Technical Analysis
Back to Basics - How I analyse markets..1. I look first at a daily chart and determine what is the trend. For the US dollar Index this is quite an interesting juncture - it has been in a down trend since September 2022, but has recently rallied from 100.69 to about 104.00. Is this just a correction higher or could this be a change of trend?
2. To answer that question I look at longer term charts. Firstly, the monthly chart and I note that the market has recently bounced from its 20-month ma and that the long-term trend for the Dollar remains bullish.
Then I look at the weekly chart and I immediately notice a key week reversal from a couple of weeks ago and I also note that the 103.96 level is a key level of resistance, not only is it the 23.6% retracement of the move down from the September peak, but also the high seen in 2020.
3. So the break of down trend, the key week reversal and the bullish long-term trend suggest that upside pressure for the US Dollar may be attempting to reassert.
4. I go back to the daily chart, and I note the relationship of price to the moving averages (I use 20, 55, 200 day simple moving averages). I note that the market recently tested and held the 20-day ma around 102.50. That both DMI and RSI are neutral, and that cloud resistance also comes in around 104.00. So clearly the 104.00 region on the chart is tough resistance. What I am doing is noting the support and resistance levels.
5. My analysis leads me to the conclusion that the market is in consolidation mode short term, but for now while above the 20-day ma we are willing to give the upside the benefit of the doubt as we have recently seen a key week reversal below the market.
Disclaimer:
The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
The importance of looking at long term chartsThis is a Back-to-Basics video demonstrating the importance of looking at long term charts. This is a monthly chart of EUR/USD, which means every bar contains one month of trading data.
Even for intraday traders it is important to know where the 'big' levels are and where the long-term trend for a market is.
First level of note is the 61.8% retracement at .9620 of the entire move from 1985 to 2008, the market bounced from this zone in September 2022.
The second thing I note is the importance of leaving previous trendlines on the chart. The one on here is the old uptrend drawn from 2000, connecting the 2017 and 2020 lows. This now comes in at 1.1025 and acted as superb resistance for the market recently. It has provoked quite an emphatic failure and it does suggest that the longer term trend for EUR/USD remains firmly down (bearish).
Disclaimer:
The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
AMD TRADE IDEASI'm loving how AMD looks across the board! On the Daily, we have the 200 holding as support at 79, and the 10ma holding it as resistance around 82.56. MACD is starting to show weakness on the D with the histogram fading and losing momentum and it looks as if the MACD line is about to cross below he signal line.
I will look to enter towards the downside if we break below 80, with a target of 78, and a break below there to fill the gap down to 75.
if we see strength with AMD, I will look to enter above 82.80, with targets of 84.20, 86, and 88.20
AMZN TRADE IDEAS 2/13-2/17AMZN consolidating on the primary trend line and the wedge of the secondary trend line.
A break above the daily 100ma, at 99.75, I'll look to take it to 101.18, 103.63.
Between the 200ma, 100ma, and 50ma, AMZN has rejected the primary trend line and broke below a key level at 103.63 and closed below both the 200 and 100ma. The next Moving Average support level down is the 50ma, sitting at 93.
A break below 95.75 and I profit target 94, 92.75. A break below the daily 50ma and I will have the demand zone of 85 in sights!
SPY WATCHLIST FEBRUARY 13TH- 17THCPI data, jobless claims, housing starts! The Economic Calendar has a full week ahead and I believe this will be one of the deciding factors into what the market will do in this pullback.
Broke an important supply zone around 408/409 and pulled back Thursday and closed on it on Friday.
This week my eye is on data and if we break above 408.85 to take profit at 410, 411.56, 415. And if we break below 404 to take profit at 402.15, 500, 398.50!
GBPUSD Update I Approaching execution zoneWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
**GBPUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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EUR/USD Technical Analysis of the upcoming days and weeks.In this video I take a look at the EUR/USD and what levels are being watched for potential swing trading opportunities. Today was pretty much flat but I see a possible buying opportunity on the horizon if the EUR/USD drops into the pivot zone at 1.05085.
Trading Tip #1 - Always manage your risk
Trading Tip #2 - Stay Patient and wait for your opportunity
What I've learned after backtesting So, I love backtesting. Recently I've found my self in a 3% drawdown and needed to figure out what the cause of it was and trading at this moment won't give me that answer.
So, I decided to backtest.
Here is what I found:
1. I'm overtrading my system
I am a proud swing trader who got back into scalping the market in December 2022. It was mot my idea, but I thought I could handle it. I started out great, but then the market reminded me why I left the lower timeframes.
2. I'm not holding my trades long enough. Thanks Prop Firms!
Since joining a prop firm my mind has been changed to holding trades for less time than I normally would. I don't mind holding trades for weeks or months, but prop firms give you time limits during evaluation periods.
