Crypto might still have gas in the tankAn equal-weight basket of popular cryptos is forming a descending wedge (bullish) on the 4 hour chart.
There's also a very mild uptick in momentum.
I wouldn't take excessive risk here, potentially add on dips to cryptos you have strong conviction on, and don't be surprised if we really are at the end of the cycle.
Wedge
CHF/JPY: Bearish Outlook ExplainedCHFJPY appears to be showing bearish tendencies following a test of a significant intraday resistance level.
The price has broken and closed below the support of a rising wedge pattern, and we are observing considerable bearish pressure this morning.
It is possible that the price may soon reach the 193.36 level.
XAUUSD INTRADAY – Breakout + Retest Reaction SetupFOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case (Primary Bias)
If price holds the 4060–4070 retest zone and prints bullish confirmation, buyers may target:
🎯 1st Target: 4105–4112
🎯 2nd Target: 4150–4165
This scenario remains valid as long as price stays above 4040.
❌ Bearish Case (Invalidation Trigger)
If price fails to hold above 4040 and breaks below the demand zone, a deeper sell-side expansion may follow toward:
Only a clean break below 4040 shifts sentiment bearish.
Current Levels to Watch
Supply Zone: 4060–4075
Support Zone / Entry Interest: 4045–4040
Key Demand: 4025–4035
Major Resistance: 4165–4175
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Please manage risk and trade based on your own strategy.
$ETH looks MAJORLY BULLISH for 2026CRYPTOCAP:ETH has been stagnant this entire year, performing very poorly related to CRYPTOCAP:BTC
However, CRYPTOCAP:ETH will have its day. It looks majorly bullish fundamentally leading into 2026, and the chart checks out as potentially very bullish setup.
As you can see, CRYPTOCAP:ETH closed above the .618 the past few days from the range dating back to April 2025. It also is channeling down in a falling wedge.
What is interesting is Ethereum's recent strength relative to Bitcoin. It looks stronger than CRYPTOCAP:BTC and I believe the narrative majorly shifts from BTC to ETH next year. The chart is primed for an absolute explosion and the suppression of it this year reminds me of the BTC suppression that happened in 2022 as institutions and whales had their fill (bought a ton).
Keep an eye on Ethereum into 2026, but the chart screams she is ready to rip with a proper push. If we break out of this falling wedge and retest it with volume, get ready to fuel the jets because Ethereum has not had a proper run since 2021.
It is quite likely it will be a keystone to the digitalization of our society and world via the blockchain. No other coin or company can compete. ETH is about to have its day in the sun.
USDCHF - Getting OverBought!📈USDCHF remains overall bullish in the medium term , but price is now approaching a major confluence resistance where caution is needed. The upper bound of the wedge pattern lines up perfectly with the red supply zone, an area that has rejected price multiple times in the past.
📉As USDCHF moves into this intersection, we will be looking for sell setups, expecting the bears to step in and defend this zone. A rejection from here could trigger a corrective move back toward the lower trendline and the green support zone.
Only a clean break and hold above the red zone would invalidate the bearish outlook and allow the bullish momentum to continue.
For now, sellers have the upper hand as we approach this key resistance… will they take control again? 🤔
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
FET Breakdown: Is a Major Dump Just Getting Started?Yello, Paradisers! Have you seen what just happened on FET/USDT? The chart is flashing multiple warning signs, and if you’re not paying close attention, you could get caught on the wrong side of the next big move. Let’s break it down.
💎FETUSDT has officially broken out of a rising wedge pattern—a well-known bearish structure. This breakdown didn’t happen in isolation. It was accompanied by a clear bearish divergence, showing that while the price pushed higher, the underlying momentum was already fading. That’s a red flag for anyone still thinking bullish.
💎More importantly, price action has shown a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), confirming a potential shift in the trend direction. On top of that, the recent rejection came precisely from the 200 EMA and a known resistance zone, both of which have historically acted as key turning points. When these factors align, they significantly increase the probability of a deeper move to the downside.
