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EURCAD | Liquidity Draw Toward HTF Order BlockPrice remains inside a higher-time-frame bullish structure and is now retracing into the 1.60–1.61 breaker block / BC correction zone — a logical refuel area before continuation. Above, there’s an unmitigated HTF order block at 1.68–1.70 , likely the next draw on liquidity. That zone should be mitigated before any true macro bearish shift. Plan Bias: short-term bullish continuation into 1.68–1.70 Entry: confirmation from the breaker around 1.60–1.61 Stop: below 1.576 (macro invalidation) Target: 1.68–1.70 (HTF mitigation zone) – After mitigation, watching for bearish structure to form The correction still has business above — the HTF OB remains unmitigated. Let’s see if EURCAD completes the move.
Long
by SmellyTaz
METISUSDT | Fractal BC–WCL ConfluencePrice is correcting into the 9.0–9.1 zone, where the yellow BC , pink WCL , and a clean breaker block all line up — strong confluence. I’m expecting liquidity to sweep under the early reaction at the order block before reversing from the breaker. Watching for confirmation inside that zone. Stop : 8.745 (just below yellow B at 8.761 — structural invalidation) Target : 10.10–10.40 (yellow C projection) If price dips deeper first, it’s fine — that sweep would only strengthen the setup. Below 8.761 , the whole idea’s off the table.
Long
by SmellyTaz
SILVER 4H - double top before the dropAfter a strong rally, silver retested the 49.0–49.5 area aligning with the key 0.618 Fibonacci level. On the 4H chart, we see a clear double-top pattern with falling volume and oscillator divergence. Price already broke below the short-term trendline and failed to hold above resistance - a classic sign of fading bullish momentum. Fundamentally, silver faces pressure as the dollar stabilizes and rate-cut expectations fade. Industrial demand from Asia is cooling too, reducing the “safe-haven” appeal. Tactically, while price stays below 49.5, the path of least resistance is down toward 43.8 and possibly 41.1 - key accumulation zones. A breakout above 50.0 would cancel the bearish setup. Every silver rally ends the same way - right when everyone starts to believe it’ll never end.
TVC:SILVERShort
by TotoshkaTrades
2
EUR/USD – Bears in Control but Demand Zone Could Spark a Rebound🔹 EUR/USD – Weekly Outlook (1–7 November 2025) Bears remain in control, but a key demand zone is now in play. The euro continues to trade under pressure as macro divergences between the U.S. and Eurozone persist. In the U.S., the latest data confirmed a clear cooldown in growth and inflation, with Core PCE slowing to 2.6% YoY and GDP Q3 printing 2.2% vs. 3.0% expected. This fueled market expectations for a Fed rate cut in Q1 2026, yet Chair Powell reiterated that “progress on inflation remains incomplete,” keeping a neutral–hawkish tone. The U.S. dollar therefore preserved its defensive bid, supported by ongoing safe-haven demand amid geopolitical tension and weaker European data. Across the Eurozone, inflation continues to decelerate (headline 2.5%, core 2.8%), while PMIs remain below 50, indicating a stagnant industrial sector. Market participants now expect the ECB to lean more dovish into early 2026, potentially preparing the ground for a rate cut once disinflation stabilizes. This narrative has weighed on the euro, pushing EUR/USD back below 1.16. COT (Commitment of Traders) COT data remain frozen due to the CFTC shutdown, with the last update dated September 23. At that time, non-commercials held a strong net long on EUR (+114K), reflecting broad bearishness on the USD. However, the latest price action clearly suggests a partial unwinding of long exposure, consistent with the recent downside retracement. ⚠️ These figures are now outdated and must be interpreted with caution — institutional flows may have shifted significantly since late September. Retail Sentiment 📊 59% long / 41% short → contrarian bearish bias. Retail traders remain predominantly long, implying a higher probability of continued downside in the short term, especially while macro data favor the dollar. Seasonality Seasonal statistics for November are mildly positive over 10–20Y composites, but recent 5-year data suggest a sluggish start to the month, often followed by a technical rebound in the second half. 📅 Seasonal conclusion: short-term weakness likely persists into mid-November, with recovery potential toward month-end once markets price in softer U.S. CPI or dovish Fed expectations. Technical Outlook EUR/USD continues to move within a descending channel since late August. After a clean rejection from the 1.1700–1.1750 supply zone, the pair broke recent lows and is now consolidating within the 1.1530–1.1550 demand area, aligned with the summer support base. Key technical levels: Resistance: 1.1650–1.1700 Immediate support: 1.1530–1.1500 Next demand zone: 1.1380–1.1420 RSI: below 50, yet showing early signs of bullish divergence, hinting at a potential rebound if 1.15 holds. 