BTC 87K LOWS ARE VITAL FOR THE BULLS NOWMorning folks,
So, the pullback that we discussed has happened, although it was a bit deeper - right to ~87.75-88K area, while we were talking about 89-90... anyway, the bounce up happened and currently this 87-87.5K is becoming critical for the bulls.
Downside breakout significantly will increase chances to return back to 80K. But at the same time, it means that it is easy to consider a long position. If you think about it - you can buy at some pullback against 87.5 lows.
If you already bought, think about moving stops to breakeven levels.
As our big upside AB=CD pattern is still valid, we keep intact our 96-97K target.
Signals
USDCAD Will Go Higher! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for USDCAD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 1.382.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 1.392 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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EURAUD Will Go Down! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURAUD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 1.756.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.750 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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GOLD ANALYSIS 12/08/20251. Fundamental Analysis:
a) Economy:
- USD:
• The USD continues to weaken due to more dovish comments from the Fed and growing expectations of early rate cuts in 2026.
• U.S. Treasury yields are falling, putting additional pressure on the USD and supporting gold.
- U.S. Stock Market:
• U.S. equities saw a slight correction after a strong rally, mainly due to end-week profit-taking.
• However, the overall trend remains risk-on, preventing gold from breaking out but also limiting the downside.
- Federal Reserve:
• Expectations of 2–3 rate cuts in 2026 are increasing.
• Recent weaker labor data → strengthens the view that the Fed will shift toward easing, supporting gold in the mid-term.
- Trump Administration:
• The Trump administration prioritizes tax cuts and growth stimulus → could temporarily strengthen the USD → short-term negative for gold but positive in the long-term.
• At the same time, unpredictable policies increase geopolitical risks → benefiting gold.
- Gold ETF – SPDR:
• On December 5, SPDR sold 0.33 tons as a test; the probability of continued selling is high → watch out for unexpected drops.
• This is a very important bearish factor, especially while the market is waiting for major news.
b) Politics:
• Tensions in the Middle East continue to escalate step by step → providing support for gold.
• Russia–NATO tensions persist; Ukraine is preparing for winter warfare → adding safe-haven demand.
c) Market Sentiment:
• Slightly risk-on sentiment dominates, but defensive gold buying remains steady.
• Capital is waiting for attractive price zones to buy, after the drop and technical rebound on December 5.
2. Technical Analysis:
- On the 15m timeframe:
• Price is retesting the ascending trendline support + demand zone at 4193.
• RSI is oversold and forming mild bullish divergence, signaling weakening selling pressure.
• Structural expectation: gold may dip one last time before bouncing strongly, fitting a retest-trend pattern.
- Main scenario:
→ Form a bottom around 4193 → move sideways → break 4219 → rise toward 4239–4263 in the next session.
Early buy setups expected tomorrow morning, December 8.
RESISTANCE: 4,219 – 4,239 – 4,263
SUPPORT: 4,193 – 4,174 – 4,163
3. Market Review (Dec 5, 2025):
• Gold dropped sharply by 70 dollars and remained flat at the bottom — something not seen recently.
• RSI oversold but no confirmed reversal signal yet.
• This could be the final move of the downtrend, preparing for accumulation and an upward cycle.
4. Strategy for Today (Dec 8, 2025):
🪙 SELL XAUUSD | 4234 – 4232
SL: 4238
TP1: 4226
TP2: 4220
🪙 BUY XAUUSD | 4168 – 4170
SL: 4164
TP1: 4176
TP2: 4182
Lingrid | GOLD Weekly Analysis: Calm Before the Fed-Driven StormOANDA:XAUUSD price action this week has been a masterclass in consolidation, trading in a tight, choppy range just around $4,200 technical level. This sideways movement is not a sign of weakness but rather a necessary pause after the recent parabolic rally, allowing traders to digest gains and build fresh momentum. The market has found a solid floor at the $4,150 zone, which now acts as a formidable support barrier. Looking ahead, the path of least resistance remains upward; a decisive break above the current congestion zone opens the door for a powerful retest of the all-time high region, with a clear target of $4,285 if bullish conviction returns.
The 4H chart shows the intricate battle between buyers and sellers. We can see a clear sideways move formed within a broad channel, bounded by an ascending support line and a descending resistance line. The presence of a swap zone around $4,150 indicates heavy institutional activity, where large positions are being exchanged, often preceding significant moves. The downward-sloping trendline acts as immediate support; a clean rejection would signal the end of consolidation and the start of the next leg up.
