Sine Wave

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Sine Wave

The Sine Wave is a technical analysis tool based on advanced mathematics that indicates if a market is trending or in a cycle mode. It helps traders identify the start and finish of a trending move as well as possible shifts in the trend. This leading indicator is also called the MESA indicator and was developed by John Ehlers based on an algorithm, that was originally applied to digital signal processing. It consists of 2 lines, called the Sine Wave and the Lead Wave. When the price is trending, the lines do not cross and usually run parallel and distant from each other.

Crossovers between these lines could signal turning points and generate buy or sell signals under the right conditions. The indicator can also signal if a market is overbought or oversold (meaning the price is unjustifiably high or unjustifiably low), which could point to a stalling or reversal of the trend. Whether used alone or in combination with other techniques or non-correlated indicators (such as moving average-based indicators), the Sine Wave is a useful tool in a technical trader's toolbox.
XRPBTC: Ripple
1650 1 29

Long term view

forker forker PRO SBUX, D, Short ,
SBUX: SBUX - Starbux's caffein sine waves
59 0 8
SBUX, D Short
SBUX - Starbux's caffein sine waves

I see these two sine waves as you can see, market on the chart. In my head, this could play out as follow: - filling the GAP - wipe out the longs who placed their stop below the minor sine wave - pullback and... - ...because of short term overall market drop, wipe out even the stops below the macro sine wave. Whoaah...a little too far ahead for my feelings. But ...

forker forker PRO GC1!, D, Long ,
GC1!: GC - Gold broke the sine wave. Short term long.
225 4 18
GC1!, D Long
GC - Gold broke the sine wave. Short term long. halted to the tick at the L-MLH. Supported by the A/R line, what we have here is a long candidate. As a target I simply choose the EP = Energy Point. P!

forker forker PRO RUT, D, Long ,
RUT: RUT - Russel pressing could release soon.
281 2 8
RUT, D Long
RUT - Russel pressing could release soon.

Here we have a) the broken sine wave b) the pressure cooker ...and a flow to the north. This pressing could explode soon. It's a pattern I observe since years, and it works very well. After the explosion, the steam settles first, bevor floating upwards again. P!

evansjahja evansjahja LTCBTC, 60,
LTCBTC: Nice fit with sine wave
148 0 4
Nice fit with sine wave

Surprising to see how the price seems to follow sine wave in such narrow channel. Trend will change, though, after hitting the lower bollinger band, towards higher variance

forker forker PRO RUT, D, Long ,
RUT: RUT - Russel ready to start climbing.
125 5 11
RUT, D Long
RUT - Russel ready to start climbing.

Here is why I see that the Russel could climb again: The orange up sloping frequency shift is reached. From there, RUT jumped up - in addition, the sine-wave center was breached and hence price is ready to turn. Besides all these facts, there is one bar that caught my attention: The green marked one showed a nice intention to the upside - watch the close! So, ...

forker forker PRO CL1!, W, Short ,
CL1!: CL - Crude on a test/retest bevor the breakdown?
271 2 19
CL1!, W Short
CL - Crude on a test/retest bevor the breakdown?

Here we have it picture perfect! On the left side, you can see the big sine-wave-swing. These sine-wave swings often get broken fist, before a further movement in the original direction. And so it happened. Price was not able to move further north. Oil organisations did all to keep price up - even manipulating in the news... As I wrote in the previous post: ...

forker forker PRO GC1!, D, Short ,
GC1!: Gold GC - L-MLH Gapped
126 0 10
GC1!, D Short
Gold GC - L-MLH Gapped

Usually if al Medianline is zoomed or gapped, we can expect a Test or even a Re- Test to it. From then on, price will fall. In this context I see a small Sine-Wave pattern (yellow dotted Sinewave). We know that the center of S.W''s. are usually get broken, bevor the market starts to turn again and bags the shorts in the up move, wich in it self again produces a ...

CryptoCoinNomad CryptoCoinNomad BTCUSD, W,
BTCUSD: Bitcoin Long-term perspective
417 4 10
Bitcoin Long-term perspective

Overlaying sine waves on top of a long-term weekly chart of Bitcoin suggests that the price could have already peaked for this time period and the next dramatic rise will not occur until 2020. Of course, this is only hypothetical based upon previous price movements. The result of the BTC ETF (due March 11th) if successfully passed could likely lead to a new ...

