riskoff

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vietbach1990 vietbach1990 USDJPY, 60, Short ,
USDJPY: North Korea - Risk Off trade over weekend
87 0 4
USDJPY, 60 Short
North Korea - Risk Off trade over weekend

Tomorrow is North Korea national day and whether or not they will launch another missile is unknown (and if they do Trump will do something just about as stupid). I'm betting there will be some retreat to Risk off asset such as the JPY. The tricky thing is which pair to pick. I've already had exposure to NZD short and CAD long. My rationale is if there is ...

vietbach1990 vietbach1990 USDJPY, 60,
USDJPY: USDJPY - Risk Off Pure Play Trade (Missed Opportunity)
55 0 2
USDJPY, 60
USDJPY - Risk Off Pure Play Trade (Missed Opportunity)

There is not much news coming out of JPY so I kind of ignore the currency coming into the week. However early Monday, with the Korea missile launch I knew JPY should be bought but did not take much action. In this case, the best risk-off play is to pair JPY with a risk currency that is expected to be weak (in this case USD as AUD, CAD, EUR is expected to have ...

priyesh priyesh PRO EURGBP, D, Long ,
EURGBP: EURGBP: Is Parity Inevitable
50 0 2
EURGBP, D Long
EURGBP: Is Parity Inevitable

EURGBP Daily – Is Parity Inevitable? Earlier today the Euro broke the psychological $1.200 handle for the first time in 2 years whilst and it is now heading towards an all time high against the British Pound. At the start of the year, analysts had predicted further weakening for the Euro. We are now at the end of August and those predictions could not have been ...

tizianob tizianob NZDCHF, D, Short ,
NZDCHF: NZDCHF boost it's movement
16 0 5
NZDCHF, D Short
NZDCHF boost it's movement

NZD was one of the best looser in August and the market pressure in short direction still very high. CHF benefit from RISKOFF moment NZDCHF will fall soon

Kevinsem Kevinsem NZDUSD, 240, Short ,
NZDUSD: NZDUSD Short Sell Limit 4 HR
27 0 2
NZDUSD, 240 Short
NZDUSD Short Sell Limit 4 HR

My position was triggered during the night and I'm looking to add more into my positions at the .73 Psychological Resistance Level and I moved my stop loss to break even. keeping the same risk as but looking to add more profits if the retracement plays out properly.

basquefxb1 basquefxb1 PRO AUDJPY, 15, Short ,
AUDJPY: AUDJPY - Elliot Wave Attempt
43 0 5
AUDJPY, 15 Short
AUDJPY - Elliot Wave Attempt

I am reading a book on Elliot Wave and am trying my hand at it. So we have the formation of a wave 1 that I drew a Fibonacci retracement on. The wave 1 has ended and appears to be in a triangle corrective formation that is reaching a point. By my analysis the wave should then break down into a 3 wave that is of more or less the same length as wave 1. The red line ...

fxlivedaytrading fxlivedaytrading PRO EURAUD, W, Long ,
EURAUD: eur/aud going long as we see risk off coming into markets.
28 0 3
EURAUD, W Long
eur/aud going long as we see risk off coming into markets.

Im choosing this pair to go long as we see risk off today in markets, stop is tight.

HouTianTan HouTianTan USDJPY, 60, Short ,
USDJPY: USDJPY Weakness Technical/Fundamental Play
66 0 5
USDJPY, 60 Short
USDJPY Weakness Technical/Fundamental Play

Mentioned in the previous post, there was an inherent weakness in the dollar-yen due to its price action around 113.22. While the pair rallied up to 113.35 prior to Asia opening, a huge wave of sell orders sent the pair tumbling. While we saw a potential short opportunity last evening (Singapore Time) on technical basis, the confirmation of North Korea's ICBM by ...

OutsideTheBoxHK OutsideTheBoxHK NZDUSD, M, Short ,
NZDUSD: NZDUSD short -- weekly and monthly -- LONG TERM downside Targets
203 2 5
NZDUSD, M Short
NZDUSD short -- weekly and monthly -- LONG TERM downside Targets

Prepare for a LARGE weekly and monthly move down on FX_IDC:NZDUSD (or any risk pair) as we've now corrected larger double top down thru Monthly 100EMA and then re-tested as resistance. Ichimoku Cloud on monthly also says lower by end of June and July. SL 0.7450 TP1 0,5760 TP2 0.4910 Please come find me if you need extra service. I aim to please!

