Announcement of the ECB decision on monetary policy in the Eurozone is what everybody waiting for. Analysts are expecting lowering rates, a new quantitative easing program (an increase in bond buybacks) and all kinds of support signals from the ECB for the European economy. What are the chances? In our opinion, the chances are high enough. The fact is that the...
When leading economies stably show statistics worse than analysts' forecasts and signal a slowdown in economic development, Britain continues to surprise with industrial production and GDP outcome on Monday, then on Tuesday, the statistics on the labor market turned out to be better than forecasts. In particular, the unemployment rate went below the forecast, and...
Boris Johnson managed to turn into the worst premiere minister ever. His attempts to neutralize Parliament so he could complete Brexit by October 31 failed. As a result, Johnson lost a majority in Parliament. Why even Johnson’s brother disowned him left the Cabinet and the party. As we warned in our reviews, Johnson's defeats are pound’s strength. As a result,...
Everything develops according to the scenario described earlier - Johnson’s defeat in Parliament is an occasion for the pound growth and its purchases. However, it’s too early to relax. Yes, the pound still has the opportunity to grow for not just a hundred points, but a thousand or even more. The key threat to the pound has not disappeared yet. So you should...
We continue to watch the confrontation between the British Parliament and Prime Minister Boris Johnson. Boris Johnson is losing another battle. On Tuesday, Boris Johnson not only lost his working majority, but he also could not initiate early elections. As we predicted, the pound strengthened. Even the weak data on business activity in the UK could not prevent...
GBP updated its lowest level since 2016 been in a pair with USD, but after soared at 100+ points for half an hour. The reasons for these movements we announced yesterday - the opposition of the British Parliament and Prime Minister Boris Johnson. We briefly outline the events of yesterday. A group of deputies is planning to initiate a bill where Boris Johnson...
Labor Day in the US and Canada led to a relatively calm day on the financial market. But today everything can change radically. On the one hand, Hurricane Dorian threatens to become the most powerful in history. This means that the potential damage could also become the most significant. Yesterday we promised to show the way how to make money on this kind of...
Queen approves PM`s plan. Parliament is to be suspended for five weeks ahead of 31 October, the day the UK is due to leave the EU that was perhaps, the main event. This event is unusual: the prime minister, who was not chosen, and the Queen, who was not chosen as well, blocked the work of epy supreme body, which directly selected by people and represents their...
Be concern working with the pound. Boris Johnson's decision to shut down parliament for five weeks in order ... controversial plan to suspend the UK's parliament for five weeks. The Queen has approved an order to prorogue the UK Parliament. Boris Johnson seriously set his sights on leaving without a deal. Of course, there is a chance that this is just his attempt...
Boris Johnson asks Queen to suspend parliament. The decision will cut dramatically the time MPs will have to take action to prevent no-deal Brexit. he is going to ask the Queen to suspend parliament for five weeks from mid-September. It seems like the Queen is ready to be in. And this means that the opposition will have time until September 12 to prevent the...
The China-United States Trade War is an ongoing economic conflict between the world's two largest economies. Two countries cannot even agree if they are talking. According to Trump, he got a call from Chinese officials, however, China did not confirm that yet. Well, quite possible that there was no call. this means that we are in a situation where the parties are...
Trump: China is ready to go back to the negotiating table. China, for its part, reiterated its desire to resolve trade problems through negotiations. safe-haven assets against this background have slightly adjusted and provided excellent opportunities. Despite the optimistic comments from Trump’s side as well as Chinese, everything might change. We have recently...
For the whole last week we were waiting for a symposium in Jackson Hole to be held (The Economic Symposium, held in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, is attended by central bankers, finance ministers, academics, and financial market participants from around the world. ). Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's speech on Friday was the main event. The markets were waiting for the...
Powell speaks in Jackson Hole that is what everybody is waiting for. Fed minutes from the meeting also showed the lack of unity among the Fed members. That might lead to the fact that the rate can be either lowered in September or left unchanged. That is complete uncertainty. That is why Powell's comments are that important. Markets still believe in the rates...
The growing strength of the United States dollar has already fed up with a lot of things, Trump and American exporters to traders and analysts who have bet and continue to bet on its decline. Quite a long time ago, we have turned to dollars bears and also not enthusiastic about its unwillingness to decline. So it is time to find out the reasons for its...
We have already noted that this week promises to be calm but The Jackson Hole Economic Symposium is an annual symposium, traditionally gathering representatives of all the leading Central banks in the world, might give enough reasons for bursts of volatility. The most vulnerable are the euro and the dollar. Weak inflation in the Eurozone (yesterday's report...
The crisis in Argentina. Argentina’s stock market lost more than 30% on Monday, and the Argentine peso also fell significantly. The ghost of default in Argentina scared investors around the world. Given that it is all about the 25th largest economy in the world, their fears are more than understandable - this could well be a signal for a full-fledged global...
UK monthly retail sales were expected to decrease by 0.2% however, but fortunately, we observe the increase by 0.2%. The pound was trying to gain a foothold above 1.21. Although the attempt failed at the end of the day, we continue to recommend buying the pound both mid-term positions and on the intraday basis. Pound back above $1.21 but not for the log time. US...