OIL INDIA: The Most Obvious Inverted Head & Shoulders ...YOU are ignoring.
🛢️🛢️🛢️🛢️🛢️🛢️
While everyone is obsessed (for right now) by the Middle East military operation, Oil India has quietly carved out a textbook Inverted Head & Shoulders pattern.
The neckline is currently being tested at ₹492, and the volume profile shows massive institutional accumulation during the "right shoulder" formation.
This isn't just a trade; it's a structural shift in the energy sector that’s ready to explode.
A breakout above ₹492 triggers a massive technical move toward ₹540 and eventually ₹600.
With a ₹73,015 crore order book in the sector and crude prices on a tear, this "Maharatna" is undervalued and over-ready. Is ₹600 a dream or a destination for OIL? Let me know your target!
( I can see even larger valutaions)
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WAR
XAU/USD | Towards key Demand Zone!After reaching the Supply Zone earlier this week, Gold dropped massively since last night, from above 4700 all the way 4531 level! After reaching the Demand Zone, it bounced back up and is currently being traded at 4552.
Now, I expect Gold to drop further towards the 4501 and 4482 levels respectively to sweep the liquidity pool below them. Then there's the key Demand Zone for Gold to bounce back up strongly from; if Gold fails at going back up after reaching the demand zone, further drop towards 4400 level is expected.
Key Demand Zone: 4424-4475
However, if Gold manages to stabilize above the upper Demand zone, It could go higher towards the 4600 psychological resistance level.
XAG/USD | Lower and going towards the $73 level!By analyzing the 4H chart of Silver we can see that after it reached the supply zone, it started to drop heavily from 89.30 all the way to 76.30 level! And is now being traded at 76.60. This drop means that all of our targets from previous analysis were reached.
I expect Silver to drop all the way towards the Demand Zone, meaning that the April 13th and May 4th NWOGs which are acting as supports, will be broken down!
Key Demand Zone: 72.76-73.32
The strait of Hormuz being still closed and the high demand for Oil is dropping silver towards the lower levels and as long as the uncertainty around the war continues, Further drop is expected for Silver.
XAU/USD | Where to now? As you can see in the 2H chart of Gold, after reaching the Supply Zone yesterday and almost touching the April 20th NWOG Low, it experienced a heavy drop in price, going from 4774 all the way to where it is being traded right now, at 4671 level.
Currently, I expect Gold to go inside the 4H IFVG, and then stay above the Consequent Encroachment of the Gap, which is located at 4648 level. However, if Gold fails and goes below the Consequent Encroachment and stabilizes below it, further drop towards 4630, 4613 and 4600 will be very likely.
However, if Gold bounces back up, it can go towards the the 4687 level to retest the May 11th NWOG Low, should it break above it, I expect a rise towards 4701, which is the May 11th NWOG C.E., a break above this level and then stabilization above the 4710 could signal Gold going higher towards the 4750, 4774 and 4800 levels respectively.
We should take into account that any war related news comes out, it'll heavily impact the market. But for now, as the Strait of Hormuz is closed, Gold dropping in price and Oil going higher makes the most sense.
XAG/USD | Barriers ahead to reach 90 level again!By examining the 4H chart of Silver we can see that after yesterday's surge, reaching 87.21 and going inside the supply zone, it finally dropped and experienced a correction, going as low as 83.07, before bouncing back up and currently it's being traded at 85.20.
At the moment, I expect Silver to retest the supply zone and then go towards the Hourly IFVG above. Silver must break above the 87.00 resistance level strongly in order to be able to go through the Supply Zone and then test the IFVG at 89.63-90.54 zone.
However, if Silver is rejected by the Supply Zone, it may drop to 83.60 level which is the first support for it not to fall further, but if it does drop lower, next targets will be at 83.05, 81.90 and 80.80 levels respectively.
EUR/USD | Towards 1.18!Well hello folks, Amirali here with another analysis on EURUSD.
As you can see in the 2H chart of EURUSD, it has been on a bullish run after today's open, going from 1.1723 to 1.1773, having gone through several NWOGs and is currently being traded at 1.1770.
