Gold may make correction, after strong upward movementHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. The prolonged period of consolidation for Gold has decisively resolved to the upside, following a powerful breakout from a multi-week symmetrical wedge. This event signalled a clear shift in market control to buyers, invalidating the prior ranging environment and initiating a new, impulsive bullish phase. The price action for XAU since the breakout has been characterised by a strong, high-momentum rally that has pushed the asset to new highs. Currently, this upward movement appears to be overextended, suggesting that the market may be due for a healthy corrective pull-back. The primary working hypothesis is a short, counter-trend scenario designed to capture this anticipated correction. The expectation is that the current rally will soon find a peak, exhaust itself, and undergo a sharp decline back towards the breakout point. This corrective fall would be a natural part of a healthy uptrend, allowing the market to test the old resistance as new support. Therefore, the TP is logically placed at the 3420 level. This target is highly significant as it corresponds precisely with the current support level and the support area where the breakout originated. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Wedge
EURCHF: Move Up Ahead?! 🇪🇺🇨🇭
I see a strong bullish pattern on EURCHF on a daily:
the price broke and closed above a resistance line of a bullish
flag pattern after a test of a critical demand zone.
With a high probability, growth will continue soon.
Next resistance - 0.9393
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GBPNZD → Retest 2.276 before resuming the bullish trend FX:GBPNZD is testing a key support level as part of a correction after breaking through consolidation resistance. The trend is bullish, and liquidity capture could resume the upward movement.
GBPNZD is testing a strong support level within the uptrend during the correction phase. Against the backdrop of the long-term decline of the NZD, the currency pair has every chance of continuing to grow.
On the daily timeframe, we have a fairly strong upward structure, with the previously broken consolidation resistance and the 0.5f area playing a key role. This tandem hides a liquidity area that could become a driver for the market. A false breakdown of 2.276 could trigger a resumption of growth.
Support levels: 2.276, 2.2682
Resistance levels: 2.2983, 2.3215
The bullish trend may support the main trend. The current correction is a healthy movement within an uptrend that may continue after a pullback and consolidation.
Best regards, R. Linda!
EUR/USD | Triangle Formation |EUR/USD – Symmetrical Triangle Formation | Elliott Wave Count (ABCDE)
Price action is currently developing within a symmetrical triangle pattern, with waves a–b–c–d–e in play.
Demand Zone (Buyers Zone): Price recently tapped into demand, showing bullish reaction.
Supply Zone 2 (1.1687): Acts as a key resistance level for short-term targets.
Wave Structure: The market is respecting Elliott Wave triangle formation, suggesting a possible bullish breakout after wave e completes.
Plan: Expect consolidation within the triangle before a potential push toward 1.1687. Break and close above may confirm continuation; failure could lead to retest of lower support levels.
📊 This setup aligns with both Elliott Wave theory and supply-demand dynamics, offering clear short-term trading opportunities.
EURUSD (1H) – Pullback Into Demand Zone, Key Decision AheadFOREXCOM:EURUSD
Structure | Trend | Key Reaction Zones
Price recently broke out of a rising channel, retracing sharply back into the demand zone (1.1610 – 1.1630). The structure still holds higher lows (HL) but faces resistance near 1.1680.
Market Overview
After strong bullish momentum towards 1.1740, EURUSD rejected at major resistance and is now consolidating lower. The demand zone will act as a make-or-break level. A bounce may confirm bullish continuation, while a breakdown could extend bearish momentum.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀 →
🎯 Target 1: 1.1680
🎯 Target 2: 1.1720
🎯 Extended: 1.1743
❌ Bearish Case 📉 →
🎯 Downside Target 1: 1.1610
🎯 Downside Target 2: 1.1580
🎯 Extended: 1.1574
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 1.1680 – 1.1720
Support 🟢: 1.1630 – 1.1610
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Sep 2, 2025 - SOLUSDT 1H Chart Analysis-01Despite the broader long-term uptrend in Solana, yesterday I was considering a risky short position on one of the altcoins and had already defined the triggers. Fortunately, the short trigger was broken while I wasn’t monitoring the chart, so no position was opened.
The positive development is that we saw a fake breakdown of the 197.36 support zone. After collecting liquidity below this level, Solana initiated a strong bullish move.
I’ve marked the long trigger at 206.24. However, for an early entry ، if I spot a market structure shift in the pullback zone, I’ll scale in with a partial position. Then, if the main level breaks, I’ll add more volume to the trade.
I will also check my entries with the SOLBTC chart for more confirmation
Gold Break of All Time Highs May Lead to A RetracementNow that ATHs have been claimed, it might be time for a pullback.
Wait for a retest of that broken trendline support or a break of that support structure highlighted on the H1 time frame and begin to target demand zones as price steadily moves to the downside.