💎If the price pulls back from here, the smarter move is to wait for a bearish candlestick pattern to form right at the resistance zone. That would give a cleaner entry with stronger confirmation and a higher reward-to-risk ratio. While aggressive traders may be tempted to enter from current levels—where a 1:1 RR still exists—this is not a sustainable strategy over the long run. Discipline and patience are key if you want to stay consistently profitable.
💎However, if the price breaks out above our invalidation level and closes with conviction, the bearish setup becomes invalid. In that case, it’s best to step aside and wait for more favorable price action to form. There’s no need to rush; missing a trade is always better than forcing one with poor structure.
🎖Strive for consistency, not quick profits. Treat the market as a businessman, not as a gambler.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
Rising Wedge Breakout Spells Decline Continuation For GUFX:GBPUSD delivered a Breakout of A Rising Wedge to end the week last week!
Next, we should suspect a Retest of this Breakout @ the 38.2% Retracement level around 1.31864.
This level proved to hold price below it through the formation of the pattern and would serve as a great area of opportunity to short the pair and ride Price down!
If the Retest of the Breakout is successful, Price would next find Support at the April Lows around the 1.28 - 1.27 area!
Fundamentally its a heavy week for USD with events for GBP littered throughout so keep a close eye on how the results end up affecting the markets!
Bitcoin Bear Market 2026 | Macro Cycle & Rising Wedge BreakdownBitcoin Macro Cycle Analysis (2013–2029) | Rising Wedge Breakdown • 2026 Bear Market Targets • Historical % Drops & Next Accumulation Zone
Bitcoin historical data strongly follows multi-year macro cycles , where each bull market has been followed by a deep bear market correction:
📉 2nd Cycle (2017–2018)
Top: 19,666 (17 Dec 2017)
Bottom: 3,122 (15 Dec 2018)
Correction: –84.23%
📉 3rd Cycle (2021–2022)
Top: 68,997 (8 Nov 2021)
Bottom: 15,479 (9 Nov 2022)
Correction: –76.64%
📉 4th Cycle (2025–2026 – Ongoing)
Top: 126,272 (6 Oct 2025)
Rising Wedge + Distribution Phase breakdown confirms bearish structure shift
Based on historical cycle behavior and on-chain indicators, Bitcoin has entered the 4th major bear market
📍 Projected Bottom Zone (2026)
Primary Support Zone:
➡️ $40,000 – $42,000 – $45,382
(Aligned with Wedge Breakdown + Macro Support)
Percentage-Based Targets:
–68.16% drop: → ≈ $40,000
–74% historical drop scenario: → ≈ $31,000 (max capitulation zone)
📅 Expected Bottom Window:
September – October 2026
→ Historically the strongest long-term buying opportunity .
📈 5th Cycle Expectations (2026–2029)
Bitcoin has been following a Long-Term Rising Wedge (Bearish Continuation / Reversal Pattern) since 2021.
This pattern is expected to fully complete by April 2029 → leading into a new long-term top and then the 5th bear market .
⭐ Why This Analysis Matters
Combines **cycle history**, **on-chain metrics**, **pattern analysis**, and **macro support zones**
Helps identify high-probability long-term Bitcoin accumulation levels
Useful for swing traders, long-term investors, and cycle-based portfolio strategies
🔔 If You Find This Analysis Helpful
👍 Like • 💬 Comment • ⭐ Save
It motivates me to share more high-quality Bitcoin cycle research!
HTZ | Falling Wedge Reversal Setup - Breakout Toward $10Hertz Global Holdings (HTZ) is currently trading at the lower boundary of a well-defined falling wedge pattern, a structure that often signals a potential bullish reversal. The price has once again touched the wedge’s support line, showing early signs of reacting from this level. This repeated defense of support suggests that sellers may be losing momentum as the range continues to narrow.
