BlackRock says the market is WRONG ....The World’s Biggest Asset Manager With $9 Trillion AUM, BlackRock are saying that the markets Are WRONG By Pricing In Interest Rate Cuts. There is a divergence between what the Fed is saying that they are going to do and what the markets are pricing in terms of interest rate bets. The Fed is saying “We aren’t going to cut rates”, but the market is focusing on the banking crises and thinks that will force their hand.
BlackRock says the market is WRONG and they don’t see any rate cuts this year.
I think the US 10Y Yield bounced off some key support last week down to 3.25 and currently the market is side lined. There are some very clear levels to watch on the US 10Y yield. But while above 3.25 the longer term up move for the US 10Y Yield is intact and only a close below this level would trigger a correction lower toward 3.00 and 2.80.
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Technical Analysis
How To Trade the Triangle Consolidation Pattern!Hey Traders today I wanted to take a step back and show new traders the proper way of entering the market when it's consolidating in a triangle. Triangles are very common in trading and know how to identify them on your charts is a great tool to add to your trading arnsenal. Triangles can lead to explosive moves in financial markets so lets dive in and break it down to a science of how to trade it.
Enjoy
Trade Well,
Clifford
USDJPY signs that could point at a new push higher. Hi, thanks for taking a look at today's update. Today we are looking at the USDJPY as it's a good example of multiple signs that could show a new push higher. Sometimes the more evidence you have to back up an idea, the better. Sadly, that won't be a guarantee it will work out!
The majors continue to see a sold session to the JPY today. The GBPJPY posting a break above resistance and outside of its downtrend.
Looking at the USDJPY, a few things have our attention today that could be pointing to a new push higher. First, we can see classic divergence on the CCI, and we like to see price confirm the divergence as it can give false signals on its own. We also see price breaking minor resistance and the downtrend with a nice false low on the 24th, combined with support at 130.50/60.
All of these together give us lots of ammo that buyers could regain control. What we need now is a nice push higher that gives us confirmation. If buyers continue to hold momentum, we will look at 132.52 and 134.50 as resistance.
If today’s bar fails and we see a close below 131.55 minor resistance, this could be a warning and could be telling us buyers don’t hold the numbers yet.
Let us know your thoughts and good trading.
US 10Y yield is eroding a major band of supportIt's pretty much all about Fibonacci today - the market has recent peaked at around 4.24 and is in the process of eroding a key convergence of support at 3.25/3.32 (lows since January, the 55-week ma and the 2018 high). These are looking vulnerable and failure will imply a deeper corrective move lower towards 3.00 and potentially 2.80ish - the 38.2% retracement of the entire rally from the 2020 low.
Remember todays close will also constitute a weekly close on the charts so this should be watched closely.
USDJPY I Potential buy off 4 hr support Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** USDJPY Analysis - Listen to video!
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NAS100 I It will retest weekly level and fall short-termWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** NAS100 Analysis - Listen to video!
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#UK 10Y Yield tests it 200-day maYet another example of a market mean reverting to its long term 200-day ma at 3.13 and attempting to stabilise.
We have seen SVB collapse and UBS take over Credit Suisse and during this market turmoil, as at other times, we are likely to see markets mean revert to their long term moving averages - particular attention should be paid to the 200 and 55 week moving averages.
Disclaimer:
The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
#Bund market is completing a falling wedge #reversal patternJust wanted to highlight the falling wedge pattern on the bund (#reversal) that we noted on Friday will complete on a close above 137.25, however given the move this morning we will just go with it. It offers an approximate 147 upside measured target.
Near term #resistance is 140.63/85 - the 23.6% retracement of the move down from December 2021, the June 2022 low and the January 2023 high.
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Disclaimer:
The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
GBPCAD I Short and long opportunity!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** GBPCAD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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Pay attention to the downtrend on the #BundA significant loss of downside momentum depicted by the #divergence of the weekly and month #RSI AND a potential falling wedge suggests that market should be closely monitored for signs of #reversal.
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Disclaimer:
The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
Crude has sold off to the 200-week ma but still looks vulnerableCrude Oil has come under increasing downside pressure and has sold off to the 200-week ma at 66.15. We have various long term supports back to 64.54 (55-month ma) but given the sell signal on the weekly DMI AND the symmetrical triangle, which offers a downside measurement to 60.00, we continue to view this market as still vulnerable.
Disclaimer:
The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
US Dollar and Crude Oil Euro UpdateHey Traders so today wanted to give quick update on these charts. US Dollar still showing signs of strength and Crude Oil is now back in downtrend in my opinion. Keep in mind that all these technical developments can change daily. But I believe you only have to check it once a day when the market closes to see the long term trend. I think if you see a bottom or top formation on the daily charts normally it is accuarate because it takes the market time to carve out these long term formations. Of course always keep in mind fundamentals can alter these techincal analysis formations also.
Enjoy!
Trade Well,
Clifford
Gold's strong bounce off long term moving averagesThe strong rebound from its long term moving averages continues to suggest the bull move remain in charge. Longer term targets are the 1960 recent high and the 2070/90 region, which is the high we got back in 2022 and also the top of a 12 year channel (see monthly chart).
Disclaimer:
The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
During periods of volatility markets mean revert to long term maDisclaimer:
The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
How to Trade the Markets - Step 1 - Creating a LifelineHello,
In this video series i will be walking you through my new approach on how i am currently trading the markets.
Step 1 - Creating a Lifeline
We need to create a lifeline that factors no more than 2% on a stop loss playing the current daily candle. I will show you how to enter and factor in a stop loss for security in your capital.