Could we be mid-way through a super-cycle in gold? Could we?
Judging by the news we are seeing a slow decline in the PetroDollar, which is a fiat currency built on trust and the number of nuclear weapons. This military power is denominated in Dollars, which used to be tracked in gold. Regardless of what the Crypto fanboys call out, there is only one money, and...
It would surprise many.
So far House prices have been holding up with rates going parabolic
Strong economies can usually handle a few years of stable rates in around 5%
Supercycle's generally last 16-18 years
As we saw in the great Bull run of 1982 to 2000
A repeat of this cycle timeframe: would mean
#Bitcoin top 2025 (2009 inception)
#Stocks 2026 (march...
Commodities by themselves are not deflationary! They are dug out of the earth, and that both needs technology and people! The demand for gold and silver is higher, it becomes even higher when there is an industrial application to it.
Along with inflation, it cost more and more to refine and dig out Silver/Gold! it cost more for machinery and people. Is Silver...
Masses are scared, masses are margin called, masses are depressed
Now that market has washed away all leveraged long positions we are set.
A traumatic experience just took place and is very unlikely that people will believe in that...
Hell is coming but something close almost as close to the moon(100k) will come first, trapping an entire generation for the...
A very basic and simple - yet very telling - monthly log chart with a superimposed S-curve alongside simple trendlines of support and resistance seems to indicate Bitcoin may be preparing to retrace to the $3,500 range before we see anymore blue skies. Stay alert, set your stops and make sure you're taking profits when you can! Don't forget to pay yourself! Happy...
Commodities are currently repricing lower due to the looming global slowdown. Meaning, there is more potential downside for commodities
There are more significant tailwinds that will push commodity prices higher in the longer term.
DBA ETF broke out of yearly downtrend in 2020 indicating that higher food prices are in the global outlook for the...
Dear Traders and Hopeaholics alike,
Those that have followed me for a while, will know BEAR TEARS are one of my favourite things, unfortunately... after 9 consecutive red candles, it has been a while since we have truly experienced them. I'd like to welcome you to the HOTEL CALIFORNIA, which is such a lovely place where you can check out, but never leave... so...
My guess on how the 2 supercycles of bitcoin and S&P 500 will likely end.
Masses attention on the stock market and cryptos are fading BUT there is still money to be burned and I would expect a victorious new ATH for both the stock market and the crypto to take place somewhere next year!
1. The whole internet is so aware of shorting the market that is "entering...
Based on on the M1 chart (inflation focused), we can come up with a dubious speculation around BTC next moves and prices.
This model suggests a super cycle:
- pump up to 130k for the end of 2022 (Sept - Dec 2022)
- one last period of consolidation and bearish market
- final pump above 200k (Apr - July 2024)
- 5-7 years macro bear market until the 30's
Are you already loaded? Bullrun right there!
During the accumulation a flag was drawn, possible continuation of the downward trend after the retest from below (red line).
The consequence will be a drop to the next shopping zone of $ 29,500, where there is strong support and many BUY orders.
A dozen or so days ago, everyone was counting...
We broke the down trend unexpectedly, was hoping for a rebuy at 30k sometimes you don't win them all. So we can assume the accumulation is around 33k-35k. Resistance level is from 45-47k a daily close over these positions would indicate we have enough momentum to continue into a newly emerged paradigm, an accepted positive paradigm and the super cycle with no...
I did this analysis on SPY last October. If you put together context and history on this chart, It's hard to ignore a potential painful scenario. Here are my thoughts.
1) If the markets are truly fundamentally cyclical, we could imagine the past being just versions of the same phenomenon : "When we're highly over-extended, old profitable bags are being sold to...