XAUUSD (15M) – Price Compression Near Trendline,Breakout LoadinGFOREXCOM:XAUUSD
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XAUUSD (15M) – Price Compression Near Trendline, Breakout Loading ⚡
Structure | Trend | Key Reaction Zones
Gold is compressing between resistance and short-term demand, showing LHs at the top and LLs near 3,465. Price is coiling for a breakout.
Market Overview
After sellers rejected 3,489, XAUUSD has been trapped in a narrowing range, forming lower highs but holding demand near 3,465. Momentum is weakening, and traders should watch closely for a breakout resolution from this triangle compression. A bullish push above 3,481 can trigger upside continuation, while failure below 3,472–3,465 risks further decline.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀 →
🎯 Target 1: 3,478
🎯 Target 2: 3,481
🎯 Target 3: 3,489
❌ Bearish Case 📉 →
🎯 Downside Target 1: 3,472
🎯 Downside Target 2: 3,465 (Critical Support)
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 3,478 → 3,481 → 3,489
Support 🟢: 3,472 → 3,465
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Wedge
BTCUSDT (30m) – Possible Bullish Continuation | INTRADY OR SCALPBINANCE:BTCUSDT
Structure | Trend | Key Reaction Zones
BTC is consolidating inside an accumulation phase after liquidity sweeps. Price has bounced strongly from the demand zone and is now testing trendline resistance.
Market Overview
BTC structure shows a mix of accumulation and false breakouts, with liquidity grabs on both sides. As long as the strong demand base holds, buyers may attempt to break trendline resistance for continuation. Momentum will shift decisively if BTC clears the immediate resistance zone, otherwise rejection can push it back toward the lower support.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀 → Bounce from demand with breakout above 109,400 could lead to:
🎯 Target 1: 109,834
🎯 Target 2: 110,867
🎯 Target 3: 111,500 (major breakout level)
❌ Bearish Case 📉 → Failure to hold 108,400 may trigger deeper downside:
🎯 Target 1: 108,174
🎯 Target 2: 107,452
🎯 Target 3: 107,250 (critical demand test)
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 109,400 → 109,834 → 110,867
Support 🟢: 108,400 → 108,174 → 107,452
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
EURUSD Long: Bullish Rally Will Continue, After RetestHello, traders! The prior market structure for EURUSD was defined by a descending channel, which concluded with a pivot point low in the 1.1600 demand area. A strong bullish initiative from that low triggered a breakout, reversing the downtrend and establishing the current bullish market phase. This has led the price auction into a new upward trajectory.
Currently, the price action is being guided by a well-defined ascending wedge. After testing the upper boundary, the price has made a corrective move down and is now at a critical inflection point. The auction is directly testing the confluence of the ascending demand line and the horizontal 1.1700 - 1.1710 demand area, a key zone for buyers to demonstrate control.
The primary scenario anticipates a successful defense of this support confluence. A confirmed bounce from the demand line would validate the integrity of the ascending wedge and signal that the bullish initiative is ready to resume. This would likely trigger a full rotation to the upside within the pattern. The take-profit is therefore set at 1.1750, targeting the upper supply line of the wedge. Manage your risk!
BTCUSD: Decline Movement ContinuesHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Bitcoin setup.
Market Analysis
From a broader perspective, the price action for Bitcoin has been bearish since it was rejected from the major Resistance Zone 2 near 118900. This initiated a downtrend that has since been developing within the confines of a large downward wedge pattern, creating a sequence of lower highs and lower lows.
The most recent significant event was the breakdown below the key horizontal Resistance Zone 1 around the 112100 mark. After finding temporary support, the price is now in a corrective rally, heading back up towards the main resistance line of the wedge in a classic retest move.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario is based on the expectation that the dominant downtrend will continue. I'm anticipating that the price will complete this corrective bounce and touch the wedge's resistance line. Upon reaching this area, I expect sellers to show strength, reject the price, and cause a reversal that initiates the next impulsive move downwards within the overall structure.
Therefore, the strategy is to watch for this rejection from the wedge's resistance. The primary target for this move is 106500 points, which aligns perfectly with the lower support line of the wedge pattern.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
Sep 1, 2025 - SOLUSDT 4H Chart Big Picture
At a broader look, the SOLUSDT chart is currently testing a major historical resistance at 203.36 — a level first seen back in 2021 and again in early 2024. This zone was finally broken toward the end of 2024, but the breakout lacked momentum, and after touching around $300, the price fell back below this level.
