FXCM's USD index, USDOLLAR, has moved into clear risk-off mode. The left chart shows the daily time frame. The index has rejected off of the black 20-day SMA and is moving down. Moreover, the SMA is starting to turn lower, whilst the RSI is also below 50 (blue rectangle) and is suggestive of a bearish momentum. The right chart shows the hourly time frame. Here,...
The left chart show's the daily chart of FXCM's dollar index, USDOLLAR. The instrument is holding support at the black 50-day moving average. The RSI is also looking to cross above 50, which is the bullish side of the oscillator. The right chart shows the hourly time frame. Here the RSI is already bullish and if the EMAs start moving upwards (green ellipse), the...
Sell AUDUSD, expecting AUD weakness ahead in the coming weeks. Current risk sentiment and haltering economics could harm the aussie.
Here a good time to update the EURCHF as we break through the 1.062x lows as sellers are aiming for complete capitulation of their opponent (as far as the flash crash is concerned there is very little in terms of support here if we get a daily breach). The plan was (1) Forcing further selling EURCHF: (2) The extension leg was released and sellers advanced in...
In today’s market insights video recording, I talk about EURGBP and AUDJPY FX Minors. Euro is affected by a report that a phase-1 deal is highly unlikely by the end of this year as the Chinese want rollbacks pushed to May 2020 and the US Congress just passed a bill supporting Hong Kong protesters; going against China again!? Safe-haven flows were also increasing...
Hello all - DuncanForex.com here with another trade idea As per my Gold short trade - I think USDJPY is ready to head a lot higher. (see related trade below) On the monthly chart it printed an amazing pin bar (back in Jan) It is now at the 61.8% retrace level (just under it by about -60 pips (on a weekly chart) I think this could head up to 115 level easily...
Risk-off prevails as trade war intensifies. Stocks are falling and Yen demand is high. USD/JPY corrected upward early morning and touched its daily Cloud resistance to resume fall. Pair can fall towards 109 as long as it is below 110.30 area.
Revisiting our Chart of the Day from Tuesday, where we took a look at the safe haven asset of Gold. On Tuesday we were seeing Gold catching a bid and trading higher on the back of a softer dollar and investors cycling out of riskier assets and aligning themselves with the risk-off assets. We discussed the longer-term setup of the head & shoulders pattern...
As the American stock market likely continues it's decline, what I'm seeing here makes perfect sense to me.
Those who have been following our commentary on Gold will have known 1180-1220 was our initial entry for longs when the position was anti-consensus. Once it started working we released the idea of longs towards 1345 and finally we are here after 14 weeks. Expecting a large retrace here as bulls unwind their positions and book profits, we have an opportunity to...
For those who have been following our previous idea (see related posts) you will already know we have been tracking this leg to the upside since 1200. We are finally starting to run out of steam for this initial leg and it is time to start looking for positions on the retrace. Initially we attempted shorting this before the market ran away without us. So in this...
For those who have been following our previous idea (see related posts) you will already know we have been tracking this leg to the upside since 1200. We are finally starting to run out of steam for this initial leg and it is time to start looking for positions on the retrace. => Inflation will begin to return in parts of the world later in the year (homemade)...
Hello traders! Today we will talk about Risk-Off mode over NIKKEI225 and USDJPY, where we see a tight positive correlation! As you can see, the main driver for the USDJPY sell-off was NIKKEI225, which may continue later this week, since we have seen an impulsive five-wave decline. In EW theory, after every five waves, a three-wave pullback follows and we can...
The Yen continues to underperform all major pairs, including the Dollar. Yen weakness rather than Dollar strength is currently responsible for the gains that the Dollar has made, retracing some 700 pips off of the March lows. and, more recently, 230 pips off the August low. Technically we're looking at a potential alternative cypher pattern, though I make almost...
The Senate majority leader Mitch McConnell is making contingency plans for the growing possibility of a government shutdown ( www.fxstreet.com ). The RSI momentum indicator is starting to show a bearish divergence, after the "S&P 500" had reached my previous long target at 2800 points. Due to the uncertainty regarding the outcome of a government shutdown are...
Look, its hard to recommend shorting something which you are long-term bullish. But given the current geopolitical situation happening around (I'm talking about the ousting of royals in Saudi Arabia over the weekend) and Kuroda's affirmation that there will not be any stimulus coming, we can expect the pair to move down lower. Do also note that the pair is also a...
Sold this pair like AUDJPY with TP1 and TP2 at S4 and S5 pivot lines respectively, and a conservative SL between S2 and S3. Daily: Weekly: Confidence: A