"The Liquidity Trap 90% of Traders Completely Miss"🔥 EVERY TRADER GETS TRAPPED HERE… EXCEPT THE ELITE
You watch the highs and lows, the support and resistance, the obvious levels…
And you think you’re safe.
You’re not.
The real move comes from liquidity inside the swing — the part most traders never notice.
1️⃣ External Liquidity is What Retail Chases… Not the Real Move
• Traders see obvious highs, obvious lows, support, resistance.
• They think: “Price will reverse here.”
• This is the illusion the market creates.
Here’s the truth:
External liquidity is bait, not the target.
It’s where most traders get trapped.
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2️⃣ Internal Liquidity is Where the Smart Money Lives
Inside every swing — every leg up or down — exists hidden liquidity:
• Micro Order Blocks
• Lower highs / higher lows inside the leg
• Stop clusters designed to trigger retail exits
Most traders don’t look inside the leg. They only see the edges.
That’s the trap. That’s where your edge comes in.
Nugget: The move you want usually comes after the internal liquidity is cleared, not at the obvious high/low.
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3️⃣ The Sequence Traders Must See (Stop Losing to the Trap)
Here’s the real SMC sequence, step by step:
A. External Sweep → The Bait
• Everyone watches it
• Everyone reacts
B. Internal Liquidity Run → The Real Target
• Hidden inside the leg
• Where stops, inducements, and OBs cluster
• The market clears this before the real move
C. Displacement → The Delivery
• After internal liquidity clears, price finally moves in the “true” direction
• This is when smart traders enter with confidence
Nugget: If you chase the sweep and ignore internal liquidity, you’re giving your edge to the market.
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4️⃣ How to Spot Internal Liquidity Like a Pro
Look for these patterns inside the leg:
• Lower highs / higher lows forming in micro OBs
• Price clustering around imbalance areas
• Fake breaks that lure retail orders
• Zones where price pauses before real expansion
Golden Nugget: Price gives clues every time. The problem is, 90% of traders don’t see them.
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5️⃣ Why Traders Lose Even When They’re “Right”
• You can have the right bias
• You can see the sweep
• You can even pick the “obvious OB”
But if you enter too early or in the wrong micro-structure, your stop gets taken, and the move happens without you.
This is why SMC isn’t about guessing.
It’s about understanding sequence, intention, and liquidity footprint.
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6️⃣ Mindset Shift: Read Market Intention, Not Candles
Stop asking:
• “Did it break the high?”
• “Did it hit my level?”
Start asking:
• “Where is the internal liquidity being cleared?”
• “What is the smart money engineering?”
• “Where will the market take the stops before the real move?”
Nugget: Reading price action without seeing internal liquidity is like driving blind.
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7️⃣ The SMC Edge You Must Internalize
• External liquidity = bait → observe
• Internal liquidity = real objective → anticipate
• Displacement = delivery → execute
When you see it unfold:
• Your entries become surgical
• Your stops make sense
• Your bias is confirmed before most traders even blink
You’re not reacting to the market.
You’re predicting its intentional sequence.
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🔥 Final Takeaway (Save This)
The market isn’t random.
It’s designed to trap traders.
External liquidity tricks 90% of traders into early stops.
Internal liquidity reveals where the real move will come.
Learn to see it.
Respect it.
Trade it.
This is the real sauce of SMC trading.
Not flashy indicators. Not random setups.
Sequence, liquidity, inducement.
Pro Nugget: Once internal liquidity is in your sights, price becomes predictable.
The rest? Just execution.
Pivot Points
''iPhone vs Laptop Trading: The Truth Nobody Talks About''Alright, let’s get straight to it. I’ve been watching traders debate this forever — phone or laptop. Here’s my breakdown, from someone who actually trades multi-timeframe SMC setups, tracks liquidity, and executes in real-time.
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1️⃣ Execution and Speed
• On a laptop, you’ve got full visibility: multiple monitors, larger charts, higher timeframe context, all indicators and order blocks at a glance.
• On iPhone? Limited view, smaller screen, harder to see context, and micro adjustments take longer.
• The reality: Speed matters. A 1-minute confirmation or lower-high break can happen fast. If you’re on a phone, you risk missing that critical move or entering late.
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2️⃣ Multi-Timeframe Analysis
• Edge comes from analyzing multiple chart intervals to see the bigger picture and confirm setups.
• Laptop: Side-by-side charts, smooth workflow, all intervals visible at once.
• On the phone, switching between timeframes is clunky, slow, and mentally taxing. You’ll start guessing instead of confirming.
• Key takeaway: Serious traders of any style know: a laptop gives you the clarity, control, and precision that’s hard to achieve on a phone.
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3️⃣ Precision of Orders
• Laptop: You can place precise limit entries, manage stop losses, and see where liquidity clusters are.
• Phone: Accidental taps, misclicks, or lag can cost you a trade. Especially when dealing with small spreads, tight stop losses, or micro entries.
• Lesson: Mistakes on micro orders aren’t small. They erode both capital and confidence.
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4️⃣ Situational Use
• Phone trading isn’t useless. It’s fine for monitoring, tracking TPs, or checking alerts when you’re away from your desk.
• But if you’re entering, executing, or actively managing high-leverage trades — laptop wins hands down.
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5️⃣ Psychology and Focus
• Laptop setups create a trading environment: focus, fewer distractions, full screen, proper charts.
• Phone trading often comes with notifications, background apps, and temptation to “glance and guess.”
• Your mindset matters as much as your setups. Treat trading like a full-time process, not a side hobby.
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6️⃣ My Personal Take
• I’ve tested both. I’ll check charts on my phone sometimes — especially during quick monitoring sessions.
• But every serious execution, every multi-timeframe setup, every liquidity play — it happens on my laptop. That’s where precision, patience, and professionalism live.
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🔥 Key Lessons
1. Phone = monitoring & alerts only.
2. Laptop = execution & analysis.
3. Edge isn’t just charts — it’s control, speed, and clarity.
4. You can’t shortcut this without costing yourself trades or your confidence.
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💡 Visual Reference:
I posted screenshots to show the difference between iPhone and laptop trading setups. Laptop view is on the right side, showing full charts and multi-interval visibility. iPhone view is on the left side, compact and limited. This makes it clear why execution and workflow are easier on a laptop.
Bottom line: Don’t kid yourself. Your tools matter, but more importantly, how you use them separates amateurs from pros.
I’m curious — who’s still trying to trade full-time on a phone? Let’s see if they’re really ready to compete.
Internal vs External Liquidity: The Skill Nobody Actually MasterMost traders think they understand liquidity…
They mark equal highs, equal lows, and call it a day.
But let me tell you something real:
Knowing liquidity exists is NOT the skill.
Knowing WHICH liquidity matters right now is the real edge.
That’s the difference between:
✔ catching continuations
✔ catching reversals
✔ avoiding trap entries
✔ timing precision entries
✔ and actually staying in profitable moves
Most traders lose because they don’t understand the hierarchy of liquidity.
