Safe to say that post 2014 (and even earlier) the renewables have become a serious competition to the traditional part of the XLE sector(coal/gas/oil).
Crucial note: Breaking of the black trendline, could symbolize the start of a recession as this would mean that inflation expectation have decreased.
In any case, this is just a brief analysis, everything is on...
You can see we have had a long sideways consolidation which to me looks like a 5 wave triangle . If US Dollar continues to drop as I favor and with all the global turmoil in oil producing countries it is fertile ground for oil to rise. The dotted horizontal lines I see as resistance. Strong weekly candle last week and break of short term down trend line.
... to finish after I was rudely cut off, options returns are a bell curve based on duration, you never want to hold them until expiry unless you are planning on taking delivery!
(*Note to tradingview - performance should increase for paid subscriptions)