Support and Resistance
Short sellers' exit strategy and outlook for the marketGold has been rising recently and has deviated from technical analysis in the short term. Out of fear of heights and to avoid the potential risks brought about by chasing high prices, I have been trying to short gold at the top recently.
Unfortunately, it is difficult for gold to get an effective pullback in the short term. Even if the account has a certain amount of funds to resist risks, the short orders held in the short term are still facing great pressure. After increasing our short positions near 3620 yesterday, we originally expected gold to at least retreat to 3605-3595, so that we can turn losses into profits in one fell swoop, reverse the temporary losses in our hands, and realize profits completely. However, gold did not give an ideal opportunity in the evening, and even rose to around 3645 at one point, which forced us to try to short gold again by touching the top. However, the pullback last night was limited and failed to effectively fall below 3633, so we can only hold positions again and wait for trading opportunities in the Asian session.
After the opening of the Asian session in the morning, there was only a slight pullback. As the gold price continued to rise, the short-term support moved up. In addition, considering that gold had difficulty falling below 3633 last night, the buying funds below were too strong. In order to better protect the safety of account funds, I had to close all short orders in my hands near 3630 and start creating long orders to execute hedging transactions.
Since we managed the number of trading lots in our account relatively properly and the number of low-level trading lots was small, it did not cause too much loss to my account. But this doesn't mean I have lost confidence in future shorts. As I said before, as long as the market remains stuck in the sentiment of buying expectations and selling facts, gold is bound to fall sharply. Just now I closed my long orders and am ready to short gold again.
The preliminary value of the benchmark change in non-farm employment in the United States in 2025 will be announced tonight. If it falls short of expectations, gold may still fall back. Although there is no good reference point for the weekly and daily lines, the monthly line is suppressed near the 3700 line. As long as it fails to break through effectively, gold will definitely fall. Therefore, in the short term, I am still optimistic about shorting gold, and I am determined to short at 3660-3700.
Dow Jones Analysis (US30 / Dow Jones):The index is currently trading around 45,550 after testing key support zones. The overall trend remains bullish in the short term, but price is moving in a sensitive range.
🔺 Bullish Scenario:
If the price holds above 45,560 – 45,600, the index may retest the previous high at 45,763. A breakout above this level could push the price toward 46,000.
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
If the price breaks below 45,500 and holds, the index may decline toward 45,270 as lower support levels.
📌 Key Buy Zones: 45,560 – 45,500
📍 Key Sell Zone: 45,480
Cyclic Patterns Point to 600-Pip Downside in GoldUnfortunately, gold failed to reach the expected 3620 target area during the pullback. It only touched around 3628 in the early morning hours before rebounding again. During this period, because I saw that gold could not fall below 3628, and even could not fall below 3630 at one point, I promptly closed all short positions near 3630. Although the two transactions suffered losses due to the slightly lower entry price, because we added short positions near 3636 and 3646, the overall profit was still $10K.
Gold has now rebounded again and continued its upward trend to around 3657, continuing its upward trend. However, aside from opportunities to enter the long position in the 3630-3628 area, there are virtually no other good long entry opportunities. Judging from the current trend, gold still has the potential to continue to rise to around 3665, but since I missed the opportunity to enter the long position at 3630-3628, I will never choose to chase the rise of gold now.
Although the current uptrend is strong, even if you short gold, there are always opportunities to exit safely and profit during the day. Therefore, I still plan to try to short gold in the 3655-3665 area. Of course, keep my tips from yesterday in mind when shorting. When you first try shorting gold today, try to use a small lot size. When adding positions, you can appropriately increase the number of trading lots to increase the average price and increase profit margins. From a shorting perspective, it is relatively safer!
At present, I will pay close attention to the short-term support area of 3640-3630, followed by the area of 3610-3600. Don’t subjectively think that gold will not pull back to the 3610-3600 area, because in the previous band, after gold experienced three 200pips fluctuation retracements, the fourth retracement reached 660pips; and now gold has experienced three 200pips fluctuation retracements again. If it follows the cycle, gold may usher in another retracement of about 600pips, that is, reaching the 3610-3600 area.
Gold Analysis (XAU/USD):Gold continues its rally for the third consecutive week, currently trading at $3,663, with the overall trend remaining strongly bullish.
🔺 Bullish Scenario:
As long as the price holds above $3,629, the trend remains bullish with the potential for further upside.