Let me break this down the way nobody online does:
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🔥 1. Internal Liquidity = Fuel for Continuation
This is the liquidity inside the active range.
It sits between swing points, inside consolidation, above minor highs, below short-term lows.
Internal liquidity gets taken when:
• Market is in trend
• Price is compressing
• Price is building inducement
• Algorithms are collecting “fuel” before delivery
When internal gets swept, DO NOT expect a reversal.
Expect a continuation into the next external pool.
This is why most traders get faked out:
They see a sweep and scream “reversal!”
But they’re reacting to internal liquidity — not the real turning point.
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🔥🔥 2. External Liquidity = The Real Reversal Zones
External liquidity sits at the RANGE BOUNDARIES:
• The major swing high
• The major swing low
• The extreme points of the structure
These are the levels that actually SHIFT trend, cause deep pullbacks, or start major legs.
This is where smart money:
✔ Clears the crowd
✔ Triggers stops
✔ Closes positions
✔ Repositions
✔ Begins delivery in the opposite direction
External liquidity is the turning point.
Internal liquidity is just the build-up.
If you can’t distinguish the two, every reversal will feel random to you.
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🔥🔥🔥 3. Here’s the Rule Nobody Teaches:
If price sweeps internal → expect continuation.
If price sweeps external → expect correction or reversal.
But here’s where MOST traders fail:
They don’t know which one they’re looking at.
If you think a reversal is starting but you’re still inside the range…
You’re not trading a reversal.
You’re trading hopium.
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🔥🔥🔥🔥 4. How Smart Money Chooses Which Liquidity to Target First
This is where your real edge comes in.
Smart money asks ONE question:
“Which pool unlocks the next delivery path?”
If the next objective is above → they’ll sweep internal lows to build power.
If the next objective is below → they’ll sweep internal highs to induce buyers.
Smart money is always targeting what unlocks:
✨ the cleanest path
✨ the imbalanced leg
✨ the untouched zone
✨ the unmitigated order block
✨ the next HTF objective
You think the sweep is the entry.
They see the sweep as the setup.
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🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 5. Here’s the TRUTH:
Internal liquidity fuels the move.
External liquidity flips the move.
If you master this one skill, your whole trading shifts.
Your confidence shifts.
Your timing shifts.
Your strike rate shifts.
You stop chasing noise.
You stop guessing bottoms.
You stop guessing tops.
You start reading intention — not reacting to candles.
Most of the trading world knows liquidity.
Almost nobody knows when liquidity actually matters.
That’s the part the textbooks don’t teach.
That’s the part the YouTubers don’t show.
That’s why most traders stay confused for years.
Internal liquidity gets you in —
External liquidity gets you paid.
Master the difference and you’ll trade with precision most people only dream of.
"The Myth of Confirmation - What Retail Gets Wrong Every Day"🔥 THE TRUTH ABOUT MARKET “CONFIRMATION” (What Retail Never Realizes)
Most traders think confirmation comes from indicators, patterns, candle shapes, or repeating formations on lower timeframes.
This is the greatest misunderstanding in trading.
Confirmation does NOT come from the LTF.
Confirmation comes from alignment of the delivery cycle — and the LTF only expresses what the HTF already decided.
Retail thinks the 5M “creates” trend.
Institutions know the 5M merely reflects it.
Here’s the real breakdown institutions use:
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1. Confirmation = Completion of a Phase, Not a Pattern
A market only confirms when a structural phase fully completes, meaning:
• Liquidity objective hit
• Internal structure reset
• Order flow aligned
• Efficient price or imbalance corrected
• Pullback cycle finished
• New impulsive leg prepared
This is confirmation.
Not a candle.
Not an indicator.
Not a shape on your chart.
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2. LTF Structure Means NOTHING Without HTF Context
Retail loves reacting to:
• 5M BOS
• 1M pullback
• 15M FVG
• Candle patterns
• Trend lines
None of these matter if the HTF hasn’t finished its development cycle.
This is why traders lose:
They see “confirmation” while the HTF is still in a build-up, not a release phase.
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3. The Market Confirms Twice — Retail Only Sees One
Institutional traders track two confirmations:
Macro Confirmation (HTF)
This tells the market what it wants to do next
— continuation or pullback.
Micro Confirmation (LTF)
This tells the market when it’s safe to execute
— trend shift + pullback + OB tap + displacement.
Retail only waits for micro confirmation.
They skip macro confirmation.
So they trade inside noise.
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4. Candles Don’t Confirm — the Cycle Confirms
People over-read 5M candles, ignoring the fact that candles are only expressions of liquidity movement.
You can’t read intent from shape.
You read intent from position in the cycle.
The same candle means:
• continuation in one phase
• reversal in another
• manipulation in another
Only the cycle gives it meaning.
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5. The Market Doesn’t Confirm For You — It Confirms ITSELF
This is the coldest truth most will never learn:
Price never confirms your bias.
Price only confirms where it is in the timeline.
If you don’t know the timeline,
you don’t know the confirmation.
TL;DR
(Beginner/Simple)
Confirmation = Cycle Completion + Alignment
NOT a candle pattern or indicator.
You don’t follow confirmation.
You follow timing.
Crypto Total Market Cap Is at a BREAKING Point – Smart Money FooCrypto Total Market Cap Is at a BREAKING Point – Smart Money Footprint Explained!
🧠 Smart Money Footprint: The Level Most Retail Traders Ignore
The entire crypto market cap has dropped into a massive Smart Money footprint zone — a level where institutional players historically accumulate before major bullish legs.
At the same time, the $3.85T resistance above is the key battlefield.
👉 If price breaks this level, it flips into support, opening the door for a strong upside continuation.
What This Chart Teaches You 👇
✔ Support → Resistance → Support transitions
✔ How Smart Money leaves footprints at major accumulation zones
✔ Why price often reverses from areas retail traders overlook
✔ Market structure timing for long entries
Key Levels to Watch:
🔹 $3.1T – $3.2T → Smart Money accumulation block
🔹 $3.85T → Major resistance flip zone
🔹 Above this = bullish momentum can accelerate fast
Trade Idea (Educational Only, Not Financial Advice):
📈 Long bias as long as price holds within or above the Smart Money footprint.
🔥 Break & retest of $3.85T = high-probability continuation setup.
If this helped you, hit 👍 and save it — more Smart Money lessons coming!
Comment “SMC” if you want the next educational chart breakdown.
Follow @TradeWithMky for daily Smart Money insights.
DON'T TRADE THESE SUPPORTS AND RESISTANCES (FOREX GOLD)
When it comes to technical analysis,
the understanding of which support and resistance levels to not trade can be as important as knowing which ones to trade.
In this article, I will show you the structure levels that professional traders avoid to maximize their profits and minimize losses.
Invalidated support and resistance
Invalidated support/resistance is the structure that has a clear historical significance, but that lost its strength and was neglected by the market during the last 2 tests.
Have a look at that key horizontal support.
We can see that in the recent past, the price bounced from that multiple times, confirming its significance.