Now, Solana appears to be making another attempt to break through this ceiling, forming a very interesting structure. On the first retest, strong selling pressure was clear and pushed the price lower. However, it didn’t take long before price came back to the zone again — this time slightly pushing sell orders higher. Since then, each touch of this level has repeated the same story, gradually forming a triangle-like shape.
To measure the strength of buyers vs sellers in this zone, I analyzed the volume across each leg. What stood out was the rising volume on bullish legs, which suggests stronger buying pressure compared to selling.
Another important observation: while price is struggling to print significantly higher highs, it’s consistently forming higher lows — another clear sign of buy-side pressure.
This analysis provides a broader, medium-to-long-term perspective on SOLUSDT. In the next post, I’ll break down the entry triggers and target levels.
Sep1, ETHUSDT Daily Analysis
Intro
For the first time in almost two months, Ethereum has broken below its ascending trendline. In addition, a flat top structure is clearly visible on the 4H chart. These signals make me less bullish on Ethereum compared to before.
That said, there’s still no confirmation of a full trend reversal yet. However, I’ll be more cautious about opening long positions on ETH for now. The key level I’m watching is 4,078.56 — a breakdown below this level could change my long-term outlook on Ethereum and provide a potential short trigger.
⏳ 1H Outlook
On the 1H timeframe, the first setup that caught my attention is a triangle pattern, which has recently broken to the upside. A pullback to the breakout area has also occurred. If price breaks above 4,483.86 after this pullback, it could present a good long opportunity.
Still, I don’t plan to hold this long for the mid/long term — I will take profits at the nearest resistance levels. I’ll keep this approach until the upcoming U.S. unemployment data and other economic news set the broader market direction this week.
📉 Short-side View
At the moment, I don’t see a clear short trigger on Ethereum, nor do I have a strong interest in taking short positions right now.
From a broader perspective, Ethereum may be forming a large range (box) between 4,065.50 and 4,816.84 . Currently, the price sits roughly in the middle of this range, while potential short triggers are much closer to the bottom boundary of the box.
From Strength to Weakness: ETH Validates a Key Bearish PatternIntroduction (Market Context)
Ether Futures (ETH) and Micro Ether Futures (MET) have been at the center of market attention since April 2025, when prices staged a remarkable rally of more than +250%. This surge was not just a technical phenomenon—it came in the wake of major macro events such as Liberation Day and the reemergence of U.S. tariff policies under Donald Trump’s administration. Those developments sparked speculative flows into digital assets, with Ether acting as one of the prime beneficiaries of capital rotation.
Yet markets rarely move in one direction forever. After such a sharp rise, technical exhaustion often follows, and signs of that exhaustion are beginning to surface on ETH’s daily chart. Traders who enjoyed the rally now face a critical juncture: whether to protect gains or to consider new opportunities in the opposite direction. The key lies in a pattern that has appeared many times in history, often marking important reversals—the Rising Wedge.
What is a Rising Wedge?
A Rising Wedge is one of the most recognizable bearish reversal formations in technical analysis. It typically develops after a strong uptrend, where price continues to push higher but does so with diminishing momentum. On the chart, the highs and lows still point upward, but the slope of the highs is shallower than the slope of the lows, creating a narrowing upward channel.
The psychology behind the wedge is critical: buyers are still in control, but they are running out of strength with every push higher. Sellers begin to absorb demand more aggressively, and eventually, price breaks through the lower boundary of the wedge. This breakdown often accelerates as trapped buyers unwind positions.
From a measurement perspective, technicians project the maximum width of the wedge at its start, and then apply that distance downward from the point of breakdown. This projection offers a technical target for where price may gravitate in the following weeks. In the case of Ether Futures, that target points toward the 3,200 area, a level of strong technical interest and a logical area for traders to watch closely.
RSI and Bearish Divergence
Alongside the wedge, momentum indicators add further weight to the bearish case. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a widely used oscillator that measures momentum on a scale of 0 to 100. Values above 70 are generally interpreted as “overbought,” while values below 30 suggest “oversold.”
The most powerful signals often emerge not when RSI is at an extreme, but when it diverges from price action. A bearish divergence occurs when price sets higher highs while RSI forms lower highs. This is an indication that upward momentum is weakening even as price appears to climb.
Ether Futures have displayed this phenomenon clearly over the past few weeks. The daily chart shows four successive higher highs in price, yet RSI failed to confirm these moves, instead tracing a series of lower peaks. Notably, RSI pierced the overbought zone above 70 twice during this period, but momentum faded quickly after each attempt. This divergence is a classic early warning sign that a bullish run is running out of steam.
