ETH : What the Options Are Saying (Hint: Big Move Ahead)Right now, Ethereum’s key players are positioning themselves to make some money on the rise.
And guess what? The market's already whispering where it’s headed next — but only if you know how to listen. And the loudest voice right now? Options flow on Deribit.
Let me break it down for you…
---
We caught some serious heat in the options pit lately. On Deribit, someone — or maybe a few someones — started stacking **Call options on ETH at 1,800 and 2,200 strike prices**, all under one portfolio. That’s not random. That’s a classic **Call Spread** setup, expiring June 27, 2025.
Translation? Someone’s betting hard on ETH heading north — straight toward **$2,200**.
But here's where it gets spicy. The **Max pain** for this contract sits right at **$2,000** — currently above spot price. Yeah, we’ve seen mixed stats on whether "price gravitates" to max pain like magic. But from experience? Right before expiry, price tends to *flirt* with that level.
So here's our read:
- There's **bullish sentiment** building.
- Eyes are locked on the **$2,200 zone** — likely within the next **30–50 days**.
- BTC’s playing the same game — big interest around **$100K–$110K strikes**, same expiry.
This isn’t noise. This is signal.
---
If you're tired of FOMO and want to catch the real setups before they blow up — follow. We turn complex flows into simple edge. Just actionable insights.
---
📈 *Trade smart. Stay sharp.
Join the crew that reads the market — not the hype.
Optionflow
ABNB Airbnb Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold ABNB before the retracement:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of ABNB Airbnb prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 105usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2026-1-16,
for a premium of approximately $8.10.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Sentiment: Option Traders Take Bearish Bets on Silver and CopperNegative option flows were found for two metals at the same time: silver and copper.
Portfolios that want prices to fall appeared at the same time as the market is growing, which is interesting.
The positions are quite large, but they cannot be called "Insider positions", so we will be careful with forecasts.
Of course, we need chart confirmation that agrees with the sentiment in options. Option traders like to flip trends too, so we need more signals.
If you're long right now, though, that's something to consider. Like I said, option trades in Silver and Copper are significant.
Game-changing analysis technique that will elevate your strategyAs many of my loyal followers know, my analysis toolkit goes beyond just the standard fare of CME options data and COT reports. I dive deeper, utilizing additional filters like the average long and short positions of retail traders. These insights are publicly available, and while I won’t name specific sources to avoid any hint of hidden promotion, I’ll give you a clue: look for a website with the word "book" in its title. 📚
For years, I’ve relied on this data, and it has proven to be both reliable and insightful. The average positions of market participants serve as both filters and indicators. But what do I mean by indicators?
Let’s break it down. When the price interacts with these levels, it reveals the market sentiment. For instance, if the price is below the average long position and breaks through easily, it’s a bullish sentiment. Conversely, if it hovers below the level and struggles to break through, that’s still bullish, as it indicates buyers are being drawn into profitable territory.
Now, let’s flip the script for the bears: if the price breaks down from above or struggles below the average short position, that’s a bearish sentiment. The price isn’t responding to sellers, dragging them into a profit land.
There’s more. Often, you’ll notice different behaviors near these key levels, allowing you to enter positions with an incredible risk/reward ratio of 3:1, 5:1, or even better! This clarity gives you insight into the current market mood—who’s being punished and who’s favored at that moment.
Now, let’s take a look at the screenshot of the British Pound futures chart. Here’s what you’ll see:
- A green line representing the average long position of retail traders.
- A red line for the average short position.
- The breakeven point of a put option contract for the June futures expiring on May 22, with 1,320 contracts at a strike of 1.295.
Take a moment to study the chart. What do you observe? 🤓
Ok, breathe in, breathe out. Tomorrow, we’ll dive deeper into this analysis. Don’t forget to subscribe so you won’t miss the continuation of this story! The insights I’ll share are definitely worth your time, as I aim to shift your perspective on the market by demonstrating a clear methodology without relying on indicators or technical patterns.
Stay tuned; it’s going to be incredibly valuable! 🚀✨
Targeting 1.185: Strategies for Navigating Euro Volatility!A few thoughts on the results of the analysis of Friday's stock exchange reports on the euro/dollar pair
We noticed a portfolio that has entered the market with a target of 1.185, and only have 12 days until expiration. With the current volatility at 10.23, the future price at expiration is expected to be in the range of 1.0993 to 1.1849 — a 95% probability. Interesting, right?
Now, let’s consider two possible scenarios.
The first option : if the price is rapidly moving towards 1.185, it might be wise to think about selling the asset. Why? Because this price will act as a strong resistance level. Two reasons:
First , the expected price range is based on a mathematical formula and statistical data. Second , using leverage embedded in options that are deep out of the money (i.e., far from the current price) presents an excellent opportunity to create a synthetic short position without any risk, even if the market continues to move upward! Sounds unreal? Start learning about options, and a new world of opportunities will open up for you. Your perspective on risk and opportunities will change dramatically!
OK, now let's get back to the point of the post. The second option : if the price consolidates above 1.1436 on the futures, this could signal a buying opportunity.
Taking into account other factors (you can dig deeper using our website's data), the current sentiment is quite bullish and the continuation of the uptrend seems more likely than a correction.
Which path will you choose? Share your thoughts in the comments!
That’s where our market research comes in. Think of it as your “bias detector.” We’ve developed and use it daily to get a second opinion on trades. It’s like having a pro trader whisper, “Hey, this isn’t looking good— think twice.”.
P.S. No pressure, just a chance to trade smarter! No Valuable Data, No Edge!
