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Rising Wedge

XAUUSD – Rising Wedge Breakdown in Play? | Bearish Setup Alert🧠 Market Analysis Gold (XAUUSD) has shown incredible bullish strength in recent months, driven by geopolitical tensions, inflation uncertainty, and increased demand for safe-haven assets. However, every trend experiences a pause or correction — and that’s where we may currently be. 📊 Pattern Overview: Rising Wedge Formation One of the most prominent technical patterns right now is the Rising Wedge. This is a bearish reversal pattern that occurs when price action consolidates upwards in a narrowing range, indicating waning bullish momentum and an imminent breakdown. In this chart: We see a clear series of higher highs and higher lows, forming two converging trendlines. The upper trendline acts as dynamic resistance, while the lower one has been supporting price until now. The wedge has now broken to the downside, signaling the potential start of a new short-term downtrend. 🔍 Key Technical Elements Explained: 🔵 1. Major Resistance Zone Marked in the blue rectangular box, this zone has acted as a historical pivot area — both as support and resistance in the past. The market respected this zone multiple times. Price action tends to hesitate or reverse in such regions due to large institutional order flows. 🧠 2. Black Mind Curve Resistance Unlike flat trendlines, the "Black Mind Curve" represents a curved, psychological dynamic resistance — often based on market sentiment, Fibonacci arcs, or logarithmic regression. It reflects the market’s natural rhythm and is respected due to the hidden behavior of algorithmic trading systems. Price just rejected this resistance after touching it during the wedge formation — a strong bearish clue. 🔄 3. Retest in Progress After breaking out of the rising wedge to the downside, price is now retesting the broken wedge support. This is a common price behavior known as the “kiss of death” — a final tap before continuation. If the price fails to reclaim this broken support zone, it confirms a bearish continuation is on the table. 🎯 Trade Plan: Entry, Target & Stop Trade Element Details Bias Bearish Entry Idea On confirmation of retest rejection (e.g., bearish engulfing candle) Stop Loss (SL) Above the recent high or resistance – near $3,413.58 Take Profit (TP) First major support near $3,153.70 (SR Interchange) Risk-Reward Ratio Estimated between 1:2 to 1:3, depending on entry 🔥 Bonus Target: If momentum increases, an extended drop toward $3,100–$3,080 is possible — where deeper demand lies. 🧘‍♂️ Trading Psychology & Risk Management: Let’s face it: Even the best setup can fail — which is why discipline is your edge. Confirmation is Key: Never short just because of a pattern. Wait for structure + candlestick confirmation (e.g., bearish engulfing, shooting star, etc.). Emotions Kill Accounts : Don’t let greed convince you to skip stop-losses or over-leverage. Let Price Come to You: If you missed the perfect entry, don’t chase. The market always gives second chances. 🧠 Educational Insight : What Makes This Setup Powerful? This setup is a confluence trade, meaning: You’re not relying on one signal, but multiple confirmations: Rising wedge (pattern-based) Resistance zone (horizontal S&D) Curved dynamic resistance (psychological + advanced trendline) Retest + rejection behavior (price action) These stacked layers of confirmation increase the probability of a successful trade. 📌 Final Thoughts: Gold is showing all the technical signs of a short-term bearish correction, despite the broader bullish narrative. For smart traders, this is an opportunity to catch a swing short with a clear entry, stop, and target. The key to winning here? Patience and confirmation. You don’t have to predict the market — just react to it with logic and discipline. Let the setup unfold naturally, and let the trade come to you. 💬 What’s Your Take? Are you shorting Gold here or waiting for more confirmation? Have you used curved resistance lines before in your analysis? Drop your thoughts below — and if this helped you, smash the like button, share with others, and follow me for more high-probability setups!