Then, the price suddenly broke and closed below that support.
According to the rules, that structure should turn into a resistance after a violation.
However, after its test, the price bounced and violated that to the upside.
The structure became invalid , and you should not trade that in future.
Resistance in a Bullish Trend
If the market is trading in a bullish trend, according to the rules its last higher high composes a key horizontal resistance.
USDJPY is trading in a strong bullish trend.
The price dropped once it set a new higher high higher close.
It composes a key horizontal resistance.
Always remember, that in a bullish trend, the price tends to set new higher highs and higher lows over time.
Quite often, the test of the level of the last high leads to a further bullish continuation and a formation of a new higher high.
For that reason, it is better not to trade such resistances.
Support in a Bearish Trend
In a bearish trend, the last lower low is always considered to be a key horizontal support.
Above is a price action on USDCHF.
The pair is bearish and recently set a new lower low.
It is a key horizontal support now.
However, in a bearish trend, the price tends to set a new low after a retracement. Most of the time, it does not respect the support based on the last lower low.
I recommend you not to trade such supports.
I always repeat to my students that key levels work, but they are not equal in their significance. While some of them are very strong, some are better to be avoided.
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Understanding ELLIOT WAVES ---a technical B waveJust wanted to share this part of the chart because it was pretty hard to see live — it formed on a very low timeframe. I’m posting it on the 15-minute since TradingView won’t let me publish anything lower, but I’ll drop it down and link the lower timeframes below so you can see more of the detail.
This is today’s Ethereum move. I was waiting for the bullish breakout and got in right at the low because I spotted the B wave setup forming. The B wave is the cipher — it tells you where you are within the Elliott structure if you know how to read it.
In this case, the B wave formed a big expanding triangle. You could also map it as an internal ABC inside the B itself. It was a very technical structure, so I wanted to post it to show how a complex B wave can look in real time. Recognizing these patterns helps a lot when you’re tracking the transition from correction to impulse.
FOLLOW AND COMMENT FOR MORE ELLIOT WAVE EXAMPLES AND LESSONS
Powerful Fibonacci Trading Strategy For Beginners (GOLD FOREX)
I am going to reveal a powerful fibonacci trading strategy that I learned many years ago. It combines structure analysis, fibonacci retracement and extension levels and candlestick analysis, and it is suitable for beginners.
Step 1
Find a trending market - the market that is trading in a bullish or in a bearish trend on a daily time frame.
AUDUSD is trading in a bullish trend on a daily.
Step 2
Execute structure analysis - identify key horizontal and vertical structures on a daily time frame.
Have a look at key structures that I spotted on AUDUSD.
Step 3
Draw fibonacci retracement levels.
Here are the important ratios you should look for: 382, 50, 618, 786.
In a bearish trend,
draw fibonacci retracement levels from the high of the trend to current low based on wicks.
In a bullish trend,
You should apply fibonacci retracement from the low of the trend to a current high based on wicks.
Take a look how I draw the retracement levels,
I took the low of the trend and the high of the trend.
Step 4
Find confluence .
Look for fibonacci numbers that match - lie within key structures that you identified.
Support 1 matches with 382 retracement.
Support 2 matches with 786 retracement.
Remove other ratios from the chart.
Step 5
Wait for a test of one of the fibonacci levels that match with key structure
The price perfectly tested 382 retracement level.
Step 6
Wait for a confirmation on a 4h time frame.
Our confirmation will be a formation of an engulfing candle - a strong candle that completely engulfs the entire range of a previous candle with its body.
In a bearish trend, we will look for a formation of a bearish engulfing candle. Bearish engulfing candle indicates a strong selling pressure and the strength of the sellers.
In a bullish trend, we will look for a bullish engulfing candle. It indicates a strong buying reaction and imbalance.
Have a look at a bullish engulfing candle that was formed on AUDUSD on a 4H time frame after a test of 382 retracement.
Step 7
Open a trading position, set stop loss and choose the target.
After you spotted an engulfing candle, open a trading position.
Open short after a formation of a bearish engulfing candle and open long after a formation of a bullish engulfing candle.
If you sell , your safest stop loss will be 1.272 extension of the last bullish impulse on a 4H.
If you buy , your stop loss will be 1.272 extension of the last bearish impulse on a 4H.
In our example, our stop loss will be 1.272 extension of a bearish impulse leg on a 4H time frame. The extension is based on high and low of the impulse.
If you short , your take profit will be the closest key structure support on a daily.
If you buy , your take profit will be the closest key structure resistanc e on a daily.
Being applied properly, the strategy should generate 60%+ winning rate.
Always remember to check your reward to risk ratio before you open the trade. It should be at least 1.1/1.
Also, before you place a trade, always make sure that you trade WITH the trend and take only trend-following trades.
The strategy works perfectly on Forex, Gold, Silver, Oil, Indexes.
Good luck in your trading.
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How to find algorithmic levels of support and resistanceUsing repeating pinpoint levels to form meaning of opens and closes around these levels give you an advantage in your analysis.
As price gives us clues to what levels are affecting price, we should mark the new candles that are responding to these levels by breaking and retesting these very levels.
Please let me know your thoughts! 🙏🏾
Support and Resistance VS Supply and Demand Explained
In the today's post, I will compare support and resistance levels with supply and demand zones.
I will explain to you the difference between them and share important tips and examples.
What are support and resistance levels?
We also call them key levels. These are particular levels on a price chart from where in the past we saw significant bullish or bearish movements.
Key support will be a one single level, that has a historical significance and from where a bullish reaction will be anticipated.
The all-time low on USDCHF will be a perfect example of a key support.
It is one single level that was respected one time in the past and from where a bullish reversal initiated.
Key resistance will be a one single level on a price chart that has a historical significance and from where a bearish movement will be expected.
The all-time high on Gold will represent a key horizontal resistance.
That level was respected one time in the past and from that level exactly the market dropped heavily.
What are supply and demand zones?
In comparison to support and resistance levels, supply and demand zones are the areas on a price chart. The zones that are based on multiple touches and consequent strong bullish or bearish reactions.
Demand zone will be the area that was tested at least 2 times in the past, and the price should strictly respect different price levels within that area.
A similar reaction will be anticipated from the demand zone in the future.
The yellow area above will a good example of a demand zone.
You can see that the price tested that area 3 times, and each time the market respected different levels lying within that.
These 3 tests compose the demand area.
Supply zone will be the area that was tested at least 2 times in the past and the price should strictly respect different price levels within that area.
A similar reaction will be anticipated from the demand zone in the future.
In this example, a supply area on EURUSD is based on 2 touches of key levels, lying very close to each other.
On the chart above, I underlined 2 horizontal support levels - the single levels that were respected by the market multiple times, and a supply zone - the area that is based on tests of multiple levels lying close to each other.
Support and resistance levels give you SINGLE levels from where you can look for trading opportunities. While supply and demand zones represent the areas . After a test of a supply and demand zone, the market may react to a RANDOM level within that.
