H&R Block | HRB | Long at $28.72Technical Analysis
The stock price for H&R Block NYSE:HRB has entered my "crash" simple moving average zone (green lines). A continued decline into the "major crash" zone (gray lines) to close out the last remaining price gap (near $24) is highly likely in the near-term. I believe this decline will be linked to economic declines tied to small- and middle-sized businesses in 2026. However, regardless of bottom and economic predictions, I am creating a starter position at $28.72 using data-informed decisions. I plan to add more if/when the price drops to close the open price gap around $24 - unless the US economy implodes.
Growth
Projected Earnings-Per-Share Growth : +57.7% (from $4.66 in 2025 to $7.35 in 2028)
Projected Revenue Growth : +7.9% (from $3.8 billion in 2025 to $4.1 billion in 2028)
Health
Debt-to-Equity: 22.8x (high debt - risky)
Altman's Z-Score/Bankruptcy Risk: 2.8 (good, minor risk)
Quick Ratio/Ability to pay current bills: 1.2 (okay, but ideally between 1.5 and 3)
Action
I do believe more downside is ahead. There is a high probability of a continued decline into my "major crash" historical moving average area - potentially even below $24. The debt-to-equity is high, but it is a strong company. If this company small- and mid-size business issues in 2026, I believe there could be some upside. Thus, at $28.72, NYSE:HRB is in a personal buy zone with further entries planned at $24 and below.
Targets into 2028
$35.00 (+21.9%)
$47.00 (+39.3%)
Technologystocks
Potential outside week and bearish potential for APXEntry conditions:
(i) lower share price for ASX:APX below the level of the potential outside week noted on 5th June (i.e.: below the level of $1.08).
Stop loss for the trade would be:
(i) above the high of the outside week on 2nd June (i.e.: above $1.285), should the trade activate.
Signals of next leg up for one of the most promising AI startupsINTRODUCTION:
I'm not going to elaborate on what the company does, or which of its fundamentals suggest a bullish outlook. Even a general read of how the business is doing — catalysts past and present, staff size, market cap (even at these levels), partnerships — all screams high growth and high market confidence. The AI bubble is still intact and Resolve is one of the few companies with "AI" in its name that can actually make real-world use of the stuff while generating substantial revenues. They do it by focusing its use on select issues within the e-commerce sphere and this focused use is generally where LLMs shine.
THE TA:
The 12D timeframe offers cleanest structures for presentation. Please consult chart annotations in tandem with the logic laid out below.
1. The chart remains in an overall downtrend which started after the IPO.
2. The initial drop to circa $1 followed a classic Elliot zig-zag (ABC) and printed a structural low.
3. From the structural low, a bear flag printed (meaning here: local uptrend inside a larger downtrend), which took price action to a new structural lower high at circa $8.5.
4. The bear flag's extension — a 78% correction measured in red from the last local high before the start of the flag which happens to be the B wave of the initial zig-zag — has now played out pretty much in full in the bull flag that's followed (light red color).
5. The bear flag's extension resulted in a new structural higher low (bottom of bull flag).
6. The new structural higher low printed in a horizontal area of major legacy support/resistance.
7. The horizontal area of major legacy support/resistance lies squarely between the 0.382 and 0.236 Fib retracement levels, as measured from the top of the bear flag to its bottom. This horizontal area forms structural horizontal support/resistance of the whole chart as it is now.
7. Price action following the new structural higher low print inside the horizontal area of support/resistance shows strong support on past resistance. Ergo, market structure is unbroken while signaling a potential change in overall direction (because of the higher structural low).
8. By extrapolating the length of the bear flag and the length of the bull flag, a five-wave Elliot impulse is forecast. In this forecast impulse, the bear flag was wave 1, and the bull flag was wave 2.
9. The bull flag's extension — a 690% rise measured in green from the bottom of the bear flag to the top of the bear flag — fits well with the implied third wave in the forecast Elliot impulse. This implied wave 3 of the forecast Elliot impulse takes price action out of the overall downtrend and into price discovery mode (and likely an overall uptrend), where no horizontal resistances exist, apart from legacy ones which should change into supports on backtests; first one being the legacy market resistance horizontal at circa $7, where the implied wave 4 of the forecast Elliot impulse may print.