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
Bearish Reversal Confirmed – BTC Rising Wedge TrapBitcoin (BTCUSD) on the 1H timeframe is displaying a bearish reversal structure after failing to sustain a breakout above key resistance. The recent price action has formed a Rising Wedge Pattern, which typically precedes a downside correction, especially when formed near a key supply zone. Let’s break down the setup: 🔍 Technical Analysis Overview: 🔹 1. Rising Wedge Pattern (Bearish) A rising wedge is visible near the top of the recent bullish impulse. This wedge is characterized by converging trendlines with higher highs and higher lows, but with diminishing momentum. It typically signals a weakening uptrend and a potential trend reversal or correction once price breaks below the lower wedge boundary. The breakout to the downside has already begun, confirming bearish intent. 🔹 2. SR Interchange Zone The blue zone marked in the chart represents a Support-Resistance Interchange (SR Flip). This was previously an area of consolidation and breakout, acting as a key decision zone. Price is expected to retest this zone after the wedge breakdown before continuing further down. This creates a perfect "Break → Retest → Drop" scenario, often favored by institutional and swing traders. 🔹 3. Consolidation Structure Before the wedge formation, Bitcoin was stuck in a prolonged consolidation phase. This type of ranging price action often accumulates orders before a breakout. Once broken, these zones serve as magnets for pullbacks or liquidity grabs, and are frequently retested. 🔹 4. Target Zone The measured move from the rising wedge pattern points to a target near $101,617, which aligns with a previous structural low and a potential demand zone. This area could serve as the next major support level. 🎯 Trade Strategy & Setup: Entry: After confirmation of breakdown and a clean retest of the SR zone. Stop Loss (SL): Just above the wedge high and structural resistance (~$108,020). Target (TP): $101,617 (downside projection based on wedge height and price structure). 📌 Risk-Reward Setup: 1:3+ possible if retest confirms. 🧠 Trader’s Insight: This setup reflects a common smart-money behavior where price forms a bullish-looking structure (rising wedge), entices buyers, and then traps them with a swift breakdown. The SR retest provides a low-risk shorting opportunity. Patience is key — let price come to your level before entering. 🚨 Risk Note: If BTC reclaims and holds above the $108,020 level, the bearish thesis may be invalidated. Always wait for confirmation before execution.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
EUR/USD Short Opportunity – Rising Wedge + Retest + TargetThis technical setup on EUR/USD (1H timeframe) highlights a potential high-probability short opportunity based on a combination of price action, chart patterns, and key structural levels. The pair is showing signs of weakening bullish momentum and preparing for a bearish continuation. 🔎 1. Pattern Analysis: Rising Wedge Formation The primary pattern visible is a Rising Wedge, which is traditionally a bearish reversal formation. It’s defined by: Higher highs and higher lows, but both trendlines are converging, suggesting weakening bullish control. Volume (not shown here) typically decreases within a rising wedge, further confirming a potential breakout. This wedge formed after a previous sharp bullish recovery, acting as a continuation structure that often reverses. In this case, the price formed multiple touches on both wedge boundaries, enhancing the reliability of the pattern. 🧱 2. Key Structural Zones: Minor Resistance Zone (~1.1270–1.1285): Clearly marked on the chart with a blue shaded zone. Price has reacted from this level multiple times, validating it as a supply area. The most recent attempt to break above this level failed, further confirming seller dominance. Consolidation Zone (highlighted in yellow): Prior to the wedge’s formation, price entered a consolidation phase. Consolidation often precedes a breakout or a trend reversal. In this case, it provided a base for the rally that formed the wedge. 🔁 3. Breakout and Retest: Price has broken below the lower support line of the rising wedge. This breakout is a bearish signal and suggests the pair may now be ready for a stronger downside move. The price appears to be retesting the broken wedge support, which is a classic confirmation move before continuation. Retests of broken structures often offer low-risk, high-reward entry opportunities. 🎯 4. Trade Plan and Setup: Entry Zone: Watch for bearish rejection or candle confirmation on the retest of the wedge support turned resistance. Stop Loss (SL): Positioned just above the resistance zone, at 1.12887, protecting the trade against false breakouts or reversals. Take Profit Levels: TP1 – 1.10649: This level is a strong support zone based on previous price action and structural significance. TP2 – 1.09670: The full measured move from the height of the wedge. This also aligns with historical support and psychological round number proximity (1.10). 🧠 5. Confluence Factors: Technical Pattern: Rising wedge = bearish. Support/Resistance: Multiple reactions to both the resistance zone and wedge trendlines confirm market memory. Price Action: Break + retest = ideal entry confirmation. Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable, especially with conservative TP1 and aggressive TP2 levels. Macro Context (optional): If posted during news week – potential USD strength based on rate expectations, NFP, or inflation. ⚠️ 6. Risk Management Tips: Use a position size that aligns with your account risk tolerance (1–2% rule). Wait for confirmation (bearish engulfing candle or rejection wick) before entering. Always be prepared for invalidation. If price closes above the resistance zone, this idea is voided.
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
JPY/USD Rising Wedge Pattern Formed | Retest & Move To Target🧠 Overview: The JPY/USD pair has recently exhibited a Rising Wedge Pattern, a classic technical formation known for its bearish implications. This pattern has developed over several days of bullish price action, showing diminishing bullish momentum as price action narrows. The wedge is forming right beneath a minor resistance zone, increasing the likelihood of a potential rejection and breakdown. This setup is particularly noteworthy due to the multiple layers of confluence supporting the bearish bias. 🔍 Technical Breakdown: 📌 1. Rising Wedge Formation A rising wedge is often considered a bearish reversal pattern, especially after a strong uptrend. As seen on the chart, price is respecting both the upper and lower bounds of the wedge, but with a loss of bullish momentum, indicated by shallower highs. This tightening price action hints at indecision and likely exhaustion from buyers. 