MNQ Daily Analysis - Wednesday February 25 2025solid. 1-1-1 / +$97
------------
As a learning, beginner day trader I go through the market replay predefining what I am looking for to enter a trade and walk through my thoughts as I experience the market action bar by bar throughout the entire day to see how I handle various events and assess my execution.
This is for me and others to learn if you desire.
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
MNQ Daily Analysis - Tuesday February 25 2025 part 2good day that was close to being great.
2-1-2 / +$326
All 1 MNQ trades.
------------
As a learning, beginner day trader I go through the market replay predefining what I am looking for to enter a trade and walk through my thoughts as I experience the market action bar by bar throughout the entire day to see how I handle various events and assess my execution.
This is for me and others to learn if you desire.
MNQ Daily Analysis - Tuesday February 25 2025 part 1As a learning, beginner day trader I go through the market replay predefining what I am looking for to enter a trade and walk through my thoughts as I experience the market action bar by bar throughout the entire day to see how I handle various events and assess my execution.
This is for me and others to learn if you desire.
MNQ Daily Analysis - Monday February 24 2025tried to stay patient, but wasnt perfect.
1-1 / +$69.
All 1 MNQ trades.
------------
As a learning, beginner day trader I go through the market replay predefining what I am looking for to enter a trade and walk through my thoughts as I experience the market action bar by bar throughout the entire day to see how I handle various events and assess my execution.
This is for me and others to learn if you desire.
1/30/26 - RGEN: new SELL mechanical trading signal.1/30/26 - RGEN: new SELL signal chosen by a rules based, mechanical trading system.
RGEN - SELL SHORT
Stop Loss @ 175.77
Entry SELL SHORT @ 149.37
Target Profit @ 113.33
Analysis:
Higher timeframe: Victor Sperandeo's (Trader Vic) classic 1-2-3/2B SELL pattern...where the current highest top breakout price is less or only slightly peaking higher than the preceding top price.
Higher timeframe: Price peaked above the ATR (Average True Range) breakout high and then reversed.
Long trade 🟡 MGC1! — Sentiment & News Analysis (1-Hour)
Context: Bullish → pullback → potential re-accumulation
🧠 Market Sentiment Overview
Gold recently completed a strong impulsive expansion (multi-session trend leg)
Current move is a corrective retracement, not impulsive selling
Selling pressure is orderly and overlapping, characteristic of profit-taking
🧩 Structural Read
Higher-timeframe bullish structure has not been invalidated
Pullback is respecting prior expansion lows and imbalance zones
No decisive bearish BOS on the 1H — structure remains corrective
Trend context:
📊 Price Behaviour
Sharp move up created inefficiencies (FVGs) below
Market is now: Filling inefficiencies, Re-pricing into prior demand.
Wicks and rejection tails at the lows suggest responsive buying.
📰 News & Macro Context (Key Driver)
Recent Gold strength was driven by:
Softer real-yield expectations
Defensive allocation flows
Pullback likely influenced by:
Short-term USD stabilisation
Profit-taking after a steep % move
Importantly:
No hawkish shock
No structural USD breakout
🧾 Summary
MGC1! presents a high-timeframe buy-side re-accumulation opportunity following a sell-side liquidation event. Absorption at prior demand and intact bullish structure support a measured expansion toward external liquidity.
FVG Mitigation PhaseMarked a Fair Value Gap (FVG) from a recent imbalance while BTC is trending lower. The daily structure shows a break of the prior Market Structure Break (MSB), suggesting continuation risk toward the previous lows from April 25. Price appears likely to reach this level and potentially hold as support before exhibiting a Change of Character (CHOCH), signalling either a reversal to the upside or continuation of the downtrend.
MNQ Daily Analysis - Friday February 21 2025 part 22-1 day / +$214.
All 1 MNQ trades.
smooth bearish continuation trend day.
------------
As a learning, beginner day trader I go through the market replay predefining what I am looking for to enter a trade and walk through my thoughts as I experience the market action bar by bar throughout the entire day to see how I handle various events and assess my execution.
This is for me and others to learn if you desire.
MNQ Daily Analysis - Friday February 21 2025 part 1Lets dive into the bear market of early 2025.
------------
As a learning, beginner day trader I go through the market replay predefining what I am looking for to enter a trade and walk through my thoughts as I experience the market action bar by bar throughout the entire day to see how I handle various events and assess my execution.
This is for me and others to learn if you desire.
Yen February view
- Where is price?
Price is in Area3 on the quarterly and area 4 on the monthly timeframe. February candle will open in area 4, making it a congestion entrance candle. Direction is turning up, slopes also up on the monthly, the qyarterly has still three months for the candle to form
- What is it doing?
