The 3-Step Method For High-Quality AnalysisIn this video I give you the 3-step method I use to do my analysis.
By incorporating these steps, it is also how I do my top-down analysis. You can think of it as a checklist as well.
First, I have my Bias, which determines where I believe price is drawn to. For example in the case of SMC/ICT Concepts, we observe where the liquidity is in the market and use that to frame where price is likely going to go to sooner or later.
Secondly, I have my Narrative, which is on a lower timeframe, and paints the picture of HOW price is going to form in order to initiate the move to that price target. This usually includes more engineered liquidity on lower timeframes, and manipulation to happen.
Thirdly, I have my Confirmation, which is where I want to enter a trade. This is the lowest of the three timeframes, and is the final point in which I will frame a trade setup. Usually I will look for the exact same things I look for in my Bias and Narrative, but on this timeframe. I also tend to include the factor of time, such as Killzones, Seasonality, and News Drivers.
Note that the timeframes can be anything you want them to be, and you are not restricted from moving from timeframe to timeframe. But, the important thing is to be consistent with WHERE you believe price is going, HOW you think it may get there (this can change as price forms), and again WHERE you are going to enter a trade.
- R2F
Technical Analysis
SPX500: Price discussion pre-US CPI dataToday's focus: SPX500
Pattern – Continuation
Support – 5211
Resistance – 5267
Hi, traders. Thanks for tuning in for today's update. Today, we are looking at SPX500 on its daily chart.
Today, we wonder if the SPX500 can maintain its current bullish bias and possibly test or break all-time highs. Yesterday, buyers fought back after the PPI data, helped by comments from Fed Chair Powell.
Will we see retail sales and US CPI match or drop below data that is mainly expected to come in lower? Will this back up comments that maintained buyer hopes yesterday?
On the other side of the coin, if data comes in higher, could this set off some sharp selling as buyers may find themselves in a bull trap?
It could be an interesting CPI data today.
Good trading.
May 12, DXY & GBPUSD: Trading Insights for the Week Ahead!Greetings Traders!
In this comprehensive video, I will provide in-depth analysis of the DXY and GBPUSD pairs, offering valuable insights for the upcoming week in trading. Both of these currency pairs have reached critical junctures, necessitating a thorough understanding of potential price movements and the need to adjust trading strategies accordingly.
Currently, we have observed retracements to significant points of interest in both pairs, prompting the question: what can we anticipate in terms of trading opportunities for the week ahead?
May 10, Analysis (Explaining H1 Draws & Confirmations, Entry):
April 29, Long-term Video Analysis (DXY & GBPUSD):
March 15, SMT Divergence (Educational Lecture Explaining how to use it):
Stay tuned for ongoing updates and analysis throughout the week to stay informed and make informed trading decisions.
Kind Regards,
The_Architect
May 06, Navigating DXY and GBPUSD: Insights for the Week Ahead!Greetings Traders!
In this comprehensive video, I'll delve into the DXY and GBPUSD, offering valuable insights for the week ahead in trading. It's essential to adapt your strategies to the market conditions. Presently, we've witnessed a retracement to a significant point of interest, hinting at potential bearish momentum to follow.
Stay tuned for the latest updates throughout the week.
Kind Regards,
The_Architect
GBPUSD: Bearish Momentum Ahead! Weekly Trading OutlookHello traders,
In today's video, I'll delve deep into the GBPUSD analysis, offering a thorough outlook for the upcoming trading week. With significant developments unfolding on both the DXY and GBPUSD charts, it's imperative to dissect the possibilities that lie ahead.
Stay tuned for invaluable insights that can help guide your trading decisions. Don't hesitate to drop any questions or comments in the section below.
For a comprehensive analysis on the DXY, be sure to watch the May 06 video linked below.
Happy trading!
The_Architect
GBPUSD: Bracing for Bearish Momentum 📉 Friday Trading OutlookGreetings Traders!
Join me in today's video as we dive deep into the GBPUSD analysis, exploring what to expect in today's trading session. This analysis holds significance as it sets the tone for next week's trading as well. We've reached a critical juncture on the GBPUSD chart, so it's essential to understand what lies ahead.
Stay tuned for valuable insights, and don't hesitate to leave any questions or comments in the comment section below.
To watch Tuesdays Weekly Outlook, please follow the link below:
To watch SMT Divergence Tool, please follow the link below:
Today's analysis, please follow the link below:
Kind Regards,
The_Architect
USDCAD: Thoughts and Analysis Today's focus: USDCAD
Pattern – consolidation pattern break (continuation)
Support – 1.3650
Resistance – 1.3780, 1.3830
Hi, traders. Thanks for tuning in for today's update. Today, we are looking at USDCAD on its daily chart.