AVALANCHE - GOOD ENTRY FOR LONG SWING TRADE, 100%+AVALANCHE (AVAX) - Layer 1 blockchain, that functions as a platform for decentralized applications and custom blockchain networks. It is one of Ethereum’s rivals, aiming to unseat Ethereum as the most popular blockchain for smart contracts. It aims to do so by having a higher transaction output of up to 6,500 transactions per second while not compromising scalability.
Looking for an entry around $25 and exit around $50 on spot for a nice 2x. Its possible for price to move a bit lower in the short term depending on overall crypto market, however this is a good swing trade and any lower entry would be a better entry. You can wait for bullish volume and a catalyst if you feel its risky, or overall crypto/altcoin sentiment to increase.
EVER potential runnerI believe insurance will be a great spot in 2026, especially if there is a mix of growth stocks in your spread of exposure. Between Oscar and other hot names, I believe EVER might actually be less risky. The company is partnered with major insurance companies, including Liberty Mutual, Progressive, The General, Root, and more. This company helps originate. The company pre-validates potential high-intent customers. They also align them with the partnered insurance companies' requirements ahead of time, which gives them expanding margins.
Technically, we note a wedge ready to break out on rising volume. BBWP has bottomed, so expansion is likely soon. RSI has had a meaningful reset. Most importantly, the stock has corrected to the golden pocket, a key area for large buyers—the golden pocket lands between the .5 and .618 (golden fib).
I will enter shares here since this small-cap's option chain is not mature.
Is SOL about to drop SOL is now making a mini rising wedge inside the weekly resistance zone. Once SOL breaks out of this wedge it might lead to a new down trend before finding support at around $150-$120 before it begins to go back up to possibly around $230 or more, It depends on the momentum of the move.
BTC Dominance - Wedge Pattern BTC Dominance (BTC.D) chart broke out of a long term parallel channel in late Aug 2025. Chart was forming a wedge pattern which has now broke out towards upside.
Chart is expected to retrace up to bottom trendline of the parallel channel (from where it initial broke out) around 60%.
This in turns means that we should expect some bearish price movements across all alt coins.
Once BTC.D chart hits 60%, it will continue its downward trend.
XAUUSD (15M) – Price Compression Near Trendline,Breakout LoadinGFOREXCOM:XAUUSD
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XAUUSD (15M) – Price Compression Near Trendline, Breakout Loading ⚡
Structure | Trend | Key Reaction Zones
Gold is compressing between resistance and short-term demand, showing LHs at the top and LLs near 3,465. Price is coiling for a breakout.
Market Overview
After sellers rejected 3,489, XAUUSD has been trapped in a narrowing range, forming lower highs but holding demand near 3,465. Momentum is weakening, and traders should watch closely for a breakout resolution from this triangle compression. A bullish push above 3,481 can trigger upside continuation, while failure below 3,472–3,465 risks further decline.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀 →
🎯 Target 1: 3,478
🎯 Target 2: 3,481
🎯 Target 3: 3,489
❌ Bearish Case 📉 →
🎯 Downside Target 1: 3,472
🎯 Downside Target 2: 3,465 (Critical Support)
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 3,478 → 3,481 → 3,489
Support 🟢: 3,472 → 3,465
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
BTCUSDT (30m) – Possible Bullish Continuation | INTRADY OR SCALPBINANCE:BTCUSDT
Structure | Trend | Key Reaction Zones
BTC is consolidating inside an accumulation phase after liquidity sweeps. Price has bounced strongly from the demand zone and is now testing trendline resistance.
Market Overview
BTC structure shows a mix of accumulation and false breakouts, with liquidity grabs on both sides. As long as the strong demand base holds, buyers may attempt to break trendline resistance for continuation. Momentum will shift decisively if BTC clears the immediate resistance zone, otherwise rejection can push it back toward the lower support.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀 → Bounce from demand with breakout above 109,400 could lead to:
🎯 Target 1: 109,834
🎯 Target 2: 110,867
🎯 Target 3: 111,500 (major breakout level)
❌ Bearish Case 📉 → Failure to hold 108,400 may trigger deeper downside:
🎯 Target 1: 108,174
🎯 Target 2: 107,452
🎯 Target 3: 107,250 (critical demand test)
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 109,400 → 109,834 → 110,867
Support 🟢: 108,400 → 108,174 → 107,452
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
EURUSD Long: Bullish Rally Will Continue, After RetestHello, traders! The prior market structure for EURUSD was defined by a descending channel, which concluded with a pivot point low in the 1.1600 demand area. A strong bullish initiative from that low triggered a breakout, reversing the downtrend and establishing the current bullish market phase. This has led the price auction into a new upward trajectory.
Currently, the price action is being guided by a well-defined ascending wedge. After testing the upper boundary, the price has made a corrective move down and is now at a critical inflection point. The auction is directly testing the confluence of the ascending demand line and the horizontal 1.1700 - 1.1710 demand area, a key zone for buyers to demonstrate control.
