Long trade Pair: ETHUSDT
Date: Wed 12th Nov 25
Time: 6.30 pm
Session: Tokyo PM
Direction: Buyside
Timeframe: 15-min Execution
🔹 Trade Details
Field Value
Entry 3410.66
TP 3623.43 (+6.23%)
Stop 3368.96 (–1.23%)
RR 5.1: 1
🔹 Technical Context
Model: FVG → Inducement → BOS → Mitigation Entry
📝Higher-Timeframe Bias
The chart shows ETH sweeping a major HTF discount zone around 3200–3240, which aligns with Base Level 3244.28. This region acted as a Sell climax, Secondary test (Wyckoff Phase B/C), and Liquidity grab beneath all previous London and NY lows. FVG between ~0.62–0.70 retracement zone. It remained untouched, leaving a clear inefficiency target for a mitigation tap.
Before price tapped the FVG, ETH created:
A micro liquidity shelf and consecutive equal lows during Tokyo → London
Narrative:
Price swept the HTF base level around 3240, confirming bullish accumulation. Multiple session lows were engineered then taken (Tokyo → London → NY), creating strong sell-side liquidity. After displacement, ETH left a clean bullish FVG, whose price never fully mitigated. A shallow 0.25 pullback created inducement, ensuring weak hands entered early. Once the BOS printed, the price sharply retraced into the FVG, Discount Fib zone, Breaker block, and Tokyo PM session demand, creating an algorithm-driven entry.
🔹 Sentiment / Narrative Context
Liquidity vacuum above 3500 with clean inefficiencies makes buyside continuation likely.
Broader sentiment remains positive as the market left a re-accumulation range rather than a distribution. Volume aligned with bullish displacement — institutions supporting the move.
No major macro headwinds at this moment; volatility stable and favouring upward expansion.
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
Bitcoin - Why everyone is probably wrongYou may have noticed published ideas on tradingview.com are now calling for price action to take one direction and that direction is down. Don’t take my word for it, click on BTCUSD pair to the bottom right of this screen and then ‘ideas’ then ‘Recent’. A significant number of analysts are “short” at this time.
The number of short ideas should not be surprising, there is tens of millions of dollars in short interest around the 74-75k area waiting to be liquidated.
Two falling wedge patterns are shown on the above 1-day chart. All too easily these patterns produce false breakouts. How do you verify? Verification is made in a similar way to the recently published “How to void or validate a head and shoulders pattern” (idea linked below). We achieve validation by observing the movements of the oscillators.
1) A cross up of 20 indicates momentum is returning to the market. Look left.
2) Momentum oscillators cycle from above 80 to below 20 the majority of the time between 20 to 30 days. Look left and confirm, don’t take my word for it! At this time 26 days have passed since Stochastic RSI was above 80.
3) Considering points (1) and (2) the falling wedge now has a high probability of confirming the continued uptrend.
4) The wedge target area may be forecast by measuring the flagpole height (black circles). You can observe how accurate the first wedge target was forecast using this process. The forecast for the 2nd wedge is shown, towards the 115k area.
5) The 115k target area was first forecast from the “Is Bitcoin about to rally to 110-120k” idea (linked below) in July 2022 as price action was around $18k using the same method described above.
6) When the target is reached the bull market is over. There will be calls from all quarters informing us how price action is now going to $250k and beyond. Ignore it. The next macro long opportunity will be in 2026.
Is it possible price action continues correcting from the new all time high? Sure.
Is it probable? No
Ww
How to void or validate a head and shoulders pattern
Is Bitcoin about to rally to 110-120k
Next Week EURUSD Analysis There is more htf context to this but I will keep it brief. Weekly candle rejected 1.147 area, Smt of 3month lows with GU and DXY indicating that there is divergence between correlated assets, every downside target has been met we have just opened with a new monthly candle which usually makes the low the first week aswell. And we now have a weekly crt formed meaning we can target the high of the previous week pairing liquidity pools we already had a daily change in state so I am expecting daily ob to take us higher.
