BTC Holding above the 200MA on the daily is a good sign of a reversal in market sentiment. This is signaling rebound. Additionally, BTC has started a 9-day setup on the green one candle after breaking out of an ascending triangle pattern. Happy trading. ~J This is not advice. I don't need to be right or wrong. I don't care if the market goes up or down....
The Aussie Dollar experienced strength throughout 2017 against its US counterpart with a strong rally to finish the year before forming a double top last week. Over the past week, AUDUSD has fallen almost 2%, following a CPI miss in Australia and a positive earnings report in the United States. Is this a sign of things to come for the remainder of 2018 or will...
Rationale for Bearish Dollar : Eventhough the Federal Reserve hike the interest rate (was fully priced in by the way prior the hike), Yellen's concerns on Inflation pushed the dollar down. I am anticipating further weakening of the dollar today. Risk for the trading plan : Dovish tone from ECB Draghi later today.
USD Bullish Rationale : 1. Optimism tax reform bill 2. It's been said that the market have fully priced in December interest rate hike but this "certainty" seems to ease investors in betting Dollar strength at the moment 3. Personally, I see no reason as of now to be bearish the dollar CAD Bearish Rationale : 1. I am expecting the effect of Dovish CAD...
USD Bullish Rationale : 1. Optimism tax reform bill 2. It's been said that the market have fully priced in December interest rate hike but this "certainty" seems to ease investors in betting Dollar strength at the moment 3. Personally, I see no reason as of now to be bearish the dollar GBP Bearish Rationale : 1. Continued uncertainty and MESS over the...
So BOC, despite of the positive economic data past few months, remained "cautious" about them stepping off the gas even further (aka raising interest rates). It took me several seconds to speed read the statement, digest it, intepret it and make an actionable plan based on that information. At the time, I thought it was pretty dovish, not VERY dovish.. but dovish...
As long as the uncertainty over Brexit divorce deals and irish border remains, I will be bullish on the sterling overall. A hawkish tone from BOC later today could be a major catalyst for this pair to move lower. A positive development on the brexit issue and a dovish tone from BOC later are the major risks for this trading plan.
BOC Rate later today. Market expects the BOC to hold the rate today but a least dovish or hawkish statement are expected later after series of positive economic data for Canada. BOJ as we all know is still deep in their easing zone. If BOC reveal they are planning to raise interest rate in the future, then Boom.. thats as much diverged as it could get in terms of...
I am still banking on market's risk averse tone towards the U.K due to the Brexit divorce bill & Irish Border issue. I am not sure if the news of multiple attempts on UK PM May's life will weigh down the sterling but the Asian Equities market have been risk averse so far today (it it UK PM May's assasination attempt story or Trump's upcoming announcement of...
The rationale for this trade is pretty straightforward : The headline of no deal was made yesterday and more political uncertainty surrounding the United Kingdom. No monetary policy issues is in focus right now to help the sterling at the moment as well (today). Equities market in Asian session is a bit in a selloff (Risk Off Tone) gives slight safe haven inflow...
You can read my EURUSD plan. Same reason why I am shorting USDJPY.
Actually there are no clear theme/sentiment today (no fresh news on Eurozone side i.e German Coalition, Monetary Policy worries or confidence, anything on QE?, anything on inflation, U.S Tax Reform mania have faded.. what now?) so I go back to the "bigger picture" right now : 1. Eurozone is in economic growth (bullish for EUR) 2. They tapered the QE and thats an...
Reference : A : I made a call that if a report comes out that says a deal have been made or any sort of progress, then Sterling was a currency I would buy against the Yen. I made a intraday target around 152.996 (it's 153.00 really..) B : Report came out that a good progress was made and the Sterling rallied. ( www.forexlive.com ). GBPJPY barely tested the...
The tax reform potentially will be the major theme for the dollar today. Even if price goes all the way to Friday's high, I will see that as technical correction before investors buying the dollar again. A break beyond that will invalidate my trading plans. The rationale for "bearish" the Euro today is the lack of fresh news/catalyst for the Euro currency. Risk...
Refer to my EURUSD trading plan for my rationale to be bullish the Dollar.
The rationale for this trade is to take advantage of the vanishing Australian Yield spread, the slowing growth, the expectancy of holding the interest rates by the RBA tomorrow.. thats my bearish rational for the Australian Dollar. My bullish rationale for the USD is ofcourse the tax reform news. Risk for this trade to be nullified (for the dollar) is as...
I am looking at Market pricing in the Brexit talk at 1.3500. Rationale for bearish USD (I am actually neutral USD today) is market waiting for a development on Tax Reform debate.