The primary scenario anticipates a successful defense of this support confluence. A confirmed bounce from the demand line would validate the integrity of the ascending wedge and signal that the bullish initiative is ready to resume. This would likely trigger a full rotation to the upside within the pattern. The take-profit is therefore set at 1.1750, targeting the upper supply line of the wedge. Manage your risk!
BTCUSD: Decline Movement ContinuesHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Bitcoin setup.
Market Analysis
From a broader perspective, the price action for Bitcoin has been bearish since it was rejected from the major Resistance Zone 2 near 118900. This initiated a downtrend that has since been developing within the confines of a large downward wedge pattern, creating a sequence of lower highs and lower lows.
The most recent significant event was the breakdown below the key horizontal Resistance Zone 1 around the 112100 mark. After finding temporary support, the price is now in a corrective rally, heading back up towards the main resistance line of the wedge in a classic retest move.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario is based on the expectation that the dominant downtrend will continue. I'm anticipating that the price will complete this corrective bounce and touch the wedge's resistance line. Upon reaching this area, I expect sellers to show strength, reject the price, and cause a reversal that initiates the next impulsive move downwards within the overall structure.
Therefore, the strategy is to watch for this rejection from the wedge's resistance. The primary target for this move is 106500 points, which aligns perfectly with the lower support line of the wedge pattern.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
Sep 1, 2025 - SOLUSDT 4H Chart Big Picture
At a broader look, the SOLUSDT chart is currently testing a major historical resistance at 203.36 — a level first seen back in 2021 and again in early 2024. This zone was finally broken toward the end of 2024, but the breakout lacked momentum, and after touching around $300, the price fell back below this level.
Now, Solana appears to be making another attempt to break through this ceiling, forming a very interesting structure. On the first retest, strong selling pressure was clear and pushed the price lower. However, it didn’t take long before price came back to the zone again — this time slightly pushing sell orders higher. Since then, each touch of this level has repeated the same story, gradually forming a triangle-like shape.
To measure the strength of buyers vs sellers in this zone, I analyzed the volume across each leg. What stood out was the rising volume on bullish legs, which suggests stronger buying pressure compared to selling.
Another important observation: while price is struggling to print significantly higher highs, it’s consistently forming higher lows — another clear sign of buy-side pressure.
This analysis provides a broader, medium-to-long-term perspective on SOLUSDT. In the next post, I’ll break down the entry triggers and target levels.
Sep1, ETHUSDT Daily Analysis
Intro
For the first time in almost two months, Ethereum has broken below its ascending trendline. In addition, a flat top structure is clearly visible on the 4H chart. These signals make me less bullish on Ethereum compared to before.
That said, there’s still no confirmation of a full trend reversal yet. However, I’ll be more cautious about opening long positions on ETH for now. The key level I’m watching is 4,078.56 — a breakdown below this level could change my long-term outlook on Ethereum and provide a potential short trigger.
⏳ 1H Outlook
On the 1H timeframe, the first setup that caught my attention is a triangle pattern, which has recently broken to the upside. A pullback to the breakout area has also occurred. If price breaks above 4,483.86 after this pullback, it could present a good long opportunity.
Still, I don’t plan to hold this long for the mid/long term — I will take profits at the nearest resistance levels. I’ll keep this approach until the upcoming U.S. unemployment data and other economic news set the broader market direction this week.
📉 Short-side View
At the moment, I don’t see a clear short trigger on Ethereum, nor do I have a strong interest in taking short positions right now.
From a broader perspective, Ethereum may be forming a large range (box) between 4,065.50 and 4,816.84 . Currently, the price sits roughly in the middle of this range, while potential short triggers are much closer to the bottom boundary of the box.
From Strength to Weakness: ETH Validates a Key Bearish PatternIntroduction (Market Context)
Ether Futures (ETH) and Micro Ether Futures (MET) have been at the center of market attention since April 2025, when prices staged a remarkable rally of more than +250%. This surge was not just a technical phenomenon—it came in the wake of major macro events such as Liberation Day and the reemergence of U.S. tariff policies under Donald Trump’s administration. Those developments sparked speculative flows into digital assets, with Ether acting as one of the prime beneficiaries of capital rotation.
Yet markets rarely move in one direction forever. After such a sharp rise, technical exhaustion often follows, and signs of that exhaustion are beginning to surface on ETH’s daily chart. Traders who enjoyed the rally now face a critical juncture: whether to protect gains or to consider new opportunities in the opposite direction. The key lies in a pattern that has appeared many times in history, often marking important reversals—the Rising Wedge.
What is a Rising Wedge?
A Rising Wedge is one of the most recognizable bearish reversal formations in technical analysis. It typically develops after a strong uptrend, where price continues to push higher but does so with diminishing momentum. On the chart, the highs and lows still point upward, but the slope of the highs is shallower than the slope of the lows, creating a narrowing upward channel.
