Idea on Macro:
- China's Credit Impulse has turned negative.
- Credit impulse is the change in new credit issued as a % of GDP.
- China's Government Bonds 10 YR Yield are correlated with China's Credit Cycle.
- The Credit Cycle taking a downturn signals deflation. Bond prices will rise as borrowers (issuers) will expect to pay back the principal at a loss, and...
📌 A Pullback for Chinese Yields
This illustrates the notion of development in a change in trend for China's sovereign bond market . Sellers avoided a breakout and are aiming to test 3.00%.
On the fundamental side , China is outperforming as expectations are skewed towards favouring their management of the virus and recognisable weakness of the West!...
Yields are still currently low based on the long-term regression trend.
What does it imply for RMB bonds if we expect a rate increase in the mid-term (independently of exchange rate movements)?
- Avoid long-duration RMB government bonds,
- Prefer short duration or floating-rate ones.
Hi, today we are going to talk about CHINA GOVERNMENT BONDS 10 YR YIELD
We observe a D1, some important points. The details are highlighted above.
Thank you for reading and leave your comments if you like.
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Today let's look at the China 10 year bonds future market.
As the most important market of controlling the inflation , those "jigou" ( securities company hedging manager in Chinese) are buying this market into Renminbi interests lower which is canceling the 13th. March hike. This has caused 3 months inflation lower in China till the June. ( maybe they're saving...