February will be congestion entrance candle, notfying us that the next type of trading after the trend down up till now will be congestion action. The congestion entrance target is two PLDots back, limits of congestion action is the January candle low and high in this case
- What is next?
For the monthly to trade in congestion action, the weekly needs to trade between the dotted line and the block level which in this case is Jan candles low and high. Next week, there is strong support at the static ETOP where price will open and should continue to push price towards the congestion entrance target which should be reached within Feb. (0.006632).
DXY February analysis
- Where is price?
Price is in Area3 on the quarterly and area 2 on the monthly timeframe. January candle is finished and February candle will also open in Area 2, below the current live EBOT which will become static EBOT on monday. Price is in c-wave down on the monthly time frame. Direction is down, slopes are down
- What is it doing?
On the monthly timeframe, price is in c-wave down, and opening below the static EBOT, price will usually find resistance there and continue the c-wave down to the exhaus areas. Direction is down and slopes are down, Areas 3-6 are down. For that to happen the weekly needs to find resistance at the next weeks EBOT and continue with the c-wave down.
- What is next?
The monthly will continue its c-wave down with strong resistance at the next months live PLdot (currently at 97.7 to the static PLdot at 98.52) and support at 94.828 - 94.663 which is the static Area 1 bottom and the quarterly 5-9 up. If the probable PLdot refresh has enough energy, then it might go in February to the extremely strong support at 91.5.
XAUUSD: record January volumeHi traders and investors!
Monthly timeframe.
The trading volume in January 2026 exceeds all previous readings, which may indicate that the phase of rapid growth is coming to an end and the market is transitioning into consolidation or a correction.
On the monthly chart, two key levels stand out where long-term buying may be considered — but only if a valid buy pattern forms: 4435, the 50% level of the trading range, and 4381.
Daily timeframe.
The price has already reached the first key level at 4755 and reacted with a bounce. The next nearest daily levels where a buy pattern could be considered are 4642 and 4536.
At the same time, it is important to keep in mind that the January 30 candle is a seller candle with the largest volume in history, which formed a seller zone.
The lower boundary of this zone is 5157.
A strong short reaction may develop from this level, which should be taken into account when looking for long positions and setting targets.
Additionally, there is a price gap on the daily timeframe between 4642 and 4536, toward which the price is likely to gravitate.
Hourly timeframe.
A seller initiative is currently active. The key candle (the highest-volume candle within this initiative) has already been tested. The test level is 4948.
Short positions may be considered in the case of a manipulation of the 4948 level (false breakout), should this scenario unfold.
Profitable trades!
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis (IA) method.
RIVER back to 50 ?The 15 level is starting to stand out as a strong demand zone, with buyers consistently stepping in to defend it despite repeated downside pressure.
Price action shows multiple rejections below this area, forming higher lows and signaling that selling momentum is fading.
The volume profile also reflects increased participation here, suggesting accumulation rather than panic selling.
As long as 15 continues to hold as support and price builds acceptance above it, the probability of a broader trend reversal increases.
Under this scenario, a shift back to bullish structure could unfold, opening room for a recovery move toward the 50 region.
Silver: record volume at the highs — selling priorityThe price corrected with a wick below the second zone (86.5–80), but ultimately held within it, stopping at 85.18.
Hi traders and investors!
Weekly timeframe
The price came close to, but did not quite reach, the lower boundary of the buyers’ initiative at 70.07 and technically may still move into this area.
At the same time, in the latest weekly candle the main volume was accumulated at the top, within the 107,000–113,000 range.
This is the largest weekly volume in history (!).
Daily timeframe
The daily chart shows a similar picture: the candle also printed record volume (!), with volume again accumulated in the upper part of the candle.
Given the overall context, buying is not a priority — it is more reasonable to focus on selling setups.
Hourly timeframe (H1)
On H1, the seller’s initiative is in control, and its range is clearly visible on the chart.
There was a test of the key initiative candle (KC on the chart).
Short positions may be considered on a manipulation (false breakout) of the test level at 86.50. An additional confluence would be price interaction with the 50% of the trading range at 88.70.
It is also visible on the hourly chart that volume has started to build around the daily level at 84.03. If volume accumulation continues, a bounce toward the 104,000–108,000 area is possible, where short positions can again be considered.
Profitable trades!
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis (IA) method.
AUDJPY OUTLOOKOn the monthly charts, the AUDJPY has shifted in market structure indicating the long term outlook is bearish. In the interim (weekly), price action is pushing higher to mitigate price inefficiency and fair value gaps. After mitigation, we will look for sell opportunities targeting liquidity below the relative equal lows.
