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Wave Analysis

Latest Gold Price Trading Strategies: Current Market Background This week, market focus is centered on the upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate decision, which will be the final rate announcement of 2025 and is expected to have a decisive impact on gold trends. Market expectations for the timing of rate cuts have already shifted from March to May, strengthening the correlation between the US dollar and gold prices. Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions such as the Russia-Ukraine conflict and Middle East tensions continue to provide safe-haven support for gold. Additionally, easing global trade sentiment and attention on US economic data are influencing short-term demand for gold. Technical Analysis Overall Pattern The intraday trend shows a slight oscillation with a downward bias, indicating an overall sideways consolidation phase. Although gold previously broke below the double-bottom support at 4175, it did not continue declining to the prior low of 4163 or the 4150 level. Instead, it rebounded, suggesting underlying buying support. Key Levels Upper Resistance: 4220-4230 (short-term), 4245-4255 (trendline resistance) Lower Support: 4180-4190 (short-term), 4175 (double bottom), 4163 (prior low) Trend Logic Historical data indicates that gold prices often rally ahead of Federal Reserve interest rate decisions. The current decline may represent a bear trap, setting the stage for a pre-decision rally. Until the consolidation range is decisively broken, chasing highs is not advisable. A buy-on-dips approach is recommended. Today's Trading Strategy Operational Approach Primary Strategy: Buy on pullbacks Secondary Strategy: Sell on rallies near resistance Specific Strategies Long Strategy (Buy) Entry Zone: Around 4180-4190 (staggered entry) Stop Loss: 8-10 USD Target: 4210-4220 Breakout Extension: If gold decisively breaks above the 4230 resistance, consider adding to positions with targets at 4245-4255. Short Strategy (Sell) Entry Zone: Around 4220-4230 (staggered entry) Stop Loss: 8-10 USD Target: 4210-4200 Breakdown Extension: If support at 4190 is breached, further downside toward 4180 and below is possible. Key Observation Points 4230 Breakout: A decisive break above this level would confirm short-term strength, allowing for additional long positions. 4245-4255 Zone: This area represents resistance formed by connecting previous downtrend highs. A breakout here would signal the start of a daily-chart rebound. 4180-4190 Support Zone: This is a critical defense line for bullish sentiment. A break below would weaken the short-term outlook. Risk Warnings Fed Decision Risk: The Wednesday announcement may trigger significant volatility. Consider light positions or staying sidelined ahead of the decision. Strict Risk Control: Always use stop losses and avoid holding losing positions against the trend. Position Management: Adjust position sizes according to individual risk tolerance. Flexibility: Adjust strategies promptly if key price levels are breached. Summary and Recommendations Adopt a sideways-to-bullish bias for today, focusing on entering long positions in the 4180-4190 zone. If gold stabilizes above 4230, the rebound is likely to extend further. Given the cautious market sentiment ahead of the Fed decision, employ a disciplined approach with staggered entries and strict stop-loss management.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by The_Golden_Perspective
Gold will continue to fluctuate within a narrow range. I. Market Dynamics Summary Macro Policy Expectations: The market widely expects the Federal Reserve to announce an interest rate cut at this week's meeting (probability around 90%). If realized, this will enhance the appeal of non-yielding assets like gold. White House Economic Advisor Hassett emphasized that "the Fed should adjust policies dynamically based on data," leaving uncertainty about the medium- to long-term rate cut path (cumulative cuts expected to be less than 75 basis points by the end of 2026). Geopolitical and Safe-Haven Sentiment: The Ukraine crisis persists, with ongoing negotiations for Western aid and potential peace agreements with Russia. Russia's announcement to ban gold bar exports starting in 2026 adds uncertainty to the supply side. Recent Price Volatility: On Monday (December 8), spot gold surged initially but retreated, plummeting over $20 during the U.S. session to $4,176 per ounce, turning negative for the day. II. Technical Analysis Trend Assessment: Overall consolidation with a bearish bias: Gold prices have shown weak rebounds recently, consistently facing resistance below $4,220, indicating