In my view, Fiber should be able to go through the minor Buyside Liquidity with ease, sweeping the liquidity above it at 1.1778; after the sweep, if EURUSD manages to stay above the 1.1768 and stabilize there, it can go further up to sweep the liquidity above the 1.1796 level and going for the 1.1800 resistance level then afterwards. If Fiber breaks above the 1.1800 level, it can go towards the 1.1817 level resistance.
However if EURUSD fails to stay above the 1.1768, further drop towards 1.1747 is awaiting it.
Key demand zone for EURUSD is in the 1.1723-1.1732 range.
Key supply zone: 1.1789-1.1796 range
XAG/USD | Towards the $83 resistance!As you can se in the 2H chart of Silver, after yesterday's massive bullish run, it got corrected a bit and dropped from $82 to 78.32, but then after today's open, it surged in price again and currently it's being traded at 81.25. Based on the previous analysis, our target at 83.05 remains an strong resistance.
I expect Silver to retest and overcome the 4H FVG High at 81.9026 one more time and go towards the liquidity above the 83.05 level and after that, towards the 84.48 level.
Targets: 81.50, 81.80, 82.10, 82.40, 82.70 and 83.00.
However if Silver fails at retesting the 4H FVG High, it'll first drop to the 80.80 support level, if it fails to bounce back up from there, further drop towards 79.50 and 78.60 is expected.
XAU/USD | 4800 is not that far off now!After reaching the Demand Zone on Monday, Gold has been on a Bullish run as you can see in the 4H chart of it. It went as high as 4764 and swept liquidity above the 4754 level, and then correction happened, currently being traded at 4720.
As long as Gold stays above the 4710 level, bullish structure remains intact. I expect Gold to retest the April 13th NWOG High and then go towards the April 20th NWOG at 4774. A strong break above this level could send Gold towards 4800! At the moment with the news of possibility over the war being announced finished and the strait of Hormuz reopening, Gold is moving upwards based on them.
However if Gold fails at retesting the NWOG at 4749, it could drop back to the 4710 level, I don't expect it to go below this level but if certain news come out, it could draw Gold to lower prices again.
GBP/USD | Liquidity pools awaiting sweep!By analyzing the 4H chart of GBPUSD we can see that it has been on a bullish run for a long time now, but it is yet to sweep the liquidity pools above it, first one being at 1.3657 level. GBPUSD surged after today's open, going from 1.3547 all the way to 1.3622, going through the NWOGs and NDOGs on its way, and currently is being traded at 1.3616.
At the moment, I expect Cable to sweep the minor buyside liquidities above the 1.3631 and 1.3641 first and then go for the Buyside liquidities above the 1.3657, 1.3671 and 1.3712 levels respectively.
As long as GBPUSD keeps itself above the 1.3587 level, bullish structure remains intact and it can go to test and retest the liquidities above.
If GBPUSD goes below the 1.3587 level and stabilize there, it becomes bearish and it'll go lower to the first support at 1.3575, losing this support opens the door for further drop towards the 1.3555 level.
CRUDE OIL TO HIT $150?! (8H TF UPDATE)Oil market has gapped up 3.8% on market open! Huge move, pushing Oil towards our technical bias which I called live for you all last week on my free channel. But of course the fundamental reason being pushed by the media is 'another ceasefire agreement by the U.S. & Iran has fallen apart'.
Same playbook we've been seeing for nearly 2 months now. But no problem! As an Elliott Wave analyst I understand better then to read the news. My strategy allowed us to predict this Oil bullish bias & profit from it📈
XAU/USD | Gold Stuck Between War Headlines & Key Levels!By analyzing the #Gold chart on the 2H timeframe, we can see that after the previous update, price followed the bearish scenario first and dropped exactly toward the $4680 demand zone we discussed earlier. As expected, strong buying pressure stepped in from this area and Gold managed to recover once again, rallying back toward the $4749 region today.
Currently, Gold remains extremely volatile and market conditions are becoming very risky for trading. In my view, the best approach right now is to wait for confirmation through a breakout of either the $4765 resistance or the $4680 support before looking for cleaner setups.