📌 2. Minor Resistance Zone Price has approached a previous structure high where strong selling interest was seen before. This zone has already rejected price once, acting as a supply area. The repeated failure to break above reinforces the strength of this resistance. 📌 3. SR Interchange (Support Turned Resistance) Below the current price action, there's a well-defined Support-Resistance Flip Zone (SR Interchange). Previously a strong demand area, this zone may now act as a new resistance if price breaks below and retests it. This is a key area where sellers are likely to step in again. 📌 4. Break & Retest Structure As price begins to break the lower wedge boundary, the next move we anticipate is a retest of the broken wedge trendline. This retest, if confirmed by rejection candles (such as bearish engulfing or pin bars), would present an ideal entry opportunity for short positions. 🎯 Trade Plan & Price Levels: 💼 Bearish Scenario Entry Point: Wait for a successful retest of the broken wedge line (confirmation via price action: bearish engulfing or pin bar). Stop Loss: Above the recent swing high or above the wedge resistance (~0.006920). Take Profit 1 (TP1): 0.006845 – First key support zone. Take Profit 2 (TP2): 0.006807 – Next major support / liquidity zone. 🧩 Why This Setup Makes Sense: ✅ Multiple Confluences: Bearish wedge structure = reversal pattern. Resistance zone = psychological and technical rejection. SR Interchange = confirms institutional selling interest. Retest confirmation = high-probability entry. Target zones = based on recent support levels and market structure. 🛑 Risk Management: Risk-to-reward ratio favors short positions if executed after retest. Avoid jumping in early — wait for confirmation. Proper stop loss is key to avoiding false breakouts or premature entries. 📊 Summary: This is a textbook bearish setup with strong technical backing. The rising wedge pattern, when combined with resistance and retest zones, offers a great shorting opportunity — assuming price respects the pattern. Patience will be crucial here; wait for the break, the retest, and the confirmation before entering. 🔔 What to Watch: Price behavior near the lower wedge boundary. Reaction on retest — do bulls defend or do bears take over? Confirmation from volume or price action (engulfing candles, rejection wicks). Any fundamental catalysts or USD-related news. ✍️ Final Thoughts: This is a well-structured short setup on the JPY/USD 1H chart. Wedges often deceive with temporary breakouts before reversing hard — so discipline, timing, and confirmation will be key. If the market respects this technical structure, we could see a clean drop toward our projected targets.
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
Rising wedge on SPY - Melt up? or Next leg down? Immediate Bias (Tomorrow): Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation (Low Probability unless there's a macro catalyst): Breaks above ~$596–$598 cleanly Retests that zone as support (watch 595.50 intraday) Then targets: 600 psychological 604–608 upper resistance channel Possible end-of-month blow-off top: 612–618 Scenario 2 – Pullback / Rejection (More Probable Setup): Rejected at ~596–597 zone (which aligns with upper wedge resistance) Breakdown below $590 intraday Then targets: 587.80 EMA cluster (20/50) If lost → 576.44 next EMA + demand level Followed by major support at 565.87 / 563.43 🔥 Week Ahead Trade Plan (May 20–24) ✅ Bullish Possibility: If NVDA earnings, FOMC minutes, or macro data surprise to the upside Watch for breakout above the red wedge and hold above 600 Target range: 604 → 612 max upside 🚨 Bearish Scenario: Wedge breakdown below ~$590 Momentum cracks down to: 587 576 (watch for bounce) If panic selling → 565–563 (larger time frame buying zone) Volume divergence and overbought EMAs support a potential cool-off. 📅 Monthly Projection (End of May): If wedge breaks down → consolidation range between 563 – 587 If wedge breaks out → blow-off rally up to 612–620, but likely to fade quickly Fed commentary and NVDA earnings on May 22 will be major catalysts 📌 Key Levels Type Price Notes Resistance (R3) 612–618 Final upside blow-off zone (channel top) Resistance (R2) 604 Overhead channel line Resistance (R1) 595–598 Wedge top + major resistance Support (S1) 587 EMA cluster + strong local demand Support (S2) 576 Clean structure + prior breakout Support (S3) 565–563 Confluence of long-term EMAs + trendline 🎯 Trade Setups 📉 Bearish (Favored if no breakout tomorrow): Short 595–597 with stop above 600 Targets: 587 → 576 Optional: Add below wedge break (~590) 📈 Bullish (Confirmation-based): Break + retest of 597–600 Target: 604, then scale out at 612 Avoid front-running long unless you see volume + price close outside wedge
AMEX:SPY
by wesu7gcs
2
ES1! (S&P500 Mini Futures) - Support Trendline Price Test -DailyES1! (S&P500 Mini Futures) price is currently testing a support trendline around $5900. If several daily Price candles close below $5865 this month, a pullback in the price can occur (rising wedge pattern). Volume has been decreasing in May 2025, compared to March and April. Finance and Technology corporate earnings season has passed. The U.S. government 90-day tariff pause is set to expire in early July (pending trade deal negotiations with other countries). Tariff and trade deal news, breaking news, corporate earnings, government law changes, consumer sentiment, inflation data, the FOMC, and presidential announcements can all affect the prices of stocks and ETFs.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by NoFomoCharts
Bitcoin at Resistance With Weak Momentum-Bearish SetupBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) finally reached the Resistance zone($105,100-$104,520) as I expected yesterday. Of course, the way Bitcoin reached the resistance zone was NOT with high momentum , so I decided to share this analysis with you. In terms of Classic Technical Analysis , Bitcoin appears to have formed a Rising Wedge Reversal Pattern between Support zone($103,320-$102,600) and Resistance zone($105,100-$104,520) over the past few hours . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , given Bitcoin’s low momentum and the Heavy Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($105,180-$104,412) ahead of Bitcoin, it appears that Bitcoin has completed microwave B of the main wave 4 with a Double Three Correction(WXY) . I expect Bitcoin to decline to at least $102,800 at the first target AFTER breaking the lower line of the Rising Wedge Pattern, and if the Support zone($103,320-$102,600) and lower line of the ascending channel(Major) are broken, we should expect a drop to Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($100,763-$99,600) . Note: If Bitcoin touches $105,850, we can expect further increases. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
53