🎯 Primary Scenario: Price may extend the corrective leg toward 1.1450–1.1420, where a structural swing low could form. From there, any USD weakness following U.S. CPI data could fuel a technical rebound targeting 1.1650–1.1700. ⚙️ Invalidation: Daily close above 1.1730, which would break the descending structure and shift the bias neutral-to-bullish. Summary Macro: Euro pressured by softer inflation and weak PMI; USD supported by cautious Fed and geopolitical flows. Sentiment: Retail still long — contrarian signal for more downside. Technical: Channel intact; demand zone at 1.1530–1.1500 under test. Outlook: Expect another leg lower before possible late-month rebound.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
9
AUD/USD – Waiting for the Pullback Before the Next Bullish Leg?After rebounding strongly from October lows, AUD/USD is testing the 0.6580–0.6620 supply zone while staying above the key support area at 0.6520–0.6550. On the macro side, the RBA remains data-dependent after pausing its rate cuts, citing sticky services inflation and resilient labor markets. Meanwhile, the USD has been capped by softer growth data and growing expectations for further Fed easing into early 2026 — a mix that keeps AUD/USD in recovery mode, at least short term. COT positioning (last valid as of September 23, due to the CFTC shutdown) still reflected heavy speculative shorts on the Aussie — a structure that supported the recent bullish correction but is now outdated. Retail sentiment shows 77% of traders short, suggesting a strong contrarian upside bias, consistent with the technical picture. Seasonality data points to a mildly positive bias in October–November, typically followed by neutral behavior in December. Technical structure: Price has broken out of the descending channel and is building a short-term higher-low structure. Support (demand zone): 0.6520–0.6550 Resistance (supply zone): 0.6580–0.6620 → breakout could extend toward 0.6680–0.6720 RSI: mid-range, indicating room for another impulse higher. 🎯 Trading Plan Base scenario: Look for a pullback into 0.6520–0.6550 to rejoin the bullish leg targeting 0.6680–0.6720. Alternative: A rejection from 0.6600–0.6620 could trigger a short-term correction toward 0.6500 before buyers return. Invalidation: Daily close below 0.6475 (loss of structure). ⚙️ Bias: Short-term bullish, medium-term neutral-to-bullish. 🕒 Focus: RBA tone, Chinese PMIs, and U.S. ISM/labor data — all key for the next leg of AUD/USD.
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
1
USD/CAD: Short-Term Correction 🔹 COT (Commitment of Traders) (Last update: September 23, 2025 – data not refreshed due to the U.S. government shutdown) USD Index (ICE Futures) Non-commercial longs: 14,032 (+1,541) Non-commercial shorts: 24,376 (−1,009) → Institutional traders were closing shorts and adding longs, signaling early signs of bullish bias on the USD before the shutdown halted updates. Canadian Dollar (CME Futures) Non-commercial longs: 18,035 (−2,940) Non-commercial shorts: 132,841 (+4,689) → Heavy short build-up on CAD alongside long reduction — a bearish institutional sentiment for the Canadian Dollar. Even with outdated data, the COT positioning remains USD bullish / CAD bearish, supporting a medium-term upside bias on USD/CAD. 🔹 FX Sentiment (Retail Positioning) 56% short / 44% long 📌 Retail traders are slightly net short, providing a contrarian bullish signal for USD/CAD — aligning with institutional positioning. 🔹 Seasonality Historically, October shows mild positive bias for USD/CAD on long-term averages (15–20 years), but the 5-year tendency is slightly negative. Neutral-to-mildly bullish for late October, with stronger USD seasonality emerging in November–December. 🔹 Price Action The pair remains within a rising parallel channel from July lows, recently rejecting the upper boundary near 1.4100 and showing early signs of structural fatigue. Price is now consolidating between 1.4000–1.3900, with bearish momentum slowly building up. Technical Levels: Resistance: 1.4050–1.4100 Support zone 1: 1.3900 Support zone 2 (major): 1.3700 RSI: showing divergence with lower highs, signaling potential corrective leg ahead. 🎯 Main Scenario: A short-term retracement toward 1.3850–1.3800 remains likely if 1.3900 breaks, while the broader bullish trend remains intact unless price closes below 1.3700. Bias for now → Short-term corrective, medium-term bullish. Invalidation: daily close below 1.3700 (trendline + demand break).
