Pivot Points
MONERO (XMRUSD): Another Bullish ALT
Another altcoin that looks strong bullish to me is Monero.
The price formed a high momentum bullish imbalance
candle after a test of a major horizontal support.
With a high probability, the market will reach 314.5 level soon.
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APTUSDT is currently strongly bullish4-hour timeframe, the market recently "grabbed" the Sellside Liquidity (SSL) at 4.162, a move that often precedes a major reversal. This event, coupled with the clear presence of Buyside Liquidity (BSL) pools above, has confirmed my uptrend conviction.
trade, my entry is precisely set at 4.280, a level that corresponds with a 2-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG), which represents a price inefficiency that the market is likely to re-enter. My primary take-profit target is the 1-hour Buyside Liquidity at 4.815, with a secondary target at the 4-hour Buyside Liquidity zone at 5.576. To manage my risk, my stop-loss is placed at 4.125, safely below the 4-hour Breaker Block. This plan offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio and aligns
Small-Cap Setup with Big PotentialAnother promising setup is forming on EML. As always, keep in mind this is a small-cap play, so risk management is key. While the monthly uptrend isn’t yet fully established, the current structure offers multiple trade scenarios worth watching.
Trade Scenarios
1. Conservative Breakout Entry For those preferring confirmation, a long entry could be triggered on a clean break and close above $1.195 (as highlighted on the chart).
Stop Loss: Below the newly formed swing low
Target: $1.825, where notable resistance resides
2. Ideal Pullback Entry The optimal setup would be a pullback into a strong Area of Interest, supported by:
50% range retracement
Yearly pivot
Demand structure from the large April wick
If price forms a hammer/bullish candle in this zone, it could signal a high-probability reversal and offer a strong entry point.
SL placement depends on candle structure, but should invalidate below the demand zone
🎯 TP remains at $1.825, aligning with historical resistance
XAUUSD Intraday Roadmap (15m)This plan is built for 15-minute trading on Gold (XAUUSD). It combines supply/demand levels, a no-trade chop zone (3658–3668), and clear bullish/bearish setups with entry, stop, and targets.
📈 Bullish Setup
• Trigger: 15m close ≥ 3688
• Entry: ~3690
• SL: 3674.89
• TP1: 3703 | TP2: 3707
📉 Bearish Setup
• Trigger: 15m close ≤ 3646
• Entry: ~3644
• SL: 3660
• TP1: 3638 | TP2: 3626
⚠️ Notes
Trade only on a 15-minute timeframe, confirm entries with candle momentum, avoid chop range, and manage risk (≤2% per trade). Best results during the London & NY sessions.
✅ Summary
Above 3688 = Bullish bias
Below 3646 = Bearish bias
Inside 3658–3668 = No trade
⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational use only — not financial advice.
Bullish!!The Fibonacci tool is very useful even for beginners, because it measures the entire move and gives you levels where price is and where it could go to. In a bullish market you always want to buy below the 50% level because it's considered discount and it falls within all the previous imbalances and demand zones. Looking at ADA we are still at a discounted zone , and this might be the last time ADA will be this cheap .
Risk-Managed Setup with Upside TargetsPrice has pulled back into a meaningful area of interest. While the entry is slightly delayed, the risk-to-reward remains attractive.
Trade Options
Conservative Entry: Wait for a break and close above $2.22. This would confirm bullish momentum and open the door for much higher prices.
Stop Loss (SL): Below $1.340
Aggressive Entry: Enter now, acknowledging that most of the month’s move has already played out.
SL Options:
Below the August low for wider protection
Or a tighter SL at $1.345, since a confirmed higher low (HL) hasn’t formed yet
USDT DOMINANCE Looks Bearish (4H)We have a major downtrend on Tether dominance. When we see strong downtrends, every upward correction should be monitored carefully, because once the correction trendline breaks, it can be a signal for the continuation of the larger downtrend.
Right now, the corrective upward trendline has been broken, no higher highs have formed, and we see bearish CHs on the chart.
Price can pull back toward the flip zone and then drop again to lower levels, even toward the green area.
This means we must be cautious with our short sell positions, because Bitcoin and Ethereum may register new all-time highs!
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
AMD at a Crossroads: Deep Correction or a Launch to New Highs?
🔎 Technical Analysis (Based on the Chart)
Recent Trend:
After a sharp rally from around $100 to nearly $180, the stock entered a corrective phase.
A series of lower highs and lower lows suggests the start of a short-term downtrend.