For newbie traders, it is highly recommendable to trade single key levels, while experienced traders can broaden their strategies and trade supply and demand zones as well.
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How to Find Key Levels and Support/Resistance Zones Gold XAUUSD
Key levels and support/resistance zones are 2 essential concepts for profitable trading Gold.
In this article, I will share with you a simple and a proven way to find levels and supply/demand clusters on XAUUSD chart.
I will provide a complete guide with examples.
Always start levels/zones analysis on Gold with key levels identification.
Simply put, a key level is a completion point of a strong bullish or bearish movement.
It is the highest high of a bullish wave and the lowest low of a bearish wave.
Let's take a price action on Gold for the last month and let's try to identify key levels.
Analyzing peeks and bottoms of significant price movements, I managed to quickly find a bunch of important key levels.
The ones that are below current spot prices will be called key support levels, while the ones that are above current prices will be called key resistance levels.
What many traders miss, analyzing key levels, is that every key level will always be a part of support/resistance zones.
Candle closes of highs and lows of important price movement will also be important levels.
I underlined all such levels on our Gold chart.
These levels and highs/lows of the impulses will compose supply and demand zones.
That is how these zones look.
The areas that are based on key supports will be called demand zones.
The areas that are based on key resistances will be called supply zones.
The logic is that a high volume of selling orders will be distributed within supply clusters.
Probabilities will be high that a bearish reaction will follow after a test of such a zone.
Demand zones will accumulate buying orders and buying activity.
With a high probability, Gold price will bounce from such zones.
Levels and zones analysis will provide you with a map for trading Gold.
Use that as a map that 95% of retail traders will not see.
It will help you find profitable trades.
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Master Horizontal Lines on Trading Charts | Signal & Structure 2In this second episode of the Signal and Structure series, we dive deep into one of the most fundamental yet powerful tools in technical analysis - horizontal support and resistance lines. This practical tutorial demonstrates a systematic approach to identifying and marking key price levels across multiple timeframes.
What You'll Learn:
Color-Coded Line System for Multiple Timeframes:
Monthly (Black, thickness 4) - The strongest levels from monthly candle closes
Weekly (Maroon/Brown, thickness 3) - Key weekly support/resistance zones
2-Day (Red, thickness 2) - Intermediate term levels
12-Hour (Orange, thickness 1-2) - Short-term trading levels
3-Hour (Yellow, thickness 1) - Day trading reference points
Key Concepts Covered:
Why monthly candle closes often matter more than wicks (with live examples)
How previous resistance becomes new support - demonstrated on Bitcoin's chart
Identifying distribution and accumulation ranges using horizontal levels
The importance of avoiding chart clutter - when NOT to add more lines
Using transparent candles to see through to your levels and indicators
Practical Techniques:
Live demonstration on TradingView using Bitcoin/USD charts
How to identify the most significant levels from each timeframe
Creating "boxes" to visualize trading ranges and distribution zones
Brief introduction to Wyckoff theory concepts (spring patterns)
Tips for maintaining clarity when working with multiple overlapping levels
Chart Setup Tips:
Why exchange charts (KuCoin, Gate.io) provide better volume data than index charts
Continuing emphasis on logarithmic scale for crypto analysis
How to organize your workspace for multi-timeframe analysis
This 20-minute tutorial walks you through the exact process of building a professional-grade support and resistance framework on your charts. The presenter demonstrates each concept in real-time on TradingView, making it easy to follow along and implement these techniques immediately.
Perfect for traders who want to move beyond random line drawing and develop a systematic, color-coded approach to identifying key market levels. Whether you're scalping on the 3-hour or position trading on the monthly, this hierarchical system helps you see exactly where the important levels are at a glance.
Next episode preview: Diagonal trend lines, channels, and Fibonacci levels - including a unique approach to stacking channels that provides an edge in the markets.
Learn the Significance of Psychological Levels and Round Numbers
When traders analyze the key levels, quite often then neglect the psychological levels in trading.
In this article, we will discuss what are the psychological levels and how to identify them.
What is Psychological Level?
Let's start with the definition.
Psychological level is a price level on a chart that has a strong significance for the market participants due to the round numbers.
By the round numbers, I imply the whole numbers that are multiples of 5, 10, 100, etc.
These levels act as strong supports and resistances and the points of interest of the market participants.
Take a look at 2 important psychological levels on EURGBP: 0.95 and 0.82. As the market approached these levels, we saw a strong reaction of the price to them.
Why Psychological Levels Work?
And here is why the psychological levels work:
Research in behavioral finance has shown that individuals exhibit a tendency to anchor their judgments and decisions to round numbers.
Such a decision-making can be attributed to the cognitive biases.
Quite typically, these levels act as reference points for the market participants for setting entry, exit points and placing stop-loss orders.
Bad Psychological Levels?
However, one should remember that not all price levels based on round numbers are significant.
When one is looking for an important psychological level, he should take into consideration the historical price action.
Here are the round number based levels that I identified on AUDUSD on a weekly time frame.
After all such levels are underlined, check the historical price action and make sure that the market reacted to that at least one time in the recent past.
With the circles, I highlighted the recent reaction to the underlined levels. Such ones we will keep on the chart, while others should be removed.
Here are the psychological levels and proved their significance with a recent historical price action.
From these levels, we will look for trading opportunities.
Market Reaction to Psychological Levels
Please, note that psychological levels may trigger various reactions of the market participants.
For instance, a price approaching a round number may trigger feelings of greed, leading to increased selling pressure as traders seek to lock in profits.
Alternatively, a breakout above/below a psychological level can trigger buying/selling activity as traders anticipate further price momentum.
For that reason, it is very important to monitor the price action around such levels and look for confirmations.
Learn to identify psychological levels. They are very powerful and for you, they can become a source of tremendous profits.
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How to Use Fibonacci Levels in Gold Trading. Best Ratios For XAU
I will teach you a simple but efficient way of using Fibonacci levels for Gold analysis.
You will learn the strongest Fib.retracement levels and a proven strategy for XAUUSD trading.
First, let me show you the most powerful Fibonacci retracement levels that you should use for trading Gold.
The most significant ones are: 382, 50, 618, 786.
To use these Fib.Retracement levels properly, you will need to find the strongest 3 impulse legs.
Please, note that you can execute Fibonacci analysis of Gold on any time frame, for the sake of the example, we will do that on a daily.
Here are 3 impulses that I found.
I was simply trying to identify the price waves with the strongest impact. I underlined them from their lows to their highs.
We will draw Fibonacci Retracement levels based on these 3 movements.
We plot Fib.Retracement of a bullish impulse from its low to its high.
We plot Fib.Retracement of a bearish impulse from its high to its low.
That is how it looks.
After that we will need to find a confluence - zones or levels where Fib.Retracement levels of different impulses match .
Such zones will be significant liquidity clusters where market participants will place huge volumes of trading orders.
The first 2 confluence zones that I spotted on a Gold chart will be specific. They are based on 1 and 0 Fib.Retracement levels that match.