#BTC Dominance Update – Key Levels in Play!🚀 Hey Traders! 👋 If you’re finding value in this analysis, smash that 👍 and hit Follow for high-accuracy trade setups that actually deliver! 💹🔥 Bitcoin dominance ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D ) is trading inside a beautifully defined rising channel on the 4H chart. 📈 What’s unfolding? ✔ Strong support holds at the lower channel line (marked by green arrows) ✔ Bounce potential toward the upper channel resistance (~65%) ✔ Expect possible rejection there, followed by another retest of support 💥 Why this matters: ✅ BTC dominance drives altcoin sentiment ✅ Rising dominance → pressure on altcoins ✅ Watch for a breakdown below support → potential altcoin relief rally ⚙ Key Takeaway: Monitor this channel carefully. If dominance breaks below support, alts could gain momentum. If it bounces, BTC will continue to lead. 💬 Drop your thoughts in the comments — are you betting on BTC or alts next? 🚀👇
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by CoreCrypto1
VIRTUALUSDT → Rebound from resistance. Trend break, U-turn?BINANCE:VIRTUALUSDT.P is pausing within an uptrend and forming a range within which signals of a possible reversal and decline are appearing. Bitcoin is pausing its rally and moving into correction. This is a negative development for altcoins, which will not grow without the flagship. VIRTUAL is consolidating, but pressure is building in the market (as can be seen from the cascade of resistance levels within the range). Another prerequisite for a breakdown of the market structure is a downward exit from the upward channel (a break of the trend support). Another retest of support at 1.581 could trigger a breakout and a fall. There is a fairly free zone below, and the nearest target is located in the 1.178 zone. Resistance levels: 1.72, 1.829 Support levels: 1.581, 1.416, 1.178 Focus on the current range of 1.581 - 1.829. The chart shows that the price continues to storm and test support, which is an important signal against the backdrop of a broken uptrend. A break of support at 1.581 and consolidation below this level could trigger liquidation and a fall to the fvg zone or the liquidity zone at 1.178. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
3
NZDCHF → The global bearish trend may continueFX:NZDCHF has been within a local upward wedge pattern for a long time. A breakout of support could trigger a continuation of the downtrend. After breaking through the wedge support, the currency pair is one step away from the start of the realization. The focus is on consolidation at 0.4982 - 0.4919. A breakout of support could trigger a decline in the currency pair amid a weakening NZD and a rising dollar index, which overall creates a negative backdrop for the pair. A retest of the previously broken boundary of the figure or resistance at 0.4953 is possible before the decline continues, but a consolidation of the price below 0.4918 will be a good signal for the start of the movement. Resistance levels: 0.4953, 0.4981 Support levels: 0.4918, 0.4872 Trend pressure plays an important role, as does the fact that the price is coming out of a wedge consolidation. The breakout is directed towards the main trend, and price consolidation below the key support will only confirm this. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
6
Failed Breakout + Rising Wedge = Bearish Signal for Bitcoin!?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) attacked the Resistance zone ($87,520-$85,840) and the important Resistance line as I expected in yesterday's idea , but it seems that it failed to break . Bitcoin is moving between two Support and Resistance zones . From a Classic Technical Analysis , Bitcoin appears to have formed a Rising Wedge Pattern . From an Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to have completed a main wave 5 on the 1-hour time frame . Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks . If we look at the Bitcoin chart in the 4-hour timeframe , a Shooting Star Candlestick Pattern with high volume is clearly visible near the Resistance zone ($87,520-$85,840 ), which could signal a reversal and decline in Bitcoin . I expect Bitcoin to start declining again after an upward correction and break the lower line of the rising wedge pattern , and reach the targets I have indicated on the chart. Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $87,708-$86,487 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $84,520-$83,687 Do you think Bitcoin can finally break the important resistance line? I would like to hear your thoughts. Note: If Bitcoin breaks above the Resistance zone ($87,520-$85,840), we can expect a pump. Note: If Bitcoin falls below $81,000, we can expect further declines. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
12
GOLD → Countertrend correction. What to do in this case?FX:XAUUSD , after a bull run, bumps into strong limit resistance at 3244 and enters a correction phase, which is generally a logical maneuver amid strong gains. Gold corrects from Friday's record $3,245 and moves back to $3,200 amid improving market sentiment and progress in trade talks. The price pared gains after a strong weekly rally, reacting to U.S. concessions on tariffs on Chinese electronics and China's pledges to boost economic stimulus. Additional influences come from the dialog between the US and Iran, as well as the anticipation of China's GDP and trade data for March. Despite the pullback, downside may be limited due to ongoing uncertainty. Technically, it is worth looking at the 3187 - 3167 conglomerate of support, which can stop (temporarily or even turn the price upward) a strong and sharp decline, as the fundamental backdrop within the tariff war is still tense. Resistance levels: 3244, 3270 Support levels: 3187, 3174, 3167 The rally is temporarily halted, but there is no talk of a trend reversal, as the tariff war fire is still burning, Trump or Xi Jinping may add to the fire.... Within the framework of counter-trend correction, the emphasis is on the support of 3187, 3174, 3167 from which we can trade a false breakdown and catch the price rebound. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
14
#BTCUSDT shows signs of reversal📉 SHORT BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P from $82,125.0 🛡 Stop loss: $82,976.0 🕒 Timeframe: 4H ✅ Overview: ➡️ The BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P chart shows a rising wedge — a typical bearish pattern. ➡️ Price hit the upper wedge boundary and started to decline, breaking support. ➡️ A second top (Top 2) has formed on weakening volume, signaling a possible reversal. ➡️ The POC at $82,490.8 has been broken — price is holding below it, strengthening the bearish case. 🎯 TP Targets: 💎 TP 1: $81,430.0 💎 TP 2: $80,887.0 💎 TP 3: $80,485.0 📢 Additional scenario notes: 📢 Entry activates upon breakdown and consolidation below $82,125. 📢 Watch for increased volume at key TP levels for confirmation. 📢 A move above $82,976.0 invalidates the setup — stop placed just above key resistance and wedge top. 🚀 BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P shows signs of reversal — a corrective move to the downside is expected.