a consolidating downtrend. Key Resistance and Support Levels: Resistance: $4,200–$4,205 (short-term pivotal level). Support: $4,160–$4,165 (a break below could lead to further declines). Hourly Chart Signals: Bearish Engulfing Pattern: A large bearish candlestick during Monday's U.S. session engulfed prior gains, signaling strengthening bearish momentum. Moving Average Pressure: Rebounds are suppressed by short-term moving averages. Failure to break above $4,200 may extend the downtrend. III. Trading Strategy Recommendations Core Approach: Prioritize selling on rallies, with light long positions at key support levels, while strictly managing risks. Short Strategy (Primary Direction): Entry Points: Sell in batches at $4,195–$4,200. Stop Loss: $4,208–$4,210. Targets: $4,180 → $4,170, with a break below eyeing $4,160. Long Strategy (Secondary Direction): Entry Points: Buy lightly at $4,160–$4,165. Stop Loss: $4,152–$4,155. Targets: $4,175 → $4,185, with a break above targeting $4,195. IV. Risk Warnings Event Risks: The Fed's interest rate decision (to be announced on Wednesday) may trigger sharp volatility. It is advised to reduce positions or exit before the announcement. Sudden geopolitical developments could temporarily boost safe-haven demand. Trading Discipline: Set strict stop-loss orders to avoid holding losing positions. Limit position sizing to 5%–10% of capital. Avoid chasing rallies or selling off in consolidating markets.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by The_Golden_Perspective
ETH Is Entering the Trap Zone…ETHUSD Market Analysis – Price Is Entering a Make-or-Break Zone 1. Current Market Structure - ETH has broken the previous downtrend (breakout from the descending trendline). - After the breakout, price moved into the Moving Price Zone, consolidating inside an expanding channel. - Price is now touching the RESISTANCE ZONE, showing clear signs of buying exhaustion. - The SUPPORT ZONE below (green area) remains the key liquidity zone where strong demand has appeared before. 2. Today’s Scenario (Main Outlook) 🔹 Main Scenario – Bearish Reaction From Resistance - ETH is likely to: -Continue to move sideways inside the resistance area → a sign of fading bullish momentum. -Then initiate a strong corrective drop, following the expanding wedge structure. -Expected downward targets: + First support area + Or deeper → the main SUPPORT ZONE to collect liquidity. Reasons: - The resistance zone is too strong → multiple rejections. - Price structure resembles a “distribution zone.” - The current rising channel after breakout is only a temporary recovery. 3. Market Psychology Traders turn cautious as ETH enters a major resistance area. Smart money tends to distribute positions at high prices → leading to sideways top formation. Buying liquidity weakens the closer price moves to resistance. This hesitation often precedes a sharp correction phase. 4. Trading Outlook (Intraday) 📌 SELL Zone (High Probability) 3380 – 3420 TP1: 3230 TP2: 3050 SL: 3460 📌 BUY Zone (Re-entry – Low Risk) 2720 – 2800 TP: 2980 – 3050 SL: 2660 5. Conclusion ETH is approaching a critical decision point: Priority scenario: Sideways at resistance → followed by a downward move to support. Bullish continuation only becomes valid if ETH breaks above 3440 with strong volume.. Stay patient. Smart money wins by waiting, not chasing. The next big move will reward discipline.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDShort
by RexTraderSignal
USDJPY 30-Min — Volume Sell Reversal Triggered⚡Base : Hanzo Trading Alpha Algorithm The algorithm calculates volatility displacement vs liquidity recovery, identifying where probability meets imbalance. It trades only where precision, volume, and manipulation intersect —only logic. ✈️ Technical Reasons / Direction — SHORT / Reversal 157.450 Area ☄️Bearish rejection confirmed through sharp candle body. ☄️Lower-high forming beneath resistance supply region. ☄️Volume decreasing confirms exhaustion in price rally. ☄️Sellers regained imbalance with heavy top rejection. ☄️Algorithm detects fading demand and shift to control. ⚙️ Hanzo Alpha Trading Protocol The Alpha Candle defines the day’s real control zone — the first battle of momentum. From this origin, the Volume Window reveals where the next precision strike begins. ⚙️ Hanzo Volume Window / Map Window tracked from 10:30 — mapping true market behavior. POC alignment exposes institutional bias and breakout potential zones. ⚙️ Hanzo Delta Window / Pulse Delta window monitors real buying vs. selling power behind each move. Tracks volume aggression to expose who controls the candle — buyers or sellers. When Delta aligns with Volume Map, momentum becomes undeniable.