If HTZ maintains support at this lower trendline and begins to push higher, the next key level to monitor is the upper wedge resistance. A confirmed breakout above that level may trigger a shift in trend, opening room for a measured move toward the $10 target area, which aligns with previous highs and the projected wedge breakout objective.
While the trend is still technically down, the structure of the wedge combined with the current bounce setup provides a constructive environment for a possible reversal. Confirmation and healthy volume on the breakout will be essential to validate the move.
(This idea is for educational purposes only, not financial advice.)
Iluniam: Stablecoins 2.0 — 8–15 % APY with Zero Volatility RiskWhile the broader crypto market is going through one of its sharpest corrections of the entire cycle — Bitcoin down 17 %, Ethereum down 22 %, and most major altcoins bleeding 30–45 % in just two weeks — there exists an asset class that not only refuses to drop, but is currently paying the highest real, predictable yield we have seen in the past 26 months.
We are talking about the new generation of stablecoins and proven classics (USDT, USDC, DAI, USAT, USDY, USDe, USDM) that in November 2025 are delivering 8–15 % annualised returns completely insulated from price volatility.
This is not marketing hype.
This is cold, hard, on-chain verifiable income that is being paid out daily and weekly to millions of wallets right now — while the rest of the market is red.
The reason is simple:
The November correction has driven massive capital flight into safety → lending protocol volumes surged +38 % in the last 14 days alone.
U.S. Treasury yields remain elevated (3-month T-bills ≈ 4.9–5.1 %), and every protocol backed by treasuries or repo agreements is mechanically passing that yield straight to users.
Centralised exchanges and DeFi platforms are in a fierce liquidity war — they are temporarily boosting rates to historic highs to attract stablecoin deposits before year-end.
In short: right now stablecoins are the highest-yielding truly risk-free asset class in the entire crypto and traditional finance space.
Top 7 Stablecoin Yield Opportunities Right Now (Iluniam data, 18 November 2025)
USAT (Ampleforth Treasury) — 14.7–15.3 % APY
Backing: 100 % short-term treasuries + repo
Platforms: Pendle (USAT pool), Morpho Blue
Risk level: minimal (1:1 overcollateralized)
USDY (Ondo Finance) — 13.1–14.4 % APY
Backing: treasuries + BlackRock BUIDL integration
Platforms: Ondo direct, Pendle, Sky (ex-Maker)
Bonus: Coinbase listing confirmed for December
USDe (Ethena) + sUSDe staking — 11.8–13.2 % APY
Strategy: delta-neutral (spot + perpetual short)
Platforms: Ethena, Symbiotic
Risk: medium, but covered by a $400 m insurance fund
USDC on Coinbase Advanced — 11.2 % APY
Simple deposit, no lock-up, instant withdrawal
FDIC insurance up to $250 k on fiat portion
USDT on Bybit Earn — 10.5–11.8 % (flexible + 30-day locked)
Up to 15 % bonus for new deposits until 30 November
USDM (Mountain Protocol) — 10.1–10.9 % APY
Backing: 100 % treasuries, fully regulated (Bermuda)
Platforms: Mountain + Curve
DAI in Sky (ex-Maker) + Spark — 8.4–9.8 % APY
The most decentralised option, DSR + Spark lending
Risk vs Reward Comparison (Iluniam Risk Score 1–10)
StablecoinAPYRisk (1–10)LiquidityBacking / InsuranceUSAT14.7–15.3 %2High100 % treasuries + repoUSDY13.1–14.4 %2HighBlackRock BUIDL + treasuriesUSDe11.8–13.2 %5High$400 m insurance fundUSDC (Coinbase)11.2 %1InstantFDIC + Circle reservesUSDT (Bybit)10.5–11.8 %4HighTether reserves
Iluniam Recommendation for November–December 2025
Conservative capital (70–100 %):
USAT + USDY + USDC → average 12.8–14.1 % APY at near-zero risk
Aggressive slice (20–40 %):
USDe + Pendle PT-USAT (fixed 16–18 % until March 2026)
Why this beats simply holding BTC/ETH right now
Yield is guaranteed and compounds daily/weekly
Zero exposure to downside volatility (you earn while the market bleeds)
Full liquidity — exit anytime and buy assets 10–20 % cheaper when the dip ends
Final Word from Iluniam
November 2025 is not a time to panic over red charts.