Short
by MoriartyTrading
2
Downside Risk Grows for NZD/USD After Structure FailThe NZD/USD pair has broken down from a well-defined rising wedge pattern, signaling a shift in short-to-medium term momentum. After trending within this rising structure for several weeks, price has now decisively violated the lower trendline, confirming a bearish breakout. The move coincides with a sharp rejection near the 200 EMA, which continues to act as dynamic resistance overhead. Price is now hovering around a key support zone between 0.555 and 0.558 — a level that has historically served as a pivot point. The breakdown is also supported by a clear bearish RSI divergence, where price made higher highs while RSI formed lower highs, indicating weakening momentum. Currently, the RSI sits at around 32.47, approaching oversold territory but not yet showing signs of bullish reversal. If the current support zone fails to hold, we could see further downside pressure, potentially driving the pair toward the next major support region near 0.548–0.540. On the other hand, if buyers step in and absorb the sell-off at these levels, a relief bounce toward the broken trendline or the 200 EMA could be expected — though such a move may face strong resistance.
Short
by unichartz
EUR/GBP (1H) – Rising Wedge Breakdown & Short Trade Setup1. Overview of Market Structure The EUR/GBP pair is forming a Rising Wedge Pattern, a well-known bearish reversal formation, which suggests that the current uptrend may soon reverse into a downtrend. The price has been moving within a tightening range, making higher highs and higher lows, but the upward momentum appears to be weakening. A breakdown from this wedge is a strong bearish signal, indicating that sellers are gaining control, and a significant price drop is expected. 2. Chart Pattern: Rising Wedge – Bearish Reversal A Rising Wedge is a pattern that occurs when price moves upward within a contracting range. This pattern typically forms after an uptrend and suggests that bullish momentum is slowing down. Characteristics of the Rising Wedge in This Chart: The price has tested the upper resistance zone multiple times, but each attempt has resulted in a rejection. The lower support trendline has been tested frequently, showing that buyers are losing strength. The breakdown of the wedge signals a strong bearish move, with price expected to drop toward key support levels. This pattern becomes valid once the price breaks below the lower trendline, confirming the bearish outlook. 3. Key Technical Levels & Zones A. Resistance Zone (0.84853) – Strong Supply Area Marked as a Resistance Zone, where price has struggled to break through. Sellers have stepped in around this level multiple times, preventing any further bullish movement. Acts as a major stop-loss level for bearish trades, as a breakout above this zone could invalidate the setup. B. Support Zones (Potential Take-Profit Targets) 1st Support Level (TP1) – 0.82539 This level has previously acted as strong support, where buyers have entered the market before. A short-term pullback or consolidation may occur here. 2nd Support Level (TP2) – 0.81332 This is the final bearish target, marking a key demand zone from where price has bounced in the past. If bearish momentum continues, price could reach this level, making it an ideal take-profit zone for swing traders. 4. Trading Strategy & Execution A. Entry Strategy A short trade is ideal after the price breaks below the rising wedge pattern. There are two possible entries: Aggressive Entry: Enter immediately after the breakout of the lower trendline, anticipating strong downside momentum. Higher risk as price might retest the trendline before moving down. Conservative Entry: Wait for a retest of the broken trendline before entering short. This confirms the breakdown, reducing false breakout risks. B. Stop-Loss Placement Stop-loss should be placed just above the resistance zone (0.84853). This prevents being stopped out by minor pullbacks before the actual move happens. C. Take-Profit Targets TP1: 0.82539 (First major support level – potential profit booking area) TP2: 0.81332 (Final bearish target – strong demand zone) 5. Risk Management & Trade Management Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR) This trade offers a high RRR, making it an attractive setup. The stop-loss is small compared to the potential downside move. Trailing Stop Strategy A trailing stop can be used to lock in profits as price moves lower. If price reaches TP1, move stop-loss to breakeven to secure capital. If price reaches TP2, close the trade for maximum profit. Exit Strategy Exit early if price fails to break key support zones. Monitor price action around TP1 & TP2 for signs of reversal. 6. Sentiment Analysis & Market Context Bearish Confirmation: Breakdown from the wedge signals bearish sentiment in the market. If price fails to sustain above support zones, further downside is likely. News & Fundamentals: Major economic events or interest rate decisions could impact EUR/GBP volatility. Traders should check for UK & Eurozone news before entering the trade. 7. Conclusion – Bearish Outlook The Rising Wedge breakdown is a strong short-selling opportunity. Confirmation is key: Enter short after the breakdown, use proper risk management, and aim for TP1 & TP2. If price invalidates the pattern by breaking above 0.84853, the trade setup should be reconsidered. This setup provides a high-probability bearish trade with a well-defined stop-loss and risk-to-reward ratio.