Fundamentally, all eyes are on the upcoming FOMC meeting and the Federal Reserve’s next move on the Federal Funds Rate. Any hint of a prolonged “higher for longer” stance could pressure gold short-term, while dovish signals or acknowledgment of cooling inflation may ignite a breakout. Until then, the market is likely to remain range-bound, as participants refrain from aggressive positioning ahead of the Fed’s guidance. The weekly doji candle underscores this indecision, suggesting that volatility is coiling for a post-statement directional move—most likely to the upside if the Fed softens its rhetoric.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
EUR/USD Is Walking Into a Trap: Liquidity Sweep is coming!Price Action & Structure
The current structure shows a corrective rally unfolding within an ascending channel (green dashed lines).
Price action is printing higher highs without fresh momentum, a typical sign of “distribution during a pullback.”
The market is now trading in the upper half of the channel, approaching a daily premium zone just below 1.1700–1.1750.
Daily RSI sits around 60–65, which aligns with an extended pullback, not the beginning of a true bullish trend.
COT Analysis
EUR Futures (CME)
Large speculators are increasing shorts more aggressively than longs → bearish reading on the euro.
Commercials
Commercial traders are adding longs while reducing shorts.
→ This is classic hedging behavior during extended bullish corrections.
USD Index COT
Non-Commercial:
Positioning shows speculators are covering USD longs, but not turning bullish on the euro.
This suggests a temporary squeeze, not a structural trend reversal.
Retail Sentiment
70% SHORT EUR/USD
30% LONG
Retail traders are heavily short and consistently squeezed during upside moves.
This is a classic setup for a fake bullish rally into premium zones, after which larger players typically reverse price.
EUR/USD Seasonality (December)
December is statistically bullish, with average performance between +0.8% and +1.4%.
Seasonal curves show a rise into mid/late December, followed by:
→ a pullback near month-end
→ a bearish setup after January 3rd (typical early-year USD strength)
Thus, the current rally aligns perfectly with seasonality:
December rally → distribution → January drop.
Conclusion
EUR/USD is completing a structural bullish pullback, not forming a new bullish trend.
The move toward 1.1700–1.1750 looks like:
✔️ a liquidity grab
✔️ seasonal pump
✔️ exhaustion before reversal
Lingrid | EURUSD Trend Continuation Pattern Break Confirmed ?FX:EURUSD perfectly played out my previous trading idea . Price has broken above the descending trendline and the flag formation, confirming renewed bullish momentum within the broader upward channel. Price defended the higher-low area near the channel support and reclaimed the mid-range zone, signaling strong buyer control after consolidation. The structure now favors continuation rather than rejection, with momentum gradually building.
As long as price holds above the 1.1640 support range, buyers remain in control and the pair can rotate higher toward the 1.1700 resistance band. A clean push through this level would open space for further extension along the ascending channel, while shallow pullbacks are likely to be absorbed.
➡️ Primary scenario: structure holds → continuation toward 1.1700.
⚠️ Risk scenario: break below channel exposes a deeper retracement into the lower support zone.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
BTCUSDT.P - December 8, 2025Bitcoin is stabilizing after a prior downside leg and is now trading in a broad consolidation just above the highlighted mid-range support band around 88,500–90,000, with a clearly defined resistance zone at 97,000–98,000. A break and sustained close above that resistance would confirm a bullish continuation toward the projected 105,000–106,000 area, with invalidation below the 93,300 stop region. Conversely, rejection from resistance followed by a loss of the 88,500–90,000 support band would reassert the broader downtrend and open the way for a deeper move toward the lower 80,000s.
Bitcoin – Selling Pressure Rises as the Downtrend FormsHello everyone,
Bitcoin is showing a clear corrective leg on the H4 timeframe after failing to sustain the bounce near 94,000 USD. Price sliced through the closest FVG and retreated back to the 88,500–89,000 USD demand zone, signalling that buyers are present but not strong enough to shift the structure. The overall technical picture now leans towards a short-term bearish trend, with the spike to 96,000 acting merely as a liquidity grab before sellers resumed control.
BTC has already formed a lower high at 94,000 and confirmed a new lower low by breaking the lower FVG, fully activating the short-term downtrend. The Ichimoku cloud has turned red and thickened, creating a strong barrier between 90,500–92,000 that continues to reject every recovery attempt. Buy-side volume also remains noticeably weaker than sell-side activity, reflecting defensive rather than aggressive bidding.
On the fundamental side, Bitcoin remains under pressure as the US Dollar Index (DXY) rebounds and US Treasury yields climb, drawing short-term flows away from crypto. With markets now anticipating NFP and PCE data, caution dominates; historically, BTC tends to soften before major macro releases as traders avoid adding risk.
Let’s see how BTC reacts once the data hits — this move may determine whether the correction deepens or stabilises.
EUR-GBP Free Signal! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EURGBP has tapped into a horizontal demand area after sweeping sell-side liquidity beneath prior lows, forming an SMC accumulation structure that favors a corrective move toward the upper buy-side target.
