US30 | Outlook – Rejection at Key ResistanceUS30 | Overview
The price pushed higher and reached the 49590 resistance level, exactly as highlighted in the previous idea.
Price is now trading below 49590. As long as it remains below this level, bearish pressure is favored, targeting 49390, followed by 49050.
A confirmed 4H candle close above 49590 would invalidate the bearish scenario and shift momentum back to bullish, opening the way toward 49960 and 50100.
Market Structure
Below 49590: Bearish continuation toward 49390 → 49050
Above 49590 (4H close): Bullish reversal toward 49960 → 50100
Key Levels
Pivot Line: 49590
Resistance: 49960 – 50100
Support: 49390 – 49050 – 48840
previous idea:
Pivot Points
Gold - Bullish OutlookGold remained flat / consolidating for the most part yesterday. Price is currently at yesterday's EQ and bouncing around the trading range (4592 - 4616).
Expectation:
Looking for a pullback into Asia Exhastion / Lows and for a bullish movemnet from there, however can see a large amount of orders at yesterday's NY exhaustion zone as well.
We could therefore see a sweep of those lows and then a strong bullish reaction push back towards the highs.
We could also see a breakout of the trading range (4592 - 4616) to either side, which would signal either buying or selling respectively.
Let's montior.
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Bearish after open Price was struggling to drop below close due to 13 holding it up. If the market opens below 13 and the volume isn’t there then expect a drop to 06. At this point I’m expecting a bullish move to print a ATH, with some scary up and downs along the way. Personally I don’t think we’ll see 600 again anytime soon.
BTC Roadmap 2026-2027 ~ $320KHello BTC Watchers.
A quick update on BTC outlook for 2026 and a possible target for the next 2 years.
Incase you missed the explanation on the logarithmic chart, I mapped out the date-ranges, as well as how far the price fell logarithmically after each top. You'll see the word "lines" on the chart. This simply indicates the amount of diagonal trendlines it has fallen. By using this pattern-dedicated approach, a commonality is found which may be useful in speculating a future price. Because if not for past history, how else would we speculate on the future?
It's interesting to note that the past 3 ATH's (all time high's) are each lower than the previous if you compare it not to price but to the "lines". Even the fifth high (the one coming next) will be on a lower click-line than the previous, and that estimate is already over 300k. This is a really helpful way to speculate a future high because usually, on a regular-view chart, the zone above the ATH is uncharted territory. You could use a Fibonacci trend-based extension, but this is limited to the cycle that you're using for input points. Logarithmic chart + indicators factor in the entire history of the price.
This would mean the new peak could be in 2026 around USD 300k.
It's important to note that this ay not be a straight line up. As you'll see, although the price has been increasing exponentially, there have been periods of hard pullbacks or corrections. These are great times to enter the market, NOT when the price is close to the peak of the curve (in green).
So currently, it's likely we're seeing the beginning of a slow bearish cycle / correction or dip in the road before starting another impulse wave up towards a new ATH.
In the short term, it may seem like we're bullish due to the flag patterns showing up everywhere. But in reality, this is more likely a corrective bounce up before another minus 20% - 30% drop:
Moreso, before we consider a MEANINGFUL reversal we must first see a daily candle close ABOVE the 200d MA< which is the upper grey:
GBPJPY: Last 600+ Bullish Push Before Major Swing Sell! HAPPY NEW YEAR 2026🎇
GBPJPY Overview📊
🔺The most significant buying move we anticipate will shape the market. The current price is extremely bullish and is likely to continue building new highs; the buying zone we presented has substantial volume.
🔺The British Pound is likely to remain bullish as it has been since the last few months while the Japanese Yen is likely to continue to depreciate.
Entry, Stop Loss and Take Profit📈👨💻
🔺Enter around the blue-marked zone, set a stop-loss below the buying zone and take profit at 218.
🔺Please like, comment and share which will support us to post such more analysis!
Team SetupsFX_
Gold BuysYesterday we got another ATH on Golld with the bullish momentumnot appearing to stop.
We did have a second reaction to that exhaustion zone created during NY, which was an opportunity for another sell (not taken), but we were expecting a bullish continuation.
During Asia this AM, we had price create support for itself, with a nice exhasution zone, which we will be monitoring for an entry to the highs. This aligns with the 50% Lo-ADR. We also have a massive amount of orders where buyers are waiting to push price back up.