These 2 areas are both completion and starting points of our impulse legs.
The fact that significant price movements completed and started after tests of these zones indicates their significance .
Confluence zones 3/4/5/6 are based on a convergence of at least 2 Fib.Retracement levels of different impulses.
Probabilities will be high that these zones will attract the market liquidity.
After we found all confluence zones, I recommend removing Fibonacci levels from the chart to keep it clean .
That is how our complete Fib.Analysis will look.
From these zones, we will look for trading opportunities.
The areas that are above current price levels will be significant supply areas , and we will look for sell signals from them.
The zones that are below Gold spot price will be demand areas. Chances will be high that a strong buying reaction will follow after their test.
Confluence zones that we spotted on Gold chart provide unique perspective. Integrating them in your XAUUSD analysis, you will increase the accuracy of your predictions and trading decisions.
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5 Elements of the Best Key Level in Forex, Gold Trading
What are the best key levels to trade?
This year I analyzed more than 1500 key structures on Forex, Gold, Crypto and Indexes.
In the today's article, I prepared for you a list of 5 elements of a perfect support and resistance for trading.
As always, remember that the best key levels are always on a daily time frame . So all the structures that we will discuss will be strictly on a daily .
Also, all the structures that I analyzed and traded are available on my TradingView page, so you can back test them by your own.
1. Clear historical significance
The structure that you spotted should act as a significant historical support or resistance.
Here are the important historical support and resistance that I spotted on USDCAD on a daily time frame.
2. Psychological significance
The structure that you identified should match with round numbers.
All the structures that we spotted on USDCAD match with psychological numbers.
3. Confluence with other technical tools
The best structure should align with other trading tools such as trend lines or Fibonacci levels , strengthening its significance.
After adding fibonacci levels and a significant falling trend line on the chart, the confluence was found in Resistance 6, Resistance 3, Resistance 2, Resistance 1, Support 2. Other structure does not match with technical tolls.
4. Volume
The level experiences high trading volumes, indicating strong participation and interest from market participants, especially smart money.
All the structures that we underlined show significant volume spikes. By volume spike, I mean a volume being higher than the average volume - a blue curve on volume.
5. Multiple touches
The more, the better. There are numerous instances where price has respected and reacted to the structure, confirming its strength (at least 2).
Only these 3 structures were confirmed by the multiple touches. These resistances will be considered the strongest ones.
That checklist will help you to identify the most significant structures from where you will be able to catch impulsive movement and make nice profits.
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SMC Trading Basics. Liquidity Zones & How to Identify Them
In the today's article, I will teach you the concept of liquidity zones and how to identify them properly, trading Forex, Gold, Crypto and Indexes.
Simply put, a liquidity zone is a certain area on a price chart where a significant concentration of trading volumes occurred.
Huge trading volumes signify the presence of big players: hedge funds, banks, etc...
Correct identification of liquidity zones is essential for smart money trading, because such zones provide the safest and the most profitable trading opportunities.
There are 3 common characteristics of a valid liquidity zone:
1. Huge volume spikes upon its test
Take a look at the underlined blue area on USDCAD.
We see sharp volume spikes when the market was testing that area.
2. Strong rejections from such an area with a formation of long wicks
Look how the price reacts to the liquidity zone on USDJPY.
We see multiple strong rejections from that.
3. Long consolidation within that zone
Bitcoin was "standing" on a liquidity zone for more than 3 weeks, barely moving while trading volumes were quietly accumulating.
4. Multiple strong bullish or bearish reactions to that area
Just look how many times the underlined area was respected by the buyers and by the sellers. That is a perfect example of a liquidity zone.
To underline a liquidity zone properly, follow these simple rules:
1. If the price is ABOVE the liquidity zone, its lower boundary
will be the lowest wick within that area and its upper boundary will be the lowest candle close. Such a liquidity zone will be called a demand area.
Here is the example of drawing a liquidity zone on GBPUSD.
The lower boundary of the zone is the lowest wick, while its upper boundary is the lowest candle close.
2. If the price is BELOW the liquidity zone, its upper boundary will be the highest wick within that area and its lower boundary will be the highest candle close. Such a liquidity zone will be called a supply area.
Here is the liquidity zone that I identified on Gold following our rules.
Remember, that you can identify liquidity zones on any time frame. However, the rule is that the higher is the time frame, the stronger is the liquidity zone.
I prefer to analyze the liquidity zones on a daily time frame.
Once you underlined liquidity zones, you should realize that within these areas, big players are expected to place their orders in the future.
For that reason, after the tests of such areas, a strong bullish or bearish movements will be expected.
Here is a huge liquidity zone that I spotted on GBPJPY.
Look at a strong bearish movement that initiated after its test.
Your task as a smart money trader will be to identify bullish or bearish confirmations and understand the intentions of big players. With experience, you will learn to recognize valid signals.
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Break of Structure VS Liquidity Grab. How to Identify Valid BoS
The main problem with break of structure trading is that you can easily confuse that with a liquidity grab.
But don't worry.
There is a secret SMC price model that will help you to confirm a break of structure in a second.
Learn smart money concepts trading secrets and a simple strategy to trade break of structure on any forex pair.
Let's study a break of structure that I spotted on AUDUSD forex pair.
We see that the market is bullish on a daily time frame and the price has just violated a previous high with a break of structure.
The issue with that is the fact that such a violation can easily be a liquidity grab and a bullish trap .
Buying the market immediately after a BoS, we can incur a huge loss .
We need something that would help us to accurate validate that.
Fortunately, there is a simple price model in SMC that will help.
After you spotted a break of structure on a daily time frame,
use a 4h time frame for its validation.
After a BoS on a daily time frame, the market usually starts retracing , setting a new local high.
To confirm that it is not a trap, you will need a break of THAT structure on a 4H time frame.
It will increase the probabilities that the entire bullish movement that you see on a daily is not a manipulation.
Here is what exactly we need.
After the price violated a daily structure and closed above that, we see a minor intraday retracement on a 4h time frame.
A bullish violation of the last high there is our BoS confirmation and a clear indicator of the strength of the buyers.
You can execute a buy trade, following a simple strategy then.
Set a buy limit order on a retest of a broken high on a 4H,
a stop loss should be below the last higher low,
a take profit is based on the next supply zone on a daily.
To avoid the traps, a single time frame is not enough for profitable trading break of structure.
Learn to integrate multiple time frames in smart money concepts trading. It will help you make thousands of pips weekly.
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Understanding SMT Divergence In Trading1. Definition and Importance
SMT (Smart Money Technique) Divergence refers to a trading concept that involves identifying discrepancies between the price movement of correlated markets or instruments.
These discrepancies can signal potential market reversals or price manipulation. Specifically, it focuses on the divergence between price movements and indicators (like volume, momentum, or oscillators) in markets that typically move in sync.
In SMT Divergence, traders look for situations where two or more correlated instruments (like
Forex pairs, indices, or bonds) are moving in opposite directions. This "divergence" signals that
there may be a shift in market sentiment, liquidity manipulation, or an opportunity for price
correction.