SimpleMillennialAverage SimpleMillennialAverage USDJPY, 240, Short ,
USDJPY: USDJPY Epic Descending Triangle Breakdown Imminent
340 2 15
USDJPY, 240 Short
USDJPY Epic Descending Triangle Breakdown Imminent

OANDA:USDJPY has consolidated for a few days already and failed to retake the 112 level. With a series of lower highs, the supply resistance level is slowly going down to meet with the Weekly 200MA support. Its possible it might find support at the Daily 200MA level as it was able bounce off it from the previous downleg. In my opinion it might still test the ...

SimpleMillennialAverage SimpleMillennialAverage USDJPY, D, Short ,
USDJPY: USDJPY Between 200MAs and a broken channel April 17-21
438 0 19
USDJPY, D Short
USDJPY Between 200MAs and a broken channel April 17-21

OANDA:USDJPY just had a breakdown not only breaking the weekly 200MA but also the lower support channel but nothing goes in one direction in the markets so I expect a pullback before another move downwards. The price is currently between the daily and weekly 200MA so I expect sideways action with a slight bullish bias in the short term. It will be Daily ...

kazmarckcapital kazmarckcapital GBPJPY, 60, Short ,
GBPJPY: GBPJPY Update - Short
49 0 4
GBPJPY, 60 Short
GBPJPY Update - Short

3/22 Update: Failed breakout higher led to a reversal as risk-off took control of the markets yesterday. Continuation is very likely in equities today as well as a stronger yen (risk aversion). Entries between 138.60 and 139.00. The trend has been broken so this should lead to some strong selling pressure.

glennmercer glennmercer PRO NZDJPY, 30, Short ,
NZDJPY: NZDJPY Wave Count:  Technical + Fundamental Analysis
292 4 20
NZDJPY, 30 Short
NZDJPY Wave Count: Technical + Fundamental Analysis

After this bearish impulse, it is likely that if the entry level is taken out we may see further downside. The EW count suggests the same. Also, with the inauguration occurring today, there is a possibility for a "risk off" economic environment to take the reigns which would mean a drop in riskier currencies like the kiwi and a rise in the safer yen. Cheers

IvanLabrie IvanLabrie PRO XAGUSD, D, Long ,
XAGUSD: Short term risk off move starting?
422 2 19
XAGUSD, D Long
Short term risk off move starting?

I think we'll see some kind of retracement in the massive trends we had in place accross the board. Overall, I'm looking to buy weakness in the dollar in the long term, and looking for good value stocks, shorting overvalued stocks if needed, but rarely, and navigating the main trends in commodities. Metals look poised to rally with bonds here, at least in the ...

Kaustubh Kaustubh XAUUSD, D, Long ,
XAUUSD: Gold primed for a leg up
65 0 6
XAUUSD, D Long
Gold primed for a leg up

See the chart. Gold is good buy right now. Also check out my other posts to see the context and bigger picture

Kaustubh Kaustubh USDJPY, W, Short ,
USDJPY: USDPY and Risk on in general
126 0 7
USDJPY, W Short
USDPY and Risk on in general

Trump trade has had a beautiful run so far. No complains. Was needed. It looks to be aging now though. Would be smart to book profits if you are already in there. The honeymoon period would be over when the president-elect becomes the president. Or likely before that. If this holds, naturally, all risk on assets should go down. Spx ( See my recent post) would be ...

luiggih luiggih AXTI, 30,
AXTI: AXTI BULLISH RALLY TOMORROW
19 0 2
AXTI, 30
AXTI BULLISH RALLY TOMORROW

After the results we can expect a new years high. gl

IvanLabrie IvanLabrie PRO CHFCAD, D, Long ,
CHFCAD: CHFCAD: Risk off long idea
123 2 20
CHFCAD, D Long
CHFCAD: Risk off long idea

We have a nice setup in this pair (which you can trade shorting CADCHF as well). CHFCAD is at the bottom of the trading range here and is likely to return to the yearly moving average above. I'll be entering longs, after today's daily close, if we break the daily high. Stop loss has to be under today's low plus 1 tick to be safe. Risk 0.5-1% on this position and ...

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