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
10
If You're Not Just Hearing About Options —But Actually Diving InYou’ve moved beyond indicators and noise. You’re stepping into the world where smart money operates. Because options are not just tools for betting. They’re a mirror of institutional intent — of hedges, positioning, and hidden signals. And if you learn to listen to this market, you gain a real edge — even if you never trade an option yourself. You’ll see what’s coming on spot Forex, gold, or indices — before the crowd notices anything. This isn’t theory from a textbook. It’s a practical guide forged from over 5 years of daily analysis of CME reports, exchange data, and real-world observation. Let’s break it down — step by step. 🔍 Step 1: Can You Identify the Player by Option Delta? Yes — and it starts with understanding delta. Delta = Sensitivity of an option’s price to changes in the underlying asset. 0.05–0.10 (5–10%) → Deep out-of-the-money (far OTM) 0.15–0.30 (15–30%) → Moderately OTM ~0.50 (50%) → At-the-money (ATM) >0.50 → In-the-money (ITM) Now — who trades what, and why? 0.05–0.10 ->Tail-risk hedgers, "lottery" traders Protection against black swans or cheap speculative bets 0.10–0.20 ->Aggressive speculators, potential insiders Betting on explosive moves — possibly with inside conviction 0.20–0.35 -> Regular speculators, funds Expecting moderate rallies — balanced risk/reward 0.40–0.60 - > Institutions, hedge funds Portfolio hedging, delta-neutral strategies >0.60 Arbitrageurs, hedgers Deep ITM options as synthetic positions ⚠️ Important Nuance: Delta is not absolute. Large players may use deep OTM options — but not for speculation. These could be tail-risk hedges (e.g., protection against crash scenarios). 🔮 Predictive Power Isn’t Just About the Trade — It’s About the Timing The forecast value of an individual option increases dramatically when you ask: When did this position appear — relative to price action? ✅ Before a move? → High predictive power ❌ After a big rally? → Likely FOMO or profit-taking ✅ On a pullback? → Could signal support/resistance IMPORTANT! Timing turns noise into signal. 📌 To be continued in the next update…
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by ClashChartsTeam
2
GBP-CAD Free Signal! Sell! Hello,Traders! GBPCAD formed a double-top around a horizontal supply area, showing clear distribution signs. Expecting continuation lower as liquidity under recent equal lows becomes the next draw. ------------------- Stop Loss: 1.8436 Take Profit: 1.8325 Entry: 1.8392 Time Frame: 5H ------------------- Sell! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TopTradingSignals
1
GBPJPY – Targeting the Green WCL After BC RetracementPrice completed a clean green impulse and started a corrective red sequence. The plan: wait for a retracement into the red BC zone, which overlaps a bearish order block. If price reacts from that region, I’ll ride the next leg down toward the red C target and the green wave’s Whole Correction Level (WCL). However, note the developing bullish flag pattern — if price breaks above red B, that flag activates and the bearish setup becomes invalid. A breakout there could extend the larger bullish trend. Strengths: – BC retracement aligns with a strong order block. – WCL and C-target overlap, creating a high-probability draw on liquidity. – Clear invalidation above red B protects the setup. Weaknesses: – GBPJPY volatility could trigger premature sweeps. – A confirmed flag breakout would fully invalidate this setup. Narrative: Trading the correction inside a possible flag — shorting structure, not emotion. If the flag fires, I’ll flip bias with it.
Short
by SmellyTaz
GOLD Free Signal! Sell! Hello,Traders! GOLD Price has reached a horizontal supply area after a corrective move upward. Bears are likely to step in, targeting the previous low for liquidity. ------------------- Stop Loss: 4,052$ Take Profit: 3,997$ Entry: 4,027$ Time Frame: 2H Setup Risk: High ------------------- Sell! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by TopTradingSignals
3