The alt-token Santa rally is here! - December 2025But it’ll be short lived. Many will mistakingly recognise this as “alt token” season, it’s not. It’ll be a relief rally on steroids for long suffering alt token holders. Use it as your exit from this awful asset class. This idea expires by the end of January 2026 at the latest, unless a development occurs that changes that outlook from the data available today.
The above 3 day chart of Bitcoin dominance forecasts a Death Cross print circa December 15th. Technically speaking, it is the 3rd three day Death cross to print on Bitcoin dominance. The others happened on May 2016:
At the time the OTHERS Total (first 100 alt tokens minus the top 10 generally speaking) rallied from $100m to $66billion over 590 days, when many made fortunes and watched them melt away in 2018. Today XRP has a market capital almost twice the size of the 2017 alt token bubble at $123billion. Aye.
The 2nd three day death cross was in August 2020, Bitcoin dominance rallied almost 30% on the cross and the OTHERS Total rallied 1000% over the following 255 days.
The take away, every 3 day death cross print is followed by a strong alt token performance.
“Wait wait you said until January 2026 and you present evidence for previous death cross resulting in alt token rallies that lasted multiple months, I’m confused!”
Why I know it won’t last long
A few of the long term followers among you may remember this idea “I mminent 2-day death cross - Is Bitcoin about to crash 30-40% ?? ” from 2022. The idea discusses the relevance of the 2 day death cross (not a 3 day as discussed above). That is when:
The 2 day 50 Simple Moving average (blue) crosses down the 2 day 200 SMA (Red) with price action under the 200 SMA.
If you look left you’ll notice every Bitcoin bear market is confirmed with this event. A 2 day death cross is forecast to print around the end of the month. It does not mean price action will drop like a vegan at a BBQ, but rather complain at first before being overcome by the stench of gravity.
Bitcoin 2 day death cross forecast, December 31st, 2026
Will not bore you with past crosses, you can do look them up yourself. What is clear, if not factual, a 2 day death cross is the start of a minimum year long bear market.
Conclusions
So yes, the alt token Santa rally is here, jingling its little bells and waving shiny green candles in your face like some bloke at a Christmas market trying to sell you socks you don’t need.
And like all Christmas magic, it’ll vanish the moment the lights go off. Not an “alt-season,” not a new paradigm, not “the big rotation we’ve been waiting for.” It’s one last sugar rush before the dentist arrives.
The real Grinch is waiting at the end of the month: the 2-day Bitcoin death cross, the one that actually matters. The one that says, “Right, fun’s over, pack it up, winter’s here.”
If you’re still clinging to low-cap jungle rubbish by February, that’s no longer optimism, that’s performance art. Use the rally. Exit the nonsense. Save yourself before the lights go out and the floor collapses faster than a crypto influencer’s moral compass.
Ww
Disclaimer
==========================================
This is not financial advice, obviously. If you read this and think, “Right, I’m putting the house, the kids, and the dog into ShibaBonk Inu because Santa said alt season!” that’s on you, mate.
If the market pumps, you’ll claim you’re a genius.
If it dumps, you’ll blame me. Either way, I’ll still sleep like a baby.
Do your own research.
Indus Towers | Monthly ChartIndus Towers is currently trading near a major long-term resistance zone, which has historically acted as a supply-heavy distribution area. The current structure is important because price is no longer in a downtrend — it is transitioning into a range-to-trend decision phase.
Market Structure Overview
Price has completed a full mean-reversion cycle from multi-year lows.
Strong rally from the long-term demand zone (~₹130–₹150).
Current price is testing a decade-old resistance band (~₹460–₹500).
Structure resembles a range expansion attempt, not a confirmed breakout yet.
This makes the current zone a decision zone, not a chase zone.
Key Zones Identified
Major Resistance (Supply Zone): ₹460 – ₹500
→ Historical rejection zone
→ Multiple monthly wicks earlier
Intermediate Demand / Base: ₹330 – ₹380
→ Recent consolidation box
→ Acts as first support on pullbacks
Major Long-Term Support: ₹130 – ₹160
→ Multi-year accumulation zone
→ Structural bottom already validated
Volume Analysis
Expansion in volume during the rally from lows → accumulation confirmed
Volume contracted during consolidation → healthy pause
No extreme distribution volume near resistance yet
→ Suggests smart money is waiting, not exiting aggressively
Final View
Indus Towers is at a make-or-break level on the monthly chart.
The stock has recovered strongly, but confirmation is still pending.






