XAU/USD 13 November 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 20 October 2025.
Price has printed as per previous intraday expectation by printing a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms, bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with regards to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380.990.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price did not print according to my analysis. Price instead targeted strong internal high by printing a bullish iBOS.
This could potentially indicate H4 bearish pullback phase is complete.
Price has since printed a couple of bearish CHoCH's, however, I will not mark them as such due to very insignificant depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing a bearish CHoCH. CHoCH positioning is demoted with a blue horizontal dotted line.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
EURNZD: Strong Bullish Confirmation 🇪🇺🇳🇿
Quick update for EURNZD.
Retesting the upper boundary of a major demand zone on a daily,
the price bounced and violated a resistance line of a falling channel
on an hourly time frame.
Probabilities are high that we will see a pullback from that.
Goal - 2.059
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GBPUSD: Testing Daily HTLKey Observations
- On the D1 TF, price is in a downtrend; however, it's currently testing a key HTL
- If price is able to hold below this level, this is a good indication of keeping my bearish bias
- However, the bullish daily bars is not a great sign for downside strength
- ATL had to be drawn multiple times, which is signaling a weaker price action and a point of concern for the downtrend strength
Long trade
1Hr TF overview
📘 Trade Journal Entry
Pair: XAGUSD
Date: Thu 6 Nov 2025
Session: Tokyo → London → NY PM overlap
Direction: Buy-side Trade
Timeframe: 1 Hour
🔹 Trade Details
Entry: 48.1296
Take Profit (TP): 52.9400 (+9.94 %)
Stop Loss (SL): 47.9743 (–0.30 %)
Risk / Reward (RR): 33.30 R
🔹 Market Context
🧾The broader structure shows a reaccumulation base forming between 47.9 – 48.4 following an extended markdown in late October.
🧾Multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) stacked between 48.2 – 49.0 serve as bullish continuation footprints.
🧾The KAMA (Adaptive MA) has turned upward, confirming regained momentum and transition into a markup phase.
🧾Consecutive session overlaps (Tokyo, London, NY) displayed defended lows with consistently higher lows, validating institutional accumulation.
🧾The premium liquidity objective sits within the 52.9 imbalance zone — an unmitigated HTF supply area.
🔹 Model Type
Re-accumulation → Breaker Block → FVG Continuation Model
Market structure shifted bullish after a CHOCH above 48.4.
Entry positioned within the re-test of the mid-range FVG / OB confluence zone.
Target seeks completion of the macro inefficiency left from October’s selloff.
🔹 Execution Notes
Trade executed on the retest of the bullish FVG with session volume confluence.
Stop anchored below the protected low (47.97). TP mapped just below the imbalance ceiling (52.94) for precision exit ahead of the premium liquidity pool. Entry aligns with breakout-retest structure and confirmed KAMA slope reversal.
🔹 Trade Narrative
This Silver trade captures a continuation leg out of accumulation — transitioning into a mid-cycle markup. Price action presented a classic discount entry within structural demand, supported by rising volume and session timing alignment. The 48.1–48.3 entry zone represents optimal efficiency entry within a clear bullish shift, projecting a move toward the higher-timeframe imbalance at 52.9.
Long trade
1hr TF overview
📘 Trade Journal Entry
Pair: ETHUSDT.P (Perpetual Contract)
Date: Wed 12th Nov 2025
Time: 7:00 AM
Session: London to New York Session AM
Direction: Buyside Trade
Timeframe: 15-Minute
🔹 Trade Details
Entry: 3552.98
Profit Level (TP): 3807.27 (+7.17%)
Stop Level (SL): 3530.45 (–0.63%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 11.31
🔹 Technical Context
Market Structure:
🧾Prior Consolidation Phase at top range followed by a significant markdown breaking below structural support.
🧾The secondary retest formed at the base level (3244–3200 zone) aligned with liquidity grab beneath prior lows (PDL).