From a structural perspective, the nearest supply zones are now forming around $4750 – $4765, followed by the stronger resistance cluster between $4790 – $4825. On the downside, the closest demand zones are located around $4680 – $4700, with deeper support sitting between $4620 – $4650.
Keep in mind that geopolitical risk remains extremely high because the outcome of the Iran-US conflict is still unclear. If tensions ease and the war moves toward a resolution, we could eventually see Gold pushing back toward levels above $5000 again. However, if the conflict escalates into a broader full-scale war, the probability of a heavy sell-off below $4500 increases significantly.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
The Imminent U.S.–Iran Crisis: A Real-Time Analytical AssessmentDate of Analysis: Friday, November 7, 2025
Overview
The following is a condensed version of a dynamic strategic discussion between an intelligent user and an AI assistant. The analysis aimed to decode the hidden layers of a potentially imminent military crisis in the Middle East through real-time observation of geopolitical developments.
Introduction: Initial Hypothesis and the Major Shift
The analysis initially rested on the assumption that following the “12-Day War” (June 2025), the region was in a fragile ceasefire. The central question was when the “second round” of conflict might begin. It was correctly identified that Israel’s main constraint was a shortage of defensive missiles.
Turning Point:
Assuming four months had passed since the first war, it was concluded that the logistical bottleneck (missile defense shortage) had likely been resolved. This invalidated earlier timelines predicting renewed conflict by December and instead shifted the danger window to November—the current month.
Part I: The Strategic Deception (Iraq and Venezuela as Cover)
Attention then turned to a wave of simultaneous “crisis signals”: rising talk of “a U.S. conflict with Venezuela” and “U.S. warnings to Iraq.”
Assessment:
These were identified as elements of a classic deception operation, intended to divert the attention of the media, diplomats, and, most importantly, Iran’s intelligence and defense systems away from the real target. This served as a perfect cover for preparing a strike on Iran.
Part II: Breakdown of the Deception and Loss of Surprise
Key Insight (User’s Observation):
The user correctly noted that this deception had failed. With “war with Iran” trending again in global media and official warnings escalating, Iran was no longer complacent—it had entered maximum alert.
This fundamentally changed the dynamics. The element of surprise, the attacker’s greatest asset, was now entirely lost.
Part III: The “Forced Hand” Scenario
When surprise evaporates, what can the attacker (the U.S. and Israel) do next?
Analysis:
The attacker is now trapped in a strategic stalemate:
Cost of Attrition: Maintaining full-scale military readiness for both sides is expensive, stressful, and unsustainable.
Risk of Delay: Every passing hour allows Iran to disperse and conceal its strategic assets (missiles, drones), making target acquisition harder.
Point of No Return: The use of Venezuela and Iraq as covers was the equivalent of cocking a rifle—any retreat now would amount to a catastrophic strategic humiliation for the U.S.
Time-Based Conclusion:
Since the deception failed and surprise is gone, the attacker is effectively compelled to act. They must launch the attack before their forces degrade further and before Iran becomes even more fortified.
New Urgent Window: Within 24 to 72 hours (this very weekend).
Part IV: The Hidden Economics of War — Why “Crisis” Becomes a “Solution”
In the final stage, the focus shifted from “when” to “why”, exploring the economic motives driving the potential escalation. The analysis suggested that this war could serve as a planned economic reset to address U.S. domestic challenges.
Global Economic Shock:
The immediate aftermath of an attack would be a spike in oil prices (estimated to surpass $150 per barrel within 24 hours) due to disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz and Iranian retaliation—triggering global stagflation.
Dollar Strength (Flight to Safety):
During such turmoil, global investors would flee risky assets (like crypto, which had already pre-priced a downturn) and rush into U.S. dollars, causing the DXY index to surge.
Domestic Political and Economic Diversion (Wag the Dog Effect):
This crisis would allow the U.S. government to:
Deflect attention from domestic debt and weak economic indicators (e.g., PMI and recession risks).
Reignite the military-industrial complex, boosting GDP through massive arms sales to regional allies and internal consumption.
Justify inflation by attributing it to “geopolitical instability and rising oil prices” rather than past monetary policies.
