Wave Analysis
AUDJPY: The Last Gap Setup! I Promise... 🇦🇺🇯🇵
Those who have recently joined my group may think that I only trade the gaps.
That is not the case at all because good gaps are relatively rare.
Each time they form, I am trying to get maximum from them.
The last one that I wanted to share is a nice gap up on AUDJPY.
With a bearish London session opening, I think that this gap is going
to be filled soon.
Goal - 96.75
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD GOLD BULLISH OR TRAP READ CAPTIONHello trader's
Gold is trading inside an ascending channel and has recently tested the upper boundary. Current supports are visible at 3623 and 3603. If these supports hold, bullish momentum may continue toward the supply zone 3660 – 3675.
Holding above 3623 keeps the structure bullish.
A breakout above 3660–3675 could open the way for further upside.
If support 3603 breaks, the channel may weaken and bearish pressure can return.
This setup shows both potential continuation to supply and risk if support breaks
Gold Trading Strategy Essentials for Tuesday, September 9th:
I. Core Drivers and Risks (Fundamentals)
Bullient Factors Dominate:
Expectations of a Stronger Rate Cut: The US August non-farm payroll data fell far short of expectations, leaving the market with near-100% expectations for a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September. A weaker US dollar and falling US Treasury yields continue to favor gold.
Strong Safe-Haven Demand: The escalating Russia-Ukraine conflict and heightened global geopolitical risks are boosting gold's safe-haven appeal.
Solid Structural Support: Continued gold purchases by global central banks (such as the People's Bank of China) provide long-term support for gold prices.
Potential Risk Points:
Data Risk: US CPI and PPI data will be released. If inflation data exceeds expectations and is strong, it could weaken expectations of a rate cut and weigh on gold prices.
Technical pullback: The price of gold has risen sharply this year, and the short-term technical indicator (RSI) has diverged, and there is pressure for a technical pullback.
Federal Reserve Signals: Be wary of volatility triggered by any hawkish signals in the outcome of the interest rate meeting or the policy statement.
II. Key Technical Levels (Spot Gold)
Current Price: 3645
Resistance: 3658 (Recent High) → 3700 (Psychological Barrier)
Support: 3620 (Initial Support) → 3600 (Key Psychological Level) → 3550.46 (Strong Support)
III. Trading Strategy and Risk Management
Overall Approach: The medium- to long-term bullish trend remains unchanged, but the market is currently at a critical resistance level. Avoid chasing highs. The primary strategy is to buy on dips after pullbacks, supplemented by using a very light position to capture short-term pullbacks.
Buy on Pullbacks
Entry Area: Expect a small long position when the 3600-3620 range stabilizes (for more cautious traders, wait for the 3550-3570 area).
Stop loss: Place it at $8-10 below the entry level (e.g., for a long order at $3,600, the stop loss is set at $3,590-3,592).
Target: First look at 3650 - 3658, after breaking through, you can hold and look up to 3680 - 3700.
Aggressive Short-Term Selling (Experienced Traders Only)
Entry Signal: A rapid price rise to 3658 or above, accompanied by clear resistance signals (such as a long upper shadow on the 15-minute/1-hour candlestick chart or a top divergence on the RSI).
Position: A small position.
Stop-loss: Must be set strictly $5 above the entry level (e.g., for a short position at 3660, stop-loss at 3665).
Target: Enter and exit quickly to capture 20$-30$pullback profits (such as around 3630).
Position Management: Risk exposure on a single trade must be strictly controlled within 1-2% of total capital.
Forced Stop-loss: A stop-loss must be set on all trades to prevent unexpected large losses.
Will gold experience a technical decline on September 9th?Will gold experience a technical decline on September 9th?
Detailed Analysis
I. News Analysis (Driving Factors)
Immediate Bullish Factors:
Weak non-farm payroll data: Only 22,000 jobs were added in August, far below expectations, and the previous figure was revised downward to negative, indicating a significant deterioration in the US labor market. This is the most direct driving force for rising gold prices.
Medium-Term Bullish Environment:
Strengthening Expectations of a Fed Rate Cut: The market is pricing in the possibility of a September rate cut, with a higher probability of three cuts before the end of the year. Lower interest rates will weaken the dollar's appeal and push up the price of non-interest-bearing gold.
Future Focus:
This week's US inflation data (CPI): This will provide the next key basis for the Fed's interest rate decision and may set a new direction for gold prices.