Price is now trading below the 50-day moving average (yellow line), which is a bearish signal.
Patterns & Price Action:
The chart shows a possible Head & Shoulders structure or at least a similar bearish formation.
The red arrow indicates potential downside movement toward lower levels.
📉 Short-Term Outlook (2–6 weeks)
Bias: Bearish
Targets:
First target: $150
Second target: $140 (if support breaks)
Stop-loss: A confirmed close above $166–168 (back above the moving average and resistance).
📈 Long-Term Outlook (3–6 months)
If the current correction extends, the stock could dip toward $135–140, then potentially start a new bullish phase.
Upside Targets:
First target: $180 retest
Second target: $200–210 if the historical high breaks
Stop-loss (long-term): A confirmed close below $135 (break of major support, trend reversal to bearish).
✅ Summary:
Short-term: Likely correction toward $150–140.
Long-term: As long as $135 holds, bullish targets toward $200 remain valid.
SMH Price Prediction Breakdown Key Levels (Visually from Chart):
| Level | Meaning |
| -------------- | --------------------------------------- |
| 🔴 308.00 | Resistance (tested before, price pulled back)
| 🟩 306.50–305.60 | Active range (possible balance / chop zone)
| 🟨 303.47 | First bearish target — critical inflection
| 🟦 301.75 | Second target — confirmation of breakdown
| 🟩 309.55 | Previous high / breakout test zone
| 🟨 294.00 | Major prior support (not in play unless heavy rejection)
Simply put:
* SMH might consolidate sideways before it attempts to break 308
* If it breaks above 308 with strength → next target is 310
* But if it fails at 308, it could get rejected sharply.
* A drop to **303.47 would be your first bearish target.
* If 303.47 breaks → price could “free fall” down to 301.75
🔺 Bullish Scenario: Breakout Over 308
Trade Idea:
> If SMH holds 305.50–306.00 and pushes through 308 with strength, expect continuation toward 309.55 → 310.25
* Entry: Breakout above 308 + volume
* Stop: Under 305.50
* TP1: 309.55
* TP2: 310.25+
Why It Works:
Double bottom is your foundation, RSI is still strong (\~67), and you're in a stair-step uptrend — with 9EMA still curling up.
# 🔻 Bearish Scenario: Rejection at 308 → Breakdown
Trade Idea:
> If SMH gets rejected again at 308, and breaks below 305.60, then look for a fast move to 303.47, and maybe a flush to 301.75.
* Entry: Fail at 308 and break below 305.60
* Confirmation: Bearish engulfing candle, high volume
* TP1 (First Take Profit):303.47
* TP2 (Second TP): 301.75
* Stop: Above 308.30
Why It Works:
There’s thin structure below 303.50 — meaning, not much support until 301.75. If bulls can’t defend there, sellers take control.
⚖️ Neutral Scenario: Chop Between 305–308
* No breakout or breakdown.
* You can either wait or trade the range:
* Buy dips near 305 → Sell near 308.
* Avoid large size — this is lower conviction.
Hypothesis:
If SMH gets rejected at 308 and breaks under 305.60, I expect a move down to 303.47. If 303.47 fails, I’ll ride it down to 301.75.
I’m wrong if SMH reclaims 308.30 and holds.
Is the Rate cut priced In | Potential Gold Correction
In this video I highlight the possibility that the highly anticipated rate cut decision is already priced in . If this is the case then we could be at the brink of a healthy correction .
I demonstrate what that could look like if we start to pull back and go into correction territory.
I support this idea with not only the psychological motive but additional confluences using the TPO chart .
Thanks for your support
SOL — Bulls Need to Defend $230 for ContinuationSOL had a strong bullish week, almost tapping the $250 psychological level before rejecting down into the monthly level at $231.77, where price found support and bounced. This level also aligned with the 1.272 Fib extension ($231.96), making it a valid long opportunity.
🟢 Next Long Opportunity
The 0.382 Fib retracement ($230.39) of the move from the $199.32 low is the next key level to watch.
A retest here would:
Sweep liquidity from the current low
Offer a low-risk entry
Help fill some imbalances
📌 Overall, $230 is the level that must hold for bullish continuation.
Targets
TP1: $238 → R:R ~1:3
TP2: $252.91 (0.786 Fib retracement) → R:R ~1:8+ if momentum continues
Risk Management
Stop-Loss: Below $229 (clear invalidation)
Risk: Only 1% on this trade setup
Quick Take
If $230 holds, SOL could set up for another leg higher. This zone offers a clean, low-risk, high-reward long setup with clearly defined invalidation and attractive targets.
