The Japanese yen steadily strengthened yesterday because of the results of the meeting of the Bank of Japan and news from China. When the Bank of Japan expectedly left the rate unchanged, the Chinese quite unexpectedly announced that they doubted the possibility of a long-term trade deal with President Donald Trump. That is, it is too early to stop worrying about...
Let’s analyze the key events of yesterday. Consumer confidence in the Eurozone is rather depressed, as indeed the entire economy of the Eurozone. But at the same time, the euro did not show any specific movements. The dollar, on the contrary, despite the relatively good statistics, was losing its way. Preliminary data on US GDP for the third quarter came out...
Before moving on to the main event this month, and perhaps the next one too, we will talk about yesterday’s events. As usual, the most interesting news is coming from the UK. Johnson could find support for his idea of an early election. So in December, the British are expected to have the third parliamentary election over four years. According to some experts,...
The Brexit date is set to be delayed until 31 January Again. Johnson, as promised, asked parliamentarians to call early elections in December. He has failed to win on Brexit. Johnson said that he would make another attempt today and said that without early elections, it would not be possible to ratify the agreement with the EU. Today will be the last relatively...
Brexit was accustomed to being the main news generator last week, at least for the pound pairs. Parliament refused to vote for the deal until it made changes to British law, which meant the need to request a postponement. In our opinion, this is just a way to publicly humiliate Johnson, who has repeatedly said that October 31 will be the end date. As a result,...
At yesterday’s meeting, the Governing Council of the European Central Bank (ECB) decided that the interest rate on the main refinancing operations and the interest rates on the marginal lending facility and the deposit facility will remain unchanged. So Draghi can leave with a sense of accomplishment, but his successor Christine Lagarde will have to solve a...
The main event will be the announcement of the ECB decision on the monetary policy parameters in the Eurozone. Given the general tendency toward easing monetary policy in the world and the recent actions of the Central Bank of Europe, euro can be expected a pretty unpleasant surprise, In theory. But in practice, most likely everything will be ok. Mario Draghi is...
The break is going on. Bursts of volatility are observed in pound pairs (just after the last two volatile weeks, this activity seems to be increased only against the background of other currencies standing still). This contributes to both the accumulated fatigue after full of events weeks and the lack of important news. Justin Trudeau has won a second term as...
"Markets took a break" the lack of high-profile news and frankly difficult weeks contributed to that yesterday. GBP has tested 1.30 against the dollar. As we expected unsuccessfully since a successful test requires positive news from Britain. Johnson’s attempt to accelerate the negotiation process did not bring home the bacon. Parliament refused to re-vote on the...
A new version of the Brexit deal has been agreed between the EU and the UK. The pound added about 500 points by the end of the week, bringing the account of its achievements to almost 1000 points. Recall that the UK and the EU, as we predicted, were able to agree on the terms of the deal at the last moment. As a result, at the EU summit on Thursday, this deal was...
Yesterday Brexit turned a corner. The Prime Minister got the European Union to renegotiate the Withdrawal Agreement that the EU said to would never renegotiate. The British pound, as we expected, hit a fresh five-month high above 1.30. But after that, many buyers decided to take profits, resulting in a rebound of the pound more than 150 points down. The reason for...
Today we are talking about a possible demarche by the Irish Democratic Party and, accordingly, the text of the treaty that could be not approved. Therefore, the GBP movement stuck. On the one hand, growth needs to be continued, because on brink of Brexit deal, on the other hand, everyone suddenly realized that the deal still has to be approved by the Parliament of...
The pound is a focus of attention of the forex market. Because Brexit is entering final straight. Yesterday the European Commission's chief negotiator Michel Barnier said that Brexit deal within reach in last-ditch talks, but doubts remain. And then there was information that the legally agreed text will be presented to the delegations of the EU and the UK no...
Even though yesterday in Japan, the USA and Canada was a day off on the financial markets we cannot but call that day like a calm one. As it was expected, a mini pound bubble burst. The lack of new positive drivers forced the most impatient to take profits of about 500 points. Plus, fears that the deal will fail again remains relevant. In particular, the EU’s...
The United States and China negotiation on trade war took place last week. In just two days by 500 points, the GBP showed a sharp growth regarding Brexit news. Actually, we have been waiting for this for quite some time and note that this growth is not limited. This week, EU summit on Brexit will be held on Thursday. With the positive outcome, the pound may well...
There were no major breakthroughs at the meeting between UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson and his Irish counterpart Taoiseach Leo Varadkar over the Irish border backstop. Recall that today it is the main sticking point that stops signing an agreement with the EU. As a result, the GBPUSD soared more than 250 points. However, this is not the end so you should not...
Today may well be a day of high volatility in the financial markets as a result changes in prices for several financial assets. There are a lot of important macroeconomic statistics will be published today. In particular, a whole block of data will be released across the UK, including GDP in August, industrial production, the index of business activity in the...
This week, markets have completely focused on the negotiation process between the US and China. We will closely monitor as well as the dynamics of safe-haven assets, which fully correlates with a market statement regarding the outcome of the negotiations. It is already obvious that the success of negotiations would affect gold - a decline in the are of 1420 +/-...