Seen a very nice bullish push up on Gold today, with market moving 200+ PIPS. Still expecting a slow & gradual move into our $2,100 POI before we consider shorting the market back down again & buying it back at a cheaper price!
We are still bearish on Gold mid term & waiting for buyers to take out liquidity & reach our POI. Only then will we look to enter sells. Currently not in any short term buy's, but will keep an eye out to see if market structure offers an opportunity. Our main bias is still sells🤙🏽
US01MY just crossed-up US10Y, which -if history is any guide- indicates an impeding long-term crypto market reversal and signals the start of a new bull-cycle . Given my previous prediction for BTC to bottom out at $9.5k - $10k, I expect a strong market shake-up in the upcoming 2-4 weeks . Good luck all.
We are still bearish on Gold, but still looking to short from $2,100+ due to all the pending liquidity sitting above. If Gold closes below the current Wave W low, we can look for short re-entries from that price point. But as of now I am more confidence in this analysis. Will look for new, short-term buy positions if market structure offers an opportunity to do...
It seems that the market would have to wait longer than initially anticipated for the first rate cut. The FOMC meeting minutes revealed during the previous week showed that Fed officials are optimistic regarding the outcome of already taken monetary measures, however, they would like to be certain that the inflation is clearly on the road toward the targeted 2%,...
During the previous period investors had been pretty confident that the Fed might cut interest rates in May, however, the latest published inflation data for January made them rethink expectations. Namely, as January inflation came higher than expected, the reaction of the Treasury yields was imminent one to the upside. This move was additionally supported by the...
Gold is sitting at a very crucial price point. If it breaks above the last high of $2,033, we'll change bias back to bullish for the mid term, back to targeting the $2,100 price price point. Our sell position currently running in 500 PIPS profit🦾
The collapse in Treasury bonds in 2021-2023 now ranked among the worst market crashes in history. Since March 2020 to 2023 fall, Treasury long term bonds with maturities of 10 years or more have plummeted over 40% while the 30-year bond had plunged over 50%. That's just under losses seen in the stock market when the dot-com bubble burst. The bond rout was worse...
Due to recent publications by TradingView Team and many other TradingViewers I wonder, how strong people still believe in 4-years inflation/ disinflation credit cycle, with their eternal BTC-to-the-Moon expectations. Okkkay, Google. Let it be.. Let it be... Each coin has two sides. Just remembered, how many Covid19-talking people were there in the room a couple...
Good Morning Update!!!!!!! The real #economy is NOT represented by #equities or other public investments. NYSE:JPM CEO has been vocal on what has been happening but this is his most dire warning in some time. Personally, am shocked this gets air play. --- #yield pumping a bit after "hotter" #inflation than expected reported. 2 things we've been saying for...
I don't think anyone is expecting this, but I think we're setup for yields to hit new highs this year. The chart indicates yields are breaking out to the upside again, and this move could be a strong one. I think we're setting up to see a new high in yields by November topping somewhere between 5.35%-6.40%. Let's see if it plays out.
During the previous week there has not been significant news published for the current state of the US economy, so the Treasury yields remained relatively stable, moving within a short range. The US Labor department revised its data for the inflation in December from 0.3% down to 0.2%, but the US Treasuries did not react much to this news. One of the reasons might...
Stock markets often enjoy a seasonal share boost during the festive period. It's been an unpredictable year for stock markets after gloomy 2022 but all we are, traders, investors, TradingViewers are hoping for a successful end-of-year boost in the form of a so-called Santa rally. Shares have delivered a mixed performance so far in 2023, amid SVB crisis, high...
US FED officials decided to leave the rates unchanged at the FOMC meeting during the previous week, however, the much better than expected jobs data influenced major Treasury yields move during the previous week. Although the market was expecting to see the figure of 180K, the released figure was almost doubled to 353K. In the eyes of market participants, this...
Released US economic data during the previous week were driving the sentiment for the US Treasuries. Released data of Q4 GDP growth rate of 3.3% was better than anticipated by the market`s 2.0%. Also released PCE data show further easing of inflation pressures, where core PCE reached 2.9%, lower from expected 3.0% by the market. This supported market sentiment on...
In a fortunate turn of events, inflation has calmed. For equity bulls, more good news. Yield rates have probably peaked. To stop inflation, you must cool down a HOT economy. Overconsumption tends to increase prices. In an unfortunate (?) turn of events however, the markets haven't calmed down. Some charts suggest that the markets haven't felt at all the...
The U.S. Government Bonds 10 YR Yield (US10Y) has gone a long way since our last 1D analysis 3 months ago (October 21 2023, see chart below), hitting all 3 Targets in the process: This time however it is in a completely different situation as it may be rebounding since the Higher Low at the bottom of the long-term Channel Up on December 28, but is being...
Although the US equity market was strongly supported during the previous week, where one of the reasons was expectation on forthcoming rate cuts, still, the US 10Y Treasuries reacted in a bit different manner. Yields were testing the level of 4.2%, after successfully breaking the 4.0% level. As per CME's FedWatch tool, traders on the futures market have decreased...