Forward-Looking Trade Idea
With the Rising Wedge breakdown and RSI divergence in place, a structured trade plan emerges. Futures traders can express this view through either the standard Ether Futures contract (ETH) or its smaller counterpart, the Micro Ether Futures contract (MET).
Contract Specs & Margins
Ether Futures (ETH): Notional = 50 Ether, Tick size = 0.50, Tick value = $25.00, Initial margin ≈ $68,800 (subject to CME updates).
Micro Ether Futures (MET): Notional = 0.1 Ether, Tick size = 0.50, Tick value = $0.05, Initial margin ≈ $140 (subject to CME updates).
Trade Plan (Bearish Setup)
Direction: Short
Entry: 4,360
Target: 3,200
Stop Loss: 4,702 (coinciding with a minor resistance level)
Reward-to-Risk Ratio: ≈ 3.39 : 1
The projected wedge target around 3,200 is not only a measured move from the pattern but also sits close to a previously established UFO support zone. While anecdotal, this confluence reinforces the credibility of the level as a potential magnet for price.
Risk Management
Regardless of how compelling a technical setup may appear, the most decisive factor in trading remains risk management. Defining risk in advance ensures that losses are limited if the market behaves unexpectedly. In this case, placing the stop at 4,702 not only keeps risk under control but also aligns with a minor resistance level, making the trade plan technically coherent.
Position sizing also plays a crucial role. The availability of Micro Ether Futures (MET) allows traders to participate with significantly reduced capital requirements compared to the full-sized ETH contract. This flexibility makes it easier to fine-tune exposure and manage account risk more precisely.
Equally important is the discipline of adhering to precise entries and exits. Chasing a trade or ignoring pre-defined stop levels can erode the edge provided by technical analysis. Markets often deliver multiple opportunities, but without sound risk management, traders may not survive long enough to benefit from them. Ultimately, capital preservation is the foundation on which consistent performance is built.
Closing
Ether’s spectacular rally since April 2025 is a reminder of the asset’s ability to deliver explosive moves under the right conditions. Yet history shows that parabolic advances rarely continue uninterrupted. The combination of a Rising Wedge breakdown and a confirmed RSI divergence provides strong evidence that the current uptrend is losing momentum, and the market may be entering a corrective phase.
For traders, this is less about predicting the future and more about recognizing when probabilities align in favor of a defined setup. With clear entry, target, and stop levels, the ETH and MET contracts offer a structured opportunity for those willing to take a bearish stance while managing their risk appropriately.
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
SpotCrude Short Setup - 4h💎MJTrading
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🛢️ PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDE Short Setup – Third Tap of Falling Wedge Resistance
Pattern: Falling wedge
Context: Price is testing wedge resistance for the third time, with rejection signs
Bias: Bearish
🟢 Entry Point: 64.5
This aligns with upper boundary of the Falling Wedge (After Rejection).
❌ Stop Loss (SL): 65.5
🎯 Take Profit (TP) Levels
✅ TP1 (RR1) → 63.5
📈 TP2 → 62.5
💰 TP3 → 61.5
🧠 Trade Logic
Price is testing wedge resistance for the third time, with rejection signs
⚠️ Risk Management
Risk:Reward ratio ranges from 1:1 to 1:3, depending on TP level.
Psychology Always Matters:
Update & Technical Analysis — PEAQ🔄 Update: In the previous setup, price made a dead cat bounce with a fake breakout, and continued its downside move.
Now, the chart has formed a falling wedge, which is considered a strong bullish pattern.
A breakout above the wedge’s resistance could be a solid trigger.
✅ Confirmation of trend reversal will be at 0.0875 in MWC (Medium Wave Cycle) and at 0.1880 in HWC (High Wave Cycle).
⚠️ Please remember: using this analysis requires strict risk management and capital management.
What’s your view on $PEAQ? 👇
Bitcoin at Make-or-Break: Will BTC Fill the CME Gap?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) increased to $113,500 as I expected in my previous idea .
Do you think Bitcoin can fill the upper CME Gap($117,235-$113,800) !?
Bitcoin is currently moving near the Resistance zone($114,720-$113,580) , Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($115,000-$113,588) , Resistance lines , and Monthly Pivot Point .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin’s movement over the past 2 days has been in the form of corrective waves and has had low momentum . The corrective wave structure is a Double Three Correction(WXY) .
From a Classic Technical Analysis perspective, Bitcoin appears to be completing a Rising Wedge pattern .
I expect Bitcoin to move towards Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($109,500-$108,000) after volatile movements over the next two days .