This was above the low created on Tuesday (S2 Level), which we will be monitoring as well. If proce drops below 4569, we could be looking at sell continuation.
Entry at around 4587/4581 TP 4637/4642.
Silver Bears Finally Make Their Mark Silver has been a tough market to watch, offering little in the way of a pullback as it surged to fresh record highs. As impressive as the move has been, trends like this inevitably roll over at some point — and we may have just seen an important first step from bears.
Today’s bearish range is already around 8% and looks set to close with at least a bearish outside day, with the potential for a bearish engulfing candle.
The 1-hour chart shows a clean break of the bullish trendline. While prices are now curling higher after a period of consolidation, several resistance levels loom — including the monthly pivot point, the broken trendline, and the $90 handle.
Bears could look to fade rallies into these resistance zones, in anticipation of another leg lower.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index
Approaching a Major Inflection Point After 2.5‑Year DowntrendNHC is shaping up for a meaningful breakout after a ~2.5‑year downtrend.
We’ve still got a few days left in the monthly candle, but a close above $4.71 would strengthen the probability of a sustained trend reversal.
Why the setup is interesting
- Price has reacted cleanly from a macro 50% retracement (ATL → ATH).
- It’s also sitting right on the major 50% level from the COVID low to ATH.
- Price is currently resting on the old ATH region, turning prior resistance into support.
- We’re seeing a potential first test and impulsive break of the yearly pivot (need to see spike of volume relative by end of month with larger candle spread)
- Volume has been declining for ~2 years, hinting at seller exhaustion rather than active distribution.
Where caution is still warranted
- The monthly candle hasn’t closed, and price is pressing into the yearly pivot for the first time.
- Coming in sideways increases the chance of a rejection wick before any true breakout.
- A sharp pullback into S1 wouldn’t be unusual, especially if the pivot acts as initial resistance before a stronger rally and eventual breakout attempt.
Overall, the structure is improving, the higher‑timeframe levels are doing their job, and the pivot interaction will likely dictate whether we break now or after a cleaner retest.
ZEN — Something Is Brewing
I’ve been tracking LSE:ZEN for a while, and it has finally caught my attention. No position yet — but the monthly chart looks great here.
In my view, this should finally trade above $15. There’s no real reason to fade that resistance after printing a clean monthly expansion bar off a well-defined demand zone.
Plan
Start adding some here
Continue adding once price trades above $15 to confirm the move
If this one decides to go, it has the structure for a clean 3–4x.
Still early, still patient — but this is definitely one to keep on the radar.
BINANCE:ZENUSDT
Ethereum — Stronger Signal Than BTC
BBG:ETHEREUM has printed a stronger signal than CRYPTOCAP:BTC , sooner than I expected. On top of that, $ETH/BTC is holding its ground, which is exactly what you want to see if ETH is gearing up for relative outperformance.
Will ETH outperform BTC over the next couple of months?
Chart-wise, it looks like it could, but this is something we need to track continuously to avoid losing sats if the setup fails.
For now, the signal is there — and **we act on signals, not opinions**. If you haven’t positioned yet, this is the moment where ETH deserves attention.
If structure continues to hold and momentum follows through, a new ATH is absolutely on the table.
SOL — High-Confidence Long Zone
This is one of the safest areas to look for longs on CRYPTOCAP:SOL , as long as price continues to hold above 121, which marks the monthly value area.
What I’m Looking For
Holding above 121: Keeps the bullish structure intact.
Target: A push toward just below 400 remains on the table.
Stronger continuation: If SOL manages to build a clean mode around 172, the odds of an accelerated move increase significantly.
I seriously doubt we’ll get another opportunity to long SOL anywhere near the 2023 close, which is why current levels are already attractive from a risk–reward perspective.
For now, this is a hold-and-build setup, not a chase.
TIA is still bullish (4H)In my view, TIA remains bullish overall and the higher-timeframe structure is still constructive. At the moment, price action suggests that a triangle pattern is forming, indicating a phase of consolidation before the next potential expansion.
From the recent low, buyers stepped in aggressively, pushing the price upward with strong momentum and clear bullish intent. This impulsive move confirms that demand is still present and active in the market. After this rally, price has now entered a corrective phase, which appears healthy and technical rather than a sign of weakness.
This correction is likely the final correction within the triangle structure, specifically corresponding to Wave E of the triangle. If this interpretation is correct, the market is currently completing the last leg of consolidation before a potential breakout.