Nifty Analysis EOD – September 16, 2025 – Tuesday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – September 16, 2025 – Tuesday 🔴
Powerful Breakout to New Highs – Bulls Taking Control
🗞 Nifty Summary
Nifty began the day with a 15-point gap up, then climbed steadily and strongly upward from the first tick. Every key level respected the price movement, with pauses followed by decisive breakthroughs:
Crossed 25115 (PDH), 25140, and 25160 levels smoothly.
Marked a day high of 25181.85 within just 45 minutes.
After a ~2-hour consolidation in a narrow ~25-point range, Nifty broke the Current Day High (CDH) and marked a new high at 25,203. Though crossing 25200 was tough for a while, 25150 support came to the rescue. From there, a fresh rally pushed the index to our expected target level of 25,240.
As noted earlier, 25240 acted as strong resistance, visible in multiple 5-minute candle shadows. The day ended near the high, signaling strong bullish conviction.
📊 The total range today was 190 points, compared to the 172-point average range of the Gladiator Indicator → indicating expansion after recent contraction.
✅ Today’s close is the highest closing since July 11, 2025, and above the previous swing high (July 23, 2025 close).
👉 For tomorrow:
If Nifty gaps up above the 25240 ~ 25260 resistance zone and sustains, it could aim for 25300 ~ 25340 and 25385.
If it opens within today’s range, expect a possible retest of 25165 ~ 25140, with 25115 as strong support — a possible zone for long reversal trades.
Initial Balance (IB) will be key to plan trades and view tomorrow.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart with Levels
📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 25,073.60
High: 25,261.40
Low: 25,070.45
Close: 25,239.10
Change: +169.90 (+0.68%)
🏗️ Structure Breakdown
Green candle (Close > Open)
Body: ~165.50 points (strong, wide body)
Upper wick: ~22.30 points
Lower wick: ~3.15 points (almost no tail)
Strong close near day high → clear sign of intraday momentum.
📚 Interpretation
Buyers fully controlled the session from the start, defending 25,070.
Broke above 25,140 resistance (last week’s ceiling) with confidence.
Closing near the high shows high conviction buying and likely short-covering.
🕯Candle Type
Bullish Marubozu type → Signals decisive breakout with strong buying pressure.
📉📈 Short-Term View – September 17, 2025
Support: 25,140–25,150 (key floor now)
Resistance: 25,260–25,290 (today’s high zone)
👉 Key Insight:
The multi-day sideways consolidation (24,940–25,140) has ended.
Today’s strong green Marubozu confirms bullish breakout.
Bulls are now clearly in charge, aiming next for 25,340–25,385, provided they sustain above 25,140.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 172.09
IB Range: 87.4 → Medium
Market Structure: Balanced
Trade Highlights:
9:20 AM – Long Trigger → Target Hit (R:R - 1:2.68)
📌 Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zones:
25240
25290 ~ 25307
25340 ~ 25385
Support Zones:
25165 ~ 25140
25115
25085 ~ 25070
💡 Final Thoughts
Today’s textbook inside bar breakout shows that bulls have the upper hand now. The next few sessions will decide if momentum will carry toward 25,300+ or if profit-taking sets in.
📖 “Momentum favors the brave. Keep an eye on the key levels and trade with discipline.”
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Complete Support & Resistance Analysis Today
Here is my latest structure analysis for WTI Oil.
Resistance 1: 63.7 - 64.1 area
Resistance 2: 65.6 - 66.8 area
Resistance 3: 70.2 - 70.5 area
Support 1: 61.4 - 62.0 area
Support 2: 59.0 - 60.8 area
Support 3: 55.3 - 57.3 area
The price is currently breaking Resistance 1.
A daily candle close above that may push the prices to Resistance 2.
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How to Use Fibonacci Levels in Gold Trading. Best Ratios For XAU
I will teach you a simple but efficient way of using Fibonacci levels for Gold analysis.
You will learn the strongest Fib.retracement levels and a proven strategy for XAUUSD trading.
First, let me show you the most powerful Fibonacci retracement levels that you should use for trading Gold.
The most significant ones are: 382, 50, 618, 786.
To use these Fib.Retracement levels properly, you will need to find the strongest 3 impulse legs.
Please, note that you can execute Fibonacci analysis of Gold on any time frame, for the sake of the example, we will do that on a daily.
Here are 3 impulses that I found.