If we overlay the fundamental outlook of the company onto the above logic, it is no coincidence that the chart has the makings of a five-wave Elliot impulse.
Supplemental TA:
1. RSI is out of local resistance and remains elevated and stable, reflecting the accumulation evident in the price action.
2. Stochastic RSI appears poised to cross up 20. The last time this happened was the start of the bear flag — a 690% rise.
3. The ADX indicates price action remains in clean and stable uptrend. This most likely wouldn't be the case if a break of market structure was imminent (meaning: price action falling through the structural horizontal support/resistance in which it is printing now).
4. MFI appears ready to break out of diagonal resistance, which is to be expected given everything else listed above.
Last but not least: on the below 29-day chart we have clear evidence of a textbook (and massive) Hook Reversal Pattern. If a bearish black swan doesn't break it, this is a major signal of bullishness ahead.
FINAL WORDS:
The AI bubble will burst. The math of the hyperscalers ain't mathing. Companies like this one may emerge alive from the rubble. Not unscathed, mind. When the music stops, RZLV will take a hit along everything else and probably more so because it's got AI in its name. But when the dust settles, and the world learns how to use LLMs efficiently and economically, a company like RZLV might return to an uptrend while many others start ranging or just keep trending down to fresh lows.
***
The above was written by hand.
The above is not investment advice.
I am not a professional analyst or trader.
IGV: The Software Spring is Coiling | Targets $103–$106💻 💻 💻
The Technical Thesis: The iH&S Breakout
The IGV chart is showing a textbook transition from a "distribution" phase into a fresh "accumulation" cycle.
The Pattern: We have a clearly defined Inverse Head & Shoulders. The "Head" bottomed out near $74 in April, and the "Right Shoulder" has just completed its consolidation above the $88 neckline.
The Breakout: As of the May 8 close, IGV is trading at $91.11, having successfully cleared the neckline.
Price Targets: * Linear Tgt $103.25)
Log Tgt $106.11
The Fundamental "Engine": AI Monetisation
The software sector is moving from "AI Hype" to "AI Revenue." The heavy hitters inside this ETF are the primary beneficiaries of this shift:
The Titans: IGV is anchored by Microsoft (8.8%), Oracle (8.6%), and Salesforce (6.7%). These companies are now reporting tangible margin expansion from integrated AI agents.
The Momentum Play: Palantir (PLTR), now an 8% weight in the fund, is the "X-factor" driving the recent 5.2% weekly pop in the ETF as commercial customer acquisition accelerates.
Sector Health: With an expense ratio of 0.39%, IGV remains the cleanest way to play a diversified software recovery without the single-stock risk of an individual earnings miss.
Quant Note: IGV currently holds a 7/10 "Buy" rating from major AI models, with an 80.7% historical win rate for positive performance three months after this specific chart pattern confirms.
BTC (#Bitcoin): The "Risk-Extension" Play
As of May 2026, the "four-year cycle" theory could have largely dissolved, replaced by a strong 0.73 correlation between BTC and the IGV Software ETF.
The Component Heatmap
#MSFT #ORCL #PLTR #CRM #PANW #ADBE #SNOW #WDAY #INTU #NOW
#IGV #SoftwareStocks #TechInvesting #InverseHeadAndShoulders #StockMarket2026 #ETFs #TradingView #Nasdaq #AIRevolution
Oracle Corporation | ORCL | Long at $172.42Technical Analysis
The stock price for Oracle NYSE:ORCL touched the top of my selected historical simple moving average zone. This is often a strong area of support / resistance / algorithmic share accumulation. While the share price may fall into to $150's or slightly lower in the near-term, the long-term growth looks very promising.
Health
Debt-to-equity: 4.4x (of some concern)
Quick ratio / short-term debt: 0.9 (not great)
Altman's Z-score / long-term debt / bankruptcy risk: 2.5 (minor risk)
Growth
105.5% earnings-per-share growth projected between 2025 ($7.39) and 2028 ($15.19)
162.5% revenue growth projected between 2025 ($66.9 billion) and 2028 ($175.6 billion)
Action
While there may be near-term weakness to the $150's and lower, NYSE:ORCL is in a personal buy zone /starter position at $172.42.
