Getting close to its main support for the year.
All the time it got hit (this year) it reversed hard to the upside
VIX is in clear uptrend for a while now.
Check how and what the reaction was each time VIX gets above the trade range.
Expect VIX to hit 3x plus on the next upside!
Im accumulation 35 Apr calls, not going to sell those till the high, ideally in...
Watching 20-21 zone for a support.
Historically VIX 20 zone is the bear/bull line.
I expect that to me either tested or even broken for a fake move down and then start to explode.
When VIX is at 45+ watch for the market capitulation. Ideal target for the VIX is 65+ early next year.
When its moving above 35 and especially 45, no no longs for me period, only sell...
A lower low in the VIX not confirmed by a higher high in S&P 500 is a potential divergence. Previous tops and bottoms have seen similar kind of divergences where either one of the two does not confirm the move and hence results in a trend reversal.
Note- This is not an investment advice.
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VIX is waiting for its prime time and its coming soon imo
Im bullish with VIX and will start buying Apr 2023 40 calls on Monday.
There was no capitulation on the markets so is the VIX 2-3x rally!
Means the markets have more down to go and the next move will be very violent!
Things will start to move after the elections, means very soon!
VIX Weekly Volatility Forecast 31/10 - 04/11 2022
Currently the volatility for this week is around 12.11% , up from expected 8.8% last week.
According to ATR calculation, currently the volatility is located around 10th percentile.
Under this circumstances the expected movement of the candle is :
BEAR : 9.4% from the opening point of the weekly candle
BULL :...
I have checked the amount of days from Mar 2020 first spike to the main low of this VIX smile, its 491d
If counting from the same low day 491d it comes to Nov 2nd! give it plus one day in case I should of start from the following day of the mid low.
Very interesting timing.
Also week of Nov 7th is a cycle panic week...
Im only looking up in VIX
The Vix is the end all be all for stock once it spikes up. AS we look at previous cycles and price action we can see The vix is at a key level where it took off from october 22nd and september 22nd. If we get a reject or bullish confirmation look for the market to sell off because if volatility stays above 35 mark off buy areas for your favorite stocks and get...
Im still very bullish on VIC and want to see 2x on VIX at min, ideally we get even 2.5-3x
VIX OPEX is behind us and monthly will come tomorrow, after that we are free to move in a wider range and have new levels to be seen.
Nov is a panic month!
This is getting super close. Wont rule out a fake down and then move up to above $60 level.
Some out there made a bet with Apr 2023 100 Calls for $4mil plus on Fri
VIX is showing higher lows and has broken above the Brim Level of a Cup and Handle.
This is problematic for a trader as it means a lot more jumpiness is coming.
It's also broken out of its downtrend on both chart and the RSI.
With the inflation rate going up, interest rates soon to go up in November and with more money going to be printed in the economy - this...
By now you all know the drill. Let's start with an initial framework, assess the current environment, and evaluate all below questions.
are we trending or ranging?
- a series of higher highs, higher lows
- sellers structure is broken, we are tracking whether buyers will protect or find it difficult to hold
discount?
- we are tracking the lows...
Should of been super green from the open.
Should of pay attention to it in am, would of save me from some stops
31.50 is the support
This will blow, still coiling
This is getting so close for a breakout and big market sell!
There is also smaller C&H if it hits 31 level.
Regardless of a scenario, we are very close to some real move.
I was expecting this move and wanted to see a year low hit end of Oct into early Nov.
It seems its going to play out well.
Question is only one - how low?