II. Technical Analysis
Daily Chart (Determining the Overall Direction):
Trend: A clear unilateral uptrend, with Bollinger Bands opening and the 5- and 10-day moving averages aligned in a bullish pattern, indicating strong momentum. Warning: Despite the bullish trend, it's not advisable to chase the market higher; wait for a pullback before going long.
Key position: It has successfully broken through the 3600 mark and is aiming for higher targets.
H4 Level (4-hour chart - short-term momentum):
Bullish conditions: Price remains above moving average support, and the Bollinger Bands are opening upwards.
Weakness Signals:
Signal 1: Bollinger Bands begin to narrow → indicating a slowdown in upward momentum and a possible period of high-level fluctuations.
Signal 2: A break below moving average support → a deeper pullback may be triggered.
Core Support: 3550 is the weekly strength and weakness dividing line; a break below could lead to a period of fluctuation; 3510 is the trend lifeline; a break below could signal a reversal of the current uptrend.
Intraday Trading Level (Finding Entry and Exit Points):
Upper Resistance: The 3660-3670 area is the short-term target resistance level for the day.
Lower Support (Critical):
First Support (Intraday Strength Line): The 3620-3610 area. This is the top-bottom reversal level following Monday's breakout, serving as the first line of defense to maintain intraday strength.
Second support (key bullish zone): 3595-3580. This is the short-term dividing line between strength and weakness.
Third support (trend core): 3560 (Friday's breakout point) and 3545-3550 (non-farm payroll report starting point). If the price holds above this zone, the bullish pattern remains intact.
Ultimate defense (bull-bear reversal point): A break below the 3510-3500 area would signal a potential fundamental trend shift.
III. Comprehensive Operational Strategy
Main Strategy: Buy on dips
Ideal Long Zone: Enter after stabilization at the 3620-3610 support zone.
Safe Long Zone: A pullback to and stabilization at the 3595-3580 area would be a safer opportunity to add to the long position.
Stop-loss Setting: The stop-loss should be placed below the corresponding support level (for example, if going long at 3620, the stop-loss could be set below 3610). Target: 3660-3670, or even higher.
Secondary Strategy: Sell on Rebound Highs
Opportunities: Only attempt a short position with a small position when the price first touches the strong resistance area of 3660-3670 and a clear resistance signal (such as a long upper shadow or a bearish candlestick pattern) appears.
Attributes: This is a counter-trend operation, which belongs to a short-term pullback. You must enter and exit quickly, and strictly set a stop loss (place the stop loss above 3670).
Summary and Trading Tips
Trend is King: The current market is dominated by bulls, and all operations should prioritize following this primary trend.
Key Levels: 3620-3610 is a key observation point for intraday strength and weakness, while 3560-3550 is the lifeline for whether this week's trend can continue.
Risk Control: Avoid blindly chasing higher prices after a series of sharp gains. Always wait for the price to pull back to support before taking action, and always set a stop-loss to mitigate the risk of a sudden pullback.
SOLUSDT → Consolidation before the rally. New high?BINANCE:SOLUSDT continues to form a bullish trend without reacting to market noise. The price is consolidating before a possible rise. Focus on the trigger...
Bitcoin previously overcame correction resistance and is consolidating in an intermediate zone in anticipation of a bullish driver, which could generally strengthen positive sentiment in strong altcoins. Against this backdrop, the market may form growth...
SOL is consolidating in a symmetrical triangle pattern within an uptrend. Buyers are gaining momentum, and a breakout of the consolidation resistance could trigger continued growth with a subsequent update of the maximum.
Resistance levels: 208.5, 212.25, 218.0
Support levels: 201.7, 197.4
Before the breakout and growth, a retest of the 205.0 - 201.7 zone may form, however, a breakout beyond the symmetrical triangle may trigger a spread. Growth targets may be 220, 245.
Best regards, R. Linda!
BUY strategy analysis – Fix Range PoC Zone & TrendlineBUY strategy analysis – Fix Range PoC Zone & Trendline
The reason I decided to BUY at this area is:
-It’s the Fix Range PoC Zone – the price level with the highest traded volume, showing strong market interest.
-This zone also intersects with the rising trendline, reinforcing support from both volume profile and trend structure.
👉 When Volume Profile + Trendline converge, it creates a high-value zone to BUY with the trend.