🧾Subsequent shift in structure (CHOCH → BOS) on the 15M chart suggests transition from distribution to early accumulation.
Key Confluences:
🧩Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) identified within the 0.75–0.25 retracement zone, acting as re-entry and mitigation areas.
🧩Breaker Block formation confirmed following BOS, validating bullish continuation setup.
🧩Volume expansion visible around 3550 region, signalling strong buy-side interest.
🧩Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA) providing dynamic trend support near 3475 level.
📈Target Narrative:
We assume that price aims to rebalance inefficiency toward the 3,800–3,850 liquidity zone, corresponding to prior unmitigated FVG and institutional range midpoint.
🔹 Narrative & Sentiment
The setup reflects a buyside re-accumulation model emerging from deep discount levels post-sell climax. The corrective structure within the descending wedge aligns with the Wyckoff “Spring” and “Test” phase, suggesting smart money re-entry before expansion.
Macro sentiment also supports ETH strength into mid-November amid rotational flow from BTC dominance cooldown and speculative positioning ahead of CPI data.
USDCHF LONG Market structure bullish on HTFs DW
Entry at Both Weekly And Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at my AOi
Previous Weekly Structure Point
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Daily Structure Point
Daily EMA retest
Around Psychological Level 0.80000
H4 Candlestick rejection
TP: WHO KNOWS!
Entry 100%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
Long trade 📘 Trade Journal Entry
Pair: ETHUSDT.P
Date: Thu 7 Nov 2025
Session: London → New York AM
Direction: Buy-side Trade
Timeframe: 1 Hour
🔹 Trade Details
Entry: 3202.91
Take Profit (TP): 3803.73 (+18.76 %)
Stop Loss (SL): 3181.80 (–0.64 %)
Risk / Reward (RR): 28.54 R
🔹 Market Context
The structure shows a clear Selling Climax with heavy volume expansion, signalling the potential completion of the markdown leg.
🧾A Secondary Re-test at the 3200 base level confirms buyer absorption and shift in short-term order flow.
🧾The Consolidation Phase and Preliminary Stop above mark prior distribution range now serving as the target zone (premium liquidity pool).
🧾KAMA (MA) flattening suggests a transition from distribution to accumulation.
🧾Price defended the POI (Point of Interest) at ≈ approximately 3244, forming higher lows in the intraday structure — confirmation of buyside intent.
1Hr TF
🔹 Model Type
Accumulation → Re-accumulation → Continuation Model
🧾The setup follows a textbook Wyckoff Accumulation: Selling Climax → Automatic Rally → Secondary Test → Spring → Markup.
🧾The Spring formed via liquidity sweep below 3200, reclaiming structure with strong close and volume support.
🔹 Execution Notes
Entry refined at re-test of the spring low on volume tapering (sign of absorption).
Risk confined below the Selling Climax wick. Target placed at prior consolidation premium zone (≈ 3.8 k) aligning with inefficiency fill. Volume profile and session timing support entry during London–New York overlap, consistent with institutional execution windows.
🔹 Trade Narrative
This ETHUSDT setup captures a phase-transition shift from markdown into early markup.
After the Selling Climax, the market re-tested structural demand at 3200 — confirming buyer presence. The confluence of liquidity sweep, volume divergence, and EMA / KAMA flattening provides a strong foundation for a buyside reversal.
🧩The trade aims to ride the short-term expansion leg toward the higher-timeframe premium zone, capturing displaced liquidity left by prior distribution. A clean break and close above 3.4 k would further confirm continuation toward the 3.8 k objective.
Stellar's(XLM) trajectoryConsidering the price hitting the supply zone (green area) and consuming the orders in that zone along with the reaction it has shown, now if the market also consumes the supply zone (orange area) and breaks through it, we expect the continuation of the upward movement to the next levels. BINANCE:XLMUSDT
XAU Mid Buying ModelHello everyone, Welcome to the XAU-SYNDICATE...