Short
by Path_Of_Hanzo
CHFJPY SellCHFJPY Sell Entry / Current Price: 195.720 Stop Loss: 196.050 (33 pips) Take Profit 1: 195.300 (42 pips) Take Profit 2: 194.900 (82 pips) Take Profit 3: 194.450 (127 pips) ⸻ Confidence Level: 8.1 / 10 Reasoning: • Price at a 4H resistance ceiling • Slowing momentum + rejection wicks • JPY pairs have been pulling back today • Trend still bullish overall → this is a counter-trend scalp, not a long-term sell (which is why confidence isn’t 9 or 10) ⸻ Estimated Time To Hit TP1: 1–3 hours (Depends on JPY volatility; CHFJPY tends to move fast in waves.)
Short
by MoneyGangPhone
XAUUSD one more down wave might be comingwe will be talking about 5k next year but today and near future i think correction may continue, for now i am waiting on the sides and look for a short when another big correction wave starts, possible targets 4126-4080-3860 theese targets are for only to start next impulsive wave, market always goes around in same cycle, Impulse-Correction-Impulse-Correction and i intend to be there when next impulse starts, so catious sell when it goes high until next impulse.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by artisticDog29915
Major correctionI'm targetting a drop to 11 000 around Aug to Dec next year and back to more reasonable valuations than currently. This would also arrive at the very long term lower trend line on the log chart. The area around 11 000 looks to me like it need retesting. And it would need to be in this sort of time frame, before we run out of time to get back to such levels on this lower log trend line. Ok possible, but far fetched, so it still needs a reason. So why should that happen? A confluence of factors: - I believe inflation will stay elevated for some time and even potentially resurge. Trumps tariffs are not helping with disruptions and inefficiency on supply chains. - I think its unavoidable that AI will destroy jobs. Long term it will balance out, as it always does. But in the interim this will be faster than the labour market can adapt. So a lot of job losses - Due to the inflation backdrop, the fed's hands will be tied, regarding dropping rates. So they wont be able to rescue markets on this occasion with their Ponzi scheme. THAT will be a big problem. Or if that's not the case, the job losses may still be too much anyway, for their fiddling to prevent. My only reservation with this analysis, is that the jobs losses may be a bit slower to start showing up, than the this time frame will allow. If so, then it may not make it as far down as11 000, due to missing the window of opportunity to reach this level before it becomes below the lower log trend line. Although if it gets near, i cant believe it will not target it. If it misses by this date, its still possible to break the trend line to reach this area, if conditions became bad enough. But that would be quite extreme. But maybe it will be so. The final factor is contracting money supply. This could cause the above scenario alone anyway. As ballooning supply is mostly how we got where we are. But certainly if combined with any of the others, it could be nasty. So be very vigilant on this. Note, that the chart posted is a monthly chart. So this is a longer term view. So dont expect this to happen imminently or on a particular day/week/month. But keep an eye out for the signs. Lastly, potential labels for the 3 up waves of an elliot wave. The first and third are similar in terms of % gain. Less do in terms of time duration, but still more similar to each other than compared to the middle wave. Elliot waves are extremely discretional however and vary according to time frame. So much variation in delineation is possible. And it could still continue for some time. Mentioned more as a possible point of interest than a useful tool.
TVC:NDQShort
by Raccus
GEN: The Inverse Head & Shoulders SetupGEN: The Inverse Head & Shoulders Setup Hi team, Hope you're having a great trading week. I've traded a great reversal pattern forming on Gen Digital Inc. (GEN) that I had to share immediately. The setup is clean , the risk is definable, and the potential move is significant. We are looking at a beautiful Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern on the Daily timeframe. This is one of the most reliable chart patterns signaling the end of a downtrend and the start of a new bullish cycle. Here is my rationale of why this chart deserves your attention: 1. The Violent "V-Shape" Head : Aggressive Institutional Buying! 💥 Forget the slow, rounded bottoms. The "Head" of this pattern is a violent, sharp V-shape reversal. What this means: It shows that the sellers were completely overwhelmed by aggressive, likely institutional, buying interest at those lows. It wasn't a consensus reversal, it was a powerful defense of the price. Pro TIP: Zoom out to the Monthly chart, and this V-shape translates into a massive bull Hammer Candlestick. This adds significant weight to the low as a major Buy Zone. 2. The Activation Point: The structure is complete , and we are currently flying. This is exactly where you want to see a breakout ! The Trigger: The Neckline, the key resistance level that connects the tops of the pattern, is sitting firmly at $27.50. The Signal : A clean, strong break and a decisive daily close above $27.50 to confirm this Inverse Head and Shoulders is active. This will likely trigger stop losses from trapped shorts and ignite the momentum. 