XAU/USD | Gold Delivers 2200+ Pips – What’s Next?By analyzing the #Gold chart on the 4H timeframe, we can see that price respected the previous plan perfectly. Gold first pushed higher and hit all upside targets at $4600, $4620, and $4650, delivering over 600 pips, and then reacted sharply from the $4660 supply zone, dropping all the way to $4501, adding another 1600+ pips. In total, this move delivered more than 2200 pips, exactly in line with the expected scenario.
THE LAST ANALYSIS :
After tapping the $4500 demand zone, strong buying pressure stepped in again, and Gold is now trading around $4580, showing early signs of recovery. In my view, the most likely short-term scenario is a minor pullback toward $4560, followed by another bullish attempt if demand holds.
From a structural perspective, the nearest demand zones are $4500 – $4520, followed by $4440 – $4470 as deeper support. On the upside, the next supply zones are forming around $4600 – $4620, then $4640 – $4660 as a key resistance cluster.
If price completes this short-term correction and holds above demand, the next upside targets to watch are $4600, then $4620, and $4650 again. However, keep in mind this market is heavily headline-driven right now. Any sudden escalation in geopolitical tensions could invalidate the bullish continuation and shift momentum back to the downside quickly.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
XAU/USD | War ending news, Gold goes higher!As you can see, same as Silver and other forex pairs, Gold is on a bullish run, having started the move at 4552 and is now being traded at 4713! Going through all the NWOGs and NDOGs!
Currently gold is moving towards the April 13th NWOG High at 4749, but before that it must stay above the NWOG Consequent Encroachment at 4710 and stabilize above there.
I expect Gold to stay above the NWOG C.E., and I want to see it go towards the 4749 level and then above it towards the 4754 level to sweep the liquidity above it. After that, I'd like Gold to use the April 13th NWOG High as a support and go higher towards the April 20th NWOG Low at 4774.
But, if Gold fails at staying above the Consequent Encroachment, it can drop below 4700 level again and then the 4700 will act as a very strong Resistance for it.
As long as Gold stays above the 4710 level, chances of it reaching 4749 level are high.
Current development about the war between US and IR suggests that an end to the conflict might be soon announced, and with this news, Gold will go higher and Oil will drop lower and lower, dropping below the $100 as we're speaking right now.
XAG/USD | On a Bullish runAfter Silver into the Demand Zone, it bounced back up hard and moved sharply towards its targets that were pinpointed in the previous analysis. It went up from 72.6507 all the way to 77.8195, and after a small correction it is now being downloaded at 77.6000.
I expect Silver to continue its move above, considering the news that are coming out that the war will be declared over very soon. Silver alongside Gold will continue to go higher and Oil price will drop.
Furthermore, I expect to see Silver go towards the 78.6815 level to sweep the liquidity there, and then go towards the 4H FVG C.E. at 79.4154 to retest it.
Should it break above it and stabilize there, further rise in price towards $80 is very likely.
However if it fails at retesting the FVG C.E., it'll drop back to the 78.6815 support level and if it loses this support, further drop towards the 76.9283 level is possible.
DIESEL and OIL continues to rise as the WAR in IRAN continuesIf the blockade of Hormuz strait persists, western countries are going to be hit by depletion of oil reserves, jet fuel etc. We've seen similar moves in 2008 where the oil rose continually for a year and grew more than 100%. It is apparent that today's situation will be much much worse, if it persists. Thus I'm inclined to say, that a next economic crisis may be coming soon and this could be the catalyst.
GBP/USD | Liquidities aboveAs you can see, GBPUSD is on a bullish run towards the liquidity pools above it. It started its move from 1.3513 all the way to 1.3643 and is now being traded at 1.3637.
I expect GBPUSD to go higher towards the liquidity pools above it at 1.3657, 1.3662 and 1.3712 levels to sweep the liquidity there.
However if GBPUSD fails at sweeping the liquidity pools, it'll drop and first it'll drop to the 1.3604, drop to 1.3587 then afterwards and finally 1.3550.
At the moment, with the news coming out of the war being over, Dollar is dropping and further move above is expected for GBPUSD.