The psychology behind the wedge is critical: buyers are still in control, but they are running out of strength with every push higher. Sellers begin to absorb demand more aggressively, and eventually, price breaks through the lower boundary of the wedge. This breakdown often accelerates as trapped buyers unwind positions.
From a measurement perspective, technicians project the maximum width of the wedge at its start, and then apply that distance downward from the point of breakdown. This projection offers a technical target for where price may gravitate in the following weeks. In the case of Ether Futures, that target points toward the 3,200 area, a level of strong technical interest and a logical area for traders to watch closely.
RSI and Bearish Divergence
Alongside the wedge, momentum indicators add further weight to the bearish case. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a widely used oscillator that measures momentum on a scale of 0 to 100. Values above 70 are generally interpreted as “overbought,” while values below 30 suggest “oversold.”
The most powerful signals often emerge not when RSI is at an extreme, but when it diverges from price action. A bearish divergence occurs when price sets higher highs while RSI forms lower highs. This is an indication that upward momentum is weakening even as price appears to climb.
Ether Futures have displayed this phenomenon clearly over the past few weeks. The daily chart shows four successive higher highs in price, yet RSI failed to confirm these moves, instead tracing a series of lower peaks. Notably, RSI pierced the overbought zone above 70 twice during this period, but momentum faded quickly after each attempt. This divergence is a classic early warning sign that a bullish run is running out of steam.
Forward-Looking Trade Idea
With the Rising Wedge breakdown and RSI divergence in place, a structured trade plan emerges. Futures traders can express this view through either the standard Ether Futures contract (ETH) or its smaller counterpart, the Micro Ether Futures contract (MET).
Contract Specs & Margins
Ether Futures (ETH): Notional = 50 Ether, Tick size = 0.50, Tick value = $25.00, Initial margin ≈ $68,800 (subject to CME updates).
Micro Ether Futures (MET): Notional = 0.1 Ether, Tick size = 0.50, Tick value = $0.05, Initial margin ≈ $140 (subject to CME updates).
Trade Plan (Bearish Setup)
Direction: Short
Entry: 4,360
Target: 3,200
Stop Loss: 4,702 (coinciding with a minor resistance level)
Reward-to-Risk Ratio: ≈ 3.39 : 1
The projected wedge target around 3,200 is not only a measured move from the pattern but also sits close to a previously established UFO support zone. While anecdotal, this confluence reinforces the credibility of the level as a potential magnet for price.
Risk Management
Regardless of how compelling a technical setup may appear, the most decisive factor in trading remains risk management. Defining risk in advance ensures that losses are limited if the market behaves unexpectedly. In this case, placing the stop at 4,702 not only keeps risk under control but also aligns with a minor resistance level, making the trade plan technically coherent.
Position sizing also plays a crucial role. The availability of Micro Ether Futures (MET) allows traders to participate with significantly reduced capital requirements compared to the full-sized ETH contract. This flexibility makes it easier to fine-tune exposure and manage account risk more precisely.
Equally important is the discipline of adhering to precise entries and exits. Chasing a trade or ignoring pre-defined stop levels can erode the edge provided by technical analysis. Markets often deliver multiple opportunities, but without sound risk management, traders may not survive long enough to benefit from them. Ultimately, capital preservation is the foundation on which consistent performance is built.
Closing
Ether’s spectacular rally since April 2025 is a reminder of the asset’s ability to deliver explosive moves under the right conditions. Yet history shows that parabolic advances rarely continue uninterrupted. The combination of a Rising Wedge breakdown and a confirmed RSI divergence provides strong evidence that the current uptrend is losing momentum, and the market may be entering a corrective phase.
For traders, this is less about predicting the future and more about recognizing when probabilities align in favor of a defined setup. With clear entry, target, and stop levels, the ETH and MET contracts offer a structured opportunity for those willing to take a bearish stance while managing their risk appropriately.
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
SpotCrude Short Setup - 4h💎MJTrading
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🛢️ PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDE Short Setup – Third Tap of Falling Wedge Resistance
Pattern: Falling wedge
Context: Price is testing wedge resistance for the third time, with rejection signs
Bias: Bearish
🟢 Entry Point: 64.5
This aligns with upper boundary of the Falling Wedge (After Rejection).
❌ Stop Loss (SL): 65.5
🎯 Take Profit (TP) Levels
✅ TP1 (RR1) → 63.5
📈 TP2 → 62.5
💰 TP3 → 61.5
🧠 Trade Logic
Price is testing wedge resistance for the third time, with rejection signs
⚠️ Risk Management
Risk:Reward ratio ranges from 1:1 to 1:3, depending on TP level.
Psychology Always Matters:






