It is the best moment in the past two years to park part of your capital in Stablecoins 2.0 and collect 8–15 % real yield while waiting for the next leg up.
We have already allocated 68 % of our clients’ free cash into these exact protocols — and they are earning every single day.
Want the same result without wasting time searching?
The complete “Stablecoins 2.0 — Where and How to Earn 15 % in November” guide is already available in the private Iluniam channel.
Rising Expanding Wedge BreakdownI’ve spotted this expanding wedge pattern on the Nasdaq and there is probably more downside imminent for the Nasdaq. I'm sure this isn’t new to most of you. A bearish price target around 23,000 (for now) is highly likely. Long-term I remain bullish (see my other ideas), but right now the extreme fear is handing control to the bears for a while.
NZDUSD: Bearish Trend Continues 🇳🇿🇺🇸
NZDUSD is trading in a bearish trend on a daily.
The market finally completed a correctional movement yesterday,
forming a bearish imbalance candle and setting a new lower low
lower close with a confirmed BoS.
We can expect another wave lower.
Next support will be 0.56.
Look for selling after a completion of a pullback.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
bitcoin Outlook after the Dip. What to expect NOW?After breaking out of the descending wedge, the price has reached a very strong PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone) support area. If the price holds this zone, there is hope for a rebound toward new highs. However, if this support fails, the price could drop below $70,000.
CADJPY - Overbought at Resistance… Correction Ahead?⚔️CADJPY is approaching a major rejection zone around 111.00 , which aligns perfectly with the upper bound of the rising channel. Price is also showing clear overbought behavior, making this area a critical decision point for the next move.
For now, the pair remains overall bullish, trading inside a clean ascending structure. However, the current location leaves CADJPY vulnerable to a corrective move as long as the 111.00 resistance continues to hold.
If the bulls manage to break and hold above 111.00, the momentum could extend toward higher highs. But if the resistance rejects price again, we can expect a move back toward the lower trendline of the channel to reset the structure.📉
The market is now at a key inflection zone… will 111.00 act as a ceiling or fuel the next breakout? 🤔
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr.
DXY 1D - dollar waking up, but patience is keyOn the daily chart, the US Dollar Index is showing the first signs of recovery: a falling wedge breakout and trendline breach hint that bulls are slowly reclaiming control. Price has moved above the EMA, a short-term bullish signal.
Still, MA200 remains above, reminding us that the broader trend is not yet flipped. The ideal play here - wait for a retest of the breakout trendline to confirm buyers’ strength before jumping in.
If price holds above 99.70, the next upside targets sit around 100.19, 101.31, and 102.63.
But keep in mind - DXY loves to test patience. False breakouts are its favorite sport.
Right now, the dollar looks ready to wake up, but maybe hit the snooze button one last time before the real move begins.
ETH About to Explode or Collapse?Yello Paradisers! Are you prepared for what’s coming next on ETHUSD? Because right now, Ethereum is sitting on the edge of a critical structure that could lead to a major breakout—or trap unsuspecting traders in another fake move. The setup is developing quickly, and what happens next will determine the short-term direction in a big way.
💎ETHUSD is currently forming a textbook falling wedge pattern, a structure often seen at the end of corrective phases and typically followed by strong bullish breakouts. What adds more weight to this scenario is the clear bullish divergence forming on both the MACD histogram and the Stochastic RSI. These indicators suggest that bearish momentum is weakening and bulls may be getting ready to take control.