This is my entry model for buying. so I'll wait for my zone, as soon as the price reaches my zone I'll look for a INT.IDM hunt or M15 single bullish candle close above 3916 second confirmation and plan my trade accordingly.
#XAU-SYNDICATE
AUDJPY Buy Setups. LearnThis setup has always been effective. After every sweep of liquidity to an active demand or Supply level, price often creates a Market Structure shift indicating current trend reversal, then it creates another low/high close to another Demand and supply zone newly created and breaks structure (BOS). Now price will come back to sweep the low close to Demand or Supply area and then continue moving in intended direction!
But in a case whereby there was no low or high formed before break of Structure, That's when Engineered Liquidity concept is applied. Learn and Apply!!
ARUSDT Gearing Up for a Powerful Wave 3 LaunhARUSDT has completed its corrective phase via a well defined ending diagonal, followed by a strong impulsive move completing wave 1. Price recently tested a significant supply zone, leading to a sharp retracement toward $4.48, aligning with the previous bottom structure.
This zone is projected to form the immediate base, and our plan is to accumulate within this range, targeting the anticipated wave iii, historically known as the strongest and most extended move in the Elliott Wave sequence.
The entry plan and potential targets are clearly outlined on the chart. Feel free to share your view.
How to Trade Crude Oil with Smart Money Concepts SMC Explained
Smart Money Concepts is one of the most reliable techniques for trading WTI Crude Oil.
In this article, I will teach you a profitable SMC strategy for analysing and trading USOIL futures and CFD.
This simple strategy is based on an important event every SMC trader should know - a break of structure BoS.
In a bullish trend, the best break of structure will be based on a violation and a candle close above a current higher high.
It will signify a highly probable bullish continuation and provides a great opportunity to buy
Though you can spot a bullish break of structure on any time frame, the most reliable one is a daily.
After a formation of a new high, I suggest waiting for a short term intraday correctional movement.
With a high probability, the market will retest a recently broken structure and smart money will manipulate the market, pushing the price below that, making buyers close their positions.
Once the market starts retracing, analyze an hourly time frame. The price will need to establish an i ntraday minor bearish trend.
In this bearish trend, 2 trend lines should connect lower highs and lower lows composing an expanding, parallel or contracting channel - a bullish flag pattern.
Your best signal will be a breakout of a resistance line of the flag and a violation of the level of the last lower high - a bullish change of character of a liquidity grab.
It will confirm a completion of a correction.
Buy the market on a retest of the level of the last higher low, it will be your best entry.
Set your stop loss at least below a trend line and aim at the next strong daily resistance.
That will be a perfect model for trading break of structure on WTI Crude Oil.
We spotted such a setup in my trading academy on one of the live streams with my students.
WTI Crude Oil was trading in an uptrend on a daily time frame.
A bullish violation of the last Higher High and a candle close above that confirmed a Break of Structure BoS.
The price started a correctional movement then, and we spotted a bullish flag pattern on an hourly time frame.
The market completed a correction after grabbing a liquidity below a broken structure.
A bullish movement started then, and the price violated a resistance line of the flag and the level of the last lower high.
These 2 breakouts confirmed a completion of a correction and a resumption of a bullish trend.
We opened a buy position immediately on a retest of a broken level of the last lower high.
Stop loss was below a trend line, take profit was based on the closest key daily resistance.
And the price went straight to the target.
Break of Structure BoS will be useful for analysis, forecasting and trading WTI Crude Oil.
Combining that with top-down analysis and lower time frames confirmations will provide accurate signals and profitable trading setups.
Integrate a price model that I shared in your strategy, and good luck to you trading USOIL!
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAU/USD 12 October 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 20 October 2025.
Price has printed as per previous intraday expectation by printing a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms, bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with regards to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380.990.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
You will note how price remains contained in consolidation between a supply and demand zone. The rest of my analysis and bias remains the same as bias date 29 October 2025.
As expected, price has printed a bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low, priced at 3,886.465.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:






