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
JPY/USD – Rising Wedge Breakdown & Bearish Trading Setup1. Market Structure & Technical Pattern: The Japanese Yen (JPY) against the U.S. Dollar (USD) has been exhibiting a clear Rising Wedge Pattern over the past few months. This is a classic bearish reversal pattern, indicating that buying momentum is gradually weakening, and a strong decline is likely to follow. Formation of the Rising Wedge: The price has been making higher highs and higher lows, confined within two converging trendlines (black lines). The lower boundary (support trendline) has been consistently acting as a dynamic support level. The upper boundary (resistance trendline) has been limiting further upward movement, indicating exhaustion of buying pressure. Breakout Confirmation: The price action tested the resistance zone multiple times but failed to sustain bullish momentum. A strong rejection from the upper resistance level led to a sharp sell-off, causing a breakdown of the support trendline. Once the price broke below the wedge, selling pressure intensified, confirming the trend reversal. 2. Key Technical Levels & Zones: Resistance Level (0.006895): The price previously struggled to break above this resistance zone, forming a strong supply area where sellers dominated. This level aligns with the upper boundary of the rising wedge, making it a significant turning point. The rejection from this zone initiated the bearish breakdown. Support Level (Broken – 0.006650): This level acted as a strong demand zone, preventing further downside movement during the wedge formation. However, once the price broke below this level, it confirmed the end of the uptrend and the beginning of a downtrend. This level may now act as a new resistance (role reversal principle). Stop Loss Placement (Above 0.006895): A logical stop-loss is placed just above the resistance level to protect against a potential invalidation of the bearish setup. If the price closes above this level, the bearish thesis would be invalidated. 3. Trading Execution & Risk Management: Sell Entry Strategy: Traders looking for short positions should enter after a confirmed break below the wedge’s support. A potential pullback (retest) to the broken trendline could offer an additional shorting opportunity. The retest would confirm the previous support turning into resistance before a continuation of the downtrend. Take Profit Targets (TP1 & TP2): TP1 (0.006481): This level represents a strong demand zone where short-term buyers may step in. Traders may choose to book partial profits here. TP2 (0.006251): This is a deeper support level and the final target for this trade setup. If the price sustains bearish momentum, it is likely to reach this level before stabilizing. Risk-to-Reward Ratio Consideration: This setup offers a high probability short trade with an attractive risk-to-reward ratio. The stop-loss is well-defined, minimizing potential losses while maximizing profit potential. 4. Expected Price Movement & Projection: Short-term Outlook: A possible pullback to the broken wedge (previous support now acting as resistance) before continuation lower. If the price retests and rejects the 0.006650 level, expect acceleration in the downtrend. Medium-term Outlook: If the price reaches TP1 (0.006481) and breaks below, it increases the probability of hitting TP2 (0.006251). A bearish trend continuation could form, potentially leading to further downside levels. Invalidation Scenario: If the price closes above the stop-loss level (0.006895), the bearish setup is invalidated, and a bullish breakout could follow instead. 5. Conclusion & Trading Plan: The rising wedge breakdown signals a shift from bullish to bearish market sentiment. Traders should look for short entries after a confirmed breakdown or wait for a pullback before executing trades. The risk-to-reward ratio makes this a strong high-probability trade setup. Following the plan with strict stop-loss placement ensures risk is controlled while maximizing profit potential. 6. Summary & Key Takeaways: ✅ Pattern: Rising Wedge (Bearish Reversal) ✅ Breakout Direction: Downside ✅ Resistance Level: 0.006895 ✅ Support Levels: 0.006650 (broken), 0.006481 (TP1), 0.006251 (TP2) ✅ Stop-Loss Placement: Above 0.006895 ✅ Profit Targets: TP1 – 0.006481, TP2 – 0.006251 ✅ Trade Bias: Bearish
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
Gold (XAU/USD) – Rising Wedge Breakdown & Bearish SetupOverview Gold (XAU/USD) has been in a strong uptrend, making consistent higher highs and higher lows. However, the price action has formed a Rising Wedge Pattern, which is typically a bearish reversal formation. This pattern suggests that the bullish momentum is weakening, and a potential sell-off could follow. The recent breakdown of the wedge structure confirms the bearish bias, and sellers are now in control. Based on price action analysis, we can anticipate further downside movement toward key support levels. 📊 Technical Analysis – Rising Wedge Breakdown 1️⃣ Understanding the Rising Wedge Pattern The Rising Wedge is a bearish pattern that occurs when the price consolidates within an upward-sloping channel but shows signs of exhaustion. Here’s how it developed: Higher Highs & Higher Lows: The price consistently formed higher peaks and troughs, indicating an uptrend. Declining Bullish Momentum: As the wedge progressed, price action became increasingly squeezed, showing reduced bullish strength. Breakout Confirmation: Once the lower trendline of the wedge was breached, it confirmed that buyers were losing control and that sellers had stepped in. 2️⃣ Key Levels & Market Structure 🔵 Resistance Level: The upper boundary of the wedge around $3,150 - $3,163 acted as a supply zone, where sellers pushed prices lower. 