💎For traders who prefer confirmation, the ideal move is to wait for a decisive breakout above the wedge. That would significantly increase the probability of a sustained bullish move and reduce the risk of being caught in a fakeout. However, for more aggressive traders, there may already be a reason to act. A bullish engulfing candle has formed directly at a key support level—an early signal that buyers are starting to step in with strength.
💎That said, we cannot ignore the invalidation scenario. If the price breaks down and closes candle below the defined invalidation level, the entire bullish outlook will be off the table. In that case, it will be crucial to stay patient and wait for a clearer price action setup to form before considering new positions.
Strive for consistency, not quick profits. Treat the market as a businessman, not as a gambler.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
CADJPY: Ending Diagonal + RD(_) = Downtrend StartingToday, I’d like to share a Short positioning opportunity on the CADJPY pair .
In the current scenario, CADJPY is moving within a Resistance zone(112.100 JPY-109.500 JPY) and is close to a Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) as well as the upper line of the ascending channel.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, it seems that CADJPY is completing the microwave 5 of the microwave C of the main wave Y , and the microwave 5 appears to be forming an Ending Diagonal .
Additionally, we can observe a negative Regular Divergence (RD-) between the peaks.
Fundamental analysis : Considering the above analysis, and also taking into account the fundamental conditions, Canada’s core inflation came in softer than expected, reinforcing the BoC’s easing path, while JPY benefits from the current risk-off tone. Fundamentally, CADJPY remains biased to the downside.
Finally, based on all the above, I expect that CADJPY will begin its downward trend, with a First target at 109.103 JPY
Take Profit(2): 108.543 JPY
Stop Loss(SL): 118.820 JPY(Worst)
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Canadian Dollar/ Japanese Yen Analysis (CADJPY), 4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Bitcoin: Extreme support 91k! Big pump soon (easy, watch this)Bitcoin is in a critical situation because the price broke the falling wedge, and instead of a bullish breakout, we see a bearish breakdown! I expected this price action, please look at my previous posts. The falling wedge in general is a bullish pattern, but in bear markets they are bearish patterns. But soon Bitcoin will hit a key support level, and this is great hopium for the bulls!
The key support level is 91k! Why? We have a very strong confluence to buy Bitcoin here, at least for a short-term bounce. First of all, there is an unfilled CME futures GAP on the daily chart. Second, there is an unfilled FVG (Fair Value Gap) between 91660 and 85320 on Binance. The next is the Fibonacci 0.618 FIB level on the LOG scale. This fibo is exactly at 91122.
What is the plan? Now you know that there is very strong support at 91k, and that's a good upcoming trade! What you want to do is to put your limit order here and wait for the price to come to you and then take profit a little bit higher! Where to take profit? Don't forget to follow my TradingView account because I will inform you about a good level to sell/short BTC.
What to do now? I would wait for Bitcoin to come to 91k, then I expect a bounce to higher levels! I think we will see a pretty nice pump in November/December, but be patient and wait for 91k.
Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
XAUUSD: Bullish Rebound Setup as Price Holds Above Wedge SupportHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Gold setup.
Market Analysis
XAUUSD is currently maintaining a bullish market structure after rebounding from the key Wedge Support Line, which continues to act as a major dynamic support for the ongoing uptrend. The chart shows that Gold previously formed a broad Range at the top, followed by a sharp rejection from the Resistance Area near $4,170–$4,200, where strong sellers stepped in. This zone remains the primary supply region and aligns closely with the Wedge Resistance Line, creating a strong confluence barrier. After the rejection, price moved back into a correction phase, retesting both the Support Zone around $4,040–$4,070 and the ascending wedge structure. Notably, the recent bullish reaction inside this zone indicates that buyers are still defending this area effectively. Multiple breakouts and a prior fake breakout highlight that sellers are struggling to maintain downward momentum, while buyers continue to accumulate at lower levels.