Targets into 2028
$217.00 (+25.9%)
$270.00 (+56.6%)
Logitech International | LOGI | Long at $92.67Technical Analysis
The stock price for Logitech NASDAQ:LOGI briefly touched the top of my selected historical simple moving average zone. This is often a strong area of support / resistance / algorithmic share accumulation. Economic news may push the share price lower into the low $80's in the near-term, but the long-term growth looks very promising.
Health
Debt-to-equity: 0x (extremely healthy)
Quick ratio / short-term debt: 1.7 (ideal value)
Altman's Z-score / long-term debt / bankruptcy risk: 9.5 (extremely low risk)
Growth
31.0% earnings-per-share growth projected between 2025 ($5.36) and 2028 ($7.02)
14.6% revenue growth projected between 2025 ($4.8 billion) and 2028 ($5.5 billion)
Action
While there may be near-term weakness to the low $80's, NASDAQ:LOGI is in a personal buy zone at $92.67.
Targets into 2028
$115.00 (+24.1%)
$136.00 (+46.8%)
Everforth | EFOR | Long at $18.00Everforth NYSE:EFOR , formerly ASGN Inc, provides specialized technology and AI-enabled solutions to Fortune 1000 companies and federal government agencies, including defense, intelligence, and civilian sectors.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
I've been watching this ticker since its massive drop after earnings, getting a feel for how it will likely move. While I still suspect it may drop further to close out the open price gap near $14.00 in the short-term, I've opted to create an initial position at $18.00 as it sits within my "major crash" simple moving average (gray lines). At a minimum, I suspect there will be a bounce into the $20s to touch the "crash" moving average which currently sits between $27 and $32. Deep research into the historical data show one additional open price gap near $6 that could get closed if the company or market collapses. While 2026 is projected to be its worse earnings/revenue year, growth is anticipated in subsequent years.
INSIDERS
Bullish: significant buying at these low levels
GROWTH
2026 is expected to be the worst year (which may lead to a dip near $12-$14 or lower)
Earnings and revenue growth expected beyond 2026
ACTION
Initial entry made at $18.00, but larger position (and eventual swap out at original entry) planned if the price drops to touch the bottom of the historical "major crash" simple moving average area ($12-$14). Insider buying is highly bullish, which makes me think the $6 open price gap won't be closed until the company or market officially collapses.
TARGETS into 2029
$25.00 (+38.9%)
$36.00 (+100.00%)
If you liked this idea, please consider following for more: www.tradingview.com
Nextdoor Holdings | NEXT | Long at $1.75If you have ever been on Nextdoor NYSE:KIND , then you are aware of how many people are addicted to local news, drama, and crime watching. Add AI to this mix, and I only see growth with this company (if the company manages it correctly). While other social media platforms like X, Meta NASDAQ:META , Rumble NASDAQ:RUM , Reddit NYSE:RDDT , etc are focused on world news and drama, the niche with NYSE:KIND is unique. User growth will mean everything in the long-term (Q4, 2024 - total weekly active users was 45.9 million, which was an increase of 10% year-over-year).
I was hoping to enter after the most recent earnings call since I anticipated a major drop to close the large price gap below $2.00 (the company is developing the "Next" platform to enhance user growth and revenue (anticipated release is mid-2025) which will hit earnings). Maybe this platform will be a dud since the company has been hush about it, but it least shows a plan for growth and engagement.
At $2.75, NYSE:KIND is in a personal buy-zone. I'm prepared for a bumpy ride... the $1 zone or under isn't out of question - reason this is a "starter" position.
Targets:
$2.00
$2.25
$2.45
Intuit | INTU | Long at $350.00Intuit NASDAQ:INTU (QuickBooks, TurboTax, Mailchimp, Credit Karma, etc) has officially entered my "crash" simple moving average area (green lines). While the price may hold up in the near-term around this area and eventually move higher, I suspect there could be weakness down into the "major crash" simple moving average area which currently rests between $241 and $283. $202 could even be reached to close out the last remaining open price gap on the daily chart since the pandemic... This is why I *don't* predict true bottoms - the price can always be lower or go to $0, as they say... But I use probability based on historical data to build a position over time in case the price drops.
