US10Y

ridethepig

Negative rates are finally here for the US with the 6mo t-bill ticking below -2bps (feed is slightly delayed here). Simply meaning that you will now need to pay the US government for 6mo cash deposits. This is the only way they can continue in the "end game" strategy. It is a well known phenomenon that the US 2's 5's was ringing alarm bells last year, those who...

ridethepig

An insane move across Yields with historic outflows, I am expecting some relief over the coming weeks but we the lows are still open for a 5th wave sequence. This target will worryingly come into play at 0.20x! We have intentionally covered the Credit Spreads together here in order to see what is "challenging" in the US...

PartTimeGenius

Team, Here is part 2 of our analysis on the US10Y. As we can see here in the shorter time frame (2hrs), there is a head and shoulders formation that has formed and price is sitting right at the neckline. Now, it's difficult to say that this H&S will play-out to its fullest, let alone play-out at all, but we believe it's worth keeping an eye on. As...

pantheo

Way out of BB2. $DXY still in negative correlation $TNX, $TLT

zSplit

The US 10 Year and really, yields around the world, have plummeted to levels no one thought was possible. However, the unthinkable has become thinkable. I believe the US 10 year is likely only a week or so from 0.500 and if the Fed cuts rates again this month (as is likely), we could see 0 by the end of the month. The real question though is will the 10 Year stop...

PartTimeGenius

Team, We're closely watching the US10Y as it seems to dictate where the market goes. As we can see from the chart, the 10 YR is still trading inside the large down-channel, but was trending support line before breaking below 1.45 (major support) and quickly went all the way down to .36 before attempting to recover. The recovery has been weak so far as it was...

supratimbarman

This is a Weekly Chart of the US10Y yield minus the US02Y yield. (This composite is sometimes referred to as the Yield Curve and if the spread or difference goes below 0.000, then that phenomena is termed to as Yield Curve Inversion). This spread is widely followed worldwide as any number below or close to 0 tends to indicate impending slowdown in the US Economy,...

VasilyPonomarev

US 10 year bonds is trading within a triangle pattern on a daily. on 4H we have a perfect match of a harmonic bearish abcd pattern and a falling resistance line of the triangle. based on this analysis I believe that the market will drop from the underlined area! target levels are based on a horizontal structure and the...

step_ahead_ofthemarket

US10y: Series on Bonds- Sept 20th 2019(7-8 minute read) For the past couple of month yield curves, particularly the 10 year vs the short term maturities have been a popular topic in the mainstream media, mostly because of the yield curve inversion. This analysis aims to provide a well detailed approach to some of the crucial factors regarding the US Treasuries...

NotoriousSammy

US10Y .. gone where no-one has gone before. GL :)

pantheo

www.ft.com

wildcreamlife

This is so hard to get, I know! Markets were roaring just weeks ago and now we're facing the hell... well, that's the problem with bubbles. One of my posts exactly about treasury yields I said, bond traders usually are smarter than equity traders, and they told us a different narrative compared with the stock market with stupid buyback and debt. Now, don't panic...

SebastienYC_FR

On a log scale, i can see US10 to follow a trend-line. We are on it. Most dips on US10 were stock market dips (1998, 2003, 2008). Be careful at shorting indexes if the US10 yield goes back up. PS: I tagged it "short", because if yield goes up, it's a short on T-Bonds.

wildcreamlife

Are you afraid because of this? I am! The main reason is that this is such a new thing we're not prepared for. Believe me, we're not prepared at all. This is not about everything that will be cheaper, or your mortgage will be cheaper. This is about how our economy is at the edge of the cliff. The FED can cut the interest rate to boost the economy but this time...

WellTrainedMonkey

Over the past week, I posted a few make-it-or-break-it key inflection levels to watch as I felt we were at a key inflection point in the market. With the benefit of hindsight, it is clear by now the trend is negative as $CL1! broke below the $50 handle as did $US10Y which broke below key levels set in 2012 and 2016. After what some have termed as a negative 5...

Dinjin

Dates in the future with the highest probability for price direction reversals

djmitchb

So finally it looks like we will go to zero and very soon. huge spike lower, now we need to go and test it, I can imagine some kind of emergency cuts and QE starting just around the corner

JoaoPauloPires

S&P 500 Index Dividend Yield vs US 10 Bond Yield ... When S&P 500 Index Dividend Yield outperforms the US 10 Bond Yield usually is a good entry point to buy stocks and sell bonds.