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Stop Loss: 0.8718
Take Profit: 0.8750
Entry: 0.8734
Time Frame: 6H
--------------------
Buy!
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USD-JPY Bullish Bias! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
USDJPY has tapped into a horizontal demand area after taking sell-side liquidity beneath recent lows, forming an SMC accumulation setup that favors a corrective push toward the next buy-side target above. Time Frame 6H.
Buy!
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NZD-USD Will Fall! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
NZDUSD is reacting from a horizontal supply area after sweeping buy-side liquidity sitting above previous swing highs, forming an SMC distribution setup that favors a corrective move toward the next inefficiency and demand pocket below. Time Frame 5H.
Sell!
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SILVER: Bearish Continuation & Short Trade
SILVER
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell SILVER
Entry - 58.349
Stop - 58.743
Take - 57.644
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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EURUSD | Into The Next WeekLooking for a bullish continuation into the next week for both EURUSD and GBPUSD. Both looking strong.
I have 2 best case possibilities shown on the chart.
we either see a direct move to the upside, will be looking for bullish setups for the rest of the week.
Or we see a small drop first into the lower time frame support, and again a move up.
Let me know what your outlook is on EURUSD!
Stay safe out there and do your own due diligence, this is not investment advise!
EURUSD Early Week Bullish Outlook After Tokyo SweepQuick Summary
EURUSD remains strongly bullish, and the recent corrective decline is healthy for bullish continuation. Price is expected to dip early in the week to sweep the previous Tokyo low and go deeper into the hourly orderblock that aligns with the ascending trendline before resuming its upward move.
Full Analysis
The EURUSD continues to show strong bullish momentum, and the recent pullback is completely in line with a healthy trending market. Despite the strength of the prior upward move, the pair produced a controlled correction
This corrective move is particularly meaningful because price tapped into a clean hourly orderblock that aligns perfectly with an ascending trendline. Such confluence typically provides a strong foundation for buyers, showing that the market structure remains intact and supportive of further upside.
As we head into the new week, the expectation is that EURUSD may continue to dip slightly to sweep the previous Tokyo low. This potential sweep is important because the liquidity resting below that level can act as fuel for the next bullish expansion. Once the liquidity beneath Tokyo is taken, price is likely to react strongly from the same hourly orderblock zone and resume its upward trajectory.
NZDUSD CORRECTION EXPECTED|SHORT|
✅NZDUSD price is reacting from a premium supply zone after engineering buy-side liquidity into the upper range, creating an ICT rejection that shifts short-term order-flow toward the demand block below where discount pricing awaits. Time Frame 6H.
SHORT🔥
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Gold next week Key S/R Levels and Outlook for Traders🔥 GOLD WEEKLY SNAPSHOT — BY PROJECTSYNDICATE
🏆 Swing High / Swing Low
$4,265 → ~$4,164 — clean rejection from the 4,26x breakout zone with a long upper wick, but weekly close still near $4,200, keeping price pinned in the upper part of the broader $4k range.
📈 Trend
Higher-timeframe: Structural bull trend intact while price holds above the $3,940–$4,000 block.
Tactical: Last week’s failed extension above $4,250 and the close back near $4,200 tilt the tape into distributive mode:
Rallies into $4,250 / $4,340 = sell-side liquidity magnets.
Downside liquidity sits lower at $4,075 / $3,940, making upside risk/reward look asymmetric to the downside from current levels.
🛡 Supports – Buy-Side Liquidity / Downside Objectives
$4,130–$4,100:
Short-term intraday pivot where buyers repeatedly stepped in last week; first micro-reaction zone on any flush.
$4,090–$4,075 🟢 Buy-side liquidity #1
First true BSL pocket below the close; ideal TP1 for shorts from above and a spot where responsive dip-buyers are likely to probe.
$4,020–$4,000:
Psychological shelf; loss of 4k would confirm that local distribution is winning and open the deeper BSL run.
$3,960–$3,940 🟢 Buy-side liquidity #2 / structural block
Higher-timeframe demand and key liquidity magnet for a fuller corrective leg. A sustained break/acceptance below $3,940 would signal that the 2025 blow-off is transitioning into broader mean-reversion rather than shallow consolidation.
🚧 Resistances – Sell-Side Liquidity / Short-Side Focus
$4,220–$4,250 🔴 Sell-side liquidity #1
First overhead supply from the prior week’s failed breakout structure and just under recent highs. Clean area for “sell the rip” probes and for late longs to de-risk.
$4,300–$4,340 🔴 Sell-side liquidity #2
Extension / SLI pocket aligned with the upper part of last week’s range and just below the prior $4,38x–$4,40x all-time high band. Ideal for scaling adds if a news-driven squeeze runs stops above 4,250.