🟠 Support Level: The lower boundary of the wedge, around $3,100 - $3,120, initially provided demand but eventually failed to hold. 🔻 Breakdown Confirmation: The price broke below the wedge, which is a strong bearish signal. 🎯 Trade Setup & Strategy 3️⃣ Bearish Trading Plan Given the breakdown of the wedge pattern, the setup favors a short (sell) trade. Here’s how to approach it: 📉 Sell Entry: The ideal short position is initiated after a confirmed break of the wedge’s support level. 📍 Stop Loss (SL): A tight stop-loss is placed above the previous resistance at $3,163.67, ensuring risk is controlled if the trade goes against the bias. 🎯 Take Profit (TP) Targets: TP 1: $3,080.66 – First major support level, where buyers might step in temporarily. TP 2: $3,057.33 – Extended downside target, offering a greater risk-to-reward ratio. 4️⃣ Additional Price Expectations Retest of the Wedge Breakdown: The price may pull back to the broken wedge support before continuing downward. Stronger Bearish Momentum: If selling pressure remains strong, price could fall even lower, breaking TP 2. Invalidation Level: If price climbs above $3,163, the wedge breakdown would be invalidated, signaling that bulls have regained control. 📌 Conclusion & Market Sentiment 🔹 Rising Wedge Breakdown Signals Further Downside – The market structure suggests that sellers are gaining control. 🔹 Sell Setup with Risk-Managed Approach – With a defined stop-loss and two profit targets, this trade offers a favorable risk-to-reward setup. 🔹 Gold’s Short-Term Bearish Outlook – The chart confirms a potential correction, and price may drop towards $3,080 and $3,057 if the bearish momentum continues. 📊 Final Thought: This is a high-probability short trade based on classic technical analysis. Traders should monitor for confirmation retests and manage risk accordingly. ✅ Would you like any refinements or additional insights? 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Reversal? Rising Wedge Breakdown Signals Sell! The chart suggests a potential bearish move after a rising wedge pattern breakdown. Key Observations: Rising Wedge Breakdown: BTC formed a rising wedge, which is a bearish reversal pattern. The price has broken down from this wedge, indicating a potential downtrend. Support and Resistance Levels: Resistance Zone: Around $88,188 – $88,792, marked as a key level where selling pressure may increase. Support Zone: Around $85,368 – $84,226, where buyers may step in. Target: $81,429 – $81,258, a strong support level where price could drop. Bearish Setup: The chart suggests a sell opportunity near resistance, expecting a downward move toward the target zone. Trading Idea: Entry: Sell near $88,000 after confirmation. Target: $81,429 – $81,258 (support zone). Stop-Loss: Above $89,991 (resistance zone). This setup suggests Bitcoin could decline further, making it a potential short trade opportunity. However, traders should watch for confirmation and overall market sentiment before executing trades.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by PIPsOptimizer
Silver (XAG/USD) Rising Wedge Breakdown – Bearish SetupMarket Overview & Context Silver (XAG/USD) has been in a strong uptrend, forming higher highs and higher lows over the past few weeks. However, recent price action suggests a potential shift in momentum as a bearish Rising Wedge pattern emerges. This technical pattern often signals a possible trend reversal or correction. This analysis focuses on a 4-hour (H4) chart, which provides a medium-term perspective for traders. The market has recently encountered a strong resistance zone, and multiple price rejections indicate a potential downward move. Chart Pattern: Rising Wedge Formation The Rising Wedge is a bearish reversal pattern that occurs when the price moves higher within two converging trendlines. This structure suggests that while buyers are still in control, their momentum is weakening. Key Characteristics of the Rising Wedge in This Chart: Uptrend with Weakening Momentum: The price has been rising, but the higher highs are becoming less aggressive. The slope of the highs is flatter compared to the lows, which indicates declining bullish strength. Converging Trendlines: The price is getting squeezed between support and resistance. This tightening range typically precedes a breakout, with a higher probability of a bearish breakdown. Bearish Implications: A breakdown below the wedge’s lower trendline confirms bearish sentiment. The price could drop sharply toward the next major support level if sellers gain control. Key Technical Levels & Trading Strategy 1️⃣ Resistance Zone (Supply Area) – $34.50 to $34.60 The price has repeatedly tested but failed to break above this zone. This confirms that sellers are active in this area, leading to multiple rejections. A strong supply zone, making it an ideal stop-loss placement for short trades. 2️⃣ Support Level (Demand Area) – $30.50 to $30.60 This level has acted as major support in previous price action. If the breakdown occurs, this is the primary downside target for sellers. 