3. The Execution Plan & Risk Management The beauty of the Inverse Head and Shoulders is that it provides a mathematical target and a fantastic spot to manage risk. I'll sell around $29 to follow my strategy, even though the price could fly higher due to this great pattern. 🎯 Why This Pattern Makes Money This whole setup is a classic Bear Trap. The violent dip sucked in a lot of short sellers, and now the pattern's recovery is squeezing them. When $27.50 breaks, those shorts are forced to buy back, adding fuel to the rally. Remember: 80% of trading success isn't finding the pattern, it's executing the exit strategy properly. 👇 WANT MORE? 🚀 Hit the rocket and follow to see me again :)
NASDAQ:GENLong
by TopChartPatterns
EURUSD: Downside Reversal - Failure Trade Setup📊 Setup Breakdown: Phase 1: Trend-Changing Pattern (TCP) Complete The EURUSD completed a trend-changing pattern, signalling potential shift in market structure. Phase 2: Strong Extended Bullish Rally Following the TCP, price delivered a powerful extended rally—pushing higher with strong momentum. Phase 3: Break & No Follow-Through (The Failure) Price broke to a new high but failed to follow through. This is the critical signal—buyers pushed but couldn't sustain the move. 🎯 The Trade Setup: Entry: 1.1753 Stop Loss (Invalidation): 1.1763 Risk: 10 pips Target: 1.1682 (TCP Low) Potential: 71 pips Risk: Reward: 7:1 📚 The Wyckoff Principle: Richard Wyckoff called this pattern "Shortening of the Thrust"—when price makes a new high with diminishing momentum and fails to follow through, it signals exhaustion and potential reversal. This is a classic failure trade pattern: Price breaks a key level Buyers fail to show conviction No follow-through = weakness Short opportunity confirms Key Trading Principle: When the market shows its hand through failure patterns, we react mechanically. Extended rallies followed by failed breakouts often lead to sharp reversals. This is textbook price behaviour. This is the WavesOfSuccess methodology. 👍 Hit the boost button if this analysis helps 👤 Follow for more failure trade setups
Short
by Charts247TradingAcademy
Symmetrical Triangle Breakout/Gold Targets for PRZRecently, Gold( OANDA:XAUUSD ) experienced a significant pump following the U.S. interest rate cut announcement, as expected by the market. With the opening of the U.S. markets, gold seems to have found its path again. Following the recent interest rate announcement and Jerome Powell’s comments, gold has re-established its bullish trend by breaking the upper line of the symmetrical triangle. From an Elliott Wave perspective, it appears that gold has completed wave 4. Given that wave 4 may have taken the form of a symmetrical triangle, this aligns well with Elliott guidelines. The big question is whether gold can achieve new all-time highs. I expect that after a potential pullback to the symmetrical triangle’s upper line, gold will resume its upward movement toward the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . If the bullish momentum persists, we could see gold setting new all-time highs in the coming days. However, given the proximity to these highs, taking long positions could be riskier. Still, short-term timeframes may offer opportunities to capitalize on gold’s bullish trend. What do you think? Will gold reach new all-time highs, or should we brace for a correction? Target: Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) Stop Loss(SL): $4,215(Worst) Points may shift as the market evolves 💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely. 📌 Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 4-hour time frame. 🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open. ✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too! 🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by pejman_zwin
1
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bearish Volume Reversal entry Detected )⚡Base : Hanzo Trading Alpha Algorithm The algorithm calculates volatility displacement vs liquidity recovery, identifying where probability meets imbalance. It trades only where precision, volume, and manipulation intersect —only logic. ✈️ Technical Reasons / Direction — SHORT / Reversal 4345 Area ☄️Bearish rejection confirmed through sharp candle body. ☄️Lower-high forming beneath resistance supply region. ☄️Volume decreasing confirms exhaustion in price rally. ☄️Sellers regained imbalance with heavy top rejection. ☄️Algorithm detects fading demand and shift to control. ⚙️ Hanzo Alpha Trading Protocol The Alpha Candle defines the day’s real control zone — the first battle of momentum. From this origin, the Volume Window reveals where the next precision strike begins. ⚙️ Hanzo Volume Window / Map Window tracked from 10:30 — mapping true market behavior. POC alignment exposes institutional bias and breakout potential zones. ⚙️ Hanzo Delta Window / Pulse Delta window monitors real buying vs. selling power behind each move. Tracks volume aggression to expose who controls the candle — buyers or sellers. When Delta aligns with Volume Map, momentum becomes undeniable.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Path_Of_Hanzo
1