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
If the price breaks below $3,629 and holds, the next target could be around $3,600 as the lower support level.
📌 Key Buy Zones: 3,630 – 3,645
📍 Key Sell Zone: 3,628
NASDAQ Index Analysis (US100 / NASDAQ):The NASDAQ index is moving in an uptrend and is currently testing the 23,800 resistance level.
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
If the price manages to break below 23,750 and hold, it is likely to head towards the lower support level at 23,500.
🔺 Bullish Scenario:
If the price breaks above 23,850 and holds, this could support a continuation of the bullish move toward 24,000.
Gold Buys Buys and BuysLast week proved to be euphoric for Bulls , this week too im expecting gold to go down just a little lower to collect buy orders and go up to 3600. So when u see gold going down this week don’t start selling mindlessly wait for solid buy entry.
Now there are 4 buy areas in which I’m interested :
If Asia bulls decided to push the price than you can expect that price will go up from level 3585 to 3600 and upside levels which I’ve given.
Level 3572 is a good buying area if gold decides to cool down a bit and collect buy orders but only enter if u see a good rejection.
If price keeps going down than expect 3500 to tap as it’s a strong support level and than if u see a good rejection than buying this level will give easily 500-1000 pips.
Just keep risk minimum and be stress free.
OSCR: back to support and now it’s decision timeAfter the recent impulse move, OSCR has pulled back to a key support zone around 13.65. That area aligns with the 0.79 Fib retracement, a horizontal level from spring, and a rising trendline that has already triggered reversals in the past. The structure is still intact, and buyers are testing the level again. If support holds and we get a bullish confirmation, the next target is 17.01, followed by a potential breakout toward the high at 22.81.
Volume remains elevated, the overall structure is healthy, and the correction is controlled. A break below 13.00 would invalidate the setup - until then, it’s a clean, high-reward zone with tight risk.
Fundamentally, Oscar Health has revised its 2025 guidance: revenue is expected in the $12–12.2B range, with operating losses projected between $200M and $300M. Despite softening topline growth, earnings per share are improving, and investor sentiment has been shifting. Technical strength is also reflected in the recent rise in RS Rating to 93, confirming that the stock is showing relative leadership even as the market cools.
This is one of those setups where both technicals and narrative are aligning - now we just need confirmation from the chart.
GBPUSD | Neutral Outlook – Watching Key Support and Resistance.Currently, GBPUSD is trading near 1.35730 and I am keeping a neutral stance for now. The market is consolidating around a critical resistance area, so I will wait for confirmation before taking entries.
🔹 Bullish Scenario:
If GBPUSD breaks and sustains above the resistance, I expect bullish continuation towards 1.37500. For long setups, my stop loss will be placed below the marked support zone.
🔹 Bearish Scenario:
If the resistance holds and GBPUSD rejects from this level, then I am looking for downside movement towards the strong support near 1.34000. For shorts, I will keep my stop loss above resistance.
I have marked the key resistance and support levels clearly with black lines on my chart for better clarity.
⚠️ Always remember to use proper risk management and wait for confirmations before entering trades.
Regards: Forex Insights Pro.
#GBPUSD #Forex #PriceAction #Trading #SupportResistance #TechnicalAnalysis #Scalping #SwingTrading #ForexSignals
Puzzle pieces form part of a recognizable picture.As with any other coin from the OTHERS list,
I will repeat myself (especially for beginners).
Altcoins do not have their own monetary destiny.
They are under enormous pressure from
Bitcoin and its dominance, Ethereum and its dominance,
Tether and its dominance, DXY, SPX, and gold.
So many heavyweights are piling into such a small and fragile market.
But when a number of conditions come together, anything is possible.
FLR looks like it could break through its listing ceiling, and beyond that,
it's impossible to say how high it could jump because there is no history above 9 cents.
I will continue to watch and hold.
The structure looks good.
Dollar-Yen Outlook: Bearish While Under 147.82 PivotUSDJPY – Overview
The pair shows bearish momentum after stabilizing below 147.82, confirming pressure to the downside.
Technical Outlook:
📉 As long as price trades below 147.82, bearish momentum is expected to extend toward 147.07 → 146.35.
📈 A confirmed 4H close above 147.82 would shift momentum bullish, targeting 148.49 → 149.00.