CME Gap: $112,870-$112,700
CME Gap: $112,155-$111,940
Stop Loss(SL): $115,510(Worst)
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Gold will start to decline and then exit from wedgeHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. The market dynamic for XAUUSD has seen a significant evolution, transitioning from a corrective falling wedge into a new bullish phase after a powerful breakout from the lows. This upward trend has since matured and taken the shape of a large upward wedge, a pattern that has been guiding the price higher through a series of rebounds and corrections. This formation, while bullish in the short term, often signals potential trend exhaustion as it approaches its apex. Currently, the price action for XAU is at a critical juncture, pushing up against the upper resistance line of this wedge. The primary working hypothesis is a short scenario, which is predicated on the common bearish resolution of a rising wedge pattern. It is anticipated that the asset will be rejected from this resistance line, signalling that buying momentum is waning. A confirmed failure at this peak would likely trigger a sharp reversal, with enough selling pressure to cause a breakdown below the wedge's ascending support line and the current support level of 3390. This structural failure would validate the bearish thesis and initiate a new downward leg. Therefore, the TP is logically set at 3370 points, representing a prudent first objective for the price to achieve following the anticipated breakdown of the wedge structure. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURUSD: More Growth Ahead 🇪🇺🇺🇸
EURUSD closed in a very strong bullish mood,
perfectly respecting a bullish breaker block on a 4H time frame.
With a high probability, a bullish rally will continue next week.
Next goal - 1.172
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
#BCHBTC #1W (Binance) Big falling wedge breakoutCRYPTOCAP:BCH just regained 50MA weekly support in sats, performing better than CRYPTOCAP:BTC
Seems likely to continue bullish towards 200MA resistance, probably after a pull-back.
⚡️⚡️ #BCH/BTC ⚡️⚡️
Exchanges: Binance
Signal Type: Regular (Long)
Amount: 7.0%
Current Price:
0.004885
Entry Targets:
1) 0.004657
Take-Profit Targets:
1) 0.006329
Stop Targets:
1) 0.003987
Published By: @Zblaba
CRYPTOCAP:BCH BINANCE:BCHBTC #BitcoinCash #PoW bitcoincash.org
Risk/Reward= 1:2.5
Expected Profit= +35.9%
Possible Loss= -14.4%
Estimated Gaintime= 4-7 months
XAUUSD Technical OutlookWhat I see!
XAUUSD Technical Daily Outlook
Gold (XAUUSD) is forming a falling wedge after the sharp drop from the 3,430s high - - a structure that often signals a potential bullish reversal.
Price is consolidating inside the wedge, rejecting from the Daily FVG while holding the H4 demand zone at 3,320. A break above the wedge trend-line could spark an impulsive move toward the 3,375 BSL, with further upside into 3,439 if liquidity is cleared.
The wedge has already completed five legs, adding confluence for a possible breakout soon. Conversely, failure to hold 3,320 may invite deeper retracement before bulls re-enter.
This chart is presented for educational discussion of market structure and technical patterns only. It is not a trade signal or financial advice.
Learn before earning!
Gold-Bullish Reversal from Falling Wedge(Bull Flag Continuation)Price has bounced strongly from the support zone with two solid bullish 4H candles, confirming a potential reversal.
The structure shows a falling wedge after a strong bullish leg, often acting as a bull flag continuation pattern.
📌 Key Levels:
Support: 3310 – 3320
Resistance 1: 3350 – 3360 (first breakout test)
Resistance 2: 3375 (key resistance / PRZ)
Resistance 3: 3400 (measured move target)
Resistance 4: 3470 (channel top)
⚡ Scenarios:
Bullish: A breakout and close above 3350–3360, followed by 3375, opens the path toward 3400 and potentially 3470.
Bearish (invalid): A drop back below 3310 could extend the downside toward 3280.
Gold at Resistance ! Next move will decide trend.Daily Chart Update – Gold1!
Gold is currently forming a rising wedge pattern, with resistance near the sell zone of 103550–103700. The metal is also trading within a well-defined ascending parallel channel, where the channel resistance aligns with the first selling level around 10500.
On a percentage basis, after a 5–6% upward move, gold has reached the key levels of 104700–10500. If these resistance levels hold, we may witness a potential decline in prices. Accordingly, positions can be shifted, and selling opportunities may be considered in line with both the pattern formation and the overall market structure.
Conclusion: According to the pattern and overall structure, 103500 is the first selling zone, while further resistance lies at 104700–10500. Sustaining below these levels could open the way for lower prices.