Today, we are wondering if the USDCAD is setting off on a new move higher after holding support. Price continues to test at the descending triangle pattern, which could be seen as a consolidation in the uptrend and as a continuation pattern.
We have listed a few things to watch out for and the next levels of resistance. What do you think? Is this a new leg higher?
Good trading.
They Can't Hold It Down! Bitcoin/Crypto Technical AnalysisTraders,
Let's review the week's price action on DXY, VIX, Gold, SPY, BTC dominance, USDT dominance, Nvidia, Total3 (altcoins), Solana, and Bitcoin. I'll discuss what the culmination of my indicators is currently showing for the week and weeks ahead.
NFP Trading Alert: GBPUSD & DXY Forecast?📈 Trading Alert: High Impact Dollar News Incoming Today on the Dollar!!!
Friday NFP Market Insights:
Prepare for significant market movements as we delve into High Impact Dollar News & Today's Trading Analysis! Today, anticipate major announcements like Unemployment Rate and NFP. Join me as we analyze today's trading ahead, exploring potential market movements amidst a flurry of impactful news releases. Gain invaluable insights into my analysis process, including key concepts in ICT. Don't miss out on this opportunity to enhance your trading knowledge and strategies.
Leave your questions in the comments for personalized responses. Let's navigate the markets together!
Kind Regards,
The_Architect
GBPUSD: Bullish Momentum Ahead! Friday Trading OutlookGreetings Traders!
In this video, I'll provide a comprehensive analysis of the DXY and GBPUSD, offering insights into what to anticipate in tomorrow's trading session. We've reached a crucial juncture on both the DXY and GBPUSD charts, so what lies ahead?
Stay tuned for valuable insights, and feel free to leave any questions in the comment section below.
Kind Regards,
The_Architect
Bitcoin: Thoughts and Analysis Pattern – HL building?
Support – 63,860, 60,675
Resistance – 66,710
Hi, traders. Thanks for tuning in for today's update. Today, we are looking at BTC on its daily chart.
Today, we have broken down the current PA we are watching on BTCUSD.
Two things have presented themselves to us. Could we have a new HL forming after yesterday's fightback? Could this then set off a new leg higher to test the top of the range?
Or two, could this be a false point of support, and will we see sellers make a new move at testing lower-range support?
Good trading.
GBPUSD: Thoughts and Analysis Today's focus: GBPUSD
Pattern – Impulse in a downtrend.
Support – 1.2330
Resistance – 1.2456
Hi, traders. Thanks for tuning in for today's update. Today, we are looking at GBPUSD on the daily chart.
Today, we have broken down the current PA we are seeing and thinking about on the GBPUSD. We have touched on news to come and discussed the USD index.
Can buyers beat resistance and the down trend to start forming a new trend higher? Will we see buyers fail again, maintaining the pattern of LHs and LLs maintaining a new leg lower?
Good trading.
Micron Technology - 100% in 6 months!Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Micron Technology.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
Back in 2018 we saw a beautiful break and retest on Micron Technology which indicated even more continuation towards the upside. For over 5 years Micron Technology has also been trading in a quite nice rising channel formation and is now approaching the upper resistance trendline. I do expect a pullback and a retest of the previous all time highs and then just more continuation towards the upside.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Oil: Thoughts and analysis Today's focus: Oil
Pattern – Continuation?
Support – 85.38
Resistance – 87.37
Hi, traders; thanks for tuning in for today's update. Today, we are looking at oil on the daily.
After a surge from the USD caught a lot of attention yesterday, we are watching oil after it rejected a push lower by sellers and continues to hold in a potential continuation type set-up.
Do you think that price is showing signs of a continuation? Could a close above yesterday's high signal a new move higher that could test resistance at 87.37?
Watch out for a new move lower that tests the 85.50 area, as that could be a sign that sellers have more numbers than first thought.
Good trading.
NDQ100 (Nasdaq) Price Breakdown Pre-CPI
Today's focus: Nasdaq
Pattern – Range
Support – 17,832
Resistance – 18,355
Hi, traders; thanks for tuning in for today's update. Today, we are looking at the Nasdaq daily.
Price remains range-bound. Do traders feel today's CPI will be bearish or bullish?
Yesterday, buyers showed some strength, stopping a bear move and reversing losses. Could good news on the CPI and minutes front maintain buyer control?
We have run over the primary levels and are currently holding the price. Depending on what we see from the CPI, could we see a new break that is lower or higher? Traders also have to be aware of false breakouts.
Good trading.
Markets Have Turned Bearish. How Far Do We Pull Back?Traders,
In this market update I am discussing the numerous "M" Patterns that I am seeing on the crypto charts. We'll talk about where we possibly could pull back to. And we'll take a look at the U.S. stock market: DXY, VIX, SPY, and NVIDIA and the impact they are having on crypto right now.
Apologies for the quiet voice. I will ensure this is fixed before the next video.