Earnings and Revenue forecast (currently high growth).
Thus, I've opened a starter position at $350.00 with much larger entries planned if the price reaches the "major crash" area.
Targets into 2029
$425.00 (+21.4%)
$480.00 (+37.1%)
GoDaddy (Revised) | GDDY | Long at $75.00***This is a revised examination from:
***Full disclosure: I am still a holder at $128.90.
This is reminder for me and others:
Buying at or near the historical simple moving average (white line) is a 50/50 gamble unless the price is extremely low (say <$5). When it comes to safer investing, wait for a technical "crash" (green lines) or "major crash" (gray lines) and then closely examine fundamentals. Building a position in these two areas has a much larger probability of short- and long-term gains than any higher price point. Don't go "all-in" at the "crash" level. Instead, build a starting position. If a "major crash" happens, add an even greater position (buy pay attention to a company's fundamentals, too). If/when there is a bounce from the "major crash" to the "crash" level, trade out of your original "crash" entry and hold the "major crash" levels.
It's simply one word: discipline.
Thus, now that the price for NYSE:GDDY has fallen between the "crash" and "major crash" areas at $75.00, I added another entry. I am planning an "escape" play now that my cost average is near $100. I'm not convince the "major crash" area won't be hit in the next year, so a larger entry is planned there.
Revised Targets into 2029
$100.00 (+33.3%)
$117.00 (+56.0%)
Atlassian Corp (Revised) | TEAM | Long at $81.50This is a revised analysis of Atlassian Corp NASDAQ:TEAM located here:
***Full disclosure, I am still a holder at $180.12.
The entire software industry has been disrupted by AI... so they say. Or, like semiconductor stocks in early 2025 (people quickly forgot about the "doom" selloff...), are the institutional investors cutting shares and accumulating new investments at lower prices in anticipation of exceptional earnings/revenue growth in the future due to AI improving bottom lines? Time will tell.
Technical Analysis
I definitely did not expect a high-growth company like NASDAQ:TEAM to drop the way it has in the past 6+ months. But it is currently unprofitable, which inherently makes a very risky investment. Looking at the chart, NASDAQ:TEAM is currently "bottoming" at the simple moving average levels that it did back in 2022 before risking 80%+ into early 2025. A very important note here is that the "crash" simple moving average zone for this company currently sits between $31 and $48. ANY company hiccup or significant tech sell-off means these levels will be hit - especially since the last remaining open price gap (below the current price) is near $38. It is exactly where the "crash" simple moving average zone is and truly the best entry point. I am personally starting a major entry at $81.50 with a final buy set in the "crash" simple moving average area. My average holding now rests near $105. I hope we don't see $30s and $40s reached soon, but such a drop is an ideal entry for a very long-term hold. I put it now at 50/50 to reach that level if there is a dead cat bounce from the $80s followed by another tech selloff.
Whatch out for any major changes in growth projections (currently high growth) or any bullish insider buying - extremely heavy selling right now...
Revised Targets into 2029
$132.00 (+62.0%)
$189.00 (+131.9%)
HubSpot | HUBS | Long at $218.00Technical Analysis
The stock price for HubSpot NYSE:HUBS is near its historical "crash" simple moving average zone ($173-$210). The probability of the price entering this zone is very high, and, for perspective, the "major crash" zone is below $100. Unless the company / economy implodes, I don't think it will drop that low in the near-term, but the growth outlook for NYSE:HUBS is what got my attention.
Earnings and Revenue Growth
Expected annual revenue growth between 2025-2028 is 54.8% (cumulative), growing from around $3.1 billion in 2025 to $4.8 billion in 2028.
Expected EPS growth from $9.6 in 2025 to $16.3 in 2028 (+69.8%)
www.tradingview.com
Health
Debt-to-Equity: 0.1x (healthy)
Altman's Z-Score/Bankruptcy Risk: 9.6 (excellent/very low risk)
Quick Ratio/Ability to pay current bills: 1.5 (great/low risk)
Insiders
Warning: Selling heavily, even recently.
openinsider.com
Action
Due to the high-growth potential of NYSE:HUBS , solid health, etc., I am personally going long at $218.00. The stock may drop further into the "crash" simple moving average zone after earnings, even down near $173, which will be another personal entry (unless fundamentals change). Only major warning is the amount of insider selling and potentially weakening economy.
Targets in 2028
$312.00 (+43.1%)
$450.00 (+106.4%)
Roper Technologies | ROP | Long at $350.00Technical Analysis
The price for Roper Technologies entered my "crash" simple moving average zone (green lines). This is often an area of support for algorithm traders. However, there are two open price gas all the way down near $317 that may get closed before a true move up. This gap closing aligns with my "major crash" simple moving average zone (gray lines). The major crash simple moving average zone represents the "best" buying zone for the bulls, but for building a position, my personal choice is to use both as entry zones.
Health
Debt-to-equity: 0.5x (healthy)
Quick ratio / short-term debt: 0.53 (some risk)
Altman's Z Score / bankruptcy risk: 3.3 (low risk)
Insiders
Lots of selling (like most tech), but there was some buying a few months ago: openinsider.com
Growth
Continued EPS and revenue growth into 2028 (as of this write-up). Today's drop was linked to weakness in 2026, but I suspect this is an overreaction - especially if the price drops down to $317 this year.
Action
On paper, this S&P 500 company is still very healthy and growth is projected through 2028. Is the 2026 weakness predictive of more downside to come? Time will tell. While I do think there is a chance of the price dipping to $317, especially if there is a slight market pullback soon, I'm not positive. So, with that info, I am creating a starter position at $350 and adding more if the price drops further to close the remaining open price gaps down near $317.
Targets into 2028
$406.00 (+16.0%)
$500.00 (+42.9%)
$NET: The $464 Vision - Betting on the Edge AI Supercycle🌐🚀
Most analysts are looking at $249, but they are missing the forest for the trees.
Cloudflare isn't just protecting websites anymore; it’s the operating system for global AI inference.
The Setup: We are currently consolidating after a massive 3X run from the April 2025 lows.
I’m looking for a reclaim of $215 to confirm the move back to the ATH $260 range.
The Target: If the $5B ARR target is pulled forward by AI demand, a $464 price point represents a realistic 2027/2028 'blue sky' valuation.
Entry: $185 - $195 zone. Invalidation: A weekly close below $168 (200-day SMA).
#NET #Cloudflare #AIStocks #Breakout #TechStocks #CloudComputing
Island reversal, maybe bull trap and possible inverse H&S From August 2024 to September 2025 INTC ranged to form an island pattern which then reversed on 18 Sept 2025.
The rise/uptrend to $54 looked like a breakout but now (Jan 23rd 2026) it will open below the $50.54 neckline which began in Jan 2022. Is this a bull trap?
If it does fall further, it should make another shoulder to complete a 5 year inverse H&S pattern, and then break out over $50. Time will tell if this thesis is correct?
DocuSign | DOCU | Long at $56.00Similar to my sentiment around my investment in Zillow , DocuSign NASDAQ:DOCU may show continued weakness in the near-term. The open price gaps in the $30's and $40's may get filled before a strong move up given the housing market news is all doom and gloom (it's winter and interest rates are going lower this spring/summer, causing many buyers and sellers to 'pause' searching/selling). But, contrary to news headlines, the housing market is actually still red hot in many locations as the great wealth transfer continues. The market is still pent up with buyers and sellers who are looking for low rates to move / sign loans. So, from housing to financial institutions, NASDAQ:DOCU has hold within this niche.
Technical Analysis
The price is currently just below the bottom of my selected historical simple moving average band. This band represents the historical mean and, inevitably, the price ebbs and flows through it. It's often an area of share accumulation and support/resistance. If the price dips further into the $40's and $30's to close the lowest open price gaps, I'll be going in heavily (unless there is a major economic collapse).
Growth
Anticipated EPS growth between 2025 ($3.78) and 2027 ($4.54) = +20.0%
Anticipated revenue growth between 2025 ($3.21 billion) and 2027 ($3.69 billion) = +14.9%
Health
Debt-to-Equity: 0.1x (very healthy)
Quick Ratio / short-term debt: .73x (slight risk)
Altman's Z Score / risk of bankruptcy: 4.7 (low risk)
Action
While there may be short-term weakness for NASDAQ:DOCU down into the $40's and $30's, the future looks bright as long as the housing / financial market doesn't break. Thus, at $56.00, NASDAQ:DOCU is in a personal buy zone with additional entries planned with dips to close the lowest open price gaps (unless a major economic crash happens).
Targets into 2028
$83.00 (+48.2%)
$100.00 (+78.6%)
WULF risks of mid-term top being Price has reached a key macro resistance level, which could substantially increase selling pressure and push the market into at least a mid-term correction below November 2024 highs. As long as price continues to close below October highs, I favor the view that a mid-term top is likely in place.
While a final push higher into the resistance zone remains plausible — especially if price holds above the 21dEMA — maintaining a high level of caution with new or existing long exposure is strongly advised. The uptrend from the 2023 bottom appears to be finishing a diagonal structure, which by nature often results in sharp and deep pullbacks once fully complete.
Chart:
Chart (Weekly view):
Previously:
• On upside potential (Aug 14):
Chart:
www.tradingview.com
• On trend structure (Aug 12):
Chart:
www.tradingview.com
• On macro bullish structure (Jul 30):
Chart:
www.tradingview.com
HIVE on mid-term top and more downside potentialPrice has reached the key macro resistance outlined as a potential extension in the October update and continues to act in line with the reversal hypothesis mentioned in the last week review.
While price might already be completing the initial wave of decline, any recovery attempts should be approached as a bounce within a developing corrective phase, with the next macro support zone at 4–2.5 levels.
Chart:
Previously:
• On downside reversal (Oct 13) and on possible upside extensions (Oct 6): see chart in weekly review —
• On further upside potential (Sep 30):
Chart:
www.tradingview.com
• On bullish potential (Sep 10):
Chart:
www.tradingview.com
• On bullish trend structure (Jul 21):
Chart:
www.tradingview.com
OUST: bullish trend structureNASDAQ:OUST is acting constructively from the mid-term support zone outlined in the September analysis.
As long as price continues to close above 25.50, I’m watching for short- and mid-term upside continuation toward the 35 area and the low-40s resistance zone.
Potential swing-long parameters:
Risk/Stop level:
- partial: bellow 25.5
- full: bellow 24
Profit targets: 34-39 and 42
Chart:
Weekly:
Previously:
On macro trend structure (Sep 18):
www.tradingview.com
On mid-term consolidation (Sep 28):
www.tradingview.com
KULR: potential speculative swing-long opportunity Price is showing interesting tight action following a higher-low formation after a constructive recovery from the macro support zone.
I’m watching for upside continuation as long as price holds above the December lows.
Possible swing-long parameters:
Risk / stop-loss: partial below 3.20, full below 2.93
Profit targets: 4.35, 5.25, and 6
Chart:
Weekly view:
TTD: might be starting a new uptrend Watching for the start of a new swing uptrend, with scope to at least re-test the Aug/Oct highs and potentially begin a new macro uptrend that could take price above ATHs in the coming years.
Chart:
Monthly view:
Possible risk levels for at least 3-5 days swing trade long:
1. LOD: bellow 37.85
2. Bellow 36.79.
AVGO: at the macro resistance zone Although the initial immediately bullish January setup failed to follow through (see idea from Jan'25) — with price breaking local support and sliding deeper into a complex corrective structure — the broader macro trend structure may have effectively fulfilled itself after reaching major macro resistance levels built since the May bull run.
Chart (Weekly):
There is still not enough confirmation that a macro top is in. The first signs would be price starting to close below the 21DEMA and 50DMA, forming a sequence of lower highs along with bearish EMA convergence (similar to the February ’25 structure).
For now the key question is whether the negative post-market reaction to strong earnings and positive guidance will sustain. If selling pressure persists and price begins to decisively close below the 21EMA, that would increase the odds of a developing reversal. Otherwise, continued dip-buying may push price toward the upper boundary of the macro resistance box near 445.
Previously:
On a bullish macro structure (Jan'25):
On macro resistance zone (Sep 5 and 24):
www.tradingview.com
and
www.tradingview.com






