Currently, XAUUSD is stabilizing just above the Support Zone, forming early signs of a potential upward continuation. As long as the price respects the wedge support and holds above $4,070, the bullish structure remains intact. The market behavior suggests increasing buyer interest, especially during retests of lower support.
My Scenario & Strategy
I expect Gold to continue its upward movement from the current support area and retest the $4,170–$4,200 Resistance Zone once again. This level will be the next major decision point; a successful breakout above this zone could open the path toward higher highs and potentially signal a continuation of the broader bullish trend.
However, if XAUUSD breaks below the Wedge Support Line, the bullish outlook would weaken, and the price could revisit deeper support levels before buyers attempt another recovery. For now, bullish continuation remains the most probable scenario as long as the support structure holds. Pullback-based long entries remain the best approach while price continues to trade above the key support zone and upward trendline.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
USDJPY Near Major Resistance – Rising Wedge Signals Reversal1. What Happened Recently
After the gap up above resistance in early October, USDJPY has continued to climb, recently breaking above the 155.00 psychological level.
However, the entire advance of the past weeks is developing inside a rising wedge pattern — a structure that usually signals loss of momentum and often precedes a bearish reversal.
2. Current Market Context
It is also important to note that if USDJPY rises above 156.50, it enters a major resistance zone, historically triggering significant pullbacks.
So while the trend is still technically up, the risk-reward for new longs is deteriorating rapidly.
3. Technical Outlook
Key levels to watch:
- 156.50 → strong resistance; break above it creates a fade-the-rally opportunity
- Rising wedge support → a break below confirms a reversal signal
- 158.00 → invalidation; strong buying above this level cancels the bearish scenario
Downside target:
- 150.00 → main objective for a completed wedge breakdown
4. Trading Plan
I am currently preparing two sell plans:
- Break above 156.50 → fade rallies
If price spikes above this zone but fails to hold, I will look to sell.
- Break of the wedge support → trend reversal setup
A clean breakdown from the wedge would confirm that the uptrend is exhausted, offering another shorting opportunity.
5. Conclusion
Although USDJPY remains in an uptrend for now, the combination of a rising wedge, major resistance at 156.50, and weak bullish momentum makes a reversal increasingly probable.
My target is 150, with invalidation only if strong buying appears above 158.
GRAB 1D - picking phones off the market floor again?GRAB pulled back exactly into the 4.90–5.10 buy-zone, where the wedge retest aligns with the MA200 - a major technical cluster that previously launched strong impulses. Oscillators show deep oversold conditions, candles print buyer tails, and the first resistance sits at 5.35, matching the 0.618 retracement. A breakout above 5.35 opens the path toward 8.65 (1.618), and a move above 6.80 could initiate a larger rally toward 11.92 based on the 2.618 extension.
Company: Grab Holdings is Southeast Asia’s largest super-app platform, combining ride-hailing, food delivery, fintech, payments, and micro-lending across Singapore, Malaysia, Indonesia, Thailand, and Vietnam.
Fundamentally , as of November 19, GRAB continues to strengthen: gross profit and GMV grow, operational efficiency improves, and both ride-hailing and delivery segments have reached sustainable profitability. Fintech is expanding at double-digit rates, margins improve as subsidies are reduced, and operating losses continue to shrink. Cash flow strengthens, the path to full profitability is visible, and the overall digital-services boom across Southeast Asia remains a long-term driver for growth. Competition cooled, monetization improved - exactly то environment the company needed.
Technically , the bullish scenario holds as long as price stays above 4.90–5.10. A breakout above 5.35 activates the 8.65 target, and the major upside - 11.92 - becomes realistic once price gets above 6.80. A drop below 4.80 complicates the picture, but current structure still looks like a controlled reset rather than a trend break.
Grab acting like usual: discounts first, acceleration later - Southeast Asia likes this script.






