The importance of SMT Divergence lies in its ability to detect hidden market dynamics that are
often manipulated by institutional players. By understanding these divergences, traders can
gain insights into potential market moves and position themselves accordingly.
2. The Relationship Between Correlated Markets
Understanding these relationships is crucial for identifying SMT Divergence:
Forex Pairs : Many Forex pairs have direct correlations. For example, EUR/USD and USD/JPY are often correlated in the sense that when the USD strengthens, both pairs may exhibit price movement in the same direction (EUR/USD decreases, USD/JPY increases). SMT
Divergence occurs when these pairs move in opposite directions, indicating that something
unusual is happening in the market (e.g., liquidity manipulation or market anticipation).
Indices : Stock market indices (like the S&P 500 or Dow Jones) and related instruments like futures or ETFs can show correlation. A divergence in these indices might indicate potential
trends or reversals, signaling that institutions are positioning themselves for a move in one
direction, and the market is showing resistance.
Bonds : The relationship between bond yields and currency pairs, for instance, can also show correlations. When bond yields move in one direction, certain currency pairs should
generally follow suit. Divergence in this relationship can reveal clues about market
intentions, such as shifts in interest rates or macroeconomic sentiment.
Commodities and Stocks : Commodities like oil and gold can often correlate with indices or specific stocks. For example, if oil prices rise and an energy sector index doesn’t move in the
same direction, this could be a sign of market inefficiencies or institutional positioning.
3. SMT Types
3.1. Bullish SMT Divergence
Bullish SMT (Smart Money Technique) Divergence occurs when one correlated asset forms a
higher low while another makes a lower low. This indicates that one market is showing hidden
strength, suggesting a potential reversal to the upside.
How to Spot Higher Lows in One Asset While the Other Makes Lower Lows:
1. Identify Two Correlated Markets – Choose two assets that typically move together, such as EUR/USD and GBP/USD or NASDAQ and S&P 500.
2. Look for Divergence – Observe when one asset makes a new lower low, while the other fails to do so, instead of forming a higher low.
3. Volume & Price Action Confirmation – Institutions may absorb liquidity in the weaker asset while the stronger one holds its ground.
4. Validate with Market Context – Look at macroeconomic conditions, liquidity pools, and institutional activity to confirm the setup.
3.2. Bearish SMT Divergence
Bearish SMT Divergence occurs when one correlated asset forms a lower high while another
makes a higher high. This signals hidden weakness, indicating that the market may be setting
up for a bearish reversal.
How to Spot Lower Highs in One Asset While the Other Makes Higher Highs:
1. Find Two Correlated Markets – Common pairs include NASDAQ vs. S&P 500 or EUR/USD vs. GBP/USD.
2. Identify the Divergence – One asset makes a higher high, while the other fails to follow and forms a lower high instead.
3. Liquidity & Volume Analysis – Smart money may be using the stronger asset to attract buyers before reversing.
4. Confirm with Institutional Order Flow – Watch for liquidity grabs and imbalance zones.
3.3. Intermarket SMT
Definition : Divergence between assets from different markets, such as Forex vs. Commodities, Stocks vs. Bonds, or Indices vs. the U.S. Dollar.
Examples :
EUR/USD vs. DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) – If EUR/USD forms a higher low while DXY makes a
higher high, this suggests USD weakness and potential EUR/USD strength.
NASDAQ vs. S&P 500 – If NASDAQ makes a higher high but S&P 500 doesn’t, it can indicate
a weakening stock market rally.
Strength & Validity :
High validity because institutions hedge positions across different markets.
3.4. Intramarket SMT
Definition : Divergence within the same market (e.g., multiple Forex pairs or stock indices).
Examples :
EUR/USD vs. GBP/USD – If EUR/USD makes a lower low but GBP/USD doesn’t, it could
indicate bullish strength.
Dow Jones vs. S&P 500 vs. NASDAQ – If NASDAQ is making new highs while the Dow lags, it
may signal weakness in the broader stock market.
Strength & Validity :
Still valid but needs additional confirmation (liquidity sweeps, volume analysis).
4. SMT Divergence vs. RSI Divergence
Why SMT Is Superior to Traditional RSI Divergences
1. RSI Measures Momentum, Not Liquidity – RSI divergence is based on momentum shifts,
which institutions can easily manipulate with fake breakouts or engineered price moves.
2. SMT Focuses on Market Structure & Liquidity – SMT divergence detects institutional
positioning by comparing correlated assets, making it harder to manipulate.
3. RSI Can Remain Overbought/Oversold for Long Periods – Markets can continue trending
despite RSI divergence, while SMT divergence often provides stronger reversal signals.
How Smart Money Manipulates Classic Divergence Traders
Liquidity Sweeps – Institutions use RSI divergence to lure retail traders into premature
reversals before executing stop hunts.
False RSI Signals – In trending markets, RSI divergences often fail, while SMT divergence
provides a more contextual view of smart money positioning.
5. Using TradingView for SMT Analysis
To effectively analyze SMT divergence, traders should monitor at least two correlated assets
simultaneously.
TradingView makes this easy by allowing multiple chart layouts. Steps to Set Up Multiple Charts in TradingView:
a. Open TradingView and click on the “Select Layout” button.
b. Choose a two-chart or four-chart layout to compare correlated assets.
c. Sync timeframes across all charts for consistency.
d. Adjust scaling to ensure price action is easily comparable.
Best Pairs to Compare for SMT Analysis:
Forex : EUR/USD vs. GBP/USD, USD/JPY vs. DXY
Indices : NASDAQ vs. S&P 500, Dow Jones vs. S&P 500
Commodities & FX : Gold (XAU/USD) vs. USD/JPY
Bonds & Equities : 10-Year Treasury Yield vs. S&P 500
6. Key Takeaways
SMT divergence reveals institutional intent by showing liquidity accumulation or
distribution through correlated assets.
Bullish SMT occurs when one asset makes a lower low while the other does not, signaling a
potential reversal up.
Bearish SMT occurs when one asset makes a higher high while the other does not, signaling
a potential reversal down.
Best markets for SMT analysis include Forex pairs, indices, commodities, and bonds, where
correlations are strongest.
SMT is most effective near key liquidity levels, such as session highs/lows, order blocks, and
fair value gaps.
SMT is more reliable during high-impact news events, London & New York sessions, and
quarterly shifts, where institutional activity is highest.
SMT is superior to RSI divergence because it reflects real liquidity dynamics, whereas RSI
can produce false signals.
Combining SMT with market structure shifts like BOS and CHoCH increases trade accuracy
and reliability.
Risk management in SMT trading requires stop-loss placement beyond liquidity grabs and a
minimum 2:1 risk-reward ratio.
Mastering SMT helps traders avoid liquidity traps, improve precision, and align with smart
money moves.
SMT divergence is the footprint of smart money—where one market whispers the truth while the other follows the herd.