That was and still is a huge adjustment for me. Being a swing trader means I have to let my profits run. So, now, I've found a prop firm that will allow me to hold my trades with no time limits.
3. Not holding trades to my weekly and monthly targets.
I need to see past my daily targets. Normally my daily risk to rewards are between 1:1 and 1:2. I'm in drawdown because I'm not recovering from my losses with these risk to rewards.
So now, I'm only taking trades with RR over 1:2 and better. This way I'm trading less, holding longer(sometimes), and getting the best bank for my buck.
Backtesting helped me see my mistakes and how to correct them. This is called fixing your strategy.
Notice how I'm not changing my strategy. I'm tweaking my strategy to fit my mental capacity and trading style.
If you find you're in a drawdown and can't see, stop trading and backtest what you're currently doing and find a way to stop the behavior thats causing your drawdown. Then, stop doing that particular thing so you can see better results.
I pray this has helped you.
Let me know your key takeaway by commenting below.
Beautiful key week reversal on the US Dollar IndexDisclaimer:
The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
Key week reversal on the gold marketThe key week reversal and break of a 2-month uptrend all point to a deeper sell-off for the gold market short term.
Disclaimer:
The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
LYFT SWING TRADE IDEAAfter news came out about their new initiative to give people on the way to a job interview a free ride, my eyes have been on LYFT. I immediately took note of their fundamentals.. whew! In its history, its only missed earnings twice! In my opinion, LYFT has longevity potential!
With earnings coming up next Thursday, I love the position this stock is sitting in right now! It has come to meet a major supply zone and the primary trend line, around 17.45. A break and retest of this zone and I will look to take it up towards 20.50. If we reject this supply zone and trend line, I will look to take it down towards 13.85
Update on the SPX following the break of its one year downtrendWe have recently taken out the one-year downtrend, it previous November peak and the 55-week ma on the SPX and this is looking a whole lot more interesting. The market is now contained in an up channel. In this video we have updated the new levels of resistance for the market.
We note the up-channel, located at 3900, it is now contained in and future levels of resistance.
The previous downtrend should now act as additional support at 3990.
The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
Bitcoin movement in FOMC! So right now Bitcoin is bullish + bearish as well it's upon whales now how they are going to play BTC and FOMC results, higher changes are for 25BPS well let me tell you what mindset you should have right now!
Till the time we don't break the 21430-21300 key support level don't be bearish
Right now I am still Bullish on bitcoin and I am hedging the trades just because I have my long-running from 21500
Again be bullish till we break the support of 21300 ✅
Gold up move has lost momentum - and looks correctiveSignificant loss of upside momentum on the daily RSI suggests that the gold market is vulnerable to a correction short term, you may wish to tighten up those stops.
The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
Recovery for Malaysia Technology SectorWatch the video to see why 2023 will be a recovering tech stock for bursa Malaysia.
How to view the guidance via chart ( Refer back to pin message guidance if to trade )
Red Line = Support
Blue Line = Resistance
Light Blue = bullish/bearish pattern
Arrow = Double/Trip top/bottom
Red Chip = $$
Green Chip = XX
AUDCAD I Potential fall to support following BOC Rate StatementWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
**AUDCAD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future.
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P2P | XAUUAD - Backtesting PT.2Alright so as you can see in this clip I was rushing trades and not taking my confirmations 1 at a time.
It's important to analyze your charts for confluences because most of the time they will catch you slipping and you'll end up making a mistake that will cost you money. (Good thing this is just a backtest LOL)
So here you can just get a bit more insight on the idea of the trades I take, what happens when you're impatient, and what most swing traders anticipate when playing the long game.
If you guys want to see me backtest other pairs feel free to drop your idea/input in the comment section and I will do my best to assist you with a video!
Also anything you've learned watching these please comment below! The more I know on what you see/don't see will help me make these videos a lot better (:
** BTW PEEPS IM A FIRM BELIEVER IN BREAKING EVEN & TAKING PARTIALS, THIS IS JUST A CLIP OF ANTICIPATED SWING TRADES AND TRADE SETUPS**
So with that being said, happy trading, trade well, and lets run it up from 2023 til infinity!
If you got some value out of this video please share it, boost it to your trading pals, and help grow the channel.
DISCLAIMER:
***This page is for educational purposes only and is not intended for any financial advise. I am not a financial advisor nor do I manage any other accounts for our users. Any trades you take will be of your own doing and P2P will not be held responsible.***
USD/JPY -19/01/2023-• Descending bearish channel in play
• Sellers got the upper hand
• First bearish sign is the breakout below the ascending channel which was there since March 22
• Second bearish signal is the death cross of the 200 Day MA above the 50 Day MA
• Next bearish target is 126.40 followed by 125.10
• Resistance at 135.10






