EUR/USD | Can we get much higher, so high!By examining the hourly chart of EURUSD we can see that ever since today's open, Fiber has been on a bullish run, going from 1.1693 all the way to 1.1777, going through all of the NWOGs and NDOGs on its way, and after a small correction, it is now being traded at 1.1773.
I expect EURUSD to go for the liquidities above the current price at 1.1785 and 1.1791 levels respectively. After the liquidity sweep, if EURUSD manages to go and stay above the March 2nd NWOG C.E. at 1.1793, we could see it going higher towards the 1.1808, 1.1817 and 1.1827 resistance levels.
However, if EURUSD drops hard after the liquidity sweeps, it can go as low as 1.1768 and then to below the 1.1750 level.
Considering the news that is coming from the US and IR, it seems the war is about to be announced "over", and because of that, USD is dropping in value in comparison to EUR, GBP and Gold.
War Pressure Building – Gold May Drop from Strong ResistanceGold is currently trading near a major resistance zone around 4560–4600, where strong selling pressure is clearly visible on the 4H chart. This area has already reacted multiple times, showing that sellers are defending this level aggressively.
With the ongoing war situation and global uncertainty, market volatility is increasing. However, despite safe-haven demand, technical structure still suggests bearish pressure from this resistance zone. If price fails to break and sustain above 4600, a strong rejection can trigger a downside move.
The first target comes near 4357, followed by 4103, while the major downside target remains around 3960. Smart Money Concept (SMC) and market structure both indicate that liquidity above resistance may be grabbed before a stronger sell-off begins.
Traders should stay patient and avoid emotional buying near resistance. Proper confirmation and risk management are necessary before entering. The market can create false breakouts during high-impact geopolitical events, so discipline is the real edge.
Note: This is not financial advice.
BTC/USDT | 81k reclaimed!As you can see in the Daily chart of BTCUSDT, it finally managed to reach 81k level after a rather long time, currently it's being traded at 80,800.
I expect Bitcoin to reclaim 81k again, and then if it goes above the 82,700 level and stabilize there, I'd expect further rise in price to the 84,250 level. As long as BTC keeps itself above the 79,500 level, it remains Bullish and can go up higher.
The war has made BTC a rather safe-haven asset, rising while Gold is struggling and dropping in price.
A rise to 90k is no longer out of reach or far off for Bitcoin, it could happen in the coming weeks.
However, if BTC drops below 79,500 and stabilizes there, it could drop back to the 77k level and even further to the 74k level if it doesn't hold itself above 77k level.
XAU/USD | Depends on the Strait reopening!As you can see in the 4H chart of Gold, after the news came out that IRGC has launched missiles towards us Frigates, Gold suddenly dropped massively from 4600 all the way to 4526 level! But then in bounced back up from the Demand Zone, currently being traded at 4566.
I'd like to see Gold go for the April 29th NDOG and then be rejected by it, dropping lower to at least the 4543 level. After that, I expect Gold to go lower towards the 4526 level to sweep the liquidity below this level.
However, if Gold breaks above the April 29th NDOG at 4598, it could go towards the 4613 level resistance and if it breaks above it and then stabilize above the 4619 level, we could see Gold go higher still, towards the 4638 level resistance.
Today, after it was announced that IRGC has attacked US frigates, Gold dropped massively, but then recovered and went back up. Now, if US reopens the Strait of Hormuz today, we can see further rise for Gold.
But any news regarding the ceasefire being broken and closeness of the Strait continues or the war restart could send Gold down very sharply.
XAG/USD | If Strait reopens, Silver will go up!By examining the 4H chart of Silver we can see that ever since the opening today, it has been gradually dropping. It started dropping from 75.7917 all the way to 72.2045, before bouncing back up from the Demand Zone and is currently being traded at 73.4500.
I expect XAGUSD to revisit the demand zone one more time, and if it manages to stay above the April 6th NWOG Consequent Encroachment at 72.540 and stabilize there, we could see a rise in price.
However, if it goes below the NWOG C.E. and stabilize there, first support will be at 72.083, and then 71.224 and finally 70.00 level.
If the Strait of Hormuz reopens today, Silver alongside Gold will see a surge in price, but if it remains closed and the war escalates, further drop for Silver is expected.






