VIX Option Flow Signals Volatility Spike A massive wave of institutional option activity is pointing toward an upcoming surge in volatility—and likely a pullback in equities even more. Here's what the VIX flow is telling us:
🧠 Key Takeaways:
🔺 Aggressive Call Buying on VIX
Heavy blocks on VIX 22–42.5 calls, with most trading at the ask, signaling urgency.
Standout trades include:
1,407x April 22C @ $10.73 – $1.51M
2,535x May 60C @ $1.55 – $394K
5,770x April 40C @ $2.95 – $1.7M
📅 Short- to Mid-Term Focus
Expiries are clustered around April 16 and May 21, suggesting a volatility spike is expected within the next 1–6 weeks.
💵 Big Premiums Paid
Multiple trades between $500K and $1.7M, indicating strong conviction or heavy portfolio hedging.
📉 Minimal Put Activity
Very few puts being bought on VIX, signaling no expectations for volatility to fall.
📊 What This Means for Markets (SPY/QQQ)
This type of flow usually precedes a market correction, a macro catalyst, or event risk. Whether it's CPI, earnings season, or geopolitical flare-ups—institutions are bracing for turbulence.
🔮 Prediction:
Expect a spike in the VIX and downward pressure on major indices like SPY and QQQ in the coming 1–3 weeks.
This flow doesn’t lie—smart money is prepping for a move.
KULR Technology Group Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of KULR Technology Group prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 1.50usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-5-2,
for a premium of approximately $0.35.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
LAZR Luminar Technologies Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of LAZR Luminar Technologies prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 7usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2026-1-16,
for a premium of approximately $1.40.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
SWBI Smith & Wesson Brands Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold SWBI before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of SWBI Smith & Wesson Brands prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 11usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-3-21,
for a premium of approximately $0.52.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
PENN Entertainment Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of OXY PENN Entertainment prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the $22.5usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-4-17,
for a premium of approximately $0.88.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
WMT Walmart Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought WMT before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of WMT Walmart prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 110usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-4-17,
for a premium of approximately $2.33.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
DXCM DexCom Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of DXCM DexCom prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 90usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-2-21,
for a premium of approximately $1.65.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
WDC Western Digital Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought WDC before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of WDC Western Digital Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 65usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-3-21,
for a premium of approximately $4.35.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
DAL Delta Air Lines Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on DAL:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of DAL Delta Air Lines prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 60usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-2-21,
for a premium of approximately $3.80.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
ISRG Intuitive Surgical Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought ISRG before the rally:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of ISRG Intuitive Surgical prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 595usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-2-21,
for a premium of approximately $19.15.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
BLK BlackRock Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought BLK before the breakout:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of BLK BlackRock prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 850usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2025-3-21,
for a premium of approximately $6.50.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Waiting for Clarity: Insights on Oil and the 70 Put OptionsLet’s talk about WTI oil for a moment.
In the upcoming monthly expiration series set for January 15, there’s some interesting action happening with the 70 put options. Traders aren’t just dumping these puts; they’re actively reselling them, and there are definitely buyers stepping in. What’s even more intriguing is that the same 70 puts are being picked up in the next options series as well.
Now, if you look at the charts, it seems like prices have finally broken out of that range they’ve been stuck in for a while and are gearing up to move higher.
With this kind of sentiment in play, I’m going to hold off on making any buys for now and wait for some clearer signals before jumping in.
ADBE Adobe Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on ADBE:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of ADBE Adobe prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 560usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-1-17,
for a premium of approximately $24.35.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
VEEV Veeva Systems Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of VEEV Veeva Systems prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 220usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2025-1-17,
for a premium of approximately $7.45.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
XPEV XPeng Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought XPEV before the breakout:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of XPEV XPeng prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 13usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-12-20,
for a premium of approximately $1.16.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
CSCO Cisco Systems Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on CSCO:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of CSCO Cisco Systems prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 57.5usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-11-15,
for a premium of approximately $1.87.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
GOOGL Alphabet Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on GOOGL:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of GOOGL Alphabet prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 165usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-11-1,
for a premium of approximately $4.80.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
MSFT Microsoft Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsAnd when you think about it, everything began with this:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of MSFT Microsoft Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 430usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-11-1,
for a premium of approximately $9.55.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Decoding the 70,000 Call Strike: What CME Options Are Tell UsAlright, let’s break this down. We’ve seen a significant influx of call options at the 70,000 strike on the CME, which is generally a pretty positive signal. Especially when you consider the recent breakout from a descending broad channel, with prices holding just above that upper boundary. Looks like we’re heading up—clear signal, right?
But here’s the kicker: the CME gives us the tools to dig deeper. We can analyze whether that influx at the 70,000 strike is coming in as naked options (which is a good sign) or if it’s part of a more complex strategy. So, what did we find? The 70 000 call options were bought simultaneously with Futures in a 2-to-1 ratio. In other words, we’re looking at a synthetic options portfolio that resembles a "Straddle" . This means they’re betting on volatility, expecting the price to move significantly in either direction—not just sitting still. Plus, there are specific timeframes and expected movement ranges involved.
So, what’s the takeaway from this example? I often come across analyses that say, “Calls at this strike are rising, so traders must be feeling bullish.” Not necessarily! Those bought calls could be neatly packaged in a Straddle or even transformed in a Naked Put using Bitcoin futures (what we call a “Synthetic” setup), which would imply completely opposite expectations for price movement.
Don’t just take others’ word for it—dive into the basics at least, but ideally, get a solid grasp of the area you’re analyzing before integrating it into your trading system and building your trading plan around it. Stay critical and don’t fall for clickbait headlines! Good luck out there!