How to Find Liquidity Zones/Clusters on Any Forex Pair (GOLD)
You need just 1 minute of your time to find significant liquidity zones on any Forex pair and Gold.
In this article, I will teach you how to identify supply and demand zones easily step by step.
Liquidity Basics
By a market liquidity, I mean market orders.
The orders are not equally distributed among all the price levels.
While some will concentrate the interest of the market participants,
some levels will be low on liquidity.
Price levels and the areas that will attract and amass trading orders will be called liquidity zones.
How to Find Supply Zones
To find the strongest liquidity clusters, we will need to analyze a daily time frame.
A liquidity zone that is above current prices will be called a supply zone.
High volumes of selling orders will be distributed within.
One of the proven techniques to find such zones is to analyze a historic price action. You should identify a price level that acted as a strong resistance in the past.
4 horizontal levels that I underlined on EURGBP influenced market behavior in the recent past.
The price retraced from these levels significantly.
Why It Happened?
A down movement could occur because of an excess of selling orders and a closure of long positions by the buyers.
These factors indicate a high concentration of a liquidity around these price levels.
How to Draw Supply Zone?
One more thing to note about all these horizontal levels is that they cluster and the distance between them is relatively small .
To find a significant liquidity supply zone, I advise merging them into a single zone.
To draw that properly, its high should be based on the highest high among these levels. Its low should be based on the highest candle close level.
Following this strategy, here are 2 more significant supply zones.
We will assume that selling interest will concentrate within these areas and selling orders will be spread across its price ranges.
How to Find Demand Zones
A liquidity zone that is below current spot price levels will be called a demand zone . We will assume that buying orders will accumulate within.
To find these zones, we will analyze historically important price levels that acted as strong supports in the past.
I found 3 key support levels.
After tests of these levels, buying pressure emerged.
Why It Happened?
A bullish movement could occur because of an excess of buying orders and a closure of short positions by the sellers. Such clues strongly indicate a concentration of liquidity.
How to Draw Demand Zones?
Because these levels are close to each other, we will unify them into a one liquidity demand zone.
To draw a demand zone, I suggest that its low should be the lowest low among these key levels and its high should be the lowest candle close.
Examine 2 more liquidity zones that I found following this method.
Please, note that Demand Zone 2 is based on one single key level.
It is not mandatory for a liquidity zone to be based on multiple significant levels, it can be just one.
We will assume that buying interest will concentrate within these areas and buying orders will be allocated within the hole range.
Broken Liquidity Zones
There is one more liquidity zone that I did not underline.
That is a broken supply zone. After a breakout and a candle close above, it turned into a demand zone. For that reason, I plotted that based on the rules of supply zone drawing.
Start Market Analysis From Liquidity
Liquidity zones are one of the core elements of forex trading.
Your ability to recognize them properly is the key in predicting accurate price reversals.
Identify liquidity zones for:
spotting safe entry points,
use these zones as targets,
set your stop losses taking them into consideration.
They will help you to better understand the psychology of the market participants and their behavior.
I hope that the today's tutorial demonstrated you that it is very easy to find them.
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How to Trade Liquidity Sweep in Forex Market (SMC Trading)
I will show you a real example of trading liquidity sweep with Smart Money Concepts.
You will learn the essential SMC liquidity basics, a simple and profitable strategy to identify and trade liquidity sweep.
I will share with you an accurate entry confirmation signal that works perfectly on any Forex pair.
Liquidity Basics
In order to trade liquidity sweeps profitably, you should learn to identify significant liquidity zones.
To spot them, analyze a historic price action and find clusters of important historic key levels.
Examine a price action on EURUSD on an hourly time frame.
I underlined multiple horizontal key levels.
The price respected each level, found support on them, and rebounded.
What is so specific about these levels is that they are lying close to each other, composing a liquidity cluster.
That fact that EURUSD strongly bounced from these levels suggests that buying interest and high buying volumes were concentrated around them.
We can unite these levels and treat them as a single demand zone that has just been broken and turned into a supply zone.
After we found a valid liquidity zone, we can look for a liquidity sweep.
First, we should let the price approach that area and look for a specific price behavior then.
That is a perfect example of a liquidity sweep.
You can see that the price formed a wide range candle with a long tail.
Its high went way beyond the underlined area, but its body closed within.
In order to understand, why a liquidity sweep occurred, let's zoom in our chart and try to understand a behavior of the market participants.
Our supply zone concentrated selling orders , we assume that sellers were placing their orders across its entire length.
Their stop losses were presumably lying above that area.
Smart Money know that and with a liquidity sweep they manipulate the market, making sellers close their positions in a loss (buying back their positions from the market) and providing a liquidity for big players.
After a formation of a such a candlestick, a reliable confirmation of a saturation of the Smart Money is a formation of a strong bearish candle - a clear sign of strength of the sellers.
A bearish engulfing candle above confirmed a completion of a liquidity sweep and indicates a highly probable bearish continuation.
Your perfect sell entry is immediately after a close of such a candlestick.
Stop loss should strictly lie above the high of a liquidity sweep.
Take profit is based on a local low.
Look, how quickly the price reached the goal.
Your strategy of trading liquidity sweeps of demand zones is absolutely the same.
Let the price test a demand zone, wait for a formation of wide range bearish candle with a tail going below its lows.
Wait for a bullish imbalance candle and buy immediately then.
Stop loss will be below the low of a liquidity sweep, take profit - a local high.
This SMC strategy works on any time frame and can be applied for trading any Forex pair, Gold, Silver, Crypto and commodities.
Try it by your own and let me know your results.
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Learn Best Change of Character CHoCH Model in Trading with SMC
Most of the SMC traders get Change of Character CHoCH WRONG!
In this article, I will share with you Change of Character models that have a low accuracy and better to be avoided.
I will teach you the best CHoCH model for Forex Gold trading and show you how to identify it easily.
Let's start with the basic theory first and discuss what Change of Character signifies.
Change of Character in Bearish Trend
In a downtrend, Change of Character CHoCH is an important event that signifies a violation of a bearish trend.
CHoCH is confirmed when the price breaks and closes above the level of the last lower high.
Above, is a text book Change of Character model in a bearish trend.
For the newbie traders, such a price action provides a strong signal to buy while it fact it is NOT .
One crucial thing is missing in this model to confirm a bullish reversal.
According to basic trend analysis rules, we say that the market trend is bullish if the price forms a bullish impulse, retraces and sets a Higher Low HH , forms a new bullish impulse with a new Higher High HH.
Only then, we can say that the market is trading in up trend.
CHoCH model above confirms a bearish trend violation BUT it does not confirm a trend change.
Such a model may easily signify a deeper correction.
Look what happened with GBPNZD.
Though the price formed a confirmed bearish CHoCH, it was a false signal and just an extended correction.
That's a perfect bullish reversal model.
It combines CHoCH and conditions for a bullish trend.
Such a union is extremely accurate in predicting up movements.
Examine a price action on USDJPY.
Not only the price formed a confirmed CHoCH but also we see a start of a new bullish trend.