Stretch: $4,380–$4,400:
Prior record spike / stop-run area; only expected on a full-on squeeze into the Fed, but a tag here would likely be exhaustion rather than a new sustainable trend leg higher.
🧭 Bias Next Week
Base tactical bias: fade strength / short rallies, not chase upside.
the tape favors a liquidity grab higher → rotation lower scenario:
Look for wicks into $4,220–$4,340 to be sold.
Downside path of least resistance: $4,090–$4,075 → $4,020–$4,000 → $3,960–$3,940.
⚖️ Base Case Scenario
Open/early week:
Price opens near $4,200 and either trades flat or spikes briefly into $4,220–$4,250 on weekend gap/early flow.
Liquidity sweep into resistance:
Rejection from SLI:
Failure to accept above $4,250/4,300 leaves upper wicks on 4H/daily, signaling distribution.
Rotation into BSL:
First objective: $4,090–$4,075 (TP1)
Secondary objective: $4,020–$4,000 (TP2)
Stretch / full flush: $3,960–$3,940 (TP3) into the structural demand block and buy-side liquidity pocket.
🚀 Breakout / Invalidation Trigger
Bearish framework invalidation:
A strong daily/weekly acceptance above $4,380 would imply shorts caught offside and re-open the path toward $4,450+ in line with the higher Street targets for 2026.
In that case, shift from short-the-rip → neutral / buy shallow pullbacks until a new top structure forms.
🔓 Bull / Bear Trigger Lines
Structural bull line:
Above $3,940–$4,000: long-term bull structure remains intact. Even if you’re tactically short, treat deep moves into this area with respect – this is where higher-timeframe players are likely to re-accumulate.
Bear expansion line:
Below $3,940: opens scope for a faster liquidation wave toward $3,880–$3,850 and potentially a broader 2025–26 consolidation phase instead of immediate continuation higher.
🧭 Recommended Strategy – Short at Market Open
⚠️ Illustrative trade plan, not financial advice. Size and risk-manage according to your own rules.
1️⃣ Primary Short – Open + Fade the Rips
Short at/near market open around the $4,195–$4,210 zone if price opens below $4,220 and orderflow confirms rejection of higher bids.
Add / build zones:
Add 1: into $4,220–$4,250 (first SLI band / prior breakout zone).
Add 2 (only if spike): $4,300–$4,340 (second SLI; look for clear blow-off / stop-run behavior before loading the last clip).
Stops / invalidation:
Tactical stop: hard stop above $4,380.
More conservative: soft line at $4,340, hard stop $4,390–$4,400 to allow for intraday wicks.
Targets (aligned with buy-side liquidity):
TP1: $4,090–$4,075 → take partials and reduce risk.
TP2: $4,020–$4,000 → core target for the week if distribution plays out.
TP3: $3,960–$3,940 → full BSL sweep into structural demand; expect responsive buying attempts here.
GOLD RISING TRENDLINE AHEAD|LONG|
✅XAUUSD price is reacting off the rising trendline after sweeping internal sell-side liquidity, creating an ICT-style rejection that signals a bullish draw toward the next buy-side inefficiency above. Continuation is favored as long as the trendline holds. Time Frame 2H.
LONG🚀
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US30 Will Move Lower! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for US30.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 47,967.2.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 46,950.2 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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NZDUSD Is Bearish! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for NZDUSD.
Time Frame: 7h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 0.577.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 0.569 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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NZD-CHF Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
NZDCHF tapped directly into a clean horizontal supply zone, sweeping buy-side liquidity that rested above prior highs. This reaction aligns with SMC premium pricing, where smart money distributes before initiating a corrective move lower.
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Stop Loss: 0.4660
Take Profit: 0.4634
Entry: 0.4646
Time Frame: 10H
--------------------
Sell!
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EURUSD FREE SIGNAL|LONG|
✅EURUSD dipped into a bullish retracement after drawing sell-side liquidity beneath the rising trendline, then rejected sharply, signaling a shift back toward premium and drawing price toward the buy-side liquidity above recent highs.
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Entry: 1.1640
Stop Loss: 1.1626
Take Profit: 1.1664
Time Frame: 4H
—————————
LONG🚀
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BTCUSDT.P - December 7, 2025Price is consolidating in a sideways range after a sharp prior decline, forming an ascending triangle-style squeeze against short-term resistance around 90,300–90,500. A break and sustained hold above this ceiling would likely trigger a continuation move toward the higher resistance band near 92,200–92,400, aligning with the marked long scenario. Failure to clear resistance followed by a break of the rising trendline and support near 89,200–89,300 would favor the short scenario, exposing the lower support zone around 87,300–87,600.






