3️⃣ Stop Loss – $34.61 Positioned just above resistance to minimize risk exposure. Ensures that if price moves against the trade, losses are contained. Trading Plan & Execution 📉 Short (Sell) Setup – Bearish Breakdown Expected ✅ Entry: A confirmed breakout below the rising wedge’s support trendline (~$33.50 - $33.80). ✅ Stop Loss: Placed slightly above $34.61, ensuring risk control. ✅ Target: $30.56, aligning with previous support zones and technical projections. Risk-Reward Analysis Entry at breakdown (~$33.50) Stop loss (~$34.61) – Risk: ~1.1 points Target (~$30.56) – Reward: ~2.9 points Risk-to-Reward Ratio: ~1:3, making this a highly favorable short setup. Confirmation Signals to Watch Before Entering a Trade 📉 Break and Retest of Support as Resistance If price breaks below wedge support and retests it as new resistance, it strengthens the bearish case. 📉 Volume Spike on Breakdown A sharp increase in volume when breaking support confirms strong selling pressure. 📉 RSI Divergence (Bearish Signal) If the Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows lower highs while the price makes higher highs, it suggests momentum weakness and a pending breakdown. Potential Trading Scenarios 📌 Bearish Scenario (High Probability) – Breakdown Confirmation If the price breaks below the wedge’s lower trendline and closes below $33.50, it will likely accelerate downward toward $30.56. Traders should enter short positions and hold for the target while managing risk with stop-loss levels. 📌 Bullish Scenario (Low Probability) – Invalidating the Pattern If the price breaks above $34.60 and holds, the rising wedge pattern is invalidated. This would signal continued bullish strength, and traders should avoid short positions. Conclusion & Final Thoughts ✅ The Rising Wedge Pattern suggests a potential bearish reversal in Silver (XAG/USD). ✅ If the price breaks the lower trendline, a drop toward $30.56 is highly probable. ✅ Traders should wait for confirmation signals before entering a trade. ✅ Risk management is crucial, with a stop-loss above $34.61 to minimize exposure. 🔹 This setup presents a strong risk-to-reward opportunity, making it ideal for traders seeking short positions in Silver.
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
XAUUSD Bearish Breakdown: Riding the Rising Wedge to Profit1. Chart Pattern: Rising Wedge (Bearish Reversal) The Rising Wedge is a technical pattern that occurs when price makes higher highs and higher lows within converging trendlines. This pattern is considered bearish, as it usually precedes a breakdown when price fails to sustain the higher levels. The pattern is clearly visible as price moves within two upward-sloping black trendlines. The narrowing range suggests that buying pressure is weakening, and sellers are gaining control. A confirmed breakdown occurs when price breaks below the lower trendline, indicating potential further downside. 2. Key Technical Levels Resistance Level (Highlighted in Beige, Top Box) This area represents a strong supply zone where price has struggled to move higher. Each time the price reaches this level, selling pressure increases, pushing the price lower. The chart labels this as the Resistance Level, suggesting a potential reversal zone. Support Level (Highlighted in Beige, Lower Box) This is the previous demand zone, where price has rebounded multiple times. Once price reaches this level, buyers may attempt to push it higher. However, if this level fails to hold after the breakdown, further downside is expected. Stop Loss Level (~3,150) The stop loss is placed just above the recent highs. If price moves beyond this level, it would invalidate the bearish setup. Traders use stop losses to limit risk in case the market moves against the position. Target Level (~3,080) This is the projected downside target based on the height of the wedge. A measured move (calculated from the highest to the lowest point of the wedge) aligns with this target. It represents a potential 1.78% decline from the breakdown level. 3. Price Action & Trade Setup Breakout Confirmation: The price broke below the lower trendline, confirming a wedge breakdown. The bearish momentum suggests sellers are in control. Entry Zone: A good short-selling opportunity is identified after the breakdown and potential retest of the lower trendline. Risk Management: Stop loss at 3,150 (above resistance). Profit target at 3,080 (expected support). This gives a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. 4. Market Psychology Behind the Pattern Rising Wedge Psychology: The pattern forms as buyers push price higher, but each new high has weaker momentum. Eventually, selling pressure outweighs buying interest, leading to a breakdown. Resistance & Support Psychology: The resistance area acts as a supply zone where big traders sell their positions. The support zone may hold temporarily, but if it breaks, panic selling could accelerate the decline. 5. Possible Scenarios After the Breakdown Bearish Case (Most Likely Outcome) Price continues downward after breakdown. It reaches the 3,080 target with increased selling momentum. Confirmation of a bearish reversal pattern. Bullish Case (Invalidation of Setup) Price reclaims the wedge and moves back above resistance. It invalidates the bearish breakdown, stopping out sellers. A potential bullish continuation toward new highs. Final Thoughts This chart presents a high-probability short trade based on the Rising Wedge breakdown and resistance rejection. Traders can manage risk by setting a tight stop loss above resistance while aiming for a target at the next key support zone. The pattern suggests a bearish sentiment in the short term, favoring sell setups over buying opportunities. Would you like me to add further insights, such as Fibonacci levels or RSI analysis, to strengthen the trade idea? 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades