With JPY trading strong given the uncertainty on the trade war front, it is a good countertrade to have in a portfolio that is risk-seeking. On the weekly CAD/JPY chart, it looks like good risk/reward to sell against the bottom of the Ichimoku cloud.
Although fundamentals still point to higher levels for Nasdaq and the uptrend remains intact, the close last week on the candle chart could be a sign that a retracement is due
Fundamentally, as trade tensions worsen, SGD should weaken in tandem with CNY while risk aversion will cause JPY to strengthen. On the charts, SGD/JPY is trying to break below the Ichimoku clouds. Keep an eye on this as it could develop into a strong bear trend on the weekly chart.
Data from UK was weak - inflation was lower than expected, retail sales disappointed and employment change was a touch weaker. Things are not looking good in the UK and with Brexit still looming large ever closer on the horizon, GBP may be poised for new lows. With fundamentals weakening, what of the technical outlook? With GBP/EUR also trading below the weekly...
Data from UK was weak - inflation was lower than expected, retail sales disappointed and employment change was a touch weaker. Things are not looking good in the UK and with Brexit still looming large ever closer on the horizon, GBP may be poised for new lows. With fundamentals weakening, what of the technical outlook? With GBP/USD piercing below the bottom of the...
Shorting EUR/USD against the bottom of the ichimoku cloud does seem like a good risk/reward trade based on the charts - extracted from this wk's CIO's Week Ahead Update
USD/MXN is trying to break through the bottom of the weekly Ichimoku cloud. With the possible improvement of a working relationship between the new Mexican president and Trump, the fundamentals are also reaffirming what the technicals are indicating. A close below the cloud will be a good indicator that the weekly downtrend has begun.
GBP/CAD downtrend on the daily chart could be ending as price tries to break above the cloud. However, if BoC remains hawkish this week after an expected hike, it could cause that attempt to fail and result in a close below the Ichimoku cloud again. Keep an eye out for a good risk/reward trade if that should happen.