Change of Character in Bullish Trend
In an uptrend, Change of Character CHoCH is a significant event that signifies a violation of a bullish trend.
CHoCH is confirmed when the price breaks and closes below the level of the last higher low.
Above is a typical model of a bearish CHoCH.
For many traders, that is the signal to open short.
However, it is not that accurate and one important component is missing there.
According to basic price action rules, the market trend is bearish
if the price forms at least 2 bearish impulses with Lower Lows LL and a pullback between them with a Lower High LH.
Only when these 3 conditions are met, a bearish trend is confirmed .
Perfect bearish Change of Character model should include both CHoCH and a bearish trend price action. That will confirm a violation of a bullish trend and start of a new bearish trend.
EURCAD has a very strong potential to continue falling:
not only we see a valid bearish Change of Character but also
a start of a new bearish trend based on a price action.
Next time when you identify CHoCH on forex market, make sure that you check the preceding price action. It will help you to more accurate assess reversal probabilities and make a wiser trading decision.
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Macromics Group: Market Trends Overview (June 2025)Global Economic Landscape: What Has Changed?
June 2025 marks significant shifts in the global economy. After several years of instability caused by the pandemic, inflation, and geopolitical tensions, markets are gradually stabilizing. However, new challenges are emerging: rising risks in Asia, digital transformation in Europe, and strategy shifts in the U.S.
China and India continue to show strong growth rates—5.8% and 6.5% respectively. Europe, by contrast, is lagging behind due to slow recovery and persistent inflation. The U.S. maintains a steady course driven by consumer spending and innovation, reporting 2.1% GDP growth.
Macromics Group continues to deliver in-depth analytics and strategies for clients seeking to understand and capitalize on these changes. We analyze trends across more than 120 industries, helping companies adapt and thrive.
Macroeconomics and Monetary Policy: A Shift Toward Stabilization
Financial regulators have begun cautiously lowering interest rates after the peaks of 2024. The U.S. Federal Reserve has dropped its rate to 4.5%, while the ECB has reduced its rate to 3.75%. This is made possible by a decline in inflation: 2.7% in the U.S. and 3.1% in the EU.
Meanwhile, developing nations like Turkey and Argentina are still grappling with high inflation. These countries risk falling behind the global recovery unless decisive steps are taken.
Overall, the global course is toward soft stabilization: interest rates remain high but steady. This creates favorable conditions for investment and long-term planning.
Financial Markets: From Caution to Moderate Optimism
Stock markets in June 2025 show mixed performance. U.S. indexes such as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit new highs, thanks to the booming tech sector. Stocks of companies involved in AI, quantum computing, and cybersecurity are particularly strong.
European markets are less active but relatively stable. Growth is limited by high costs, demographic issues, and the transition to ESG standards. In Russia and CIS countries, markets are under pressure due to sanctions, currency restrictions, and reduced investment.
On the currency front, the U.S. dollar and Chinese yuan dominate. The ruble is volatile, the euro is stable, and the yen is strengthening as a safe haven asset.
Technology: The Engine of New Markets
The main trend in 2025 is AI and automation. Companies are deploying neural networks in logistics, marketing, finance, and HR to cut costs and boost efficiency. Demand for AI professionals and developers is surging.
5G infrastructure has matured in most developed countries, unlocking new potential in IoT, telemedicine, and remote work. At the same time, quantum computing is advancing rapidly, with commercial solutions expected by 2026.
Macromics Group invests in next-generation analytical platforms, enabling clients to access real-time insights and forecast trends before they go mainstream.
Energy and Sustainability: ESG and the “Green” Shift
Energy markets have stabilized after the turbulence of 2024. Oil prices remain between $70–$85 per barrel—comfortable for both producers and consumers. Meanwhile, renewable energy—solar, wind, and hydrogen—is seeing record investment.
Corporations are increasingly reporting according to ESG standards. It’s not just a trend, but a new business reality. Investors demand transparency, consumers prefer socially responsible brands, and regulators impose mandatory reporting.
Macromics Group supports clients in transitioning to sustainable models by developing ESG strategies, assessing risks, and offering financial solutions.
Conclusion: Outlook for the Second Half of 2025
The first half of 2025 showed that markets are learning to operate in a new reality. The global economy is no longer chasing rapid growth, but adapting to volatility. Key focus areas are technology, sustainability, and smart resource management.
For businesses, this means quick adaptation, innovative thinking, and reliance on data-driven decisions. In this context, Macromics Group serves not just as an analyst but as a strategic partner.
Our recommendation: act proactively. In times of uncertainty, those who plan years ahead and use quality data will win.
When and How to Use Weekly Time Frame in Gold Forex Trading
Ignoring weekly time frame chart analysis could cost you big losses in Forex, Gold trading!
Discover 3 specific cases when weekly time frame beats daily time frame analysis.
Learn the situations when weekly timeframe exposes what daily charts can’t, how to analyze it properly and when to check it.
1. Long-term historic levels
When the market trades in a strong bullish or bearish trend and goes beyond recent historic levels, quite often the daily time frame will not be sufficient for the identification of significant supports and resistances.
The proven way to identify the next meaningful levels will be to analyze a weekly time frame.
Examine a price action on EURAUD forex pair on a daily time frame chart. The market is trading in a strong bullish trend and just updated the high.
Checking the historic price action, we don't see any historic resistance on the left.
Switching to a weekly time frame chart, we can easily recognize a historic resistance that the price respected 5 years ago.
That's a perfect example when weekly t.f revealed a historic price action that a daily didn't.
2. Trend-lines
Weekly time frame analysis is important not only for a search of historic levels. It can help you find significant vertical structures - the trend lines.
We can easily find several meaningful historic resistances on EURUSD pair on a daily time frame.
Though, there are a lot of historic structures there, let's check if there are some hidden structures on a weekly.
Weekly time frame reveals 2 important trend lines, one being a vertical support and another being a vertical resistance.
With a daily time frame analysis, these trend lines would be missed .
3. More accurate breakout confirmations
Some false support and resistance breakouts that you see on a daily could be easily avoided with a weekly time frame analysis.
Quite regularly, a daily time frame support or resistance is in fact a weekly structure. And for its breakout, a weekly candle close will provide more accurate confirmation.
From a daily time frame perspective, we see a confirmed breakout - a daily candle close above a solid resistance zone.
It provides a strong bullish signal on AUDUSD forex pair.
However, the violation turned out to be false and dropped.
Such a false breakout , could be easily avoided, checking a weekly time frame chart.
The underlined resistance is in fact a weekly structure.
The price did not manage to close above, and perfectly respected that, starting to fall after its test.
Such a deeper analysis would completely change our bias from strong bullish (based solely on a daily) to strongly bearish (based on a daily AND weekly)
Remember This
Do not ignore and always check a weekly time frame.
It shows a unique perspective on the market and reveals a lot of hidden elements that you would not notice.
No matter whether you are a scalper, day trader or swing trader,
remember that weekly time frame structures are very impactful and accumulate large trading volumes.
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