We have identified two entry zones, and positions should be built using a DCA (Dollar-Cost Averaging) approach to manage risk and improve average entry price. These zones are aligned with key support levels and the internal structure of the triangle.
🎯 Targets are clearly marked on the chart, based on the projected breakout of the triangle and prior resistance levels.
❌ Invalidation:
This bullish scenario will be invalidated if a daily candle closes below the invalidation level marked on the chart. A confirmed daily close below that level would indicate a breakdown of the structure and require a reassessment of the bias.
As long as price remains above the invalidation level, the bullish bias remains intact, and this consolidation should be viewed as a potential accumulation phase rather than a distribution.
If you have a coin or altcoin you want analyzed, first hit the like button and then comment its name so I can review it for you.
This is not a trade setup, as it has no precise stop-loss, stop, or target. I do not publish my trade setups here.
Nifty Analysis EOD – January 14, 2026 – Wednesday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – January 14, 2026 – Wednesday 🔴
Harami Cross at the Edge: Bulls and Bears Battle for the 25,600 Line.
🗞 Nifty Summary
The Nifty opened with a 60-point Gap Down, but buyers quickly intervened, filling the gap within minutes to test the 25,750 ~ 25,780 resistance zone. After multiple failed attempts to break out, the index slipped back toward the day’s low, finding temporary refuge at a bullish trendline.
A second recovery attempt successfully breached the IBH and the resistance zone, marking a day high of 25,791.75.
However, the joy was short-lived; a sharp rejection followed, snapping the trendline and dragging the index through the CDO and IBL. Nifty eventually tested the PDL (25,603) with precision, sparking a late 111-point bounce to close at 25,665.60.
The result is a Harami Cross pattern on the daily chart, signaling deep indecision as the index remains trapped within the previous day’s range.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart with Levels
🛡 Intraday Walk
Today was a theatre of high-octane drama. The charts show a relentless tug-of-war, with the index climbing and sliding sharply as both camps fought for dominance.
The rejection from the 25,790 area confirms that sellers are still heavily active at higher levels, but the “Double Bottom” effect near 25,600 (testing today’s low of 25,603.95 against yesterday’s 25,603.30) shows that bulls are not ready to surrender this psychological floor.
The intraday trendline failure at 1:30 PM was the pivotal moment for bears, while the final recovery from the PDL saved the bulls from a catastrophic breakdown.
📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 25,648.55
High: 25,791.75
Low: 25,603.95
Close: 25,665.60
Change: −66.70 (−0.26%)
🏗️ Structure Breakdown
Type: Doji Candle (Harami Cross).
Range (High–Low): ≈ 188 points — moderate volatility.
Body: ≈ 17 points — weak directional conviction.
Upper Wick: ≈ 143 points — massive rejection from higher supply zones.
Lower Wick: ≈ 45 points — localized buying support near the PDL.
📚 Interpretation
The Harami Cross, appearing within the massive range of January 13, indicates a total standoff. The long upper wick (143 points) is the most telling feature, proving that every attempt to sustain above 25,750 is being met with aggressive selling. However, the fact that Nifty closed 15 points above its opening (CDO) and held the 25,600 support suggests a base is attempting to form.
🕯 Candle Type
Bearish Rejection / Indecision Candle — Highlights overhead supply; the market is coiling for a breakout from this Harami structure.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 211.39
IB Range: 123.15 → Medium
Market Structure: Balanced
Trade Highlights:
11:27 Long Trade: SL Hit (Bulls trapped during the failed IBH breakout).
13:32 Short Trade: Target Hit (R:R 1:2.59) (High-conviction Trendline Breakout).
14:23 Short Trade: SL Hit (V-shape bounce from PDL support).
Trade Summary: A mixed day for the strategy. While the 1:2.59 short trade perfectly captured the trendline collapse, the extreme volatility near the range extremes (IBH and IBL) resulted in two stop-loss hits. The net result remains protective in a non-trending “Balance” market.
🧱 Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zones:
25693
25750 ~ 25780 (Major)
25820
25855 ~ 25880
Support Zones:
25600 (Critical)
25550
25475
🧠 Final Thoughts
“The 25,600 Line in the Sand holds... for now.”
Today confirmed that while the bulls have the heart to defend 25,600, they lack the lungs to climb past 25,800.
Today confirmed that while the bulls have the heart to defend 25,600, they lack the lungs to climb past 25,800.
