felt normal Now? • resets feel disrespectful to your growth • they interrupt momentum • they break psychological rhythm 🔥 At this level, leverage isn’t dangerous because of money. It’s dangerous because it destroys continuity. And continuity is where mastery lives. ⸻ 🔥 8. The Account Manager Mindset (This Is Pro Level) You’re no longer just a trader. You’re becoming: • a risk manager • a capital preserver • a system operator 🔥 Your job shifts from: “How much can I make?” To: “How long can I stay optimal?” That’s when: • leverage is used intentionally • brokers matter • rules become sacred ⸻ 🔥 9. The Ultimate Nugget (Read This Twice) Here’s the real flex: 🔥 Any trader can grow an account fast. 🔥 Very few can grow one without restarting. The market rewards: • respect • patience • repetition • restraint Not aggression. ⸻ 🔥 Final Truth (This Is the Line) Leverage is a privilege — not a right. When you treat it that way: • your equity curve smooths • your psychology stabilizes • your confidence becomes quiet • your edge gets protected You’re not slowing down. You’re locking in. Patience is key, Tracking is the edge.
COINBASE:SOLUSDEducation
by Juicemannn
5
Long trade📈 MNQH — Buy-Side Sentiment Analysis Date: Tue 27th Jan 2026 Session: NY Session PM Execution Time: 1:00 pm Trade Details Entry: 26,080.00 Take Profit: 26,366.25 (1.09% Stop Loss: 26,038.75 (0.15%) Risk–Reward: 6.94R 🟢 Directional Bias Buy-side continuation: The broader narrative remains firmly risk-on, with price expanding in a controlled manner and higher-timeframe structure fully intact. 🧠 Market Sentiment Overview Prior consolidation resolved decisively to the upside No meaningful sell-side response on pullbacks Buyers continue to defend value and step in aggressively on shallow retracements This reflects institutional continuation, not late-stage breakout chasing. 🧩 Structural Context Higher-high / higher-low sequence preserved on the 1H No bearish CHoCH or displacement against trend NY PM is building a continuation above prior range highs Structure strongly favours further upside rather than mean reversion. 📊 Volume Profile & Value Acceptance above the previous value and POC Value migrating higher alongside price No high-volume rejection zones overhead The market is in a healthy bullish auction. ⏱️ Session Behaviour Asia balanced London confirmed continuation NY PM extended the move without failure. 🎯 Trade Logic HTF trend intact Pullbacks are corrective, not impulsive Liquidity resting above recent highs NY PM continuation often delivers the final expansion leg ⚠️Invalidation Criteria Bearish displacement back below reclaimed value Acceptance below the most recent higher low Failure to hold bullish FVG support Until then, buy-side bias remains dominant. 🧾 Summary MNQH continues to show buy-side sentiment during the NY PM session, with higher-timeframe structure intact, acceptance above value, and stacked bullish FVGs supporting continuation toward premium liquidity.
CME_MINI:MNQH2026Long
by davidjulien369
RIVER to 45 ?The technical landscape has shifted, with the 59 level now acting as a clear control zone defended by sellers. Price action shows repeated rejections from this area, with upper wicks and failed intraday breakouts signaling persistent supply. The volume profile reinforces this narrative, as activity increases on pushes into 59 but lacks follow-through above it, suggesting distribution rather than accumulation. As long as this resistance holds and buyers fail to establish acceptance above the level, the path of least resistance remains to the downside. Under these conditions, continuation pressure could drive the market lower, with 44 emerging as the next major liquidity target.
Short
by Davide_Manfrini
4
GBPUSD is a little behind EURUSD. But, but reallyThis week gbpusd also broke the consolidation and follow eur towards new highs. in the video i talked about the targets that GBPUSD has on W time frame and what i wanna see on intraday tf in order to place a trade as is hard to determine where the price will turn around without a poi Do you find this description confusing or the way i do explain my point of view in video? fell free to ask questions and also tell me what would you like to change in the videos.
Long
by IST22
XAU/USD 28 January 2026 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. As per analysis dated 22 January where I mentioned price could potentially continue bullish is how price printed. CHoCH positioning has again been brought closer to current price action and is denoted with a blue dotted line. Price is trading within an internal low and fractal high. Intraday expectation: Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Thereafter price to react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 5,311.665. Alternative scenario: Price could potentially continue bullish. Note: The Federal Reserve’s renewed easing cycle, alongside a weaker U.S. dollar and persistent geopolitical tensions, continues to drive volatility in the gold market. Traders should remain cautious and adjust risk management strategies to navigate sharp price swings. Additionally, gold pricing is highly sensitive to U.S. policy under President Trump, where tariff measures, fiscal uncertainty, and shifting geopolitical strategy amplify market repricing risks and reinforce safe‑haven demand. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed according to yesterday's analysis dated 27 February by trading down to discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 5,111,510. Price has since continued to print higher without any signs of pullback, with price trading within an internal low and fractal high. Intraday expectation: Allow price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue horizontal dotted line. At the current high, and if price prints a bearish CHoCH, price to then trade down to either M15 demand zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high, priced at 5,311.665. Alternative scenario: Price could potentially continue to print higher. Note: Gold continues to exhibit elevated volatility as markets digest the Federal Reserve’s ongoing dovish tilt and persistent global geopolitical tensions. With uncertainty remaining a dominant theme across global risk assets, traders should prioritise disciplined risk management, as abrupt price swings and liquidity pockets may become increasingly common. Furthermore, recent tariff announcements from President Trump, particularly those directed at China, have added another layer of instability to the macro landscape. These policy developments have the potential to intensify market turbulence, heighten risk‑off flows, and trigger sharp intraday reversals or whipsaw‑like behaviour in gold. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
2