💡 This isn’t random – it’s a confluence point, where the probability of success is at its highest.
GBPCHF: Short Signal with Entry/SL/TP
GBPCHF
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects fall
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell GBPCHF
Entry Level - 1.0788
Sl - 1.0796
Tp - 1.0774
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
NZDUSD My Opinion! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for NZDUSD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 0.5930
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 0.5903
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
XAUUSD: Consolidating the bullish momentumHi everyone, it’s Ken!
At this moment, gold is shining with strong appeal. The market is moving within a steep channel, and price action continues to respect its structure, forming higher highs without showing weakness.
Not long ago, gold broke a key resistance level and might come back to retest it. Interestingly, this area also aligns with the “golden zone” from the last breakout. If buyers defend it well, the bullish outlook remains valid, with the next target aiming toward 3,660 – the channel’s peak.
As long as price stays above the support and the rising trendline, the uptrend remains intact. However, if it slips below, chances of a deeper pullback will rise.
Stay patient, wait for confirmation before entering, and always protect your capital with proper risk management.
Wishing you success!
ATH Technical OutlookDescription:
ATH has recently reached an All-Time High (ATH), attracting strong market attention. The price action shows increased volatility near resistance levels, while support zones are being tested by traders watching for potential continuation or retracement. From a fundamental perspective, ATH benefits from growing adoption and market interest, supported by positive sentiment in the sector.
Key factors to monitor include trading volume, liquidity flows, and broader market sentiment, which may influence whether the trend sustains above ATH or consolidates before the next move.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The content is for educational and informational purposes only. Please do your own research before making investment decisions.
#TradingView #ATH #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #Crypto #Stocks #ChartAnalysis #Trading #MarketTrends #Investing #Fundamentals
Be Caution About Opening Any Long Position🥱 Since 2017, I have never seen the crypto market this boring and stagnant. The best strategy in such conditions is simply to stay away from trading, because the risk-to-reward ratio of any trade at the moment is not attractive enough to justify entering.
👉 Anyway, let’s take a look at Bitcoin’s current situation.
📥 The $123,000 zone acted as a key resistance, and in my view, the second rejection should be considered as wave B, At the moment, we are in the cycle of wave C
📉 I believe wave C still has one more leg down toward the $104,000 area, as wave 5 of C.
👉 As long as the price is trading below the $113,000 range, entering any long positions is not recommended.
BTC/USDT Analysis. Expecting a Breakout of the Local High
Hello everyone! This is a trader-analyst from CryptoRobotics, and here’s the daily market analysis.
Yesterday, Bitcoin tested the previously marked sell zone at $112,200–$113,200 (volume area), where we saw only a minor reaction.
The overall context, along with the large cluster of stop orders above $113,500, suggests a high probability of continued upward movement toward the next resistance zones: $114,400–$115,500 (volume area) and ~$116,500 (volume anomaly). At those levels, it will be important to watch for selling pressure, as another significant correction may occur.
Currently, the price is holding above local support at $112,600–$112,000. If buyers manage to protect this zone, we can expect another upward impulse. A breakdown and consolidation below it, however, may extend the decline at least toward the next support.
Buy Zones:
$111,000–$110,600 (volume area)
$108,000–$102,500 (accumulated volumes)
Sell Zones:
$114,400–$115,500 (volume area)
~$116,500 (volume anomaly)
$117,200–$119,000 (accumulated volumes)
$121,200–$122,200 (buying absorption)
This publication does not constitute financial advice.
ENAUSDT → Attempting a trend change. Focus on 0.700BINANCE:ENAUSDT is forming an attempt to change the trend. The price breaks the descending resistance and forms a new trading range. The focus on the 0.7 support and the bulls' reaction...
Bitcoin looks quite positive after breaking the downside resistance, but there is a strong 112K zone ahead and news on Thursday / Friday. If the general backdrop maintains its bullishness, BTC's rise will support strong altcoins and the market could turn green, including the coin discussed in this publication...
ENAUSDT breaks through the downtrend resistance. Price is consolidating above the boundary and forming a trading range. The focus is on the 0.7 - 0.683 area. If the bulls keep the price above this area, it will confirm the fact of trend change, which could trigger a rally to 0.7745 - 0.853
Support levels: 0.7, 0.683, 0.668
Resistance levels: 0.736, 0.7745
Technically, there is a possible struggle between market participants for the area 0.7 - 0.668. In this case, I will not consider the return to the channel as a false breakout of the trend, as a strong upward impulse was formed earlier, which generally broke the local market structure. However, based on the technical situation, I will consider entering the position after clear signs of price holding above the key support zone.