I was simply trying to identify the price waves with the strongest impact. I underlined them from their lows to their highs.
We will draw Fibonacci Retracement levels based on these 3 movements.
We plot Fib.Retracement of a bullish impulse from its low to its high.
We plot Fib.Retracement of a bearish impulse from its high to its low.
That is how it looks.
After that we will need to find a confluence - zones or levels where Fib.Retracement levels of different impulses match .
Such zones will be significant liquidity clusters where market participants will place huge volumes of trading orders.
The first 2 confluence zones that I spotted on a Gold chart will be specific. They are based on 1 and 0 Fib.Retracement levels that match.
These 2 areas are both completion and starting points of our impulse legs.
The fact that significant price movements completed and started after tests of these zones indicates their significance .
Confluence zones 3/4/5/6 are based on a convergence of at least 2 Fib.Retracement levels of different impulses.
Probabilities will be high that these zones will attract the market liquidity.
After we found all confluence zones, I recommend removing Fibonacci levels from the chart to keep it clean .
That is how our complete Fib.Analysis will look.
From these zones, we will look for trading opportunities.
The areas that are above current price levels will be significant supply areas , and we will look for sell signals from them.
The zones that are below Gold spot price will be demand areas. Chances will be high that a strong buying reaction will follow after their test.
Confluence zones that we spotted on Gold chart provide unique perspective. Integrating them in your XAUUSD analysis, you will increase the accuracy of your predictions and trading decisions.
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XAUUSD: Trend in 30 Min timeframe (Two possible scenarios)The color levels are very accurate levels of support and resistance in different time frames, and we have to wait for their reaction in these areas.
So, Please pay special attention to the very accurate trend, colored levels, and you must know that SETUP is very sensitive.
Be careful
BEST
MT
HCC ANALYSISSwing Trade :
Bullish Reversal Setup
After a good correction on weekly timeframe with low volumes , the stock took support at 200 sma on weekly timeframe.
On Daily timeframe it gave a breakout out of a small consolidation and 20 ema is breaking above 50 sma.
Stop loss can be placed at 27.4.
Disc : My view is for educational or study purpose only.
It is not a buy/sell recommendation.
Valtrix Group: Crypto Market Dip BTC at $115K, AI-Driven TradingIn the dynamic world of cryptocurrencies, corrections are an inevitable part of the cycle, but they also create opportunities for savvy traders. As of September 16, 2025, Bitcoin remains steady at around $115,845, showing resilience amid a broader market decline. GameFi and meme coins have been hit harder, losing 4–5% in recent days, reflecting a typical capital rotation toward more conservative assets. From Valtrix Group, a leading investment platform focused on AI-driven analysis and crypto tools, we provide a detailed breakdown of the current situation. Our AI tools, such as Valtrix Nexus AI and Crypto Intelligence, track blockchain data, whale activity, and candlestick patterns to generate precise trading signals. If you’re looking for reliable strategies, Valtrix Group offers access to advanced tools for traders.
Let’s dive into the correction, Bitcoin’s resilience, and key signals to help you make informed decisions.
Current Correction: GameFi and Meme Coins Drop 4–5%
The crypto market is experiencing a classic post-rally correction: trading volume has contracted, and altcoins, especially speculative ones, are under pressure. GameFi tokens like IMX and GALA have lost 4–5% over the past week, driven by capital outflows from gaming projects into more stable assets. This is typical consolidation: after Bitcoin’s peak above $111K in August, the market is correcting, with high-risk sectors like GameFi taking the first hit.
Meme coins have faced similar losses: PEPE and SHIB dropped 4%, while newer tokens like FARTCOIN and WIF fell 5% due to volatility and profit-taking. Our AI algorithms detect mixed whale activity: 21% dumps in FARTCOIN but accumulation in DOGE. The total market is valued at $3.87 trillion, with an RSI of 55 signaling a neutral-to-bullish sentiment, hinting at a potential bottom. Historically, September sees a 3.77% decline, but Q4 typically delivers an 85% rally.
For traders, this is an opportunity: diversify into resilient sectors and use Valtrix’s AI monitoring to spot patterns.
Bitcoin’s Resilience at $115K: Why BTC Holds Strong
Bitcoin at $115,845 (up 0.21% in 24 hours) shows strength, maintaining support between $115K–$115.9K. After dipping from $111K in May, BTC recovered, forming a monthly low of $107K on September 1. An RSI of 59–65 indicates healthy momentum without overbuying, and the rising 50-day moving average (MA) confirms a short-term uptrend.
