Soybeans: Price did not bounce on the lower line of the ascending price channel as we expected and broke through its support to the down side. Price tested same (now former) supportive line which has now become resistance (although we keep it drawn in green for now) during Thursday's session and traded impulsively lower during Friday's session. Price has completed...
Soybeans: Price reached the lower boundary of the ascending price channel and bounced up from there during Friday's session. The candle was a Bullish Engulfing candle which usually is a very reliable reversal pattern. From here we favor a move up during the coming 5 to 10 sessions to the upper boundary of the ascending channel which will offer a short play...
Speculative money is the reason behind last weeks rally and profit making will probably be done this next week as soybeans has reached the top of this long-term downtrend. Climate conditions at the north american crop have been good so far. A transition to El Nina is happening and that could bring hot and dry weather next month. But until then...there is an...
Soybeans: Price reached our target some time ago already and is performing an overshoot which is nothing unusual as it is just not possible to predict exactly where the waves will end. The EW principle gives us a complete count but that doesn't mean that a top is on the chart indeed already. Taking a position just on basis of the fact that you can see the EW count...
Soybeans: Price has reached our target during the past week and made an impulsive overshoot to even higher levels. Price is also forming a 'ascending broadening wedge' which is a reversal pattern. We believe that price is at or close to the end of its current move up and that it will reverse in a corrective move down of 10-15% soon. The candle of last Friday has a...
Soybeans: Price continued its sideways move during the past week, be it with a wider range than before. The continuation pattern is still intact which indicates that the 1120/1130 range is still a valid target. We would have liked to see same target reached during the past week which did not happen and which makes us additionally wary. We want to hang on to our...
Soybeans: Price has been moving mostly sideways between, roughly 1060 and 1090 during the past 7 or 8 sessions which usually is a continuation pattern. This means that there is, principally, still 50 points upward potential on very short notice but we would like to see same 50 points upswing during next week failing which we will turn the sign on 'neutral' and...
Soybean spreads are out of line historically and these kind of levels were only seen in the 2013 bull run .Since this is not a fundamental rally once selling comes in spreads will be hurt badly.Sell the Jan-March or Nov-March spread.
Soybeans: Nothing much changed from our picture of one week ago: price is still in an impulsive move up and has made a 3-day corrective move down after the very strong soar of early last week. The pattern of the corrective move down during the past 3 trading suggests that there is more room to the upside. The soar of May 10 took the price from, roughly, the 1030...
Price did not make the corrective move down to 975 during last week as was preferred by us but rather traded a sideways pattern between, roughly 1010 and 1050. It doesn't change our general expectation of the development of this price but we need to adjust our preferred path a bit. We take our view to the upside from here and have a bias with 1100 as target which...
RunningAlpha dot com Capital Markets Intelligence High Priority Update for Monday, May 2nd, 2016 Although $39 and $36.50 remains baseline intermediate to long-term support for Light Crude Oil ( in reference to June Contract Pricing ), the recent advance upwards has opened the door for a further short covering rally upwards to $62 to $65, and perhaps $74 to $76...
Soybeans: Price has made a strong move up during most of April but is now running a bit out of breath and needs a correction before it can make another move up. Price is now in a 4 of (3) but has not made a decisive move yet to complete same 4. Ideally, price will make a move down to 975 during first half of the coming week before it reverses and develops its 5 of...
Exhibition has correctly predicted the break out from the sideways range of Soybeans. Let's see how high can this thing go.
The soybean/corn spread presents a great opportunity to short into historical lows.
Soybeans today gapped up after friday closed obove the broken trendline. Im going long here because softs are way behind metals and energy, black line is comparing with commodity index
A little lower and Im not sure I could resist a low risk (punt). If it doesnt, I will look to enter on a decisive break of the upper band of the L/T down channel. Break of HZ support, will look to enter. Still will be a great trade for 2016 either way