Regards R. Linda!
BTC Price Prediction and Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends,
>> Thank you for joining me in my analysis.
- As I mentioned in my previous idea, we are still moving in this micro correction wave X likely the pink color here.
- Now we have these movements for the white wave B, it will be a harder wave to analysis, So I have now two scenarios for it
1st: if it will break 110K, I will extend this white wave B to be as the Blue WXY waves.
2nd: if it will back to break 113.3K, I will monitor 1D TF, and I think we will watch an irregular flat pattern for this white wave B to be as the yellow WXY waves .
>> Reminder:
* For the bigger imagination of the BTC path, we are still moving into the Orange wave A of the final White C for ABC from its beginning.
* For the smaller imagination of the BTC path, we are still moving into the Blue wave B of the final Green C for the upper Orange wave A.
* For the tighter imagination of the BTC path, I think we are still moving into the correction wave A for the upper Blue wave B.
Keep liking and supporting me to continue. See you soon!
Thanks, bros
USDJPY What Next? BUY!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for USDJPY is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 146.94
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 147.66
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USD/CHF Short: The Avalanche Has Begun - Trading in the Footstep📈 USDCHF | SHORT | Swing Trade
Good day, traders,
Today, I'm sharing an in-depth analysis of USD/CHF, where we are seeing an A+ short setup developing. All timeframes are in perfect alignment, and the institutional order flow is telling a very clear story of extreme weakness. The core of this trade is identifying large clusters of "Buyers Underwater"—traders who are trapped in losing positions and will act as a wall of resistance.
Let's break this down step-by-step, from macro to micro.
1. The Macro View (Daily Chart)
On the daily chart, we see an undeniable, sustained downtrend. The price has recently broken through a key support zone. Our order flow indicator shows a massive cluster of trapped buyers (marked in gold/yellow) around the 0.81000 - 0.82000 zone. These are long-term positions that are now heavily underwater. This area will act as a massive wall of selling pressure on any serious attempt at a rally, as these parties will look to exit their positions with minimal loss.
Conclusion (1D): The path of least resistance is down.
2. The Strategic View (4H Chart)
The 4-hour chart confirms and accelerates the bearish sentiment. What we see here is a textbook picture of a one-sided market:
Lower Highs & Lower Lows: The trend structure is perfectly bearish.
Layered Resistance: Every minor rally in the past has been immediately and aggressively sold off. This has created layers of trapped buyers at multiple levels above the current price. This is the 'fuel' for the next move down.
Conclusion (4H): Sellers are in complete control. Rallies are opportunities to sell.
3. The Tactical View (1H / 15M Charts)
Zooming into the lower timeframes, we can see the immediate weakness. The recent drop was nearly vertical, indicating a 'selling climax'. The current small bounce is very weak and lacks conviction. The order flow shows this bounce is running directly into the first wall of trapped buyers. This is our chance to get in for the next leg down.
The Concrete Trade Plan
This is a "Failed Rally Short" setup. We are waiting for the weak bounce to reach a logical resistance level, and then we enter.
➡️ SETUP: Short
🎯 ENTRY ZONE: 0.79950 - 0.80100
🔍 CONFIRMATION: In this zone, I want to see buying pressure dry up. Look for bearish price action on the 15M/5M (e.g., pin bars, engulfing candles, liquidity grab) as confirmation that sellers are taking back control.
⛔ STOP LOSS: 0.80250
Reason: A tight stop just above the next cluster of trapped buyers. A break above this level invalidates the immediate bearish pressure.
💰 TAKE PROFIT 1: 0.79700 (Recent Low)
Action: Take partial profits, move stop loss to break-even.
💰 TAKE PROFIT 2: 0.79500 (Psychological level & next liquidity zone)
Action: Let the remainder of the position run, as the higher timeframes show little support below.
Disclaimer: This is my personal analysis and trade plan, not financial advice. The markets can be unpredictable. Always conduct your own research and apply proper risk management. Trade responsibly.
Good luck!
#USDCHF #Short #OrderFlow #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #Forex #TradingIdea #TrappedTraders