Factors driving resilience include macroeconomic expectations of Fed rate cuts following the CPI data on September 12, supporting risk appetite and a $59M inflow into BTC. Technically, the 200-day MA remains above, and BTC’s dominance at 57.4% reflects capital flight from altcoins. On-chain data shows whale accumulation and ETF inflows stabilizing the price.
Projections: September’s average price could reach $122K, with potential to hit $128K if $115K holds. Valtrix Quant Engine forecasts a 5–7% rise in October to $122K. Unlike altcoins, BTC, as “digital gold,” remains resilient to corrections.
Trading Signals: RSI, Fibonacci, and AI Insights from Valtrix
Valtrix Group leverages AI to generate trading signals, from NLP news analysis to order book patterns. As of September 16, key indicators include an RSI of 59–65, signaling neutral-to-bullish momentum without overbuying (below 70). This suggests buying opportunities when RSI exceeds 50 for accumulation. Our AI detects a hidden bullish divergence, where price action appears weaker than it is.
Fibonacci levels show support at the 50% retracement ($115K from April’s trend). Near-term targets are $116.4K–$116.8K (resistance), followed by $120K–$125K. A breakout above $116K could push toward $129K–$135K. Risk: a drop below $115K may lead to $109K within the current range.
Valtrix’s AlphaAI™ model indicates a 71% bullish sentiment and a Greed Index of 55. Recommendations: open long positions on BTC above $116K with a stop-loss at $115K and avoid meme coins, focusing on BTC and ETH.
Conclusion: Navigate the Correction with Valtrix’s AI
The crypto market correction is a pause before a potential Q4 rally: GameFi and meme coins are down 4–5%, but Bitcoin at $115K remains resilient, with RSI and Fibonacci signaling buying opportunities. Valtrix Group empowers traders with AI tools, from real-time analysis to adaptive rebalancing. In 2025, our platform democratizes access to professional signals.
Ready to trade smarter? Sign up with Valtrix Group and test our AI on a demo account. What signals do you see in BTC? Share in the comments and subscribe for updates!
#CryptoMarket #Bitcoin #Correction #RSI #ValtrixGroup
Nike 1W - Just buy it?Nike is showing signs of a reversal after a prolonged downtrend, holding the key buy zone at 69.52, which aligns with the 0.618 Fibo retracement. The breakout of the descending channel adds weight to a structural shift, with the first target seen around 97.63, where the 1.618 Fibo extension and a major resistance zone converge. A successful breakout above this level would open the path toward 125.73, coinciding with the MA200 and a significant volume cluster. While the MA50 still hovers under price, suggesting caution in the short term, the overall structure points toward a bullish scenario.
Fundamentally , Nike remains solid, supported by recovering consumer demand and cost optimization, while its strong brand and institutional interest create a backdrop for sustained growth.
The tactical outlook favors a bullish continuation as long as price holds above the 69.5 zone, with upside targets at 97.6 and 125.7.
If buyers manage to maintain momentum, the market might just rewrite Nike’s slogan: “Just buy it.”
USD/JPY IS CURRENTLY EXHIBITING A BEARISH TREND STRUCTUREThe USD/JPY currency pair is currently exhibiting a bearish trend structure on the daily timeframe, signaling potential further declines in the upcoming trading sessions. Price action is trading near a lower high, reinforcing the bearish outlook as sellers appear to be gaining control. This downward momentum follows the recent formation of a bearish engulfing candlestick pattern near a significant resistance level, which often serves as a strong reversal signal. The presence of this pattern near resistance suggests that bullish momentum is weakening, increasing the likelihood of a sustained bearish move.
On the downside, the pair is expected to target the 142.00 level, which could act as a key support zone. A break below this level may accelerate selling pressure, opening the door for further declines. Traders should monitor price reactions around this level for potential consolidation or continuation of the downtrend. Conversely, if the pair attempts a recovery, the 151.300 price level stands as a major resistance barrier. Any bullish retracement towards this zone could attract renewed selling interest, reinforcing the bearish bias.
The overall technical structure suggests that USD/JPY remains vulnerable to additional downside, with bearish momentum likely to persist unless key resistance levels are convincingly breached. Traders may consider short positions on rallies towards resistance or breakdowns below key support levels, while maintaining tight risk management strategies. Given the current market dynamics, the path of least resistance appears to be downward, with 142.00 as the immediate target and 151.300 acting as a critical resistance to watch for any potential trend reversals.






