Key Levels:
Pivot: 147.82
Support: 147.07 – 146.35
Resistance: 148.49 – 149.00
Bias: Bearish below 147.82; bullish recovery possible only on a confirmed break above this pivot.
USNAS100 Holds Above 23,690 – Bulls Eye 23,870 ATHUSNAS100 – Overview
The Nasdaq 100 remains in bullish momentum while trading above the pivot at 23,690, with the next target near the ATH at 23,870.
Technical Outlook:
📈 As long as price holds above 23,690, bullish momentum is expected toward 23,860 → 23,940 → 24,090.
📉 A confirmed 1H close below 23,690 would shift bias bearish, opening the way to 23,600 → 23,500 → 23,280.
Key Levels:
Pivot: 23,690
Resistance: 23,860 – 23,940 – 24,090
Support: 23,600 – 23,500 – 23,280
Waves Breakout and Buy Idea !Waves Corporation Ltd (PSX: WAVES) – Long term Technical Setup
Waves has finally broken out of a multi-year accumulation zone after trading sideways since late 2022. The stock has cleared the major supply area around 10–11 PKR, turning that region into a fresh support base.
From here, I expect a healthy pullback into that zone (shakeout/retest) before the next leg higher. The first major resistance sits around 17.20, and a sustained breakout above that level could open the way towards the 28–30 PKR zone over the longer term.
Volume has been picking up, which suggests real money is starting to rotate in. As long as price holds above 10, the structure remains bullish.
This chart is setting up for a classic accumulation → breakout → retest → markup phase. Longer term investors may want to watch closely how it behaves on the retest before positioning for the bigger move.
SPX500 Holds Above 6,506 – Bulls Target 6,527/6,550SPX500 – Overview
The S&P 500 reached our target at 6,506 and is still pushing higher toward 6,527.
Technical Outlook:
📈 Bullish scenario: As long as price holds above 6,506, momentum is expected to continue toward 6,527 → 6,550.
📉 Bearish scenario: A confirmed 1H close below 6,506 would open the way to 6,490, with further downside risk toward 6,469.
Key Levels:
Pivot: 6,506
Resistance: 6,527 – 6,550
Support: 6,490 – 6,469
📌 Bias: Bullish while above 6,506; bearish momentum resumes only if price closes below this pivot.
previous idea:
BTCUSDT Idea | Potential RiseHi there,
I expect prices to go up from the lower price range to the higher price range, reaching about 118,000-119,000. There might be a quick rise to this higher range, where prices could then start to fall. After this change in direction, prices could drop to around 102,000.
Happy Trading
K.
Not trading advice
BankNifty levels - Sep 10, 2025Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We trust that this information proves valuable to you.
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Nifty levels - Sep 10, 2025Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you success in your trading activities!
GOLD → As prices continue to rise, so do the risks...FX:XAUUSD continues to rise, setting new highs. New ATH 3659. Focus on current consolidation, as the structure remains bullish...
Gold hit a new record high, surpassing $3,650, amid a weakening dollar and growing expectations of aggressive Fed policy easing. However, overbought conditions and profit-taking risks may limit further growth.
The USD is at 7-week lows due to fears of stagflation and deteriorating employment data. The probability of a rate cut on September 17 is 89.4% (25 bps), with a chance of 50 bps. Markets are expecting more than two cuts in 2024.
Risks for gold: “Sell the fact”: If the NFP revision turns out to be weak (as expected), investors may start to take profits.
Technically, gold remains bullish, but a near-term correction is likely due to technical factors and a possible reaction to the data. The long-term trend remains bullish thanks to a weak USD and the Fed's dovish policy.
Resistance levels: 3657, 3675, 3700
Support levels: 3636, 3628, 3620
Gold is consolidating. At the moment, the fundamental background is stable, and no news is expected today except for those that are impossible to predict (comments, rumors, etc.). Before further growth, gold may test the support area and the liquidity hidden behind it.
Best regards, R. Linda!
USDJPY Testing 146.700 as Market Awaits ReactionHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a potential selling opportunity around the 146.700 zone. The pair has been trading in an uptrend, but is currently in a correction phase, approaching this key support/resistance level.
Structure: While the broader bias has been bullish, the correction is bringing price back toward an area of interest.
Key level in focus: 146.700 — a zone where sellers may look to step in if momentum shifts.
Fundamentals: Market sentiment remains sensitive to U.S. data and Fed expectations, which continue to guide short-term USD moves.
Trade safe,
Joe.