BigEz BigEz PRO USOIL, 60, Short ,
USOIL: WTI Voodoo & the Dollar Carry Trade.
487 7 10
USOIL, 60 Short
WTI Voodoo & the Dollar Carry Trade.

My short at Friday's currency wave indicates that oil is over bought. and has been since Christmas. COT reports shows new money (retail), MM, Chinese, etc.. are all long, at +seven to one (7/1), with record net positions. Both the timing and direction of the dxy/oil value wave, confirms this is a carry trade. Cheap money leveraged longs.. with little or ...

forker forker PRO UPS, 480, Long ,
UPS: UPS - RiskReversal After Stop Pain
54 2 9
UPS, 480 Long
UPS - RiskReversal After Stop Pain

Lot's of stops where hit probably behind the bigger structure. It's the Sine Wave center, that is usually broken, bevor price returns in the opposite direction. So, this is my chance and I'm on with my RiskReversal for a credit. P!

forker forker PRO EURUSD, 30, Long ,
EURUSD: EURUSD - Intention for a crime...and they often come back. ;-)
229 6 16
EURUSD, 30 Long
EURUSD - Intention for a crime...and they often come back. ;-)

So, here we have it again. After the blue "Time Eater", price has to break out of this range. You can identify the "killer break". It's made with intention, it will show up - like here, this huge bar (orange). After the breakout, there is a small pause (yellow Sine Wave Center). This Sine Wave Center will often get broken, because the week hands hide their stops ...

forker forker PRO ES1!, 60, Long ,
ES1!: ES - 15min Sine-Wave / 1Line Trade
84 3 8
ES1!, 60 Long
ES - 15min Sine-Wave / 1Line Trade

This is about what I have posted the last two weeks. 1. Kill the middle of the Sine-Wave 2. go up to the 1-Line (white, slanted) 3. and come down again. Take it as a potential, it's nothing more! P!

forker forker PRO CLG2017, 480, Short ,
CLG2017: Crude - Doomed? ...what's doomed?
87 4 10
CLG2017, 480 Short
Crude - Doomed? ...what's doomed?

I have some Credit-Spreads on the D. TF and price of CL. is very near at my short strike (50). Unfortunately this week are some news events about CL. So I decided to go lower in TF to see what's going on and I found this. We have a Sine Wave going on in the 480mins. As of my last postings, you can see that they show up allover the place in any market and any ...

forker forker PRO CL1!, D, Short ,
CL1!: CL - Crude to fall below 36?
149 3 10
CL1!, D Short
CL - Crude to fall below 36?

Context - price is in a huge sideways range (see grey A/R channel) - resistance at the A/R's high and the confluence point from the two forks Sine Waves: - the center of the pink SW is already broken - the yellow one is not yet broken. The weakening of crude could make it happen. Observation: - price could not reach the centerline after the first resistance. ...

forker forker PRO AUDCAD, D,
76 4 7

Price often creates Sine Waves. These SW's have centers, which get broken very often. Here we can observe that price did break the smaller SW already. But there is also a bigger one cooking. Let's see if price has the juice to break this one also and if we can manage to take a short ride with price. Patience...patience... P!eace ;-)

Loth Loth XMRBTC, 120,
XMRBTC: XMR sine trend
209 0 3
XMR sine trend

I tried to see if the trend of XMR could be represented by sine waves, which reduce their period and amplitude at each contact or approaching the edges of the two triangles in which I have confined the graph. Comparing the net flow, volume and MACD, I have noticed a reduction in the approach to the summit of the triangles, in particular the smaller one. This ...

forker forker PRO GER30, D, Long ,
GER30: DAX - GER30 prep. to rise?
304 5 14
GER30, D Long
DAX - GER30 prep. to rise?

The "Big-Boy fork" catches the important swings. As we can see, price behaved textbook like where the breakouts and pullbacks occurred. Even the sine-wave swing- pullback to the U-MLH is just perfect. Price climbed up to where it is going over 80%, to the centerline (white fork). On its way up, it found support at the centerline of the shiffed-fork twice ...

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