We are officially in a “Squeeze” zone. The market is coiling, and the next directional move will be determined by a breakout from this tight “Harami Cross” structure.
For tomorrow, I’m watching the 25,600 level like a hawk; if it snaps, the floor is far below, but before that, bulls might attempt 25750 once again.
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
Buyers are waiting to re-enter XLM (8H)After creating a series of bearish moves, the market maker aggressively pushed the price upward in a sharp impulse move. During this strong rally, it is important to note that price not only formed a Bullish Change of Character (CHoCH), but also reclaimed key levels, confirming a shift in market structure from bearish to bullish.
Early buyers who entered alongside the market maker at lower prices have already secured their first round of profits, which has led to the current price correction / pullback. This retracement appears to be a natural and healthy reaction after a strong impulsive move, rather than a sign of weakness.
Traders who have already taken profits, along with new buyers, are now waiting for lower and more discounted prices to re-enter the market. Once sufficient buying interest returns at these levels and accumulation is completed, XLM has the potential to initiate another bullish move to the upside.
Trade Setup & Risk Management
To properly manage risk and plan a structured entry, a clear trading setup has been prepared around major support levels. These support zones are areas where we expect buyers to step back in.
We have two planned entry points, and positions should be entered using a DCA (Dollar Cost Averaging) strategy to improve average entry price and reduce risk in case of short-term volatility.
Targets & Invalidation
All targets are clearly marked on the chart.
At Target 1, it is recommended to secure partial profits.
After reaching the first target, move the stop loss to Break Even to protect capital.
If the stop loss is hit, this setup will be invalidated, and the bullish scenario should be reconsidered.
Final Notes
As long as price holds above the key support zones and the bullish structure remains valid, the overall bias stays bullish. Always trade with proper risk management and discipline.
⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
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XAUUSD Short: Fails at Supply Zone, Sellers Regain ControlHello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of XAUUSD (1H) based on the current chart structure. XAUUSD recently completed a strong bullish leg within a well-defined ascending channel, but momentum started to fade as price reached the major Supply Zone around 4,620–4,630. This area acted as a key rejection zone, where aggressive selling pressure appeared, leading to a clear breakdown from the ascending channel and signaling a shift in short-term market control. After the breakdown, price attempted to recover but failed to regain acceptance above the former structure. The rebound moved into a corrective phase and is now trading below the Supply Line, suggesting that the recent upside is corrective rather than impulsive. The market structure has transitioned into lower highs, reinforcing bearish pressure.
Currently, XAUUSD is approaching the 4,540–4,560 area, which aligns with a prior breakdown level and dynamic resistance from the descending supply line. This zone is expected to attract sellers again. Below current price, the Demand Zone near 4,520 is the first key support. A clean break below this level would confirm bearish continuation and open the door for a deeper move lower.
My scenario: As long as XAUUSD remains below the 4,620–4,630 Supply Zone and continues to respect the descending supply structure, the bearish bias remains valid. I expect price to show rejection from the current pullback zone and push lower toward 4,520 (TP1). A breakdown and acceptance below 4,520 would expose further downside toward 4,480–4,460 (TP2). However, a strong bullish breakout and acceptance back above 4,600–4,630 would invalidate the short scenario and suggest renewed bullish continuation. For now, structure favors sellers while price trades below supply. Manage your risk!
Sell to buyPrice continued to create a new ATH during Asia, then dropped to the R1 level, creating support.
Currently price is at the Asia exhaustion and looking for a potential sell on a rejection and second 15 min candle flip for a potential 1:2 RR.
Then we are looking for price to react to Asia exhaustion, which is also a 71% retracement on the fib.
Will consider a buy towards the highs as price will probably continue the buying momentum.
Important to note that we have high impact news today (CPI) so possible high volatility.
$MSTR — Multi-Month Support in Play
NASDAQ:MSTR is sitting right on multi-month support, and it’s hard for me to see this breaking much lower. The last time we highlighted this setup, it delivered a very clean move — I’m adding it here again for reference.
This is a straightforward swing trade to hold over the next couple of months.
What I’m expecting:
* Near-term resistance around 300–350
* Bigger picture: a test of new ATHs remains on the table if momentum builds
I’m adding here and would be open to adding more if price dips closer to the yearly open.
Simple structure, defined risk, and a clear path if the market continues to firm up.
