Today I would like to introduce you all to process of analysis step by step instruments with usage of Options Toolkit Suite. I wrote in my earlier posts what edge can give us data obtained from Options Market. So now let's jump into details and have step-by-step detailed guide. Firstly we need chart layout split to 3, as on three different timeframes we will...
The Trifecta Income play is designed to either generate income or gets the stock assigned to you at a lower cost.
YOU SHOULD ONLY USE THIS TECHNIQUE ON STOCKS YOU WANT TO HOLD FOR LONG TERM.
Pay attention to the company as you do not want get a stock that is in a declining industry like KODAK when digital cameras came out.
We do this by selling a DOTM put,...
Liquidity within Leveraged products was used to provide
a bid for the Underlying on Gamma/Delta.
With the overall decline in participation, we are seeing
Micro Range Squeezes develop when it is "Time".
Friday's trade was a run to Square, and with the Retail
Options players levered up in 420 Spy Calls... there was no
chance they would be paid.
The PCC remains...
ROCs exploded once again.
Hopefully, this is squeezed hard off a further Extreme reading.
OR
It's off to 2.0ish as HappyCloud Suggested might happen...
www.tradingview.com
We're going to fail, but a FULL REVERSAL prior to failure... whopsawed,
but in tot he BUZZSAW again.
I'd count on it that whipsaw.
13.% looks to be in the offing for the next decline.
Very low volume today, if there's any day to sit out, it'd be today. This $415 level has been flagged by the chart, and it's not surprise to see choppy trading with a lack of direction at current levels. There are many waiting to short this rally and hence we also are seeing traders emphasize on this bear market rally to stop out early shorts. This move could...
On Friday, we saw $AAPL, $AMD, among other tickers like $MSFT, $NVDA, and $TSLA weigh down on the S&P 500. All of these tickers currently weigh on the bearish side and have affected the S&P 500 and NASDAQ.
$AAPL has been retesting the blue S/R level at ~$150 and failing to move above it. Definitely a VERY bearish setup, however, anything can happen and there is...
Reliability has been a Solid Guide, accurate in the Extreme...
One exception remains the Higher end of the Range remains
open for a far Higher High.
Friday's Expiry was an excellent example of a PCC Squeeze
as rising from 1.1876 to 1.274 was an indication of Price having
a clear potential to run to close.
It...
No doubt chargepoint is a great company and is cheaper than last year. BUT we are still in a bear market, can we see some profit taking or will we see it continue to trend up. I believe we will see some red and profit taking and will come down just a bit before another run.
Amazon 12 May 2022
The current implied volatility is at 56.8%/year
So that converted into daily is 3.58%
The close of yesterday was 2107
So based on that our channel for today is going to be compressed within
TOP 2182
BOT 2032
with a probability chance of 80.5% based on the last 3007 candles
From fundamental point, today we have
PPI and initial jobless...
QQQ
9 - 13 May
The weekly VXN-> Volatility Index for S&P 100 index / Nasdaq
Implied = 37.4
In this we have to standard it for weekly session
37.4 / sqrt(52-> 52 weeks in a year) = 5.19%
My historical product is telling me with 1.5x coficient that the expected movement for this week
E Volatility = 38.02 / sqrt(52) = 5.27%
With this data, from my calculations,...
SPY
9 - 13 May
The weekly VIX -> Volatility Index for S&P 500 index
VIX = 30.2
In this we have to standard it for weekly session
30.2 / sqrt(52-> 52 weeks in a year) = 4.19%
My historical product is telling me with 1.5x coficient that the expected movement for this week
E Volatility = 31.3 / sqrt(52) = 4.34%
With this data, from my calculations, when EV > VIX,...
SPX
9 - 13 May
The weekly VIX -> Volatility Index for S&P 500 index
VIX = 30.2
In this we have to standard it for weekly session
30.2 / sqrt(52-> 52 weeks in a year) = 4.19%
My historical product is telling me with 1.5x coficient that the expected movement for this week
E Volatility = 31.69 / sqrt(52) = 4.39%
With this data, from my calculations, when EV > VIX,...
Never underestimate the lunacy of former JPM Alumni
Tom Lee.
The Cathy Wood of C N B C - Tom simply needs to STFU.
In January, Tom was concerned about the Markets after
Mid-Year...
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Market Liquidity is evaporating.
Volatility is expanding.
The Algos have been very careful to press the Sellers on
spikes in the...
Call buying is needed for the Gamma Squeeze.
Same junk, different month, same trade.
Kick em when they're up, kick when they're down.
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Laundromat Thursday.
We can estimate with a 84% confidence that the volatility for today is going to be below 1.65%
For this the market will stay within
TOP 4371
BOT 4230
At the same time We can estimate with a 86% confidence that the volatility for today is going move more than
0.4% based on the last 5658 Daily candles.
For this the market will stay above the
TOP 4306
BOT 4272
From...
PCC can become more extreme, will it...
The one to watch for a Countertrend.
Many Sectors have broken or are @ 200 EMMs.
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Many Weekly candles shower an acceleration of
Momentum last week.
Eventually, the squeeze arrives... from where...
TBD.