AUD/USD, AUD/JPY, EUR/AUD SetupsSome decent setups are emerging across Australian dollar pairs. In particular, I am looking for a deeper pullback in AUD/USD and a bounce in EUR/AUD before losses resume. Whether we see a shallow or deeper pullback in AUD/JPY may ultimately depend on whether Japan’s Ministry of Finance (MOF) intervenes in the currency market.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index.
Market makers will soon pump ETHEREUM (8H)Ethereum is continuing to develop a bullish structure.
On the iCH chart, we are observing clear bullish signals. Currently, the price is trading around a key support/resistance level, which has historically acted as a strong decision point for market participants.
The upper order blocks above the current price have already been mitigated and absorbed, meaning that the price now faces less resistance to move upward. This significantly increases the probability of a continued bullish move in the near term.
Given this context, we should be focusing on buy/long opportunities. There are two main entry points, which can be used strategically through a DCA (Dollar-Cost Averaging) approach. Entering gradually allows us to manage risk while taking advantage of potential upward momentum.
Targets are clearly marked on the chart. At the first target, it is recommended to take partial profits to lock in gains, and then move your stop-loss to break-even to protect your capital. This approach allows us to participate in the remaining move toward higher targets without unnecessary risk.
Always remember to manage your risk properly and avoid over-leveraging. The structure suggests that Ethereum has the potential for a strong upward movement, but patience and discipline are key.
In summary:
Trend: Bullish continuation
Chart signal: iCH bullish
Key level: Currently testing a major level
Order blocks: Upper blocks mitigated, price has a clear path
Entry: Two points, DCA recommended
Targets: Marked on chart; take partial profit at first target, move stop to break-even
Strategy: Focus on risk management while participating in the bullish momentum
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ACH will experience a strong pump soon (8H)The price has formed a bottom at a 3D pattern. This pattern indicates the liquidation of sellers, after which the price typically rebounds upward.
Our confirmation comes from the break of the trigger line. For some time, the price was unable to break this trigger line, but now it is trading above it, which clearly shows that buyers are strong.
Additionally, we have a bullish CH (Change of Character) on the chart, further confirming that strong buyers have appeared.
The current structure supports buy/long positions, which is why we are focusing on looking for long entries.
There are two entry points, which should be taken using a DCA (Dollar-Cost Averaging) strategy to manage risk and optimize the position.
Targets are marked on the chart. At the first target, consider taking partial profits, and then move your stop-loss to the entry point to protect your capital while keeping the remaining position active for potential further upside.
In summary:
Pattern: 3D bottom indicating seller liquidation
Confirmation: Price breaking above the trigger line
Bullish signal: CH on the chart
Strategy: Buy/long positions with DCA entries
Risk management: Partial profit at first target, stop-loss at entry
This setup highlights a strong bullish structure, giving traders a clear framework to participate while managing risk efficiently.
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ATOM is still bullish (8H)ATOM price has recently shown a sharp and powerful impulsive move from the bottom, which clearly indicates the presence of strong institutional and smart money buyers. This aggressive reaction from demand zones suggests that buyers are in control of the market structure at the moment.
The bullish momentum is very strong, and price is respecting higher highs and higher lows. As long as this momentum remains intact, minor pullbacks and shallow corrections can be considered healthy and optimal opportunities to enter Buy/Long positions, rather than signs of weakness.
From a market structure perspective, we can clearly identify a Bullish Change of Character (CHoCH) on the chart. This CH confirms that the previous bearish structure has been broken and the market has officially shifted into a bullish phase. Additionally, price is currently trading around key levels, which further increases the importance of this zone and validates the bullish scenario.
Entry Strategy (DCA Approach)
We have two potential entry zones, marked on the chart. These entries can be executed using a DCA (Dollar Cost Averaging) strategy to reduce risk and improve the average entry price. This approach allows better position management in case of short-term volatility.
Targets & Trade Management
All targets are clearly marked on the chart.
At Target 1, it is recommended to secure partial profits to reduce exposure.
After reaching the first target, move the stop loss to Break Even to protect capital and allow the trade to run risk-free.
Remaining positions can be held towards higher targets as long as bullish structure and momentum remain valid.
Final Thoughts
As long as price holds above key support levels and maintains its bullish structure, the overall bias remains bullish. Always manage risk properly and avoid over-leveraging, especially in volatile market conditions.
⚠️ This analysis is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk accordingly.
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